A Look at the PGA Championship

May 14, 2019 Thomas Hawley

Usually the pre-event focus at a big PGA Tour event is the top player or two – Tiger? Rory? DJ? – but in the case of this week’s PGA Championship, the players need to share the spotlight with the course itself, the Bethpage State Park Black Course.

Bethpage Black has become legendary for the notoriety gained in four events staged there this century and for the iconic signage near the first tee (“WARNING. The Black Course Is An Extremely Difficult Course Which We Recommend Only For Highly Skilled Golfers”). Well, yeah. It’s located in the central part of Long Island, about 20 miles northeast of JFK International Airport.

The logical favorite is Rory McIlroy, having a great season. McIlroy has played nine events this season, won TPC, and been in the top 10 of all the others except the Masters, where he was 21st. The crowd favorite Read more

PGA Championship

May 13, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy -1.7 8
2 Tiger Woods 6.8 83
3 Dustin Johnson 11.5 2
4 Justin Rose 11.9 29
5 Jon Rahm 12.4 83
6 Jason Day 16.1 23
7 Rickie Fowler 17.9 36
8 Matt Kuchar 21.4 8
9 Patrick Cantlay 22.2 3
10 Brooks Koepka 22.8 1
11 Paul Casey 24.6 29
12 Webb Simpson 24.9 29
13 Francesco Molinari 25.8 48
14 Ian Poulter 28.3 103
15 Tommy Fleetwood 28.8 48
16 Sergio Garcia 28.9 83
17 Hideki Matsuyama 33.3 16
18 Xander Schauffele 34.7 16
19 Kevin Kisner 35.2 141
20 Louis Oosthuizen 35.4 60
21 Adam Scott 37.0 8
22 Jason Kokrak 38.0 23
23 Tony Finau 39.1 64
24 Rafa Cabrera Bello 39.2 71
25 Gary Woodland 39.8 8
26 Bryson DeChambeau 41.5 103
27 Scott Piercy 42.6 41
28 Henrik Stenson 43.1 48
29 Bubba Watson 44.1 83
30 Tyrrell Hatton 45.1 48
31 Marc Leishman 45.4 117
32 Lucas Glover 45.6 16
33 Kevin Na 47.8 83
34 Jim Furyk 48.0 83
35 Phil Mickelson 48.0 71
36 Jordan Spieth 48.2 3
37 Charles Howell 49.0 41
38 Patrick Reed 49.4 103
39 Alex Noren 49.5 54
40 Chez Reavie 49.6 14
41 Joel Dahmen 49.8 71
42 Ryan Palmer 49.9 137
43 Si Woo Kim 51.0 103
44 Emiliano Grillo 51.6 23
45 Zach Johnson 51.6 54
46 Billy Horschel 51.7 23
47 Charley Hoffman 52.2 54
48 Haotong Li 52.9 36
49 Matthew Fitzpatrick 52.9 41
50 Adam Hadwin 53.3 29
51 Aaron Wise 53.4 41
52 Byeong Hun An 53.5 117
53 Lucas Bjerregaard 53.7 16
54 Shane Lowry 53.9 8
55 Thomas Pieters 54.6 23
56 Matt Wallace 55.1 3
57 Jhonattan Vegas 55.2 141
58 Keegan Bradley 55.2 29
59 Cameron Smith 55.5 64
60 Ryan Moore 55.8 129
61 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 55.9 41
62 Kyle Stanley 56.1 83
63 Brandt Snedeker 56.2 16
64 Eddie Pepperell 56.2 133
65 Joost Luiten 56.3 64
66 Pat Perez 56.4 78
67 Sungjae Im 56.5 83
68 Thorbjorn Olesen 56.5 64
69 Luke List 57.2 6
70 Branden Grace 57.3 103
71 Keith Mitchell 58.0 83
72 Michael Thompson 58.0 124
73 Daniel Berger 58.1 71
74 Graeme McDowell 58.4 29
75 Russell Knox 58.4 83
76 Abraham Ancer 58.5 16
77 Julian Suri 59.2 83
78 CT Pan 59.3 124
79 Lee Westwood 59.5 110
80 Justin Harding 59.5 54
81 Sung Kang 59.7 7
82 Andrew Putnam 59.8 78
83 Brian Gay 61.4 156
84 Tom Lewis 62.0 110
85 JB Holmes 62.0 117
86 Erik Van Rooyen 62.2 8
87 Alexander Bjork 62.2 147
88 Jimmy Walker 63.1 23
89 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 63.2 16
90 Danny Lee 63.4 36
91 Max Homa 63.6 64
92 Harold Varner 63.7 36
93 Jorge Campillo 63.7 129
94 Steve Stricker 63.8 83
95 David Lipsky 64.0 71
96 Patton Kizzire 64.0 83
97 Kevin Tway 64.0 77
98 Chesson Hadley 64.1 124
99 Jason Dufner 64.1 117
100 Dylan Frittelli 64.1 83
101 Troy Merritt 64.1 110
102 JJ Spaun 64.2 54
103 Brian Harman 64.2 144
104 Ryan Armour 64.5 83
105 Beau Hossler 64.9 36
106 Ryan Fox 65.3 117
107 Richard Sterne 65.4 117
108 Corey Conners 65.7 64
109 Ross Fisher 65.7 60
110 Martin Kaymer 65.9 83
111 Sam Burns 66.0 29
112 Sam Ryder 66.6 DNP
113 Mikko Korhonen 67.1 117
114 Danny Willett 67.6 41
115 Lucas Herbert 68.2 71
116 Adrian Otaegui 68.4 83
117 Bronson Burgoon 69.2 48
118 Cameron Champ 69.8 54
119 Kelly Kraft 70.1 48
120 Satoshi Kodaira 70.9 124
121 Adam Long 71.0 41
122 Jazz Janewattananond 71.2 14
123 Padraig Harrington 71.7 137
124 Kurt Kitayama 72.5 64
125 Brandon Stone 72.5 137
126 Vijay Singh 72.7 DNP
127 Martin Trainer 74.9 83
128 Shaun Norris 75.3 110
129 Michael Kim 75.4 83
130 Shugo Imahira 75.6 110
131 YE Yang 76.3 133
132 Brendan Jones 77.5 147
133 John Daly 81.4 133
134 Shaun Micheel 82.1 144
135 Rich Beem 82.2 80
136 Daniel Balin 82.2 147
137 Alex Beach 82.2 137
138 Rich Berberian 82.2 133
139 Justin Bertsch 82.2 129
140 Craig Bowden 82.2 141
141 Jason Caron 82.2 124
142 Ben Cook 82.2 110
143 Stuart Deane 82.2 151
144 Andrew Filbert 82.2 155
145 Tyler Hall 82.2 83
146 Craig Hocknull 82.2 152
147 Marty Jertson 82.2 82
148 Rob Labritz 82.2 60
149 Brian Mackey 82.2 110
150 John O’Leary 82.2 150
151 Rod Perry 82.2 144
152 Casey Russell 82.2 129
153 Jeff Schmid 82.2 152
154 Cory Schneider 82.2 152
155 Ryan Vermeer 82.2 80
JT Poston late entry 62
Joaquin Niemann late entry 103
Richy Werenski late entry 105
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 135. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (May 12, 2019)

