A Look at Golf – Page 76 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

3M Open

July 1, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Brooks Koepka

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Brooks Koepka	14.4	65
2	Jason Day	17.7	66
3	Hideki Matsuyama	18.6	7
4	Bryson DeChambeau	32.4	2
5	Tony Finau	35.9	23
6	Rory Sabbatini	38.5	134
7	Patrick Reed	39.0	23
8	Joaquin Niemann	45.3	23
9	Adam Hadwin	46.0	4
10	Sungjae Im	46.3	15
11	Charles Howell	46.5	23
12	Viktor Hovland	46.6	13
13	Kevin Streelman	46.6	34
14	Phil Mickelson	47.6	140
15	Ryan Moore	47.9	121
16	Scott Piercy	48.8	15
17	Lucas Glover	48.8	7
18	Luke List	49.2	106
19	Keegan Bradley	50.2	46
20	Kevin Na	50.3	WD
21	Zack Sucher	51.0	58
22	Brian Harman	53.1	7
23	Chesson Hadley	55.0	149
24	Jimmy Walker	55.8	74
25	Charley Hoffman	56.3	106
26	Michael Thompson	56.5	85
27	Jason Dufner	57.1	66
28	Bud Cauley	57.6	34
29	Pat Perez	57.8	53
30	Sung Kang	57.8	134
31	Mackenzie Hughes	58.8	66
32	Nick Watney	58.9	143
33	Peter Malnati	59.0	46
34	Daniel Berger	59.2	15
35	Cameron Tringale	59.4	42
36	Nate Lashley	59.6	106
37	Si Woo Kim	59.7	106
38	Talor Gooch	60.1	73
39	JJ Spaun	60.2	66
40	Matt Every	60.2	79
41	Max Homa	60.2	79
42	Wyndham Clark	60.4	5
43	Danny Lee	60.6	97
44	Keith Mitchell	60.8	66
45	KH Lee	61.2	134
46	Brian Gay	61.2	56
47	Martin Laird	61.6	42
48	Sam Burns	62.3	7
49	Nick Taylor	62.7	46
50	Wes Roach	62.8	106
51	Jonas Blixt	62.8	134
52	Ryan Armour	63.1	42
53	Troy Merritt	63.4	7
54	Adam Long	63.5	115
55	Brendan Steele	63.5	53
56	Beau Hossler	63.6	34
57	Austin Cook	63.8	97
58	Russell Henley	64.1	86
59	Sebastian Munoz	64.1	72
60	Peter Uihlein	64.3	86
61	Hank Lebioda	64.5	34
62	Sepp Straka	64.5	97
63	Alex Prugh	65.3	115
64	Dylan Frittelli	65.4	46
65	Stephan Jaeger	65.6	66
66	Matt Jones	65.8	106
67	Scott Stallings	65.9	74
68	Scott Brown	66.0	15
69	Ted Potter	66.2	143
70	Roger Sloan	66.6	15
71	David Hearn	66.6	58
72	Denny McCarthy	66.7	23
73	Trey Mullinax	66.8	97
74	Brice Garnett	67.4	23
75	Patton Kizzire	67.5	34
76	Corey Conners	67.6	46
77	Harris English	68.2	97
78	Sam Ryder	68.3	34
79	Roberto Castro	68.6	46
80	Adam Schenk	68.7	115
81	Bronson Burgoon	68.7	34
82	Anirban Lahiri	68.8	84
83	Ryan Blaum	68.8	74
84	Tyler Duncan	68.8	83
85	Roberto Diaz	69.3	79
86	Joey Garber	70.2	7
87	Carlos Ortiz	70.2	5
88	Bill Haas	70.3	74
89	Brandon Harkins	70.3	121
90	Ollie Schniederjans	70.3	86
91	Shawn Stefani	70.3	15
92	Andrew Landry	70.4	86
93	Curtis Luck	70.5	58
94	Josh Teater	70.5	97
95	Johnson Wagner	70.5	23
96	Chris Stroud	70.9	121
97	Richy Werenski	71.1	46
98	Robert Streb	71.2	34
99	Tom Hoge	71.3	23
100	Robert Garrigus	71.3	74
101	Kelly Kraft	71.3	86
102	Sam Saunders	71.4	23
103	Nicholas Lindheim	71.5	WD
104	Cameron Champ	71.5	147
105	Kramer Hickok	71.7	42
106	Benjamin Silverman	71.7	147
107	Scott Langley	72.2	115
108	Dominic Bozzelli	72.4	121
109	Ben Crane	72.5	143
110	Cameron Davis	72.6	86
111	Alex Cejka	72.8	86
112	David Lingmerth	72.9	86
113	Tyrone van Aswegen	73.0	53
114	Satoshi Kodaira	73.1	58
115	Derek Fathauer	73.3	WD
116	Hunter Mahan	73.6	86
117	Julian Etulain	73.7	149
118	Martin Piller	73.9	131
119	JJ Henry	74.0	115
120	Cody Gribble	74.1	121
121	Whee Kim	74.3	143
122	Sang-moon Bae	74.4	86
123	Chase Wright	74.9	23
124	Anders Albertson	74.9	82
125	Brady Schnell	75.0	121
126	Tom Lovelady	75.1	134
127	Fabian Gomez	75.3	13
128	Chad Campbell	75.3	121
129	Adam Svensson	76.1	15
130	Collin Morikawa	76.2	2
131	Tim Herron	76.4	140
132	Morgan Hoffmann	76.5	86
133	Seth Reeves	76.5	97
134	Michael Kim	76.8	121
135	Martin Trainer	76.8	121
136	Freddie Jacobson	77.5	121
137	Chris Thompson	78.0	97
138	Kyle Jones	78.1	58
139	Rod Pampling	78.5	56
140	Colt Knost	78.7	131
141	John Chin	79.6	151
142	Chad Collins	79.8	131
143	Smylie Kaufman	79.9	140
144	Alvaro Ortiz	80.2	97
145	Charlie Danielson	80.3	15
146	Matthew Wolff	80.3	1
147	Kris Blanks	80.7	106
148	Will Claxton	80.7	151
149	Craig Brischke	80.7	153
150	Tom Lehman	80.7	58
151	Justin Suh	80.7	58
	Arjun Atwal	late entry	31
	Nyasha Mauchaza	late entry	108
	Mark Baldwin	late entry	109
	Brian Dwyer	late entry	118
	Doc Redman	late entry	134
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 75. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Dubai Duty Free Irish Open

July 1, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jon Rahm	7.3	1
2	Tommy Fleetwood	27.5	23
3	Russell Knox	32.2	31
4	Tyrrell Hatton	36.5	91
5	Shane Lowry	39.0	34
6	Louis Oosthuizen	41.1	46
7	Matt Wallace	42.8	55
8	Ian Poulter	43.6	41
9	Rafa Cabrera Bello	47.2	4
10	Danny Willett	47.9	91
11	Graeme McDowell	49.5	117
12	Eddie Pepperell	50.9	4
13	Abraham Ancer	55.6	19
14	Haotong Li	56.2	15
15	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	58.4	9
16	Ryan Fox	58.5	150
17	Lee Westwood	58.7	23
18	Thorbjorn Olesen	58.8	15
19	Andy Sullivan	59.0	2
20	Erik Van Rooyen	59.9	75
21	Martin Kaymer	60.4	9
22	Lucas Bjerregaard	60.9	108
23	Jordan Smith	61.2	125
24	Matthew Southgate	61.4	75
25	Joost Luiten	62.9	134
26	Jorge Campillo	63.5	7
27	Alexander Bjork	63.9	50
28	Julian Suri	64.1	117
29	Justin Harding	64.9	67
30	Adrian Otaegui	66.5	67
31	Bernd Wiesberger	66.7	2
32	Richard Sterne	66.7	34
33	Thomas Detry	66.8	23
34	Victor Dubuisson	67.4	91
35	Robert MacIntyre	67.7	41
36	Andrea Pavan	67.8	67
37	Chris Paisley	67.9	41
38	Pablo Larrazabal	68.0	91
39	Seamus Power	68.6	60
40	Ross Fisher	68.6	125
41	Matthias Schwab	68.8	75
42	Paul Dunne	69.0	67
43	Paul Waring	69.1	7
44	Soren Kjeldsen	69.2	91
45	Fabrizio Zanotti	69.3	91
46	Tom Lewis	69.5	61
47	Jason Scrivener	69.7	134
48	David Lipsky	69.7	154
49	Alvaro Quiros	69.7	91
50	Bradley Dredge	69.8	50
51	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	70.1	125
52	Benjamin Hebert	70.2	55
53	Richie Ramsay	70.3	108
54	Oliver Wilson	70.5	19
55	Sam Horsfield	70.9	75
56	Chris Wood	70.9	134
57	Alexander Levy	71.0	108
58	Marcus Kinhult	71.0	61
59	Romain Langasque	71.3	75
60	Scott Jamieson	71.3	150
61	Gavin Green	71.4	9
62	Darren Fichardt	71.6	75
63	Matthieu Pavon	71.9	117
64	David Horsey	72.0	75
65	Dean Burmester	72.1	117
66	Andrew Johnston	72.2	146
67	Maximilian Kieffer	72.2	75
68	Nacho Elvira	72.4	125
69	Ashley Chesters	72.5	125
70	Oliver Fisher	72.7	34
71	Padraig Harrington	72.8	50
72	Nicolas Colsaerts	72.9	75
73	Lucas Herbert	73.1	55
74	Victor Perez	73.1	61
75	Thongchai Jaidee	73.3	125
76	Adri Arnaus	73.5	15
77	Robert Rock	73.5	4
78	Aaron Rai	73.6	67
79	Wade Ormsby	73.7	19
80	Eduardo de la Riva	73.7	75
81	Scott Hend	73.7	117
82	Jeff Winther	74.1	64
83	Gaganjeet Bhullar	74.2	91
84	Shubhankar Sharma	74.2	108
85	Edoardo Molinari	74.4	9
86	Sean Crocker	74.5	134
87	Stephen Gallacher	74.7	91
88	Hideto Tanihara	74.8	125
89	Tapio Pulkkanen	74.9	75
90	Haydn Porteous	75.0	75
91	David Drysdale	75.1	91
92	George Coetzee	75.2	34
93	Ashun Wu	75.6	134
94	Brandon Stone	75.7	34
95	Joakim Lagergren	75.7	31
96	Kurt Kitayama	75.7	134
97	Masahiro Kawamura	75.8	46
98	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	75.9	19
99	Renato Paratore	75.9	117
100	Trevor Immelman	76.1	146
101	Guido Migliozzi	76.2	134
102	Thomas Bjorn	76.2	152
103	Joachim B Hansen	76.4	108
104	Alejandro Canizares	76.4	31
105	Thomas Aiken	76.5	117
106	David Law	76.5	75
107	Romain Wattel	76.5	91
108	Anton Karlsson	76.6	46
109	Max Schmitt	76.7	41
110	Kristoffer Reitan	76.7	91
111	Gavin Moynihan	76.8	134
112	Nino Bertasio	76.9	27
113	Sebastian Soderberg	77.0	41
114	Niklas Lemke	77.1	34
115	Andres Romero	77.1	23
116	Jeunghun Wang	77.2	154
117	Lee Slattery	77.2	27
118	Grant Forrest	77.2	14
119	Justin Walters	77.2	91
120	Louis de Jager	77.2	67
121	Raphael Jacquelin	77.5	91
122	Jake McLeod	77.5	75
123	Clement Sordet	77.5	55
124	Ricardo Gouveia	77.6	91
125	Sang-hyun Park	77.6	108
126	Steven Brown	77.6	117
127	Jack Singh Brar	77.8	50
128	James Morrison	77.9	91
129	Richard McEvoy	78.1	64
130	Jacques Kruyswijk	78.2	34
131	Jens Dantorp	78.3	134
132	Kim Koivu	78.5	134
133	Kalle Samooja	78.5	152
134	Yusaku Miyazato	78.6	154
135	Sam Brazel	78.7	50
136	Jaco van Zyl	78.7	134
137	Zander Lombard	79.1	9
138	Robert Karlsson	79.3	27
139	Jamie Donaldson	79.3	134
140	SSP Chawrasia	79.4	108
141	Lorenzo Gagli	79.7	55
142	Liam Johnston	80.0	64
143	Ben Evans	80.1	75
144	Stuart Manley	80.1	125
145	David Howell	80.2	67
146	Hyo-won Park	81.0	46
147	Darren Clarke	81.4	146
148	Pedro Figueiredo	81.7	75
149	Cormac Sharvin	82.0	15
150	Pelle Edberg	82.0	146
	Robin Dawson	late entry	28
	Paul McBride	late entry	71
	Brian Casey	late entry	92
	Conor O’Rourke	late entry	112
	Thomas Pieters	late entry	114
	Michael McGeady	late entry	131
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 322. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 30, 2019)

July 1, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Rory McIlroy returns to the no. 1 ranking for the first time since May 2016.

