Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Sep. 7, 2020)

September 7, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Rory McIlroy has only a small lead in the ratings but he remains no. 1.
# Thru Sep. 7, 2020 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 43 1693 1
2 Jon Rahm 46 1655 2
3 Justin Thomas 44 1445 3
4 Dustin Johnson 40 1415 5
5 Webb Simpson 39 1396 4
6 Patrick Cantlay 38 1380 6
7 Xander Schauffele 45 1337 7
8 Adam Scott 33 1284 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 50 1222 9
10 Tommy Fleetwood 47 1169 11
11 Bryson DeChambeau 48 1142 10
12 Tiger Woods 24 1071 13
13 Tyrrell Hatton 42 1070 12
14 Collin Morikawa 31 1062 14
15 Brooks Koepka 42 1046 15
16 Justin Rose 44 1040 16
17 Patrick Reed 59 1007 17
18 Paul Casey 45 987 20
19 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 984 21
20 Daniel Berger 38 970 18
21 Tony Finau 55 970 19
22 Matt Kuchar 46 943 23
23 Jason Day 40 938 24
24 Billy Horschel 52 920 22
25 Gary Woodland 47 903 26
26 Jason Kokrak 45 901 27
27 Louis Oosthuizen 45 897 29
28 Ryan Palmer 41 890 25
29 Rickie Fowler 40 881 31
30 Scottie Scheffler 31 879 32
31 Kevin Kisner 50 872 28
32 Abraham Ancer 53 869 30
33 Ian Poulter 47 866 33
34 Sungjae Im 62 839 34
35 Byeong Hun An 49 824 37
36 Francesco Molinari 29 823 36
37 Viktor Hovland 37 816 35
38 Henrik Stenson 36 789 38
39 Joel Dahmen 51 772 39
40 Sergio Garcia 46 769 40
41 Shane Lowry 47 761 42
42 Jordan Spieth 42 756 43
43 Brandt Snedeker 45 747 44
44 Rory Sabbatini 50 747 45
45 Marc Leishman 44 727 41
46 Harris English 51 704 47
47 Lucas Glover 48 700 48
48 Kevin Na 44 694 46
49 Matthew Wolff 30 677 50
50 Chez Reavie 52 675 49
51 Bubba Watson 45 665 51
52 Matt Wallace 54 662 52
53 Rafa Cabrera Bello 50 655 53
54 Erik Van Rooyen 51 646 54
55 Charles Howell 49 629 55
56 Adam Hadwin 43 619 57
57 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 33 617 59
58 Lanto Griffin 31 617 56
59 Alex Noren 47 614 58
60 Brian Harman 53 612 60
61 JT Poston 53 607 61
62 Ryan Moore 38 601 64
63 Scott Piercy 43 599 63
64 Corey Conners 52 597 65
65 Danny Willett 47 595 66
66 Doc Redman 30 593 68
67 Kevin Streelman 49 589 70
68 Vaughn Taylor 46 584 72
69 Jim Furyk 34 578 71
70 Brendon Todd 40 576 67
71 Joaquin Niemann 52 576 69
72 Paul Waring 33 574 62
73 Cameron Tringale 41 564 77
74 Mac Hughes 47 561 74
75 Lee Westwood 37 559 73
76 Will Gordon 12 557 76
77 Harold Varner 51 544 78
78 Cameron Smith 49 543 75
79 Talor Gooch 42 538 79
80 Mark Hubbard 28 537 80
81 Sung Kang 50 533 81
82 Andrew Putnam 43 533 83
83 Russell Henley 45 532 82
84 Thomas Pieters 39 520 84
85 Si Woo Kim 54 516 85
86 Sebastian Munoz 53 515 92
87 Jhonattan Vegas 44 513 86
88 Dylan Frittelli 55 513 87
89 Bud Cauley 45 509 89
90 Max Homa 48 508 88
91 Tom Lewis 45 507 90
92 Sam Burns 45 499 94
93 Robert MacIntyre 38 497 91
94 Charley Hoffman 46 497 93
95 Brendan Steele 43 496 95
96 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 47 485 97
97 Martin Kaymer 43 482 99
98 Bernd Wiesberger 39 482 96
99 Graeme McDowell 45 480 98
100 Keegan Bradley 48 475 100
101 Wesley Bryan 9 473 102
102 Matthias Schwab 44 465 103
103 Cameron Champ 50 457 101
104 Brian Stuard 54 457 108
105 Adam Long 53 457 107
106 Phil Mickelson 39 456 104
107 Michael Thompson 43 452 109
108 Troy Merritt 48 451 110
109 Wyndham Clark 51 447 111
110 Maverick McNealy 29 446 113
111 Emiliano Grillo 48 445 112
112 Jonas Blixt 26 443 115
113 Victor Perez 35 442 105
114 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 39 442 114
115 Henrik Norlander 29 439 117
116 Nick Taylor 48 434 118
117 Luke List 45 433 119
118 Haotong Li 46 433 106
119 Keith Mitchell 47 432 116
120 Russell Knox 52 429 120
121 Carlos Ortiz 51 425 123
122 Eddie Pepperell 35 423 121
123 Danny Lee 50 422 122
124 Matt Jones 51 421 125
125 Nick Watney 43 419 127
126 Zach Johnson 37 418 126
127 Denny McCarthy 52 416 128
128 JB Holmes 33 415 124
129 Sepp Straka 51 400 131
130 Ryan Armour 49 395 132
131 Patrick Rodgers 45 395 130
132 Andrew Johnston 28 390 135
133 Joost Luiten 42 388 129
134 Pat Perez 39 388 133
135 Robby Shelton 29 383 136
136 Adam Schenk 56 380 137
137 Harry Higgs 28 379 138
138 Brice Garnett 47 377 139
139 Thomas Detry 46 376 134
140 KH Lee 56 373 140
141 Nate Lashley 42 371 142
142 Peter Malnati 48 366 144
143 Chesson Hadley 45 364 143
144 Xinjun Zhang 31 363 146
145 Kyle Stanley 48 362 145
146 Scott Stallings 47 359 147
147 Seamus Power 42 353 153
148 Richy Werenski 48 352 150
149 Gavin Green 44 350 154
150 Scott Brown 49 348 152
151 Thorbjorn Olesen 28 344 141
152 Andy Sullivan 43 340 148
153 Marcus Kinhult 40 338 149
154 Lucas Bjerregaard 46 336 156
155 Jordan Smith 43 333 151
156 Kurt Kitayama 43 332 159
157 Cameron Davis 53 330 158
158 Benjamin Hebert 42 328 155
159 Martin Laird 39 328 160
160 Tom Hoge 59 328 162
161 Kevin Tway 46 326 161
162 Branden Grace 51 326 157
163 Matthew NeSmith 27 323 163
164 Jim Knous 19 323 164
165 Justin Harding 52 321 166
166 Brian Gay 51 319 165
167 Jorge Campillo 46 313 167
168 Trey Mullinax 27 312 169
169 Aaron Wise 40 311 168
170 Matt Every 36 309 170
171 CT Pan 48 307 172
172 Andrew Landry 47 299 176
173 Roger Sloan 48 298 175
174 Charl Schwartzel 33 297 173
175 Andrea Pavan 49 296 171
176 Romain Langasque 39 295 177
177 Aaron Baddeley 36 294 174
178 Shawn Stefani 39 294 178
179 Sam Horsfield 43 290 179
180 Beau Hossler 51 287 180
181 Scott Jamieson 37 285 183
182 Hank Lebioda 47 285 185
183 Richard Sterne 33 284 181
184 Hudson Swafford 31 281 182
185 Sam Ryder 48 281 186
186 Ross Fisher 40 275 188
187 Jason Dufner 44 273 189
188 Jason Scrivener 47 270 184
189 Ryan Fox 46 269 190
190 George Coetzee 42 269 191
191 David Lipsky 41 267 193
192 Tyler Duncan 57 266 195
193 Roberto Castro 32 265 194
194 Patton Kizzire 47 264 192
195 Jimmy Walker 39 263 196
196 Chase Seiffert 22 260 197
197 Rasmus Hojgaard 13 259 187
198 Chris Stroud 44 254 198
199 Roberto Diaz 33 253 199
200 Fabian Gomez 44 251 200
201 Zac Blair 30 251 201
202 Adri Arnaus 42 249 203
203 Mikko Korhonen 38 248 202
204 Stewart Cink 34 246 206
205 Seung-yul Noh 9 246 204
206 James Hahn 22 244 207
207 Lucas Herbert 36 244 205
208 Zack Sucher 26 242 212
209 Aaron Rai 43 242 213
210 Jonathan Byrd 32 241 211
211 Joakim Lagergren 39 241 208
212 Kelly Kraft 32 240 210
213 Victor Dubuisson 25 240 209
214 Peter Uihlein 47 238 215
215 Curtis Luck 30 237 216
216 Jazz Janewattananond 34 233 220
217 Austin Cook 43 231 219
218 Richie Ramsay 42 231 222
219 Steve Stricker 18 229 225
220 Kalle Samooja 38 228 214
221 Joseph Bramlett 24 227 223
222 Bronson Burgoon 41 227 224
223 Wes Roach 41 225 226
224 Pablo Larrazabal 45 225 221
225 Josh Teater 43 223 228
226 Robert Streb 50 223 227
227 Alexander Bjork 40 223 217
228 Matthew Jordan 23 221 218
229 Bo Hoag 26 221 230
230 Luke Donald 30 219 229
231 KJ Choi 17 217 232
232 Guido Migliozzi 39 214 241
233 Chris Paisley 43 213 233
234 Cameron Percy 23 212 235
235 Billy Hurley 18 211 234
236 Zander Lombard 48 210 237
237 Rob Oppenheim 28 208 238
238 Nino Bertasio 37 206 231
239 Wade Ormsby 39 205 236
240 Alex Prugh 32 204 245
241 Stephan Jaeger 34 204 244
242 Joey Garber 28 203 248
243 Kristoffer Ventura 24 202 247
244 Jeff Winther 37 202 240
245 Fabrizio Zanotti 28 201 243
246 Doug Ghim 27 200 249
247 Brandon Hagy 32 199 250
248 JJ Spaun 46 199 246
249 Renato Paratore 50 198 239
250 Sami Valimaki 13 197 269
251 Sebastian Soderberg 39 196 242
252 Johnson Wagner 32 195 252
253 Adam Svensson 33 195 253
254 Kramer Hickok 48 195 251
255 DJ Trahan 35 194 254
256 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 193 257
257 David Hearn 41 190 258
258 Matthew Southgate 46 189 259
259 Dean Burmester 47 189 256
260 Sean O’Hair 13 188 260
261 Joachim B Hansen 43 188 264
262 Scott Harrington 25 188 262
263 Chase Koepka 11 186 267
264 George McNeill 20 185 265
265 Ted Potter 42 185 263
266 Chris Baker 21 184 266
267 Jamie Donaldson 28 182 284
268 Brandon Wu 12 181 273
269 Tim Wilkinson 20 180 271
270 Sang-hyun Park 26 180 274
271 Ben Martin 19 180 272
272 Ernie Els 34 178 270
273 Connor Syme 25 178 294
274 Calum Hill 18 177 255
275 Edoardo Molinari 45 176 268
276 Padraig Harrington 35 176 275
277 Callum Shinkwin 36 175 279
278 Julian Suri 28 174 278
279 Shaun Norris 35 174 280
280 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 31 173 282
281 Ashun Wu 37 173 276
282 Bill Haas 38 171 281
283 Marcus Armitage 13 170 261
284 Masahiro Kawamura 47 170 297
285 Matthieu Pavon 45 169 277
286 Jack Singh Brar 38 169 287
287 Lorenzo Gagli 40 168 299
288 Hugo Leon 26 168 289
289 Antoine Rozner 18 167 318
290 Dominic Bozzelli 41 166 285
291 Shubhankar Sharma 47 165 283
292 Adrian Otaegui 49 165 292
293 Ryan Blaum 33 164 288
294 Robert Rock 36 164 291
295 David Horsey 38 163 304
296 Shugo Imahira 32 162 290
297 Chris Kirk 30 162 298
298 Jim Herman 43 159 301
299 Sam Saunders 31 155 303
300 Scott Langley 34 155 300
301 Min Woo Lee 27 155 302
302 Grant Forrest 39 155 295
303 Sean Crocker 38 155 296
304 Wil Besseling 14 155 341
305 Francesco Laporta 13 153 286
306 Andres Romero 25 152 293
307 Mark Anderson 21 152 307
308 Grayson Murray 31 152 309
309 Ollie Schniederjans 36 151 305
310 Boo Weekley 16 149 310
311 Oliver Wilson 38 149 311
312 Sebastian Heisele 13 147 313
313 Brad Kennedy 20 146 312
314 Jeunghun Wang 40 146 314
315 Nacho Elvira 43 145 306
316 Brandon Stone 44 144 308
317 Alvaro Quiros 40 143 320
318 Vincent Whaley 18 143 315
319 Thongchai Jaidee 23 143 317
320 Ashley Chesters 47 143 316
321 Tyler McCumber 23 138 319
322 Nick Flanagan 8 135 321
323 Johannes Veerman 29 135 345
324 Michael Gligic 22 134 326
325 Sebastian Cappelen 24 133 330
326 Scott Hend 46 133 325
327 Nicolas Colsaerts 47 132 324
328 Bradley Dredge 29 132 322
329 Takumi Kanaya 10 131 323
330 Brandon Harkins 35 130 332
331 Kevin Chappell 19 128 329
332 Maximilian Kieffer 42 127 343
333 Soren Kjeldsen 42 127 328
334 Jack Senior 24 127 336
335 Darren Fichardt 35 127 334
336 Niklas Lemke 36 127 327
337 Chase Wright 33 126 335
338 John Catlin 40 126 368
339 Jung-gon Hwang 19 126 339
340 Jaco Ahlers 9 125 347
341 Laurie Canter 19 125 342
342 Tapio Pulkkanen 46 125 333
343 Julian Etulain 32 123 338
344 Cody Gribble 29 123 350
345 Alex Cejka 31 123 348
346 Clement Sordet 36 123 340
347 Oliver Fisher 43 122 344
348 Carl Yuan 9 121 351
349 Vijay Singh 14 121 346
350 Alexander Levy 40 120 337
351 Oliver Bekker 8 120 349
352 Anirban Lahiri 42 119 352
353 Gunn Charoenkul 13 119 355
354 Davis Riley 10 115 357
355 Gaganjeet Bhullar 34 115 356
356 John Huh 24 115 358
357 Wilco Nienaber 17 114 411
358 Rikuya Hoshino 23 113 364
359 Nicholas Lindheim 24 112 360
360 Adrien Saddier 37 112 353
361 Alejandro Canizares 37 112 359
362 Chan Kim 16 111 365
363 Steven Brown 46 110 382
364 Cormac Sharvin 16 109 354
365 Paul Dunne 37 109 366
366 Tom Lovelady 15 108 367
367 Sihwan Kim 37 108 361
368 James Morrison 45 108 370
369 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 38 107 362
370 Steve Marino 10 106 363
371 Dave Coupland 11 106 388
372 Louis de Jager 37 106 374
373 Benjamin Silverman 32 106 372
374 Ryan Brehm 21 105 376
375 Peter Hanson 13 104 331
376 Justin Walters 48 104 369
377 Lee Slattery 42 103 377
378 Brady Schnell 26 102 378
379 Hiroyuki Fujita 20 101 371
380 Yuta Ikeda 27 99 373
381 Rikard Karlberg 23 99 375
382 Espen Kofstad 20 99 389
383 Lasse Jensen 14 98 387
384 Jamie Lovemark 22 98 380
385 Chip McDaniel 13 98 383
386 Romain Wattel 36 98 379
387 Ben Crane 24 98 386
388 Robert Karlsson 30 97 390
389 Darren Beck 8 95 392
390 Kristoffer Reitan 29 95 381
391 Kyung-nam Kang 17 95 394
392 Panuphol Pittayarat 16 95 393
393 Scott Vincent 38 95 384
394 Bernd Ritthammer 31 93 401
395 Kyle Jones 33 92 395
396 Dimitrios Papadatos 25 92 399
397 Brendan Jones 17 92 398
398 Thomas Aiken 29 90 397
399 Stephen Gallacher 36 90 400
400 Seung-su Han 24 90 403
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Tour Championship