May 13, 2019 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson remains no. 1 for a ninth straight week.
# Thru May 12, 2019 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 47 1853 1
2 Rory McIlroy 47 1803 2
3 Justin Thomas 50 1791 3
4 Tiger Woods 27 1750 4
5 Justin Rose 49 1678 5
6 Jon Rahm 53 1594 6
7 Rickie Fowler 48 1557 7
8 Jason Day 45 1490 8
9 Patrick Cantlay 43 1487 9
10 Tommy Fleetwood 61 1464 10
11 Paul Casey 48 1422 11
12 Webb Simpson 51 1422 12
13 Brooks Koepka 45 1409 13
14 Tony Finau 59 1320 14
15 Francesco Molinari 47 1307 15
16 Xander Schauffele 54 1245 16
17 Matt Kuchar 58 1228 18
18 Hideki Matsuyama 50 1224 17
19 Bryson DeChambeau 56 1169 19
20 Ian Poulter 58 1162 20
21 Louis Oosthuizen 43 1112 21
22 Phil Mickelson 48 1103 22
23 Adam Scott 43 1093 23
24 Marc Leishman 53 1074 24
25 Rafa Cabrera Bello 60 1050 25
26 Sergio Garcia 52 1040 26
27 Henrik Stenson 48 1027 28
28 Gary Woodland 56 1015 29
29 Patrick Reed 64 1011 27
30 Bubba Watson 50 1006 30
31 Jordan Spieth 51 973 32
32 Charles Howell 54 966 31
33 Tyrrell Hatton 54 941 33
34 Jason Kokrak 55 934 36
35 Kevin Kisner 56 933 35
36 Alex Noren 49 924 34
37 Jim Furyk 34 894 38
38 Cameron Smith 53 885 39
39 Ryan Moore 46 874 37
40 Scott Piercy 47 858 47
41 Chez Reavie 56 857 40
42 Lucas Glover 48 845 41
43 Emiliano Grillo 55 834 44
44 Zach Johnson 49 833 43
45 Adam Hadwin 55 820 45
46 Ryan Palmer 43 813 42
47 Byeong Hun An 57 809 46
48 Luke List 57 797 49
49 Billy Horschel 57 797 48
50 Kevin Na 51 782 50
51 Kevin Chappell 42 776 51
52 Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 765 53
53 Keegan Bradley 56 760 54
54 Kyle Stanley 59 756 55
55 Sungjae Im 30 741 52
56 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 61 736 60
57 Charley Hoffman 58 729 57
58 Rory Sabbatini 54 729 67
59 Brandt Snedeker 46 721 58
60 Branden Grace 55 709 56
61 Pat Perez 51 698 72
62 Aaron Wise 45 697 59
63 Si Woo Kim 60 688 62
64 Jhonattan Vegas 57 682 64
65 Daniel Berger 48 681 69
66 Chesson Hadley 55 681 65
67 Graham DeLaet 13 679 66
68 Joel Dahmen 59 675 70
69 Michael Thompson 41 666 61
70 Eddie Pepperell 49 662 77
71 Shane Lowry 58 661 73
72 Russell Knox 64 661 71
73 Brian Harman 57 660 63
74 Thomas Pieters 50 656 75
75 Haotong Li 56 655 74
76 Abraham Ancer 53 654 68
77 Jamie Lovemark 43 629 80
78 Keith Mitchell 50 621 78
79 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 618 76
80 Bud Cauley 44 615 79
81 JB Holmes 50 606 82
82 Joost Luiten 41 605 84
83 Kevin Streelman 54 603 83
84 Brian Gay 59 601 81
85 Matt Wallace 63 574 88
86 CT Pan 58 567 86
87 Andrew Putnam 47 554 87
88 Lucas Bjerregaard 57 554 85
89 Vaughn Taylor 55 544 95
90 JT Poston 55 529 89
91 Lee Westwood 43 527 90
92 Sung Kang 59 526 116
93 Russell Henley 52 525 92
94 Beau Hossler 50 524 91
95 Julian Suri 45 521 94
96 Stewart Cink 48 519 93
97 Martin Laird 52 513 97
98 Steve Stricker 26 512 96
99 Patrick Rodgers 55 511 98
100 Max Homa 27 507 99
101 Graeme McDowell 55 499 101
102 Joaquin Niemann 31 497 102
103 Peter Uihlein 64 492 126
104 Harold Varner 62 490 103
105 Jason Dufner 51 488 104
106 Patton Kizzire 57 484 106
107 Jimmy Walker 45 482 100
108 Chris Kirk 57 480 111
109 Ryan Armour 61 478 109
110 JJ Spaun 54 472 105
111 Scott Stallings 60 469 107
112 Dylan Frittelli 66 466 110
113 Danny Lee 60 466 113
114 Justin Harding 29 465 145
115 Austin Cook 47 464 108
116 Scott Brown 61 463 114
117 Alexander Bjork 55 462 115
118 Doug Ghim 15 461 183
119 Chase Seiffert 8 461 118
120 Sam Burns 34 454 112
121 Charl Schwartzel 54 449 122
122 Kevin Tway 59 446 119
123 Seamus Power 60 440 121
124 Jordan Smith 54 439 134
125 Talor Gooch 46 438 130
126 Nick Watney 53 438 120
127 Brendan Steele 49 437 129
128 Matt Jones 57 436 153
129 KH Lee 29 436 117
130 Brian Stuard 63 434 127
131 Aaron Baddeley 50 432 132
132 Troy Merritt 53 430 128
133 Andy Sullivan 51 430 123
134 Ryan Fox 54 429 124
135 Nick Taylor 61 428 125
136 Trey Mullinax 56 422 131
137 Victor Dubuisson 25 417 137
138 John Oda 12 413 135
139 Erik Van Rooyen 39 411 138
140 Tom Lewis 42 411 133
141 Ross Fisher 50 408 147
142 William McGirt 38 407 140
143 Jorge Campillo 57 403 146
144 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 48 403 142
145 Corey Conners 53 398 148
146 James Hahn 46 397 143
147 Matt Every 54 391 190
148 Anirban Lahiri 56 388 144
149 Denny McCarthy 48 384 160
150 Roberto Castro 27 382 139
151 Boo Weekley 11 380 152
152 Sean O’Hair 44 380 150
153 Hank Lebioda 19 380 141
154 Richard Sterne 50 377 149
155 Andrea Pavan 41 377 158
156 Thomas Detry 57 377 159
157 David Hearn 52 368 151
158 Carlos Ortiz 27 365 199
159 Peter Malnati 57 363 154
160 Adam Schenk 57 360 156
161 Sam Ryder 46 359 163
162 Min Woo Lee 9 359 136
163 Danny Willett 48 357 164
164 Brice Garnett 53 355 165
165 Bronson Burgoon 39 355 166
166 Alexander Levy 51 354 157
167 Ollie Schniederjans 59 352 161
168 Jim Knous 21 350 155
169 Ryan Blaum 58 350 162
170 David Lipsky 57 338 175
171 Adrian Otaegui 59 337 168
172 Curtis Luck 36 337 172
173 Wyndham Clark 30 335 167
174 Bill Haas 52 335 169
175 Ben Martin 32 334 176
176 Richy Werenski 59 332 179
177 Steve Marino 10 332 178
178 Martin Kaymer 54 331 193
179 Brandon Harkins 54 329 177
180 Nate Lashley 36 328 192
181 Paul Dunne 57 328 171
182 Grayson Murray 49 328 181
183 Sam Horsfield 47 328 170
184 Fabrizio Zanotti 44 327 174
185 Chris Paisley 49 327 173
186 Dylan Meyer 16 326 182
187 Kramer Hickok 24 322 228
188 Andrew Landry 48 320 186
189 Harris English 62 320 185
190 Chris Stroud 56 319 180
191 Cameron Champ 28 318 184
192 Marcus Kinhult 36 312 223
193 Pablo Larrazabal 49 309 212
194 Sam Saunders 57 309 188
195 Kelly Kraft 61 309 187
196 Ted Potter 50 306 194
197 Benjamin Hebert 49 305 189
198 Johnson Wagner 50 302 196
199 Shawn Stefani 59 301 218
200 Hudson Swafford 51 301 191
201 Scott Langley 26 299 198
202 Soren Kjeldsen 49 299 209
203 Paul Waring 48 298 227
204 Adam Long 24 294 201
205 Darren Fichardt 44 294 195
206 Retief Goosen 31 292 206
207 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 291 204
208 Jason Scrivener 57 287 200
209 Lucas Herbert 34 286 208
210 Roger Sloan 27 285 197
211 Robert Garrigus 47 285 211
212 John Huh 52 284 214
213 Tom Hoge 66 283 205
214 Jonas Blixt 55 281 230
215 Robert Rock 49 278 219
216 Mikko Korhonen 47 278 215
217 Dominic Bozzelli 47 277 207
218 Andrew Johnston 36 277 210
219 Bernd Wiesberger 37 276 202
220 Tyler Duncan 57 275 254
221 Matthias Schwab 39 274 213
222 Sebastian Munoz 35 273 278
223 Dean Burmester 53 273 216
224 Chris Wood 48 271 221
225 DJ Trahan 20 271 203
226 KJ Choi 30 269 225
227 Mackenzie Hughes 56 265 217
228 Nacho Elvira 57 264 224
229 Matthew Southgate 53 261 220
230 Shubhankar Sharma 47 258 226
231 Luke Donald 29 253 222
232 Scott Hend 59 250 232
233 Cameron Percy 35 249 234
234 Nicholas Lindheim 52 249 276
235 Maximilian Kieffer 52 248 229
236 Padraig Harrington 50 246 281
237 Cameron Tringale 57 246 249
238 Seung-yul Noh 11 243 239
239 Ben Crane 47 243 231
240 Satoshi Kodaira 42 242 236
241 Alex Cejka 54 240 237
242 Whee Kim 58 238 233
243 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 236 238
244 Victor Perez 20 232 274
245 David Lingmerth 51 232 240
246 Julian Etulain 33 231 235
247 David Horsey 47 230 247
248 Richie Ramsay 51 230 271
249 Hunter Mahan 53 229 244
250 Sepp Straka 26 228 272
251 Oliver Wilson 18 227 323
252 Sean Crocker 27 225 246
253 George Coetzee 54 224 241
254 Scott Jamieson 54 223 242
255 Aaron Rai 52 223 245
256 Jonathan Byrd 49 222 243
257 Robert MacIntyre 14 219 377
258 Derek Fathauer 49 219 248
259 Mikko Ilonen 34 217 259
260 TJ Vogel 8 217 260
261 Stephen Gallacher 53 215 251
262 Cameron Davis 28 212 270
263 Bradley Dredge 46 212 253
264 Seung-su Han 24 211 252
265 Gaganjeet Bhullar 32 211 269
266 Vijay Singh 24 211 264
267 Ashun Wu 57 210 257
268 Tyrone van Aswegen 56 208 256
269 Brandon Stone 52 207 262
270 Callum Shinkwin 43 207 255
271 Greg Chalmers 33 207 268
272 Wade Ormsby 56 207 263
273 Robert Streb 64 207 261
274 Stephan Jaeger 54 206 311
275 Brendon Todd 15 204 250
276 Anders Albertson 25 203 258
277 Gavin Green 45 203 296
278 Matthieu Pavon 56 203 265
279 Martin Flores 45 203 267
280 Renato Paratore 55 198 313
281 Masahiro Kawamura 26 197 266
282 Julien Guerrier 32 195 280
283 Greg Owen 9 192 290
284 Roberto Diaz 50 189 295
285 Benjamin Silverman 51 188 279
286 Tapio Pulkkanen 40 188 275
287 Oliver Fisher 55 188 294
288 Davis Love 30 187 288
289 Anthony Wall 19 187 283
290 Alex Prugh 24 187 273
291 Blayne Barber 37 186 293
292 Kurt Kitayama 18 186 292
293 Hideto Tanihara 50 186 282
294 Jose-Filipe Lima 22 186 297
295 Chase Wright 22 184 277
296 Ernie Els 52 183 289
297 Niklas Lemke 13 183 435
298 Nino Bertasio 57 182 312
299 Romain Langasque 35 182 286
300 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 43 182 291
301 Haydn Porteous 63 181 310
302 Ashley Chesters 60 180 300
303 Thongchai Jaidee 46 179 305
304 Adri Arnaus 18 179 284
305 Chad Campbell 50 179 287
306 Brad Kennedy 12 177 285
307 John Peterson 20 177 309
308 Martin Piller 48 177 299
309 Fabian Gomez 50 175 301
310 Matthew Jordan 10 174 446
311 Graeme Storm 26 174 302
312 Brady Schnell 18 173 399
313 JJ Henry 55 173 303
314 Tom Lovelady 45 172 304
315 Lanto Griffin 34 172 317
316 Wesley Bryan 39 171 315
317 Joachim B Hansen 19 171 298
318 Joakim Lagergren 49 169 306
319 Lee Slattery 53 168 308
320 David Drysdale 58 165 314
321 Shugo Imahira 20 163 318
322 Adam Svensson 26 162 316
323 Jake McLeod 17 162 307
324 Jeunghun Wang 59 161 322
325 Jazz Janewattananond 33 161 324
326 Camilo Villegas 25 160 319
327 Morgan Hoffmann 27 159 369
328 Henrik Norlander 10 157 330
329 Trevor Immelman 28 157 331
330 Daniel Summerhays 39 157 321
331 Rob Oppenheim 35 156 328
332 Dimitrios Papadatos 18 153 421
333 Clement Sordet 39 153 320
334 Tag Ridings 12 153 334
335 Jeff Winther 42 150 329
336 Brian Campbell 16 149 338
337 Thomas Aiken 49 149 337
338 Martin Trainer 19 149 326
339 Brett Stegmaier 37 148 339
340 Romain Wattel 49 146 335
341 Berry Henson 14 145 325
342 Daisuke Kataoka 26 144 332
343 Brett Drewitt 17 144 345
344 Si-hwan Kim 21 144 341
345 Ricky Barnes 48 143 333
346 Zac Blair 42 142 342
347 Oliver Bekker 12 140 348
348 Anton Karlsson 18 139 336
349 Billy Hurley 42 139 340
350 Jason Gore 14 138 347
351 Marc Warren 55 135 346
352 Steve Wheatcroft 36 135 355
353 Seth Reeves 25 134 344
354 Matthew Nixon 36 134 349
355 Ricardo Gouveia 55 134 351
356 Peter Hanson 39 133 357
357 Neil Schietekat 8 132 359
358 Panuphol Pittayarat 20 132 343
359 Michael Kim 54 132 356
360 Andres Romero 45 131 354
361 Johan Carlsson 20 130 362
362 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 21 130 352
363 Kalle Samooja 16 128 353
364 Ryan Brehm 15 128 364
365 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 40 128 398
366 Jacques Kruyswijk 39 128 360
367 Prayad Marksaeng 15 127 376
368 YE Yang 18 126 395
369 Tim Wilkinson 16 126 371
370 Marcus Fraser 48 125 361
371 Yi Keun Chang 15 125 350
372 Justin Walters 53 124 366
373 Ethan Tracy 31 122 375
374 Yuta Ikeda 31 122 367
375 Stuart Appleby 31 121 378
376 Tim Herron 25 121 385
377 Jin Choi 36 121 379
378 Andres Gonzales 14 121 373
379 Hyun-woo Ryu 15 121 363
380 Jarryd Felton 11 120 384
381 Spencer Levin 15 120 370
382 Gareth Paddison 9 119 383
383 Paul Peterson 42 118 372
384 Poom Saksansin 25 118 368
385 Maverick McNealy 17 118 391
386 Cody Gribble 52 116 386
387 Adam Bland 34 116 380
388 George McNeill 18 115 365
389 Richard McEvoy 35 115 390
390 Michael Hoey 13 114 477
391 Alejandro Canizares 40 114 382
392 Yoshinori Fujimoto 11 114 358
393 Yusaku Miyazato 41 114 389
394 JC Ritchie 11 113 403
395 Thomas Bjorn 40 112 397
396 Rikard Karlberg 13 112 327
397 Austin Connelly 49 112 388
398 Xin-jun Zhang 35 112 400
399 Angelo Que 16 111 381
400 John Catlin 19 110 387
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the AT&T Byron Nelson

May 7, 2019 Thomas Hawley

The tradition of the AT&T Byron Nelson, this year in its 75th anniversary season, is matched by few events on the PGA Tour. The list of winners includes Nelson himself and includes many Hall of Fame level players from Sam Snead up to Tiger Woods. Unfortunately, the strength of field for the Nelson in recent years is matched by more than 75 percent of the other full-field, core-season PGA Tour events. And the Tour did not do it any favors this year by moving the PGA Championship into the week behind it.

For 2019, the event has attracted none of the top 10 players in the Hawley Ratings. Brooks Koepka and Hideki Matsuyama are the only entrants from the top 20, and the top 50 includes only 11 more entrants in the 2019 Byron Nelson. Too bad.