#	Thru June 30, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Rory McIlroy	48	1894	2
2	Dustin Johnson	49	1840	1
3	Justin Rose	50	1738	3
4	Tiger Woods	30	1718	4
5	Patrick Cantlay	46	1674	5
6	Justin Thomas	50	1618	6
7	Jon Rahm	52	1548	7
8	Brooks Koepka	46	1523	8
9	Jason Day	46	1491	9
10	Webb Simpson	49	1491	10
11	Tommy Fleetwood	58	1440	11
12	Rickie Fowler	49	1388	12
13	Paul Casey	49	1388	13
14	Adam Scott	43	1381	14
15	Xander Schauffele	52	1347	15
16	Hideki Matsuyama	51	1339	16
17	Matt Kuchar	59	1292	17
18	Francesco Molinari	47	1246	18
19	Tony Finau	59	1237	19
20	Bryson DeChambeau	55	1157	21
21	Gary Woodland	57	1132	20
22	Louis Oosthuizen	46	1097	22
23	Henrik Stenson	48	1087	23
24	Jordan Spieth	52	1071	24
25	Ian Poulter	57	1069	26
26	Marc Leishman	52	1068	25
27	Patrick Reed	63	1012	30
28	Tyrrell Hatton	54	998	28
29	Chez Reavie	57	988	27
30	Rafa Cabrera Bello	59	974	29
31	Phil Mickelson	48	960	31
32	Billy Horschel	57	933	33
33	Sergio Garcia	54	922	32
34	Emiliano Grillo	56	912	34
35	Jason Kokrak	53	899	36
36	Charles Howell	56	897	35
37	Jim Furyk	35	896	38
38	Bubba Watson	51	875	37
39	Kevin Kisner	58	863	40
40	Ryan Moore	48	857	39
41	Rory Sabbatini	54	855	50
42	Brandt Snedeker	49	853	49
43	Byeong Hun An	58	853	44
44	Adam Hadwin	54	851	42
45	Ryan Palmer	42	843	43
46	Luke List	56	829	41
47	Doc Redman	8	826
48	Alex Noren	50	826	45
49	Scott Piercy	46	813	46
50	Shane Lowry	56	805	47
51	Lucas Glover	47	799	48
52	Kevin Na	52	796	51
53	Keegan Bradley	56	785	53
54	Cameron Smith	56	778	54
55	Viktor Hovland	9	774	74
56	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56	761	52
57	Kevin Chappell	38	760	55
58	Sungjae Im	36	747	58
59	Matt Wallace	62	740	57
60	Zach Johnson	49	739	56
61	Russell Knox	62	730	59
62	Abraham Ancer	58	712	61
63	Kyle Stanley	59	711	64
64	Kevin Streelman	53	709	60
65	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	61	708	62
66	Joaquin Niemann	35	688	79
67	Chesson Hadley	61	679	63
68	Charley Hoffman	59	664	65
69	Aaron Wise	50	658	68
70	Brian Harman	59	655	66
71	Eddie Pepperell	45	644	69
72	Michael Thompson	41	638	67
73	Haotong Li	54	636	71
74	Thomas Pieters	50	634	72
75	Andrew Putnam	52	633	73
76	Jamie Lovemark	39	626	75
77	Graham DeLaet	8	624	70
78	Branden Grace	57	622	76
79	Joel Dahmen	61	618	81
80	Pat Perez	51	614	77
81	Graeme McDowell	54	604	82
82	CT Pan	56	604	84
83	Si Woo Kim	62	600	80
84	Jhonattan Vegas	58	599	83
85	Bud Cauley	44	592	78
86	Daniel Berger	50	589	86
87	Vaughn Taylor	54	588	85
88	Lucas Bjerregaard	55	577	89
89	Jimmy Walker	47	574	93
90	Keith Mitchell	54	571	87
91	Brian Gay	60	566	88
92	Thorbjorn Olesen	52	563	91
93	Sung Kang	57	555	90
94	Jason Dufner	53	537	92
95	Joost Luiten	39	532	94
96	Steve Stricker	25	532	95
97	Erik Van Rooyen	44	529	96
98	JB Holmes	51	528	104
99	JT Poston	55	523	113
100	Danny Willett	48	523	100
101	Nick Watney	53	523	98
102	Patrick Rodgers	49	520	102
103	Kevin Tway	59	517	97
104	Lee Westwood	41	512	103
105	Martin Laird	51	504	101
106	Chris Kirk	52	502	107
107	Stewart Cink	44	501	99
108	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	47	493	115
109	Beau Hossler	53	492	105
110	Julian Suri	47	490	112
111	Harold Varner	61	488	106
112	Max Homa	30	487	108
113	JJ Spaun	55	486	121
114	Peter Uihlein	63	476	110
115	Russell Henley	51	474	109
116	Danny Lee	60	473	119
117	Austin Cook	52	468	111
118	Talor Gooch	49	462	130
119	Sam Burns	39	461	116
120	KH Lee	34	459	114
121	Brian Stuard	63	456	140
122	Ryan Armour	63	453	118
123	Troy Merritt	52	452	117
124	Alexander Bjork	51	450	122
125	Charl Schwartzel	51	449	120
126	Nate Lashley	40	444	167
127	Andy Sullivan	49	442	129
128	Jordan Smith	51	438	125
129	Dylan Frittelli	64	437	124
130	Justin Harding	31	436	126
131	Peter Malnati	58	435	133
132	Brendan Steele	49	432	123
133	Aaron Baddeley	51	431	127
134	Martin Kaymer	55	426	132
135	Wyndham Clark	32	424	149
136	Scott Stallings	60	419	128
137	Doug Ghim	16	410	135
138	William McGirt	33	409	138
139	Nick Taylor	61	408	141
140	John Oda	11	407	139
141	Jorge Campillo	55	406	144
142	Hank Lebioda	22	405	131
143	Scott Brown	62	404	134
144	Matt Jones	58	400	136
145	Seamus Power	60	399	137
146	Matt Every	51	396	145
147	Patton Kizzire	57	387	142
148	Thomas Detry	56	384	154
149	Trey Mullinax	55	384	143
150	Andrea Pavan	45	381	146
151	Denny McCarthy	52	380	160
152	Sean O’Hair	40	377	150
153	James Hahn	43	376	148
154	Ryan Fox	52	376	151
155	Mackenzie Hughes	55	375	163
156	Adam Long	29	372	147
157	Victor Dubuisson	24	372	156
158	Tom Lewis	42	369	153
159	Corey Conners	57	361	152
160	Brice Garnett	57	360	173
161	Ted Potter	51	359	204
162	Jonas Blixt	54	358	166
163	Richard Sterne	47	357	158
164	Cameron Tringale	56	355	206
165	David Hearn	47	352	164
166	Sam Ryder	48	350	157
167	Ross Fisher	49	349	155
168	Chris Paisley	48	348	162
169	Bronson Burgoon	44	337	175
170	Ryan Blaum	56	337	165
171	Roberto Castro	26	336	161
172	Sepp Straka	29	334	232
173	Anirban Lahiri	58	333	168
174	Wes Roach	24	333	294
175	Dylan Meyer	16	331	170
176	Adam Schenk	62	329	172
177	Grayson Murray	44	326	177
178	Bernd Wiesberger	36	324	180
179	Harris English	60	323	171
180	Paul Dunne	55	320	169
181	Jim Knous	23	320	182
182	Roger Sloan	31	320	210
183	Alexander Levy	49	320	181
184	Adrian Otaegui	57	319	174
185	Steve Marino	10	317	183
186	David Lipsky	56	317	176
187	Pablo Larrazabal	48	317	186
188	Fabrizio Zanotti	42	316	185
189	Min Woo Lee	12	315	159
190	Sam Horsfield	49	311	189
191	Alex Prugh	28	309	179
192	Sebastian Munoz	35	308	178
193	Marcus Kinhult	40	305	184
194	Ben Martin	27	305	191
195	Ollie Schniederjans	60	301	187
196	Matthias Schwab	42	301	188
197	Retief Goosen	28	300	194
198	John Huh	47	299	195
199	Brandon Harkins	57	298	190
200	Johnson Wagner	45	293	201
201	Jason Scrivener	55	293	202
202	Miguel Angel Jimenez	12	292	198
203	Bill Haas	50	291	200
204	Paul Waring	45	289	193
205	Carlos Ortiz	33	289	196
206	Andrew Landry	52	289	197
207	Curtis Luck	34	289	192
208	Shawn Stefani	59	288	211
209	Richy Werenski	61	285	199
210	Robert Garrigus	43	278	212
211	Robert MacIntyre	17	276	217
212	Jazz Janewattananond	35	276	214
213	Sam Saunders	56	275	208
214	Chris Wood	44	274	218
215	Darren Fichardt	43	274	207
216	Benjamin Hebert	46	274	205
217	Oliver Wilson	21	272	203
218	Chris Stroud	56	272	209
219	Kelly Kraft	62	269	213
220	Tom Hoge	68	267	216
221	Tyler Duncan	60	264	221
222	Cameron Champ	32	263	224
223	Kramer Hickok	28	262	215
224	Matthew Southgate	51	262	219
225	Hudson Swafford	48	261	222
226	Jonathan Byrd	49	260	228
227	Dean Burmester	53	260	226
228	KJ Choi	26	260	229
229	Mikko Korhonen	46	260	225
230	Andrew Johnston	35	258	220
231	Lucas Herbert	37	257	231
232	Soren Kjeldsen	48	255	227
233	Cameron Percy	30	254	233
234	Nacho Elvira	54	254	223
235	DJ Trahan	21	253	236
236	Stephan Jaeger	56	252	230
237	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	45	248	257
238	Roberto Diaz	52	244	235
239	Robert Rock	48	243	237
240	Scott Langley	30	239	234
241	Shubhankar Sharma	50	237	238
242	Ben Crane	45	235	241
243	Dominic Bozzelli	46	234	239
244	Romain Langasque	31	233	244
245	Gavin Green	49	232	261
246	Nicholas Lindheim	52	227	240
247	Greg Chalmers	28	227	248
248	Aaron Rai	53	225	242
249	Mikko Ilonen	29	225	247
250	Satoshi Kodaira	44	224	243
251	TJ Vogel	8	223	249
252	Eduardo de la Riva	16	222	664
253	Scott Hend	58	221	245
254	David Horsey	47	221	253
255	Maximilian Kieffer	50	220	246
256	Scott Jamieson	52	220	267
257	Luke Donald	29	216	254
258	Derek Fathauer	45	216	255
259	Sean Crocker	29	216	265
260	Nicolas Colsaerts	55	215	266
261	Robert Streb	63	212	250
262	Gaganjeet Bhullar	35	210	284
263	Tyrone van Aswegen	53	209	260
264	Victor Perez	23	208	277
265	Padraig Harrington	49	207	263
266	Alex Cejka	52	207	252
267	Hunter Mahan	50	207	256
268	Richie Ramsay	50	206	251
269	Vijay Singh	20	206	262
270	Benjamin Silverman	55	206	258
271	Alvaro Quiros	44	206	313
272	Brandon Stone	49	204	270
273	Matthieu Pavon	56	204	278
274	Cameron Davis	31	202	259
275	David Lingmerth	47	202	269
276	George Coetzee	52	202	279
277	Julian Etulain	32	200	273
278	Adri Arnaus	23	199	340
279	Julien Guerrier	29	199	276
280	Wade Ormsby	53	198	268
281	Callum Shinkwin	43	198	264
282	Hideto Tanihara	49	195	302
283	Seung-su Han	26	195	280
284	Ashun Wu	55	194	271
285	Whee Kim	57	194	272
286	Boo Weekley	9	194	281
287	Stephen Gallacher	50	193	274
288	John Peterson	18	192	283
289	Tapio Pulkkanen	44	189	282
290	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	24	188	275
291	Blayne Barber	33	186	285
292	Joey Garber	19	183	337
293	Martin Piller	49	183	314
294	Josh Teater	29	181	317
295	Matthew Jordan	10	179	295
296	Oliver Fisher	53	178	286
297	Ashley Chesters	59	178	292
298	Masahiro Kawamura	30	177	297
299	Bradley Dredge	45	177	287
300	JJ Henry	54	176	289
301	Martin Flores	40	176	290
302	Jeff Winther	43	174	291
303	Lanto Griffin	34	173	299
304	Kurt Kitayama	22	173	288
305	Renato Paratore	55	173	296
306	Brad Kennedy	13	172	301
307	Anders Albertson	28	171	293
308	Henrik Norlander	10	171	307
309	Brendon Todd	17	170	306
310	Jose-Filipe Lima	19	169	309
311	Thongchai Jaidee	44	168	298
312	Trevor Immelman	24	168	311
313	Chase Wright	25	168	316
314	Haydn Porteous	61	168	300
315	Tom Lovelady	46	167	310
316	Joakim Lagergren	48	166	305
317	Ernie Els	51	165	304
318	Si-hwan Kim	25	165	322
319	Davis Love	27	164	308
320	Wesley Bryan	35	161	315
321	Joachim B Hansen	23	161	303
322	Fabian Gomez	48	161	312
323	Chad Campbell	47	158	319
324	Nino Bertasio	55	156	318
325	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	41	152	320
326	Brett Stegmaier	33	151	324
327	Jeunghun Wang	58	150	323
328	Cody Gribble	52	149	321
329	Berry Henson	15	146	328
330	Graeme Storm	20	146	326
331	Edoardo Molinari	54	145	350
332	Brian Campbell	13	143	335
333	Shugo Imahira	22	143	338
334	Anton Karlsson	19	141	332
335	Thomas Aiken	46	141	331
336	Brady Schnell	21	140	325
337	Sang-moon Bae	38	140	333
338	Tag Ridings	9	140	334
339	Rob Oppenheim	36	140	344
340	Alejandro Canizares	37	139	336
341	Guido Migliozzi	18	138	330
342	Dong-kyu Jang	9	138	347
343	Niklas Lemke	16	137	327
344	Thomas Bjorn	37	137	425
345	Daniel Summerhays	33	136	348
346	Brett Drewitt	15	136	353
347	Oliver Bekker	11	136	349
348	Anthony Wall	14	135	329
349	John Catlin	23	135	339
350	Clement Sordet	41	135	345
351	Lee Slattery	52	135	343
352	Zac Blair	37	134	352
353	Adam Svensson	29	133	342
354	David Drysdale	57	132	346
355	Steve Wheatcroft	33	132	354
356	Jake McLeod	20	132	341
357	Prayad Marksaeng	15	130	355
358	Neil Schietekat	8	129	356
359	Andres Romero	42	127	364
360	Peter Hanson	34	126	358
361	JC Ritchie	12	126	362
362	Max Schmitt	16	126	351
363	Yuta Ikeda	29	125	365
364	David Law	18	125	376
365	Kristoffer Reitan	16	125	429
366	Justin Walters	53	125	390
367	Billy Hurley	40	125	357
368	Seth Reeves	28	122	372
369	Johan Carlsson	14	122	367
370	Daisuke Kataoka	28	122	366
371	Maverick McNealy	16	122	370
372	Ethan Tracy	31	122	375
373	Romain Wattel	48	122	361
374	Mark Anderson	13	121	389
375	Louis de Jager	22	121	359
376	Gregory Havret	43	120	378
377	Ricardo Gouveia	54	120	368
378	Tim Wilkinson	12	120	377
379	Stuart Appleby	28	120	379
380	Tim Herron	25	120	381
381	Jacques Kruyswijk	42	119	382
382	Dimitrios Papadatos	22	119	363
383	Grant Forrest	26	119	392
384	Espen Kofstad	16	119	360
385	Matthew Nixon	37	118	371
386	Gareth Paddison	9	117	384
387	Panuphol Pittayarat	22	117	385
388	Ryan Brehm	10	117	383
389	Jarryd Felton	11	116	387
390	Michael Kim	55	116	380
391	Camilo Villegas	20	115	369
392	Sebastian Soderberg	26	115	373
393	Ricky Barnes	43	115	388
394	Richard McEvoy	36	113	386
395	Marcus Fraser	45	113	393
396	Ryo Ishikawa	21	112	395
397	Yoshinori Fujimoto	11	112	396
398	Hugo Leon	18	112	407
399	George McNeill	18	111	398
400	Parker McLachlin	20	111	397
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the Rocket Mortgage Classic

