A Look at Golf – Page 74 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

Scandinavian Invitation

August 19, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Matthew Fitzpatrick	30.8	2
2	Henrik Stenson	31.3	3
3	Alex Noren	50.8	40
4	Erik Van Rooyen	53.7	1
5	Andy Sullivan	59.2	20
6	Joost Luiten	61.9	29
7	Tom Lewis	61.9	59
8	Andrea Pavan	61.9	16
9	Jordan Smith	62.9	96
10	Thomas Detry	63.8	20
11	Benjamin Hebert	63.9	96
12	Julian Suri	64.5	133
13	Paul Waring	65.0	20
14	Robert MacIntyre	65.2	85
15	Andrew Johnston	65.9	10
16	Maximilian Kieffer	66.1	106
17	Alexander Bjork	66.4	20
18	Gavin Green	66.9	16
19	Nicolas Colsaerts	66.9	53
20	Adri Arnaus	67.0	133
21	Chris Paisley	67.3	121
22	Edoardo Molinari	67.6	75
23	Jason Scrivener	67.7	20
24	Romain Langasque	67.8	96
25	Victor Dubuisson	68.0	WD
26	Lee Slattery	68.1	40
27	Nino Bertasio	68.3	DNP
28	George Coetzee	68.6	121
29	Scott Jamieson	68.7	145
30	Sam Horsfield	68.7	10
31	Robert Rock	69.2	70
32	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	69.5	68
33	Alexander Levy	69.8	5
34	Aaron Rai	69.8	29
35	Adrian Otaegui	69.8	96
36	Marcus Kinhult	70.0	20
37	Bradley Dredge	70.4	47
38	Oliver Wilson	70.5	84
39	Darren Fichardt	70.6	96
40	Victor Perez	70.7	10
41	Soren Kjeldsen	70.9	29
42	Lucas Herbert	71.0	96
43	Callum Shinkwin	71.2	WD
44	Robert Karlsson	71.4	114
45	Haydn Porteous	71.4	29
46	Jeff Winther	71.5	37
47	Joakim Lagergren	71.6	10
48	Renato Paratore	71.6	20
49	Min Woo Lee	71.6	83
50	Masahiro Kawamura	71.6	40
51	Wade Ormsby	71.7	5
52	Paul Dunne	71.7	142
53	Brandon Stone	71.8	75
54	Gaganjeet Bhullar	72.0	53
55	Alejandro Canizares	72.0	40
56	Matthew Southgate	72.1	10
57	Si-hwan Kim	72.2	5
58	Sean Crocker	72.2	WD
59	Matthieu Pavon	72.3	10
60	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	72.4	59
61	Zander Lombard	72.4	16
62	Ashley Chesters	72.5	106
63	Romain Wattel	72.7	85
64	Dean Burmester	72.9	3
65	Hugo Leon	73.0	85
66	Oliver Fisher	73.0	137
67	Richie Ramsay	73.0	121
68	Tapio Pulkkanen	73.1	106
69	Jack Singh Brar	73.1	37
70	Stephen Gallacher	73.3	47
71	Hideto Tanihara	73.4	137
72	Andres Romero	73.5	106
73	Chris Wood	73.5	53
74	Jamie Donaldson	73.6	5
75	Niklas Lemke	73.6	20
76	Berry Henson	73.6	DNP
77	Lasse Jensen	73.7	121
78	Kalle Samooja	73.7	47
79	Ashun Wu	73.7	20
80	Thomas Bjorn	73.8	114
81	Matthew Nixon	73.8	29
82	Joachim B Hansen	73.9	16
83	Sebastian Soderberg	73.9	5
84	Jens Dantorp	73.9	40
85	Kristoffer Reitan	74.1	96
86	Lorenzo Gagli	74.1	40
87	Paul Peterson	74.3	59
88	Espen Kofstad	74.3	DNP
89	Rikard Karlberg	74.3	53
90	Jacques Kruyswijk	74.3	114
91	John Catlin	74.4	29
92	James Morrison	74.5	29
93	Anton Karlsson	74.6	78
94	Max Schmitt	74.7	72
95	Justin Walters	74.8	59
96	Ricardo Gouveia	74.9	81
97	Kim Koivu	75.0	114
98	Marcel Siem	75.1	121
99	Dimitrios Papadatos	75.1	85
100	Daniel Gavins	75.2	WD
101	Steven Brown	75.3	114
102	David Law	75.3	121
103	Michael Hoey	75.3	147
104	Louis de Jager	75.3	85
105	Liam Johnston	75.4	106
106	Adrien Saddier	75.4	74
107	Gavin Moynihan	75.5	47
108	Jeunghun Wang	75.6	78
109	Marc Warren	75.6	121
110	Jin Choi	75.6	121
111	Richard McEvoy	75.6	137
112	Bernd Ritthammer	75.7	59
113	Sam Brazel	75.9	85
114	Christofer Blomstrand	76.0	121
115	Raphael Jacquelin	76.0	106
116	Ben Evans	76.1	66
117	Filippo Bergamaschi	76.1	96
118	Yusaku Miyazato	76.2	96
119	Austin Connelly	76.3	47
120	Nick Cullen	76.3	82
121	Stuart Manley	76.5	133
122	David Howell	76.5	114
123	Tom Murray	76.5	96
124	Deyen Lawson	76.6	53
125	Hyo-won Park	76.8	66
126	Max Orrin	77.1	70
127	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	77.1	59
128	Per Langfors	77.4	53
129	Joel Girrbach	77.4	85
130	Pedro Figueiredo	77.5	85
131	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	77.7	40
132	David Borda	77.8	121
133	Henric Sturehed	78.4	59
134	Adam Bland	79.1	75
135	Soomin Lee	79.2	121
136	Laurie Canter	79.3	114
137	Johan Edfors	79.4	78
138	Nicolas Geyger	79.4	DNP
139	Josh Geary	79.6	DNP
140	Jonathan Thomson	79.6	121
141	Ryan Evans	79.7	29
142	Brett Rumford	80.6	73
143	Ross McGowan	80.9	DNP
144	Oscar Lengden	81.0	142
145	Philipp Mejow	81.1	DNP
146	Philip Eriksson	81.7	147
147	Duncan Stewart	81.8	DNP
148	Luis Gagne	81.9	137
149	Simon Forsstrom	81.9	147
150	Scott Gregory	82.2	85
151	Jarmo Sandelin	82.2	137
152	Zheng-kai Bai	82.2	68
153	Albin Bergstrom	82.2	85
154	Vincent Norman	82.2	106
155	Joakim Wikstrom	82.2	133
156	Stefan Idstam	82.2	151
157	Joannes Axell	82.2	147
158	Christopher Sahlstrom	82.2	106
159	Alexander Wennstam	82.2	142
160	Minkyu Kim	82.2	145
161	Borja Virto Astudillo	82.2	37
	David Nyfjall	late entry	52
	David Lingmerth	late entry	92
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 261. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 18, 2019)

August 19, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Rory McIlroy is no. 1 heading into the Tour Championship.