Koepka has appeared only once since the Masters; he and his brother Chase tied for 22nd in the Zurich team event. Other than that he has runner-up finishes in the Masters and the Honda this year and not much else Read more

AT&T Byron Nelson

May 6, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,
Brooks Koepka
Brooks Koepka
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Brooks Koepka 31.8 4
2 Hideki Matsuyama 33.6 23
3 Charles Howell 37.4 WD
4 Rafa Cabrera Bello 38.3 53
5 Marc Leishman 38.6 DNP
6 Henrik Stenson 45.1 20
7 Jordan Spieth 46.1 29
8 Rory Sabbatini 47.1 5
9 Ryan Palmer 47.7 43
10 Patrick Reed 47.8 63
11 Ryan Moore 48.5 69
12 Scott Piercy 48.7 2
13 Kevin Na 48.8 35
14 Bud Cauley 49.9 43
15 Lucas Bjerregaard 50.1 99
16 Alex Noren 50.5 35
17 Aaron Wise 51.4 43
18 Jimmy Walker 51.7 110
19 Sungjae Im 53.4 83
20 Abraham Ancer 55.3 59
21 Keith Mitchell 55.4 59
22 Thorbjorn Olesen 55.6 99
23 Michael Thompson 55.9 53
24 Brandt Snedeker 56.4 DNP
25 Seamus Power 56.7 79
26 Thomas Pieters 56.9 23
27 Russell Knox 57.6 43
28 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 57.7 5
29 Branden Grace 58.3 63
30 JT Poston 58.4 84
31 Brian Stuard 58.6 59
32 Peter Malnati 58.7 72
33 Brian Gay 59.3 69
34 CT Pan 59.6 35
35 Nick Taylor 59.8 122
36 Kevin Tway 60.3 53
37 KH Lee 60.7 72
38 Scott Stallings 60.7 84
39 Daniel Berger 61.0 23
40 Pat Perez 61.2 12
41 Adam Schenk 61.3 110
42 Sung Kang 61.5 1
43 Dylan Frittelli 62.3 67
44 JJ Spaun 62.3 59
45 Martin Laird 62.4 35
46 Nick Watney 62.4 99
47 Trey Mullinax 63.3 131
48 Aaron Baddeley 63.4 DNP
49 Matt Jones 63.5 5
50 Max Homa 63.6 DNP
51 Sam Burns 63.6 72
52 Troy Merritt 63.6 53
53 Brian Harman 64.0 110
54 Austin Cook 64.4 131
55 Vaughn Taylor 64.5 17
56 Hank Lebioda 64.9 110
57 Beau Hossler 65.0 43
58 Justin Harding 65.0 10
59 Russell Henley 65.6 35
60 Denny McCarthy 65.7 23
61 Boo Weekley 66.0 DNP
62 David Hearn 66.2 99
63 Jim Knous 66.3 84
64 Roberto Castro 66.4 151
65 Cameron Tringale 66.7 23
66 Chad Campbell 67.6 72
67 Matt Every 67.6 2
68 Bill Haas 67.9 53
69 Wyndham Clark 68.0 99
70 Curtis Luck 68.4 43
71 Anirban Lahiri 68.5 122
72 Ollie Schniederjans 68.6 69
73 Ryan Blaum 68.7 84
74 Nate Lashley 68.7 29
75 Andrew Landry 68.8 DNP
76 Hudson Swafford 68.8 99
77 Shawn Stefani 69.0 20
78 Harris English 69.1 43
79 Jonas Blixt 69.1 20
80 Richy Werenski 69.2 DNP
81 Peter Uihlein 69.4 5
82 Johnson Wagner 69.4 43
83 Chris Stroud 69.5 110
84 Kelly Kraft 69.7 117
85 Luke Donald 69.7 122
86 Kramer Hickok 69.9 17
87 Billy Hurley 70.0 84
88 Alex Prugh 70.0 79
89 Doug Ghim 70.2 12
90 Jonathan Byrd 70.2 151
91 Dominic Bozzelli 70.3 84
92 Brandon Harkins 70.3 53
93 Carlos Ortiz 70.4 12
94 Julian Etulain 70.4 131
95 Sam Saunders 70.4 122
96 Mackenzie Hughes 70.5 84
97 Ben Crane 70.5 72
98 Brendon Todd 70.5 117
99 DJ Trahan 70.7 WD
100 Roger Sloan 70.7 79
101 Fabian Gomez 71.6 141
102 Tom Hoge 71.6 67
103 Ernie Els 71.8 99
104 Roberto Diaz 71.8 43
105 Padraig Harrington 72.2 12
106 Robert Streb 72.2 122
107 Derek Fathauer 72.3 141
108 Whee Kim 72.4 150
109 Stephan Jaeger 72.5 17
110 David Lingmerth 72.6 43
111 Anders Albertson 72.6 122
112 Sepp Straka 72.7 29
113 Colt Knost 72.7 117
114 Nicholas Lindheim 72.8 12
115 Cameron Davis 72.8 35
116 Sebastian Munoz 72.8 10
117 Benjamin Silverman 72.9 117
118 Chase Wright 73.0 72
119 JJ Henry 73.0 148
120 Tyler Duncan 73.3 5
121 Adam Svensson 73.4 99
122 Sang-moon Bae 73.5 122
123 Ricky Barnes 73.6 131
124 Martin Piller 73.6 84
125 Tom Lovelady 73.7 131
126 Tyrone van Aswegen 73.7 99
127 Seth Reeves 73.9 63
128 Martin Trainer 74.1 WD
129 Cody Gribble 74.1 117
130 Andres Romero 74.2 110
131 Michael Kim 74.2 131
132 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 74.2 131
133 Brady Schnell 75.0 23
134 Rod Pampling 75.1 99
135 Kyle Jones 75.5 145
136 John Senden 75.5 84
137 Wes Roach 75.6 72
138 Josh Teater 75.8 99
139 John Chin 76.4 110
140 Joey Garber 76.4 29
141 Smylie Kaufman 76.6 153
142 Freddie Jacobson 76.6 84
143 Jim Herman 76.8 84
144 Chris Thompson 76.9 131
145 George McNeill 77.1 141
146 Morgan Hoffmann 77.5 29
147 Tim Herron 77.7 DNP
148 Parker McLachlin 78.0 129
149 Brandon Hagy 78.7 84
150 Chad Collins 80.2 79
151 Daniel Chopra 80.2 63
152 Alvaro Ortiz 80.4 84
153 Scottie Scheffler 80.4 35
154 Will MacKenzie 80.6 84
155 Brian Davis 81.6 DNP
156 Zack Sucher 82.1 35
157 Chris Couch 82.1 DNP
158 Kris Blanks 82.2 141
159 Will Claxton 82.2 145
160 Stuart Deane 82.2 131
161 Davis Riley 82.2 29
162 Tony Romo 82.2 148
Derek Oland late entry 84
Roland Thatcher late entry 129
Zack Fischer late entry 135
Todd Balkin late entry 145
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 56. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Betfred British Masters

May 6, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,

Tommy Fleetwood
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Tommy Fleetwood 10.4 8
2 Matt Wallace 60.7 2
3 Tyrrell Hatton 34.1 35
4 Eddie Pepperell 46.2 2
5 Martin Kaymer 70.7 8
6 Lee Westwood 49.3 35
7 Brandon Stone 74.6 119
8 Thongchai Jaidee 74.5 35
9 Chris Wood 66.1 DNP
10 Stephen Gallacher 68.3 142
11 Scott Hend 71.0 35
12 Kurt Kitayama 73.6 DNP
13 Aaron Rai 73.1 110
14 Tom Lewis 62.3 53
15 Ashun Wu 73.8 127
16 Paul Waring 71.0 6
17 Richard McEvoy 78.1 53
18 Alexander Levy 59.9 127
19 Joost Luiten 56.2 8
20 Shubhankar Sharma 71.6 147
21 Wade Ormsby 69.7 147
22 Paul Dunne 61.3 70
23 Romain Wattel 76.0 142
24 Jordan Smith 63.0 6
25 Renato Paratore 75.9 8
26 Bernd Wiesberger 70.5 70
27 Edoardo Molinari 79.0 30
28 SSP Chawrasia 80.0 150
29 Fabrizio Zanotti 66.4 53
30 Sam Brazel 78.1 119
31 Guido Migliozzi 77.4 35
32 Ryan Fox 66.7 96
33 David Lipsky 64.5 DNP
34 Andrea Pavan 68.4 15
35 Adrian Otaegui 68.4 77
36 Joakim Lagergren 73.2 77
37 George Coetzee 71.6 77
38 Chris Paisley 69.2 127
39 David Law 78.1 53
40 Rikard Karlberg 74.7 110
41 Thomas Bjorn 77.9 DNP
42 Robert Karlsson 68.0 58
43 Matthew Baldwin 76.9 70
44 Min Woo Lee 67.0 77
45 Matthew Jordan 78.7 15
46 Conor Gough 82.2 147
47 Wilco Nienaber 81.9 110
48 David Dixon 82.1 96
49 Matthew Cort 82.2 77
50 Andy Sullivan 59.4 138
51 Thomas Detry 68.5 15
52 Ross Fisher 68.2 15
53 Erik Van Rooyen 64.5 DNP
54 Dean Burmester 72.3 42
55 Lucas Herbert 70.8 35
56 Marcus Kinhult 73.1 1
57 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 59.2 DNP
58 Sam Horsfield 66.4 74
59 Matthew Southgate 68.8 96
60 Hideto Tanihara 75.8 96
61 Lee Slattery 67.8 77
62 Darren Fichardt 63.2 127
63 Robert Rock 67.1 25
64 Benjamin Hebert 66.1 77
65 Nacho Elvira 70.5 42
66 Pablo Larrazabal 68.2 8
67 Jason Scrivener 71.0 58
68 Jens Dantorp 78.7 58
69 Andrew Johnston 67.6 42
70 Matthias Schwab 70.1 42
71 Oliver Fisher 72.9 35
72 Ashley Chesters 74.2 42
73 Tapio Pulkkanen 73.3 119
74 Richard Sterne 59.1 58
75 Nicolas Colsaerts 72.3 42
76 Gavin Green 74.2 15
77 Maximilian Kieffer 70.2 58
78 Matthieu Pavon 74.6 110
79 Soren Kjeldsen 66.6 15
80 Alvaro Quiros 78.4 WD
81 Steven Brown 79.0 58
82 Jacques Kruyswijk 77.4 110
83 Ricardo Gouveia 76.8 153
84 Nino Bertasio 76.1 23
85 Yusaku Miyazato 78.2 110
86 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 78.4 25
87 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 73.5 77
88 James Morrison 77.6 142
89 David Drysdale 75.0 77
90 Haydn Porteous 74.7 25
91 Scott Jamieson 69.4 58
92 Bradley Dredge 72.4 77
93 Raphael Jacquelin 77.6 76
94 Justin Walters 77.0 110
95 Richie Ramsay 73.6 5
96 David Horsey 68.8 30
97 Victor Dubuisson 65.3 23
98 Jaco van Zyl 80.3 42
99 David Howell 80.0 42
100 Peter Hanson 70.4 DNP
101 Jamie Donaldson 77.5 73
102 Gaganjeet Bhullar 74.5 25
103 Kim Koivu 79.5 96
104 Joachim B Hansen 75.2 77
105 Adri Arnaus 74.6 96
106 Victor Perez 74.2 15
107 Kalle Samooja 75.9 77
108 Sebastian Soderberg 79.1 142
109 Jack Singh Brar 78.5 53
110 Grant Forrest 77.4 68
111 Stuart Manley 80.4 58
112 Liam Johnston 78.9 42
113 Sean Crocker 71.4 42
114 Robert MacIntyre 77.4 2
115 Lorenzo Gagli 79.1 75
116 Pedro Figueiredo 81.4 58
117 Jake McLeod 74.7 96
118 Alejandro Canizares 75.7 119
119 Zander Lombard 79.1 119
120 Jeff Winther 74.0 119
121 Romain Langasque 73.7 119
122 Niklas Lemke 78.5 8
123 Bernd Ritthammer 80.6 77
124 Clement Sordet 74.1 138
125 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 81.9 96
126 Anton Karlsson 75.6 77
127 Scott Gregory 82.1 96
128 Louis de Jager 77.2 77
129 Per Langfors 80.9 77
130 Nick Cullen 78.4 77
131 Deyen Lawson 79.5 96
132 Daniel Gavins 81.7 119
133 Marc Warren 70.2 WD
134 Filippo Bergamaschi 81.1 150
135 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 82.1 96
136 Hugo Leon 80.3 30
137 Gavin Moynihan 78.2 127
138 Max Schmitt 79.4 110
139 David Borda Antonana 80.4 142
140 Kristoffer Reitan 77.9 77
141 Ben Evans 79.4 135
142 Espen Kofstad 81.5 96
143 Adrien Saddier 77.1 127
144 Tom Murray 79.6 127
145 Oliver Wilson 75.8 8
146 Callum Shinkwin 73.5 96
147 Max Orrin 81.0 150
148 John Catlin 77.4 135
149 Matteo Manassero 77.8 138
150 Dimitrios Papadatos 78.3 15
151 Matthew Nixon 77.0 127
152 Joel Girrbach 81.9 135
153 Connor Syme 78.3 42
154 Michael Hoey 77.9 30
155 Christofer Blomstrand 79.9 77
156 Marcel Schneider 81.7 DNP
157 Jack Senior 80.8 58
158 Ben Stow 81.8 DNP
159 Austin Connelly 78.0 96
160 Gregory Havret 74.3 DNP
161 Phachara Khongwatmai 78.3 DNP
Gregory Bourdy late entry 26
Lasse Jensen late entry 32
Oliver Farr late entry 68
Marcel Siem late entry 117
Jonathan Thomson late entry 141
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 283. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (May 5, 2019)