June 25, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

For the first time in years, the PGA Tour is adding a core-season, full-purse new event to its schedule. And not once, but two weeks in a row. This week it is the Rocket Mortgage Classic, being played in metro Detroit. The Rocket Mortgage Classic has a four-year contract through 2022 to be played at Detroit Golf Club, which is about nine miles north of Ford Field, the Detroit Lions’ downtown NFL stadium near the Detroit River.

It would have been tough to identify a favorite for the event, except that Dustin Johnson, the world no. 1 per the Hawley Ratings, is entered, and you must drop down all the way to no. 12 to find Rickie Fowler as the main competition. There are only two other entrants from the rankings top 20, those being Hideki Matsuyama and U.S. Open champion Gary Woodland, and 12 more from the top 50.

With no record of pros’ performance on the course, and not even a prior history for the event Read more

Rocket Mortgage Classic

June 24, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	4.8	91
2	Hideki Matsuyama	20.0	13
3	Rickie Fowler	25.6	46
4	Chez Reavie	26.7	110
5	Gary Woodland	26.9	91
6	Billy Horschel	37.8	17
7	Rory Sabbatini	41.5	3
8	Patrick Reed	43.9	5
9	Byeong Hun An	45.2	13
10	Kevin Kisner	45.7	46
11	Jason Kokrak	46.0	29
12	Kevin Streelman	46.5	35
13	Brandt Snedeker	46.5	5
14	Ryan Moore	47.0	110
15	Charles Howell	47.5	35
16	Luke List	48.0	134
17	Bubba Watson	49.2	110
18	Sungjae Im	50.0	21
19	Sung Kang	50.2	110
20	Brian Harman	50.8	72
21	Joaquin Niemann	52.4	5
22	Chesson Hadley	52.6	139
23	Vaughn Taylor	53.2	46
24	Abraham Ancer	53.3	DNP
25	Cameron Smith	54.0	29
26	Viktor Hovland	54.2	13
27	Nick Watney	55.2	46
28	Michael Thompson	55.3	91
29	Charley Hoffman	55.3	84
30	Aaron Wise	55.8	35
31	Jimmy Walker	56.0	21
32	Jason Dufner	56.4	72
33	Kevin Tway	56.5	72
34	CT Pan	56.7	DNP
35	Kyle Stanley	56.8	21
36	Bud Cauley	57.0	59
37	Brian Gay	59.1	72
38	Si Woo Kim	59.2	145
39	Harold Varner	59.4	91
40	Keith Mitchell	59.8	91
41	Martin Laird	59.9	84
42	Peter Malnati	60.1	29
43	Austin Cook	60.4	91
44	KH Lee	60.6	91
45	Sam Burns	60.7	42
46	Max Homa	60.9	42
47	Adam Long	61.2	72
48	Beau Hossler	61.8	84
49	Peter Uihlein	62.1	72
50	Mackenzie Hughes	62.4	21
51	Sebastian Munoz	62.4	91
52	Jonas Blixt	62.5	29
53	Troy Merritt	62.7	128
54	Stewart Cink	62.8	70
55	Brendan Steele	63.1	55
56	JB Holmes	63.2	21
57	Hank Lebioda	63.2	84
58	Russell Henley	63.5	110
59	JT Poston	63.6	11
60	Ryan Armour	63.6	46
61	Talor Gooch	63.7	17
62	JJ Spaun	63.8	13
63	Danny Lee	63.9	21
64	Nick Taylor	64.2	35
65	Scott Brown	64.6	72
66	Alex Prugh	64.8	91
67	Scott Stallings	65.2	64
68	Stephan Jaeger	65.4	91
69	Matt Jones	65.4	91
70	Dylan Frittelli	65.6	46
71	Brian Stuard	65.7	5
72	Wyndham Clark	65.9	17
73	Nate Lashley	66.0	1
74	Trey Mullinax	66.3	110
75	Seamus Power	66.5	148
76	Cameron Tringale	66.7	5
77	David Hearn	66.7	DNP
78	Patton Kizzire	66.9	91
79	Corey Conners	67.1	91
80	Sam Ryder	67.4	72
81	Harris English	67.6	55
82	Ryan Blaum	67.7	84
83	Denny McCarthy	67.8	21
84	Jim Knous	67.9	DNP
85	Roberto Castro	67.9	59
86	Tyler Duncan	68.6	110
87	Roberto Diaz	68.7	128
88	Anirban Lahiri	69.0	42
89	Sepp Straka	69.1	11
90	Adam Schenk	69.2	42
91	Bronson Burgoon	69.2	35
92	Andrew Landry	69.3	59
93	Brice Garnett	69.4	17
94	Ollie Schniederjans	69.9	145
95	Brandon Harkins	70.0	84
96	Curtis Luck	70.0	110
97	Roger Sloan	70.0	21
98	Tom Hoge	70.0	64
99	Kramer Hickok	70.1	110
100	Shawn Stefani	70.2	35
101	Carlos Ortiz	70.2	55
102	Bill Haas	70.3	DNP
103	Chris Stroud	70.6	WD
104	Johnson Wagner	70.6	DNP
105	Ted Potter	70.7	5
106	Robert Streb	70.9	72
107	Richy Werenski	70.9	148
108	Kelly Kraft	71.0	110
109	Sam Saunders	71.1	91
110	Nicholas Lindheim	71.2	91
111	Benjamin Silverman	71.5	72
112	Hudson Swafford	71.6	DNP
113	Cameron Champ	71.6	46
114	Scott Langley	71.7	84
115	Dominic Bozzelli	72.3	59
116	Cameron Davis	72.3	128
117	Josh Teater	72.5	35
118	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	72.5	128
119	Alex Cejka	72.5	110
120	Ben Crane	72.6	DNP
121	Satoshi Kodaira	72.8	139
122	Wes Roach	73.2	3
123	Hunter Mahan	73.3	134
124	Luke Donald	73.3	46
125	Joey Garber	73.4	29
126	Julian Etulain	73.6	DNP
127	JJ Henry	73.8	147
128	Cody Gribble	73.9	110
129	Whee Kim	74.1	110
130	Sang-moon Bae	74.3	152
131	Ernie Els	74.6	148
132	Anders Albertson	74.6	64
133	Brady Schnell	74.7	91
134	Chase Wright	74.7	46
135	Fabian Gomez	75.1	139
136	Adam Svensson	75.8	72
137	Morgan Hoffmann	76.1	110
138	Billy Hurley	76.2	110
139	Zack Sucher	76.2	134
140	Seth Reeves	76.6	55
141	Martin Trainer	76.6	128
142	Michael Kim	76.7	151
143	Freddie Jacobson	77.4	110
144	Kyle Jones	77.8	69
145	Chris Thompson	77.8	134
146	Colt Knost	78.2	59
147	Rod Pampling	78.4	91
148	John Chin	79.5	139
149	Chad Collins	79.6	64
150	Smylie Kaufman	79.7	71
151	Mike Weir	80.0	72
152	Jim Herman	80.1	128
153	Matthew Wolff	80.1	110
154	Will MacKenzie	80.5	WD
155	Zachary Bauchou	80.7	152
156	Lee Houtteman	80.7	154
157	Justin Suh	80.7	91
158	Ryan Vermeer	80.7	139
159	Will Claxton	80.7	139
160	David Berganio	80.7	DNP
	Doc Redman	late entry	2
	Martin Piller	late entry	32
	Wes Homan	late entry	66
	Austen Truslow	late entry	94
	Matt Harmon	late entry	121
	Chip McDaniel	late entry	134
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 33. The average is 134. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)
Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Estrella Damm N.A. Andalucía Masters hosted by the Sergio Garcia Foundation