#	Thru Aug. 18, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Rory McIlroy	48	1858	1
2	Justin Rose	50	1759	2
3	Patrick Cantlay	47	1740	5
4	Justin Thomas	51	1732	6
5	Jon Rahm	53	1718	4
6	Dustin Johnson	48	1693	3
7	Brooks Koepka	47	1591	8
8	Webb Simpson	50	1590	7
9	Tommy Fleetwood	60	1539	10
10	Tiger Woods	33	1509	9
11	Adam Scott	43	1448	11
12	Rickie Fowler	48	1377	12
13	Tony Finau	60	1342	14
14	Paul Casey	49	1301	13
15	Hideki Matsuyama	53	1285	18
16	Xander Schauffele	52	1271	17
17	Jason Day	47	1239	15
18	Francesco Molinari	46	1227	16
19	Louis Oosthuizen	47	1213	20
20	Patrick Reed	63	1184	21
21	Matt Kuchar	58	1149	19
22	Bryson DeChambeau	55	1141	22
23	Henrik Stenson	45	1138	24
24	Jordan Spieth	53	1122	23
25	Ian Poulter	58	1108	25
26	Marc Leishman	52	1047	30
27	Gary Woodland	56	1032	28
28	Billy Horschel	57	1031	29
29	Viktor Hovland	13	1008	26
30	Tyrrell Hatton	55	1005	32
31	Jason Kokrak	53	998	33
32	Rafa Cabrera Bello	59	982	31
33	Collin Morikawa	10	979	27
34	Brandt Snedeker	54	949	40
35	Kevin Kisner	57	940	39
36	Rory Sabbatini	53	938	34
37	Byeong Hun An	57	906	35
38	Alex Noren	49	905	36
39	Charles Howell	57	889	38
40	Lucas Glover	49	889	48
41	Chez Reavie	57	879	37
42	Emiliano Grillo	54	869	43
43	Shane Lowry	56	866	41
44	Bubba Watson	48	864	44
45	Ryan Moore	46	862	42
46	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	859	45
47	Sergio Garcia	54	844	46
48	Sungjae Im	42	828	55
49	Adam Hadwin	54	828	47
50	Abraham Ancer	63	794	53
51	Phil Mickelson	49	794	49
52	Jim Furyk	36	785	50
53	Cameron Smith	55	784	54
54	Scott Piercy	50	783	52
55	Ryan Palmer	43	779	51
56	Andrew Putnam	57	766	56
57	Joaquin Niemann	41	762	57
58	Matt Wallace	62	743	59
59	Kyle Stanley	57	743	58
60	Luke List	55	732	60
61	Kevin Na	50	729	61
62	Matthew Wolff	8	707	63
63	Keegan Bradley	57	698	64
64	Brian Harman	59	690	65
65	Doc Redman	12	688	66
66	Zach Johnson	47	681	67
67	Kevin Chappell	34	668	62
68	Russell Knox	61	667	68
69	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	63	660	69
70	Vaughn Taylor	53	658	78
71	Aaron Wise	53	654	70
72	Chesson Hadley	60	644	73
73	Kevin Streelman	54	643	72
74	Haotong Li	54	641	74
75	Danny Willett	49	638	76
76	Lee Westwood	42	622	71
77	Thomas Pieters	50	618	79
78	Eddie Pepperell	48	614	75
79	CT Pan	58	605	80
80	Si Woo Kim	64	605	81
81	Jamie Lovemark	36	599	77
82	Bud Cauley	44	596	82
83	JT Poston	55	593	92
84	Charley Hoffman	57	591	83
85	Thorbjorn Olesen	50	590	84
86	Erik Van Rooyen	48	589	85
87	Joel Dahmen	61	589	89
88	Daniel Berger	49	585	86
89	Branden Grace	56	577	87
90	Lucas Bjerregaard	56	575	88
91	Kevin Tway	59	566	103
92	Troy Merritt	54	559	91
93	Harold Varner	60	550	90
94	Michael Thompson	45	548	93
95	Steve Stricker	21	543	95
96	Nick Watney	52	534	97
97	Wyndham Clark	34	532	100
98	Jhonattan Vegas	57	531	96
99	Graeme McDowell	55	530	94
100	Jimmy Walker	46	526	101
101	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	48	520	102
102	Keith Mitchell	59	520	99
103	Stewart Cink	43	519	104
104	Bernd Wiesberger	36	515	98
105	Andy Sullivan	48	511	106
106	Pat Perez	51	510	105
107	Chris Kirk	47	507	107
108	Russell Henley	52	506	108
109	Brian Gay	58	505	109
110	Joost Luiten	39	496	110
111	Jason Dufner	51	495	112
112	Sam Burns	40	492	111
113	Martin Laird	52	487	114
114	JB Holmes	50	478	113
115	Beau Hossler	59	475	117
116	Corey Conners	63	474	138
117	Dylan Frittelli	67	468	116
118	Sung Kang	58	468	115
119	Patrick Rodgers	49	456	121
120	Charl Schwartzel	46	455	122
121	Martin Kaymer	56	454	123
122	Robert MacIntyre	21	453	118
123	Austin Cook	56	450	125
124	Ryan Armour	63	448	126
125	Julian Suri	47	448	119
126	JJ Spaun	54	439	129
127	Tom Lewis	43	439	120
128	Danny Lee	60	434	131
129	Brice Garnett	62	434	130
130	Nate Lashley	46	433	127
131	Max Homa	29	430	124
132	Peter Uihlein	66	430	128
133	Andrea Pavan	50	429	136
134	Jorge Campillo	55	426	133
135	Ryan Fox	51	424	135
136	Brian Stuard	62	422	134
137	Roger Sloan	36	416	139
138	Alexander Bjork	51	415	137
139	Denny McCarthy	58	413	140
140	Jordan Smith	50	411	143
141	Aaron Baddeley	49	411	141
142	Matt Jones	58	411	142
143	Thomas Detry	54	407	146
144	Scott Stallings	58	405	144
145	Justin Harding	36	399	148
146	Talor Gooch	53	393	149
147	William McGirt	27	392	147
148	Peter Malnati	58	391	150
149	Zack Sucher	11	386	132
150	Adam Schenk	67	386	154
151	KH Lee	39	383	152
152	Patton Kizzire	56	382	151
153	Brendan Steele	48	381	153
154	Nick Taylor	62	379	156
155	Cameron Tringale	55	379	157
156	Scott Brown	61	377	155
157	Sepp Straka	35	373	159
158	Sam Ryder	53	371	163
159	Sean O’Hair	35	371	158
160	Johnson Wagner	47	370	160
161	Mackenzie Hughes	55	368	161
162	Bronson Burgoon	49	365	165
163	Andrew Landry	57	365	164
164	Chase Seiffert	8	363
165	Seamus Power	61	358	162
166	Trey Mullinax	53	352	167
167	Matt Every	50	352	168
168	Chris Paisley	46	348	170
169	Doug Ghim	18	348	166
170	Shawn Stefani	59	345	169
171	Benjamin Hebert	46	344	173
172	Roberto Castro	26	343	172
173	John Oda	12	342	145
174	Carlos Ortiz	37	340	175
175	James Hahn	38	339	174
176	Sebastian Munoz	36	339	176
177	Wes Roach	30	334	171
178	Ted Potter	55	332	179
179	Jim Knous	23	329	181
180	Romain Langasque	31	329	183
181	Jonas Blixt	55	323	184
182	Adam Long	35	323	177
183	Ryan Blaum	56	322	188
184	Richard Sterne	46	321	186
185	Adrian Otaegui	58	319	180
186	David Hearn	47	317	185
187	Paul Waring	46	317	182
188	Scottie Scheffler	9	317	218
189	Bill Haas	50	316	189
190	Hank Lebioda	28	315	178
191	Sam Horsfield	47	313	198
192	Min Woo Lee	12	312	192
193	Andrew Johnston	35	312	193
194	Ross Fisher	47	311	191
195	Grayson Murray	39	310	190
196	Anirban Lahiri	56	309	196
197	Harris English	61	308	194
198	Josh Teater	35	307	187
199	Sam Saunders	56	299	199
200	Retief Goosen	24	298	200
201	Pablo Larrazabal	47	295	201
202	Marcus Kinhult	42	295	204
203	Matthias Schwab	45	293	210
204	Cameron Champ	37	292	197
205	Paul Dunne	54	292	203
206	Chris Stroud	54	290	205
207	Victor Dubuisson	24	289	195
208	Robert Rock	47	288	207
209	Richy Werenski	61	287	206
210	Ben Martin	22	285	209
211	Oliver Wilson	23	285	208
212	Tom Hoge	69	282	213
213	John Huh	43	281	202
214	Fabrizio Zanotti	40	279	211
215	Dylan Meyer	17	277	214
216	Cameron Percy	26	277	224
217	Alexander Levy	49	275	215
218	Jason Scrivener	56	271	217
219	Brendon Todd	18	270	243
220	David Lipsky	56	269	212
221	KJ Choi	21	265	223
222	Aaron Rai	56	264	221
223	Adri Arnaus	26	263	248
224	DJ Trahan	23	263	216
225	Brandon Harkins	63	261	219
226	Jazz Janewattananond	36	261	229
227	Gavin Green	51	260	220
228	Roberto Diaz	58	258	222
229	Kelly Kraft	64	255	231
230	Ollie Schniederjans	59	254	226
231	Darren Fichardt	44	254	230
232	Tyler Duncan	66	254	228
233	Alex Prugh	34	252	225
234	Curtis Luck	36	252	241
235	Mikko Korhonen	48	249	232
236	Chris Wood	42	249	236
237	Greg Chalmers	24	246	244
238	Lucas Herbert	38	245	239
239	Fabian Gomez	54	245	233
240	Matthew Southgate	50	244	238
241	Nacho Elvira	52	243	242
242	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	48	242	245
243	Dean Burmester	55	241	234
244	George Coetzee	54	238	235
245	Hudson Swafford	44	238	246
246	Kramer Hickok	33	238	250
247	Jonathan Byrd	50	237	237
248	Cameron Davis	37	235	240
249	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	232	251
250	Sang-hyun Park	22	230	254
251	Adam Svensson	35	230	253
252	Shubhankar Sharma	53	229	249
253	Robert Streb	64	228	262
254	Stephan Jaeger	62	228	252
255	Joey Garber	25	227	247
256	Dominic Bozzelli	49	226	256
257	Steve Marino	12	226	227
258	Mikko Ilonen	26	226	259
259	Victor Perez	25	223	261
260	Ben Crane	43	222	255
261	Brandon Stone	50	220	258
262	Scott Jamieson	51	220	260
263	Soren Kjeldsen	46	219	257
264	Robert Garrigus	43	219	265
265	Wade Ormsby	52	218	264
266	Edoardo Molinari	54	212	272
267	Nino Bertasio	55	212	263
268	John Peterson	18	209	270
269	Chase Wright	31	209	266
270	Satoshi Kodaira	46	207	271
271	Sean Crocker	30	204	274
272	Scott Hend	55	203	273
273	Julien Guerrier	29	202	276
274	TJ Vogel	10	201	305
275	Maximilian Kieffer	49	201	275
276	Callum Shinkwin	43	199	269
277	David Horsey	47	199	268
278	Lee Slattery	53	197	278
279	Alex Cejka	51	196	280
280	Vijay Singh	17	196	281
281	Alvaro Quiros	44	196	285
282	Nicolas Colsaerts	54	193	277
283	Nicholas Lindheim	53	191	279
284	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	189	290
285	Gaganjeet Bhullar	37	189	282
286	Richie Ramsay	49	188	283
287	Luke Donald	27	188	286
288	Scott Langley	36	187	284
289	Hideto Tanihara	48	186	291
290	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	29	186	287
291	Renato Paratore	56	183	292
292	Eduardo de la Riva	14	183	267
293	Masahiro Kawamura	33	182	309
294	Oliver Fisher	52	182	289
295	Matthieu Pavon	55	182	288
296	Seung-su Han	27	181	296
297	Ashun Wu	53	180	300
298	Shugo Imahira	25	179	303
299	Tyrone van Aswegen	52	179	299
300	Derek Fathauer	44	179	301
301	Matthew Jordan	10	179	302
302	Ashley Chesters	58	177	312
303	Jeff Winther	44	177	294
304	Ernie Els	50	177	295
305	Tapio Pulkkanen	47	176	304
306	Hunter Mahan	50	176	297
307	Joakim Lagergren	48	176	308
308	Benjamin Silverman	61	175	298
309	Grant Forrest	29	175	293
310	Haydn Porteous	61	172	317
311	Padraig Harrington	50	171	307
312	Stephen Gallacher	50	171	306
313	Bradley Dredge	44	169	313
314	Whee Kim	59	168	310
315	David Lingmerth	48	166	315
316	Guido Migliozzi	20	161	318
317	Si-hwan Kim	26	161	314
318	Blayne Barber	30	161	311
319	Anders Albertson	34	160	316
320	Kurt Kitayama	25	159	320
321	Henrik Norlander	12	159	334
322	Tom Lovelady	50	159	319
323	Wesley Bryan	30	158	323
324	Trevor Immelman	25	157	325
325	Thongchai Jaidee	42	157	324
326	Jose-Filipe Lima	16	155	322
327	Hugo Leon	17	155	388
328	Lanto Griffin	36	154	321
329	JJ Henry	54	151	330
330	Romain Wattel	47	151	337
331	Martin Piller	53	149	329
332	Brad Kennedy	14	147	331
333	Billy Hurley	41	147	335
334	Jamie Arnold	9	147	574
335	Julian Etulain	33	145	328
336	Alejandro Canizares	36	145	326
337	Andres Romero	41	144	336
338	Brett Stegmaier	31	143	327
339	Joachim B Hansen	25	141	339
340	Berry Henson	17	141	355
341	Kalle Samooja	22	141	332
342	Thomas Aiken	47	141	340
343	George McNeill	19	141	338
344	Rikard Karlberg	9	138	592
345	Cody Gribble	53	137	346
346	Chip McDaniel	9	137	343
347	Niklas Lemke	19	136	333
348	Davis Love	22	136	345
349	Chad Campbell	47	135	348
350	Jacques Kruyswijk	45	135	356
351	Jeunghun Wang	56	134	344
352	John Catlin	25	133	353
353	Daniel Summerhays	28	132	354
354	Zander Lombard	54	131	374
355	Brett Drewitt	11	131	352
356	Jason Gore	13	130	361
357	Steve Wheatcroft	30	129	342
358	Max Schmitt	19	129	341
359	Kristoffer Reitan	19	129	398
360	Neil Schietekat	8	128	358
361	Johan Carlsson	11	128	369
362	Sang-moon Bae	42	128	357
363	Zac Blair	34	127	350
364	Anton Karlsson	20	126	347
365	Peter Hanson	30	125	362
366	Clement Sordet	43	124	363
367	Stuart Appleby	24	124	372
368	David Drysdale	55	123	366
369	Lorenzo Gagli	37	123	359
370	Rob Oppenheim	38	122	351
371	Jack Singh Brar	25	122	414
372	Martin Flores	36	121	349
373	Prayad Marksaeng	15	121	373
374	Matthew Nixon	36	121	364
375	Oliver Bekker	11	119	376
376	Jarryd Felton	10	118	379
377	Panuphol Pittayarat	21	118	377
378	Gareth Paddison	8	118	378
379	Espen Kofstad	17	117	367
380	Jamie Donaldson	38	117	365
381	Yuta Ikeda	29	117	382
382	Ethan Tracy	32	117	383
383	Paul Peterson	38	115	370
384	Ryuko Tokimatsu	17	115	387
385	Gregory Havret	39	114	386
386	Justin Walters	52	114	380
387	Thomas Bjorn	36	113	375
388	Dimitrios Papadatos	22	113	391
389	Ryo Ishikawa	18	113	389
390	JC Ritchie	13	113	368
391	Anthony Wall	12	113	392
392	Boo Weekley	10	112	360
393	Ricardo Gouveia	54	112	390
394	Michael Kim	54	111	395
395	Kyle Jones	31	110	384
396	Graeme Storm	18	110	381
397	Robert Karlsson	45	110	434
398	Richard McEvoy	37	109	399
399	Henric Sturehed	24	109	400
400	Marcus Fraser	42	109	396
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the BMW Championship

August 13, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

They are down to the top 70 players in the FedEx Cup and the site this week is Medinah Country Club, located just over 20 miles west of Wrigley Field in the Chicago northwest metro area. Tiger Woods won’t have any trouble remembering where it is or what the course is like – he won the last two PGA Tour events played on the No. 3 course there (and was terrible there in the 2012 Ryder Cup).

Woods coasted home by five strokes over Shaun Micheel in the 2006 PGA and won the 1999 PGA by one over Sergio Garcia. In the 2012 Ryder Cup, Woods went 0-3-1, where he and playing partner Steve Stricker were the only Americans who did not win a match. After withdrawing from last week’s Northern Trust due to a mild oblique strain, it would be quite a reach to call Woods one of the favorites this weekend, regardless of the PGA Championship successes of prior decades. However, he was on site at Medinah Tuesday and confirmed that he would play. “I feel good,” Woods told espn.com. “Feel a lot better than I felt last week. Felt good this morning, so I thought I’d give it a go.” Woods is 38th in FedEx Cup points, and only the top 30 will move on to the Tour Championship, a title Woods won last year. He needs to finish solo 11th or better to be assured of moving into the top 30.

The world top two per the Hawley Ratings appear to be the favorites here. That’s no. 1 Rory McIlroy and no. 2 Justin Rose. Rose gets a slight edge based on better play this summer, and he has the best record of any player in the field in the BMW Championship. (Granted, this event moves around from venue to venue and never has been played here previously.) Rose has two top-10s (Northern Trust and U.S. Open) and three top-20s in his last five appearances.

Among other logical favorites, Jon Rahm and Webb Simpson come into the event with good recent success. Rahm has a win (Irish Open), a second, two thirds, a seventh, and an 11th in his last six appearances. Simpson has been the runner-up three times (Wyndham, FedEx St. Jude, Canadian) since the start of June and only once was out of the top 20.

Among the longshots, consider Andrew Putnam, who has a top-10 (Scottish Open), a top-20, and two top-40s in his last four outings; Adam Schenk, a top-10 (Deere) and three made cuts in his last four; Corey Conners, three straight finishes in the 20s; and Wyndham Clark, one top-10 (3M) and six straight made cuts since mid-June.

