A Look at Golf – Page 65 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

A Look at the Wyndham Championship

August 10, 2020 Thomas Hawley Narrative

There are not many, if any, more consistent and high-performing players in a given event than Webb Simpson in the Wyndham Championship. Try this: In the last three years, he has been second twice and third once. In the last 10 years, he’s won once, been in the top 10 seven times, and was 11th once.

Maybe it’s that down-home feeling. Simpson was born in Raleigh NC, barely 80 miles southeast of the Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, site of the Wyndham, and attended Wake Forest University, about 30 miles on the other side of Greensboro. Although he won the June RBC Heritage, the second event after the season re-opened, and has been in the Hawley Ratings top 10 continuously for about 13 months now, Simpson’s rating actually is down a bit since the re-opening. Besides the Heritage win, he has another top 10 (Rocket), a top 20, was not a factor in the PGA, and missed two cuts.

The Wyndham features Simpson and Tommy Fleetwood from the ratings top 10. Fleetwood has not been much of a factor in three appearances since returning to the U.S. in July. The field includes four more from the top 20 – Justin Rose, Brooks Koepka, Patrick Reed, and Paul Casey. They’ve had some moments but none has been steadily good since the re-start.

As hard as it is to believe, this event is the final “regular season” event before the three-event FedEx Cup playoffs. The top 125 players in FedEx Cup points as of Sunday night will be eligible to move on to the Northern Trust a week later. So it is not surprising to find players ranked close to that cutoff point well-represented in the field. For instance, of the 40 players ranked between 106 and 145 in FedEx Cup points, all but Keegan Bradley (above the line) and Sergio Garcia (below the line) are in the Wyndham field.

From a perspective of upward trend in recent appearances, players to note among those 40 include Tom Lewis and Si Woo Kim. Lewis missed the cut in the PGA but was runner-up in the WGC FedEx and in the top 20 at the Rocket. Kim was playing terribly (seven missed cuts in eight starts prior to the Travelers) but has posted three top-20s and six made cuts out of seven tries since then.

Sedgefield, a Donald Ross design dating to 1926, has been the site of the event for the last 12 years. The top100golfcourses.com website quotes Daniel Wexler in his book The American Private Golf Club Guide as saying, “Routed over a rolling, wooded landscape, it is a strong, well-balanced test. Sedgefield serves as positive proof that a Golden Age design needn’t be mangled beyond recognition to remain tournament relevant in the new millennium.”

The Hawley course fit statistics support the statement about Sedgefield being balanced. Driving distance and putting are the stats most closely associated with success on the course in recent events. Shots gained around the green also correlates well with success. Reed is the player whose stats profile best matches that set of numbers, and Simpson is second. Matt Wallace is the only other player in the field within a half-stroke of Reed. Two players who have been playing well recently and reflect ability in the most important stats are Harris English and Alex Noren. English has a couple of top-20 finishes in his last three appearances. Noren was third in the 3M.

Wyndham Championship

August 10, 2020 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Webb Simpson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Webb Simpson	15.9	3
2	Tommy Fleetwood	40.3	59
3	Patrick Reed	40.8	9
4	Billy Horschel	41.4	2
5	Abraham Ancer	43.9	DNP
6	Harris English	45.2	23
7	Brooks Koepka	47.2	125
8	Paul Casey	48.6	31
9	Justin Rose	49.6	107
10	Kevin Kisner	50.5	3
11	Brendon Todd	51.7	79
12	Brandt Snedeker	51.7	42
13	Sungjae Im	53.0	9
14	Ryan Moore	55.1	79
15	Rory Sabbatini	55.5	116
16	Chez Reavie	55.8	79
17	Alex Noren	56.0	DNP
18	Jordan Spieth	56.5	72
19	Shane Lowry	56.6	23
20	Tom Lewis	56.9	51
21	JT Poston	57.0	107
22	Corey Conners	57.3	92
23	Lanto Griffin	57.5	DNP
24	Henrik Norlander	58.3	59
25	Jason Kokrak	58.4	15
26	Lucas Glover	59.0	79
27	Charles Howell	59.9	125
28	Danny Willett	60.0	133
29	Maverick McNealy	60.3	133
30	Matt Wallace	60.6	92
31	Cameron Tringale	61.1	DNP
32	Harold Varner	61.4	7
33	Patrick Rodgers	61.5	66
34	Talor Gooch	61.7	25
35	Bud Cauley	61.9	15
36	Rafa Cabrera Bello	62.0	37
37	Si Woo Kim	62.2	3
38	Brice Garnett	62.4	116
39	Sam Burns	62.4	13
40	Jim Furyk	62.6	92
41	Doc Redman	62.7	3
42	Vaughn Taylor	63.1	DNP
43	Brian Harman	63.3	27
44	Mark Hubbard	63.6	15
45	JB Holmes	63.6	DNP
46	Adam Long	63.7	31
47	Matthias Schwab	63.8	42
48	Ryan Armour	63.9	25
49	Joaquin Niemann	63.9	42
50	Mackenzie Hughes	64.0	DNP
51	Scott Piercy	64.2	69
52	Wesley Bryan	64.3	31
53	Graeme McDowell	64.4	133
54	Sung Kang	64.5	143
55	Charley Hoffman	64.5	92
56	Russell Henley	64.6	9
57	Pat Perez	64.6	WD
58	Carlos Ortiz	64.7	116
59	Luke List	65.0	66
60	Xinjun Zhang	65.1	79
61	Adam Schenk	65.2	51
62	Sepp Straka	65.3	107
63	Jhonattan Vegas	65.3	125
64	Matt Jones	65.4	37
65	Sebastian Munoz	65.6	74
66	Zach Johnson	65.7	7
67	Keith Mitchell	65.8	116
68	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	66.3	92
69	Nick Watney	66.7	92
70	Troy Merritt	66.8	59
71	Brian Stuard	66.9	51
72	Cameron Davis	67.0	15
73	Kyle Stanley	67.0	79
74	Danny Lee	67.0	79
75	Scott Stallings	67.1	42
76	Denny McCarthy	67.1	9
77	Tom Hoge	67.2	27
78	Seamus Power	67.4	27
79	Russell Knox	67.4	72
80	Will Gordon	67.4	27
81	KH Lee	67.6	129
82	Matthew NeSmith	67.7	42
83	Chesson Hadley	67.8	51
84	Wyndham Clark	67.9	107
85	Sam Ryder	68.1	107
86	Robby Shelton	68.3	92
87	Charl Schwartzel	68.4	92
88	Nate Lashley	68.4	77
89	Harry Higgs	68.6	92
90	Scott Brown	69.1	42
91	Beau Hossler	69.1	79
92	Andrew Landry	69.1	42
93	Patton Kizzire	69.2	51
94	Brandon Hagy	69.6	92
95	Branden Grace	69.6	92
96	Brian Gay	69.7	107
97	Stewart Cink	69.7	133
98	Fabian Gomez	69.8	116
99	Jason Dufner	69.9	31
100	Chase Seiffert	69.9	143
101	CT Pan	69.9	69
102	Peter Malnati	70.2	20
103	Aaron Baddeley	70.3	129
104	Zac Blair	70.5	79
105	Peter Uihlein	70.6	74
106	Aaron Wise	70.7	92
107	Kevin Tway	70.7	116
108	Bo Hoag	70.8	42
109	Kristoffer Ventura	70.8	37
110	Hudson Swafford	70.9	DNP
111	Luke Donald	71.1	133
112	Roger Sloan	71.1	31
113	Bronson Burgoon	71.2	79
114	Joseph Bramlett	71.3	92
115	Jimmy Walker	71.3	DNP
116	Chris Stroud	71.3	WD
117	Tim Wilkinson	71.3	142
118	Chris Kirk	71.4	51
119	Hank Lebioda	71.5	42
120	Robert Streb	71.5	151
121	Austin Cook	71.6	74
122	Matt Every	71.7	59
123	Cameron Percy	71.7	WD
124	Ben Martin	71.9	59
125	Tyler Duncan	72.0	13
126	Bill Haas	72.0	92
127	Scott Harrington	72.1	147
128	Zack Sucher	72.1	DNP
129	Wes Roach	72.1	DNP
130	JJ Spaun	72.2	92
131	Doug Ghim	72.3	79
132	Josh Teater	72.4	59
133	Ted Potter	72.9	107
134	David Hearn	72.9	107
135	DJ Trahan	73.0	129
136	Kramer Hickok	73.1	51
137	Mark Anderson	73.2	125
138	Chris Baker	73.2	20
139	Grayson Murray	73.2	116
140	Rob Oppenheim	73.6	15
141	Michael Gligic	73.7	59
142	Sebastian Cappelen	73.9	116
143	Tyler McCumber	74.3	143
144	Anirban Lahiri	74.5	107
145	Rhein Gibson	74.8	146
146	Vincent Whaley	74.9	37
147	Jim Herman	75.1	1
148	Arjun Atwal	75.3	79
149	Ryan Brehm	75.4	31
150	Michael Gellerman	75.7	133
151	Ben Taylor	75.8	147
152	Martin Trainer	76.6	153
153	Nelson Ledesma	76.9	79
154	Michael Kim	77.3	149
155	John Senden	77.3	133
156	Bo Van Pelt	77.3	133
157	Davis Love	77.5	51
158	Greg Chalmers	80.7	129
159	Carl Pettersson	81.3	149
160	Vince Covello	81.7	WD
161	Akshay Bhatia	82.2	116
162	David Berganio	82.2	151
	Dylan Frittelli	late entry	21
	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	late entry	38
	Sergio Garcia	late entry	66
	Brinson Paolini	late entry	71
	Jake Shuman	late entry	133
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 129. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Celtic Classic

August 10, 2020 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Thomas Pieters