June 24, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jon Rahm	17.7	2
2	Sergio Garcia	36.8	7
3	Matthew Fitzpatrick	51.6	72
4	Joost Luiten	57.1	20
5	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	60.7	2
6	Julian Suri	62.4	15
7	Andrea Pavan	62.5	88
8	Andy Sullivan	63.6	13
9	Thomas Detry	65.1	8
10	Pablo Larrazabal	65.3	26
11	Matthias Schwab	65.4	112
12	David Lipsky	65.4	53
13	Jason Scrivener	65.8	26
14	Victor Dubuisson	66.0	20
15	Jorge Campillo	66.1	15
16	Oliver Wilson	66.7	70
17	Paul Waring	67.2	130
18	Chris Paisley	67.2	37
19	Ross Fisher	67.2	130
20	Marcus Kinhult	67.3	130
21	Soren Kjeldsen	67.6	39
22	Richard Sterne	67.7	26
23	Mikko Korhonen	68.5	39
24	Robert Rock	68.7	100
25	Andrew Johnston	68.8	59
26	Fabrizio Zanotti	69.0	26
27	Adrian Otaegui	69.1	72
28	Gavin Green	69.4	8
29	Richie Ramsay	69.4	72
30	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	69.6	1
31	Matthew Southgate	69.7	72
32	Paul Dunne	69.8	138
33	Benjamin Hebert	69.9	112
34	Darren Fichardt	70.0	130
35	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	70.3	72
36	Jeff Winther	70.7	88
37	Nacho Elvira	70.8	149
38	Aaron Rai	71.0	72
39	David Horsey	71.1	26
40	Min Woo Lee	71.1	23
41	Ashley Chesters	71.2	46
42	Sean Crocker	71.3	26
43	Wade Ormsby	71.4	56
44	Gaganjeet Bhullar	71.4	13
45	Maximilian Kieffer	71.5	112
46	Alvaro Quiros	71.7	2
47	Haydn Porteous	71.8	72
48	Dean Burmester	71.8	39
49	Scott Hend	71.8	100
50	Ashun Wu	71.9	124
51	Oliver Fisher	71.9	100
52	Alejandro Canizares	72.1	53
53	Shubhankar Sharma	72.2	153
54	Thongchai Jaidee	72.2	67
55	Scott Jamieson	72.3	15
56	Thomas Aiken	72.3	88
57	Edoardo Molinari	72.4	26
58	Tapio Pulkkanen	72.5	46
59	Nicolas Colsaerts	72.5	20
60	Bradley Dredge	72.6	56
61	Stephen Gallacher	72.6	100
62	Renato Paratore	72.8	124
63	Callum Shinkwin	72.8	112
64	Masahiro Kawamura	72.9	39
65	Si-hwan Kim	72.9	26
66	Joachim B Hansen	73.0	88
67	Espen Kofstad	73.1	64
68	Joakim Lagergren	73.2	59
69	George Coetzee	73.2	26
70	Matthieu Pavon	73.3	23
71	Victor Perez	73.3	26
72	Guido Migliozzi	73.3	130
73	Clement Sordet	73.5	112
74	David Drysdale	73.5	130
75	Jake McLeod	73.6	72
76	Thomas Bjorn	73.6	8
77	Louis de Jager	73.7	147
78	John Catlin	73.7	88
79	Kurt Kitayama	73.8	150
80	Sebastian Soderberg	73.9	WD
81	Niklas Lemke	74.0	64
82	Marcel Siem	74.0	DNP
83	Nino Bertasio	74.0	53
84	Ewen Ferguson	74.1	DNP
85	Ricardo Gouveia	74.1	72
86	Lasse Jensen	74.1	DNP
87	Hideto Tanihara	74.1	8
88	Anton Karlsson	74.2	46
89	Matthew Nixon	74.3	72
90	Raphael Jacquelin	74.3	138
91	Max Schmitt	74.3	72
92	Dimitrios Papadatos	74.4	112
93	Gavin Moynihan	74.5	150
94	Andres Romero	74.5	39
95	Hugo Leon	74.6	39
96	Richard McEvoy	74.6	100
97	Paul Peterson	74.6	46
98	Adrien Saddier	74.6	59
99	Grant Forrest	74.6	37
100	Adri Arnaus	74.6	2
101	David Law	74.7	39
102	Justin Walters	74.7	26
103	Marc Warren	74.8	100
104	Michael Hoey	74.9	145
105	Lee Slattery	74.9	72
106	Kim Koivu	75.1	59
107	Jeunghun Wang	75.1	46
108	Romain Wattel	75.1	112
109	Sam Brazel	75.2	138
110	Jens Dantorp	75.3	124
111	Johannes Veerman	75.4	88
112	Jin Choi	75.4	72
113	David Howell	75.4	72
114	Robert Karlsson	75.4	72
115	Kalle Samooja	75.5	112
116	Jamie Donaldson	75.5	145
117	Kristoffer Reitan	75.6	23
118	Steven Brown	75.7	15
119	Austin Connelly	75.7	DNP
120	James Morrison	75.7	138
121	SSP Chawrasia	75.7	100
122	Zander Lombard	75.7	124
123	Yusaku Miyazato	75.8	100
124	Filippo Bergamaschi	75.9	67
125	Lorenzo Gagli	75.9	69
126	Nick Cullen	76.1	100
127	Jack Singh Brar	76.1	15
128	Ben Evans	76.2	88
129	Shiv Kapur	76.3	56
130	Deyen Lawson	76.3	100
131	Stuart Manley	76.3	46
132	Liam Johnston	76.4	112
133	Tom Murray	76.4	130
134	Christofer Blomstrand	76.4	64
135	Pep Angles	76.4	88
136	Daniel Gavins	76.6	46
137	Ross McGowan	76.7	DNP
138	Hyo-won Park	76.9	71
139	Bernd Ritthammer	76.9	8
140	Max Orrin	77.1	130
141	Pelle Edberg	77.1	138
142	Jack Senior	77.2	124
143	Joel Girrbach	77.3	147
144	Per Langfors	77.3	154
145	Pedro Figueiredo	77.3	112
146	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	77.5	72
147	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	77.5	154
148	Adam Bland	78.7	88
149	Nicolas Geyger	79.3	DNP
150	Pedro Oriol	79.8	124
151	Rikard Karlberg	79.8	100
152	Jose Maria Olazabal	81.2	112
153	Javier Colomo	81.3	88
154	Eduardo de la Riva	81.4	2
155	Samuel Del Val	81.4	59
156	Darius van Driel	81.4	100
157	Luis Gagne	81.5	138
158	Calum Hill	82.1	DNP
159	Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra	82.2	88
160	Alejandro Del Reyam	82.2	150
161	Alfredo Garcia-Heredia	82.2	112
162	Santiago Tarrio Ben	82.2	88
163	David Borda	82.2	138
164	Minkyu Kim	82.2	DNP
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 189. The average is 134. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)
Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 23, 2019)

June 24, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Dustin Johnson, second in the official rankings, is no. 1 for a 15th straight week here.