August 31, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy 11.9 8
2 Jon Rahm 13.6 4
3 Xander Schauffele 20.9 2
4 Webb Simpson 21.1 12
5 Dustin Johnson 22.0 1
6 Justin Thomas 24.7 2
7 Daniel Berger 31.0 15
8 Hideki Matsuyama 32.4 15
9 Bryson DeChambeau 33.8 22
10 Kevin Kisner 39.9 23
11 Scottie Scheffler 39.9 5
12 Collin Morikawa 40.0 6
13 Tyrrell Hatton 40.8 7
14 Patrick Reed 41.1 8
15 Tony Finau 42.6 17
16 Harris English 44.3 12
17 Ryan Palmer 48.6 24
18 Billy Horschel 48.7 30
19 Abraham Ancer 49.0 18
20 Viktor Hovland 51.9 20
21 Brendon Todd 55.2 20
22 Sungjae Im 55.4 11
23 Lanto Griffin 55.5 18
24 Kevin Na 57.0 27
25 Marc Leishman 58.0 29
26 Cameron Smith 60.7 24
27 Sebastian Munoz 60.8 8
28 Cameron Champ 61.2 24
29 Joaquin Niemann 62.4 27
30 Mac Hughes 82.2 14
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 196. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Estrella Damm N.A. Andalucia Masters

August 31, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,
Paul Waring
Paul Waring
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Paul Waring 60.3 52
2 Lee Westwood 62.1 10
3 Bernd Wiesberger 63.3 31
4 Robert MacIntyre 64.0 24
5 Haotong Li 64.4 WD
6 Martin Kaymer 64.8 2
7 Victor Perez 64.9 31
8 Joost Luiten 66.0 52
9 Thomas Detry 67.0 31
10 Andy Sullivan 68.0 78
11 Benjamin Hebert 68.5 88
12 Marcus Kinhult 68.8 104
13 Thorbjorn Olesen 69.4 48
14 Jordan Smith 69.5 WD
15 Jorge Campillo 69.6 17
16 Jason Scrivener 69.7 78
17 Rasmus Hojgaard 69.7 31
18 Justin Harding 70.8 3
19 Romain Langasque 71.3 17
20 Andrea Pavan 72.2 93
21 Ashun Wu 72.5 31
22 Victor Dubuisson 72.9 DNP
23 Matthew Jordan 73.1 52
24 Pablo Larrazabal 73.2 24
25 Alexander Bjork 73.6 57
26 Joakim Lagergren 73.6 24
27 Calum Hill 73.6 97
28 Kalle Samooja 73.7 88
29 Sebastian Soderberg 73.9 78
30 Nino Bertasio 74.1 104
31 Soren Kjeldsen 74.1 41
32 Wade Ormsby 74.4 31
33 Marcus Armitage 74.5 113
34 Connor Syme 74.5 8
35 Renato Paratore 74.5 78
36 Jamie Donaldson 74.6 10
37 Sami Valimaki 74.8 10
38 Jeff Winther 75.0 31
39 Sean Crocker 75.1 WD
40 Guido Migliozzi 75.2 6
41 Zander Lombard 75.3 DNP
42 Adrian Otaegui 75.3 17
43 Edoardo Molinari 75.3 76
44 Joachim B Hansen 75.4 17
45 Matthieu Pavon 75.4 97
46 Craig Howie 75.5 31
47 Matthew Southgate 75.8 24
48 Andres Romero 76.2 121
49 Brandon Stone 76.2 93
50 David Horsey 76.2 10
51 Lorenzo Gagli 76.2 10
52 Shubhankar Sharma 76.3 109
53 Francesco Laporta 76.4 68
54 Antoine Rozner 76.4 3
55 Peter Hanson 76.5 113
56 Masahiro Kawamura 76.6 8
57 Grant Forrest 76.7 66
58 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 76.8 52
59 Maximilian Kieffer 76.8 17
60 Alvaro Quiros 76.8 17
61 Nacho Elvira 76.8 68
62 Johannes Veerman 77.2 10
63 Alejandro Canizares 77.2 41
64 Wil Besseling 77.2 3
65 Cormac Sharvin 77.4 78
66 Dave Coupland 77.5 24
67 Niklas Lemke 77.7 124
68 Scott Vincent 77.7 97
69 John Catlin 77.7 1
70 Tapio Pulkkanen 77.7 97
71 Adrien Saddier 77.8 71
72 Justin Walters 77.8 97
73 Alexander Levy 77.9 41
74 Steven Brown 78.0 10
75 Rikard Karlberg 78.1 74
76 Thomas Bjorn 78.1 57
77 Adrian Meronk 78.2 119
78 Wilco Nienaber 78.2 6
79 Romain Wattel 78.3 48
80 Sihwan Kim 78.3 88
81 Kristoffer Reitan 78.5 WD
82 Darius van Driel 78.6 78
83 Jake McLeod 78.7 57
84 Robin Roussel 78.7 62
85 Richard Bland 78.7 62
86 Eduardo de la Riva 78.8 78
87 Julien Guerrier 79.0 41
88 Oscar Lengden 79.1 78
89 Zach Murray 79.2 109
90 Gregory Havret 79.2 41
91 Joel Stalter 79.3 88
92 Ben Stow 79.3 57
93 Ricardo Gouveia 79.6 78
94 Ben Evans 79.6 71
95 Ewen Ferguson 79.6 24
96 Jonathan Caldwell 79.7 62
97 Gavin Moynihan 79.8 109
98 Max Schmitt 79.8 71
99 Anton Karlsson 79.9 121
100 Bryce Easton 80.0 62
101 Maverick Antcliff 80.1 93
102 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 80.3 17
103 Joel Sjoholm 80.4 88
104 Lars van Meijel 80.7 121
105 Garrick Porteous 80.7 104
106 Jbe Kruger 80.8 77
107 Samuel Del Val 80.8 117
108 Raphael Jacquelin 80.8 74
109 Lorenzo Scalise 80.8 104
110 Pep Angles 80.8 48
111 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 80.9 66
112 Toby Tree 81.0 48
113 Damien Perrier 81.1 31
114 Pedro Figueiredo 81.2 78
115 David Howell 81.2 124
116 Marcel Schneider 81.3 31
117 Rhys Enoch 81.3 97
118 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 81.5 DNP
119 Matthew Baldwin 81.6 DNP
120 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 81.6 126
121 Ross McGowan 81.7 52
122 Carlos Pigem 81.7 41
123 Pedro Oriol 81.8 41
124 Ricardo Santos 81.8 68
125 Kristoffer Broberg 81.9 117
126 Borja Virto Astudillo 82.0 119
127 Jose Maria Olazabal 82.1 93
128 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 82.1 57
129 Tom Gandy 82.2 113
130 Alejandro Del Rey 82.2 113
131 Eduard Rousaud 82.2 109
132 Alvaro Mueller-Baumgart 82.2 97
133 Michael Campbell 82.2 127
134 Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 82.2 24
135 Emilio Cuartero Blanco 82.2 104
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 219. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 30, 2020)