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Thomas Pieters	58.7	3
2	Gavin Green	64.1	11
3	Thorbjorn Olesen	64.8	66
4	Joost Luiten	65.0	76
5	Andy Sullivan	65.1	47
6	Thomas Detry	66.2	2
7	Jordan Smith	66.2	22
8	Andrew Johnston	66.8	3
9	Kurt Kitayama	67.0	89
10	Lucas Bjerregaard	67.3	104
11	Scott Jamieson	67.9	104
12	Ryan Fox	68.0	57
13	Justin Harding	68.0	47
14	Jorge Campillo	69.0	111
15	Andrea Pavan	69.2	130
16	Sam Horsfield	69.3	1
17	Ross Fisher	69.4	27
18	Alexander Bjork	69.9	27
19	Jason Scrivener	70.0	14
20	Rasmus Hojgaard	70.2	DNP
21	Chris Paisley	70.3	82
22	Kalle Samooja	70.7	DNP
23	Pablo Larrazabal	70.8	70
24	Aaron Rai	71.1	31
25	Victor Dubuisson	71.1	DNP
26	Richie Ramsay	71.3	76
27	Adri Arnaus	71.3	47
28	Matthew Jordan	71.9	47
29	Renato Paratore	72.1	82
30	Zander Lombard	72.3	104
31	Nino Bertasio	72.3	75
32	Marcus Armitage	72.4	111
33	Matthew Southgate	73.0	27
34	Dean Burmester	73.2	47
35	Guido Migliozzi	73.2	57
36	Julian Suri	73.5	66
37	Francesco Laporta	73.5	57
38	Shubhankar Sharma	73.8	63
39	Jamie Donaldson	73.8	31
40	Grant Forrest	73.9	69
41	Edoardo Molinari	74.0	47
42	Sebastian Soderberg	74.0	10
43	Antoine Rozner	74.1	82
44	Sean Crocker	74.2	22
45	Adrian Otaegui	74.3	14
46	Lorenzo Gagli	74.3	14
47	Callum Shinkwin	74.4	11
48	Masahiro Kawamura	74.5	111
49	Brandon Stone	74.6	89
50	Ashley Chesters	74.6	39
51	Niklas Lemke	74.7	100
52	Calum Hill	74.7	39
53	Min Woo Lee	74.7	72
54	Nacho Elvira	74.9	39
55	Nicolas Colsaerts	75.0	63
56	Oliver Fisher	75.0	89
57	Clement Sordet	75.0	82
58	Hugo Leon	75.0	DNP
59	Jack Senior	75.1	22
60	Soren Kjeldsen	75.2	62
61	David Horsey	75.2	6
62	Oliver Wilson	75.3	104
63	Johannes Veerman	75.4	122
64	Zach Murray	75.4	131
65	Stephen Gallacher	75.5	116
66	Alexander Levy	75.7	DNP
67	Scott Hend	75.7	39
68	Kristoffer Reitan	75.7	89
69	Alejandro Canizares	75.9	111
70	Alvaro Quiros	75.9	111
71	Sihwan Kim	76.0	47
72	Cormac Sharvin	76.0	31
73	Connor Syme	76.0	3
74	Dave Coupland	76.1	76
75	Maximilian Kieffer	76.1	14
76	Wil Besseling	76.2	11
77	Paul Dunne	76.4	DNP
78	Oscar Lengden	76.5	47
79	Steven Brown	76.6	31
80	Romain Wattel	76.6	DNP
81	Sami Valimaki	76.6	6
82	Rikard Karlberg	76.7	31
83	Lee Slattery	76.7	76
84	Ben Stow	76.7	73
85	Scott Vincent	76.8	22
86	Laurie Canter	76.9	116
87	Sebastian Heisele	76.9	14
88	Robin Roussel	76.9	82
89	Louis de Jager	77.0	63
90	David Drysdale	77.1	DNP
91	James Morrison	77.1	27
92	John Catlin	77.2	6
93	Justin Walters	77.2	39
94	Oliver Farr	77.3	39
95	Eduardo de la Riva	77.4	82
96	Haydn Porteous	77.4	116
97	Bernd Ritthammer	77.5	66
98	JC Ritchie	77.6	104
99	Jonathan Caldwell	77.6	47
100	Adrian Meronk	77.8	6
101	Gavin Moynihan	77.9	100
102	Darius van Driel	77.9	124
103	Benjamin Poke	77.9	104
104	Richard Bland	78.0	116
105	Sebi Garcia	78.0	DNP
106	Jake McLeod	78.0	14
107	Anton Karlsson	78.0	89
108	Jacques Kruyswijk	78.1	14
109	Dale Whitnell	78.2	31
110	Liam Johnston	78.2	104
111	Joel Sjoholm	78.4	57
112	Ben Evans	78.4	116
113	Nicolai Hojgaard	78.5	100
114	Bryce Easton	78.7	89
115	Jbe Kruger	78.7	89
116	Maverick Antcliff	78.8	31
117	Garrick Porteous	78.8	89
118	Lars van Meijel	79.2	126
119	Marc Warren	79.2	39
120	Aaron Cockerill	79.4	14
121	Toby Tree	79.5	39
122	Lorenzo Scalise	79.6	89
123	David Howell	79.9	126
124	Ross McGowan	80.1	70
125	Carlos Pigem	80.1	74
126	Jens Fahrbring	80.2	76
127	Rhys Enoch	80.3	31
128	Steven Tiley	80.6	124
129	Paul McGinley	80.7	122
130	Stephen Dodd	80.7	100
131	Andrew Palmer	80.7	129
132	Michael Campbell	80.7	76
133	Emilio Cuartero Blanco	80.7	89
	Wilco Nienaber	late entry	23
	Martin Simonsen	late entry	55
	Damien Perrier	late entry	60
	Mathieu Fenasse	late entry	83
	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	late entry	99
	Matthew Baldwin	late entry	116
	Marcel Schneider	late entry	127
	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	late entry	132
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 89. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 9, 2020)

August 10, 2020 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Rory McIlroy’s rating number is dropping but he retains a solid lead as the no. 1-rated player.