May 6, 2019 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson remains no. 1 for an eighth straight week.
# Thru May 5, 2019 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 48 1848 1
2 Rory McIlroy 47 1797 3
3 Justin Thomas 50 1789 2
4 Tiger Woods 27 1750 4
5 Justin Rose 49 1671 5
6 Jon Rahm 53 1595 6
7 Rickie Fowler 48 1564 7
8 Jason Day 46 1491 8
9 Patrick Cantlay 43 1486 9
10 Tommy Fleetwood 60 1473 10
11 Paul Casey 48 1424 12
12 Webb Simpson 51 1421 11
13 Brooks Koepka 45 1371 13
14 Tony Finau 60 1318 14
15 Francesco Molinari 47 1302 15
16 Xander Schauffele 55 1245 17
17 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1234 16
18 Matt Kuchar 59 1234 18
19 Bryson DeChambeau 57 1165 20
20 Ian Poulter 59 1159 19
21 Louis Oosthuizen 44 1112 22
22 Phil Mickelson 48 1102 21
23 Adam Scott 43 1090 23
24 Marc Leishman 54 1082 24
25 Rafa Cabrera Bello 59 1078 25
26 Sergio Garcia 53 1041 32
27 Patrick Reed 64 1040 26
28 Henrik Stenson 47 1024 28
29 Gary Woodland 57 1013 27
30 Bubba Watson 50 1002 30
31 Charles Howell 53 996 29
32 Jordan Spieth 51 989 31
33 Tyrrell Hatton 53 962 34
34 Alex Noren 48 937 35
35 Kevin Kisner 56 934 36
36 Jason Kokrak 56 932 33
37 Ryan Moore 46 905 37
38 Jim Furyk 34 894 38
39 Cameron Smith 53 882 39
40 Chez Reavie 57 860 42
41 Lucas Glover 48 846 41
42 Ryan Palmer 43 834 44
43 Zach Johnson 49 833 40
44 Emiliano Grillo 55 830 45
45 Adam Hadwin 55 816 46
46 Byeong Hun An 58 807 43
47 Scott Piercy 47 796 48
48 Billy Horschel 58 795 49
49 Luke List 57 795 47
50 Kevin Na 50 790 50
51 Kevin Chappell 42 779 52
52 Sungjae Im 29 774 53
53 Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 763 54
54 Keegan Bradley 57 760 51
55 Kyle Stanley 59 755 59
56 Branden Grace 54 732 56
57 Charley Hoffman 59 731 55
58 Brandt Snedeker 47 723 57
59 Aaron Wise 44 711 64
60 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60 688 63
61 Michael Thompson 41 687 58
62 Si Woo Kim 60 687 62
63 Brian Harman 56 684 65
64 Jhonattan Vegas 58 681 77
65 Chesson Hadley 55 680 60
66 Graham DeLaet 14 678 66
67 Rory Sabbatini 54 676 71
68 Abraham Ancer 52 673 67
69 Daniel Berger 47 672 61
70 Joel Dahmen 60 671 82
71 Russell Knox 63 668 69
72 Pat Perez 50 666 81
73 Shane Lowry 58 662 68
74 Haotong Li 57 656 70
75 Thomas Pieters 49 645 72
76 Thorbjorn Olesen 52 640 73
77 Eddie Pepperell 49 640 74
78 Keith Mitchell 49 637 83
79 Bud Cauley 44 632 79
80 Jamie Lovemark 44 631 75
81 Brian Gay 59 616 80
82 JB Holmes 51 608 76
83 Kevin Streelman 54 603 78
84 Joost Luiten 40 585 84
85 Lucas Bjerregaard 56 572 85
86 CT Pan 58 567 86
87 Andrew Putnam 47 553 88
88 Matt Wallace 63 551 89
89 JT Poston 55 545 87
90 Lee Westwood 42 541 92
91 Beau Hossler 50 530 90
92 Russell Henley 52 526 91
93 Stewart Cink 48 521 94
94 Julian Suri 46 520 93
95 Vaughn Taylor 54 520 112
96 Steve Stricker 26 516 95
97 Martin Laird 51 513 98
98 Patrick Rodgers 56 511 96
99 Max Homa 28 499 174
100 Jimmy Walker 44 498 99
101 Graeme McDowell 55 497 100
102 Joaquin Niemann 31 495 101
103 Harold Varner 62 493 97
104 Jason Dufner 52 489 137
105 JJ Spaun 54 487 106
106 Patton Kizzire 57 484 107
107 Scott Stallings 60 480 103
108 Austin Cook 46 479 109
109 Ryan Armour 62 478 104
110 Dylan Frittelli 65 477 115
111 Chris Kirk 57 476 111
112 Sam Burns 33 473 102
113 Danny Lee 61 470 105
114 Scott Brown 62 466 108
115 Alexander Bjork 56 462 114
116 Sung Kang 59 460 110
117 KH Lee 28 458 113
118 Chase Seiffert 8 458 119
119 Kevin Tway 59 457 116
120 Nick Watney 53 451 126
121 Seamus Power 60 450 140
122 Charl Schwartzel 55 449 121
123 Andy Sullivan 50 445 122
124 Ryan Fox 54 444 124
125 Nick Taylor 61 444 120
126 Peter Uihlein 63 443 118
127 Brian Stuard 63 443 123
128 Troy Merritt 52 439 128
129 Brendan Steele 49 438 117
130 Talor Gooch 46 438 127
131 Trey Mullinax 56 434 125
132 Aaron Baddeley 50 431 130
133 Tom Lewis 42 427 131
134 Jordan Smith 54 418 138
135 John Oda 12 414 136
136 Min Woo Lee 8 413
137 Victor Dubuisson 24 412 143
138 Erik Van Rooyen 39 410 135
139 Roberto Castro 26 410 129
140 William McGirt 38 406 139
141 Hank Lebioda 18 406 132
142 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 48 404 146
143 James Hahn 47 403 141
144 Anirban Lahiri 56 403 133
145 Justin Harding 28 403 142
146 Jorge Campillo 57 400 148
147 Ross Fisher 49 399 134
148 Corey Conners 53 397 144
149 Richard Sterne 49 391 147
150 Sean O’Hair 45 385 149
151 David Hearn 51 383 145
152 Boo Weekley 12 376 154
153 Matt Jones 57 374 156
154 Peter Malnati 57 374 150
155 Jim Knous 20 372 216
156 Adam Schenk 56 369 178
157 Alexander Levy 50 368 151
158 Andrea Pavan 41 365 152
159 Thomas Detry 57 364 155
160 Denny McCarthy 47 364 153
161 Ollie Schniederjans 59 362 168
162 Ryan Blaum 58 359 160
163 Sam Ryder 46 358 162
164 Danny Willett 48 356 158
165 Brice Garnett 53 356 159
166 Bronson Burgoon 39 354 164
167 Wyndham Clark 29 352 157
168 Adrian Otaegui 59 348 167
169 Bill Haas 51 347 161
170 Sam Horsfield 46 340 170
171 Paul Dunne 56 340 165
172 Curtis Luck 35 339 163
173 Chris Paisley 49 338 175
174 Fabrizio Zanotti 44 338 166
175 David Lipsky 57 337 187
176 Ben Martin 32 336 173
177 Brandon Harkins 53 335 169
178 Steve Marino 10 334 176
179 Richy Werenski 60 333 177
180 Chris Stroud 56 331 171
181 Grayson Murray 50 329 179
182 Dylan Meyer 16 326 184
183 Doug Ghim 14 325 186
184 Cameron Champ 28 321 172
185 Harris English 62 321 185
186 Andrew Landry 48 320 188
187 Kelly Kraft 61 319 182
188 Sam Saunders 57 318 181
189 Benjamin Hebert 48 316 199
190 Matt Every 54 314 183
191 Hudson Swafford 51 313 180
192 Nate Lashley 35 310 194
193 Martin Kaymer 53 309 195
194 Ted Potter 50 307 189
195 Darren Fichardt 43 305 196
196 Johnson Wagner 49 302 192
197 Roger Sloan 26 300 191
198 Scott Langley 26 299 190
199 Carlos Ortiz 26 296 193
200 Jason Scrivener 57 296 198
201 Adam Long 24 293 202
202 Bernd Wiesberger 36 292 205
203 DJ Trahan 19 292 203
204 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 291 206
205 Tom Hoge 66 290 200
206 Retief Goosen 31 290 207
207 Dominic Bozzelli 47 289 197
208 Lucas Herbert 33 288 204
209 Soren Kjeldsen 48 286 209
210 Andrew Johnston 35 285 211
211 Robert Garrigus 48 285 212
212 Pablo Larrazabal 48 283 213
213 Matthias Schwab 38 281 201
214 John Huh 53 281 214
215 Mikko Korhonen 48 277 231
216 Dean Burmester 52 277 208
217 Mackenzie Hughes 55 274 210
218 Shawn Stefani 59 274 249
219 Robert Rock 48 273 217
220 Matthew Southgate 53 271 218
221 Chris Wood 48 270 220
222 Luke Donald 28 268 221
223 Marcus Kinhult 35 267 223
224 Nacho Elvira 56 267 219
225 KJ Choi 30 267 224
226 Shubhankar Sharma 46 266 222
227 Paul Waring 47 266 225
228 Kramer Hickok 24 265 215
229 Maximilian Kieffer 51 255 233
230 Jonas Blixt 54 254 227
231 Ben Crane 47 253 226
232 Scott Hend 58 251 228
233 Whee Kim 58 248 229
234 Cameron Percy 36 248 235
235 Julian Etulain 33 243 230
236 Satoshi Kodaira 42 242 238
237 Alex Cejka 55 241 237
238 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 241 234
239 Seung-yul Noh 12 236 232
240 David Lingmerth 50 236 236
241 George Coetzee 53 232 244
242 Scott Jamieson 54 232 240
243 Jonathan Byrd 48 230 239
244 Hunter Mahan 54 230 245
245 Aaron Rai 51 230 241
246 Sean Crocker 26 229 267
247 David Horsey 47 228 247
248 Derek Fathauer 48 227 242
249 Cameron Tringale 57 225 243
250 Brendon Todd 15 225 546
251 Stephen Gallacher 52 224 250
252 Seung-su Han 23 224 253
253 Bradley Dredge 46 221 255
254 Tyler Duncan 56 220 248
255 Callum Shinkwin 42 217 257
256 Tyrone van Aswegen 56 217 251
257 Ashun Wu 56 216 273
258 Anders Albertson 24 216 246
259 Mikko Ilonen 34 216 261
260 TJ Vogel 8 216 260
261 Robert Streb 64 216 252
262 Brandon Stone 51 214 262
263 Wade Ormsby 56 214 254
264 Vijay Singh 24 213 258
265 Matthieu Pavon 56 211 259
266 Masahiro Kawamura 25 208 256
267 Martin Flores 46 206 266
268 Greg Chalmers 34 204 272
269 Gaganjeet Bhullar 31 200 265
270 Cameron Davis 27 200 264
271 Richie Ramsay 50 199 281
272 Sepp Straka 25 199 263
273 Alex Prugh 23 198 320
274 Victor Perez 19 197 275
275 Tapio Pulkkanen 39 197 289
276 Nicholas Lindheim 52 196 269
277 Chase Wright 21 196 301
278 Sebastian Munoz 35 196 297
279 Benjamin Silverman 50 196 270
280 Julien Guerrier 33 195 277
281 Padraig Harrington 49 194 268
282 Hideto Tanihara 49 193 271
283 Anthony Wall 19 192 276
284 Adri Arnaus 17 191 287
285 Brad Kennedy 11 191 286
286 Romain Langasque 35 190 323
287 Chad Campbell 50 190 280
288 Davis Love 30 190 282
289 Ernie Els 52 189 278
290 Greg Owen 10 188 291
291 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 42 188 279
292 Kurt Kitayama 18 186 274
293 Blayne Barber 37 186 285
294 Oliver Fisher 55 186 292
295 Roberto Diaz 49 185 288
296 Gavin Green 44 185 305
297 Jose-Filipe Lima 23 185 299
298 Joachim B Hansen 18 184 298
299 Martin Piller 47 184 284
300 Ashley Chesters 60 182 300
301 Fabian Gomez 49 181 290
302 Graeme Storm 26 180 294
303 JJ Henry 55 179 295
304 Tom Lovelady 44 179 293
305 Thongchai Jaidee 45 177 296
306 Joakim Lagergren 48 176 306
307 Jake McLeod 16 176 283
308 Lee Slattery 53 175 307
309 John Peterson 21 174 313
310 Haydn Porteous 63 174 309
311 Stephan Jaeger 53 173 303
312 Nino Bertasio 57 173 310
313 Renato Paratore 55 173 304
314 David Drysdale 57 172 311
315 Wesley Bryan 39 172 312
316 Adam Svensson 25 171 302
317 Lanto Griffin 34 171 314
318 Shugo Imahira 19 168 316
319 Camilo Villegas 25 164 317
320 Clement Sordet 38 161 321
321 Daniel Summerhays 40 161 319
322 Jeunghun Wang 59 161 318
323 Oliver Wilson 18 160 308
324 Jazz Janewattananond 33 160 336
325 Berry Henson 13 159 356
326 Martin Trainer 18 158 315
327 Rikard Karlberg 13 158 322
328 Rob Oppenheim 35 157 324
329 Jeff Winther 42 156 327
330 Henrik Norlander 10 155 331
331 Trevor Immelman 29 155 329
332 Daisuke Kataoka 25 153 328
333 Ricky Barnes 48 153 325
334 Tag Ridings 13 152 333
335 Romain Wattel 49 151 326
336 Anton Karlsson 18 150 339
337 Thomas Aiken 49 149 335
338 Brian Campbell 17 149 337
339 Brett Stegmaier 38 147 342
340 Billy Hurley 42 145 332
341 Si-hwan Kim 20 144 330
342 Zac Blair 43 143 345
343 Panuphol Pittayarat 19 142 376
344 Seth Reeves 24 142 334
345 Brett Drewitt 18 142 346
346 Marc Warren 54 142 344
347 Jason Gore 14 142 343
348 Oliver Bekker 12 140 347
349 Matthew Nixon 36 140 351
350 Yi Keun Chang 14 139 348
351 Ricardo Gouveia 54 139 349
352 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 20 138 340
353 Kalle Samooja 15 138 338
354 Andres Romero 44 138 352
355 Steve Wheatcroft 37 136 354
356 Michael Kim 54 136 357
357 Peter Hanson 39 135 355
358 Yoshinori Fujimoto 10 133 361
359 Neil Schietekat 8 133 359
360 Jacques Kruyswijk 38 132 392
361 Marcus Fraser 48 132 350
362 Johan Carlsson 21 132 360
363 Hyun-woo Ryu 14 129 341
364 Ryan Brehm 16 129 363
365 George McNeill 17 128 365
366 Justin Walters 52 128 364
367 Yuta Ikeda 30 128 415
368 Poom Saksansin 24 127 353
369 Morgan Hoffmann 27 126 358
370 Spencer Levin 16 125 362
371 Tim Wilkinson 17 125 367
372 Paul Peterson 42 124 370
373 Andres Gonzales 15 123 366
374 Brendan Jones 10 123 369
375 Ethan Tracy 31 122 371
376 Prayad Marksaeng 14 121 382
377 Robert MacIntyre 13 121 377
378 Stuart Appleby 32 121 380
379 Jin Choi 36 121 378
380 Adam Bland 33 121 385
381 Angelo Que 15 121 381
382 Alejandro Canizares 39 120 384
383 Gareth Paddison 9 120 387
384 Jarryd Felton 11 120 383
385 Tim Herron 25 120 388
386 Cody Gribble 52 119 439
387 John Catlin 18 119 431
388 Austin Connelly 49 118 386
389 Yusaku Miyazato 40 118 372
390 Richard McEvoy 35 117 389
391 Maverick McNealy 17 116 391
392 Parker McLachlin 19 116 390
393 Rick Lamb 23 116 373
394 Grant Forrest 21 115 374
395 YE Yang 18 114 394
396 Kristoffer Reitan 11 113 400
397 Thomas Bjorn 41 113 397
398 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 40 112 402
399 Brady Schnell 17 112 375
400 Xin-jun Zhang 35 112 395
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Wells Fargo Championship