August 31, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Rory McIlroy’s rating number is dropping but he retains his lead as the no. 1-rated player.
# Thru Aug. 30, 2020 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 42 1733 1
2 Jon Rahm 45 1673 2
3 Justin Thomas 43 1448 3
4 Webb Simpson 38 1434 4
5 Dustin Johnson 39 1414 5
6 Patrick Cantlay 38 1380 6
7 Xander Schauffele 44 1337 7
8 Adam Scott 33 1285 8
9 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1256 9
10 Bryson DeChambeau 47 1183 10
11 Tommy Fleetwood 47 1171 11
12 Tyrrell Hatton 41 1078 13
13 Tiger Woods 24 1075 12
14 Collin Morikawa 30 1070 14
15 Brooks Koepka 42 1041 16
16 Justin Rose 44 1041 15
17 Patrick Reed 58 1013 17
18 Daniel Berger 37 999 18
19 Tony Finau 54 995 23
20 Paul Casey 45 989 21
21 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 980 24
22 Billy Horschel 51 949 22
23 Matt Kuchar 46 949 19
24 Jason Day 40 942 20
25 Ryan Palmer 40 922 25
26 Gary Woodland 47 908 26
27 Jason Kokrak 45 902 33
28 Kevin Kisner 49 900 28
29 Louis Oosthuizen 45 897 29
30 Abraham Ancer 52 892 27
31 Rickie Fowler 40 883 30
32 Scottie Scheffler 30 871 34
33 Ian Poulter 47 870 32
34 Sungjae Im 62 849 31
35 Viktor Hovland 36 841 35
36 Francesco Molinari 29 829 36
37 Byeong Hun An 50 824 37
38 Henrik Stenson 36 787 39
39 Joel Dahmen 51 774 41
40 Sergio Garcia 46 772 40
41 Marc Leishman 43 760 38
42 Shane Lowry 47 757 42
43 Jordan Spieth 42 752 43
44 Brandt Snedeker 45 744 45
45 Rory Sabbatini 50 742 46
46 Kevin Na 43 719 44
47 Harris English 50 710 47
48 Lucas Glover 49 703 48
49 Chez Reavie 52 676 49
50 Matthew Wolff 30 675 54
51 Bubba Watson 45 668 52
52 Matt Wallace 54 662 50
53 Rafa Cabrera Bello 50 659 51
54 Erik Van Rooyen 52 642 55
55 Charles Howell 49 634 53
56 Lanto Griffin 31 633 69
57 Adam Hadwin 43 620 56
58 Alex Noren 47 615 57
59 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 34 611 61
60 Brian Harman 53 610 70
61 JT Poston 53 607 58
62 Paul Waring 33 604 59
63 Scott Piercy 43 604 62
64 Ryan Moore 38 601 64
65 Corey Conners 53 594 65
66 Danny Willett 47 593 60
67 Brendon Todd 39 591 77
68 Doc Redman 30 591 67
69 Joaquin Niemann 51 588 80
70 Kevin Streelman 49 588 63
71 Jim Furyk 34 583 68
72 Vaughn Taylor 46 581 71
73 Lee Westwood 37 571 66
74 Mackenzie Hughes 46 567 82
75 Cameron Smith 48 563 76
76 Will Gordon 12 560 74
77 Cameron Tringale 42 560 75
78 Harold Varner 51 545 78
79 Talor Gooch 43 541 72
80 Mark Hubbard 29 536 73
81 Sung Kang 50 536 79
82 Russell Henley 45 533 84
83 Andrew Putnam 43 531 81
84 Thomas Pieters 39 522 86
85 Si Woo Kim 54 520 85
86 Jhonattan Vegas 44 516 87
87 Dylan Frittelli 56 510 88
88 Max Homa 49 510 83
89 Bud Cauley 45 509 90
90 Tom Lewis 45 508 89
91 Robert MacIntyre 37 508 91
92 Sebastian Munoz 53 503 107
93 Charley Hoffman 46 499 92
94 Sam Burns 46 497 94
95 Brendan Steele 43 496 93
96 Bernd Wiesberger 38 494 95
97 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 48 481 99
98 Graeme McDowell 45 481 98
99 Martin Kaymer 43 480 100
100 Keegan Bradley 48 477 97
101 Cameron Champ 50 472 96
102 Wesley Bryan 9 465 109
103 Matthias Schwab 45 463 101
104 Phil Mickelson 39 460 106
105 Victor Perez 34 457 102
106 Haotong Li 46 457 104
107 Adam Long 54 456 105
108 Brian Stuard 54 456 110
109 Michael Thompson 44 456 103
110 Troy Merritt 48 451 112
111 Wyndham Clark 52 447 114
112 Emiliano Grillo 48 446 115
113 Maverick McNealy 30 445 108
114 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 40 444 116
115 Jonas Blixt 26 443 118
116 Keith Mitchell 47 436 117
117 Henrik Norlander 30 436 120
118 Nick Taylor 48 436 113
119 Luke List 45 436 119
120 Russell Knox 52 430 122
121 Eddie Pepperell 36 426 111
122 Danny Lee 50 424 123
123 Carlos Ortiz 52 424 128
124 JB Holmes 33 422 121
125 Matt Jones 51 421 124
126 Zach Johnson 37 419 125
127 Nick Watney 43 417 127
128 Denny McCarthy 53 415 126
129 Joost Luiten 41 407 129
130 Patrick Rodgers 45 398 130
131 Sepp Straka 52 398 134
132 Ryan Armour 49 397 132
133 Pat Perez 39 388 137
134 Thomas Detry 46 388 135
135 Andrew Johnston 29 386 138
136 Robby Shelton 30 383 131
137 Adam Schenk 57 380 139
138 Harry Higgs 28 380 133
139 Brice Garnett 47 376 140
140 KH Lee 57 374 141
141 Thorbjorn Olesen 27 373 136
142 Nate Lashley 43 372 142
143 Chesson Hadley 45 367 143
144 Peter Malnati 49 365 145
145 Kyle Stanley 48 363 147
146 Xinjun Zhang 32 361 150
147 Scott Stallings 47 360 149
148 Andy Sullivan 43 357 151
149 Marcus Kinhult 39 353 152
150 Richy Werenski 48 352 158
151 Jordan Smith 43 350 144
152 Scott Brown 49 350 153
153 Seamus Power 42 350 154
154 Gavin Green 45 349 146
155 Benjamin Hebert 42 343 155
156 Lucas Bjerregaard 46 341 148
157 Branden Grace 51 330 157
158 Cameron Davis 54 330 159
159 Kurt Kitayama 44 330 161
160 Martin Laird 39 329 160
161 Kevin Tway 46 326 162
162 Tom Hoge 59 326 156
163 Matthew NeSmith 27 323 163
164 Jim Knous 20 319 166
165 Brian Gay 51 319 165
166 Justin Harding 52 318 164
167 Jorge Campillo 46 315 169
168 Aaron Wise 40 313 167
169 Trey Mullinax 27 312 168
170 Matt Every 37 309 171
171 Andrea Pavan 49 308 172
172 CT Pan 48 306 174
173 Charl Schwartzel 33 299 176
174 Aaron Baddeley 37 298 175
175 Roger Sloan 49 298 177
176 Andrew Landry 47 297 173
177 Romain Langasque 38 296 170
178 Shawn Stefani 40 292 179
179 Sam Horsfield 44 289 180
180 Beau Hossler 51 288 178
181 Richard Sterne 33 286 182
182 Hudson Swafford 31 284 181
183 Scott Jamieson 38 284 186
184 Jason Scrivener 47 284 184
185 Hank Lebioda 48 283 187
186 Sam Ryder 48 283 185
187 Rasmus Hojgaard 12 276 206
188 Ross Fisher 41 276 183
189 Jason Dufner 44 271 191
190 Ryan Fox 47 270 189
191 George Coetzee 43 268 193
192 Patton Kizzire 47 268 192
193 David Lipsky 42 268 188
194 Roberto Castro 32 266 194
195 Tyler Duncan 57 264 195
196 Jimmy Walker 39 263 196
197 Chase Seiffert 23 261 197
198 Chris Stroud 44 255 198
199 Roberto Diaz 34 254 190
200 Fabian Gomez 45 250 204
201 Zac Blair 31 250 202
202 Mikko Korhonen 39 249 201
203 Adri Arnaus 42 248 205
204 Seung-yul Noh 9 247 209
205 Lucas Herbert 37 247 200
206 Stewart Cink 34 246 208
207 James Hahn 22 246 207
208 Joakim Lagergren 39 242 199
209 Victor Dubuisson 25 242 212
210 Kelly Kraft 32 242 211
211 Jonathan Byrd 33 242 210
212 Zack Sucher 26 241 214
213 Aaron Rai 44 241 216
214 Kalle Samooja 37 238 203
215 Peter Uihlein 47 238 217
216 Curtis Luck 31 237 218
217 Alexander Bjork 39 237 215
218 Matthew Jordan 23 234 220
219 Austin Cook 43 233 219
220 Jazz Janewattananond 35 231 222
221 Pablo Larrazabal 45 229 213
222 Richie Ramsay 43 229 221
223 Joseph Bramlett 25 227 224
224 Bronson Burgoon 41 226 226
225 Steve Stricker 18 226 227
226 Wes Roach 42 223 223
227 Robert Streb 51 222 228
228 Josh Teater 44 221 230
229 Luke Donald 30 220 229
230 Bo Hoag 27 220 231
231 Nino Bertasio 37 215 235
232 KJ Choi 17 215 238
233 Chris Paisley 44 215 225
234 Billy Hurley 18 211 240
235 Cameron Percy 24 211 241
236 Wade Ormsby 39 210 239
237 Zander Lombard 49 209 233
238 Rob Oppenheim 29 206 243
239 Renato Paratore 50 206 244
240 Jeff Winther 37 206 234
241 Guido Migliozzi 38 204 247
242 Sebastian Soderberg 38 204 249
243 Fabrizio Zanotti 29 203 242
244 Stephan Jaeger 35 203 232
245 Alex Prugh 33 202 236
246 JJ Spaun 46 201 246
247 Kristoffer Ventura 24 201 250
248 Joey Garber 28 201 237
249 Doug Ghim 27 201 248
250 Brandon Hagy 32 199 251
251 Kramer Hickok 49 196 253
252 Johnson Wagner 33 196 255
253 Adam Svensson 34 196 245
254 DJ Trahan 35 195 254
255 Calum Hill 17 191 280
256 Dean Burmester 47 190 256
257 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 190 261
258 David Hearn 42 190 259
259 Matthew Southgate 46 189 252
260 Sean O’Hair 13 189 258
261 Marcus Armitage 12 188 292
262 Scott Harrington 25 186 264
263 Ted Potter 42 185 263
264 Joachim B Hansen 42 185 265
265 George McNeill 20 184 270
266 Chris Baker 21 184 267
267 Chase Koepka 12 183 277
268 Edoardo Molinari 45 183 260
269 Sami Valimaki 12 182 271
270 Ernie Els 34 182 268
271 Tim Wilkinson 20 181 275
272 Ben Martin 19 180 257
273 Brandon Wu 12 180 262
274 Sang-hyun Park 27 179 279
275 Padraig Harrington 36 179 276
276 Ashun Wu 37 178 273
277 Matthieu Pavon 45 176 266
278 Julian Suri 29 176 269
279 Callum Shinkwin 36 174 272
280 Shaun Norris 35 173 285
281 Bill Haas 38 173 282
282 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 32 172 274
283 Shubhankar Sharma 47 172 278
284 Jamie Donaldson 27 171 287
285 Dominic Bozzelli 42 169 286
286 Francesco Laporta 12 168 290
287 Jack Singh Brar 38 168 289
288 Ryan Blaum 33 167 288
289 Hugo Leon 26 167 295
290 Shugo Imahira 31 166 294
291 Robert Rock 36 165 281
292 Adrian Otaegui 49 165 291
293 Andres Romero 25 165 296
294 Connor Syme 25 162 300
295 Grant Forrest 38 162 297
296 Sean Crocker 37 161 298
297 Masahiro Kawamura 46 161 293
298 Chris Kirk 30 161 284
299 Lorenzo Gagli 39 160 301
300 Scott Langley 35 159 283
301 Jim Herman 44 156 308
302 Min Woo Lee 28 156 313
303 Sam Saunders 31 155 305
304 David Horsey 38 154 299
305 Ollie Schniederjans 36 153 302
306 Nacho Elvira 43 152 304
307 Mark Anderson 22 152 306
308 Brandon Stone 43 151 307
309 Grayson Murray 31 150 312
310 Boo Weekley 16 149 309
311 Oliver Wilson 38 148 311
312 Brad Kennedy 20 146 314
313 Sebastian Heisele 14 145 317
314 Jeunghun Wang 41 144 316
315 Vincent Whaley 18 144 315
316 Ashley Chesters 48 143 310
317 Thongchai Jaidee 24 143 318
318 Antoine Rozner 17 142 303
319 Tyler McCumber 23 138 319
320 Alvaro Quiros 40 138 330
321 Nick Flanagan 8 136 328
322 Bradley Dredge 30 136 324
323 Takumi Kanaya 9 135 335
324 Nicolas Colsaerts 48 134 321
325 Scott Hend 46 134 320
326 Michael Gligic 22 134 338
327 Niklas Lemke 35 133 336
328 Soren Kjeldsen 42 133 322
329 Kevin Chappell 19 132 332
330 Sebastian Cappelen 25 132 339
331 Peter Hanson 13 131 337
332 Brandon Harkins 35 131 333
333 Tapio Pulkkanen 46 131 329
334 Darren Fichardt 36 130 334
335 Chase Wright 34 128 323
336 Jack Senior 24 128 341
337 Alexander Levy 40 127 331
338 Julian Etulain 33 127 325
339 Jung-gon Hwang 20 125 347
340 Clement Sordet 37 125 343
341 Wil Besseling 13 124 327
342 Laurie Canter 20 124 369
343 Maximilian Kieffer 42 124 344
344 Oliver Fisher 44 123 340
345 Johannes Veerman 29 123 349
346 Vijay Singh 14 123 346
347 Jaco Ahlers 9 122 353
348 Alex Cejka 31 122 351
349 Oliver Bekker 8 122 348
350 Cody Gribble 29 122 352
351 Carl Yuan 9 121 326
352 Anirban Lahiri 42 121 350
353 Adrien Saddier 37 119 345
354 Cormac Sharvin 15 118 358
355 Gunn Charoenkul 13 118 359
356 Gaganjeet Bhullar 35 117 356
357 Davis Riley 10 115 342
358 John Huh 24 115 362
359 Alejandro Canizares 37 114 355
360 Nicholas Lindheim 25 113 354
361 Sihwan Kim 37 113 357
362 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 38 112 365
363 Steve Marino 10 111 361
364 Rikuya Hoshino 22 111 366
365 Chan Kim 16 110 367
366 Paul Dunne 38 110 360
367 Tom Lovelady 16 109 368
368 John Catlin 40 109 372
369 Justin Walters 48 108 397
370 James Morrison 46 107 370
371 Hiroyuki Fujita 19 107 374
372 Benjamin Silverman 33 107 363
373 Yuta Ikeda 26 106 376
374 Louis de Jager 37 106 375
375 Rikard Karlberg 22 105 380
376 Ryan Brehm 21 105 379
377 Lee Slattery 42 103 371
378 Brady Schnell 27 103 383
379 Romain Wattel 36 101 373
380 Jamie Lovemark 22 101 382
381 Kristoffer Reitan 28 101 384
382 Steven Brown 46 100 381
383 Chip McDaniel 13 100 364
384 Scott Vincent 38 99 389
385 Adrian Meronk 13 99 386
386 Ben Crane 25 98 387
387 Lasse Jensen 15 98 391
388 Dave Coupland 10 98 401
389 Espen Kofstad 20 97 394
390 Robert Karlsson 30 97 392
391 Hideto Tanihara 36 96 385
392 Darren Beck 8 96 393
393 Panuphol Pittayarat 16 96 395
394 Kyung-nam Kang 17 94 398
395 Kyle Jones 34 93 388
396 Julien Guerrier 22 93 378
397 Thomas Aiken 29 93 396
398 Brendan Jones 17 93 400
399 Dimitrios Papadatos 25 92 402
400 Stephen Gallacher 36 92 390
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the BMW Championship