#	Thru Aug. 9, 2020	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Rory McIlroy	42	1839	1
2	Jon Rahm	46	1626	2
3	Justin Thomas	44	1542	3
4	Patrick Cantlay	39	1441	4
5	Adam Scott	34	1393	6
6	Xander Schauffele	45	1378	7
7	Webb Simpson	39	1371	5
8	Dustin Johnson	40	1331	11
9	Bryson DeChambeau	48	1284	12
10	Tommy Fleetwood	48	1270	9
11	Hideki Matsuyama	50	1256	10
12	Tiger Woods	25	1254	8
13	Collin Morikawa	28	1134	16
14	Justin Rose	45	1101	15
15	Tyrrell Hatton	42	1090	13
16	Brooks Koepka	44	1080	14
17	Patrick Reed	58	1047	17
18	Paul Casey	45	1042	26
19	Jason Day	41	1035	23
20	Tony Finau	55	1017	24
21	Matthew Fitzpatrick	48	981	20
22	Matt Kuchar	46	978	19
23	Gary Woodland	48	977	18
24	Billy Horschel	51	973	21
25	Daniel Berger	37	947	29
26	Abraham Ancer	53	946	22
27	Rickie Fowler	40	923	25
28	Ryan Palmer	41	904	27
29	Ian Poulter	49	889	31
30	Sungjae Im	61	883	28
31	Louis Oosthuizen	46	872	32
32	Marc Leishman	44	845	30
33	Francesco Molinari	31	835	36
34	Byeong Hun An	51	834	38
35	Jason Kokrak	45	834	33
36	Viktor Hovland	34	832	35
37	Sergio Garcia	45	817	34
38	Kevin Kisner	49	815	43
39	Jordan Spieth	43	802	37
40	Joel Dahmen	51	797	46
41	Brandt Snedeker	45	793	39
42	Scottie Scheffler	28	784	52
43	Shane Lowry	45	780	41
44	Rory Sabbatini	49	776	42
45	Henrik Stenson	38	776	40
46	Lucas Glover	49	760	44
47	Kevin Na	44	757	45
48	Chez Reavie	53	721	47
49	Charles Howell	49	703	50
50	Matt Wallace	55	700	48
51	Rafa Cabrera Bello	52	682	49
52	Adam Hadwin	44	672	51
53	Matthew Wolff	28	666	74
54	Ryan Moore	38	655	57
55	JT Poston	51	654	54
56	Bubba Watson	46	646	53
57	Harris English	48	646	62
58	Scott Piercy	44	633	56
59	Erik Van Rooyen	54	632	59
60	Danny Willett	48	632	58
61	Jim Furyk	33	628	55
62	Kevin Streelman	49	615	60
63	Paul Waring	34	611	66
64	Lanto Griffin	31	611	71
65	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	35	601	64
66	Corey Conners	52	600	63
67	Lee Westwood	39	596	61
68	Brendon Todd	36	595	77
69	Sung Kang	49	585	65
70	Vaughn Taylor	47	576	70
71	Alex Noren	48	573	79
72	Joaquin Niemann	48	559	69
73	Will Gordon	11	558	72
74	Tom Lewis	45	554	67
75	Max Homa	49	553	68
76	Doc Redman	28	553	85
77	Jhonattan Vegas	45	548	80
78	Thomas Pieters	40	543	82
79	Cameron Smith	49	540	75
80	Cameron Tringale	43	538	76
81	Talor Gooch	42	535	73
82	Brian Harman	53	535	81
83	Andrew Putnam	46	532	78
84	Harold Varner	50	532	89
85	Robert MacIntyre	36	519	83
86	Graeme McDowell	43	518	84
87	Mark Hubbard	28	517	86
88	Dylan Frittelli	55	515	92
89	Cameron Champ	50	511	117
90	Bud Cauley	43	510	90
91	Maverick McNealy	29	510	91
92	Brendan Steele	44	503	108
93	Michael Thompson	44	499	88
94	Phil Mickelson	41	498	87
95	Si Woo Kim	55	491	118
96	Haotong Li	45	488	120
97	Mackenzie Hughes	44	487	95
98	Bernd Wiesberger	37	484	102
99	Matthias Schwab	46	484	94
100	Sam Burns	46	484	104
101	Keith Mitchell	48	483	100
102	Eddie Pepperell	36	482	112
103	Keegan Bradley	50	482	93
104	Henrik Norlander	30	481	106
105	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	50	480	97
106	Brian Stuard	54	479	99
107	Luke List	46	479	98
108	Victor Perez	33	477	122
109	Adam Long	53	477	103
110	Martin Kaymer	44	476	96
111	Charley Hoffman	46	474	107
112	Nick Taylor	47	470	101
113	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	40	470	109
114	Emiliano Grillo	50	461	105
115	Troy Merritt	48	453	110
116	Wyndham Clark	52	452	111
117	Russell Knox	53	448	119
118	JB Holmes	35	447	116
119	Sebastian Munoz	52	443	114
120	Carlos Ortiz	51	443	113
121	Patrick Rodgers	43	440	121
122	Matt Jones	51	439	115
123	Jonas Blixt	28	437	123
124	Wesley Bryan	8	436	130
125	Joost Luiten	40	432	126
126	Nick Watney	44	432	125
127	Thorbjorn Olesen	26	428	128
128	Russell Henley	44	427	129
129	Sepp Straka	52	422	124
130	Brice Garnett	48	411	132
131	Danny Lee	49	411	127
132	Ryan Armour	50	406	133
133	Pat Perez	41	403	136
134	Nate Lashley	43	403	138
135	Lucas Bjerregaard	46	402	135
136	Xinjun Zhang	32	392	131
137	Jordan Smith	42	392	144
138	Andrew Johnston	29	392	137
139	Adam Schenk	57	389	141
140	Thomas Detry	47	389	134
141	Denny McCarthy	53	388	140
142	Chesson Hadley	47	381	143
143	Scott Stallings	47	381	145
144	Zach Johnson	38	379	139
145	Kyle Stanley	50	378	146
146	Andy Sullivan	42	375	152
147	KH Lee	57	373	148
148	Scott Brown	48	370	149
149	Gavin Green	45	366	142
150	Marcus Kinhult	39	356	147
151	Kurt Kitayama	42	355	150
152	Matthew NeSmith	25	353	154
153	Branden Grace	52	352	153
154	Peter Malnati	50	347	156
155	Richy Werenski	47	347	151
156	Robby Shelton	29	346	157
157	Harry Higgs	25	343	158
158	Tom Hoge	58	340	155
159	Justin Harding	50	340	169
160	Brian Gay	52	339	160
161	Aaron Wise	42	338	159
162	Kevin Tway	47	337	162
163	Benjamin Hebert	43	336	161
164	Andrea Pavan	49	334	166
165	Seamus Power	42	334	168
166	Martin Laird	40	327	170
167	Andrew Landry	47	321	165
168	CT Pan	50	320	163
169	Matt Every	38	320	173
170	Jorge Campillo	44	319	167
171	Aaron Baddeley	38	319	172
172	Charl Schwartzel	34	318	164
173	Trey Mullinax	28	313	174
174	Ross Fisher	39	312	171
175	Jim Knous	22	312	178
176	Sam Ryder	47	310	175
177	Beau Hossler	52	310	176
178	David Lipsky	42	309	179
179	Roberto Diaz	33	306	180
180	Scott Jamieson	39	300	181
181	Romain Langasque	36	299	185
182	Hudson Swafford	31	295	182
183	Cameron Davis	54	293	183
184	Ryan Fox	45	292	184
185	Sam Horsfield	44	292	177
186	Richard Sterne	35	290	186
187	Shawn Stefani	42	289	187
188	Roger Sloan	50	289	188
189	Jason Scrivener	48	285	192
190	Hank Lebioda	49	280	190
191	Patton Kizzire	49	278	189
192	Chase Seiffert	24	277	191
193	Zac Blair	31	276	195
194	Adri Arnaus	40	269	197
195	Roberto Castro	32	267	199
196	Chris Stroud	43	267	200
197	Alexander Bjork	38	265	194
198	George Coetzee	44	265	202
199	Mikko Korhonen	40	264	198
200	Curtis Luck	31	262	203
201	Jimmy Walker	41	262	196
202	Lucas Herbert	39	258	193
203	Peter Uihlein	48	258	204
204	Jason Dufner	45	258	201
205	Stewart Cink	35	258	206
206	Pablo Larrazabal	44	255	205
207	Fabian Gomez	46	255	210
208	Aaron Rai	44	253	207
209	James Hahn	24	252	208
210	Kalle Samooja	36	248	209
211	Richie Ramsay	42	247	212
212	Joakim Lagergren	40	247	229
213	Austin Cook	45	246	213
214	Victor Dubuisson	25	245	214
215	Rasmus Hojgaard	12	245	220
216	Jonathan Byrd	35	244	215
217	Kelly Kraft	34	244	216
218	Joseph Bramlett	26	244	217
219	Seung-yul Noh	9	242	218
220	Chris Paisley	43	241	211
221	Joey Garber	27	240	224
222	Zack Sucher	26	239	222
223	Alex Prugh	32	239	226
224	Luke Donald	29	238	223
225	Bronson Burgoon	42	236	225
226	Wes Roach	42	235	228
227	Brandon Wu	9	232	231
228	Adam Svensson	33	231	230
229	Robert Streb	52	231	232
230	Zander Lombard	48	229	235
231	Stephan Jaeger	34	229	234
232	Bo Hoag	27	228	233
233	Jazz Janewattananond	37	228	221
234	Matthew Jordan	20	227	236
235	Jeff Winther	38	224	249
236	Josh Teater	45	223	240
237	Cameron Percy	25	222	239
238	Nino Bertasio	38	222	241
239	Ben Martin	16	220	238
240	Steve Stricker	18	220	227
241	Tyler Duncan	55	218	237
242	JJ Spaun	48	217	242
243	Guido Migliozzi	36	217	245
244	Renato Paratore	50	217	243
245	Doug Ghim	28	216	244
246	Julian Suri	28	214	246
247	Fabrizio Zanotti	31	212	248
248	Billy Hurley	18	211	250
249	Brandon Hagy	31	211	251
250	Francesco Laporta	10	210	219
251	Wade Ormsby	39	210	252
252	DJ Trahan	34	208	253
253	KJ Choi	17	207	255
254	Matthew Southgate	45	207	247
255	Scott Harrington	23	206	256
256	Dean Burmester	47	205	272
257	Scott Langley	34	203	254
258	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	31	202	261
259	Kramer Hickok	50	202	257
260	Kristoffer Ventura	22	202	263
261	Tim Wilkinson	19	198	264
262	Sean O’Hair	14	198	262
263	Ted Potter	44	198	260
264	Edoardo Molinari	44	196	276
265	David Hearn	43	196	265
266	Johnson Wagner	35	195	266
267	Steve Marino	8	195	259
268	Marcus Armitage	11	195	270
269	Shubhankar Sharma	45	195	268
270	Chris Kirk	30	192	267
271	Joachim B Hansen	41	191	269
272	Ernie Els	34	191	271
273	Ashun Wu	40	188	274
274	Miguel Angel Jimenez	14	187	273
275	Bill Haas	37	186	277
276	Matthieu Pavon	46	186	258
277	Padraig Harrington	37	184	279
278	George McNeill	20	183	281
279	Robert Rock	36	183	275
280	Sebastian Soderberg	36	182	282
281	Grant Forrest	36	178	288
282	Masahiro Kawamura	43	177	284
283	Sang-hyun Park	27	176	286
284	Shaun Norris	35	175	280
285	Ryan Blaum	34	174	285
286	Ollie Schniederjans	35	174	289
287	Dominic Bozzelli	44	173	287
288	Adrian Otaegui	49	172	305
289	Chase Koepka	15	171	294
290	Antoine Rozner	15	170	278
291	Jamie Donaldson	29	170	292
292	Jack Singh Brar	38	169	283
293	Min Woo Lee	25	168	318
294	Nacho Elvira	43	168	291
295	Shugo Imahira	31	166	295
296	Mark Anderson	23	166	293
297	Callum Shinkwin	36	165	290
298	Calum Hill	14	164	315
299	Hugo Leon	27	163	299
300	Sean Crocker	35	162	303
301	Andres Romero	28	162	301
302	Oliver Wilson	36	162	300
303	Chase Wright	33	162	297
304	Brandon Stone	41	161	319
305	Lorenzo Gagli	38	160	298
306	Ashley Chesters	48	160	296
307	Julian Etulain	32	158	302
308	Grayson Murray	31	157	307
309	Brandon Harkins	33	156	306
310	Rob Oppenheim	30	156	309
311	Tyler McCumber	22	154	308
312	Nicolas Colsaerts	48	154	325
313	Sam Saunders	32	154	310
314	Soren Kjeldsen	43	152	304
315	Boo Weekley	16	149	314
316	David Horsey	38	148	311
317	Niklas Lemke	33	148	313
318	Kevin Chappell	21	147	312
319	Brad Kennedy	20	146	317
320	Sebastian Cappelen	26	145	316
321	Scott Hend	47	145	324
322	Tapio Pulkkanen	47	145	321
323	Bradley Dredge	32	143	320
324	Thongchai Jaidee	25	143	326
325	Alexander Levy	40	142	331
326	Alvaro Quiros	39	142	328
327	Darren Fichardt	37	142	322
328	Jeunghun Wang	44	142	329
329	Oliver Fisher	44	141	335
330	Michael Gligic	21	141	327
331	Chip McDaniel	10	139	332
332	Nick Flanagan	8	139	330
333	Jack Senior	21	135	337
334	Peter Hanson	15	135	334
335	Chris Baker	20	134	336
336	Nicholas Lindheim	24	132	338
337	Alejandro Canizares	37	132	347
338	Clement Sordet	38	132	346
339	Vincent Whaley	17	132	340
340	Takumi Kanaya	9	132	345
341	Adrien Saddier	38	131	342
342	Johannes Veerman	28	131	339
343	Benjamin Silverman	32	131	344
344	Vijay Singh	14	130	343
345	Anirban Lahiri	43	129	348
346	Cormac Sharvin	13	129	372
347	Sihwan Kim	34	128	350
348	Wil Besseling	10	127	333
349	Oliver Bekker	8	126	349
350	Maximilian Kieffer	42	126	323
351	Paul Dunne	37	126	351
352	Gaganjeet Bhullar	37	124	352
353	Jung-gon Hwang	20	124	353
354	Alex Cejka	32	120	358
355	Sami Valimaki	10	120	356
356	Connor Syme	26	118	384
357	Lee Slattery	42	118	359
358	Cody Gribble	29	118	363
359	Jaco Ahlers	9	117	362
360	Gunn Charoenkul	13	117	360
361	Stephen Gallacher	36	115	361
362	John Huh	25	115	365
363	Kristoffer Reitan	26	113	357
364	Kyle Jones	33	113	366
365	Tom Lovelady	18	111	368
366	Brady Schnell	28	111	370
367	Jamie Lovemark	24	111	364
368	Julien Guerrier	24	110	341
369	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	110	371
370	Rikuya Hoshino	22	110	369
371	Chan Kim	16	109	355
372	Martin Piller	19	107	377
373	Dave Coupland	8	107	398
374	Sebastian Heisele	15	106	379
375	Zach Murray	18	106	376
376	Romain Wattel	38	106	373
377	Yuta Ikeda	26	106	380
378	Hiroyuki Fujita	19	105	381
379	Steven Brown	47	104	411
380	Rikard Karlberg	21	104	375
381	Louis de Jager	35	104	388
382	Hideto Tanihara	38	103	382
383	Anders Albertson	32	102	378
384	Ben Crane	27	101	385
385	Robin Roussel	10	100	427
386	Thomas Aiken	32	99	383
387	Scott Vincent	37	99	426
388	Haydn Porteous	48	99	389
389	Justin Walters	48	98	391
390	Darren Beck	8	98	390
391	John Catlin	37	98	399
392	Daniel Brooks	8	97	386
393	Tyrone van Aswegen	20	97	396
394	Lasse Jensen	17	97	395
395	Eduardo de la Riva	14	97	374
396	Panuphol Pittayarat	16	97	393
397	Robert Karlsson	32	96	394
398	Brendan Jones	17	95	397
399	Espen Kofstad	20	94	401
400	Justin Lower	8	94	392
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the PGA Championship

August 4, 2020 Thomas Hawley Narrative

For the purposes of analyzing the year’s first major, this week’s PGA Championship, let’s forget about everything that happened before June, forget about the Hawley Ratings and the Official World Golf Ratings, and just look at what’s happened since pro golf resumed in the U.S. in June and in Europe in July. Here is your new world top 10:

Daniel Berger
Bryson DeChambeau
Justin Thomas
Tyrrell Hatton
Abraham Ancer
Xander Schauffele
Webb Simpson
Matthew Fitzpatrick
Patrick Cantlay
Viktor Hovland

Tommy Fleetwood? 77th.
Hideki Matsuyama? 23rd.
Rory McIlroy? 30th.
Jon Rahm? 31st.
Adam Scott? DNP.
Tiger Woods? One missed cut.