April 29, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy -7.4 8
2 Justin Rose 20.6 3
3 Rickie Fowler 23.0 4
4 Webb Simpson 26.9 18
5 Hideki Matsuyama 28.4 31
6 Jason Day 30.3 24
7 Paul Casey 31.8 4
8 Jason Kokrak 33.6 69
9 Tony Finau 34.0 60
10 Gary Woodland 34.3 WD
11 Phil Mickelson 35.3 110
12 Sergio Garcia 36.7 4
13 Lucas Glover 41.1 31
14 Charles Howell 41.9 100
15 Patrick Reed 45.1 28
16 Henrik Stenson 45.5 28
17 Byeong Hun An 49.3 WD
18 Zach Johnson 50.2 76
19 Rory Sabbatini 52.3 18
20 Sungjae Im 52.4 31
21 Adam Hadwin 53.6 38
22 Chez Reavie 53.9 18
23 Joel Dahmen 54.7 2
24 Aaron Wise 55.4 18
25 Jhonattan Vegas 55.8 8
26 Luke List 55.9 65
27 Michael Thompson 56.2 110
28 Keegan Bradley 56.5 76
29 Kevin Streelman 57.9 45
30 KH Lee 58.2 60
31 JT Poston 58.3 110
32 Sam Burns 58.3 WD
33 Danny Lee 58.6 143
34 Peter Malnati 58.7 84
35 Scott Brown 58.8 110
36 JB Holmes 58.8 WD
37 Scott Stallings 59.2 123
38 Kyle Stanley 59.3 8
39 Nick Taylor 59.4 54
40 Keith Mitchell 59.4 8
41 Daniel Berger 59.5 54
42 Chesson Hadley 59.8 110
43 Roberto Castro 61.0 84
44 Seamus Power 61.3 13
45 Hank Lebioda 61.4 50
46 Sung Kang 61.5 100
47 Pat Perez 62.0 8
48 Brian Harman 62.4 24
49 Harold Varner 62.4 110
50 Matt Jones 62.8 38
51 Bud Cauley 62.9 24
52 Dylan Frittelli 63.4 24
53 Curtis Luck 63.7 143
54 Ryan Armour 63.7 84
55 Nick Watney 63.9 31
56 Trey Mullinax 64.2 50
57 Jimmy Walker 64.2 45
58 Martin Laird 64.5 31
59 Russell Henley 64.6 100
60 David Hearn 64.9 110
61 Vaughn Taylor 64.9 13
62 Denny McCarthy 65.0 76
63 Beau Hossler 65.1 73
64 Stewart Cink 65.4 DNP
65 Joaquin Niemann 65.6 38
66 Brendan Steele 66.2 54
67 Adam Schenk 66.5 13
68 Cameron Tringale 66.7 123
69 Matt Every 66.8 142
70 Wyndham Clark 67.0 131
71 Danny Willett 67.4 123
72 Kelly Kraft 67.4 84
73 Anirban Lahiri 67.8 137
74 Chris Stroud 68.0 123
75 Bill Haas 68.3 50
76 Jonas Blixt 68.5 110
77 Jonathan Byrd 68.5 154
78 Peter Uihlein 68.6 100
79 Johnson Wagner 68.6 123
80 Chris Kirk 68.9 DNP
81 Mackenzie Hughes 69.1 137
82 Nate Lashley 69.1 45
83 Ryan Blaum 69.3 45
84 Robert Streb 69.5 100
85 Brandon Harkins 69.6 65
86 Brice Garnett 69.7 60
87 Kramer Hickok 69.7 60
88 Sam Saunders 69.8 110
89 Hudson Swafford 70.0 110
90 Richy Werenski 70.0 38
91 Harris English 70.0 54
92 Cameron Champ 70.2 84
93 Jason Dufner 70.3 4
94 Jim Knous 70.3 13
95 Max Homa 70.4 1
96 Ollie Schniederjans 70.6 28
97 David Lingmerth 70.7 DNP
98 Fabian Gomez 70.8 72
99 Shawn Stefani 70.8 13
100 Dominic Bozzelli 70.9 84
101 Ernie Els 71.0 84
102 Ben Crane 71.0 84
103 Carlos Ortiz 71.1 84
104 Ted Potter 71.2 100
105 Scott Langley 71.2 143
106 Julian Etulain 71.4 68
107 Roger Sloan 71.4 84
108 DJ Trahan 71.5 DNP
109 Roberto Diaz 72.0 54
110 Tom Hoge 72.0 65
111 Adam Long 72.1 45
112 Padraig Harrington 72.2 137
113 Whee Kim 72.4 123
114 Stephan Jaeger 72.7 150
115 Derek Fathauer 72.9 137
116 Chad Campbell 72.9 DNP
117 Benjamin Silverman 73.1 84
118 Tom Lovelady 73.2 110
119 Tyler Duncan 73.3 84
120 Nicholas Lindheim 73.4 131
121 Tyrone van Aswegen 73.6 150
122 Martin Piller 73.7 143
123 Sepp Straka 74.0 100
124 JJ Henry 74.1 60
125 Anders Albertson 74.3 84
126 Andres Romero 74.4 DNP
127 DA Points 75.0 DNP
128 Alex Prugh 75.0 31
129 Cameron Davis 75.2 100
130 Adam Svensson 75.6 76
131 Martin Trainer 75.7 76
132 Cody Gribble 75.7 31
133 Chase Wright 75.8 38
134 Sebastian Munoz 75.8 38
135 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 76.1 131
136 Seth Reeves 76.4 143
137 Smylie Kaufman 76.4 DNP
138 Rod Pampling 76.8 84
139 George McNeill 76.9 DNP
140 Brady Schnell 77.3 100
141 Brandon Hagy 78.0 76
142 Kyle Jones 78.3 123
143 Sang-moon Bae 78.4 76
144 Alvaro Ortiz 78.6 123
145 Brendon Todd 79.1 18
146 Wes Roach 79.2 70
147 Chad Collins 79.4 100
148 Josh Teater 79.6 131
149 Will MacKenzie 80.0 150
150 Joey Garber 80.0 84
151 John Chin 80.1 76
152 Jim Herman 80.4 84
153 John Senden 80.7 54
154 Chris Thompson 81.0 110
155 Freddie Jacobson 81.1 150
156 Colt Knost 81.6 38
157 Steve Scott 82.2 143
158 Zack Sucher 82.2 50
Doc Redman late entry 23
Matthew Short late entry 70
Broc Everett late entry 110
Nathan Stamey late entry 133
Billy Hurley late entry 136
Chip McDaniel late entry 137
Mathew Goggin late entry 149
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 184. The average is 139. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Volvo China Open