August 24, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Closing in on a $15 million payday to one player, they head to Chicago this week for the BMW Championship, where the top 70 will try to survive one more cut-down to the top 30 who will meet in the Tour Championship in Atlanta the next week. Looking for some kind of winning form among the contenders, about all you can say is that there have been few shocks since the Tour resumed in June. Five events have been won by players in the top seven in the Hawley Ratings when they shut down after the Mar. 3 Palmer. Four others have been won by players in the top 50, and the only real outsiders who have won are Michael Thompson, who was 134th on Mar. 3 and won the 3M, and Jim Herman, who was 562nd on Mar. 3 and won the Wyndham. Let’s take a look at the top 10 picks this week.

  • Jon Rahm. Rahm gets the nod as favorite based on steady play. He won the Memorial, finished in the top 20 at the PGA, and then last weekend after a so-so start climbed up the leaderboard every day to finish tied for sixth.
  • Rory McIlroy. What can you say other than that the lights went off for McIlroy when the Tour shut down? He was fabulous during the winter but has been close only once (11th at the Travelers) since then. “If you need anyone to shoot even to 2-under for a week, I’m your man,” he wryly joked after the Northern Trust. Espn.com reported that McIlroy admitted something was wrong with his mindset. “This is going to sound really bad, but I feel like the last few weeks, I’ve just been going through the motions,” he said. Maybe memories of the $15 million he won in the Tour Championship last year will provide some spark.
  • Webb Simpson. Won the Heritage. Missed two cuts this summer but had three other top-10s, including last week when he was in part of that tie with Rahm.
  • Dustin Johnson. Johnson increased his career victory total to 22 with wins in the Travelers and Northern Trust, and it never looked easier than it did last weekend when he was 30-under and won by 11 strokes. He missed two cuts in a row in July, then was top-20 in the FedEx, second in the PGA, and won the Northern. Asked about being the Tour Championship winner, Johnson said, “It means a lot to all the guys out here. It definitely means a lot to me, and it’s something that I really want to be.”
  • Justin Thomas. Won the WGC-FedEx but has been out of contention twice since then.
  • Xander Schauffele. Has a nice streak of six events in a row in the top 25, including top-10s in the FedEx and PGA. Schauffele and all the names above are assured of advancing to the Tour Championship based on accumulated points.
  • Adam Scott. Probably needs a top-10 to move on after only playing twice this summer; he made the top 25 in the PGA but was just above the cut line last week. Looking at it from another angle, he only played three times before the shut-down but won the Genesis.
  • Patrick Cantlay. Probably needs a top-10 to move on. Has been steady but not spectacular this year with two top-10s and three top-20s, all before mid-July.
  • Hideki Matsuyama. Likely to advance. Like Cantlay, played better in the winter. Snuck into the top 20 once in seven events this summer.
  • Jason Day. Probably needs a top-five to move on. Had a great streak of four straight top-10s from the Workday to the PGA and then missed the cut in the Northern Trust.

There are some others who are playing impressive golf in recent outings. Tops on that list would be Scottie Scheffler, showing a strong upward trend with a mid-pack finish in the Memorial, a top-20 in the FedEx, and now consecutive top-10s against strong fields in the PGA and Northern Trust. Also under the radar are Alex Noren, Kevin Kisner, Ryan Palmer, and Harris English. All four of the latter players made the top 10 in the Northern Trust.

Host course Olympia Fields Country Club is about 25 miles south of Chicago’s Loop. The last time PGA Tour pros visited was for the 2003 U.S. Open; Olympia Fields also was the site of five Western Opens, the last in 1971. The highest finisher in the 2003 Open who is back this week is Tiger Woods, who was 20th then. The only others returning from that event are Paul Casey, Charles Howell, and Scott. Granted, one event is a small data set, but the statistics most strongly associated with scoring in the ‘03 Open were scrambling and driving accuracy. (Those 2003 stats were not used in any analysis on this website but scrambling and accuracy might suggest names like Kisner and Simpson.)

BMW Championship

August 23, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,

Jon Rahm
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jon Rahm 6.6 1
2 Rory McIlroy 14.8 12
3 Webb Simpson 17.1 DNP
4 Dustin Johnson 18.6 2
5 Justin Thomas 20.2 25
6 Xander Schauffele 20.3 25
7 Adam Scott 28.7 25
8 Patrick Cantlay 30.1 12
9 Hideki Matsuyama 30.3 3
10 Jason Day 30.6 64
11 Daniel Berger 31.3 25
12 Tony Finau 33.1 5
13 Bryson DeChambeau 34.9 50
14 Ryan Palmer 36.6 40
15 Patrick Reed 37.5 40
16 Matt Kuchar 37.6 59
17 Billy Horschel 38.8 33
18 Scottie Scheffler 39.3 20
19 Kevin Kisner 39.6 25
20 Collin Morikawa 39.8 20
21 Tiger Woods 41.2 51
22 Louis Oosthuizen 41.6 25
23 Tyrrell Hatton 41.7 16
24 Paul Casey 42.2 16
25 Matthew Fitzpatrick 42.9 6
26 Jason Kokrak 44.6 6
27 Gary Woodland 46.7 33
28 Abraham Ancer 47.1 33
29 Harris English 47.5 40
30 Joel Dahmen 49.9 20
31 Byeong Hun An 49.9 12
32 Viktor Hovland 50.0 40
33 Kevin Na 50.5 51
34 Marc Leishman 50.6 69
35 Sungjae Im 50.7 56
36 Alex Noren 51.3 40
37 Bubba Watson 53.3 16
38 Matthew Wolff 54.7 16
39 Charles Howell 56.7 48
40 Talor Gooch 57.1 65
41 Mackenzie Hughes 57.4 10
42 Russell Henley 57.9 25
43 Brian Harman 58.0 12
44 Brendon Todd 58.8 8
45 Adam Hadwin 59.3 40
46 JT Poston 59.5 59
47 Brendan Steele 59.5 33
48 Mark Hubbard 60.1 51
49 Corey Conners 60.1 33
50 Lanto Griffin 60.4 10
51 Kevin Streelman 60.8 51
52 Dylan Frittelli 61.4 33
53 Cameron Champ 61.4 65
54 Cameron Smith 61.6 20
55 Max Homa 61.9 59
56 Adam Long 63.3 56
57 Robby Shelton 63.3 59
58 Joaquin Niemann 64.1 3
59 Michael Thompson 64.6 59
60 Maverick McNealy 65.1 40
61 Danny Lee 65.3 33
62 Sebastian Munoz 65.5 8
63 Nick Taylor 66.5 51
64 Harry Higgs 67.2 56
65 Richy Werenski 67.5 20
66 Carlos Ortiz 68.2 25
67 Tom Hoge 69.6 65
68 Tyler Duncan 70.4 48
69 Andrew Landry 70.9 68
70 Jim Herman 75.4 40
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 430. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

ISPS HANDA UK Championship

August 23, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,

Matt Wallace
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Matt Wallace 55.5 19
2 Paul Waring 57.0 19
3 Lee Westwood 58.2 17
4 Danny Willett 59.4 81
5 Thomas Pieters 60.4 DNP
6 Matthias Schwab 61.4 46
7 Bernd Wiesberger 62.2 5
8 Robert MacIntyre 62.2 DNP
9 Haotong Li 62.3 31
10 Victor Perez 62.5 67
11 Martin Kaymer 63.9 3
12 Eddie Pepperell 65.5 65
13 Gavin Green 65.8 81
14 Andrew Johnston 66.2 DNP
15 Thorbjorn Olesen 66.4 17
16 Marcus Kinhult 66.4 13
17 Andy Sullivan 66.5 9
18 Jordan Smith 67.0 81
19 Benjamin Hebert 68.0 3
20 Jorge Campillo 68.4 7
21 Lucas Bjerregaard 68.6 58
22 Romain Langasque 69.2 81
23 Ryan Fox 69.5 28
24 Ross Fisher 70.0 39
25 Rasmus Hojgaard 70.1 1
26 Kalle Samooja 70.6 81
27 Aaron Rai 71.2 DNP
28 Joakim Lagergren 71.4 67
29 Chris Paisley 71.6 67
30 Richie Ramsay 71.8 31
31 Jeff Winther 71.9 47
32 Matthew Jordan 72.0 19
33 Pablo Larrazabal 72.2 103
34 Matthieu Pavon 72.6 64
35 Callum Shinkwin 72.9 112
36 Dean Burmester 73.0 31
37 Zander Lombard 73.1 66
38 Wade Ormsby 73.1 25
39 Matthew Southgate 73.3 103
40 Sami Valimaki 73.3 DNP
41 Robert Rock 73.5 90
42 Calum Hill 73.5 9
43 Marcus Armitage 73.8 7
44 David Horsey 73.9 51
45 Joachim B Hansen 73.9 25
46 Edoardo Molinari 74.1 90
47 Shubhankar Sharma 74.5 112
48 Julian Suri 74.5 39
49 Antoine Rozner 74.6 67
50 Brandon Stone 74.7 DNP
51 Jack Singh Brar 74.7 DNP
52 Masahiro Kawamura 74.9 47
53 Hugo Leon 75.0 DNP
54 Wil Besseling 75.2 67
55 Ashley Chesters 75.4 90
56 Nicolas Colsaerts 75.4 47
57 Min Woo Lee 75.5 11
58 Laurie Canter 75.6 13
59 Scott Hend 75.7 128
60 Soren Kjeldsen 75.8 39
61 Alexander Levy 75.8 117
62 Tapio Pulkkanen 76.0 103
63 Jack Senior 76.0 28
64 Oliver Fisher 76.2 131
65 Wilco Nienaber 76.2 51
66 Adrien Saddier 76.3 103
67 James Morrison 76.3 39
68 Sihwan Kim 76.4 103
69 Steven Brown 76.5 90
70 Scott Vincent 76.5 31
71 Alejandro Canizares 76.5 67
72 Romain Wattel 76.6 81
73 John Catlin 76.6 25
74 Dave Coupland 76.7 28
75 Paul Dunne 76.7 115
76 Louis de Jager 76.8 DNP
77 Julien Guerrier 76.9 103
78 Stephen Gallacher 76.9 51
79 Lee Slattery 77.1 58
80 Zach Murray 77.1 103
81 Ben Stow 77.1 90
82 David Drysdale 77.2 132
83 Justin Walters 77.5 2
84 Oscar Lengden 77.5 90
85 Jake McLeod 77.5 31
86 Dale Whitnell 77.6 67
87 Gregory Havret 77.7 67
88 Jacques Kruyswijk 77.7 90
89 Haydn Porteous 77.7 81
90 Oliver Farr 77.8 90
91 Liam Johnston 77.9 63
92 Ewen Ferguson 78.1 67
93 Max Schmitt 78.2 126
94 Aaron Cockerill 78.2 19
95 Richard Bland 78.3 19
96 Darius van Driel 78.3 11
97 JC Ritchie 78.3 67
98 Jonathan Caldwell 78.4 39
99 Daan Huizing 78.4 81
100 Thomas Bjorn 78.5 31
101 Maverick Antcliff 78.5 90
102 David Law 78.6 124
103 Ben Evans 78.7 15
104 Joel Sjoholm 78.7 58
105 Nicolai Hojgaard 78.8 121
106 Graeme Storm 78.8 31
107 Mathieu Fenasse 78.9 117
108 Benjamin Poke 78.9 103
109 Garrick Porteous 79.0 103
110 Jbe Kruger 79.1 90
111 Richard McEvoy 79.1 121
112 Bryce Easton 79.1 19
113 Lorenzo Scalise 79.2 128
114 Toby Tree 79.2 117
115 Marc Warren 79.3 39
116 Damien Perrier 79.5 58
117 Martin Simonsen 79.5 31
118 Marcel Schneider 79.7 115
119 Rhys Enoch 79.9 55
120 David Howell 79.9 67
121 Matthew Baldwin 80.0 67
122 Raphael Jacquelin 80.1 62
123 Craig Howie 80.2 5
124 Ross McGowan 80.3 55
125 Hurly Long 80.4 121
126 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 80.6 67
127 Steven Tiley 80.6 39
128 Daniel Young 80.7 90
129 Brendan Lawlor 80.7 130
130 Curtis Knipes 80.7 112
131 Gareth Davies 80.7 124
132 Tom Gandy 80.7 51
Rai Aaron late entry 16
Garrick Higgo late entry 48
David Dixon late entry 55
Marcel Siem late entry 79
Philip Eriksson late entry 81
De Jager Louis late entry 93
Jordan Wrisdale late entry 101
Daniel Gavins late entry 118
Janne Kaske late entry 127
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 51. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 23, 2020)

