A Look at Golf – Page 81 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

Honda Classic

February 25, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings, U.S. Events

Justin Thomas

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Justin Thomas	-7.9	30
2	Rickie Fowler	13.9	2
3	Webb Simpson	27.1	36
4	Gary Woodland	28.6	36
5	Brooks Koepka	28.7	2
6	Adam Scott	28.9	84
7	Cameron Smith	36.2	119
8	Sergio Garcia	40.9	9
9	Billy Horschel	42.0	16
10	Michael Thompson	44.1	16
11	Alex Noren	46.1	128
12	Zach Johnson	46.9	59
13	Luke List	47.1	112
14	Lucas Glover	47.6	4
15	Jason Kokrak	48.7	9
16	Emiliano Grillo	49.7	119
17	Daniel Berger	50.1	36
18	Russell Knox	50.5	51
19	Scott Piercy	51.3	102
20	Harold Varner	52.5	51
21	Byeong Hun An	53.3	36
22	Ryan Palmer	54.2	4
23	Graeme McDowell	55.1	82
24	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	55.7	131
25	Stewart Cink	55.8	75
26	Kyle Stanley	56.4	131
27	Bud Cauley	57.0	12
28	Russell Henley	57.8	20
29	Jim Furyk	58.2	9
30	JT Poston	58.4	36
31	Joel Dahmen	58.7	125
32	CT Pan	58.9	102
33	Matt Wallace	59.1	20
34	Vaughn Taylor	59.4	59
35	Brian Harman	59.5	119
36	Chesson Hadley	60.3	20
37	Brendan Steele	60.6	138
38	Jason Dufner	60.6	75
39	Talor Gooch	60.7	20
40	Sungjae Im	60.8	51
41	Scott Langley	61.0	102
42	Brian Gay	61.2	20
43	Joaquin Niemann	61.3	59
44	Rory Sabbatini	61.5	36
45	Chris Stroud	61.5	DNP
46	Kevin Tway	61.8	125
47	Trey Mullinax	62.1	51
48	Scott Brown	62.2	20
49	Danny Lee	62.3	36
50	Patton Kizzire	62.3	112
51	Sean O’Hair	62.4	DNP
52	Dylan Frittelli	62.5	102
53	Austin Cook	62.6	75
54	Kevin Streelman	62.7	71
55	Jimmy Walker	62.9	112
56	Patrick Rodgers	62.9	30
57	Nick Watney	63.1	51
58	Lucas Bjerregaard	63.3	12
59	Sung Kang	63.5	51
60	Jhonattan Vegas	64.0	16
61	Nick Taylor	64.1	30
62	Charl Schwartzel	64.3	16
63	Sam Ryder	64.7	DNP
64	Peter Uihlein	65.0	WD
65	Anirban Lahiri	65.3	59
66	Brice Garnett	65.6	112
67	Chris Kirk	65.6	84
68	Keith Mitchell	66.1	1
69	Ryan Armour	66.2	12
70	Sam Burns	66.4	73
71	Max Homa	66.6	20
72	Denny McCarthy	66.7	84
73	John Huh	66.7	59
74	Brandon Harkins	67.0	102
75	Martin Kaymer	67.0	67
76	Hudson Swafford	67.1	73
77	Bronson Burgoon	67.4	59
78	Jonas Blixt	67.5	36
79	Carlos Ortiz	67.6	84
80	Richy Werenski	68.0	78
81	Padraig Harrington	68.1	DNP
82	Peter Malnati	68.4	36
83	Roger Sloan	68.8	30
84	Kelly Kraft	68.8	131
85	Adam Schenk	68.8	30
86	Brian Stuard	69.0	20
87	Matt Jones	69.1	36
88	Bill Haas	69.1	51
89	Sam Saunders	69.5	36
90	Wyndham Clark	69.7	7
91	Robert Streb	69.7	141
92	Ryan Blaum	69.8	78
93	Cameron Davis	69.9	59
94	Andrew Landry	69.9	97
95	Grayson Murray	70.2	68
96	Roberto Diaz	70.3	112
97	Mackenzie Hughes	70.4	128
98	Anders Albertson	70.4	97
99	Morgan Hoffmann	70.5	119
100	Harris English	70.6	12
101	Ernie Els	70.8	20
102	Ollie Schniederjans	70.8	97
103	Tyler Duncan	70.9	71
104	Sepp Straka	70.9	84
105	Julian Etulain	71.0	36
106	Hunter Mahan	71.0	125
107	Adam Svensson	71.0	59
108	Tom Hoge	71.3	102
109	Roberto Castro	71.4	20
110	Whee Kim	71.4	84
111	Shawn Stefani	71.6	102
112	Seamus Power	71.7	136
113	Jim Knous	71.9	78
114	Curtis Luck	72.1	131
115	Alex Cejka	72.1	DQ
116	Chase Wright	72.1	51
117	Brandon Hagy	72.4	84
118	Kramer Hickok	72.7	30
119	Martin Trainer	72.9	102
120	Satoshi Kodaira	73.0	128
121	Nicholas Lindheim	73.0	DNP
122	Hank Lebioda	73.2	70
123	Sebastian Munoz	73.2	36
124	Benjamin Silverman	73.3	36
125	Stephan Jaeger	73.4	78
126	KH Lee	73.7	7
127	Adam Long	73.8	84
128	Fabian Gomez	73.9	DNP
129	Cameron Tringale	74.2	36
130	Seth Reeves	74.6	112
131	Sang-Moon Bae	74.6	DNP
132	Jim Herman	74.6	84
133	Alex Prugh	74.6	112
134	Kyle Jones	74.8	84
135	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	75.2	119
136	DA Points	75.4	102
137	Josh Teater	75.4	DNP
138	Chad Collins	75.4	DNP
139	Cody Gribble	75.7	140
140	Joey Garber	76.0	131
141	Brady Schnell	76.1	97
142	Wes Roach	76.1	DNP
143	Freddie Jacobson	76.8	68
144	Rod Pampling	76.9	139
145	John Chin	76.9	DNP
146	Chris Thompson	77.5	DNP
147	Vijay Singh	77.7	6
148	Andrew Filbert	82.1	141
	Drew Nesbitt	late entry	83
	Austen Truslow	late entry	88
	JJ Henry	late entry	94
	Ben Crane	late entry	96
	David Pastore	late entry	98
	Johnson Wagner	late entry	109
	Erik Compton	late entry	124
	Blayne Barber	late entry	136
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 259. The average is 139. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.