#	Thru June 23, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Dustin Johnson	48	1904	1
2	Rory McIlroy	49	1890	2
3	Justin Rose	51	1732	3
4	Tiger Woods	30	1714	4
5	Patrick Cantlay	46	1675	5
6	Justin Thomas	50	1617	6
7	Jon Rahm	52	1564	8
8	Brooks Koepka	46	1524	7
9	Jason Day	46	1490	10
10	Webb Simpson	50	1486	9
11	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1433	12
12	Rickie Fowler	48	1433	11
13	Paul Casey	49	1394	14
14	Adam Scott	43	1379	13
15	Xander Schauffele	53	1349	15
16	Hideki Matsuyama	51	1328	16
17	Matt Kuchar	59	1295	17
18	Francesco Molinari	47	1243	18
19	Tony Finau	60	1232	19
20	Gary Woodland	57	1167	20
21	Bryson DeChambeau	56	1153	23
22	Louis Oosthuizen	46	1096	21
23	Henrik Stenson	48	1087	24
24	Jordan Spieth	52	1075	22
25	Marc Leishman	52	1072	25
26	Ian Poulter	58	1068	26
27	Chez Reavie	56	1024	31
28	Tyrrell Hatton	55	995	28
29	Rafa Cabrera Bello	60	974	30
30	Patrick Reed	63	971	29
31	Phil Mickelson	49	960	27
32	Sergio Garcia	53	920	32
33	Billy Horschel	56	914	37
34	Emiliano Grillo	56	908	34
35	Charles Howell	56	907	36
36	Jason Kokrak	53	906	33
37	Bubba Watson	51	902	35
38	Jim Furyk	35	895	38
39	Ryan Moore	47	887	40
40	Kevin Kisner	58	878	41
41	Luke List	56	853	42
42	Adam Hadwin	54	847	39
43	Ryan Palmer	42	841	44
44	Byeong Hun An	57	827	43
45	Alex Noren	50	823	45
46	Scott Piercy	46	813	49
47	Shane Lowry	57	806	51
48	Lucas Glover	47	803	46
49	Brandt Snedeker	48	802	47
50	Rory Sabbatini	54	796	52
51	Kevin Na	52	793	48
52	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56	785	53
53	Keegan Bradley	57	782	59
54	Cameron Smith	55	780	50
55	Kevin Chappell	38	763	54
56	Zach Johnson	49	741	55
57	Matt Wallace	63	738	57
58	Sungjae Im	35	733	61
59	Russell Knox	62	728	60
60	Kevin Streelman	53	716	64
61	Abraham Ancer	58	709	66
62	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	62	707	56
63	Chesson Hadley	60	698	58
64	Kyle Stanley	58	695	63
65	Charley Hoffman	58	685	62
66	Brian Harman	58	675	75
67	Michael Thompson	40	665	65
68	Aaron Wise	49	661	67
69	Eddie Pepperell	45	641	69
70	Graham DeLaet	9	640	72
71	Haotong Li	55	635	71
72	Thomas Pieters	51	632	73
73	Andrew Putnam	52	631	68
74	Viktor Hovland	8	631
75	Jamie Lovemark	40	627	76
76	Branden Grace	57	623	77
77	Pat Perez	51	616	79
78	Bud Cauley	43	616	70
79	Joaquin Niemann	35	615	96
80	Si Woo Kim	62	615	74
81	Joel Dahmen	62	613	80
82	Graeme McDowell	55	603	82
83	Jhonattan Vegas	58	601	78
84	CT Pan	57	601	83
85	Vaughn Taylor	54	599	94
86	Daniel Berger	50	590	81
87	Keith Mitchell	53	587	86
88	Brian Gay	60	580	84
89	Lucas Bjerregaard	56	573	87
90	Sung Kang	57	573	85
91	Thorbjorn Olesen	53	561	89
92	Jason Dufner	52	555	90
93	Jimmy Walker	47	550	91
94	Joost Luiten	39	532	88
95	Steve Stricker	25	530	92
96	Erik Van Rooyen	44	529	95
97	Kevin Tway	58	529	117
98	Nick Watney	53	528	100
99	Stewart Cink	44	520	99
100	Danny Willett	49	520	101
101	Martin Laird	50	519	110
102	Patrick Rodgers	50	517	102
103	Lee Westwood	42	510	107
104	JB Holmes	51	510	93
105	Beau Hossler	52	507	97
106	Harold Varner	61	502	111
107	Chris Kirk	53	501	108
108	Max Homa	30	496	98
109	Russell Henley	51	492	103
110	Peter Uihlein	63	487	104
111	Austin Cook	51	483	106
112	Julian Suri	46	482	105
113	JT Poston	55	480	109
114	KH Lee	33	478	139
115	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	46	467	114
116	Sam Burns	38	467	113
117	Troy Merritt	52	466	112
118	Ryan Armour	63	459	115
119	Danny Lee	60	453	116
120	Charl Schwartzel	51	449	119
121	JJ Spaun	55	447	125
122	Alexander Bjork	52	447	121
123	Brendan Steele	48	446	138
124	Dylan Frittelli	64	441	118
125	Jordan Smith	52	438	135
126	Justin Harding	31	434	124
127	Aaron Baddeley	51	432	122
128	Scott Stallings	60	432	123
129	Andy Sullivan	49	430	127
130	Talor Gooch	48	430	128
131	Hank Lebioda	21	430	120
132	Martin Kaymer	55	427	131
133	Peter Malnati	58	426	137
134	Scott Brown	62	418	126
135	Doug Ghim	16	411	136
136	Matt Jones	58	410	132
137	Seamus Power	60	410	130
138	William McGirt	33	409	140
139	John Oda	11	407	141
140	Brian Stuard	62	407	134
141	Nick Taylor	61	407	129
142	Patton Kizzire	57	402	133
143	Trey Mullinax	55	396	142
144	Jorge Campillo	55	396	144
145	Matt Every	52	394	143
146	Andrea Pavan	44	392	154
147	Adam Long	28	391	166
148	James Hahn	44	381	146
149	Wyndham Clark	31	377	189
150	Sean O’Hair	41	376	150
151	Ryan Fox	53	376	151
152	Corey Conners	56	372	152
153	Tom Lewis	42	367	147
154	Thomas Detry	56	366	149
155	Ross Fisher	48	364	148
156	Victor Dubuisson	24	362	145
157	Sam Ryder	47	359	156
158	Richard Sterne	47	357	157
159	Min Woo Lee	9	356	159
160	Denny McCarthy	51	354	155
161	Roberto Castro	26	354	161
162	Chris Paisley	48	353	153
163	Mackenzie Hughes	55	351	158
164	David Hearn	48	351	162
165	Ryan Blaum	56	348	167
166	Jonas Blixt	54	344	160
167	Nate Lashley	39	341	169
168	Anirban Lahiri	57	335	163
169	Paul Dunne	55	332	164
170	Dylan Meyer	16	329	176
171	Harris English	60	329	168
172	Adam Schenk	61	329	173
173	Brice Garnett	56	328	171
174	Adrian Otaegui	57	328	175
175	Bronson Burgoon	43	328	172
176	David Lipsky	56	326	178
177	Grayson Murray	45	326	179
178	Sebastian Munoz	35	325	165
179	Alex Prugh	27	324	228
180	Bernd Wiesberger	36	323	188
181	Alexander Levy	50	321	174
182	Jim Knous	23	320	170
183	Steve Marino	10	319	183
184	Marcus Kinhult	39	316	185
185	Fabrizio Zanotti	42	315	177
186	Pablo Larrazabal	48	313	180
187	Ollie Schniederjans	60	312	181
188	Matthias Schwab	41	311	211
189	Sam Horsfield	49	309	192
190	Brandon Harkins	56	308	184
191	Ben Martin	28	307	186
192	Curtis Luck	34	303	182
193	Paul Waring	45	302	190
194	Retief Goosen	28	301	191
195	John Huh	48	298	195
196	Carlos Ortiz	32	298	187
197	Andrew Landry	51	298	194
198	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	293	199
199	Richy Werenski	61	293	193
200	Bill Haas	51	292	201
201	Johnson Wagner	46	292	202
202	Jason Scrivener	55	291	205
203	Oliver Wilson	20	290	212
204	Ted Potter	51	290	203
205	Benjamin Hebert	46	287	208
206	Cameron Tringale	56	286	198
207	Darren Fichardt	43	285	213
208	Sam Saunders	56	284	200
209	Chris Stroud	56	284	196
210	Roger Sloan	30	281	197
211	Shawn Stefani	59	281	207
212	Robert Garrigus	44	280	215
213	Kelly Kraft	62	277	209
214	Jazz Janewattananond	35	277	216
215	Kramer Hickok	27	275	206
216	Tom Hoge	68	275	214
217	Robert MacIntyre	17	274	204
218	Chris Wood	44	274	219
219	Matthew Southgate	51	274	210
220	Andrew Johnston	35	271	217
221	Tyler Duncan	59	270	223
222	Hudson Swafford	49	265	224
223	Nacho Elvira	54	262	230
224	Cameron Champ	31	262	218
225	Mikko Korhonen	45	262	221
226	Dean Burmester	53	262	231
227	Soren Kjeldsen	48	261	226
228	Jonathan Byrd	50	260	229
229	KJ Choi	27	259	232
230	Stephan Jaeger	55	258	240
231	Lucas Herbert	37	257	227
232	Sepp Straka	28	254	225
233	Cameron Percy	31	254	234
234	Scott Langley	29	253	222
235	Roberto Diaz	51	252	293
236	DJ Trahan	21	252	235
237	Robert Rock	48	252	233
238	Shubhankar Sharma	49	244	238
239	Dominic Bozzelli	46	241	236
240	Nicholas Lindheim	52	235	237
241	Ben Crane	46	234	243
242	Aaron Rai	52	232	244
243	Satoshi Kodaira	43	231	242
244	Romain Langasque	32	231	239
245	Scott Hend	58	230	241
246	Maximilian Kieffer	50	229	245
247	Mikko Ilonen	30	224	250
248	Greg Chalmers	29	224	252
249	TJ Vogel	8	222	251
250	Robert Streb	63	220	281
251	Richie Ramsay	50	218	246
252	Alex Cejka	52	217	247
253	David Horsey	47	217	260
254	Luke Donald	29	216	256
255	Derek Fathauer	46	216	258
256	Hunter Mahan	50	215	249
257	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	44	214	290
258	Benjamin Silverman	54	212	253
259	Cameron Davis	30	211	271
260	Tyrone van Aswegen	54	210	262
261	Gavin Green	48	209	264
262	Vijay Singh	21	208	263
263	Padraig Harrington	50	208	255
264	Callum Shinkwin	43	207	289
265	Sean Crocker	28	207	254
266	Nicolas Colsaerts	55	206	259
267	Scott Jamieson	52	206	257
268	Wade Ormsby	53	204	270
269	David Lingmerth	48	203	268
270	Brandon Stone	50	202	266
271	Ashun Wu	55	201	273
272	Whee Kim	57	200	269
273	Julian Etulain	33	200	265
274	Stephen Gallacher	50	200	267
275	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	23	199	261
276	Julien Guerrier	29	199	277
277	Victor Perez	22	198	276
278	Matthieu Pavon	56	197	295
279	George Coetzee	52	197	272
280	Seung-su Han	26	195	274
281	Boo Weekley	10	193	248
282	Tapio Pulkkanen	43	192	275
283	John Peterson	18	190	286
284	Gaganjeet Bhullar	34	186	279
285	Blayne Barber	34	186	288
286	Oliver Fisher	53	185	282
287	Bradley Dredge	45	184	280
288	Kurt Kitayama	21	184	314
289	JJ Henry	54	182	284
290	Martin Flores	41	181	287
291	Jeff Winther	42	181	296
292	Ashley Chesters	59	180	303
293	Anders Albertson	27	179	285
294	Wes Roach	23	178	283
295	Matthew Jordan	10	178	298
296	Renato Paratore	55	177	292
297	Masahiro Kawamura	29	177	294
298	Thongchai Jaidee	44	175	291
299	Lanto Griffin	34	174	299
300	Haydn Porteous	61	174	306
301	Brad Kennedy	13	172	301
302	Hideto Tanihara	49	172	297
303	Joachim B Hansen	22	171	328
304	Ernie Els	50	171	304
305	Joakim Lagergren	48	171	319
306	Brendon Todd	17	171	307
307	Henrik Norlander	10	169	311
308	Davis Love	28	169	302
309	Jose-Filipe Lima	20	168	308
310	Tom Lovelady	46	167	310
311	Trevor Immelman	25	166	315
312	Fabian Gomez	47	166	305
313	Alvaro Quiros	44	166	364
314	Martin Piller	48	164	312
315	Wesley Bryan	35	164	313
316	Chase Wright	24	163	300
317	Josh Teater	28	162	344
318	Nino Bertasio	55	161	309
319	Chad Campbell	48	161	317
320	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	41	157	316
321	Cody Gribble	51	154	394
322	Si-hwan Kim	24	152	351
323	Jeunghun Wang	58	151	323
324	Brett Stegmaier	34	150	332
325	Brady Schnell	20	149	318
326	Graeme Storm	21	149	325
327	Niklas Lemke	15	148	321
328	Berry Henson	15	147	336
329	Anthony Wall	15	147	322
330	Guido Migliozzi	17	147	320
331	Thomas Aiken	46	146	335
332	Anton Karlsson	18	145	329
333	Sang-moon Bae	37	145	347
334	Tag Ridings	10	144	331
335	Brian Campbell	14	144	337
336	Alejandro Canizares	37	143	327
337	Joey Garber	18	143	324
338	Shugo Imahira	22	143	340
339	John Catlin	22	143	339
340	Adri Arnaus	22	143	326
341	Jake McLeod	19	142	341
342	Adam Svensson	28	142	330
343	Lee Slattery	52	141	333
344	Rob Oppenheim	36	141	342
345	Clement Sordet	40	140	343
346	David Drysdale	57	139	334
347	Dong-kyu Jang	9	138	359
348	Daniel Summerhays	33	137	345
349	Oliver Bekker	11	137	346
350	Edoardo Molinari	54	136	418
351	Max Schmitt	15	136	338
352	Zac Blair	38	133	350
353	Brett Drewitt	16	133	354
354	Steve Wheatcroft	34	131	356
355	Prayad Marksaeng	15	130	357
356	Neil Schietekat	8	130	355
357	Billy Hurley	40	129	361
358	Peter Hanson	35	128	360
359	Louis de Jager	21	128	362
360	Espen Kofstad	15	127	414
361	Romain Wattel	48	127	353
362	JC Ritchie	12	127	367
363	Dimitrios Papadatos	21	126	349
364	Andres Romero	42	125	366
365	Yuta Ikeda	29	125	370
366	Daisuke Kataoka	28	124	352
367	Johan Carlsson	15	124	369
368	Ricardo Gouveia	54	124	371
369	Camilo Villegas	21	123	358
370	Maverick McNealy	16	123	374
371	Matthew Nixon	36	123	365
372	Seth Reeves	27	122	363
373	Sebastian Soderberg	25	122	457
374	Morgan Hoffmann	24	121	348
375	Ethan Tracy	31	121	379
376	David Law	17	121	393
377	Tim Wilkinson	13	121	378
378	Gregory Havret	44	121	376
379	Stuart Appleby	29	120	380
380	Michael Kim	55	120	372
381	Tim Herron	25	119	389
382	Jacques Kruyswijk	42	118	377
383	Ryan Brehm	11	118	395
384	Gareth Paddison	9	118	387
385	Panuphol Pittayarat	22	117	368
386	Richard McEvoy	35	117	375
387	Jarryd Felton	11	117	390
388	Ricky Barnes	44	117	382
389	Mark Anderson	14	116	398
390	Justin Walters	53	116	383
391	Martin Trainer	23	115	373
392	Grant Forrest	25	114	381
393	Marcus Fraser	46	113	396
394	Marc Warren	53	113	386
395	Ryo Ishikawa	21	113	400
396	Yoshinori Fujimoto	11	112	401
397	Parker McLachlin	20	110	404
398	George McNeill	18	110	403
399	Paul Peterson	40	110	399
400	Kalle Samooja	18	110	388
More \| Less