August 23, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Rory McIlroy’s rating number is dropping but he retains in the lead as the no. 1-rated player.
# Thru Aug. 23, 2020 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 42 1754 1
2 Jon Rahm 45 1653 2
3 Justin Thomas 43 1482 3
4 Webb Simpson 39 1434 5
5 Dustin Johnson 39 1384 8
6 Patrick Cantlay 38 1377 4
7 Xander Schauffele 44 1363 7
8 Adam Scott 33 1317 6
9 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1228 11
10 Bryson DeChambeau 47 1224 9
11 Tommy Fleetwood 48 1175 12
12 Tiger Woods 24 1158 10
13 Tyrrell Hatton 41 1077 14
14 Collin Morikawa 29 1076 13
15 Justin Rose 45 1044 16
16 Brooks Koepka 43 1039 17
17 Patrick Reed 58 1034 15
18 Daniel Berger 36 1013 26
19 Matt Kuchar 45 989 23
20 Jason Day 40 986 18
21 Paul Casey 45 983 19
22 Billy Horschel 51 969 21
23 Tony Finau 54 969 20
24 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 950 22
25 Ryan Palmer 40 949 29
26 Gary Woodland 47 931 24
27 Abraham Ancer 52 908 25
28 Kevin Kisner 49 905 32
29 Louis Oosthuizen 45 903 31
30 Rickie Fowler 41 887 27
31 Sungjae Im 61 872 28
32 Ian Poulter 48 871 30
33 Jason Kokrak 45 871 33
34 Scottie Scheffler 29 867 39
35 Viktor Hovland 35 860 35
36 Francesco Molinari 30 835 36
37 Byeong Hun An 50 806 37
38 Marc Leishman 43 799 34
39 Henrik Stenson 37 785 42
40 Sergio Garcia 46 778 40
41 Joel Dahmen 50 769 38
42 Shane Lowry 47 756 41
43 Jordan Spieth 43 747 43
44 Kevin Na 43 744 45
45 Brandt Snedeker 46 743 44
46 Rory Sabbatini 50 736 46
47 Harris English 49 723 54
48 Lucas Glover 49 706 47
49 Chez Reavie 53 678 48
50 Matt Wallace 54 678 49
51 Rafa Cabrera Bello 51 661 52
52 Bubba Watson 45 656 55
53 Charles Howell 49 656 50
54 Matthew Wolff 29 651 51
55 Erik Van Rooyen 53 639 56
56 Adam Hadwin 43 637 53
57 Alex Noren 47 626 70
58 JT Poston 52 626 57
59 Paul Waring 33 623 60
60 Danny Willett 47 614 63
61 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 35 608 65
62 Scott Piercy 44 607 64
63 Kevin Streelman 48 602 59
64 Ryan Moore 38 601 58
65 Corey Conners 52 597 68
66 Lee Westwood 37 591 67
67 Doc Redman 30 590 61
68 Jim Furyk 34 589 66
69 Lanto Griffin 30 588 62
70 Brian Harman 53 581 79
71 Vaughn Taylor 46 580 69
72 Talor Gooch 42 564 80
73 Mark Hubbard 28 560 77
74 Will Gordon 12 559 73
75 Cameron Tringale 42 556 78
76 Cameron Smith 48 551 86
77 Brendon Todd 38 548 71
78 Harold Varner 51 547 72
79 Sung Kang 50 540 74
80 Joaquin Niemann 50 537 76
81 Andrew Putnam 44 532 83
82 Mackenzie Hughes 45 531 97
83 Max Homa 48 529 75
84 Russell Henley 44 526 109
85 Si Woo Kim 55 524 84
86 Thomas Pieters 40 523 81
87 Jhonattan Vegas 44 520 89
88 Dylan Frittelli 55 512 87
89 Tom Lewis 45 512 82
90 Bud Cauley 45 510 85
91 Robert MacIntyre 37 503 88
92 Charley Hoffman 46 499 114
93 Brendan Steele 43 496 92
94 Sam Burns 46 496 90
95 Bernd Wiesberger 37 492 96
96 Cameron Champ 49 490 91
97 Keegan Bradley 49 482 104
98 Graeme McDowell 45 481 93
99 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 49 480 105
100 Martin Kaymer 43 479 103
101 Matthias Schwab 45 479 106
102 Victor Perez 33 478 101
103 Michael Thompson 43 476 94
104 Haotong Li 46 475 98
105 Adam Long 53 469 102
106 Phil Mickelson 40 464 95
107 Sebastian Munoz 52 462 124
108 Maverick McNealy 29 456 99
109 Wesley Bryan 9 456 115
110 Brian Stuard 54 455 108
111 Eddie Pepperell 35 452 100
112 Troy Merritt 48 451 118
113 Nick Taylor 47 450 107
114 Wyndham Clark 52 448 120
115 Emiliano Grillo 49 447 112
116 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 41 445 116
117 Keith Mitchell 48 441 110
118 Jonas Blixt 27 441 119
119 Luke List 46 440 111
120 Henrik Norlander 30 437 113
121 JB Holmes 33 432 117
122 Russell Knox 52 431 122
123 Danny Lee 49 425 133
124 Matt Jones 51 421 121
125 Zach Johnson 38 420 123
126 Denny McCarthy 53 415 126
127 Nick Watney 43 415 129
128 Carlos Ortiz 51 414 125
129 Joost Luiten 41 409 130
130 Patrick Rodgers 45 402 127
131 Robby Shelton 29 400 160
132 Ryan Armour 50 398 128
133 Harry Higgs 27 397 164
134 Sepp Straka 52 396 131
135 Thomas Detry 47 389 136
136 Thorbjorn Olesen 26 388 135
137 Pat Perez 40 387 138
138 Andrew Johnston 30 383 132
139 Adam Schenk 57 381 140
140 Brice Garnett 48 377 134
141 KH Lee 57 374 149
142 Nate Lashley 43 372 137
143 Chesson Hadley 46 368 144
144 Jordan Smith 42 368 141
145 Peter Malnati 49 365 146
146 Gavin Green 45 364 148
147 Kyle Stanley 49 362 147
148 Lucas Bjerregaard 46 361 139
149 Scott Stallings 47 360 143
150 Xinjun Zhang 32 360 142
151 Andy Sullivan 43 358 150
152 Marcus Kinhult 39 355 151
153 Scott Brown 49 352 145
154 Seamus Power 42 348 154
155 Benjamin Hebert 42 338 158
156 Tom Hoge 58 336 152
157 Branden Grace 51 334 157
158 Richy Werenski 47 333 153
159 Cameron Davis 54 330 168
160 Martin Laird 39 329 162
161 Kurt Kitayama 44 329 156
162 Kevin Tway 46 326 163
163 Matthew NeSmith 27 325 155
164 Justin Harding 52 319 159
165 Brian Gay 52 318 161
166 Jim Knous 20 316 169
167 Aaron Wise 41 316 167
168 Trey Mullinax 27 312 170
169 Jorge Campillo 46 310 173
170 Romain Langasque 37 309 177
171 Matt Every 37 309 171
172 Andrea Pavan 50 309 165
173 Andrew Landry 47 307 166
174 CT Pan 49 305 172
175 Aaron Baddeley 37 300 174
176 Charl Schwartzel 34 300 176
177 Roger Sloan 49 297 181
178 Beau Hossler 52 291 179
179 Shawn Stefani 40 291 184
180 Sam Horsfield 45 289 178
181 Hudson Swafford 31 289 183
182 Richard Sterne 34 288 185
183 Ross Fisher 41 287 175
184 Jason Scrivener 48 285 188
185 Sam Ryder 48 284 180
186 Scott Jamieson 39 284 187
187 Hank Lebioda 48 282 189
188 David Lipsky 42 278 182
189 Ryan Fox 47 277 190
190 Roberto Diaz 33 270 186
191 Jason Dufner 44 270 192
192 Patton Kizzire 48 269 191
193 George Coetzee 44 267 194
194 Roberto Castro 32 266 193
195 Tyler Duncan 56 265 205
196 Jimmy Walker 39 263 197
197 Chase Seiffert 23 259 198
198 Chris Stroud 44 256 200
199 Joakim Lagergren 39 252 204
200 Lucas Herbert 37 251 202
201 Mikko Korhonen 40 250 195
202 Zac Blair 31 250 196
203 Kalle Samooja 36 250 206
204 Fabian Gomez 45 249 210
205 Adri Arnaus 42 249 199
206 Rasmus Hojgaard 11 248 209
207 James Hahn 22 248 203
208 Stewart Cink 34 246 211
209 Seung-yul Noh 9 245 212
210 Jonathan Byrd 33 243 215
211 Kelly Kraft 32 243 213
212 Victor Dubuisson 25 243 214
213 Pablo Larrazabal 45 242 217
214 Zack Sucher 26 241 218
215 Alexander Bjork 40 240 201
216 Aaron Rai 45 240 207
217 Peter Uihlein 48 237 208
218 Curtis Luck 31 237 216
219 Austin Cook 44 234 221
220 Matthew Jordan 22 233 238
221 Richie Ramsay 43 232 219
222 Jazz Janewattananond 35 230 223
223 Wes Roach 41 229 220
224 Joseph Bramlett 25 228 225
225 Chris Paisley 43 225 222
226 Bronson Burgoon 41 225 229
227 Steve Stricker 18 225 234
228 Robert Streb 51 223 232
229 Luke Donald 30 222 230
230 Josh Teater 44 219 236
231 Bo Hoag 27 218 224
232 Stephan Jaeger 34 215 231
233 Zander Lombard 49 215 233
234 Jeff Winther 37 214 228
235 Nino Bertasio 38 214 239
236 Alex Prugh 32 213 226
237 Joey Garber 27 212 227
238 KJ Choi 17 212 243
239 Wade Ormsby 39 212 241
240 Billy Hurley 18 211 240
241 Cameron Percy 24 210 246
242 Fabrizio Zanotti 30 207 245
243 Rob Oppenheim 29 207 249
244 Renato Paratore 51 206 247
245 Adam Svensson 33 205 235
246 JJ Spaun 47 205 248
247 Guido Migliozzi 38 202 242
248 Doug Ghim 28 202 252
249 Sebastian Soderberg 38 202 262
250 Kristoffer Ventura 24 202 244
251 Brandon Hagy 32 199 253
252 Matthew Southgate 46 197 250
253 Kramer Hickok 49 197 255
254 DJ Trahan 35 196 256
255 Johnson Wagner 33 196 258
256 Dean Burmester 47 195 257
257 Ben Martin 18 192 251
258 Sean O’Hair 13 190 263
259 David Hearn 42 189 265
260 Edoardo Molinari 45 189 264
261 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 189 268
262 Brandon Wu 11 188 237
263 Ted Potter 43 186 269
264 Scott Harrington 25 186 259
265 Joachim B Hansen 41 185 261
266 Matthieu Pavon 45 185 272
267 Chris Baker 21 185 275
268 Ernie Els 34 185 267
269 Julian Suri 28 184 254
270 George McNeill 20 184 276
271 Sami Valimaki 12 184 310
272 Callum Shinkwin 36 184 283
273 Ashun Wu 38 183 273
274 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 31 182 260
275 Tim Wilkinson 20 180 277
276 Padraig Harrington 36 180 279
277 Chase Koepka 13 180 282
278 Shubhankar Sharma 47 179 271
279 Sang-hyun Park 27 178 280
280 Calum Hill 16 176 302
281 Robert Rock 36 175 278
282 Bill Haas 38 175 281
283 Scott Langley 34 173 266
284 Chris Kirk 30 173 274
285 Shaun Norris 35 173 284
286 Dominic Bozzelli 42 170 286
287 Jamie Donaldson 28 170 291
288 Ryan Blaum 33 169 287
289 Jack Singh Brar 38 168 292
290 Francesco Laporta 12 167 270
291 Adrian Otaegui 50 167 285
292 Marcus Armitage 11 167 289
293 Masahiro Kawamura 45 166 288
294 Shugo Imahira 31 166 293
295 Hugo Leon 26 166 295
296 Andres Romero 26 164 298
297 Grant Forrest 38 162 290
298 Sean Crocker 37 161 296
299 David Horsey 38 161 300
300 Connor Syme 26 160 323
301 Lorenzo Gagli 40 159 294
302 Ollie Schniederjans 35 158 297
303 Antoine Rozner 16 155 304
304 Nacho Elvira 44 155 299
305 Sam Saunders 31 155 306
306 Mark Anderson 22 152 309
307 Brandon Stone 43 151 308
308 Jim Herman 43 151 307
309 Boo Weekley 16 149 314
310 Ashley Chesters 48 149 303
311 Oliver Wilson 38 148 305
312 Grayson Murray 31 148 315
313 Min Woo Lee 27 147 301
314 Brad Kennedy 20 146 318
315 Vincent Whaley 18 144 320
316 Jeunghun Wang 42 144 324
317 Sebastian Heisele 15 144 346
318 Thongchai Jaidee 25 143 325
319 Tyler McCumber 23 141 328
320 Scott Hend 46 140 329
321 Nicolas Colsaerts 48 140 317
322 Soren Kjeldsen 42 140 327
323 Chase Wright 33 139 311
324 Bradley Dredge 31 139 330
325 Julian Etulain 32 138 312
326 Carl Yuan 8 138
327 Wil Besseling 12 137 313
328 Nick Flanagan 8 137 334
329 Tapio Pulkkanen 46 137 322
330 Alvaro Quiros 40 137 336
331 Alexander Levy 40 137 332
332 Kevin Chappell 19 137 326
333 Brandon Harkins 34 136 321
334 Darren Fichardt 37 135 333
335 Takumi Kanaya 9 134 341
336 Niklas Lemke 35 134 331
337 Peter Hanson 13 134 339
338 Michael Gligic 22 133 340
339 Sebastian Cappelen 25 132 338
340 Oliver Fisher 44 129 337
341 Jack Senior 23 128 335
342 Davis Riley 9 127 319
343 Clement Sordet 38 126 352
344 Maximilian Kieffer 43 126 343
345 Adrien Saddier 37 126 342
346 Vijay Singh 14 125 347
347 Jung-gon Hwang 20 125 351
348 Oliver Bekker 8 124 349
349 Johannes Veerman 29 123 354
350 Anirban Lahiri 42 122 355
351 Alex Cejka 31 122 358
352 Cody Gribble 29 120 359
353 Jaco Ahlers 9 120 361
354 Nicholas Lindheim 24 120 345
355 Alejandro Canizares 37 120 348
356 Gaganjeet Bhullar 35 120 357
357 Sihwan Kim 36 118 353
358 Cormac Sharvin 15 117 344
359 Gunn Charoenkul 13 117 362
360 Paul Dunne 38 117 350
361 Steve Marino 10 116 316
362 John Huh 24 115 363
363 Benjamin Silverman 32 114 356
364 Chip McDaniel 12 113 360
365 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 39 111 367
366 Rikuya Hoshino 22 110 368
367 Chan Kim 16 110 370
368 Tom Lovelady 16 110 366
369 Laurie Canter 20 109 435
370 James Morrison 46 108 394
371 Lee Slattery 42 107 365
372 John Catlin 39 107 364
373 Romain Wattel 36 107 373
374 Hiroyuki Fujita 19 106 375
375 Louis de Jager 37 106 387
376 Yuta Ikeda 26 106 377
377 Jamie Arnold 8 105
378 Julien Guerrier 22 105 371
379 Ryan Brehm 21 105 379
380 Rikard Karlberg 22 105 381
381 Steven Brown 46 104 380
382 Jamie Lovemark 22 104 376
383 Brady Schnell 27 103 383
384 Kristoffer Reitan 28 100 374
385 Hideto Tanihara 37 99 385
386 Adrian Meronk 13 99 369
387 Ben Crane 25 99 386
388 Kyle Jones 33 99 378
389 Scott Vincent 37 98 384
390 Stephen Gallacher 36 98 372
391 Lasse Jensen 16 98 390
392 Robert Karlsson 31 97 393
393 Darren Beck 8 97 389
394 Espen Kofstad 20 96 396
395 Panuphol Pittayarat 16 96 392
396 Thomas Aiken 30 96 388
397 Justin Walters 48 93 391
398 Kyung-nam Kang 17 93 401
399 Wilco Nienaber 15 93 382
400 Brendan Jones 17 93 399
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the Northern Trust