The Medinah No. 3 course presented a balanced challenge to the players in the two PGA Championships that were won by Woods. The statistics most strongly correlated with success were greens in regulation, driving distance, and scrambling, with sand saves also significant. From a panel discussion, golfdigest.com reports this comment re Medinah: “This is one big, bold, and very demanding golf course. Insanely hard from the tips. The par-threes (three of the four) are good but repetitive in their look and shot demands. Testing par-fours, and interesting par-fives. Just one of those great tests of golf, albeit not necessarily inspiring.”

Brooks Koepka (in the top 10 percent of all PGA/ Euro pros in all four of those stats) is the player whose statistical profile is the best match for the course, per the Hawley course fit statistics. Patrick Cantlay, Dustin Johnson, and McIlroy all are within a quarter-stroke of Koepka, and almost half the field (29 more players) is within a half-stroke. In terms of longshots who might find the course to their liking, Clark, Harold Varner, Scott Piercy, Joaquin Niemann, Sungjae Im, Kevin Tway, Dylan Frittelli, Schenk, and Sung Kang all fall outside the top 50 in the Hawley Ratings but inside the half-stroke of course fit noted above.

BMW Championship

August 12, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Justin Rose

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Justin Rose	-3.8	52
2	Rory McIlroy	-3.4	19
3	Jon Rahm	3.6	5
4	Webb Simpson	13.0	24
5	Justin Thomas	13.2	1
6	Patrick Cantlay	14.6	2
7	Dustin Johnson	18.8	57
8	Adam Scott	19.6	9
9	Brooks Koepka	21.1	24
10	Tiger Woods	22.1	37
11	Tommy Fleetwood	24.3	11
12	Paul Casey	28.3	24
13	Rickie Fowler	28.6	11
14	Patrick Reed	29.5	19
15	Billy Horschel	29.8	37
16	Jordan Spieth	30.2	37
17	Xander Schauffele	31.1	19
18	Ian Poulter	31.6	31
19	Matt Kuchar	32.6	52
20	Jason Kokrak	33.1	19
21	Louis Oosthuizen	35.3	11
22	Hideki Matsuyama	36.4	3
23	Tony Finau	36.7	4
24	Francesco Molinari	37.0	61
25	Rafa Cabrera Bello	38.9	63
26	Rory Sabbatini	39.4	16
27	Jason Day	39.5	52
28	Collin Morikawa	40.3	48
29	Marc Leishman	41.6	19
30	Bryson DeChambeau	42.3	48
31	Kevin Kisner	43.3	9
32	Byeong Hun An	43.4	28
33	Lucas Glover	44.7	7
34	Shane Lowry	45.2	48
35	Brandt Snedeker	45.5	5
36	Gary Woodland	45.6	31
37	Andrew Putnam	46.9	43
38	Charles Howell	47.0	37
39	Jim Furyk	47.8	57
40	Chez Reavie	49.7	57
41	Joaquin Niemann	50.3	31
42	Sungjae Im	50.5	11
43	Scott Piercy	50.6	37
44	Ryan Palmer	51.1	43
45	Ryan Moore	52.1	37
46	Abraham Ancer	52.3	28
47	Adam Hadwin	53.3	43
48	Kevin Na	55.8	DNP
49	Vaughn Taylor	55.9	16
50	Emiliano Grillo	56.0	31
51	Keegan Bradley	58.6	43
52	Wyndham Clark	59.0	31
53	JT Poston	59.8	16
54	Troy Merritt	60.1	43
55	Phil Mickelson	60.1	48
56	Harold Varner	61.3	68
57	5549	57.0	DNP
58	Dylan Frittelli	61.8	52
59	JB Holmes	61.8	65
60	Adam Schenk	62.5	DNP
61	CT Pan	62.6	31
62	Si Woo Kim	63.2	28
63	Graeme McDowell	63.4	57
64	Nate Lashley	64.2	69
65	Joel Dahmen	64.5	24
66	Max Homa	64.6	61
67	Keith Mitchell	64.7	52
68	Sung Kang	64.7	63
69	Kevin Tway	64.8	11
70	Adam Long	68.6	65
71	Cameron Champ	69.9	65
	Corey Conners	late entry	7
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 93. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

D+D Real Czech Masters

August 12, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Thomas Pieters

Pick	Player	Actual Finish	Observed Odds
1	Thomas Pieters	46.7	1
2	Lee Westwood	50.3	109
3	Erik Van Rooyen	54.2	5
4	Eddie Pepperell	56.0	98
5	Bernd Wiesberger	56.5	30
6	Tom Lewis	58.2	WD
7	Andrea Pavan	62.3	3
8	Julian Suri	64.0	72
9	Lee Slattery	64.5	39
10	Jason Scrivener	64.9	30
11	Robert MacIntyre	65.4	23
12	Alexander Bjork	65.5	23
13	Gavin Green	65.7	58
14	Edoardo Molinari	67.0	14
15	Paul Waring	67.4	30
16	Victor Dubuisson	67.8	39
17	Andrew Johnston	67.9	DNP
18	Nino Bertasio	68.2	109
19	George Coetzee	68.3	123
20	Matthias Schwab	68.4	5
21	Scott Jamieson	68.5	39
22	Adri Arnaus	68.8	2
23	Adrian Otaegui	69.3	119
24	Jeff Winther	69.4	70
25	Aaron Rai	69.9	39
26	Sam Horsfield	69.9	3
27	Mikko Korhonen	70.2	39
28	David Horsey	70.4	98
29	Haydn Porteous	70.5	11
30	Oliver Fisher	70.5	51
31	Gaganjeet Bhullar	70.6	130
32	Renato Paratore	70.9	39
33	Brandon Stone	70.9	136
34	Callum Shinkwin	71.0	72
35	Bradley Dredge	71.1	39
36	Grant Forrest	71.2	147
37	Darren Fichardt	71.2	30
38	Soren Kjeldsen	71.4	84
39	Paul Peterson	71.5	136
40	Paul Dunne	71.6	23
41	Si-hwan Kim	71.8	51
42	Jamie Donaldson	71.8	72
43	Masahiro Kawamura	71.8	18
44	Ernie Els	71.9	119
45	Alexander Levy	72.0	18
46	Alejandro Canizares	72.0	123
47	Dean Burmester	72.0	58
48	Nicolas Colsaerts	72.2	58
49	Matthieu Pavon	72.2	150
50	Matthew Southgate	72.3	30
51	Richie Ramsay	72.4	58
52	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	72.5	23
53	Ashley Chesters	72.6	18
54	Tapio Pulkkanen	73.1	39
55	Espen Kofstad	73.1	48
56	Stephen Gallacher	73.2	72
57	Zander Lombard	73.2	11
58	Lorenzo Gagli	73.4	72
59	Berry Henson	73.5	23
60	Kalle Samooja	73.5	51
61	Joachim B Hansen	73.7	30
62	Justin Walters	73.7	58
63	Romain Wattel	73.8	14
64	Sebastian Soderberg	73.8	130
65	Niklas Lemke	73.9	84
66	Anton Karlsson	74.1	72
67	Eduardo de la Riva	74.1	72
68	Lasse Jensen	74.1	84
69	Marcel Siem	74.1	123
70	Max Schmitt	74.2	136
71	Jack Singh Brar	74.2	14
72	Thomas Bjorn	74.3	58
73	Matthew Nixon	74.3	58
74	John Catlin	74.5	30
75	Jacques Kruyswijk	74.5	23
76	Steven Brown	74.6	84
77	Hugo Leon	74.6	5
78	David Law	74.6	98
79	Adrien Saddier	74.7	141
80	James Morrison	74.8	30
81	Louis de Jager	74.8	109
82	Bernd Ritthammer	74.8	109
83	Robert Karlsson	74.8	10
84	Ricardo Gouveia	75.0	48
85	Dimitrios Papadatos	75.0	39
86	Gavin Moynihan	75.1	72
87	Jarin Todd	75.1	141
88	Marc Warren	75.1	84
89	Kristoffer Reitan	75.2	14
90	Kim Koivu	75.2	11
91	Jeunghun Wang	75.3	98
92	Jin Choi	75.4	130
93	Sam Brazel	75.6	136
94	Jens Dantorp	75.6	119
95	David Howell	75.6	30
96	Nick Cullen	75.7	84
97	Stuart Manley	75.7	67
98	Padraig Harrington	75.7	58
99	Filippo Bergamaschi	75.8	109
100	Raphael Jacquelin	75.9	136
101	Matteo Manassero	76.0	141
102	Austin Connelly	76.1	WD
103	Daniel Gavins	76.2	18
104	Ben Evans	76.2	18
105	Liam Johnston	76.3	5
106	Deyen Lawson	76.3	109
107	Tom Murray	76.3	51
108	Christofer Blomstrand	76.4	123
109	Hyo-won Park	76.6	72
110	Max Orrin	76.9	123
111	Joel Girrbach	77.1	84
112	Per Langfors	77.1	84
113	Pedro Figueiredo	77.3	152
114	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	77.3	72
115	JC Ritchie	77.4	48
116	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	77.4	23
117	Pep Angles	77.5	84
118	David Borda	77.6	109
119	Bryce Easton	78.0	51
120	Yi Keun Chang	78.3	123
121	Ryan Evans	79.0	84
122	Adam Bland	79.0	149
123	Johannes Veerman	79.0	84
124	Soomin Lee	79.1	71
125	Chris Hanson	79.2	58
126	Jonathan Thomson	79.3	98
127	Josh Geary	79.4	84
128	Pedro Oriol	79.9	72
129	Brett Rumford	80.4	98
130	Rikard Karlberg	80.6	5
131	Duncan Stewart	81.5	119
132	Marcel Schneider	81.9	72
133	Filip Mruzek	82.0	109
134	Philipp Mejow	82.0	84
135	Wilco Nienaber	82.0	51
136	Nick McCarthy	82.1	98
137	Scott Gregory	82.1	141
138	Stanislav Matus	82.2	98
139	Peter Valasek	82.2	123
140	Mathiam Keyser	82.2	51
141	Aaron Leitmannstetter	82.2	151
142	Liam Robinson	82.2	69
143	Michal Pospisil	82.2	98
144	Lukas Tintera	82.2	141
145	Stefan Palenik	82.2	152
146	Filip Raza	82.2	141
147	Jiri Zuska	82.2	147
148	Pavol Mach	82.2	98
149	Petr Hruby	82.2	154
150	Jakub Bares	82.2	84
151	Jan Cafourek	82.2	109
152	Ales Korinek	82.2	98
153	Simon Zach	82.2	130
154	Daniel Suchan	82.2	130
155	Petr Gal	82.2	130
156	Chris Lloyd	82.2	68
	Christopher Sahlstrom	late entry	117
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 366. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 11, 2019)

August 12, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Rory McIlroy holds the no. 1 ranking after one event of the FedEx Cup playoffs.