April 29, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,

Alexander Levy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Alexander Levy 51.6 93
2 Haotong Li 55.2 4
3 Julian Suri 59.5 19
4 Ross Fisher 62.5 69
5 Alexander Bjork 63.2 19
6 Jorge Campillo 63.3 3
7 Fabrizio Zanotti 63.8 43
8 Jordan Smith 63.9 5
9 David Lipsky 64.2 5
10 Erik Van Rooyen 64.5 29
11 Victor Dubuisson 65.2 11
12 Benjamin Hebert 65.5 2
13 Sam Horsfield 66.3 32
14 Thomas Detry 66.6 WD
15 Ashun Wu 66.7 5
16 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 66.8 5
17 Nacho Elvira 67.2 32
18 Andrea Pavan 67.8 83
19 Paul Dunne 67.9 WD
20 Richie Ramsay 68.6 14
21 Matthias Schwab 69.6 69
22 Jason Scrivener 69.7 32
23 Nicolas Colsaerts 69.8 43
24 Bernd Wiesberger 70.4 14
25 Masahiro Kawamura 70.6 WD
26 Scott Hend 70.9 65
27 Mikko Korhonen 71.2 1
28 Kurt Kitayama 71.5 83
29 Renato Paratore 71.8 69
30 Romain Wattel 72.1 55
31 Dean Burmester 72.1 120
32 Sean Crocker 72.5 10
33 Scott Jamieson 72.7 51
34 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 72.9 69
35 Gaganjeet Bhullar 73.1 93
36 Thongchai Jaidee 73.3 69
37 Jake McLeod 73.4 120
38 Wade Ormsby 73.8 60
39 Aaron Rai 74.0 49
40 Adri Arnaus 74.3 29
41 Tapio Pulkkanen 74.7 14
42 Joachim B Hansen 74.7 32
43 Matthieu Pavon 74.8 40
44 Oliver Wilson 75.2 151
45 Jazz Janewattananond 75.2 19
46 Gavin Green 75.3 19
47 Hideto Tanihara 75.4 120
48 Marcus Fraser 75.5 83
49 Kalle Samooja 75.5 55
50 Romain Langasque 75.6 5
51 Anton Karlsson 75.6 DNP
52 Haydn Porteous 75.7 32
53 Jeunghun Wang 75.9 69
54 Nino Bertasio 76.1 DNP
55 James Morrison 76.1 43
56 Hyun-woo Ryu 76.4 83
57 Si-hwan Kim 76.4 69
58 Panuphol Pittayarat 76.7 19
59 Berry Henson 76.7 19
60 Louis de Jager 76.8 51
61 Marcel Siem 76.9 19
62 Grant Forrest 77.0 69
63 Poom Saksansin 77.1 131
64 Marc Warren 77.3 DNP
65 Johannes Veerman 77.7 129
66 Paul Peterson 77.8 32
67 Dimitrios Papadatos 78.0 99
68 Guido Migliozzi 78.0 32
69 Shaun Norris 78.0 117
70 Brett Rumford 78.0 99
71 Niklas Lemke 78.1 93
72 Yusaku Miyazato 78.1 83
73 Yuta Ikeda 78.1 11
74 Gavin Moynihan 78.2 DNP
75 Sebastian Soderberg 78.2 93
76 Jens Dantorp 78.3 69
77 Scott Vincent 78.3 67
78 Jacques Kruyswijk 78.3 11
79 Micah Lauren Shin 78.4 60
80 John Catlin 78.4 19
81 Liam Johnston 78.7 120
82 Nicholas Fung 78.8 69
83 Jack Singh Brar 78.9 40
84 Sam Brazel 78.9 19
85 Zander Lombard 78.9 146
86 Shiv Kapur 78.9 69
87 Deyen Lawson 79.0 99
88 Steven Brown 79.0 110
89 WC Liang 79.2 43
90 Kim Koivu 79.2 141
91 Max Schmitt 79.4 DNP
92 Kodai Ichihara 79.5 83
93 David Howell 79.5 117
94 Hugo Leon 79.6 99
95 Miguel Tabuena 79.6 19
96 Adilson da Silva 79.7 14
97 SSP Chawrasia 79.9 65
98 Daniel van Tonder 79.9 51
99 Khalin Joshi 80.0 64
100 Stuart Manley 80.4 55
101 Bernd Ritthammer 80.5 110
102 Hyo-won Park 80.7 DNP
103 Min Woo Lee 80.8 14
104 Shih-chang Chan 80.9 117
105 Yechun Yuan 81.0 32
106 Filippo Bergamaschi 81.2 DNP
107 Viraj Madappa 81.2 69
108 Richard T Lee 81.2 49
109 Yan-wei Liu 81.2 99
110 Pedro Figueiredo 81.2 83
111 Tirawat Kaewsirbandit 81.3 43
112 Hong-fu Wu 81.4 55
113 Daniel Nisbet 81.4 69
114 Ajeetesh Sandhu 81.5 51
115 Daniel Gavins 81.7 WD
116 Daxing Jin 81.7 99
117 Malcolm Kokocinski 81.7 60
118 Bowen Xiao 81.8 69
119 Zach Murray 81.8 60
120 Jeev Milkha Singh 81.9 83
121 Xue-wen Luo 82.0 99
122 Lu-sen Lien 82.1 147
123 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 82.1 DNP
124 Cheng Jin 82.2 40
125 Tian Yuan 82.2 144
126 Chieh-po Lee 82.2 99
127 Zihan She 82.2 99
128 Yang Kuang 82.2 55
129 Sadom Kaewkanjana 82.2 99
130 Wenyi Huang 82.2 93
131 Jia Zhang 82.2 131
132 Ding-gen Chen 82.2 120
133 Ouyang Zheng 82.2 110
134 Tu-xuan Wu 82.2 144
135 Zhu Zhuang 82.2 131
136 Zihao Chen 82.2 83
137 Yi-nong Yang 82.2 99
138 Chao Song 82.2 136
139 Shao-cai He 82.2 136
140 Shiyu Fan 82.2 120
141 Shang Zhi 82.2 141
142 Dong Su 82.2 136
143 Zehao Liu 82.2 147
144 Zeming He 82.2 110
145 Chun Liu 82.2 120
146 Dongyu Wang 82.2 136
147 Hai-meng Chao 82.2 131
148 Wei Yu Zhu 82.2 150
149 Bingwen Ma 82.2 147
150 Zheng Kai Bai 82.2 120
151 Yilong Chen 82.2 141
152 Andreas Gronkvist 82.2 110
153 Zhihong Zhang 82.2 83
154 Jianshan Li 82.2 129
155 Jian-feng Ye 82.2 43
156 Changping Chen 82.2 93
157 Chengyao Ma 82.2 110
158 Lian-wei Zhang 82.2 136
159 Guxin Chen 82.2 68
160 Jin Zhang 82.2 110
161 Hui-lin Zhang 82.2 131
162 David Gleeson 82.2 120
Enqi Liang late entry 31
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 103. The average is 139. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Apr. 28, 2019)