Travelers Championship

June 18, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Patrick Cantlay

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Patrick Cantlay	10.4	15
2	Brooks Koepka	16.6	57
3	Paul Casey	24.4	5
4	Justin Thomas	26.7	36
5	Jason Day	27.1	8
6	Tommy Fleetwood	33.1	13
7	Jordan Spieth	34.5	113
8	Francesco Molinari	36.5	57
9	Chez Reavie	39.2	1
10	Marc Leishman	39.6	21
11	Jason Kokrak	41.4	152
12	Bubba Watson	42.4	54
13	Tony Finau	43.5	113
14	Bryson DeChambeau	43.7	8
15	Emiliano Grillo	43.7	60
16	Louis Oosthuizen	44.1	36
17	Brandt Snedeker	44.5	43
18	Lucas Glover	45.6	101
19	Adam Hadwin	47.4	92
20	Byeong Hun An	48.4	126
21	Patrick Reed	49.5	30
22	Kevin Kisner	51.9	15
23	Sung Kang	52.2	78
24	Charley Hoffman	52.4	101
25	Viktor Hovland	52.5	54
26	Russell Knox	52.6	21
27	Andrew Putnam	52.6	57
28	Kevin Streelman	55.5	15
29	Ryan Moore	56.1	15
30	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	56.6	126
31	Phil Mickelson	56.9	126
32	Abraham Ancer	57.8	8
33	Keegan Bradley	57.9	2
34	Cameron Smith	58.2	126
35	Sungjae Im	59.2	21
36	Daniel Berger	59.2	113
37	Bud Cauley	59.6	136
38	CT Pan	59.6	36
39	Brian Harman	59.7	8
40	Nick Watney	59.7	30
41	Chesson Hadley	59.9	101
42	Max Homa	59.9	83
43	Vaughn Taylor	60.0	4
44	Si Woo Kim	60.4	83
45	Peter Malnati	60.5	30
46	Danny Lee	60.8	113
47	Kyle Stanley	61.1	36
48	Matt Jones	61.3	71
49	Jonas Blixt	61.4	136
50	Peter Uihlein	61.6	149
51	Cameron Tringale	61.7	71
52	Joel Dahmen	62.3	43
53	Nick Taylor	62.4	71
54	Joaquin Niemann	62.4	5
55	Austin Cook	62.8	136
56	Brian Gay	63.0	101
57	Aaron Baddeley	63.1	113
58	Mackenzie Hughes	63.3	51
59	Hank Lebioda	63.4	51
60	Troy Merritt	63.4	71
61	Sam Burns	63.5	43
62	Sebastian Munoz	63.8	113
63	Russell Henley	64.0	143
64	Brian Stuard	64.0	136
65	Kevin Tway	64.1	5
66	Martin Laird	64.3	21
67	Harold Varner	64.4	21
68	JT Poston	64.4	101
69	Beau Hossler	64.6	78
70	Talor Gooch	65.1	DNP
71	Scott Brown	65.5	60
72	Nate Lashley	65.5	DNP
73	Ryan Armour	65.9	54
74	JB Holmes	66.3	136
75	Dylan Frittelli	66.4	92
76	JJ Spaun	66.5	30
77	Trey Mullinax	66.6	83
78	Seamus Power	66.8	66
79	Shawn Stefani	66.8	71
80	KH Lee	66.9	13
81	Scott Stallings	66.9	113
82	Adam Long	66.9	21
83	Denny McCarthy	67.1	92
84	Sam Ryder	67.1	51
85	Stephan Jaeger	67.2	30
86	Brendan Steele	67.3	21
87	Harris English	67.7	71
88	Curtis Luck	67.9	83
89	Jim Knous	67.9	101
90	Patton Kizzire	68.3	126
91	Adam Schenk	68.4	101
92	Chris Stroud	69.2	126
93	Alex Prugh	69.2	20
94	Sepp Straka	69.2	83
95	Bronson Burgoon	69.3	60
96	Kramer Hickok	69.6	60
97	Ryan Blaum	69.7	36
98	Padraig Harrington	69.8	92
99	Brice Garnett	69.8	83
100	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	69.9	143
101	Roger Sloan	69.9	136
102	Anirban Lahiri	70.1	152
103	Andrew Landry	70.2	43
104	Carlos Ortiz	70.3	83
105	Tyler Duncan	70.3	43
106	Wyndham Clark	70.4	15
107	Brandon Harkins	70.6	60
108	Kelly Kraft	70.9	126
109	Johnson Wagner	70.9	DNP
110	Cameron Champ	71.0	113
111	Richy Werenski	71.0	60
112	Benjamin Silverman	71.0	83
113	Scott Langley	71.0	66
114	Ollie Schniederjans	71.1	126
115	Nicholas Lindheim	71.1	101
116	Tom Hoge	71.2	80
117	Hudson Swafford	71.3	DNP
118	Hunter Mahan	71.3	136
119	Dominic Bozzelli	71.7	101
120	Sam Saunders	71.8	70
121	Alex Cejka	72.0	82
122	Roberto Diaz	72.0	8
123	Satoshi Kodaira	72.0	143
124	Wes Roach	72.4	143
125	Julian Etulain	72.5	113
126	Cameron Davis	72.6	43
127	JJ Henry	72.6	113
128	Joey Garber	72.8	113
129	Fabian Gomez	72.9	101
130	Robert Streb	73.0	21
131	Boo Weekley	73.3	92
132	Anders Albertson	73.3	126
133	Josh Teater	73.3	36
134	Chase Wright	73.4	113
135	Brady Schnell	73.9	68
136	Whee Kim	74.1	151
137	Adam Svensson	74.2	92
138	Sang-moon Bae	74.2	43
139	Cody Gribble	74.5	21
140	Martin Trainer	74.8	126
141	Seth Reeves	74.8	69
142	Kyle Jones	75.5	92
143	Michael Kim	75.7	113
144	Chris Thompson	75.8	143
145	Rod Pampling	76.0	92
146	John Chin	76.7	101
147	Morgan Hoffmann	76.7	143
148	Freddie Jacobson	76.9	30
149	Jim Herman	77.1	71
150	Collin Morikawa	79.0	36
151	Colt Knost	79.7	DNP
152	Brandon Hagy	80.5	152
153	Matthew Wolff	80.9	80
154	Chad Collins	81.0	92
155	Zack Sucher	81.4	2
156	Will MacKenzie	81.9	DNP
157	Kris Blanks	82.2	DNP
158	Justin Suh	82.2	149
159	Chris Tallman	82.2	156
160	Will Claxton	82.2	DNP
	Chip McDaniel	late entry	49
	Mike Miller	late entry	86
	Ryan McCormick	late entry	112
	Jim Renner	late entry	155
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 56. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

BMW International Open

June 18, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Matt Wallace

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Matt Wallace	40.2	3
2	Sergio Garcia	40.6	69
3	Rafa Cabrera Bello	49.0	3
4	Matthew Fitzpatrick	53.8	2
5	Thorbjorn Olesen	53.9	10
6	Erik Van Rooyen	56.5	16
7	Joost Luiten	57.6	103
8	Alex Noren	58.0	26
9	Jordan Smith	60.1	3
10	Lee Westwood	60.2	10
11	Pablo Larrazabal	60.3	67
12	Julian Suri	60.5	69
13	Jhonattan Vegas	60.8	103
14	Andy Sullivan	61.1	26
15	Martin Kaymer	61.1	16
16	David Lipsky	62.8	26
17	Thomas Detry	62.8	69
18	Victor Dubuisson	63.7	69
19	Tom Lewis	65.1	69
20	Ross Fisher	65.1	111
21	Andrea Pavan	65.2	1
22	Mikko Korhonen	65.8	93
23	Chris Paisley	65.8	103
24	Bernd Wiesberger	66.9	16
25	Fabrizio Zanotti	67.1	60
26	Jason Scrivener	67.1	26
27	Matthias Schwab	67.9	3
28	Robert MacIntyre	68.4	49
29	Oliver Wilson	68.6	26
30	Andrew Johnston	68.7	34
31	Romain Langasque	68.8	103
32	Paul Dunne	69.1	103
33	Sean Crocker	69.3	125
34	Matthew Southgate	69.4	111
35	Richie Ramsay	69.4	69
36	Robert Rock	69.4	37
37	Gavin Green	69.5	37
38	Sam Horsfield	69.6	21
39	Lucas Herbert	69.7	49
40	Alexander Levy	69.7	69
41	David Horsey	70.0	26
42	Thongchai Jaidee	70.4	111
43	Bradley Dredge	70.6	111
44	Jeff Winther	70.6	34
45	Gaganjeet Bhullar	70.9	62
46	Tapio Pulkkanen	71.1	93
47	Maximilian Kieffer	71.1	37
48	Renato Paratore	71.4	68
49	Scott Jamieson	71.5	69
50	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	71.6	111
51	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	71.6	3
52	Oliver Fisher	72.0	144
53	Nicolas Colsaerts	72.1	69
54	George Coetzee	72.2	125
55	Brandon Stone	72.3	111
56	Ashley Chesters	72.3	21
57	Haydn Porteous	72.3	26
58	Stephen Gallacher	72.8	69
59	Ashun Wu	72.8	37
60	Thomas Aiken	73.0	DNP
61	Alejandro Canizares	73.0	69
62	Guido Migliozzi	73.2	69
63	Andres Romero	73.2	49
64	Masahiro Kawamura	73.2	44
65	John Catlin	73.4	44
66	Nino Bertasio	73.5	69
67	Marcel Siem	73.6	111
68	Thomas Bjorn	73.7	147
69	Louis de Jager	73.8	DNP
70	Joachim B Hansen	73.8	20
71	Matthew Nixon	73.9	103
72	Callum Shinkwin	74.0	10
73	Edoardo Molinari	74.0	3
74	Joakim Lagergren	74.0	21
75	Lasse Jensen	74.0	DNP
76	Michael Hoey	74.1	125
77	Niklas Lemke	74.1	53
78	Si-hwan Kim	74.1	21
79	Hideto Tanihara	74.2	125
80	Richard McEvoy	74.2	62
81	David Drysdale	74.3	66
82	Lee Slattery	74.3	69
83	Adrien Saddier	74.3	125
84	Kurt Kitayama	74.3	21
85	Dimitrios Papadatos	74.3	93
86	David Law	74.4	37
87	Espen Kofstad	74.4	26
88	Alvaro Quiros	74.4	3
89	Anton Karlsson	74.4	53
90	Max Schmitt	74.5	53
91	Matthieu Pavon	74.5	10
92	Gavin Moynihan	74.5	69
93	Justin Walters	74.6	125
94	Grant Forrest	74.6	111
95	Adri Arnaus	74.6	111
96	Ricardo Gouveia	74.6	44
97	Paul Peterson	74.6	49
98	James Morrison	74.8	93
99	Hugo Leon	74.8	53
100	Jaco van Zyl	74.8	44
101	Kristoffer Reitan	74.9	111
102	Romain Wattel	75.0	103
103	Jeunghun Wang	75.2	93
104	Jacques Kruyswijk	75.2	69
105	Sam Brazel	75.2	138
106	Raphael Jacquelin	75.2	69
107	Marc Warren	75.3	138
108	Kalle Samooja	75.4	69
109	Zander Lombard	75.4	69
110	Jin Choi	75.4	111
111	Robert Karlsson	75.5	93
112	Sebastian Soderberg	75.6	14
113	Yusaku Miyazato	75.6	125
114	David Howell	75.7	44
115	Austin Connelly	75.8	DNP
116	Jens Dantorp	75.8	37
117	Jonathan Thomson	75.9	DNP
118	Lorenzo Gagli	76.0	125
119	SSP Chawrasia	76.0	53
120	Jack Singh Brar	76.0	125
121	Shiv Kapur	76.1	147
122	Stuart Manley	76.1	125
123	Jamie Donaldson	76.2	69
124	Steven Brown	76.2	34
125	Ben Evans	76.3	125
126	Kim Koivu	76.3	16
127	Christofer Blomstrand	76.3	138
128	Deyen Lawson	76.3	125
129	Liam Johnston	76.4	144
130	Ryan Evans	76.4	DNP
131	Tom Murray	76.5	152
132	Daniel Gavins	76.6	93
133	Bernd Ritthammer	76.9	138
134	Hyo-won Park	77.0	144
135	Max Orrin	77.0	69
136	Marcel Schneider	77.1	60
137	Pelle Edberg	77.3	111
138	Per Langfors	77.4	93
139	Filippo Bergamaschi	77.4	14
140	Pedro Figueiredo	77.4	69
141	Joel Girrbach	77.6	53
142	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	77.6	69
143	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	77.7	WD
144	Adam Bland	78.7	43
145	Sebastien Gros	78.9	DNP
146	Rikard Karlberg	79.1	103
147	Florian Fritsch	79.4	125
148	Nicolai von Dellingshausen	79.5	93
149	Soomin Lee	79.5	DNP
150	Sebastian Heisele	79.8	147
151	Brett Rumford	80.3	138
152	Dominic Foos	81.0	53
153	Luis Gagne	81.3	62
154	Darius van Driel	81.5	62
155	Jose Maria Olazabal	81.8	93
156	Philipp Mejow	81.9	155
157	Scott Gregory	82.1	147
158	Michael Hirmer	82.2	147
159	Marc Hammer	82.2	69
160	David Borda	82.2	153
	Rafa Echenique	late entry	114
	Jack Senior	late entry	121
	Gregory Bourdy	late entry	139
	Martin Keskari	late entry	154
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 286. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)
Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 16, 2019)

June 18, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Dustin Johnson, second in the official rankings, is no. 1 for a 14th straight week here.