#	Thru Aug. 11, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Rory McIlroy	48	1868	1
2	Justin Rose	50	1813	2
3	Dustin Johnson	48	1752	3
4	Jon Rahm	53	1688	8
5	Patrick Cantlay	47	1688	4
6	Justin Thomas	51	1684	5
7	Webb Simpson	50	1604	9
8	Brooks Koepka	47	1601	7
9	Tiger Woods	32	1560	6
10	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1520	10
11	Adam Scott	42	1405	14
12	Rickie Fowler	48	1352	11
13	Paul Casey	49	1313	13
14	Tony Finau	60	1297	17
15	Jason Day	47	1283	12
16	Francesco Molinari	46	1268	15
17	Xander Schauffele	52	1265	16
18	Hideki Matsuyama	53	1228	18
19	Matt Kuchar	58	1183	19
20	Louis Oosthuizen	47	1180	23
21	Patrick Reed	63	1175	24
22	Bryson DeChambeau	55	1165	21
23	Jordan Spieth	53	1141	27
24	Henrik Stenson	46	1137	22
25	Ian Poulter	58	1115	29
26	Viktor Hovland	12	1071	26
27	Collin Morikawa	9	1070	20
28	Gary Woodland	56	1039	28
29	Billy Horschel	57	1038	31
30	Marc Leishman	52	1034	25
31	Rafa Cabrera Bello	59	1011	32
32	Tyrrell Hatton	55	1006	30
33	Jason Kokrak	53	987	33
34	Rory Sabbatini	53	914	35
35	Byeong Hun An	57	905	37
36	Alex Noren	49	905	39
37	Chez Reavie	57	905	36
38	Charles Howell	57	902	34
39	Kevin Kisner	57	899	48
40	Brandt Snedeker	53	894	52
41	Shane Lowry	55	885	38
42	Ryan Moore	46	874	49
43	Emiliano Grillo	54	870	41
44	Bubba Watson	49	868	40
45	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	859	43
46	Sergio Garcia	54	848	42
47	Adam Hadwin	54	843	44
48	Lucas Glover	49	836	46
49	Phil Mickelson	49	820	45
50	Jim Furyk	35	817	47
51	Ryan Palmer	42	796	50
52	Scott Piercy	49	794	51
53	Abraham Ancer	62	786	64
54	Cameron Smith	56	786	53
55	Sungjae Im	41	786	54
56	Andrew Putnam	56	773	62
57	Joaquin Niemann	40	760	58
58	Kyle Stanley	58	743	55
59	Matt Wallace	63	740	59
60	Luke List	56	734	56
61	Kevin Na	51	731	57
62	Kevin Chappell	34	723	60
63	Matthew Wolff	8	711
64	Keegan Bradley	57	708	61
65	Brian Harman	60	693	63
66	Doc Redman	12	686	65
67	Zach Johnson	48	679	68
68	Russell Knox	62	667	66
69	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	63	661	67
70	Aaron Wise	53	650	70
71	Lee Westwood	41	650	72
72	Kevin Streelman	55	643	69
73	Chesson Hadley	60	643	71
74	Haotong Li	54	639	74
75	Eddie Pepperell	48	638	73
76	Danny Willett	49	635	81
77	Jamie Lovemark	36	633	75
78	Vaughn Taylor	53	627	77
79	Thomas Pieters	50	611	80
80	CT Pan	58	599	89
81	Si Woo Kim	64	597	78
82	Bud Cauley	45	595	76
83	Charley Hoffman	58	592	79
84	Thorbjorn Olesen	51	588	83
85	Erik Van Rooyen	47	586	85
86	Daniel Berger	50	585	84
87	Branden Grace	57	579	90
88	Lucas Bjerregaard	57	573	88
89	Joel Dahmen	60	572	82
90	Harold Varner	60	564	116
91	Troy Merritt	53	563	111
92	JT Poston	54	561	86
93	Michael Thompson	45	551	87
94	Graeme McDowell	54	544	91
95	Steve Stricker	22	541	93
96	Jhonattan Vegas	58	536	95
97	Nick Watney	53	531	94
98	Bernd Wiesberger	35	530	97
99	Keith Mitchell	58	528	92
100	Wyndham Clark	33	523	120
101	Jimmy Walker	47	522	101
102	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	48	519	100
103	Kevin Tway	59	519	112
104	Stewart Cink	44	518	102
105	Pat Perez	52	514	96
106	Andy Sullivan	48	507	104
107	Chris Kirk	48	507	103
108	Russell Henley	53	506	98
109	Brian Gay	59	506	99
110	Joost Luiten	39	498	108
111	Sam Burns	40	495	109
112	Jason Dufner	52	493	110
113	JB Holmes	50	492	106
114	Martin Laird	53	489	105
115	Sung Kang	58	483	107
116	Dylan Frittelli	66	476	113
117	Beau Hossler	58	470	115
118	Robert MacIntyre	20	467	119
119	Julian Suri	47	465	117
120	Tom Lewis	43	456	122
121	Patrick Rodgers	50	455	114
122	Charl Schwartzel	47	454	123
123	Martin Kaymer	57	453	121
124	Max Homa	28	450	127
125	Austin Cook	56	449	125
126	Ryan Armour	63	446	126
127	Nate Lashley	45	446	118
128	Peter Uihlein	65	438	130
129	JJ Spaun	55	438	124
130	Brice Garnett	62	432	128
131	Danny Lee	61	431	129
132	Zack Sucher	10	430	133
133	Jorge Campillo	55	426	135
134	Brian Stuard	62	425	132
135	Ryan Fox	51	422	138
136	Andrea Pavan	49	419	139
137	Alexander Bjork	51	419	140
138	Corey Conners	62	418	157
139	Roger Sloan	36	415	131
140	Denny McCarthy	58	412	136
141	Aaron Baddeley	49	412	134
142	Matt Jones	58	410	153
143	Jordan Smith	50	409	142
144	Scott Stallings	59	408	137
145	John Oda	11	406	143
146	Thomas Detry	55	405	145
147	William McGirt	28	398	144
148	Justin Harding	35	398	150
149	Talor Gooch	53	395	141
150	Peter Malnati	58	390	147
151	Patton Kizzire	57	386	146
152	KH Lee	39	385	149
153	Brendan Steele	49	384	156
154	Adam Schenk	67	384	165
155	Scott Brown	62	381	151
156	Nick Taylor	63	381	152
157	Cameron Tringale	55	378	154
158	Sean O’Hair	36	373	159
159	Sepp Straka	35	371	155
160	Johnson Wagner	46	370	161
161	Mackenzie Hughes	56	368	158
162	Seamus Power	60	367	162
163	Sam Ryder	53	366	160
164	Andrew Landry	57	365	173
165	Bronson Burgoon	48	365	163
166	Doug Ghim	17	363	148
167	Trey Mullinax	53	353	167
168	Matt Every	50	352	164
169	Shawn Stefani	58	351	169
170	Chris Paisley	47	349	170
171	Wes Roach	29	348	171
172	Roberto Castro	26	344	175
173	Benjamin Hebert	47	343	174
174	James Hahn	39	343	172
175	Carlos Ortiz	37	342	166
176	Sebastian Munoz	36	339	176
177	Adam Long	34	338	168
178	Hank Lebioda	27	332	178
179	Ted Potter	55	331	179
180	Adrian Otaegui	57	327	181
181	Jim Knous	23	326	180
182	Paul Waring	46	324	182
183	Romain Langasque	32	324	184
184	Jonas Blixt	56	323	177
185	David Hearn	46	323	185
186	Richard Sterne	47	322	183
187	Josh Teater	34	321	187
188	Ryan Blaum	57	320	186
189	Bill Haas	51	316	189
190	Grayson Murray	39	316	188
191	Ross Fisher	47	313	190
192	Min Woo Lee	12	312	191
193	Andrew Johnston	35	312	192
194	Harris English	61	308	194
195	Victor Dubuisson	24	307	193
196	Anirban Lahiri	56	306	195
197	Cameron Champ	36	301	243
198	Sam Horsfield	47	300	198
199	Sam Saunders	56	298	199
200	Retief Goosen	24	298	200
201	Pablo Larrazabal	47	296	202
202	John Huh	43	295	201
203	Paul Dunne	54	295	203
204	Marcus Kinhult	42	294	204
205	Chris Stroud	55	290	197
206	Richy Werenski	61	289	205
207	Robert Rock	48	288	206
208	Oliver Wilson	24	285	209
209	Ben Martin	22	283	207
210	Matthias Schwab	44	282	211
211	Fabrizio Zanotti	40	281	208
212	David Lipsky	56	280	210
213	Tom Hoge	68	278	212
214	Dylan Meyer	17	276	214
215	Alexander Levy	48	275	213
216	DJ Trahan	22	274	215
217	Jason Scrivener	55	274	216
218	Scottie Scheffler	8	271
219	Brandon Harkins	62	270	217
220	Gavin Green	50	268	218
221	Aaron Rai	56	268	219
222	Roberto Diaz	57	265	222
223	KJ Choi	21	265	221
224	Cameron Percy	25	265	224
225	Alex Prugh	33	262	225
226	Ollie Schniederjans	59	262	220
227	Steve Marino	11	261	196
228	Tyler Duncan	65	260	226
229	Jazz Janewattananond	36	258	227
230	Darren Fichardt	43	257	228
231	Kelly Kraft	65	256	223
232	Mikko Korhonen	47	253	230
233	Fabian Gomez	53	250	229
234	Dean Burmester	54	248	232
235	George Coetzee	53	247	231
236	Chris Wood	42	247	234
237	Jonathan Byrd	49	245	233
238	Matthew Southgate	50	245	236
239	Lucas Herbert	38	245	237
240	Cameron Davis	36	244	241
241	Curtis Luck	35	243	240
242	Nacho Elvira	53	243	238
243	Brendon Todd	17	243	235
244	Greg Chalmers	24	243	244
245	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	48	241	242
246	Hudson Swafford	45	240	239
247	Joey Garber	24	240	246
248	Adri Arnaus	25	238	245
249	Shubhankar Sharma	52	237	248
250	Kramer Hickok	32	236	249
251	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	234	247
252	Stephan Jaeger	61	234	250
253	Adam Svensson	34	231	251
254	Sang-hyun Park	22	231	254
255	Ben Crane	42	230	255
256	Dominic Bozzelli	48	228	252
257	Soren Kjeldsen	46	228	253
258	Brandon Stone	49	226	260
259	Mikko Ilonen	26	226	258
260	Scott Jamieson	51	224	257
261	Victor Perez	25	223	261
262	Robert Streb	64	222	262
263	Nino Bertasio	55	219	263
264	Wade Ormsby	53	219	264
265	Robert Garrigus	44	218	256
266	Chase Wright	30	216	265
267	Eduardo de la Riva	14	212	267
268	David Horsey	47	209	266
269	Callum Shinkwin	42	208	268
270	John Peterson	18	206	270
271	Satoshi Kodaira	46	205	269
272	Edoardo Molinari	54	204	272
273	Scott Hend	55	203	271
274	Sean Crocker	30	203	274
275	Maximilian Kieffer	49	202	273
276	Julien Guerrier	29	201	275
277	Nicolas Colsaerts	54	199	276
278	Lee Slattery	52	199	277
279	Nicholas Lindheim	52	198	278
280	Alex Cejka	51	197	280
281	Vijay Singh	17	197	282
282	Gaganjeet Bhullar	37	197	283
283	Richie Ramsay	48	196	281
284	Scott Langley	35	196	279
285	Alvaro Quiros	44	195	284
286	Luke Donald	28	190	285
287	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	28	190	286
288	Matthieu Pavon	55	188	287
289	Oliver Fisher	52	187	289
290	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	38	186	292
291	Hideto Tanihara	48	186	290
292	Renato Paratore	55	185	291
293	Grant Forrest	28	184	298
294	Jeff Winther	44	184	293
295	Ernie Els	49	183	296
296	Seung-su Han	27	182	295
297	Hunter Mahan	49	182	297
298	Benjamin Silverman	60	180	302
299	Tyrone van Aswegen	53	180	288
300	Ashun Wu	54	180	301
301	Derek Fathauer	45	180	300
302	Matthew Jordan	10	180	303
303	Shugo Imahira	25	179	304
304	Tapio Pulkkanen	46	179	305
305	TJ Vogel	9	178	259
306	Stephen Gallacher	50	177	306
307	Padraig Harrington	49	177	307
308	Joakim Lagergren	49	175	308
309	Masahiro Kawamura	32	175	309
310	Whee Kim	59	173	310
311	Blayne Barber	30	172	294
312	Ashley Chesters	58	171	313
313	Bradley Dredge	44	171	312
314	Si-hwan Kim	25	168	315
315	David Lingmerth	49	168	311
316	Anders Albertson	33	166	317
317	Haydn Porteous	61	164	316
318	Guido Migliozzi	20	161	318
319	Tom Lovelady	50	160	320
320	Kurt Kitayama	25	159	323
321	Lanto Griffin	35	159	314
322	Jose-Filipe Lima	17	158	321
323	Wesley Bryan	31	158	324
324	Thongchai Jaidee	42	157	325
325	Trevor Immelman	25	156	326
326	Alejandro Canizares	36	153	328
327	Brett Stegmaier	30	152	322
328	Julian Etulain	32	152	327
329	Martin Piller	53	151	329
330	JJ Henry	55	150	330
331	Brad Kennedy	14	148	331
332	Kalle Samooja	21	147	332
333	Niklas Lemke	18	147	335
334	Henrik Norlander	11	144	299
335	Billy Hurley	40	144	338
336	Andres Romero	41	143	339
337	Romain Wattel	47	141	340
338	George McNeill	19	141	341
339	Joachim B Hansen	25	140	342
340	Thomas Aiken	47	140	346
341	Max Schmitt	18	139	347
342	Steve Wheatcroft	29	139	348
343	Chip McDaniel	9	139	345
344	Jeunghun Wang	55	138	344
345	Davis Love	22	138	336
346	Cody Gribble	53	137	351
347	Anton Karlsson	20	136	353
348	Chad Campbell	48	134	349
349	Martin Flores	36	132	334
350	Zac Blair	33	131	352
351	Rob Oppenheim	37	131	354
352	Brett Drewitt	11	130	337
353	John Catlin	24	130	356
354	Daniel Summerhays	28	130	343
355	Berry Henson	16	130	355
356	Jacques Kruyswijk	44	129	358
357	Sang-moon Bae	42	128	360
358	Neil Schietekat	8	128	361
359	Lorenzo Gagli	36	127	359
360	Boo Weekley	9	127	357
361	Jason Gore	13	127	367
362	Peter Hanson	31	125	363
363	Clement Sordet	43	125	364
364	Matthew Nixon	36	124	368
365	Jamie Donaldson	37	123	362
366	David Drysdale	56	123	370
367	Espen Kofstad	16	123	373
368	JC Ritchie	12	123	366
369	Johan Carlsson	12	123	372
370	Paul Peterson	38	122	371
371	Brian Campbell	9	122	319
372	Stuart Appleby	24	122	377
373	Prayad Marksaeng	15	121	374
374	Zander Lombard	54	120	378
375	Thomas Bjorn	36	119	375
376	Oliver Bekker	11	118	350
377	Panuphol Pittayarat	21	118	379
378	Gareth Paddison	8	118	380
379	Jarryd Felton	10	118	381
380	Justin Walters	52	117	382
381	Graeme Storm	18	117	369
382	Yuta Ikeda	29	117	383
383	Ethan Tracy	32	116	365
384	Kyle Jones	30	115	388
385	Sebastian Soderberg	27	115	387
386	Gregory Havret	40	115	384
387	Ryuko Tokimatsu	17	115	389
388	Hugo Leon	16	114	390
389	Ryo Ishikawa	18	114	386
390	Ricardo Gouveia	53	114	391
391	Dimitrios Papadatos	21	114	392
392	Anthony Wall	12	113	385
393	Mark Anderson	9	113	333
394	David Law	20	112	393
395	Michael Kim	55	110	395
396	Marcus Fraser	43	109	394
397	Dong-kyu Jang	11	109	396
398	Kristoffer Reitan	18	108	397
399	Richard McEvoy	37	108	399
400	Henric Sturehed	24	108	403
More \| Less