The ratings are based on performance in the nine U.S. events and four Euro events starting with the June 14 Schwab. You can mostly forget about the Euro events – the total purses of those four tournaments is less than the purse of any U.S. event other than the Barracuda.

Berger missed the cut at the Memorial but has been in the top three in all three of his other appearances – including a runner-up finish last week at the WGC-FedEx and the win in the break-ending Schwab.

The bulked-up DeChambeau, who would not look out of place in a heavyweight boxing ring, came charging out in June with three straight top-10s and the win in the Rocket.

Thomas has played every week but one, topping it with the gutty win last week in Memphis. He has three other top-10s, including a not-so-gutty runner-up finish to Collin Morikawa in the Workday.

Note in passing that the entry list for this event is, as always, very strong. It includes everyone on the Hawley Ratings top 50 except no. 36 Francesco Molinari. Going down the list a bit, it appears that some veteran players may have recognized the three-month break as a time to get the engine tuned-up again, maybe before it’s too late. Those from outside the Hawley Ratings top 40 who have been solid include Lucas Glover, Kevin Na (two top-10s), Chez Reavie (top 10 in the FedEx), and Rory Sabbatini (top 10 in the Schwab).

Younger players from outside the top 40 who have been solid include 26-year-old South African Christiaan Bezuidenhout (one top-20 and a 22nd in the Memorial), 28-year-old Corey Conners (two finishes just outside the top 20), 31-year-old Harris English (a pair of top-20s), and 29-year-old Englishman Tom Lewis (two top top-20s including a runner-up at the FedEx).

For only the fourth time, the PGA Championship is being played at a public course. TPC Harding Park in San Francisco is site of the event. The course was a Tour stop in the 1960s, then lack of maintenance took a toll over a long period of years. The bottom came in 1998 when Harding Park was used as a parking lot for the U.S. Open at Olympic Club. After a renovation in the early 2000s, the course returned to prominence and has hosted events such as the 2005 WGC-American Express, the 2009 Presidents Cup (where Woods was 5-0), and the 2015 WGC-Cadillac Match Play (won by McIlroy).

The course is noted for curving fairways that require risk/ reward choices regarding line of flight. It can play long in the thick San Francisco air, especially when foggy. The expectation is that the narrowed fairways will be lined with very heavy rough. If you consider how PGA Championship courses have been set up in recent years, a player can expect to be tested across all the skill areas – for instance, driving distance and putting have been the statistics most closely correlated with success on PGA Championship courses, per the Hawley course fit statistics. Also driving accuracy, shots gained in approach, and greens in regulation to a slightly lesser extent. So, repeating, pretty much all the skill areas.

Among those from the first list of 10 names above, Schauffele, Thomas, and Cantlay are among the 20 players whose statistical profiles are the best fit for the stats above. Gary Woodland, Rahm, Adam Hadwin, and Morikawa are the top four on the course-fit list.

Among the longer shots who ought to fit Harding Park are Jim Furyk, who won the Champions Tour event last week in his first appearance on that circuit; Scottie Scheffler; and Brendan Steele.

Among the top 50, players who have shown little since June include Paul Casey (four appearances, three missed cuts), Marc Leishman (five appearances, two missed cuts, best finish was 40th), and Brandt Snedeker (five appearances, four missed cuts).

Among touring pros who are entered and ranked in the world top 100, there are two – no. 6 Adam Scott and no. 64 Michael Lorenzo-Vera – who have not played anywhere competitively since March.

PGA Championship

August 3, 2020 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Justin Thomas

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Justin Thomas	16.5	37
2	Rory McIlroy	16.6	33
3	Webb Simpson	23.5	37
4	Patrick Cantlay	24.7	43
5	Tyrrell Hatton	27.2	93
6	Jon Rahm	27.6	13
7	Xander Schauffele	28.1	10
8	Bryson DeChambeau	28.7	4
9	Tiger Woods	29.8	37
10	Adam Scott	34.3	22
11	Hideki Matsuyama	35.2	22
12	Brooks Koepka	36.3	29
13	Daniel Berger	36.6	13
14	Abraham Ancer	37.7	43
15	Dustin Johnson	37.7	2
16	Tommy Fleetwood	38.5	29
17	Matthew Fitzpatrick	39.2	106
18	Collin Morikawa	42.5	1
19	Jason Day	42.7	4
20	Billy Horschel	43.5	43
21	Gary Woodland	45.4	58
22	Rickie Fowler	45.6	81
23	Patrick Reed	45.9	13
24	Ryan Palmer	47.1	43
25	Tony Finau	48.4	4
26	Kevin Na	49.0	93
27	Harris English	49.0	19
28	Matt Kuchar	50.2	93
29	Viktor Hovland	50.6	33
30	Justin Rose	50.7	9
31	Henrik Stenson	50.9	81
32	Louis Oosthuizen	51.4	33
33	Sergio Garcia	51.4	122
34	Paul Casey	51.5	2
35	Sungjae Im	51.8	106
36	Jordan Spieth	52.3	71
37	Ian Poulter	52.3	22
38	Chez Reavie	53.0	75
39	Brendon Todd	53.1	17
40	Scottie Scheffler	53.3	4
41	Joel Dahmen	53.3	10
42	Kevin Kisner	54.0	19
43	Shane Lowry	54.1	66
44	Byeong Hun An	54.1	22
45	Rory Sabbatini	55.0	66
46	Marc Leishman	55.2	81
47	Lucas Glover	55.2	93
48	Tom Lewis	55.7	93
49	Brandt Snedeker	55.8	51
50	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	56.4	81
51	Corey Conners	56.7	113
52	Adam Hadwin	56.7	58
53	Matt Wallace	56.7	77
54	Kevin Streelman	57.2	58
55	Erik Van Rooyen	57.5	51
56	JT Poston	58.2	75
57	Danny Willett	58.6	128
58	Jason Kokrak	58.8	93
59	Mackenzie Hughes	59.2	58
60	Lanto Griffin	59.8	19
61	Brendan Steele	59.9	22
62	Charles Howell	59.9	DNP
63	Bubba Watson	60.0	71
64	Cameron Tringale	60.0	WD
65	Matthias Schwab	60.1	113
66	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	60.1	43
67	Rafa Cabrera Bello	60.5	133
68	Matthew Wolff	60.9	4
69	Talor Gooch	60.9	81
70	Max Homa	61.0	113
71	Adam Long	61.5	51
72	Phil Mickelson	61.5	71
73	Martin Kaymer	61.6	133
74	Dylan Frittelli	61.7	33
75	Sepp Straka	61.9	66
76	Cameron Champ	61.9	10
77	Jim Furyk	62.5	81
78	Doc Redman	62.5	29
79	Mark Hubbard	62.5	51
80	Harold Varner	62.8	29
81	Scott Piercy	62.8	106
82	Sung Kang	62.9	79
83	Robert MacIntyre	63.0	66
84	Graeme McDowell	63.0	122
85	Luke List	63.1	51
86	Joaquin Niemann	63.3	106
87	Vaughn Taylor	63.4	DNP
88	Keegan Bradley	63.5	113
89	JB Holmes	63.5	DNP
90	Carlos Ortiz	63.7	81
91	Brian Harman	63.8	58
92	Nick Taylor	64.3	137
93	Bernd Wiesberger	64.5	43
94	Russell Henley	64.5	37
95	Troy Merritt	64.7	113
96	Joost Luiten	64.7	51
97	Andrew Putnam	64.8	122
98	Sebastian Munoz	64.9	93
99	Cameron Smith	64.9	43
100	Zach Johnson	65.0	81
101	Matt Jones	65.2	113
102	Michael Thompson	66.1	93
103	Marcus Kinhult	66.1	146
104	Benjamin Hebert	66.2	122
105	Keith Mitchell	66.4	43
106	Victor Perez	66.8	22
107	Danny Lee	66.8	71
108	Si Woo Kim	67.1	13
109	Tom Hoge	67.2	58
110	Andrew Landry	67.9	93
111	Haotong Li	68.3	17
112	Charl Schwartzel	68.4	58
113	Kurt Kitayama	68.5	51
114	Branden Grace	68.7	DNP
115	Nate Lashley	68.8	37
116	Jimmy Walker	69.7	128
117	Jorge Campillo	69.8	150
118	Steve Stricker	69.8	93
119	Jason Dufner	69.9	81
120	Lucas Herbert	70.0	93
121	CT Pan	70.6	106
122	Tyler Duncan	70.7	113
123	Shaun Norris	70.7	81
124	Jazz Janewattananond	71.8	113
125	Jim Herman	75.4	77
126	Chan Kim	77.0	81
127	Davis Love	78.7	137
128	Ryo Ishikawa	79.2	81
129	Joohyung Kim-	81.2	128
130	Rob Labritz	82.0	128
131	Rich Beem	82.0	152
132	Shaun Micheel	82.1	137
133	Rod Perry	82.2	153
134	Ryan Vermeer	82.2	142
135	Mike Auterson	82.2	137
136	Daniel Balin	82.2	142
137	Alex Beach	82.2	106
138	Rich Berberian	82.2	142
139	Justin Bertsch	82.2	149
140	Jason Caron	82.2	133
141	Benny Cook	82.2	DNP
142	Judd Gibb	82.2	155
143	Jeff Hart	82.2	150
144	Marty Jertson	82.2	142
145	Zach J Johnson	82.2	155
146	Alex Knoll	82.2	154
147	David Muttitt	82.2	128
148	John O’Leary	82.2	133
149	JR Roth	82.2	137
150	Bob Sowards	82.2	122
151	Ken Tanigawa	82.2	146
152	Shawn Warren	82.2	146
	Alex Noren	late entry	23
	Bud Cauley	late entry	39
	Denny McCarthy	late entry	64
	Emiliano Grillo	late entry	69
	Richy Werenski	late entry	95
	Xinjun Zhang	late entry	96
	Wyndham Clark	late entry	108
	Brian Stuard	late entry	120
	Ben Cook	late entry	122
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 24. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