August 17, 2020 Thomas Hawley

The U.S. Open is a month out, the Masters is three months out, and yet here we are at the Northern Trust, the first stop in the three-event FedEx Cup finals sequence. The top 125 in FedEx Cup points based on the 33-event regular season are eligible to tee it up in Boston this weekend.

Let’s go with Justin Thomas. He’s $2 million richer based on his substantial victory in the points race and he’s playing solid golf. As winner of three 2019-’20 PGA Tour titles, he led the Wyndham Rewards Top 10, thus the $2 million bonus. Smaller payoffs went to the next nine, down to $500,000 for 10th place. “Wyndham Rewards, it’s something that I tracked a lot more than I thought I would,” said Webb Simpson, who was third both in the regular season windup, the Wyndham Championship, and in the points race. “And I think other guys do as well. It’s a massive bonus they’re giving us for (being in the) top 10.”

Thomas had nine top-10 finishes in 15 starts. He won at the CJ Cup last fall, the Sentry Tournament of Champions in January, and the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational last month. The consistency is something he prided himself on. “I think that something I’ve gotten better at is managing my bad rounds and managing my emotions,” Thomas told pgatour.com recently.

Thomas ranks as a slight favorite to Rory McIlroy, who has been a summer disappointment but still ranks as no. 1 in the Hawley Ratings and third in the Official World Golf Ratings. In six events since the season re-started, McIlroy hasn’t done anything as dramatic as missing a cut, but he’s only been close once, 11th in the Travelers. TPC Boston is this year’s course for the Northern Trust, and it’s a course where McIlroy played well when the Dell Technologies Championship was here most of the century thru 2018. He won here in 2016 and 2012, with a top-10 tucked between those two.

Two weeks ago, in the week leading to the PGA, McIlroy told Joel Beall at golfdigest.com that nothing is wrong with his game. “I feel like I’ve played pretty well. I just haven’t got a lot out of my game,” McIlroy said. “Haven’t scored as well as I was doing before the lockdown. Wasn’t really efficient, or haven’t been efficient as I was back then. Short game hasn’t quite been as sharp.”

According to the Hawley course fit statistics, the stats most highly correlated with success on the course in its Dell days are driving distance and shots gained around the green. Driving accuracy correlates to a slightly lesser extent. Both Thomas and McIlroy are in the top quarter of the field in a statistical match-up of their games with those stats. A couple of longshots, Brian Stuard and Ryan Armour, lead in that analysis, with bigger names Simpson, Tyrrell Hatton, and Jon Rahm right behind them.

Jason Day comes into the event at the top of his game. His last four appearances have been top-10s at the PGA, FedEx, Memorial, and Workday. He has two top-10s on TPC Boston in the 2010s.

Another player who is looking strong is Daniel Berger, who has been touted at this website a couple of other times recently. His last three finishes have been a top-20 at the PGA and top-10s in the preceding two appearances. Also coming in hot are Collin Morikawa, winner of the PGA, and four players who have been weekend contenders recently – Harris English, Tony Finau, Brendan Todd, and Matthew Wolff.

Longshots who you might think about include Cameron Davis, in the top 20 last week and with three straight made cuts; Henrik Norlander, with six straight made cuts including a top-10 at the Memorial; Richy Werenski, whose first missed cut in seven events after the re-start was in the PGA; and Xinjun Zhang, who has missed six of the last eight cuts but the other two were 12th and 10th in the 3M and Memorial.

Notables who haven’t been playing up to their press clippings include McIlroy, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Rose, and Patrick Cantlay.

Pgatour.com was reporting Monday that all 125 eligibles are committed to play. Other past winners at this course who are in the field include Bryson DeChambeau, Rickie Fowler, Charley Hoffman, Phil Mickelson, Adam Scott, Simpson, and Tiger Woods.

The field will be down to the top 70 for next week’s BMW Championship in Chicago, then 30 for the Tour Championship in Atlanta.