The Northern Trust

August 5, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks

Rory McIlroy

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Rory McIlroy	4.6	6
2	Jon Rahm	10.5	3
3	Justin Rose	12.7	10
4	Dustin Johnson	16.5	24
5	Patrick Cantlay	16.9	12
6	Webb Simpson	17.0	18
7	Justin Thomas	18.9	12
8	Tiger Woods	20.1	WD
9	Tommy Fleetwood	21.0	43
10	Adam Scott	26.1	5
11	Brooks Koepka	26.4	30
12	Xander Schauffele	28.0	86
13	Paul Casey	29.5	DNP
14	Matt Kuchar	30.5	95
15	Collin Morikawa	32.3	52
16	Francesco Molinari	33.9	82
17	Henrik Stenson	35.1	DNP
18	Rickie Fowler	35.1	86
19	Rory Sabbatini	35.4	43
20	Hideki Matsuyama	35.6	30
21	Billy Horschel	36.2	21
22	Tony Finau	37.7	30
23	Shane Lowry	38.7	52
24	Rafa Cabrera Bello	38.8	DNP
25	Marc Leishman	38.9	102
26	Ian Poulter	38.9	10
27	Patrick Reed	39.3	1
28	Bubba Watson	39.5	107
29	Lucas Glover	39.7	43
30	Jason Day	39.7	86
31	Jason Kokrak	40.2	12
32	Jordan Spieth	41.3	6
33	Bryson DeChambeau	41.3	24
34	Louis Oosthuizen	42.7	6
35	Gary Woodland	43.9	52
36	Charles Howell	44.2	95
37	Tyrrell Hatton	44.6	59
38	Byeong Hun An	44.7	38
39	Jim Furyk	45.9	52
40	Matthew Wolff	46.2	71
41	Sungjae Im	48.3	38
42	Kevin Kisner	48.6	12
43	Sergio Garcia	49.2	112
44	Brandt Snedeker	50.6	6
45	Joaquin Niemann	51.3	30
46	Ryan Palmer	51.3	77
47	Scott Piercy	51.3	67
48	Adam Hadwin	51.8	43
49	Danny Willett	52.1	24
50	Andrew Putnam	52.5	12
51	Chez Reavie	52.7	38
52	Cameron Smith	53.0	59
53	Vaughn Taylor	53.4	30
54	Ryan Moore	53.4	18
55	Emiliano Grillo	54.0	86
56	Brian Harman	54.3	52
57	Kevin Na	54.7	77
58	Kyle Stanley	54.8	71
59	Abraham Ancer	56.0	2
60	JT Poston	56.1	59
61	Keegan Bradley	56.6	64
62	Aaron Wise	56.9	43
63	Russell Knox	57.5	112
64	Bud Cauley	57.5	WD
65	Martin Laird	57.9	83
66	Cameron Tringale	58.8	86
67	Kevin Streelman	59.6	95
68	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	59.8	71
69	Phil Mickelson	60.2	71
70	Roger Sloan	60.2	64
71	Graeme McDowell	60.6	95
72	Sam Burns	60.8	DNP
73	Nick Watney	61.7	59
74	Wyndham Clark	61.7	18
75	Luke List	61.8	77
76	Dylan Frittelli	61.9	43
77	Nate Lashley	62.1	95
78	Brice Garnett	62.2	107
79	Russell Henley	62.2	59
80	Brian Stuard	62.4	52
81	Sepp Straka	62.6	107
82	Nick Taylor	62.9	86
83	Si Woo Kim	63.0	84
84	Denny McCarthy	63.0	102
85	Joel Dahmen	63.1	67
86	Jhonattan Vegas	63.2	38
87	Aaron Baddeley	63.4	WD
88	Charley Hoffman	63.6	77
89	Michael Thompson	63.9	86
90	Peter Malnati	64.0	102
91	CT Pan	64.1	24
92	Keith Mitchell	64.1	64
93	Sung Kang	64.4	95
94	Mackenzie Hughes	64.6	67
95	Chesson Hadley	64.7	43
96	JB Holmes	64.8	52
97	Troy Merritt	65.3	12
98	Andrew Landry	65.4	30
99	Pat Perez	65.5	86
100	Branden Grace	65.5	30
101	Scott Stallings	65.6	114
102	Corey Conners	65.6	21
103	Max Homa	65.6	38
104	Sebastian Munoz	65.7	43
105	Matt Jones	65.9	30
106	Scott Brown	66.1	76
107	JJ Spaun	66.2	114
108	Jonas Blixt	66.3	107
109	Ryan Armour	66.3	43
110	Harold Varner	66.3	3
111	Talor Gooch	66.4	71
112	Patton Kizzire	66.5	86
113	Carlos Ortiz	66.7	67
114	Adam Schenk	66.7	24
115	Kevin Tway	66.8	24
116	Sam Ryder	66.8	107
117	Matt Every	66.8	95
118	Patrick Rodgers	66.8	102
119	Brian Gay	66.9	118
120	KH Lee	68.0	102
121	Chris Stroud	68.1	WD
122	Adam Long	68.3	114
123	Danny Lee	68.5	81
124	Kelly Kraft	71.5	114
125	Cameron Champ	72.4	21
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 113. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 4, 2019)

August 5, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Rory McIlroy holds the no. 1 ranking heading into the FedEx Cup playoffs.