April 29, 2019 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson remains no. 1 for a seventh straight week.
# Thru Apr. 28, 2019 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 49 1842 1
2 Justin Thomas 51 1785 2
3 Rory McIlroy 47 1769 3
4 Tiger Woods 27 1745 4
5 Justin Rose 49 1621 5
6 Jon Rahm 54 1590 8
7 Rickie Fowler 48 1519 9
8 Jason Day 46 1505 6
9 Patrick Cantlay 44 1488 7
10 Tommy Fleetwood 61 1467 11
11 Webb Simpson 51 1419 10
12 Paul Casey 48 1385 14
13 Brooks Koepka 46 1372 12
14 Tony Finau 60 1351 13
15 Francesco Molinari 48 1300 15
16 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1253 16
17 Xander Schauffele 55 1244 17
18 Matt Kuchar 60 1235 18
19 Ian Poulter 60 1161 21
20 Bryson DeChambeau 57 1159 20
21 Phil Mickelson 48 1143 22
22 Louis Oosthuizen 45 1118 19
23 Adam Scott 44 1090 23
24 Marc Leishman 55 1085 24
25 Rafa Cabrera Bello 60 1083 25
26 Patrick Reed 64 1047 26
27 Gary Woodland 57 1041 28
28 Henrik Stenson 47 1034 27
29 Charles Howell 52 1026 30
30 Bubba Watson 51 996 29
31 Jordan Spieth 52 993 31
32 Sergio Garcia 53 986 36
33 Jason Kokrak 56 960 32
34 Tyrrell Hatton 54 959 33
35 Alex Noren 49 938 34
36 Kevin Kisner 57 933 39
37 Ryan Moore 47 899 38
38 Jim Furyk 35 889 35
39 Cameron Smith 54 882 37
40 Zach Johnson 49 864 41
41 Lucas Glover 48 858 40
42 Chez Reavie 57 843 42
43 Byeong Hun An 57 831 43
44 Ryan Palmer 44 831 57
45 Emiliano Grillo 56 828 44
46 Adam Hadwin 55 824 47
47 Luke List 57 818 46
48 Scott Piercy 48 797 49
49 Billy Horschel 59 791 52
50 Kevin Na 51 787 51
51 Keegan Bradley 57 783 48
52 Kevin Chappell 43 782 50
53 Sungjae Im 28 778 45
54 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56 762 53
55 Charley Hoffman 60 734 61
56 Branden Grace 55 731 54
57 Brandt Snedeker 47 722 56
58 Michael Thompson 41 713 60
59 Kyle Stanley 59 711 55
60 Chesson Hadley 54 700 58
61 Daniel Berger 47 693 63
62 Si Woo Kim 61 691 59
63 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60 690 65
64 Aaron Wise 43 684 67
65 Brian Harman 56 674 62
66 Graham DeLaet 15 673 68
67 Abraham Ancer 52 672 64
68 Shane Lowry 59 663 66
69 Russell Knox 64 662 69
70 Haotong Li 56 656 70
71 Rory Sabbatini 53 649 84
72 Thomas Pieters 49 644 73
73 Thorbjorn Olesen 52 641 75
74 Eddie Pepperell 50 638 76
75 Jamie Lovemark 45 632 78
76 JB Holmes 51 628 71
77 Jhonattan Vegas 58 628 72
78 Kevin Streelman 54 615 77
79 Bud Cauley 44 615 79
80 Brian Gay 60 612 91
81 Pat Perez 50 611 74
82 Joel Dahmen 59 602 80
83 Keith Mitchell 48 582 83
84 Joost Luiten 40 582 81
85 Lucas Bjerregaard 56 569 86
86 CT Pan 59 567 82
87 JT Poston 54 559 87
88 Andrew Putnam 47 552 85
89 Matt Wallace 64 549 88
90 Beau Hossler 49 545 89
91 Russell Henley 52 543 90
92 Lee Westwood 43 542 92
93 Julian Suri 46 526 100
94 Stewart Cink 48 522 95
95 Steve Stricker 27 519 94
96 Patrick Rodgers 57 509 98
97 Harold Varner 62 508 93
98 Martin Laird 51 504 116
99 Jimmy Walker 44 504 101
100 Graeme McDowell 56 496 104
101 Joaquin Niemann 30 495 96
102 Sam Burns 32 495 97
103 Scott Stallings 59 494 112
104 Ryan Armour 61 492 107
105 Danny Lee 61 488 99
106 JJ Spaun 55 488 103
107 Patton Kizzire 58 485 102
108 Scott Brown 62 482 126
109 Austin Cook 46 479 109
110 Sung Kang 59 478 106
111 Chris Kirk 58 476 108
112 Vaughn Taylor 54 475 105
113 KH Lee 27 475 164
114 Alexander Bjork 55 465 117
115 Dylan Frittelli 64 459 114
116 Kevin Tway 60 458 122
117 Brendan Steele 49 457 110
118 Peter Uihlein 62 457 113
119 Chase Seiffert 8 455 118
120 Nick Taylor 60 454 129
121 Charl Schwartzel 56 449 115
122 Andy Sullivan 50 445 119
123 Brian Stuard 64 443 120
124 Ryan Fox 54 442 121
125 Trey Mullinax 55 441 133
126 Nick Watney 52 440 142
127 Talor Gooch 46 437 124
128 Troy Merritt 53 437 123
129 Roberto Castro 26 434 216
130 Aaron Baddeley 51 432 125
131 Tom Lewis 43 425 128
132 Hank Lebioda 17 422 224
133 Anirban Lahiri 56 419 130
134 Ross Fisher 49 417 132
135 Erik Van Rooyen 39 416 143
136 John Oda 12 416 134
137 Jason Dufner 52 411 127
138 Jordan Smith 53 410 139
139 William McGirt 39 409 137
140 Seamus Power 59 408 165
141 James Hahn 48 407 136
142 Justin Harding 28 402 131
143 Victor Dubuisson 23 400 135
144 Corey Conners 53 398 138
145 David Hearn 51 397 185
146 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 47 394 140
147 Richard Sterne 49 390 148
148 Jorge Campillo 56 386 154
149 Sean O’Hair 46 386 144
150 Peter Malnati 57 385 167
151 Alexander Levy 49 382 141
152 Andrea Pavan 41 380 147
153 Denny McCarthy 46 376 146
154 Boo Weekley 13 376 111
155 Thomas Detry 56 376 155
156 Matt Jones 56 370 151
157 Wyndham Clark 28 369 145
158 Danny Willett 48 368 152
159 Brice Garnett 52 365 149
160 Ryan Blaum 57 362 161
161 Bill Haas 51 359 150
162 Sam Ryder 46 357 158
163 Curtis Luck 34 356 235
164 Bronson Burgoon 39 353 162
165 Paul Dunne 55 352 157
166 Fabrizio Zanotti 43 348 156
167 Adrian Otaegui 59 348 163
168 Ollie Schniederjans 59 346 159
169 Brandon Harkins 52 344 173
170 Sam Horsfield 45 344 202
171 Chris Stroud 55 342 168
172 Cameron Champ 27 342 153
173 Ben Martin 33 340 166
174 Max Homa 27 338 160
175 Chris Paisley 49 335 170
176 Steve Marino 10 333 174
177 Richy Werenski 59 331 169
178 Adam Schenk 55 330 171
179 Grayson Murray 51 329 178
180 Hudson Swafford 51 327 172
181 Sam Saunders 56 327 183
182 Kelly Kraft 61 326 194
183 Matt Every 54 326 244
184 Dylan Meyer 16 326 181
185 Harris English 62 325 175
186 Doug Ghim 14 325 184
187 David Lipsky 56 324 193
188 Andrew Landry 48 321 186
189 Ted Potter 49 317 179
190 Scott Langley 25 315 176
191 Roger Sloan 25 315 189
192 Johnson Wagner 49 314 182
193 Carlos Ortiz 25 312 177
194 Nate Lashley 34 311 180
195 Martin Kaymer 54 310 191
196 Darren Fichardt 43 306 187
197 Dominic Bozzelli 47 300 190
198 Jason Scrivener 56 299 192
199 Benjamin Hebert 47 297 196
200 Tom Hoge 65 297 195
201 Matthias Schwab 37 293 218
202 Adam Long 23 293 201
203 DJ Trahan 19 292 188
204 Lucas Herbert 33 290 203
205 Bernd Wiesberger 36 290 200
206 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 289 205
207 Retief Goosen 31 288 208
208 Dean Burmester 51 287 198
209 Soren Kjeldsen 48 287 197
210 Mackenzie Hughes 55 287 199
211 Andrew Johnston 35 287 206
212 Robert Garrigus 49 285 209
213 Pablo Larrazabal 48 282 207
214 John Huh 54 278 219
215 Kramer Hickok 23 278 214
216 Jim Knous 19 275 257
217 Robert Rock 49 274 220
218 Matthew Southgate 53 272 211
219 Nacho Elvira 55 270 217
220 Chris Wood 48 270 213
221 Luke Donald 29 268 210
222 Shubhankar Sharma 46 267 225
223 Marcus Kinhult 36 267 215
224 KJ Choi 31 266 212
225 Paul Waring 47 266 226
226 Ben Crane 47 263 227
227 Jonas Blixt 54 262 221
228 Scott Hend 57 259 229
229 Whee Kim 57 259 223
230 Julian Etulain 32 257 222
231 Mikko Korhonen 47 256 231
232 Seung-yul Noh 13 256 204
233 Maximilian Kieffer 51 255 228
234 Nicolas Colsaerts 55 249 232
235 Cameron Percy 36 247 237
236 David Lingmerth 51 242 230
237 Alex Cejka 56 242 259
238 Satoshi Kodaira 42 241 240
239 Jonathan Byrd 47 240 234
240 Scott Jamieson 53 239 233
241 Aaron Rai 51 235 239
242 Derek Fathauer 48 235 238
243 Cameron Tringale 57 234 318
244 George Coetzee 53 233 242
245 Hunter Mahan 54 231 246
246 Anders Albertson 23 230 236
247 David Horsey 47 228 241
248 Tyler Duncan 55 227 245
249 Shawn Stefani 59 225 248
250 Stephen Gallacher 52 225 243
251 Tyrone van Aswegen 56 225 250
252 Robert Streb 64 225 251
253 Seung-su Han 23 223 255
254 Wade Ormsby 55 221 268
255 Bradley Dredge 46 220 247
256 Masahiro Kawamura 24 219 299
257 Callum Shinkwin 42 218 249
258 Vijay Singh 25 218 254
259 Matthieu Pavon 56 215 256
260 TJ Vogel 8 215 260
261 Mikko Ilonen 34 215 261
262 Brandon Stone 51 213 263
263 Sepp Straka 24 212 252
264 Cameron Davis 26 210 253
265 Gaganjeet Bhullar 30 210 266
266 Martin Flores 46 209 265
267 Sean Crocker 25 208 327
268 Padraig Harrington 48 205 258
269 Nicholas Lindheim 51 204 264
270 Benjamin Silverman 49 202 272
271 Hideto Tanihara 48 201 267
272 Greg Chalmers 35 201 277
273 Ashun Wu 55 201 269
274 Kurt Kitayama 17 200 310
275 Victor Perez 19 197 262
276 Anthony Wall 19 197 275
277 Julien Guerrier 34 195 279
278 Ernie Els 52 195 276
279 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 42 194 303
280 Chad Campbell 51 193 273
281 Richie Ramsay 49 192 274
282 Davis Love 30 192 271
283 Jake McLeod 15 192 291
284 Martin Piller 46 191 286
285 Blayne Barber 38 190 285
286 Brad Kennedy 11 190 289
287 Adri Arnaus 16 189 270
288 Roberto Diaz 48 188 280
289 Tapio Pulkkanen 39 188 317
290 Fabian Gomez 49 187 292
291 Greg Owen 10 186 297
292 Oliver Fisher 56 186 281
293 Tom Lovelady 43 186 284
294 Graeme Storm 26 185 288
295 JJ Henry 54 184 287
296 Thongchai Jaidee 44 184 323
297 Sebastian Munoz 34 184 282
298 Joachim B Hansen 17 184 290
299 Jose-Filipe Lima 24 183 298
300 Ashley Chesters 61 182 296
301 Chase Wright 20 182 278
302 Adam Svensson 24 181 283
303 Stephan Jaeger 52 180 306
304 Renato Paratore 54 179 294
305 Gavin Green 43 178 304
306 Joakim Lagergren 48 176 295
307 Lee Slattery 53 176 305
308 Oliver Wilson 18 175 293
309 Haydn Porteous 62 175 300
310 Nino Bertasio 57 174 302
311 David Drysdale 58 174 301
312 Wesley Bryan 40 172 307
313 John Peterson 21 172 309
314 Lanto Griffin 34 171 311
315 Martin Trainer 17 170 313
316 Shugo Imahira 19 168 315
317 Camilo Villegas 26 168 308
318 Jeunghun Wang 58 165 312
319 Daniel Summerhays 41 165 314
320 Alex Prugh 22 165 421
321 Clement Sordet 39 161 343
322 Rikard Karlberg 13 159 324
323 Romain Langasque 34 158 328
324 Rob Oppenheim 35 158 326
325 Ricky Barnes 49 156 325
326 Romain Wattel 48 156 320
327 Jeff Winther 43 156 338
328 Daisuke Kataoka 25 155 329
329 Trevor Immelman 29 154 319
330 Si-hwan Kim 19 154 316
331 Henrik Norlander 10 154 331
332 Billy Hurley 42 152 481
333 Tag Ridings 13 151 330
334 Seth Reeves 23 151 321
335 Thomas Aiken 49 150 332
336 Jazz Janewattananond 32 149 335
337 Brian Campbell 17 149 336
338 Kalle Samooja 14 148 340
339 Anton Karlsson 19 148 322
340 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 19 148 339
341 Hyun-woo Ryu 13 147 337
342 Brett Stegmaier 39 147 341
343 Jason Gore 14 146 334
344 Marc Warren 54 143 333
345 Zac Blair 44 142 342
346 Brett Drewitt 18 141 347
347 Oliver Bekker 12 140 349
348 Yi Keun Chang 14 140 348
349 Ricardo Gouveia 55 139 356
350 Marcus Fraser 47 138 351
351 Matthew Nixon 37 138 345
352 Andres Romero 44 138 344
353 Poom Saksansin 23 138 350
354 Steve Wheatcroft 37 137 355
355 Peter Hanson 39 137 354
356 Berry Henson 12 136 357
357 Michael Kim 55 135 353
358 Morgan Hoffmann 28 133 346
359 Neil Schietekat 8 133 360
360 Johan Carlsson 21 133 358
361 Yoshinori Fujimoto 10 132 361
362 Spencer Levin 17 130 352
363 Ryan Brehm 16 130 363
364 Justin Walters 53 127 364
365 George McNeill 17 126 368
366 Andres Gonzales 15 126 370
367 Tim Wilkinson 17 125 372
368 Brandon Hagy 24 123 362
369 Brendan Jones 10 122 376
370 Paul Peterson 41 122 374
371 Ethan Tracy 31 122 375
372 Yusaku Miyazato 39 122 371
373 Rick Lamb 23 122 366
374 Grant Forrest 21 122 524
375 Brady Schnell 16 122 377
376 Panuphol Pittayarat 18 121 380
377 Robert MacIntyre 13 121 359
378 Jin Choi 36 121 367
379 Oscar Lengden 8 121 378
380 Stuart Appleby 32 121 382
381 Angelo Que 15 121 381
382 Prayad Marksaeng 14 121 385
383 Jarryd Felton 11 121 383
384 Alejandro Canizares 39 120 390
385 Adam Bland 33 120 386
386 Austin Connelly 50 120 369
387 Gareth Paddison 9 120 384
388 Tim Herron 25 119 389
389 Richard McEvoy 36 116 379
390 Parker McLachlin 19 116 393
391 Maverick McNealy 17 115 398
392 Jacques Kruyswijk 37 115 387
393 Louis de Jager 17 114 373
394 YE Yang 18 113 402
395 Xin-jun Zhang 35 113 397
396 Dimitrios Papadatos 16 113 482
397 Thomas Bjorn 41 113 399
398 Adrien Saddier 40 113 388
399 Sang-moon Bae 33 112 391
400 Kristoffer Reitan 11 112 570
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Zurich Classic