The Northern Trust

August 17, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,

Justin Thomas
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Justin Thomas 19.0 49
2 Rory McIlroy 19.8 65
3 Jon Rahm 24.5 6
4 Xander Schauffele 24.8 25
5 Bryson DeChambeau 25.1 83
6 Adam Scott 28.9 58
7 Webb Simpson 29.3 6
8 Patrick Cantlay 30.5 83
9 Dustin Johnson 31.6 1
10 Collin Morikawa 34.8 94
11 Daniel Berger 35.7 3
12 Tiger Woods 36.0 58
13 Tyrrell Hatton 36.3 25
14 Hideki Matsuyama 36.9 29
15 Patrick Reed 37.4 49
16 Matthew Fitzpatrick 39.9 94
17 Jason Day 40.0 109
18 Tony Finau 40.5 76
19 Tommy Fleetwood 41.2 44
20 Abraham Ancer 43.9 94
21 Billy Horschel 44.0 94
22 Scottie Scheffler 46.8 4
23 Harris English 46.9 2
24 Ryan Palmer 47.1 8
25 Bubba Watson 47.3 18
26 Paul Casey 48.1 49
27 Kevin Kisner 48.7 4
28 Gary Woodland 49.7 83
29 Joel Dahmen 49.8 71
30 Brooks Koepka 50.1 DNP
31 Ian Poulter 50.3 39
32 Justin Rose 50.7 25
33 Kevin Na 51.5 39
34 Sungjae Im 51.6 83
35 Viktor Hovland 51.8 18
36 Matt Kuchar 52.3 18
37 Byeong Hun An 52.4 120
38 Louis Oosthuizen 52.6 13
39 Rickie Fowler 53.0 49
40 Brendon Todd 53.8 64
41 Marc Leishman 53.9 117
42 Matthew Wolff 54.8 44
43 Alex Noren 56.0 8
44 Jason Kokrak 56.0 13
45 Ryan Moore 56.1 WD
46 Shane Lowry 56.3 76
47 Jordan Spieth 57.5 71
48 Lanto Griffin 57.6 58
49 Adam Hadwin 57.7 83
50 Harold Varner 58.0 71
51 JT Poston 59.0 39
52 Chez Reavie 59.0 49
53 Brandt Snedeker 59.2 109
54 Cameron Champ 59.3 71
55 Charles Howell 59.4 44
56 Doc Redman 59.4 114
57 Brendan Steele 59.5 44
58 Dylan Frittelli 59.5 105
59 Sam Burns 59.5 94
60 Corey Conners 60.0 25
61 Si Woo Kim 60.3 39
62 Rory Sabbatini 60.6 94
63 Tom Lewis 60.7 105
64 Cameron Tringale 60.7 29
65 Henrik Norlander 60.8 83
66 Bud Cauley 61.0 94
67 Patrick Rodgers 61.1 70
68 Max Homa 61.7 71
69 Lucas Glover 61.9 109
70 Kevin Streelman 62.1 61
71 Talor Gooch 62.1 18
72 Mark Hubbard 62.1 29
73 Vaughn Taylor 62.5 DNP
74 Adam Long 63.0 49
75 Brian Harman 63.0 11
76 Richy Werenski 63.5 68
77 Phil Mickelson 63.6 83
78 Cameron Davis 63.9 29
79 Maverick McNealy 63.9 61
80 Russell Henley 63.9 8
81 Keegan Bradley 64.1 29
82 Mackenzie Hughes 64.2 13
83 Nick Taylor 64.2 76
84 Luke List 64.5 94
85 Cameron Smith 64.5 18
86 Zach Johnson 64.6 49
87 Matt Jones 64.8 69
88 Pat Perez 65.0 DNP
89 Carlos Ortiz 65.0 83
90 Joaquin Niemann 65.2 83
91 Charley Hoffman 65.2 13
92 Sung Kang 65.2 109
93 Denny McCarthy 65.3 49
94 Scott Piercy 65.5 29
95 Xinjun Zhang 65.5 94
96 Emiliano Grillo 66.1 44
97 Keith Mitchell 66.2 61
98 Adam Schenk 66.3 39
99 Michael Thompson 66.5 114
100 Tom Hoge 66.5 76
101 Brice Garnett 66.5 83
102 Graeme McDowell 66.6 119
103 Sebastian Munoz 67.0 18
104 Scott Stallings 67.0 83
105 Matthew NeSmith 67.2 76
106 Brian Stuard 67.4 76
107 Troy Merritt 67.4 29
108 Sepp Straka 67.6 94
109 Ryan Armour 67.9 121
110 Danny Lee 68.1 18
111 Wyndham Clark 68.2 29
112 Sam Ryder 68.5 94
113 Robby Shelton 68.8 13
114 Scott Brown 68.8 76
115 KH Lee 69.1 29
116 Andrew Landry 69.1 67
117 Nate Lashley 69.2 105
118 Harry Higgs 69.2 11
119 Beau Hossler 69.8 49
120 Bo Hoag 70.2 105
121 Tyler Duncan 70.4 29
122 Brian Gay 70.7 114
123 Zac Blair 70.9 118
124 Jim Herman 72.4 109
125 Scott Harrington 73.1 65
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 55. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

ISPS HANDA Wales Open

August 17, 2020 Thomas Hawley ,

Thomas Pieters
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Thomas Pieters 58.5 15
2 Robert MacIntyre 61.3 59
3 Haotong Li 62.9 8
4 Eddie Pepperell 63.6 107
5 Thomas Detry 65.3 DNP
6 Gavin Green 65.6 8
7 Andrew Johnston 65.7 37
8 Thorbjorn Olesen 66.3 DNP
9 Jordan Smith 66.6 27
10 Marcus Kinhult 67.0 15
11 Sam Horsfield 67.9 44
12 Lucas Bjerregaard 67.9 101
13 Kurt Kitayama 68.2 59
14 Justin Harding 68.3 44
15 Ryan Fox 69.3 15
16 Mikko Korhonen 69.3 WD
17 Jason Scrivener 69.4 8
18 Jorge Campillo 69.4 8
19 Ross Fisher 69.6 78
20 Andrea Pavan 69.7 WD
21 Romain Langasque 69.8 1
22 Alexander Bjork 69.9 91
23 Aaron Rai 71.0 44
24 Jeff Winther 71.3 78
25 Adri Arnaus 71.5 101
26 Richie Ramsay 71.6 44
27 Chris Paisley 71.9 27
28 Renato Paratore 72.4 27
29 Matthew Southgate 72.8 73
30 Matthew Jordan 72.9 3
31 Zander Lombard 72.9 53
32 Robert Rock 73.1 37
33 Guido Migliozzi 73.4 97
34 Dean Burmester 73.4 21
35 Sebastian Soderberg 73.5 5
36 Adrian Otaegui 73.5 37
37 Joachim B Hansen 73.6 78
38 Sean Crocker 73.7 37
39 Julian Suri 74.0 91
40 Shubhankar Sharma 74.1 101
41 Callum Shinkwin 74.1 8
42 Marcus Armitage 74.1 27
43 Francesco Laporta 74.2 118
44 Edoardo Molinari 74.2 27
45 Lorenzo Gagli 74.3 78
46 Ashley Chesters 74.6 68
47 Connor Syme 74.7 8
48 Masahiro Kawamura 74.8 37
49 Calum Hill 74.8 8
50 Grant Forrest 74.9 78
51 Nacho Elvira 74.9 44
52 Brandon Stone 75.1 27
53 Min Woo Lee 75.1 107
54 Jack Senior 75.2 63
55 Nicolas Colsaerts 75.2 53
56 Wil Besseling 75.2 53
57 Maximilian Kieffer 75.3 44
58 Sami Valimaki 75.4 2
59 Oliver Fisher 75.4 76
60 Oliver Wilson 75.5 WD
61 Sebastian Heisele 75.7 15
62 Cormac Sharvin 75.7 63
63 Niklas Lemke 75.7 72
64 Stephen Gallacher 75.8 119
65 Tapio Pulkkanen 75.8 97
66 Zach Murray 75.8 119
67 Wilco Nienaber 75.8 113
68 Kristoffer Reitan 75.9 WD
69 Adrian Meronk 75.9 68
70 Adrien Saddier 76.1 44
71 John Catlin 76.2 97
72 Clement Sordet 76.2 21
73 Sihwan Kim 76.2 63
74 Scott Vincent 76.3 68
75 Alejandro Canizares 76.4 78
76 Paul Dunne 76.5 73
77 Steven Brown 76.5 DNP
78 Lee Slattery 76.9 68
79 Oscar Lengden 76.9 53
80 Louis de Jager 77.1 15
81 David Drysdale 77.1 DNP
82 Laurie Canter 77.2 5
83 Justin Walters 77.2 78
84 James Morrison 77.3 5
85 Jacques Kruyswijk 77.4 78
86 Oliver Farr 77.5 91
87 Jake McLeod 77.5 44
88 Gregory Bourdy 77.6 119
89 Haydn Porteous 77.6 WD
90 Bernd Ritthammer 77.6 21
91 Dale Whitnell 77.7 27
92 Jonathan Caldwell 77.7 76
93 Ewen Ferguson 77.7 101
94 JC Ritchie 78.0 113
95 Gavin Moynihan 78.0 78
96 Aaron Cockerill 78.1 53
97 Darius van Driel 78.2 44
98 Anton Karlsson 78.3 73
99 Thomas Bjorn 78.3 107
100 Liam Johnston 78.4 15
101 Joel Sjoholm 78.5 78
102 Ben Evans 78.5 107
103 Graeme Storm 78.5 125
104 Benjamin Poke 78.6 78
105 Nicolai Hojgaard 78.7 107
106 David Law 78.8 37
107 Bryce Easton 78.9 101
108 Jbe Kruger 78.9 119
109 Richard McEvoy 79.0 63
110 Martin Simonsen 79.2 91
111 Marc Warren 79.3 DNP
112 Lars van Meijel 79.4 37
113 Shiv Kapur 79.4 113
114 Damien Perrier 79.5 53
115 Daan Huizing 79.5 21
116 Matthew Baldwin 79.8 59
117 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 79.8 78
118 Rhys Enoch 79.8 78
119 Lorenzo Scalise 79.8 27
120 David Howell 79.9 DNP
121 Ross McGowan 80.2 91
122 Carlos Pigem 80.2 107
123 Paul Lawrie 80.6 DNP
124 Steven Tiley 80.6 63
125 Mathieu Fenasse 80.7 21
126 Hurly Long 80.7 101
127 Phillip Price 80.7 97
128 Mark Pilkington 80.7 WD
129 Michael Campbell 80.7 119
130 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 80.7 27
131 Emilio Cuartero Blanco 80.7 113
132 Ugo Coussaud 80.7 113
133 Daniel Young 80.7 59
134 Tom Gandy 80.7 124
David Dixon late entry 3
Craig Howie late entry 23
Marcel Siem late entry 33
Philip Eriksson late entry 92
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 24. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 16, 2020)