#	Thru Aug. 4, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Rory McIlroy	47	1812	1
2	Justin Rose	49	1775	2
3	Dustin Johnson	47	1764	3
4	Patrick Cantlay	46	1655	5
5	Justin Thomas	50	1653	4
6	Tiger Woods	31	1641	6
7	Brooks Koepka	46	1619	8
8	Jon Rahm	52	1619	7
9	Webb Simpson	50	1588	10
10	Tommy Fleetwood	58	1547	9
11	Rickie Fowler	47	1400	11
12	Jason Day	46	1333	12
13	Paul Casey	49	1318	15
14	Adam Scott	41	1314	16
15	Francesco Molinari	45	1313	13
16	Xander Schauffele	51	1310	14
17	Tony Finau	59	1300	17
18	Hideki Matsuyama	52	1234	18
19	Matt Kuchar	57	1220	19
20	Collin Morikawa	8	1187
21	Bryson DeChambeau	54	1153	20
22	Henrik Stenson	47	1136	21
23	Louis Oosthuizen	46	1098	23
24	Patrick Reed	62	1090	24
25	Marc Leishman	51	1074	25
26	Viktor Hovland	12	1071	36
27	Jordan Spieth	52	1070	22
28	Gary Woodland	55	1066	26
29	Ian Poulter	57	1060	27
30	Tyrrell Hatton	54	1034	28
31	Billy Horschel	57	1012	30
32	Rafa Cabrera Bello	59	1012	29
33	Jason Kokrak	53	937	37
34	Charles Howell	56	929	33
35	Rory Sabbatini	53	927	41
36	Chez Reavie	57	917	31
37	Byeong Hun An	57	913	44
38	Shane Lowry	55	905	34
39	Alex Noren	49	904	32
40	Bubba Watson	48	899	35
41	Emiliano Grillo	54	895	38
42	Sergio Garcia	53	877	42
43	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	860	43
44	Adam Hadwin	53	855	40
45	Phil Mickelson	48	854	45
46	Lucas Glover	49	851	39
47	Jim Furyk	34	848	46
48	Kevin Kisner	57	844	47
49	Ryan Moore	46	833	49
50	Ryan Palmer	42	823	52
51	Scott Piercy	48	820	50
52	Brandt Snedeker	52	818	51
53	Cameron Smith	56	810	48
54	Sungjae Im	40	792	56
55	Kyle Stanley	58	762	59
56	Luke List	55	759	53
57	Kevin Na	51	757	55
58	Joaquin Niemann	39	747	62
59	Matt Wallace	64	739	57
60	Kevin Chappell	34	730	58
61	Keegan Bradley	57	728	60
62	Andrew Putnam	55	712	63
63	Brian Harman	59	707	69
64	Abraham Ancer	61	693	61
65	Doc Redman	12	689	54
66	Russell Knox	62	685	65
67	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	62	680	64
68	Zach Johnson	48	679	66
69	Kevin Streelman	55	664	67
70	Aaron Wise	52	654	68
71	Chesson Hadley	60	648	70
72	Lee Westwood	41	647	71
73	Eddie Pepperell	48	637	72
74	Haotong Li	55	637	73
75	Jamie Lovemark	36	632	74
76	Bud Cauley	45	619	79
77	Vaughn Taylor	53	614	76
78	Si Woo Kim	63	611	88
79	Charley Hoffman	57	609	75
80	Thomas Pieters	50	609	77
81	Danny Willett	48	604	78
82	Joel Dahmen	60	586	80
83	Thorbjorn Olesen	51	586	84
84	Daniel Berger	50	584	82
85	Erik Van Rooyen	47	584	86
86	JT Poston	54	576	106
87	Michael Thompson	44	574	81
88	Lucas Bjerregaard	58	572	83
89	CT Pan	58	571	87
90	Branden Grace	56	568	85
91	Graeme McDowell	54	561	89
92	Keith Mitchell	57	542	92
93	Steve Stricker	22	541	94
94	Nick Watney	53	541	91
95	Jhonattan Vegas	57	537	93
96	Pat Perez	51	536	90
97	Bernd Wiesberger	35	527	98
98	Russell Henley	52	520	101
99	Brian Gay	59	520	96
100	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	48	520	100
101	Jimmy Walker	47	519	97
102	Stewart Cink	44	516	95
103	Chris Kirk	48	507	104
104	Andy Sullivan	48	505	108
105	Martin Laird	53	504	99
106	JB Holmes	49	500	109
107	Sung Kang	57	500	105
108	Joost Luiten	39	500	107
109	Sam Burns	40	497	111
110	Jason Dufner	53	494	102
111	Troy Merritt	53	493	103
112	Kevin Tway	59	487	110
113	Dylan Frittelli	65	478	112
114	Patrick Rodgers	49	473	113
115	Beau Hossler	58	469	116
116	Harold Varner	60	468	117
117	Julian Suri	47	463	122
118	Nate Lashley	44	463	123
119	Robert MacIntyre	20	462	120
120	Wyndham Clark	32	460	114
121	Martin Kaymer	57	454	118
122	Tom Lewis	44	453	124
123	Charl Schwartzel	47	452	125
124	JJ Spaun	55	451	119
125	Austin Cook	56	449	121
126	Ryan Armour	63	447	130
127	Max Homa	28	443	128
128	Brice Garnett	61	442	153
129	Danny Lee	61	440	126
130	Peter Uihlein	65	437	127
131	Roger Sloan	35	434	129
132	Brian Stuard	62	433	132
133	Zack Sucher	10	428	115
134	Aaron Baddeley	49	427	131
135	Jorge Campillo	56	424	134
136	Denny McCarthy	57	422	151
137	Scott Stallings	59	421	137
138	Ryan Fox	52	419	135
139	Andrea Pavan	49	417	139
140	Alexander Bjork	51	417	138
141	Talor Gooch	52	410	133
142	Jordan Smith	50	407	141
143	John Oda	11	406	143
144	William McGirt	29	403	144
145	Thomas Detry	56	403	149
146	Patton Kizzire	57	401	160
147	Peter Malnati	58	401	140
148	Doug Ghim	16	400	147
149	KH Lee	38	399	136
150	Justin Harding	35	398	150
151	Scott Brown	62	393	142
152	Nick Taylor	63	392	145
153	Matt Jones	58	390	148
154	Cameron Tringale	55	388	152
155	Sepp Straka	34	388	154
156	Brendan Steele	49	387	146
157	Corey Conners	61	383	163
158	Mackenzie Hughes	55	378	166
159	Sean O’Hair	36	375	156
160	Sam Ryder	52	375	155
161	Johnson Wagner	47	368	188
162	Seamus Power	61	365	158
163	Bronson Burgoon	48	362	157
164	Matt Every	50	362	162
165	Adam Schenk	66	357	161
166	Carlos Ortiz	36	355	168
167	Trey Mullinax	54	354	167
168	Adam Long	33	353	159
169	Shawn Stefani	59	349	179
170	Chris Paisley	48	349	171
171	Wes Roach	29	348	165
172	James Hahn	40	346	169
173	Andrew Landry	56	346	187
174	Benjamin Hebert	47	344	172
175	Roberto Castro	27	343	164
176	Sebastian Munoz	36	334	174
177	Jonas Blixt	56	332	173
178	Hank Lebioda	27	331	170
179	Ted Potter	55	331	175
180	Jim Knous	23	326	180
181	Adrian Otaegui	58	325	181
182	Paul Waring	46	324	178
183	Richard Sterne	47	323	177
184	Romain Langasque	32	322	185
185	David Hearn	47	320	184
186	Ryan Blaum	58	319	176
187	Josh Teater	34	318	256
188	Grayson Murray	40	317	183
189	Bill Haas	52	317	182
190	Ross Fisher	47	315	186
191	Min Woo Lee	12	313	190
192	Andrew Johnston	35	313	193
193	Victor Dubuisson	25	310	191
194	Harris English	62	308	196
195	Anirban Lahiri	57	307	189
196	Steve Marino	10	307	194
197	Chris Stroud	55	300	192
198	Sam Horsfield	48	299	198
199	Sam Saunders	57	299	195
200	Retief Goosen	25	298	197
201	John Huh	44	296	199
202	Pablo Larrazabal	47	296	201
203	Paul Dunne	55	295	200
204	Marcus Kinhult	42	293	202
205	Richy Werenski	62	288	209
206	Robert Rock	49	286	206
207	Ben Martin	23	286	203
208	Fabrizio Zanotti	40	285	204
209	Oliver Wilson	24	283	208
210	David Lipsky	56	282	207
211	Matthias Schwab	44	281	210
212	Tom Hoge	69	279	205
213	Alexander Levy	48	277	211
214	Dylan Meyer	17	275	214
215	DJ Trahan	22	274	212
216	Jason Scrivener	56	274	213
217	Brandon Harkins	62	273	218
218	Gavin Green	51	267	219
219	Aaron Rai	56	267	220
220	Ollie Schniederjans	60	267	217
221	KJ Choi	22	266	221
222	Roberto Diaz	57	264	247
223	Kelly Kraft	64	263	216
224	Cameron Percy	26	263	222
225	Alex Prugh	33	261	215
226	Tyler Duncan	65	259	226
227	Jazz Janewattananond	37	259	224
228	Darren Fichardt	43	258	223
229	Fabian Gomez	52	253	270
230	Mikko Korhonen	47	253	229
231	George Coetzee	53	249	230
232	Dean Burmester	54	248	232
233	Jonathan Byrd	50	245	227
234	Chris Wood	43	245	235
235	Brendon Todd	17	245	238
236	Matthew Southgate	51	244	236
237	Lucas Herbert	39	244	237
238	Nacho Elvira	54	243	239
239	Hudson Swafford	45	243	234
240	Curtis Luck	35	243	225
241	Cameron Davis	36	242	267
242	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	48	241	240
243	Cameron Champ	35	240	231
244	Greg Chalmers	25	239	246
245	Adri Arnaus	25	239	244
246	Joey Garber	24	239	228
247	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	237	241
248	Shubhankar Sharma	53	237	245
249	Kramer Hickok	32	235	233
250	Stephan Jaeger	61	233	243
251	Adam Svensson	34	231	263
252	Dominic Bozzelli	48	230	242
253	Soren Kjeldsen	47	230	248
254	Sang-hyun Park	22	229	249
255	Ben Crane	43	229	252
256	Robert Garrigus	43	227	253
257	Scott Jamieson	52	225	254
258	Mikko Ilonen	27	225	255
259	TJ Vogel	8	224	250
260	Brandon Stone	49	224	259
261	Victor Perez	25	223	258
262	Robert Streb	65	221	251
263	Nino Bertasio	56	220	260
264	Wade Ormsby	54	218	261
265	Chase Wright	30	215	257
266	David Horsey	47	212	262
267	Eduardo de la Riva	15	209	274
268	Callum Shinkwin	42	208	265
269	Satoshi Kodaira	46	204	264
270	John Peterson	18	204	276
271	Scott Hend	56	203	273
272	Edoardo Molinari	55	203	275
273	Maximilian Kieffer	50	203	271
274	Sean Crocker	30	202	277
275	Julien Guerrier	29	201	278
276	Nicolas Colsaerts	55	200	279
277	Lee Slattery	52	199	281
278	Nicholas Lindheim	53	198	268
279	Scott Langley	35	197	266
280	Alex Cejka	52	197	272
281	Richie Ramsay	49	197	280
282	Vijay Singh	18	197	283
283	Gaganjeet Bhullar	37	196	284
284	Alvaro Quiros	44	195	285
285	Luke Donald	29	192	269
286	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	28	189	282
287	Matthieu Pavon	56	188	289
288	Tyrone van Aswegen	53	188	288
289	Oliver Fisher	53	187	290
290	Hideto Tanihara	48	186	292
291	Renato Paratore	55	185	296
292	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	184	294
293	Jeff Winther	44	184	295
294	Blayne Barber	30	184	293
295	Seung-su Han	27	183	297
296	Ernie Els	50	183	287
297	Hunter Mahan	50	183	286
298	Grant Forrest	28	183	298
299	Henrik Norlander	10	182	303
300	Derek Fathauer	46	181	300
301	Ashun Wu	55	181	301
302	Benjamin Silverman	60	180	291
303	Matthew Jordan	10	179	302
304	Shugo Imahira	25	179	305
305	Tapio Pulkkanen	46	178	307
306	Stephen Gallacher	50	178	306
307	Padraig Harrington	50	176	299
308	Joakim Lagergren	49	174	309
309	Masahiro Kawamura	32	174	308
310	Whee Kim	60	174	304
311	David Lingmerth	48	172	310
312	Bradley Dredge	45	171	311
313	Ashley Chesters	59	170	314
314	Lanto Griffin	34	170	313
315	Si-hwan Kim	25	168	315
316	Haydn Porteous	62	166	316
317	Anders Albertson	33	164	312
318	Guido Migliozzi	20	161	320
319	Brian Campbell	9	161	325
320	Tom Lovelady	50	160	319
321	Jose-Filipe Lima	17	160	317
322	Brett Stegmaier	30	159	322
323	Kurt Kitayama	25	159	321
324	Wesley Bryan	31	158	323
325	Thongchai Jaidee	42	156	324
326	Trevor Immelman	25	155	328
327	Julian Etulain	33	153	318
328	Alejandro Canizares	37	153	327
329	Martin Piller	53	152	329
330	JJ Henry	56	151	326
331	Brad Kennedy	14	149	331
332	Kalle Samooja	21	148	333
333	Mark Anderson	9	148	336
334	Martin Flores	36	146	330
335	Niklas Lemke	18	146	334
336	Davis Love	23	145	332
337	Brett Drewitt	11	144	337
338	Billy Hurley	41	143	339
339	Andres Romero	42	143	340
340	Romain Wattel	48	142	338
341	George McNeill	19	142	341
342	Joachim B Hansen	25	141	342
343	Daniel Summerhays	28	139	347
344	Jeunghun Wang	56	139	345
345	Chip McDaniel	9	139	344
346	Thomas Aiken	47	138	348
347	Max Schmitt	18	138	346
348	Steve Wheatcroft	29	137	351
349	Chad Campbell	48	137	349
350	Oliver Bekker	10	137	352
351	Cody Gribble	54	137	343
352	Zac Blair	33	137	350
353	Anton Karlsson	20	136	353
354	Rob Oppenheim	36	133	354
355	Berry Henson	16	131	356
356	John Catlin	24	130	357
357	Boo Weekley	9	128	335
358	Jacques Kruyswijk	44	128	359
359	Lorenzo Gagli	36	128	360
360	Sang-moon Bae	42	128	355
361	Neil Schietekat	8	127	361
362	Jamie Donaldson	38	125	364
363	Peter Hanson	32	125	363
364	Clement Sordet	43	125	362
365	Ethan Tracy	31	124	366
366	JC Ritchie	12	124	365
367	Jason Gore	13	124	371
368	Matthew Nixon	36	124	368
369	Graeme Storm	18	123	358
370	David Drysdale	57	123	367
371	Paul Peterson	39	123	409
372	Johan Carlsson	13	122	373
373	Espen Kofstad	16	122	370
374	Prayad Marksaeng	15	122	369
375	Thomas Bjorn	36	120	374
376	Maverick McNealy	13	120	372
377	Stuart Appleby	25	120	379
378	Zander Lombard	55	119	376
379	Panuphol Pittayarat	22	118	378
380	Gareth Paddison	9	118	377
381	Jarryd Felton	11	117	384
382	Justin Walters	53	117	383
383	Yuta Ikeda	29	117	385
384	Gregory Havret	41	116	381
385	Anthony Wall	13	116	380
386	Ryo Ishikawa	19	116	382
387	Sebastian Soderberg	27	115	386
388	Kyle Jones	30	115	375
389	Ryuko Tokimatsu	17	114	387
390	Hugo Leon	16	114	388
391	Ricardo Gouveia	54	114	389
392	Dimitrios Papadatos	22	113	390
393	David Law	20	111	392
394	Marcus Fraser	44	110	393
395	Michael Kim	56	109	391
396	Dong-kyu Jang	11	109	395
397	Kristoffer Reitan	18	109	396
398	Scott Vincent	43	108	398
399	Richard McEvoy	37	107	404
400	Lasse Jensen	40	107	402
More \| Less

A Look at the Wyndham Championship

July 30, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

The fringe players on the PGA Tour spend a lot of time walking the fairways with small galleries and not much attention being paid to where they finish. That will be at least a little bit different this week, the last week of the Tour’s long, grinding regular season, because the top 125 guys in FedEx Cup points will be defined when the Wyndham Championship completes, and those guys are automatic for the Tour again next year.

Here’s a look at those just above and just below the cutoff line, and, no surprise, all of them are in the field for this week’s event in Greensboro NC.

Rank	Player	Events	Pts	T10
116	Martin Laird	24	401	4
117	Ryan Armour	26	400	1
118	Kelly Kraft	29	399	3
119	Jonas Blixt	24	392	1
120	Aaron Wise	19	391	1
121	Brice Garnett	26	386	1
122	Pat Perez	19	376	3
123	Sebastián Muñoz	24	374	3
124	Robert Streb	27	372
125	Alex Noren	17	363
126	Austin Cook	22	361	2
127	Richy Werenski	26	361	1
128	Martin Trainer	24	354 1
129	Patton Kizzire	23	351	1
130	Peter Uihlein	28	351	2
131	Daniel Berger	19	348	1
132	Andrew Landry	23	343	1
133	Bronson Burgoon	19	343	2
134	Shawn Stefani	24	340	2
135	Wes Roach	20	339	2

None of the above are among the event favorites, but Noren, Wise, Laird, and Berger are sufficiently solid to be considered in the top third of the field. Noren comes in with finishes Read more