English Championship

August 3, 2020 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Lee Westwood

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Lee Westwood	54.4	34
2	Thorbjorn Olesen	62.4	34
3	Gavin Green	62.9	74
4	Thomas Detry	64.4	56
5	Andrew Johnston	65.2	19
6	Jordan Smith	66.2	14
7	Andy Sullivan	66.9	1
8	Ryan Fox	67.8	19
9	Ross Fisher	68.3	106
10	Justin Harding	68.4	DNP
11	Sam Horsfield	68.6	126
12	Scott Jamieson	68.8	9
13	Andrea Pavan	69.3	34
14	Kalle Samooja	70.1	65
15	Rasmus Hojgaard	70.1	3
16	Jason Scrivener	70.1	14
17	Chris Paisley	70.2	19
18	Romain Langasque	70.3	26
19	Pablo Larrazabal	70.8	65
20	Aaron Rai	71.0	DNP
21	Matthew Jordan	71.2	74
22	Richie Ramsay	71.4	34
23	Zander Lombard	71.4	126
24	Matthieu Pavon	72.0	89
25	Renato Paratore	72.0	34
26	Joakim Lagergren	72.1	DNP
27	Francesco Laporta	72.5	89
28	Guido Migliozzi	72.6	74
29	Miguel Angel Jimenez	72.6	44
30	Julian Suri	72.6	117
31	Marcus Armitage	72.7	14
32	Lorenzo Gagli	72.8	34
33	Matthew Southgate	72.8	61
34	Joachim B Hansen	73.6	53
35	Shubhankar Sharma	73.8	106
36	Dean Burmester	74.0	6
37	Antoine Rozner	74.1	26
38	Ashley Chesters	74.1	74
39	Callum Shinkwin	74.2	71
40	Jack Singh Brar	74.4	74
41	Masahiro Kawamura	74.5	123
42	Jamie Donaldson	74.6	14
43	Niklas Lemke	74.6	74
44	Brandon Stone	74.7	6
45	Soren Kjeldsen	74.8	89
46	Nacho Elvira	74.8	74
47	Kristoffer Reitan	74.9	112
48	David Horsey	74.9	74
49	Alejandro Canizares	75.0	44
50	Adrian Otaegui	75.0	2
51	Hugo Leon	75.1	DNP
52	Sean Crocker	75.1	9
53	Jack Senior	75.3	44
54	Oliver Wilson	75.3	101
55	Nicolas Colsaerts	75.3	9
56	Maximilian Kieffer	75.4	89
57	Adrien Saddier	75.5	106
58	Johannes Veerman	75.5	34
59	Oliver Fisher	75.6	26
60	Tapio Pulkkanen	75.7	63
61	Alexander Levy	75.7	DNP
62	Scott Hend	75.8	44
63	Min Woo Lee	75.8	6
64	Wil Besseling	75.9	63
65	Oliver Farr	75.9	74
66	Alvaro Quiros	75.9	74
67	Julien Guerrier	76.0	56
68	Si-hwan Kim	76.1	DNP
69	Laurie Canter	76.3	34
70	Romain Wattel	76.3	44
71	Paul Dunne	76.4	112
72	Rikard Karlberg	76.5	89
73	Lee Slattery	76.6	65
74	Cormac Sharvin	76.7	19
75	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	76.7	101
76	Joel Stalter	76.8	89
77	Connor Syme	76.9	19
78	JC Ritchie	77.0	123
79	Eduardo de la Riva	77.0	89
80	Bernd Ritthammer	77.0	71
81	Sebi Garcia	77.0	DNP
82	Justin Walters	77.1	74
83	David Drysdale	77.1	56
84	James Morrison	77.1	101
85	Louis de Jager	77.1	DNP
86	Dave Coupland	77.1	9
87	Ben Stow	77.2	26
88	John Catlin	77.3	DNP
89	Haydn Porteous	77.3	129
90	Jacques Kruyswijk	77.3	101
91	Richard Bland	77.3	56
92	Oscar Lengden	77.4	19
93	Steven Brown	77.5	5
94	Jonathan Caldwell	77.6	112
95	Scott Vincent	77.6	9
96	Benjamin Poke	77.7	112
97	Joel Sjoholm	77.7	117
98	Robin Roussel	77.8	26
99	Jake McLeod	78.0	89
100	Garrick Porteous	78.0	89
101	Dale Whitnell	78.0	106
102	Max Schmitt	78.2	74
103	Liam Johnston	78.2	89
104	Thomas Bjorn	78.3	117
105	Adrian Meronk	78.3	34
106	Ben Evans	78.4	89
107	Wilco Nienaber	78.4	4
108	Graeme Storm	78.4	112
109	Richard McEvoy	78.7	62
110	Maverick Antcliff	78.7	74
111	Bryce Easton	78.7	56
112	Ewen Ferguson	78.8	19
113	David Law	78.9	71
114	Lars van Meijel	79.0	89
115	Nicolai Hojgaard	79.0	26
116	Matthew Baldwin	79.3	106
117	Daan Huizing	79.4	106
118	Marcel Schneider	79.4	53
119	Marc Warren	79.5	34
120	Pedro Figueiredo	79.7	126
121	David Howell	79.9	68
122	Toby Tree	79.9	44
123	Carlos Pigem	80.0	74
124	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	80.0	131
125	Ross McGowan	80.1	74
126	Aaron Cockerill	80.1	26
127	Rhys Enoch	80.3	68
128	Martin Simonsen	80.4	26
129	Hurly Long	80.4	DNP
130	Damien Perrier	80.4	117
131	Craig Howie	80.5	DNP
132	Steven Tiley	80.6	123
133	Ricardo Santos	80.6	44
134	James Ruebotham	80.7	132
135	Michael Campbell	80.7	117
136	Emilio Cuartero Blanco	80.7	70
137	Ugo Coussaud	80.7	DNP
138	Daniel Young	80.7	117
139	Tom Gandy	80.7	101
	De Jager Louis	late entry	14
	Rai Aaron	late entry	50
	Sihwan Kim	late entry	51
	Harding Justin	late entry	53
	Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez	late entry	129
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 14. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 2, 2020)

August 3, 2020 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Rory McIlroy’s rating number is dropping but he retains a solid lead as the no. 1-rated player.