April 22, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,

Jason Day
Pick Player Finish Estimate Observed Odds
1 Adam Scott & Jason Day 19.7 7-1
2 Patrick Reed & Patrick Cantlay 31.6 12-1
3 Sergio Garcia & Tommy Fleetwood 35.0 14-1
4 Jon Rahm & Ryan Palmer 35.2 14-1
5 Kyle Stanley & Tony Finau 44.3 24-1
6 Chris Stroud & Jason Kokrak 48.3 30-1
7 Chez Reavie & Lucas Glover 48.7 30-1
8 Bubba Watson & JB Holmes 49.6 30-1
9 Ian Poulter & Sam Horsfield 49.8 35-1
10 Scott Piercy & Billy Horschel 50.5 35-1
11 Jhonattan Vegas & Abraham Ancer 51.0 35-1
12 Kevin Kisner & Scott Brown 51.1 35-1
13 Charl Schwartzel & Louis Oosthuizen 51.3 35-1
14 Henrik Stenson & Graeme McDowell 52.4 40-1
15 Brian Stuard & Russell Knox 53.7 45-1
16 Chase Koepka & Brooks Koepka 56.3 55-1
17 Nick Watney & Charley Hoffman 57.2 60-1
18 Danny Lee & Sung Kang 58.0 70-1
19 Adam Hadwin & Aaron Baddeley 59.0 75-1
20 Cameron Smith & Jonas Blixt 59.0 75-1
21 Justin Harding & Branden Grace 59.2 75-1
22 Patton Kizzire & Brian Harman 59.5 80-1
23 Chesson Hadley & Brice Garnett 60.1 85-1
24 Whee Kim & Sungjae Im 60.7 90-1
25 Vaughn Taylor & Kevin Streelman 61.0 95-1
26 Rory Sabbatini & Brian Gay 61.2 95-1
27 Jim Furyk & David Duval 61.7 100-1
28 Si Woo Kim & Sang-moon Bae 62.2 100-1
29 Pat Perez & Jason Dufner 62.3 100-1
30 Brandon Harkins & Joel Dahmen 62.4 100-1
31 Shane Lowry & Padraig Harrington 62.8 100-1
32 Scott Stallings & Trey Mullinax 62.8 100-1
33 JJ Spaun & Matt Jones 63.1 100-1
34 Nick Taylor & Martin Laird 63.6 100-1
35 Andrew Putnam & Max Homa 63.7 100-1
36 Steve Stricker & Jerry Kelly 63.9 100-1
37 JT Poston & Stephan Jaeger 64.0 100-1
38 Joaquin Niemann & Dylan Frittelli 64.4 100-1
39 Jon Curran & Keegan Bradley 65.4 150-1
40 Seamus Power & David Hearn 65.6 150-1
41 Mackenzie Hughes & Corey Conners 66.2 150-1
42 CT Pan & Michael Kim 66.4 150-1
43 Robert Streb & Troy Merritt 66.8 200-1
44 Denny McCarthy & Roberto Diaz 66.8 200-1
45 Carlos Ortiz & Sebastian Munoz 67.0 200-1
46 Curtis Luck & Hank Lebioda 67.1 200-1
47 Andrew Landry & Austin Cook 67.4 200-1
48 Kevin Tway & Kelly Kraft 67.4 200-1
49 Brendan Steele & Luke Donald 67.5 200-1
50 Johnson Wagner & Harris English 67.6 200-1
51 Harold Varner & Tom Lovelady 67.6 200-1
52 Russell Henley & Ryan Blaum 68.0 200-1
53 Boo Weekley & Colt Knost 68.1 200-1
54 Ben Crane & Wyndham Clark 68.1 200-1
55 KH Lee & Matt Every 68.3 250-1
56 Peter Malnati & Billy Hurley 68.5 250-1
57 Scott Langley & Jonathan Byrd 69.0 250-1
58 Ted Potter & Nate Lashley 69.1 250-1
59 Seth Reeves & Anders Albertson 69.3 300-1
60 Cameron Tringale & Roberto Castro 69.3 300-1
61 Peter Uihlein & Dominic Bozzelli 69.4 300-1
62 Adam Schenk & Tyler Duncan 69.5 300-1
63 Shubhankar Sharma & Anirban Lahiri 69.7 300-1
64 Kyle Jones & Cameron Davis 69.8 300-1
65 Sepp Straka & Chris Kirk 69.8 300-1
66 Adam Svensson & Ollie Schniederjans 70.3 350-1
67 Andres Romero & Julian Etulain 70.5 350-1
68 David Lingmerth & KJ Choi 70.6 350-1
69 Dru Love & Davis Love 70.8 350-1
70 Richy Werenski & Nicholas Lindheim 71.0 400-1
71 Trevor Immelman & Ernie Els 71.5 400-1
72 Josh Teater & Kenny Perry 71.9 400-1
73 Tom Hoge & JJ Henry 71.9 400-1
74 Hudson Swafford & Wes Roach 72.3 500-1
75 Chase Wright & Derek Fathauer 72.9 500-1
76 Chase Wright & Derek Fathauer 72.9 500-1
77 Freddie Jacobson & Chad Campbell 72.9 500-1
78 Alex Prugh & Alex Cejka 73.7 600-1
79 Cody Gribble & Joey Garber 75.8 600-1
80 John Senden & Rod Pampling 76.5 600-1
More | Less

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Trophee Hassan II

April 22, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,
Joost Luiten
Joost Luiten
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Joost Luiten 48.1 25
2 Paul Waring 60.0 25
3 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 60.0 34
4 Tom Lewis 60.2 21
5 Julian Suri 60.4 2
6 Andy Sullivan 60.5 21
7 Jordan Smith 60.6 14
8 Alexander Levy 60.9 84
9 Jorge Campillo 61.2 1
10 Alexander Bjork 61.6 9
11 Benjamin Hebert 62.0 38
12 Erik Van Rooyen 63.1 2
13 Victor Dubuisson 63.3 30
14 Paul Dunne 64.0 38
15 Fabrizio Zanotti 64.1 63
16 Pablo Larrazabal 64.2 38
17 Richard Sterne 64.2 9
18 Jason Scrivener 64.5 116
19 Mikko Korhonen 64.6 30
20 Adrian Otaegui 64.9 25
21 Andrea Pavan 65.2 21
22 Maximilian Kieffer 65.7 49
23 Thomas Detry 66.0 9
24 Nacho Elvira 66.1 72
25 Chris Paisley 66.3 38
26 Renato Paratore 66.4 72
27 David Horsey 67.1 60
28 Wade Ormsby 67.4 14
29 Darren Fichardt 67.4 111
30 Callum Shinkwin 67.6 60
31 Matthias Schwab 67.8 9
32 David Lipsky 68.2 5
33 Bradley Dredge 68.3 116
34 Dean Burmester 68.7 84
35 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 68.7 14
36 Romain Wattel 68.9 111
37 Richie Ramsay 69.1 57
38 Aaron Rai 69.1 130
39 Matthew Southgate 69.5 130
40 Matthew Nixon 69.6 WD
41 Soren Kjeldsen 69.9 WD
42 Joakim Lagergren 70.0 97
43 Marcus Kinhult 70.3 97
44 Masahiro Kawamura 70.4 6
45 Adrien Saddier 70.8 84
46 Scott Jamieson 70.8 97
47 Chris Wood 71.0 WD
48 Joachim B Hansen 71.1 38
49 Ashley Chesters 71.3 38
50 David Drysdale 71.6 130
51 Alejandro Canizares 71.7 34
52 Oliver Fisher 71.7 116
53 Stephen Gallacher 71.8 57
54 Victor Perez 71.9 72
55 Edoardo Molinari 72.1 63
56 Lasse Jensen 72.2 49
57 Nino Bertasio 72.2 72
58 Lee Slattery 72.4 34
59 Ashun Wu 72.5 97
60 Hideto Tanihara 72.5 71
61 Jeff Winther 72.5 25
62 Gregory Bourdy 72.5 DNP
63 Adri Arnaus 72.6 142
64 Kurt Kitayama 72.7 14
65 Alvaro Quiros 72.7 70
66 Thongchai Jaidee 72.8 9
67 Haydn Porteous 72.8 116
68 Jake McLeod 72.9 30
69 Romain Langasque 72.9 38
70 Sean Crocker 72.9 2
71 Clement Sordet 73.0 14
72 Laurie Canter 73.1 116
73 Matthieu Pavon 73.1 49
74 Louis de Jager 73.1 116
75 Raphael Jacquelin 73.1 60
76 Ricardo Gouveia 73.2 30
77 Justin Walters 73.2 54
78 Si-hwan Kim 73.2 97
79 Max Orrin 73.2 97
80 Oliver Wilson 73.3 54
81 Tapio Pulkkanen 73.6 8
82 Michael Hoey 73.6 34
83 Marcus Fraser 73.7 DNP
84 Anton Karlsson 73.8 84
85 Jin Choi 73.9 97
86 Peter Hanson 74.0 38
87 Matthew Baldwin 74.1 142
88 Kalle Samooja 74.1 38
89 Sebastian Soderberg 74.2 57
90 Marcel Siem 74.2 49
91 James Morrison 74.5 54
92 Austin Connelly 74.6 116
93 Marc Warren 74.6 68
94 Gavin Moynihan 74.6 63
95 Jeunghun Wang 74.6 97
96 Robert MacIntyre 74.7 116
97 Yusaku Miyazato 74.7 84
98 Nick Cullen 74.7 84
99 David Howell 74.7 136
100 Richard McEvoy 74.8 72
101 Scott Vincent 74.9 111
102 Robert Karlsson 74.9 84
103 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 74.9 145
104 Ben Evans 74.9 72
105 Matteo Manassero 75.0 84
106 Jens Dantorp 75.0 84
107 Zander Lombard 75.2 149
108 Lorenzo Gagli 75.2 111
109 Jacques Kruyswijk 75.3 84
110 Pedro Oriol 75.3 72
111 Julien Quesne 75.3 142
112 Niklas Lemke 75.3 72
113 Jonathan Thomson 75.4 116
114 Josh Geary 75.5 97
115 Deyen Lawson 75.5 84
116 John Catlin 75.5 116
117 Tom Murray 75.5 68
118 Andrew Dodt 75.6 WD
119 Liam Johnston 75.7 116
120 Steven Brown 75.7 38
121 Jack Singh Brar 75.8 97
122 Christofer Blomstrand 75.9 111
123 Dimitrios Papadatos 75.9 21
124 Grant Forrest 76.1 6
125 Kim Koivu 76.1 49
126 Max Schmitt 76.2 72
127 Ryan Evans 76.2 97
128 Hugo Leon 76.2 72
129 Ross McGowan 76.3 97
130 Guido Migliozzi 76.4 25
131 Stuart Manley 76.5 136
132 Bernd Ritthammer 76.5 72
133 Kristoffer Reitan 76.6 14
134 David Law 76.8 14
135 Per Langfors 76.8 147
136 Hyo-won Park 76.9 63
137 Filippo Bergamaschi 77.1 130
138 Pedro Figueiredo 77.1 136
139 Espen Kofstad 77.2 136
140 Daniel Gavins 77.4 136
141 Philipp Mejow 77.4 130
142 David Borda Antonana 77.5 72
143 Aaron Cockerill 77.5 130
144 Cormac Sharvin 77.5 DNP
145 Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 77.5 116
146 Joel Girrbach 77.6 67
147 Craig Ross 77.6 DNP
148 Nick McCarthy 77.6 DNP
149 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 77.6 84
150 Dave Cook 77.7 DNP
151 Jack Senior 77.7 38
152 Robert Allenby 81.1 DNP
153 Paul Maddy 81.7 DNP
154 Scott Gregory 82.1 97
155 Ayoub Lguirati 82.2 97
156 Faycal Serghini 82.2 116
157 Esteban Toledo 82.2 136
158 Ayoub Ssouadi 82.2 150
159 Shergo Al Kurdi 82.2 148
160 Othman Raouzi 82.2 84
161 Ahmed Marjan 82.2 151
162 Hurly Long 82.2 116
163 Ewan Porter 82.2 145
Saud Al Sharif late entry 151
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The accuracy number for these picks is 42. The average is 139. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.