Wyndham Championship

July 29, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Webb Simpson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Webb Simpson	5.4	2
2	Hideki Matsuyama	27.0	84
3	Collin Morikawa	29.0	31
4	Paul Casey	31.7	13
5	Patrick Reed	34.8	22
6	Lucas Glover	35.2	72
7	Billy Horschel	37.6	6
8	Rory Sabbatini	41.1	6
9	Brandt Snedeker	41.7	39
10	Jordan Spieth	41.8	78
11	Viktor Hovland	44.3	4
12	Jason Kokrak	45.3	6
13	Charles Howell	45.9	22
14	Adam Hadwin	46.5	98
15	Byeong Hun An	46.6	3
16	Chez Reavie	48.6	48
17	Doc Redman	48.8	134
18	Scott Piercy	48.9	36
19	Alex Noren	50.3	60
20	Sungjae Im	50.5	6
21	Cameron Smith	50.9	84
22	Matthew Wolff	51.9	19
23	Joaquin Niemann	52.4	13
24	Abraham Ancer	54.5	84
25	Vaughn Taylor	55.0	39
26	Russell Knox	55.5	48
27	Kevin Streelman	56.0	84
28	Aaron Wise	56.1	48
29	Wyndham Clark	57.6	81
30	Kyle Stanley	57.7	13
31	Martin Kaymer	58.5	124
32	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	58.6	60
33	Roger Sloan	58.7	39
34	Brian Harman	59.2	6
35	Michael Thompson	59.5	75
36	Lucas Bjerregaard	59.5	98
37	Nick Watney	59.7	142
38	Martin Laird	59.7	98
39	Zach Johnson	59.7	53
40	Bud Cauley	60.3	22
41	Nick Taylor	61.1	84
42	Dylan Frittelli	61.1	112
43	Troy Merritt	61.3	98
44	Luke List	61.7	98
45	Daniel Berger	61.7	39
46	Peter Malnati	62.1	134
47	Chesson Hadley	62.2	53
48	Joel Dahmen	62.3	53
49	Charley Hoffman	62.9	142
50	Ryan Armour	63.1	22
51	Brice Garnett	63.2	6
52	JT Poston	63.3	1
53	Denny McCarthy	63.4	22
54	Sepp Straka	63.5	39
55	Harold Varner	63.7	60
56	JJ Spaun	63.8	69
57	Jonas Blixt	64.2	84
58	Kevin Tway	64.3	134
59	Russell Henley	64.4	31
60	Aaron Baddeley	64.6	DNP
61	Brian Stuard	64.7	31
62	Stewart Cink	64.8	147
63	Talor Gooch	64.8	98
64	Shawn Stefani	64.9	22
65	Bill Haas	64.9	53
66	Jason Dufner	65.0	84
67	Zack Sucher	65.1	98
68	Scott Brown	65.2	60
69	Pat Perez	65.3	84
70	Adam Schenk	65.3	112
71	Patrick Rodgers	65.3	81
72	Matt Jones	65.4	112
73	Jimmy Walker	65.5	134
74	Brian Gay	65.6	124
75	Branden Grace	65.6	48
76	Roberto Castro	65.8	53
77	Beau Hossler	65.9	119
78	Sebastian Munoz	65.9	48
79	Si Woo Kim	66.1	5
80	Sam Ryder	66.2	60
81	Jonathan Byrd	66.2	124
82	Johnson Wagner	66.4	13
83	KH Lee	66.5	112
84	Matt Every	66.6	DNP
85	Bronson Burgoon	66.9	119
86	Austin Cook	67.2	72
87	Danny Lee	67.3	DQ
88	Brendan Steele	67.4	150
89	Sam Saunders	67.5	124
90	Mackenzie Hughes	67.6	22
91	Carlos Ortiz	67.8	39
92	Adam Long	67.8	142
93	Chris Stroud	67.9	112
94	Scott Stallings	68.0	31
95	Peter Uihlein	68.1	72
96	Wes Roach	68.1	53
97	Ted Potter	68.2	60
98	Corey Conners	68.2	22
99	Tom Hoge	68.4	77
100	Seamus Power	68.4	60
101	Hank Lebioda	68.8	78
102	Harris English	69.0	39
103	Andrew Landry	69.1	19
104	Patton Kizzire	69.3	13
105	David Hearn	69.4	DNP
106	Adam Svensson	69.7	31
107	Robert Streb	69.8	150
108	Josh Teater	70.0	6
109	Richy Werenski	70.0	39
110	Ryan Blaum	70.1	124
111	Chase Wright	70.1	98
112	Joey Garber	70.5	98
113	Roberto Diaz	70.5	19
114	Alex Prugh	70.8	81
115	Kramer Hickok	70.9	84
116	Kelly Kraft	71.0	124
117	Dominic Bozzelli	71.2	84
118	Anirban Lahiri	71.3	53
119	Stephan Jaeger	71.4	98
120	Curtis Luck	71.5	147
121	Fabian Gomez	71.5	13
122	Brandon Harkins	71.5	36
123	Ernie Els	71.6	WD
124	Tyler Duncan	71.7	39
125	Cameron Champ	72.1	154
126	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	72.4	60
127	Scott Langley	72.6	134
128	Cameron Davis	72.6	22
129	Kyle Jones	73.1	78
130	Hunter Mahan	73.2	119
131	Luke Donald	73.3	134
132	Alex Cejka	73.3	60
133	Benjamin Silverman	73.3	112
134	Satoshi Kodaira	73.4	84
135	Anders Albertson	73.8	124
136	Julian Etulain	73.9	98
137	Cody Gribble	74.2	147
138	Sang-moon Bae	74.3	119
139	John Chin	74.4	69
140	JJ Henry	74.5	142
141	Whee Kim	74.5	98
142	Robert Garrigus	74.5	DNP
143	Martin Piller	74.5	DNP
144	Jim Herman	74.8	DNP
145	Brady Schnell	74.9	84
146	Nicholas Lindheim	75.0	124
147	Tyrone van Aswegen	75.1	DNP
148	Seth Reeves	75.3	134
149	Martin Trainer	75.5	150
150	Michael Kim	75.7	153
151	Tom Lovelady	75.8	DNP
152	Padraig Harrington	76.1	84
153	Derek Fathauer	76.1	DNP
154	Rod Pampling	76.2	124
155	Chris Thompson	76.4	112
156	David Lingmerth	76.5	DNP
157	Chad Campbell	76.7	DNP
158	Boo Weekley	77.2	69
159	Chad Collins	81.9	124
160	Will Claxton	82.2	134
161	Steve Scott	82.2	119
	Paul Peterson	late entry	36
	Mike Weir	late entry	76
	Andy Pope	late entry	90
	Carter Page	late entry	98
	Charlie Danielson	late entry	99
	John Lyras	late entry	142
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 186. The average is 134. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (July 28, 2019)

July 29, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Rory McIlroy returns to the no. 1 ranking, where he last appeared three weeks ago.