#	Thru Aug. 2, 2020	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Rory McIlroy	41	1898	1
2	Jon Rahm	45	1616	2
3	Justin Thomas	43	1588	3
4	Patrick Cantlay	38	1496	4
5	Webb Simpson	39	1416	5
6	Adam Scott	33	1408	6
7	Xander Schauffele	44	1349	9
8	Tiger Woods	24	1322	8
9	Tommy Fleetwood	47	1294	7
10	Hideki Matsuyama	50	1264	10
11	Dustin Johnson	39	1263	12
12	Bryson DeChambeau	47	1237	11
13	Tyrrell Hatton	41	1144	13
14	Brooks Koepka	43	1090	17
15	Justin Rose	44	1058	15
16	Collin Morikawa	27	1035	18
17	Patrick Reed	57	1024	16
18	Gary Woodland	47	1018	14
19	Matt Kuchar	45	1016	19
20	Matthew Fitzpatrick	48	1014	23
21	Billy Horschel	51	999	20
22	Abraham Ancer	53	970	24
23	Jason Day	40	967	26
24	Tony Finau	54	967	21
25	Rickie Fowler	39	966	25
26	Paul Casey	44	960	22
27	Ryan Palmer	40	929	29
28	Sungjae Im	60	909	28
29	Daniel Berger	37	908	35
30	Marc Leishman	43	886	27
31	Ian Poulter	48	880	30
32	Louis Oosthuizen	45	879	38
33	Jason Kokrak	45	866	31
34	Sergio Garcia	45	853	32
35	Viktor Hovland	33	839	33
36	Francesco Molinari	31	833	37
37	Jordan Spieth	42	832	36
38	Byeong Hun An	50	822	42
39	Brandt Snedeker	45	821	34
40	Henrik Stenson	38	811	39
41	Shane Lowry	45	806	45
42	Rory Sabbatini	49	798	43
43	Kevin Kisner	48	794	41
44	Lucas Glover	48	789	44
45	Kevin Na	43	787	40
46	Joel Dahmen	50	754	47
47	Chez Reavie	52	746	50
48	Matt Wallace	54	723	46
49	Rafa Cabrera Bello	52	712	48
50	Charles Howell	49	707	51
51	Adam Hadwin	43	702	49
52	Scottie Scheffler	27	680	58
53	Bubba Watson	45	677	52
54	JT Poston	51	675	54
55	Jim Furyk	33	666	55
56	Scott Piercy	44	663	56
57	Ryan Moore	39	656	57
58	Danny Willett	47	653	53
59	Erik Van Rooyen	53	645	60
60	Kevin Streelman	48	633	59
61	Lee Westwood	38	625	61
62	Harris English	48	618	64
63	Corey Conners	52	618	65
64	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	34	615	66
65	Sung Kang	49	607	62
66	Paul Waring	35	606	67
67	Tom Lewis	45	577	97
68	Max Homa	48	577	69
69	Joaquin Niemann	48	576	70
70	Vaughn Taylor	48	573	74
71	Lanto Griffin	31	570	68
72	Will Gordon	11	561	63
73	Talor Gooch	42	560	76
74	Matthew Wolff	27	559	72
75	Cameron Smith	48	558	71
76	Cameron Tringale	43	556	79
77	Brendon Todd	35	555	89
78	Andrew Putnam	45	554	77
79	Alex Noren	47	551	81
80	Jhonattan Vegas	46	550	73
81	Brian Harman	52	549	82
82	Thomas Pieters	40	544	78
83	Robert MacIntyre	35	541	75
84	Graeme McDowell	43	539	83
85	Doc Redman	28	537	85
86	Mark Hubbard	27	537	84
87	Phil Mickelson	40	526	121
88	Michael Thompson	44	524	80
89	Harold Varner	50	524	87
90	Bud Cauley	42	513	86
91	Maverick McNealy	29	510	101
92	Dylan Frittelli	54	508	96
93	Keegan Bradley	49	504	88
94	Matthias Schwab	46	502	105
95	Mackenzie Hughes	44	500	92
96	Martin Kaymer	44	496	90
97	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	50	495	110
98	Luke List	45	493	100
99	Brian Stuard	54	493	95
100	Keith Mitchell	48	493	99
101	Nick Taylor	47	492	102
102	Bernd Wiesberger	36	489	91
103	Adam Long	52	487	104
104	Sam Burns	46	483	98
105	Emiliano Grillo	49	481	109
106	Henrik Norlander	30	478	107
107	Charley Hoffman	46	474	106
108	Brendan Steele	44	474	103
109	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	40	471	111
110	Troy Merritt	47	467	123
111	Wyndham Clark	51	467	108
112	Eddie Pepperell	37	459	93
113	Carlos Ortiz	50	458	118
114	Sebastian Munoz	51	456	119
115	Matt Jones	51	453	114
116	JB Holmes	35	453	117
117	Cameron Champ	49	452	125
118	Si Woo Kim	55	451	116
119	Russell Knox	53	448	120
120	Haotong Li	44	448	112
121	Patrick Rodgers	44	444	122
122	Victor Perez	32	441	115
123	Jonas Blixt	29	435	128
124	Sepp Straka	51	435	127
125	Nick Watney	45	431	124
126	Joost Luiten	40	428	113
127	Danny Lee	49	427	129
128	Thorbjorn Olesen	27	425	94
129	Russell Henley	44	425	126
130	Wesley Bryan	9	424	134
131	Xinjun Zhang	26	421	132
132	Brice Garnett	49	412	133
133	Ryan Armour	51	408	130
134	Thomas Detry	48	407	136
135	Lucas Bjerregaard	47	404	135
136	Pat Perez	41	402	139
137	Andrew Johnston	29	402	141
138	Nate Lashley	42	399	140
139	Zach Johnson	37	398	138
140	Denny McCarthy	53	397	137
141	Adam Schenk	58	389	144
142	Gavin Green	44	384	143
143	Chesson Hadley	48	383	145
144	Jordan Smith	42	382	131
145	Scott Stallings	48	380	154
146	Kyle Stanley	50	378	152
147	Marcus Kinhult	39	373	150
148	KH Lee	57	372	146
149	Scott Brown	49	370	151
150	Kurt Kitayama	41	363	147
151	Richy Werenski	47	361	166
152	Andy Sullivan	42	358	142
153	Branden Grace	52	355	149
154	Matthew NeSmith	25	355	148
155	Tom Hoge	58	351	158
156	Peter Malnati	51	349	157
157	Robby Shelton	29	345	155
158	Harry Higgs	25	344	162
159	Aaron Wise	42	341	170
160	Brian Gay	53	340	161
161	Benjamin Hebert	44	339	153
162	Kevin Tway	48	339	163
163	CT Pan	50	336	160
164	Charl Schwartzel	33	333	167
165	Andrew Landry	46	332	172
166	Andrea Pavan	50	332	156
167	Jorge Campillo	43	332	169
168	Seamus Power	43	332	175
169	Justin Harding	51	328	159
170	Martin Laird	41	327	171
171	Ross Fisher	39	322	165
172	Aaron Baddeley	39	322	164
173	Matt Every	39	319	168
174	Trey Mullinax	29	314	174
175	Sam Ryder	48	313	176
176	Beau Hossler	52	312	177
177	Sam Horsfield	44	312	187
178	Jim Knous	22	310	179
179	David Lipsky	42	309	178
180	Roberto Diaz	34	306	180
181	Scott Jamieson	40	300	186
182	Hudson Swafford	32	298	183
183	Cameron Davis	54	296	185
184	Ryan Fox	45	295	181
185	Romain Langasque	36	293	173
186	Richard Sterne	35	291	190
187	Shawn Stefani	43	289	182
188	Roger Sloan	50	288	189
189	Patton Kizzire	49	280	194
190	Hank Lebioda	49	279	191
191	Chase Seiffert	24	279	188
192	Jason Scrivener	49	278	184
193	Lucas Herbert	39	276	192
194	Alexander Bjork	40	275	204
195	Zac Blair	32	275	195
196	Jimmy Walker	40	272	197
197	Adri Arnaus	40	270	199
198	Mikko Korhonen	41	270	208
199	Roberto Castro	32	268	206
200	Chris Stroud	44	267	196
201	Jason Dufner	45	266	202
202	George Coetzee	44	264	205
203	Curtis Luck	31	260	209
204	Peter Uihlein	49	260	203
205	Pablo Larrazabal	44	258	193
206	Stewart Cink	35	258	201
207	Aaron Rai	46	255	216
208	James Hahn	24	253	214
209	Kalle Samooja	36	252	200
210	Fabian Gomez	47	252	241
211	Chris Paisley	43	251	228
212	Richie Ramsay	43	249	213
213	Austin Cook	45	246	212
214	Victor Dubuisson	25	246	219
215	Jonathan Byrd	36	245	207
216	Kelly Kraft	34	245	222
217	Joseph Bramlett	26	244	244
218	Seung-yul Noh	9	242	225
219	Francesco Laporta	9	240	224
220	Rasmus Hojgaard	12	239	272
221	Jazz Janewattananond	37	239	218
222	Zack Sucher	26	238	215
223	Luke Donald	29	237	226
224	Joey Garber	27	237	231
225	Bronson Burgoon	43	237	217
226	Alex Prugh	32	237	229
227	Steve Stricker	18	236	232
228	Wes Roach	42	233	223
229	Joakim Lagergren	42	233	211
230	Adam Svensson	33	231	233
231	Brandon Wu	9	231	234
232	Robert Streb	53	230	256
233	Bo Hoag	27	229	240
234	Stephan Jaeger	35	228	238
235	Zander Lombard	48	228	220
236	Matthew Jordan	20	224	198
237	Tyler Duncan	55	223	242
238	Ben Martin	16	221	221
239	Cameron Percy	26	221	249
240	Josh Teater	45	221	237
241	Nino Bertasio	39	220	246
242	JJ Spaun	48	220	235
243	Renato Paratore	51	219	239
244	Doug Ghim	29	218	236
245	Guido Migliozzi	36	216	227
246	Julian Suri	29	216	210
247	Matthew Southgate	46	213	247
248	Fabrizio Zanotti	31	213	248
249	Jeff Winther	40	213	230
250	Billy Hurley	19	211	254
251	Brandon Hagy	31	211	277
252	Wade Ormsby	39	209	257
253	DJ Trahan	34	209	245
254	Scott Langley	34	207	253
255	KJ Choi	17	205	264
256	Scott Harrington	23	204	263
257	Kramer Hickok	50	203	251
258	Matthieu Pavon	47	202	280
259	Steve Marino	8	201	260
260	Ted Potter	44	200	252
261	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	31	200	268
262	Sean O’Hair	15	200	265
263	Kristoffer Ventura	22	200	284
264	Tim Wilkinson	19	200	258
265	David Hearn	44	198	261
266	Johnson Wagner	36	196	259
267	Chris Kirk	31	195	266
268	Shubhankar Sharma	45	194	250
269	Joachim B Hansen	41	194	267
270	Marcus Armitage	11	194	292
271	Ernie Els	35	193	273
272	Dean Burmester	47	192	255
273	Miguel Angel Jimenez	14	191	243
274	Ashun Wu	41	191	274
275	Robert Rock	38	187	285
276	Edoardo Molinari	46	187	262
277	Bill Haas	38	186	271
278	Antoine Rozner	15	186	315
279	Padraig Harrington	38	186	281
280	Shaun Norris	34	185	269
281	George McNeill	21	182	270
282	Sebastian Soderberg	37	181	276
283	Jack Singh Brar	37	177	287
284	Masahiro Kawamura	43	176	275
285	Ryan Blaum	35	176	278
286	Sang-hyun Park	27	176	289
287	Dominic Bozzelli	45	174	282
288	Grant Forrest	37	174	283
289	Ollie Schniederjans	36	174	293
290	Callum Shinkwin	36	171	290
291	Nacho Elvira	44	169	279
292	Jamie Donaldson	29	168	319
293	Mark Anderson	23	167	301
294	Chase Koepka	16	167	304
295	Shugo Imahira	31	166	298
296	Ashley Chesters	49	166	295
297	Chase Wright	33	164	300
298	Lorenzo Gagli	37	163	302
299	Hugo Leon	27	162	306
300	Oliver Wilson	36	162	288
301	Andres Romero	29	161	308
302	Julian Etulain	32	160	305
303	Sean Crocker	35	158	326
304	Soren Kjeldsen	44	158	294
305	Adrian Otaegui	49	157	291
306	Brandon Harkins	34	157	296
307	Grayson Murray	32	156	317
308	Tyler McCumber	22	156	322
309	Rob Oppenheim	31	156	323
310	Sam Saunders	33	154	303
311	David Horsey	38	153	309
312	Kevin Chappell	21	152	318
313	Niklas Lemke	34	151	307
314	Boo Weekley	16	150	324
315	Calum Hill	15	147	286
316	Sebastian Cappelen	26	147	310
317	Brad Kennedy	20	146	331
318	Min Woo Lee	25	146	297
319	Brandon Stone	41	146	299
320	Bradley Dredge	33	146	327
321	Tapio Pulkkanen	48	146	311
322	Darren Fichardt	37	145	328
323	Maximilian Kieffer	43	145	354
324	Scott Hend	47	144	314
325	Nicolas Colsaerts	49	142	313
326	Thongchai Jaidee	25	142	334
327	Michael Gligic	21	142	350
328	Alvaro Quiros	39	142	316
329	Jeunghun Wang	45	141	338
330	Nick Flanagan	8	140	336
331	Alexander Levy	41	140	320
332	Chip McDaniel	10	139	339
333	Wil Besseling	10	137	321
334	Peter Hanson	15	136	341
335	Oliver Fisher	44	135	325
336	Chris Baker	20	134	335
337	Jack Senior	21	134	312
338	Nicholas Lindheim	25	133	342
339	Johannes Veerman	28	133	343
340	Vincent Whaley	17	133	330
341	Julien Guerrier	25	132	373
342	Adrien Saddier	39	132	329
343	Vijay Singh	14	132	344
344	Benjamin Silverman	33	131	345
345	Takumi Kanaya	9	130	349
346	Clement Sordet	40	130	337
347	Alejandro Canizares	38	130	332
348	Anirban Lahiri	43	129	347
349	Oliver Bekker	8	127	352
350	Si-hwan Kim	34	127	340
351	Paul Dunne	37	127	333
352	Gaganjeet Bhullar	37	127	351
353	Jung-gon Hwang	20	124	355
354	Oliver Farr	23	124	526
355	Chan Kim	15	122	358
356	Sami Valimaki	10	121	356
357	Kristoffer Reitan	25	121	359
358	Alex Cejka	33	120	353
359	Lee Slattery	43	119	346
360	Gunn Charoenkul	13	117	363
361	Stephen Gallacher	37	116	362
362	Jaco Ahlers	9	116	364
363	Cody Gribble	30	116	366
364	Jamie Lovemark	25	116	360
365	John Huh	26	114	367
366	Kyle Jones	33	113	368
367	Laurie Canter	21	112	506
368	Tom Lovelady	19	112	370
369	Rikuya Hoshino	22	110	374
370	Brady Schnell	28	110	376
371	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	110	357
372	Cormac Sharvin	13	110	348
373	Romain Wattel	37	110	375
374	Eduardo de la Riva	13	107	380
375	Rikard Karlberg	21	107	365
376	Zach Murray	18	107	378
377	Martin Piller	20	107	381
378	Anders Albertson	32	107	372
379	Sebastian Heisele	16	106	384
380	Yuta Ikeda	26	105	386
381	Hiroyuki Fujita	19	105	387
382	Hideto Tanihara	39	105	383
383	Thomas Aiken	33	103	385
384	Connor Syme	27	103	361
385	Ben Crane	28	101	391
386	Daniel Brooks	9	100	388
387	Davis Love	19	100	390
388	Louis de Jager	36	100	379
389	Haydn Porteous	49	100	377
390	Darren Beck	8	99	394
391	Justin Walters	49	98	382
392	Justin Lower	8	97	392
393	Panuphol Pittayarat	16	97	396
394	Robert Karlsson	33	96	397
395	Lasse Jensen	18	96	399
396	Tyrone van Aswegen	21	96	401
397	Brendan Jones	17	95	398
398	Dave Coupland	8	95
399	John Catlin	38	95	389
400	Bernd Ritthammer	29	93	403
More \| Less