August 17, 2020 Thomas Hawley

Rory McIlroy’s rating number is dropping but he retains a solid lead as the no. 1-rated player.
# Thru Aug. 16, 2020 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Rory McIlroy 42 1837 1
2 Jon Rahm 45 1627 2
3 Justin Thomas 43 1538 3
4 Patrick Cantlay 38 1442 4
5 Webb Simpson 39 1392 7
6 Adam Scott 33 1390 5
7 Xander Schauffele 44 1382 6
8 Dustin Johnson 39 1325 8
9 Bryson DeChambeau 47 1277 9
10 Tiger Woods 24 1254 12
11 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1252 11
12 Tommy Fleetwood 48 1216 10
13 Collin Morikawa 28 1136 13
14 Tyrrell Hatton 41 1087 15
15 Patrick Reed 58 1060 17
16 Justin Rose 45 1057 14
17 Brooks Koepka 44 1035 16
18 Jason Day 40 1031 19
19 Paul Casey 45 1020 18
20 Tony Finau 54 1009 20
21 Billy Horschel 51 1002 24
22 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48 981 21
23 Matt Kuchar 45 978 22
24 Gary Woodland 47 974 23
25 Abraham Ancer 52 945 26
26 Daniel Berger 36 943 25
27 Rickie Fowler 40 920 27
28 Sungjae Im 61 898 30
29 Ryan Palmer 40 897 28
30 Ian Poulter 48 890 29
31 Louis Oosthuizen 45 873 31
32 Kevin Kisner 49 852 38
33 Jason Kokrak 45 843 35
34 Marc Leishman 43 839 32
35 Viktor Hovland 34 838 36
36 Francesco Molinari 30 837 33
37 Byeong Hun An 50 835 34
38 Joel Dahmen 50 798 40
39 Scottie Scheffler 28 783 42
40 Sergio Garcia 46 782 37
41 Shane Lowry 46 781 43
42 Henrik Stenson 38 781 45
43 Jordan Spieth 43 774 39
44 Brandt Snedeker 46 772 41
45 Kevin Na 43 757 47
46 Rory Sabbatini 49 757 44
47 Lucas Glover 49 732 46
48 Chez Reavie 53 694 48
49 Matt Wallace 55 677 50
50 Charles Howell 49 674 49
51 Matthew Wolff 28 668 53
52 Rafa Cabrera Bello 52 668 51
53 Adam Hadwin 43 667 52
54 Harris English 48 650 57
55 Bubba Watson 45 640 56
56 Erik Van Rooyen 54 635 59
57 JT Poston 51 634 55
58 Ryan Moore 38 627 54
59 Kevin Streelman 48 620 62
60 Paul Waring 33 618 63
61 Doc Redman 29 618 76
62 Lanto Griffin 30 613 64
63 Danny Willett 48 611 60
64 Scott Piercy 44 605 58
65 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 35 604 65
66 Jim Furyk 34 594 61
67 Lee Westwood 38 593 67
68 Corey Conners 52 583 66
69 Vaughn Taylor 46 577 70
70 Alex Noren 47 574 71
71 Brendon Todd 37 571 68
72 Harold Varner 50 566 84
73 Will Gordon 12 562 73
74 Sung Kang 49 562 69
75 Max Homa 48 551 75
76 Joaquin Niemann 49 551 72
77 Mark Hubbard 28 549 87
78 Cameron Tringale 42 543 80
79 Brian Harman 53 538 82
80 Talor Gooch 42 538 81
81 Thomas Pieters 40 537 78
82 Tom Lewis 45 533 74
83 Andrew Putnam 45 533 83
84 Si Woo Kim 55 531 95
85 Bud Cauley 44 530 90
86 Cameron Smith 48 529 79
87 Dylan Frittelli 55 526 88
88 Robert MacIntyre 36 523 85
89 Jhonattan Vegas 45 521 77
90 Sam Burns 46 514 100
91 Cameron Champ 49 511 89
92 Brendan Steele 43 504 92
93 Graeme McDowell 44 499 86
94 Michael Thompson 43 498 93
95 Phil Mickelson 40 490 94
96 Bernd Wiesberger 37 489 98
97 Mackenzie Hughes 44 488 97
98 Haotong Li 45 486 96
99 Maverick McNealy 29 481 91
100 Eddie Pepperell 35 480 102
101 Victor Perez 33 478 108
102 Adam Long 53 478 109
103 Martin Kaymer 44 477 110
104 Keegan Bradley 49 477 103
105 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50 477 105
106 Matthias Schwab 46 476 99
107 Nick Taylor 46 469 112
108 Brian Stuard 54 468 106
109 Russell Henley 44 466 128
110 Keith Mitchell 48 461 101
111 Luke List 46 458 107
112 Emiliano Grillo 49 458 114
113 Henrik Norlander 30 456 104
114 Charley Hoffman 46 456 111
115 Wesley Bryan 9 449 124
116 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 41 446 113
117 JB Holmes 34 440 118
118 Troy Merritt 48 440 115
119 Jonas Blixt 28 439 123
120 Wyndham Clark 52 438 116
121 Matt Jones 51 436 122
122 Russell Knox 53 432 117
123 Zach Johnson 38 430 144
124 Sebastian Munoz 52 430 119
125 Carlos Ortiz 51 428 120
126 Denny McCarthy 53 422 141
127 Patrick Rodgers 44 421 121
128 Ryan Armour 50 414 132
129 Nick Watney 44 413 126
130 Joost Luiten 41 412 125
131 Sepp Straka 52 409 129
132 Andrew Johnston 29 400 138
133 Danny Lee 49 395 131
134 Brice Garnett 48 394 130
135 Thorbjorn Olesen 27 392 127
136 Thomas Detry 48 390 140
137 Nate Lashley 43 387 134
138 Pat Perez 41 386 133
139 Lucas Bjerregaard 46 381 135
140 Adam Schenk 57 381 139
141 Jordan Smith 42 381 137
142 Xinjun Zhang 32 375 136
143 Scott Stallings 47 374 143
144 Chesson Hadley 47 370 142
145 Scott Brown 48 365 148
146 Peter Malnati 50 365 154
147 Kyle Stanley 50 364 145
148 Gavin Green 45 364 149
149 KH Lee 57 362 147
150 Andy Sullivan 43 359 146
151 Marcus Kinhult 39 358 150
152 Tom Hoge 58 346 158
153 Richy Werenski 46 346 155
154 Seamus Power 42 345 165
155 Matthew NeSmith 26 344 152
156 Kurt Kitayama 43 342 151
157 Branden Grace 52 338 153
158 Benjamin Hebert 42 337 163
159 Justin Harding 51 330 159
160 Robby Shelton 29 329 156
161 Brian Gay 52 329 160
162 Martin Laird 39 328 166
163 Kevin Tway 47 326 162
164 Harry Higgs 26 323 157
165 Andrea Pavan 49 321 164
166 Andrew Landry 47 318 167
167 Aaron Wise 42 318 161
168 Cameron Davis 54 317 183
169 Jim Knous 21 314 175
170 Trey Mullinax 27 313 173
171 Matt Every 38 309 169
172 CT Pan 50 308 168
173 Jorge Campillo 45 307 170
174 Aaron Baddeley 38 303 171
175 Ross Fisher 40 302 174
176 Charl Schwartzel 34 302 172
177 Romain Langasque 36 300 181
178 Sam Horsfield 45 300 185
179 Beau Hossler 52 298 177
180 Sam Ryder 47 297 176
181 Roger Sloan 50 296 188
182 David Lipsky 42 294 178
183 Hudson Swafford 31 291 182
184 Shawn Stefani 41 289 187
185 Richard Sterne 35 289 186
186 Roberto Diaz 33 288 179
187 Scott Jamieson 39 284 180
188 Jason Scrivener 48 284 189
189 Hank Lebioda 49 280 190
190 Ryan Fox 46 279 184
191 Patton Kizzire 49 271 191
192 Jason Dufner 45 268 204
193 Roberto Castro 32 267 195
194 George Coetzee 44 266 198
195 Mikko Korhonen 39 264 199
196 Zac Blair 31 263 193
197 Jimmy Walker 40 262 201
198 Chase Seiffert 24 260 192
199 Adri Arnaus 41 260 194
200 Chris Stroud 44 256 196
201 Alexander Bjork 39 256 197
202 Lucas Herbert 38 255 202
203 James Hahn 23 251 209
204 Joakim Lagergren 40 250 212
205 Tyler Duncan 55 249 241
206 Kalle Samooja 36 249 210
207 Aaron Rai 44 248 208
208 Peter Uihlein 48 247 203
209 Rasmus Hojgaard 12 247 215
210 Fabian Gomez 46 247 207
211 Stewart Cink 35 246 205
212 Seung-yul Noh 9 245 219
213 Kelly Kraft 33 244 217
214 Victor Dubuisson 25 244 214
215 Jonathan Byrd 34 244 216
216 Curtis Luck 31 243 200
217 Pablo Larrazabal 45 243 206
218 Zack Sucher 26 240 222
219 Richie Ramsay 43 238 211
220 Wes Roach 41 237 226
221 Austin Cook 45 236 213
222 Chris Paisley 43 230 220
223 Jazz Janewattananond 36 229 233
224 Bo Hoag 27 229 232
225 Joseph Bramlett 26 228 218
226 Alex Prugh 32 225 223
227 Joey Garber 27 225 221
228 Jeff Winther 37 225 235
229 Bronson Burgoon 42 224 225
230 Luke Donald 30 223 224
231 Stephan Jaeger 34 223 231
232 Robert Streb 52 222 229
233 Zander Lombard 49 222 230
234 Steve Stricker 18 221 240
235 Adam Svensson 33 218 228
236 Josh Teater 45 217 236
237 Brandon Wu 10 215 227
238 Matthew Jordan 21 213 234
239 Nino Bertasio 38 212 238
240 Billy Hurley 18 211 248
241 Wade Ormsby 39 211 251
242 Guido Migliozzi 37 210 243
243 KJ Choi 17 210 253
244 Kristoffer Ventura 23 210 260
245 Fabrizio Zanotti 31 209 247
246 Cameron Percy 25 209 237
247 Renato Paratore 50 209 244
248 JJ Spaun 48 207 242
249 Rob Oppenheim 30 205 310
250 Matthew Southgate 46 205 254
251 Ben Martin 17 203 239
252 Doug Ghim 29 203 245
253 Brandon Hagy 32 199 249
254 Julian Suri 28 199 246
255 Kramer Hickok 50 198 259
256 DJ Trahan 35 197 252
257 Dean Burmester 47 197 256
258 Johnson Wagner 34 196 266
259 Scott Harrington 24 195 255
260 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 31 193 258
261 Joachim B Hansen 41 192 271
262 Sebastian Soderberg 37 191 280
263 Sean O’Hair 13 190 262
264 Edoardo Molinari 45 190 264
265 David Hearn 43 189 265
266 Scott Langley 34 188 257
267 Ernie Els 34 188 272
268 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 188 274
269 Ted Potter 44 187 263
270 Francesco Laporta 11 187 250
271 Shubhankar Sharma 46 187 269
272 Matthieu Pavon 45 186 276
273 Ashun Wu 39 185 273
274 Chris Kirk 30 185 270
275 Chris Baker 21 185 335
276 George McNeill 20 184 278
277 Tim Wilkinson 20 182 261
278 Robert Rock 36 182 279
279 Padraig Harrington 36 182 277
280 Sang-hyun Park 27 177 283
281 Bill Haas 38 176 275
282 Chase Koepka 14 176 289
283 Callum Shinkwin 36 174 297
284 Shaun Norris 35 174 284
285 Adrian Otaegui 50 174 288
286 Dominic Bozzelli 43 172 287
287 Ryan Blaum 33 172 285
288 Masahiro Kawamura 44 170 282
289 Marcus Armitage 11 170 268
290 Grant Forrest 37 170 281
291 Jamie Donaldson 29 168 291
292 Jack Singh Brar 38 168 292
293 Shugo Imahira 31 166 295
294 Lorenzo Gagli 39 166 305
295 Hugo Leon 26 165 299
296 Sean Crocker 36 164 300
297 Ollie Schniederjans 35 163 286
298 Andres Romero 27 163 301
299 Nacho Elvira 43 162 294
300 David Horsey 39 160 316
301 Min Woo Lee 26 157 293
302 Calum Hill 15 157 298
303 Ashley Chesters 48 156 306
304 Antoine Rozner 16 155 290
305 Oliver Wilson 37 155 302
306 Sam Saunders 31 155 313
307 Jim Herman 43 154 458
308 Brandon Stone 42 153 304
309 Mark Anderson 23 152 296
310 Sami Valimaki 11 151 355
311 Chase Wright 33 150 303
312 Julian Etulain 32 150 307
313 Wil Besseling 11 150 348
314 Boo Weekley 16 149 315
315 Grayson Murray 31 148 308
316 Steve Marino 9 147 267
317 Nicolas Colsaerts 48 147 312
318 Brad Kennedy 20 146 319
319 Davis Riley 8 146
320 Vincent Whaley 18 146 339
321 Brandon Harkins 33 145 309
322 Tapio Pulkkanen 46 144 322
323 Connor Syme 26 143 356
324 Jeunghun Wang 43 143 328
325 Thongchai Jaidee 25 143 324
326 Kevin Chappell 20 143 318
327 Soren Kjeldsen 43 143 314
328 Tyler McCumber 23 143 311
329 Scott Hend 47 141 321
330 Bradley Dredge 32 141 323
331 Niklas Lemke 34 141 317
332 Alexander Levy 40 140 325
333 Darren Fichardt 37 139 327
334 Nick Flanagan 8 138 332
335 Jack Senior 22 138 333
336 Alvaro Quiros 40 136 326
337 Oliver Fisher 44 135 329
338 Sebastian Cappelen 26 134 320
339 Peter Hanson 14 134 334
340 Michael Gligic 22 134 330
341 Takumi Kanaya 9 133 340
342 Adrien Saddier 37 131 341
343 Maximilian Kieffer 42 131 350
344 Cormac Sharvin 14 128 346
345 Nicholas Lindheim 24 128 336
346 Sebastian Heisele 15 128 374
347 Vijay Singh 14 128 344
348 Alejandro Canizares 37 126 337
349 Oliver Bekker 8 125 349
350 Paul Dunne 37 125 351
351 Jung-gon Hwang 20 125 353
352 Clement Sordet 38 124 338
353 Sihwan Kim 35 124 347
354 Johannes Veerman 29 123 342
355 Anirban Lahiri 43 123 345
356 Benjamin Silverman 32 123 343
357 Gaganjeet Bhullar 36 121 352
358 Alex Cejka 31 121 354
359 Cody Gribble 29 119 358
360 Chip McDaniel 11 119 331
361 Jaco Ahlers 9 118 359
362 Gunn Charoenkul 13 117 360
363 John Huh 24 115 362
364 John Catlin 38 112 391
365 Lee Slattery 42 112 357
366 Tom Lovelady 17 111 365
367 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 39 111 369
368 Rikuya Hoshino 22 110 370
369 Adrian Meronk 12 110 450
370 Chan Kim 16 110 371
371 Julien Guerrier 23 107 368
372 Stephen Gallacher 36 106 361
373 Romain Wattel 37 106 376
374 Kristoffer Reitan 27 106 363
375 Hiroyuki Fujita 19 106 378
376 Jamie Lovemark 23 106 367
377 Yuta Ikeda 26 106 377
378 Kyle Jones 33 105 364
379 Ryan Brehm 21 105 442
380 Steven Brown 47 105 379
381 Rikard Karlberg 22 105 380
382 Wilco Nienaber 14 104 401
383 Brady Schnell 28 103 366
384 Scott Vincent 37 103 387
385 Hideto Tanihara 38 101 382
386 Ben Crane 26 101 384
387 Louis de Jager 36 99 381
388 Thomas Aiken 31 98 386
389 Darren Beck 8 98 390
390 Lasse Jensen 17 97 394
391 Justin Walters 48 97 389
392 Panuphol Pittayarat 16 97 396
393 Robert Karlsson 32 96 397
394 James Morrison 46 96 402
395 Zach Murray 19 95 375
396 Espen Kofstad 20 95 399
397 Justin Lower 8 95 400
398 Haydn Porteous 48 94 388
399 Brendan Jones 17 94 398
400 Martin Piller 19 94 372
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Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.