#	Thru July 28, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Rory McIlroy	48	1808	2
2	Justin Rose	50	1768	3
3	Dustin Johnson	48	1766	1
4	Justin Thomas	51	1659	4
5	Patrick Cantlay	47	1650	5
6	Tiger Woods	31	1641	6
7	Jon Rahm	53	1621	7
8	Brooks Koepka	47	1612	8
9	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1544	9
10	Webb Simpson	50	1539	10
11	Rickie Fowler	48	1403	11
12	Jason Day	47	1338	12
13	Francesco Molinari	46	1314	17
14	Xander Schauffele	52	1307	15
15	Paul Casey	49	1307	14
16	Adam Scott	42	1305	13
17	Tony Finau	60	1299	18
18	Hideki Matsuyama	52	1276	16
19	Matt Kuchar	58	1222	19
20	Bryson DeChambeau	55	1150	20
21	Henrik Stenson	48	1135	21
22	Jordan Spieth	52	1106	24
23	Louis Oosthuizen	47	1100	23
24	Patrick Reed	62	1090	25
25	Marc Leishman	52	1076	27
26	Gary Woodland	56	1065	22
27	Ian Poulter	58	1057	28
28	Tyrrell Hatton	55	1034	26
29	Rafa Cabrera Bello	60	1012	29
30	Billy Horschel	57	964	31
31	Chez Reavie	57	941	30
32	Alex Noren	49	931	36
33	Charles Howell	56	923	32
34	Shane Lowry	56	903	33
35	Bubba Watson	49	898	44
36	Viktor Hovland	11	895	35
37	Jason Kokrak	53	893	37
38	Emiliano Grillo	55	890	34
39	Lucas Glover	49	884	40
40	Adam Hadwin	53	882	41
41	Rory Sabbatini	52	880	42
42	Sergio Garcia	54	879	38
43	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56	860	52
44	Byeong Hun An	57	859	43
45	Phil Mickelson	49	858	39
46	Jim Furyk	35	852	45
47	Kevin Kisner	58	847	46
48	Cameron Smith	56	836	51
49	Ryan Moore	47	834	47
50	Scott Piercy	47	832	48
51	Brandt Snedeker	51	830	49
52	Ryan Palmer	42	824	50
53	Luke List	55	783	53
54	Doc Redman	11	773	54
55	Kevin Na	52	757	55
56	Sungjae Im	39	736	58
57	Matt Wallace	64	736	59
58	Kevin Chappell	35	735	57
59	Kyle Stanley	58	729	60
60	Keegan Bradley	58	727	56
61	Abraham Ancer	60	710	61
62	Joaquin Niemann	38	708	62
63	Andrew Putnam	55	707	66
64	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	61	698	64
65	Russell Knox	62	698	63
66	Zach Johnson	48	697	65
67	Kevin Streelman	54	684	67
68	Aaron Wise	51	665	69
69	Brian Harman	59	664	68
70	Chesson Hadley	59	662	70
71	Lee Westwood	42	645	72
72	Eddie Pepperell	48	637	71
73	Haotong Li	56	634	76
74	Jamie Lovemark	37	632	73
75	Charley Hoffman	57	627	74
76	Vaughn Taylor	52	622	75
77	Thomas Pieters	51	606	79
78	Danny Willett	49	601	77
79	Bud Cauley	45	599	80
80	Joel Dahmen	59	596	83
81	Michael Thompson	43	596	81
82	Daniel Berger	50	590	78
83	Lucas Bjerregaard	57	587	82
84	Thorbjorn Olesen	52	583	88
85	Branden Grace	56	582	84
86	Erik Van Rooyen	47	582	86
87	CT Pan	58	568	87
88	Si Woo Kim	63	560	91
89	Graeme McDowell	55	559	90
90	Pat Perez	51	559	85
91	Nick Watney	52	555	92
92	Keith Mitchell	57	540	93
93	Jhonattan Vegas	58	540	89
94	Steve Stricker	23	539	94
95	Stewart Cink	43	537	95
96	Brian Gay	58	536	96
97	Jimmy Walker	47	533	98
98	Bernd Wiesberger	36	525	99
99	Martin Laird	53	520	105
100	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	48	519	100
101	Russell Henley	52	514	103
102	Jason Dufner	53	507	106
103	Troy Merritt	52	506	115
104	Chris Kirk	49	506	107
105	Sung Kang	58	502	101
106	JT Poston	53	501	109
107	Joost Luiten	40	501	110
108	Andy Sullivan	49	501	112
109	JB Holmes	50	500	102
110	Kevin Tway	58	499	104
111	Sam Burns	40	498	111
112	Dylan Frittelli	65	490	113
113	Patrick Rodgers	49	488	108
114	Wyndham Clark	31	483	116
115	Zack Sucher	9	481	97
116	Beau Hossler	57	480	114
117	Harold Varner	59	480	117
118	Martin Kaymer	56	467	119
119	JJ Spaun	54	464	118
120	Robert MacIntyre	20	463	123
121	Austin Cook	55	461	121
122	Julian Suri	47	461	122
123	Nate Lashley	44	458	132
124	Tom Lewis	44	452	125
125	Charl Schwartzel	48	450	124
126	Danny Lee	61	448	126
127	Peter Uihlein	65	448	127
128	Max Homa	28	443	120
129	Roger Sloan	34	435	139
130	Ryan Armour	62	429	130
131	Aaron Baddeley	49	428	129
132	Brian Stuard	61	428	128
133	Talor Gooch	51	426	131
134	Jorge Campillo	56	424	133
135	Ryan Fox	53	417	137
136	KH Lee	37	417	134
137	Scott Stallings	58	417	135
138	Alexander Bjork	51	415	140
139	Andrea Pavan	49	415	138
140	Peter Malnati	57	411	142
141	Jordan Smith	51	409	143
142	Scott Brown	62	408	141
143	John Oda	11	406	145
144	William McGirt	30	406	144
145	Nick Taylor	62	404	146
146	Brendan Steele	49	403	136
147	Doug Ghim	16	403	147
148	Matt Jones	57	402	150
149	Thomas Detry	56	401	151
150	Justin Harding	35	400	149
151	Denny McCarthy	56	399	148
152	Cameron Tringale	55	387	154
153	Brice Garnett	60	386	153
154	Sepp Straka	33	384	159
155	Sam Ryder	51	382	152
156	Sean O’Hair	37	376	155
157	Bronson Burgoon	47	372	171
158	Seamus Power	60	372	156
159	Adam Long	32	370	174
160	Patton Kizzire	56	365	158
161	Adam Schenk	65	364	162
162	Matt Every	50	363	161
163	Corey Conners	60	363	170
164	Roberto Castro	26	356	164
165	Wes Roach	28	356	157
166	Mackenzie Hughes	55	355	165
167	Trey Mullinax	54	354	166
168	Carlos Ortiz	35	354	167
169	James Hahn	41	354	163
170	Hank Lebioda	26	350	160
171	Chris Paisley	48	349	168
172	Benjamin Hebert	47	343	172
173	Jonas Blixt	56	342	169
174	Sebastian Munoz	35	339	186
175	Ted Potter	54	339	173
176	Ryan Blaum	57	327	176
177	Richard Sterne	48	325	178
178	Paul Waring	46	325	180
179	Shawn Stefani	58	325	182
180	Jim Knous	23	324	181
181	Adrian Otaegui	58	324	183
182	Bill Haas	52	323	175
183	Grayson Murray	41	320	184
184	David Hearn	47	319	179
185	Romain Langasque	32	318	189
186	Ross Fisher	48	317	185
187	Andrew Landry	55	317	177
188	Johnson Wagner	46	316	194
189	Anirban Lahiri	57	314	190
190	Min Woo Lee	12	313	191
191	Victor Dubuisson	25	313	188
192	Chris Stroud	55	312	196
193	Andrew Johnston	36	312	193
194	Steve Marino	10	309	195
195	Sam Saunders	56	308	187
196	Harris English	61	306	192
197	Retief Goosen	25	299	198
198	Sam Horsfield	48	298	202
199	John Huh	44	297	199
200	Paul Dunne	55	297	200
201	Pablo Larrazabal	48	296	201
202	Marcus Kinhult	42	293	204
203	Ben Martin	23	289	203
204	Fabrizio Zanotti	41	286	205
205	Tom Hoge	68	286	218
206	Robert Rock	49	286	207
207	David Lipsky	56	284	206
208	Oliver Wilson	24	283	212
209	Richy Werenski	61	283	214
210	Matthias Schwab	44	282	211
211	Alexander Levy	49	279	210
212	DJ Trahan	22	275	209
213	Jason Scrivener	56	274	215
214	Dylan Meyer	17	274	197
215	Alex Prugh	32	272	208
216	Kelly Kraft	64	271	213
217	Ollie Schniederjans	60	270	216
218	Brandon Harkins	61	269	217
219	Gavin Green	51	267	220
220	Aaron Rai	56	265	262
221	KJ Choi	22	264	222
222	Cameron Percy	26	261	225
223	Darren Fichardt	43	258	224
224	Jazz Janewattananond	37	256	226
225	Curtis Luck	34	255	219
226	Tyler Duncan	64	255	223
227	Jonathan Byrd	49	255	240
228	Joey Garber	23	253	221
229	Mikko Korhonen	47	251	229
230	George Coetzee	53	250	228
231	Cameron Champ	34	249	232
232	Dean Burmester	54	247	231
233	Kramer Hickok	31	246	227
234	Hudson Swafford	46	245	230
235	Chris Wood	44	244	236
236	Matthew Southgate	51	243	238
237	Lucas Herbert	39	243	237
238	Brendon Todd	17	243	246
239	Nacho Elvira	54	243	234
240	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	48	240	239
241	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	240	235
242	Dominic Bozzelli	47	239	244
243	Stephan Jaeger	60	239	233
244	Adri Arnaus	25	238	241
245	Shubhankar Sharma	53	237	242
246	Greg Chalmers	25	237	245
247	Roberto Diaz	56	233	254
248	Soren Kjeldsen	48	231	247
249	Sang-hyun Park	22	230	248
250	TJ Vogel	8	228	251
251	Robert Streb	65	228	267
252	Ben Crane	43	228	249
253	Robert Garrigus	43	227	243
254	Scott Jamieson	52	226	250
255	Mikko Ilonen	27	225	252
256	Josh Teater	33	224	275
257	Chase Wright	29	223	285
258	Victor Perez	25	223	253
259	Brandon Stone	50	221	257
260	Nino Bertasio	56	220	256
261	Wade Ormsby	54	218	259
262	David Horsey	47	213	260
263	Adam Svensson	33	212	255
264	Satoshi Kodaira	46	210	263
265	Callum Shinkwin	42	208	264
266	Scott Langley	34	207	258
267	Cameron Davis	35	207	261
268	Nicholas Lindheim	52	205	266
269	Luke Donald	29	204	268
270	Fabian Gomez	51	204	271
271	Maximilian Kieffer	50	203	270
272	Alex Cejka	51	203	287
273	Scott Hend	57	203	269
274	Eduardo de la Riva	15	203	272
275	Edoardo Molinari	55	202	276
276	John Peterson	18	201	279
277	Sean Crocker	30	201	273
278	Julien Guerrier	29	200	277
279	Nicolas Colsaerts	56	200	274
280	Richie Ramsay	49	198	278
281	Lee Slattery	52	198	280
282	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	27	198	265
283	Vijay Singh	19	196	281
284	Gaganjeet Bhullar	37	195	282
285	Alvaro Quiros	44	194	283
286	Hunter Mahan	49	190	289
287	Ernie Els	50	189	290
288	Tyrone van Aswegen	53	189	284
289	Matthieu Pavon	56	189	291
290	Oliver Fisher	53	187	293
291	Benjamin Silverman	59	186	286
292	Hideto Tanihara	49	185	294
293	Blayne Barber	30	185	295
294	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	184	299
295	Jeff Winther	44	184	297
296	Renato Paratore	55	184	298
297	Seung-su Han	27	183	296
298	Grant Forrest	28	183	301
299	Padraig Harrington	50	182	292
300	Derek Fathauer	46	182	288
301	Ashun Wu	55	181	300
302	Matthew Jordan	10	180	303
303	Henrik Norlander	10	180	306
304	Whee Kim	59	180	302
305	Shugo Imahira	25	179	354
306	Stephen Gallacher	50	178	304
307	Tapio Pulkkanen	46	178	305
308	Masahiro Kawamura	32	174	309
309	Joakim Lagergren	49	174	310
310	David Lingmerth	49	172	308
311	Bradley Dredge	45	171	313
312	Anders Albertson	32	171	307
313	Lanto Griffin	34	170	311
314	Ashley Chesters	59	170	314
315	Si-hwan Kim	25	168	316
316	Haydn Porteous	62	167	315
317	Jose-Filipe Lima	17	163	317
318	Julian Etulain	32	162	312
319	Tom Lovelady	50	161	323
320	Guido Migliozzi	20	161	318
321	Kurt Kitayama	25	159	322
322	Brett Stegmaier	30	158	325
323	Wesley Bryan	32	157	324
324	Thongchai Jaidee	43	156	327
325	Brian Campbell	9	156	332
326	JJ Henry	55	155	321
327	Alejandro Canizares	37	154	328
328	Trevor Immelman	25	154	330
329	Martin Piller	53	153	320
330	Martin Flores	36	150	326
331	Brad Kennedy	14	150	331
332	Davis Love	24	149	329
333	Kalle Samooja	21	148	333
334	Niklas Lemke	18	146	335
335	Boo Weekley	8	145	334
336	Mark Anderson	9	143	344
337	Brett Drewitt	11	143	340
338	Romain Wattel	48	143	338
339	Billy Hurley	41	143	356
340	Andres Romero	42	142	337
341	George McNeill	19	142	427
342	Joachim B Hansen	25	142	339
343	Cody Gribble	54	141	336
344	Chip McDaniel	9	140	319
345	Jeunghun Wang	57	140	342
346	Max Schmitt	18	139	343
347	Daniel Summerhays	29	137	345
348	Thomas Aiken	47	137	346
349	Chad Campbell	48	136	341
350	Zac Blair	33	136	348
351	Steve Wheatcroft	29	136	352
352	Oliver Bekker	10	136	351
353	Anton Karlsson	20	135	349
354	Rob Oppenheim	36	135	347
355	Sang-moon Bae	41	133	350
356	Berry Henson	16	131	355
357	John Catlin	24	129	357
358	Graeme Storm	18	129	353
359	Jacques Kruyswijk	44	128	359
360	Lorenzo Gagli	36	127	360
361	Neil Schietekat	8	126	363
362	Clement Sordet	43	126	361
363	Peter Hanson	32	126	362
364	Jamie Donaldson	38	126	358
365	JC Ritchie	12	125	364
366	Ethan Tracy	31	123	365
367	David Drysdale	57	123	366
368	Matthew Nixon	36	123	368
369	Prayad Marksaeng	15	122	367
370	Espen Kofstad	16	122	371
371	Jason Gore	13	121	378
372	Maverick McNealy	13	121	370
373	Johan Carlsson	13	120	377
374	Thomas Bjorn	37	120	369
375	Kyle Jones	29	120	420
376	Zander Lombard	55	118	381
377	Gareth Paddison	9	118	376
378	Panuphol Pittayarat	22	118	379
379	Stuart Appleby	25	118	372
380	Anthony Wall	13	117	375
381	Gregory Havret	41	117	373
382	Ryo Ishikawa	19	117	374
383	Justin Walters	53	117	380
384	Jarryd Felton	11	117	382
385	Yuta Ikeda	30	116	383
386	Sebastian Soderberg	27	116	384
387	Ryuko Tokimatsu	17	114	386
388	Hugo Leon	16	114	387
389	Ricardo Gouveia	54	114	388
390	Dimitrios Papadatos	22	113	389
391	Michael Kim	55	112	390
392	David Law	20	111	393
393	Marcus Fraser	44	111	392
394	Brady Schnell	25	110	385
395	Dong-kyu Jang	11	108	396
396	Kristoffer Reitan	18	108	395
397	Seth Reeves	32	108	397
398	Scott Vincent	43	108	398
399	Daisuke Kataoka	29	107	394
400	Jake McLeod	23	107	400
More \| Less

A Look at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational

July 24, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

You don’t have to go back too far to find out what can happen in the next appearance after Rory McIlroy misses a cut, as he did last week under huge pressure from Northern Ireland fans in the British Open. He missed the cut at the Memorial in June, then one week later was photographed holding the Canadian Open trophy. Small sample space? He missed the cut in the Valspar in March 2018 and one week later was photographed holding the Arnold Palmer trophy. More samples? Well he doesn’t miss the cut often but including those two examples, he’s missed 10 cuts in the last five years. Twice he won the next event. Six times he was in the top 10 the next time out. In nine of the 10 times, he finished in the top 10 within two appearances.

Anyhow you get the idea. McIlroy doesn’t mope around for long after a MC.

This week the golf world experiences a very different vibe as a select field of 63 players appears in Memphis TN for the World Golf Championships-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. This is the event that used to be the Bridgestone Invitational, part of the World Golf Championships series. It also used to be the FedEx St. Jude Classic, part of the weekly PGA Tour. When the Tour condensed its season by a month, sponsorship of this WGC event moved from Bridgestone to St. Jude, and the location of it moved from Akron to Memphis.

About half the field arrived in a charter from Northern Ireland a bit after midnight on Monday this week. As the FedEx-St. Jude Classic, this event attracted a field that was in the bottom half of all field strengths on the Tour. Now as a WGC event, it has 22 of the top 25 players per the Hawley Ratings – missing Tiger Woods, Rickie Fowler, and Francesco Molinari. And more than two dozen other entrants in the FedEx-St. Jude appear in the ratings top 100.

McIlroy goes off as the favorite because he’s resilient, as noted above, because he’s no. 2 in the ratings and playing better than no. 1 Dustin Johnson, and because this is another course that works for him. Per the Hawley course fit statistics, driving distance, shots gained around the green, and driving accuracy, in that order, are the stats that correlate most strongly with success on the TPC Southwind course in events here over the last eight years. McIlroy is in the top 2 percent of U.S./ Euro pros in driving distance, top 20 percent in shots gained around the green, and top half in driving accuracy. His lead over the rest of the field in course fit is more than half a stroke per round, which is a lot.

Most of McIlroy’s top challengers also have stat profiles well-aligned with that list of stats. Jon Rahm (top 10 percent in driving distance, top 25 percent in shots gained around the green, and top half in accuracy) looks good too. Rahm was 11th in the British Open, winner of the Irish Open, runner-up in the Euro Tour Andalucia event, and third in the U.S. Open in his last four appearances. Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama, Justin Rose, and Adam Scott also are playing well recently and appear solid for the course.

If you’re looking for someone down the ratings list who is playing well, consider former Masters champ Danny Willett. Willett was sixth in the British Open, 12th in the U.S. Open, and eighth in the Canadian Open, with a missed cut in the Irish Open mixed in

The second event this weekend is the Barracuda Championship in Reno NV. The favorite there is Collin Morikawa, a 22-year-old who gave up his amateur status only last month. Morikawa has earned over $1 million in five professional appearances and would rank 92nd on the official money list if he had a Tour card now. If he is in the top 125 in the FedEx Cup standings when the playoffs start Aug. 8, which seems like a given, he will have secured a Tour card for 2019-’20. Third on the list of top picks is another rookie, Doc Redman, who also is over $1 million of earnings in five appearances.

Ryan Palmer looks like the best of the veterans. Vaughn Taylor, who like Palmer is one of the few top-100 players in the event, also has been playing well enough recently to merit consideration. This event uses the modified Stableford scoring system (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stableford).

Home