A Look at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

July 28, 2020 Thomas Hawley Narrative

What to make of Rory McIlroy? Still no. 1 in the Hawley Ratings and no. 2 in the Official World Golf Ratings, he looks the same and still hits the ball hard (top five in Tour stats for driving distance and shots gained off the tee), but the results haven’t been there since he returned from the Tour’s three-month spring break. He finished in the top five in all four 2020 appearances thru the Palmer. Since returning in June he has an 11th place finish in the Travelers and three other appearances where he wasn’t close to the top 20.

Shane Ryan at golfdigest.com says McIlroy’s approach game has been the Achilles heel. (Read the analysis at https://www.golfdigest.com/story/rory-mcilroy-struggles-pga-tour-restart-why-broken-down-approach-shots.) That’s as good an explanation as any. We’re still thinking he pulls it together at some point, maybe this week in the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. He has only played TPC Southwind twice in the last eight years; he made the top 10 both times (third last year and seventh in 2012). He is well above average as a fit for the course, and his long-term record of strong finishes is compelling.

Not convinced? Next on the list are Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay, top-10 players who have been about where they were before the break, or a maybe little better. In five appearance since June, Thomas lost in that playoff at the Workday and had top-10s at the Heritage and Schwab, with one missed cut. Cantlay hasn’t missed a cut since the spring of 2019 and has a top-10 in the Workday and an 11th in the Travelers.

In terms of upward trend, no one can beat Daniel Berger and Tyrrell Hatton. Berger missed the cut at the Memorial but before that he won the break-ending Schwab and was third a week later at the Heritage. Hatton, the 28-year-old Englishman in his fourth year on the Tour, has been in the top five in both of his appearances (Rocket, Heritage) since June. Hatton is playing at a career-best level.

TPC Southwind is located about a half-hour southeast of downtown Memphis on former farmland. A few mementos of the farm have been retained and there is plenty of water. According to the Hawley course fit statistics, driving distance and shots gained around the green are the stats most closely correlated with success in this event over recent years, and driving accuracy, scrambling, and shots gained in approach also correlate well. Hatton and Berger are two of the top three players in the field in the extent to which their games are a match for those statistics. Add Brandt Snedeker for the third. Jon Rahm is the only other top-10-rated player within a half-stroke of Hatton. Other familiar names of players who should enjoy the course are Webb Simpson, Thomas, and Hideki Matsuyama.

Longer shots with a chance may include Abraham Ancer and Kevin Na, with their games on the upswing and appearing to be good fits for the course; and Brendon Todd, a good fit for the course.

Phil Mickelson, Dustin Johnson, and Brooks Koepka – all of whom have performed well here but in a manner to disappoint some fans in the last two months – also are in the field. Mickelson had five straight top-10s here from 2014 through 2018. Johnson won here in 2012 and 2018. Koepka is the defending champion and has three top-10s overall in the last five iterations of the WGC FedEx.

The second tournament this week is the Barracuda Championship, the Tour’s annual Stableford scoring event. The top pick is Brendan Steele, who comes in having made the last three cuts including 13th at the Memorial and sixth at the Travelers. He is as close as it comes to a regular in this event, having played it six of the last eight years (skipping 2017 and 2018) with four top-10s in that span. Ryan Armour also comes in showing some recent success, top-10s in both the Travelers and Rocket, although he has missed the cut at every other appearance (nine of them) in 2020. Ryan Moore is the top-rated player per the Hawley Ratings, 57th.

The Barracuda has shifted about 15 miles west of Reno NV, its former site, to the Tahoe Mt. Club in mountainous Truckee CA.

World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

July 27, 2020 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks, U.S. Events

Rory McIlroy

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Rory McIlroy	14.0	47
2	Justin Thomas	22.4	1
3	Patrick Cantlay	22.4	35
4	Bryson DeChambeau	24.8	30
5	Tyrrell Hatton	25.4	69
6	Jon Rahm	25.7	52
7	Webb Simpson	25.7	12
8	Daniel Berger	25.9	2
9	Xander Schauffele	31.3	6
10	Dustin Johnson	34.6	12
11	Tommy Fleetwood	34.9	35
12	Abraham Ancer	37.0	15
13	Hideki Matsuyama	38.8	20
14	Matthew Fitzpatrick	40.4	6
15	Billy Horschel	41.3	25
16	Brooks Koepka	42.8	2
17	Patrick Reed	43.5	47
18	Collin Morikawa	45.1	20
19	Ryan Palmer	46.0	15
20	Tony Finau	46.0	65
21	Gary Woodland	46.1	57
22	Viktor Hovland	46.5	59
23	Ian Poulter	47.1	69
24	Paul Casey	48.0	67
25	Kevin Na	48.3	35
26	Sungjae Im	50.1	35
27	Jason Day	50.5	6
28	Sergio Garcia	51.2	35
29	Rickie Fowler	51.3	15
30	Henrik Stenson	51.8	35
31	Matt Kuchar	53.1	25
32	Brandt Snedeker	54.1	67
33	Marc Leishman	54.5	52
34	Rory Sabbatini	54.7	DNP
35	Chez Reavie	55.0	6
36	Adam Hadwin	55.0	72
37	Joel Dahmen	55.1	20
38	Jordan Spieth	55.3	30
39	Lucas Glover	55.5	DNP
40	Louis Oosthuizen	56.0	6
41	Lee Westwood	56.3	DNP
42	Corey Conners	56.4	30
43	Matt Wallace	56.5	59
44	JT Poston	56.7	30
45	Kevin Kisner	57.0	25
46	Brendon Todd	57.3	15
47	Lanto Griffin	57.3	DNP
48	Scottie Scheffler	57.3	15
49	Danny Willett	57.4	69
50	Erik Van Rooyen	57.6	20
51	Matthew Wolff	57.6	49
52	Kevin Streelman	58.0	35
53	Shane Lowry	58.0	6
54	Byeong Hun An	58.2	12
55	Rafa Cabrera Bello	58.5	78
56	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	58.7	20
57	Mackenzie Hughes	58.9	44
58	Jason Kokrak	59.1	44
59	Joaquin Niemann	59.2	52
60	Charles Howell	59.2	DNP
61	Robert MacIntyre	60.2	59
62	Max Homa	60.4	52
63	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	60.4	DNP
64	Cameron Champ	60.9	25
65	Bubba Watson	61.6	25
66	Phil Mickelson	61.8	2
67	Tom Lewis	61.8	2
68	Andrew Putnam	62.9	DNP
69	Matt Jones	63.1	59
70	Jim Furyk	63.3	DNP
71	Sung Kang	63.4	44
72	Bernd Wiesberger	63.8	74
73	Graeme McDowell	64.0	35
74	Keegan Bradley	64.1	52
75	Cameron Smith	64.4	59
76	Nick Taylor	65.2	35
77	Victor Perez	65.5	65
78	Haotong Li	66.2	75
79	Kurt Kitayama	66.7	DNP
80	Branden Grace	68.9	DNP
81	Andrew Landry	69.0	30
82	CT Pan	69.3	72
83	Lucas Herbert	69.3	49
84	Tyler Duncan	69.9	49
85	Jazz Janewattananond	71.6	59
86	Shaun Norris	71.8	75
87	Sebastian Soderberg	75.4	77
88	Chan Kim	77.0	DNP
	Michael Thompson	late entry	57
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The accuracy number for these picks is 173. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Barracuda Championship

July 27, 2020 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Brendan Steele