#	Thru June 16, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Dustin Johnson	48	1900	1
2	Rory McIlroy	49	1889	2
3	Justin Rose	51	1726	6
4	Tiger Woods	30	1714	3
5	Patrick Cantlay	45	1667	5
6	Justin Thomas	50	1654	4
7	Brooks Koepka	45	1573	8
8	Jon Rahm	53	1566	7
9	Webb Simpson	50	1485	10
10	Jason Day	45	1458	12
11	Rickie Fowler	49	1436	9
12	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1415	11
13	Adam Scott	43	1372	16
14	Paul Casey	48	1349	13
15	Xander Schauffele	54	1345	18
16	Hideki Matsuyama	51	1329	14
17	Matt Kuchar	59	1296	17
18	Francesco Molinari	47	1283	19
19	Tony Finau	60	1268	15
20	Gary Woodland	57	1165	24
21	Louis Oosthuizen	45	1115	25
22	Jordan Spieth	51	1114	20
23	Bryson DeChambeau	56	1111	21
24	Henrik Stenson	48	1087	27
25	Marc Leishman	52	1070	23
26	Ian Poulter	59	1067	22
27	Phil Mickelson	48	995	26
28	Tyrrell Hatton	56	992	31
29	Patrick Reed	63	976	29
30	Rafa Cabrera Bello	59	972	28
31	Chez Reavie	55	955	41
32	Sergio Garcia	52	950	30
33	Jason Kokrak	53	934	34
34	Emiliano Grillo	55	930	33
35	Bubba Watson	50	925	32
36	Charles Howell	57	909	35
37	Billy Horschel	57	909	36
38	Jim Furyk	35	897	37
39	Adam Hadwin	54	872	39
40	Ryan Moore	46	852	44
41	Kevin Kisner	57	851	42
42	Luke List	57	849	38
43	Byeong Hun An	57	848	50
44	Ryan Palmer	42	843	46
45	Alex Noren	50	838	43
46	Lucas Glover	47	834	40
47	Brandt Snedeker	47	816	45
48	Kevin Na	52	813	47
49	Scott Piercy	46	813	48
50	Cameron Smith	54	806	49
51	Shane Lowry	58	804	52
52	Rory Sabbatini	54	795	51
53	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56	773	58
54	Kevin Chappell	39	764	54
55	Zach Johnson	49	743	53
56	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	62	725	55
57	Matt Wallace	63	724	63
58	Chesson Hadley	59	716	70
59	Keegan Bradley	57	715	56
60	Russell Knox	62	711	61
61	Sungjae Im	34	708	60
62	Charley Hoffman	57	708	59
63	Kyle Stanley	58	698	57
64	Kevin Streelman	53	681	62
65	Michael Thompson	41	666	65
66	Abraham Ancer	57	660	64
67	Aaron Wise	49	658	67
68	Andrew Putnam	51	646	69
69	Eddie Pepperell	46	641	76
70	Bud Cauley	43	640	75
71	Haotong Li	56	637	68
72	Graham DeLaet	10	635	74
73	Thomas Pieters	52	633	66
74	Si Woo Kim	62	630	71
75	Brian Harman	57	627	78
76	Jamie Lovemark	40	626	80
77	Branden Grace	57	626	72
78	Jhonattan Vegas	58	622	73
79	Pat Perez	51	618	81
80	Joel Dahmen	61	617	77
81	Daniel Berger	49	611	79
82	Graeme McDowell	56	601	90
83	CT Pan	57	600	82
84	Brian Gay	60	597	85
85	Sung Kang	57	592	84
86	Keith Mitchell	53	584	83
87	Lucas Bjerregaard	57	570	86
88	Joost Luiten	39	558	89
89	Thorbjorn Olesen	53	554	87
90	Jason Dufner	52	553	91
91	Jimmy Walker	48	546	88
92	Steve Stricker	25	529	94
93	JB Holmes	51	529	92
94	Vaughn Taylor	54	526	95
95	Erik Van Rooyen	43	525	93
96	Joaquin Niemann	34	523	96
97	Beau Hossler	51	522	98
98	Max Homa	29	521	97
99	Stewart Cink	44	519	99
100	Nick Watney	53	518	101
101	Danny Willett	50	518	124
102	Patrick Rodgers	51	517	100
103	Russell Henley	51	509	102
104	Peter Uihlein	63	503	103
105	Julian Suri	45	503	104
106	Austin Cook	50	498	106
107	Lee Westwood	42	498	105
108	Chris Kirk	54	497	107
109	JT Poston	54	495	108
110	Martin Laird	50	493	109
111	Harold Varner	61	478	110
112	Troy Merritt	52	477	111
113	Sam Burns	37	471	113
114	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	47	468	114
115	Ryan Armour	62	467	116
116	Danny Lee	60	465	115
117	Kevin Tway	58	460	118
118	Dylan Frittelli	64	452	120
119	Charl Schwartzel	51	449	121
120	Hank Lebioda	20	448	122
121	Alexander Bjork	53	448	123
122	Aaron Baddeley	51	445	117
123	Scott Stallings	60	443	125
124	Justin Harding	31	436	119
125	JJ Spaun	55	435	126
126	Scott Brown	61	433	127
127	Andy Sullivan	49	432	132
128	Talor Gooch	48	431	129
129	Nick Taylor	61	421	134
130	Seamus Power	60	421	135
131	Martin Kaymer	55	421	140
132	Matt Jones	58	421	131
133	Patton Kizzire	57	419	128
134	Brian Stuard	61	418	130
135	Jordan Smith	52	417	136
136	Doug Ghim	16	414	138
137	Peter Malnati	58	414	139
138	Brendan Steele	48	414	137
139	KH Lee	32	412	133
140	William McGirt	33	410	142
141	John Oda	11	409	141
142	Trey Mullinax	55	407	143
143	Matt Every	53	396	144
144	Jorge Campillo	56	393	146
145	Victor Dubuisson	24	392	145
146	James Hahn	45	383	148
147	Tom Lewis	41	383	150
148	Ross Fisher	48	382	149
149	Thomas Detry	56	377	152
150	Sean O’Hair	41	376	151
151	Ryan Fox	54	376	147
152	Corey Conners	56	372	154
153	Chris Paisley	48	366	156
154	Andrea Pavan	43	365	155
155	Denny McCarthy	50	363	157
156	Sam Ryder	46	362	160
157	Richard Sterne	48	359	159
158	Mackenzie Hughes	55	356	162
159	Min Woo Lee	9	356	161
160	Jonas Blixt	54	354	163
161	Roberto Castro	27	354	153
162	David Hearn	49	350	164
163	Anirban Lahiri	56	346	158
164	Paul Dunne	55	346	165
165	Sebastian Munoz	34	344	168
166	Adam Long	27	342	167
167	Ryan Blaum	56	341	169
168	Harris English	60	340	166
169	Nate Lashley	39	339	192
170	Jim Knous	22	338	170
171	Brice Garnett	55	337	171
172	Bronson Burgoon	42	336	174
173	Adam Schenk	60	336	172
174	Alexander Levy	50	335	173
175	Adrian Otaegui	58	329	176
176	Dylan Meyer	16	329	178
177	Fabrizio Zanotti	42	329	177
178	David Lipsky	56	326	180
179	Grayson Murray	46	326	179
180	Pablo Larrazabal	48	325	182
181	Ollie Schniederjans	60	322	175
182	Curtis Luck	34	322	184
183	Steve Marino	10	321	183
184	Brandon Harkins	55	318	186
185	Marcus Kinhult	39	316	203
186	Ben Martin	29	316	185
187	Carlos Ortiz	31	312	187
188	Bernd Wiesberger	36	310	181
189	Wyndham Clark	31	308	189
190	Paul Waring	46	304	190
191	Retief Goosen	28	302	194
192	Sam Horsfield	49	301	188
193	Richy Werenski	60	300	193
194	Andrew Landry	50	298	195
195	John Huh	49	297	198
196	Chris Stroud	56	297	196
197	Roger Sloan	29	296	197
198	Cameron Tringale	56	295	201
199	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	295	199
200	Sam Saunders	56	294	191
201	Bill Haas	52	293	200
202	Johnson Wagner	47	292	202
203	Ted Potter	51	290	205
204	Robert MacIntyre	16	289	209
205	Jason Scrivener	55	289	204
206	Kramer Hickok	26	288	207
207	Shawn Stefani	59	288	206
208	Benjamin Hebert	47	286	208
209	Kelly Kraft	62	285	211
210	Matthew Southgate	51	285	210
211	Matthias Schwab	40	285	213
212	Oliver Wilson	19	285	214
213	Darren Fichardt	44	284	212
214	Tom Hoge	67	284	216
215	Robert Garrigus	45	283	215
216	Jazz Janewattananond	34	278	217
217	Andrew Johnston	35	276	218
218	Cameron Champ	30	275	219
219	Chris Wood	45	272	220
220	Seung-yul Noh	8	272	230
221	Mikko Korhonen	45	271	223
222	Scott Langley	28	269	221
223	Tyler Duncan	58	268	225
224	Hudson Swafford	50	268	222
225	Sepp Straka	27	267	255
226	Soren Kjeldsen	49	264	226
227	Lucas Herbert	36	264	227
228	Alex Prugh	26	264	296
229	Jonathan Byrd	50	262	228
230	Nacho Elvira	55	261	229
231	Dean Burmester	54	261	224
232	KJ Choi	28	256	232
233	Robert Rock	48	255	231
234	Cameron Percy	32	253	233
235	DJ Trahan	21	252	234
236	Dominic Bozzelli	46	250	235
237	Nicholas Lindheim	51	244	237
238	Shubhankar Sharma	49	243	236
239	Romain Langasque	32	243	239
240	Stephan Jaeger	54	242	238
241	Scott Hend	58	239	240
242	Satoshi Kodaira	42	239	242
243	Ben Crane	47	234	243
244	Aaron Rai	52	232	244
245	Maximilian Kieffer	50	231	246
246	Richie Ramsay	50	230	245
247	Alex Cejka	52	226	248
248	Boo Weekley	10	226	241
249	Hunter Mahan	49	224	249
250	Mikko Ilonen	31	223	250
251	TJ Vogel	8	221	252
252	Greg Chalmers	30	220	256
253	Benjamin Silverman	53	220	254
254	Sean Crocker	27	218	257
255	Padraig Harrington	49	217	253
256	Luke Donald	29	215	247
257	Scott Jamieson	52	215	258
258	Derek Fathauer	47	214	261
259	Nicolas Colsaerts	55	214	259
260	David Horsey	46	213	260
261	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	22	212	263
262	Tyrone van Aswegen	55	212	262
263	Vijay Singh	21	211	266
264	Gavin Green	47	210	265
265	Julian Etulain	33	210	251
266	Brandon Stone	50	208	269
267	Stephen Gallacher	50	207	268
268	David Lingmerth	49	207	264
269	Whee Kim	57	206	267
270	Wade Ormsby	54	205	271
271	Cameron Davis	29	204	272
272	George Coetzee	52	204	270
273	Ashun Wu	55	202	273
274	Seung-su Han	25	201	274
275	Tapio Pulkkanen	42	199	276
276	Victor Perez	22	199	275
277	Julien Guerrier	30	198	277
278	Greg Owen	8	197	278
279	Gaganjeet Bhullar	33	194	281
280	Bradley Dredge	45	193	280
281	Robert Streb	63	192	279
282	Oliver Fisher	53	191	282
283	Wes Roach	22	190	287
284	JJ Henry	54	189	285
285	Anders Albertson	26	189	286
286	John Peterson	18	188	291
287	Martin Flores	42	186	283
288	Blayne Barber	35	186	290
289	Callum Shinkwin	43	184	292
290	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	43	183	293
291	Thongchai Jaidee	44	183	294
292	Renato Paratore	55	183	284
293	Roberto Diaz	50	181	295
294	Masahiro Kawamura	28	180	298
295	Matthieu Pavon	56	179	289
296	Jeff Winther	41	179	297
297	Hideto Tanihara	49	178	299
298	Matthew Jordan	10	177	301
299	Lanto Griffin	34	175	303
300	Chase Wright	23	173	304
301	Brad Kennedy	13	173	305
302	Davis Love	28	172	302
303	Ashley Chesters	59	172	306
304	Ernie Els	50	171	300
305	Fabian Gomez	47	170	308
306	Haydn Porteous	61	170	307
307	Brendon Todd	17	169	288
308	Jose-Filipe Lima	21	168	313
309	Nino Bertasio	55	167	310
310	Tom Lovelady	46	167	312
311	Henrik Norlander	10	167	314
312	Martin Piller	48	166	309
313	Wesley Bryan	36	166	311
314	Kurt Kitayama	20	165	315
315	Trevor Immelman	26	164	318
316	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	40	162	321
317	Chad Campbell	48	162	317
318	Brady Schnell	19	161	320
319	Joakim Lagergren	48	160	319
320	Guido Migliozzi	16	158	322
321	Niklas Lemke	14	157	324
322	Anthony Wall	15	156	316
323	Jeunghun Wang	58	156	326
324	Joey Garber	17	154	329
325	Graeme Storm	22	152	327
326	Adri Arnaus	21	152	325
327	Alejandro Canizares	37	151	334
328	Joachim B Hansen	21	151	335
329	Anton Karlsson	17	151	336
330	Adam Svensson	27	150	332
331	Tag Ridings	10	150	333
332	Brett Stegmaier	35	148	337
333	Lee Slattery	52	147	330
334	David Drysdale	57	146	338
335	Thomas Aiken	47	146	341
336	Berry Henson	14	146	340
337	Brian Campbell	14	145	342
338	Max Schmitt	14	144	345
339	John Catlin	21	144	343
340	Shugo Imahira	22	143	328
341	Jake McLeod	19	142	344
342	Rob Oppenheim	36	142	331
343	Clement Sordet	41	141	339
344	Josh Teater	27	141	348
345	Daniel Summerhays	34	140	346
346	Oliver Bekker	11	138	350
347	Sang-moon Bae	36	135	353
348	Morgan Hoffmann	24	135	349
349	Dimitrios Papadatos	20	135	355
350	Zac Blair	39	134	347
351	Si-hwan Kim	23	133	357
352	Daisuke Kataoka	27	133	352
353	Romain Wattel	48	133	356
354	Brett Drewitt	16	132	323
355	Neil Schietekat	8	131	358
356	Steve Wheatcroft	34	130	362
357	Prayad Marksaeng	15	130	360
358	Camilo Villegas	22	130	351
359	Dong-kyu Jang	8	130	359
360	Peter Hanson	36	129	361
361	Billy Hurley	41	129	354
362	Louis de Jager	21	128	364
363	Seth Reeves	26	128	367
364	Alvaro Quiros	44	128	366
365	Matthew Nixon	35	127	368
366	Andres Romero	42	127	363
367	JC Ritchie	12	127	365
368	Panuphol Pittayarat	21	126	370
369	Johan Carlsson	16	125	369
370	Yuta Ikeda	29	124	373
371	Ricardo Gouveia	54	124	371
372	Michael Kim	55	124	377
373	Martin Trainer	22	124	375
374	Maverick McNealy	16	124	379
375	Richard McEvoy	34	122	382
376	Gregory Havret	45	122	378
377	Jacques Kruyswijk	41	122	380
378	Tim Wilkinson	14	121	374
379	Ethan Tracy	31	121	381
380	Stuart Appleby	29	121	383
381	Grant Forrest	24	121	388
382	Ricky Barnes	45	121	372
383	Justin Walters	53	119	376
384	Yi Keun Chang	15	119	386
385	Hyun-woo Ryu	16	119	385
386	Marc Warren	53	118	387
387	Gareth Paddison	9	118	389
388	Kalle Samooja	17	118	393
389	Tim Herron	25	118	395
390	Jarryd Felton	11	118	394
391	Jason Gore	14	116	384
392	Gavin Moynihan	28	116	396
393	David Law	16	116	397
394	Cody Gribble	51	115	392
395	Ryan Brehm	12	115	390
396	Marcus Fraser	47	114	391
397	Marcel Siem	48	114	398
398	Mark Anderson	14	113	407
399	Paul Peterson	40	112	399
400	Ryo Ishikawa	21	112	401
More \| Less

A Look at the U.S. Open

June 10, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

In the highly inexact science of trying to predict the winner of a professional golf tournament, you can come at it from one or more of several angles. Go with the highest-rated player in the field, the player with the best recent results, the player with the best record in the given event, or the player who appears to have the best fit for the course. There are many additional perspectives. Take your pick.

When the event is the U.S. Open, which is being played this weekend at Pebble Beach Golf Links, it only gets tougher. For instance, and kind of arranging these from the more near-term views to the more long-term, you could line them up like this:
Top three players based on results in their last four appearances – Patrick Cantlay, Shane Lowry, Jordan Spieth.
Top three players whose skill sets fit Pebble Beach – Shane Lowry, Justin Harding, Si Woo Kim.
Last three players to win a major – Brooks Koepka, Tiger Woods, Brooks Read more

U.S. Open

June 10, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	-0.3	35
2	Rory McIlroy	2.2	9
3	Patrick Cantlay	7.0	21
4	Tiger Woods	7.6	21
5	Brooks Koepka	14.0	2
6	Justin Rose	19.6	3
7	Matt Kuchar	20.1	16
8	Adam Scott	20.9	7
9	Justin Thomas	22.5	88
10	Jon Rahm	22.8	3
11	Webb Simpson	23.9	16
12	Rickie Fowler	25.2	43
13	Hideki Matsuyama	25.5	21
14	Tommy Fleetwood	26.4	65
15	Xander Schauffele	30.0	3
16	Jordan Spieth	33.3	65
17	Jason Day	33.3	21
18	Paul Casey	35.9	21
19	Ian Poulter	37.3	88
20	Sergio Garcia	37.3	52
21	Shane Lowry	38.4	28
22	Billy Horschel	39.3	32
23	Francesco Molinari	39.3	16
24	Gary Woodland	39.6	1
25	Marc Leishman	40.7	35
26	Tony Finau	41.1	88
27	Emiliano Grillo	42.8	58
28	Brandt Snedeker	43.3	77
29	Rory Sabbatini	43.9	43
30	Lucas Glover	44.0	80
31	Rafa Cabrera Bello	44.9	65
32	Louis Oosthuizen	45.4	7
33	Bryson DeChambeau	46.1	35
34	Henrik Stenson	46.5	9
35	Jim Furyk	46.7	28
36	Kevin Na	47.0	118
37	Tyrrell Hatton	47.0	21
38	Scott Piercy	47.4	52
39	Kevin Kisner	47.6	49
40	Chez Reavie	48.2	3
41	Matt Wallace	48.5	12
42	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	51.7	118
43	Charles Howell	52.1	52
44	Patrick Reed	52.7	32
45	Andrew Putnam	53.5	43
46	Thomas Pieters	53.6	141
47	Luke List	53.6	88
48	Bubba Watson	53.7	129
49	Haotong Li	53.8	52
50	Phil Mickelson	54.7	52
51	Byeong Hun An	55.3	16
52	Alex Noren	55.8	102
53	Zach Johnson	56.0	58
54	Graeme McDowell	56.1	16
55	Erik Van Rooyen	56.4	43
56	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56.7	12
57	Jason Dufner	57.0	35
58	Jhonattan Vegas	57.1	118
59	Cameron Smith	57.3	72
60	Lucas Bjerregaard	57.5	149
61	Keegan Bradley	58.0	118
62	Abraham Ancer	58.1	49
63	Joel Dahmen	58.8	102
64	CT Pan	59.1	145
65	Keith Mitchell	59.4	88
66	Aaron Wise	59.6	35
67	Danny Willett	60.1	12
68	Jimmy Walker	60.3	88
69	Daniel Berger	60.3	49
70	Si Woo Kim	60.4	129
71	Matt Jones	60.6	80
72	Martin Kaymer	61.0	35
73	Thorbjorn Olesen	61.1	112
74	Branden Grace	61.3	88
75	Kyle Stanley	62.1	65
76	Aaron Baddeley	62.1	102
77	Justin Harding	63.3	88
78	Brian Stuard	63.5	65
79	Nick Taylor	63.6	43
80	Chesson Hadley	65.4	9
81	JB Holmes	65.4	118
82	KH Lee	66.7	129
83	Bernd Wiesberger	67.5	76
84	Harris English	67.8	58
85	Patton Kizzire	67.8	102
86	Roberto Castro	68.2	149
87	Ryan Fox	68.7	102
88	Nate Lashley	68.9	28
89	Carlos Ortiz	69.4	52
90	Sam Horsfield	69.4	118
91	Marcus Kinhult	70.1	32
92	Anirban Lahiri	70.4	137
93	Ollie Schniederjans	70.5	80
94	Renato Paratore	71.1	118
95	Dean Burmester	71.4	102
96	Alex Prugh	71.8	21
97	Sam Saunders	71.9	102
98	Ernie Els	72.2	112
99	Sepp Straka	72.4	28
100	Tom Hoge	72.5	43
101	Julian Etulain	72.6	88
102	Clement Sordet	73.3	72
103	Brendon Todd	74.2	88
104	Luke Donald	74.2	72
105	Matthieu Pavon	74.4	102
106	Justin Walters	74.6	65
107	Cody Gribble	74.6	112
108	Adri Arnaus	74.8	58
109	Lee Slattery	74.8	80
110	Marcus Fraser	74.9	141
111	Brett Drewitt	75.7	145
112	Shugo Imahira	75.8	129
113	Billy Hurley	76.1	72
114	Zac Blair	77.0	149
115	Rob Oppenheim	77.0	80
116	Chan Kim	77.7	141
117	Mikumu Horikawa	78.4	112
118	Collin Morikawa	79.1	35
119	Viktor Hovland	79.7	12
120	Scottie Scheffler	79.8	88
121	Kodai Ichihara	80.2	148
122	Luis Gagne	80.3	118
123	Stewart Hagestad	80.9	118
124	David Toms	81.0	88
125	Jovan Rebula	81.0	88
126	Connor Arendell	81.1	129
127	Matt Parziale	81.3	137
128	Chip McDaniel	81.3	78
129	Mike Weir	81.4	112
130	Devon Bling	81.4	156
131	Callum Tarren	81.6	112
132	Brian Davis	81.6	137
133	Joseph Bramlett	81.7	80
134	Charlie Danielson	81.9	58
135	Nick Hardy	82.0	80
136	Luke Guthrie	82.0	129
137	Andy Pope	82.1	58
138	Rhys Enoch	82.1	71
139	Merrick Bremner	82.1	154
140	Richard Lee	82.2	129
141	Daniel Hillier	82.2	118
142	Cameron Young	82.2	137
143	Austin Eckroat	82.2	102
144	Michael Thorbjornsen	82.2	79
145	Eric Dietrich	82.2	154
146	Hayden Shieh	82.2	88
147	Kevin O’Connell	82.2	129
148	Noah Norton	82.2	149
149	Ryan Sullivan	82.2	141
150	Chandler Eaton	82.2	58
151	Mito Pereira	82.2	118
152	Spencer Tibbits	82.2	80
153	An Yu Chun	82.2	102
154	Brandon Wu	82.2	35
155	Andreas Halvorsen	82.2	153
156	Matthew Naumec	82.2	145
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The accuracy number for these picks is 81. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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