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Brendan Steele	56.3	53
2	Ryan Moore	57.6	12
3	Chris Stroud	58.1	68
4	Will Gordon	58.4	41
5	Lanto Griffin	58.6	58
6	Cameron Tringale	59.0	DNP
7	Jhonattan Vegas	59.3	100
8	Alex Noren	59.4	9
9	Talor Gooch	59.4	DNP
10	Sam Burns	60.4	78
11	Martin Kaymer	60.7	100
12	Ryan Armour	61.0	119
13	Michael Thompson	61.3	DNP
14	Vaughn Taylor	61.3	DNP
15	Patrick Rodgers	61.9	19
16	Sam Saunders	62.5	107
17	Troy Merritt	62.6	2
18	Maverick McNealy	62.7	7
19	Brian Stuard	62.9	88
20	Matthias Schwab	63.1	3
21	Charley Hoffman	63.3	25
22	Bud Cauley	63.8	51
23	Emiliano Grillo	64.0	9
24	Richy Werenski	64.0	1
25	Russell Henley	64.2	51
26	Si Woo Kim	65.0	41
27	Brice Garnett	66.1	DNP
28	Nick Watney	66.1	105
29	Scott Stallings	66.1	5
30	Wyndham Clark	66.2	35
31	Pat Perez	66.6	18
32	Kurt Kitayama	66.7	93
33	Seamus Power	66.7	9
34	Ben Martin	66.9	78
35	Sebastian Munoz	66.9	DNP
36	Russell Knox	67.1	25
37	Denny McCarthy	67.2	32
38	Adam Schenk	67.7	12
39	Aaron Baddeley	67.9	119
40	Kyle Stanley	67.9	12
41	KH Lee	68.0	40
42	Matthew NeSmith	68.6	57
43	Robby Shelton	68.7	59
44	Chesson Hadley	69.1	17
45	Branden Grace	69.2	WD
46	Kevin Tway	69.8	35
47	Brian Gay	69.9	41
48	Peter Malnati	70.0	41
49	Sam Ryder	70.0	21
50	Harry Higgs	70.4	DNP
51	Chase Seiffert	70.4	78
52	Jonathan Byrd	70.4	93
53	Matt Every	70.6	107
54	Zac Blair	70.8	35
55	Aaron Wise	71.0	8
56	Hank Lebioda	71.1	107
57	JJ Spaun	71.1	48
58	Cameron Davis	71.1	32
59	Bronson Burgoon	71.1	78
60	Shawn Stefani	71.5	122
61	Beau Hossler	71.6	21
62	Peter Uihlein	71.7	35
63	Johnson Wagner	71.8	82
64	Roger Sloan	71.9	41
65	Austin Cook	72.3	53
66	Wes Roach	72.7	107
67	Roberto Castro	72.9	21
68	DJ Trahan	72.9	107
69	Bo Hoag	73.4	29
70	Alex Cejka	73.5	61
71	Zack Sucher	73.6	88
72	Brandon Hagy	73.7	12
73	Kristoffer Ventura	73.9	19
74	Robert Streb	73.9	5
75	Doug Ghim	73.9	48
76	Kramer Hickok	74.0	93
77	Tim Wilkinson	74.2	41
78	Joseph Bramlett	74.2	12
79	Fabian Gomez	74.3	3
80	Josh Teater	74.3	82
81	David Hearn	74.6	48
82	George McNeill	74.7	125
83	Brandon Harkins	74.8	82
84	Cameron Percy	74.9	25
85	Ted Potter	75.1	93
86	Bill Haas	75.4	88
87	Ryan Blaum	75.8	107
88	Dominic Bozzelli	75.9	127
89	Chris Baker	76.0	53
90	Greg Chalmers	76.3	129
91	Vincent Whaley	76.4	68
92	Mark Anderson	76.5	32
93	Sebastian Cappelen	76.6	82
94	Tyler McCumber	76.8	29
95	Rob Oppenheim	77.1	29
96	Michael Gligic	77.1	25
97	Ricky Barnes	77.6	114
98	Dylan Meyer	78.4	100
99	Rhein Gibson	78.5	60
100	Chad Campbell	78.9	126
101	Michael Gellerman	78.9	61
102	Sang-moon Bae	79.1	35
103	Arjun Atwal	79.1	53
104	Ryan Brehm	79.3	68
105	Hunter Mahan	79.4	122
106	Ben Taylor	79.4	122
107	Robert Garrigus	79.5	82
108	Freddie Jacobson	80.0	117
109	Dicky Pride	80.2	132
110	Martin Trainer	80.3	68
111	David Lingmerth	80.5	93
112	John Merrick	80.6	93
113	Jason Gore	80.9	107
114	John Rollins	81.3	88
115	MJ Daffue	81.3	68
116	Daniel Chopra	81.3	68
117	Nelson Ledesma	81.4	68
118	Chris Couch	81.5	DNP
119	Omar Uresti	81.7	132
120	Robert Allenby	81.7	DNP
121	Brian Davis	81.7	132
122	John Senden	81.8	68
123	Charlie Wi	81.8	132
124	Parker McLachlin	81.8	130
125	Justin Suh	82.0	21
126	Charlie Beljan	82.1	100
127	Bo Van Pelt	82.1	88
128	Shaun Micheel	82.1	116
129	Jason Bohn	82.1	132
130	Ted Purdy	82.2	131
131	Heath Slocum	82.2	132
132	Michael Kim	82.2	100
133	Derek Bayley	82.2	68
134	David Berganio	82.2	114
135	Carlos Franco	82.2	DNP
136	Peter Kuest	82.2	65
137	Sahith Theegala	82.2	41
138	Jonathan Kaye	82.2	132
139	Will MacKenzie	82.2	132
140	Brendon de Jonge	82.3	117
	Eric Axley	late entry	76
	Gregor Main	late entry	87
	Tyler Weworski	late entry	106
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The accuracy number for these picks is 14. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Hero Open

July 27, 2020 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Joost Luiten

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Joost Luiten	62.1	90
2	Thorbjorn Olesen	62.4	114
3	Eddie Pepperell	62.5	WD
4	Benjamin Hebert	64.4	34
5	Jordan Smith	64.9	114
6	Andy Sullivan	64.9	41
7	Thomas Detry	65.3	2
8	Ross Fisher	66.0	22
9	Justin Harding	66.1	90
10	Ryan Fox	67.1	15
11	Andrea Pavan	68.3	129
12	Romain Langasque	69.3	57
13	Sam Horsfield	69.5	1
14	Jason Scrivener	69.5	47
15	Matthew Jordan	69.5	119
16	Scott Jamieson	69.6	10
17	Zander Lombard	69.6	128
18	Kalle Samooja	69.7	34
19	Alexander Bjork	69.8	3
20	Pablo Larrazabal	69.9	51
21	Mikko Korhonen	70.6	6
22	Jeff Winther	70.7	121
23	Richie Ramsay	71.0	22
24	Victor Dubuisson	71.0	DNP
25	Aaron Rai	71.2	10
26	Julian Suri	71.2	90
27	Miguel Angel Jimenez	71.3	34
28	Joakim Lagergren	71.3	WD
29	Chris Paisley	71.8	3
30	Guido Migliozzi	71.8	72
31	Matthieu Pavon	71.9	6
32	Renato Paratore	71.9	28
33	Dean Burmester	72.5	98
34	Rasmus Hojgaard	72.5	6
35	Grant Forrest	72.8	34
36	Jack Senior	73.0	72
37	Matthew Southgate	73.1	22
38	Shubhankar Sharma	73.2	79
39	Adrien Saddier	73.3	98
40	Joachim B Hansen	73.7	28
41	Edoardo Molinari	73.7	121
42	Robert Rock	73.7	15
43	Adrian Otaegui	73.9	90
44	Niklas Lemke	74.0	41
45	Marcus Armitage	74.0	15
46	Brandon Stone	74.0	125
47	Masahiro Kawamura	74.0	79
48	Nacho Elvira	74.0	121
49	Soren Kjeldsen	74.1	41
50	Alejandro Canizares	74.2	79
51	Callum Shinkwin	74.3	28
52	Ashley Chesters	74.4	28
53	Calum Hill	74.5	124
54	Clement Sordet	74.5	41
55	Nicolas Colsaerts	74.7	79
56	Oliver Wilson	74.8	107
57	Liam Johnston	74.8	114
58	Min Woo Lee	74.8	98
59	Antoine Rozner	74.9	10
60	Alexander Levy	75.0	47
61	David Horsey	75.0	34
62	Hugo Leon	75.1	DNP
63	Jamie Donaldson	75.1	15
64	Oliver Fisher	75.2	90
65	Tapio Pulkkanen	75.3	63
66	Scott Hend	75.3	125
67	Alvaro Quiros	75.5	90
68	Wil Besseling	75.5	34
69	Johannes Veerman	75.5	28
70	Sean Crocker	75.6	15
71	Si-hwan Kim	75.6	47
72	Connor Syme	75.7	68
73	Paul Dunne	75.8	79
74	Lee Slattery	75.9	57
75	Cormac Sharvin	76.1	47
76	Robin Roussel	76.2	79
77	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	76.2	71
78	Maximilian Kieffer	76.2	6
79	Jonathan Caldwell	76.3	107
80	James Morrison	76.4	119
81	Rikard Karlberg	76.4	41
82	Steven Brown	76.6	65
83	John Catlin	76.7	51
84	David Drysdale	76.7	72
85	Justin Walters	76.8	72
86	Julien Guerrier	76.8	15
87	Louis de Jager	76.9	51
88	JC Ritchie	77.0	DNP
89	Haydn Porteous	77.0	98
90	Scott Vincent	77.2	72
91	Oscar Lengden	77.4	DNP
92	Benjamin Poke	77.4	41
93	Graeme Storm	77.5	125
94	Ben Stow	77.5	34
95	Jake McLeod	77.5	98
96	Dale Whitnell	77.5	51
97	Adrian Meronk	77.5	107
98	Darius van Driel	77.6	51
99	Gavin Moynihan	77.6	79
100	Richard McEvoy	77.6	57
101	Max Schmitt	77.8	79
102	Joel Stalter	78.0	28
103	Thomas Bjorn	78.0	69
104	Bryce Easton	78.1	107
105	Ben Evans	78.1	51
106	Ewen Ferguson	78.1	98
107	Maverick Antcliff	78.3	67
108	Lars van Meijel	78.4	72
109	Laurie Canter	78.4	10
110	Richard Bland	78.5	22
111	Robin Sciot-Siegrist	78.6	79
112	Nicolai Hojgaard	78.6	107
113	Oliver Farr	78.7	3
114	David Law	78.7	114
115	Matthew Baldwin	78.8	72
116	Joel Sjoholm	78.8	22
117	Daan Huizing	79.0	98
118	Lorenzo Scalise	79.1	79
119	Marcel Schneider	79.1	57
120	Marc Warren	79.2	107
121	David Howell	79.4	90
122	Garrick Porteous	79.5	22
123	Toby Tree	79.6	WD
124	Pedro Figueiredo	79.6	107
125	Dave Coupland	79.7	15
126	Sebi Garcia	79.8	10
127	Ross McGowan	79.9	79
128	Aaron Cockerill	79.9	98
129	Carlos Pigem	79.9	63
130	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	80.0	DNP
131	Rhys Enoch	80.2	57
132	Martin Simonsen	80.4	DNP
133	Damien Perrier	80.4	DNP
134	Steven Tiley	80.7	65
135	Ricardo Santos	80.7	57
136	Marco Penge	80.7	98
137	Paul Hendriksen	80.7	90
138	Michael Campbell	80.7	70
139	Ugo Coussaud	80.7	DNP
140	Emilio Cuartero Blanco	80.7	114
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The accuracy number for these picks is 11. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

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