Oman Open

February 25, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Joost Luiten

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Joost Luiten	41.1	12
2	Thomas Pieters	53.4	6
3	Alexander Levy	61.9	WD
4	Chris Wood	62.6	83
5	Ross Fisher	62.7	103
6	Andrea Pavan	63.4	31
7	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	63.9	27
8	Andy Sullivan	64.3	70
9	Jordan Smith	64.4	12
10	David Lipsky	65.0	72
11	Paul Waring	65.5	83
12	Pablo Larrazabal	66.0	95
13	Thomas Detry	66.0	40
14	Victor Dubuisson	66.4	12
15	Fabrizio Zanotti	67.1	2
16	Justin Harding	67.2	72
17	Bernd Wiesberger	67.5	95
18	Lucas Herbert	68.1	72
19	Paul Dunne	68.2	58
20	Marcus Kinhult	68.3	132
21	Jorge Campillo	68.6	2
22	Matthias Schwab	68.7	124
23	Robert Rock	68.8	72
24	Darren Fichardt	69.3	40
25	Chris Paisley	69.4	9
26	Matthew Southgate	69.7	63
27	Victor Perez	70.0	61
28	Benjamin Hebert	70.0	18
29	Dean Burmester	70.0	95
30	Andrew Johnston	70.2	DNP
31	Scott Jamieson	70.5	9
32	Bradley Dredge	70.8	45
33	Nicolas Colsaerts	71.1	40
34	Shubhankar Sharma	71.2	67
35	Scott Hend	71.4	31
36	Stephen Gallacher	71.6	103
37	David Horsey	71.6	12
38	Gaganjeet Bhullar	71.9	27
39	Mikko Korhonen	72.0	31
40	Ashun Wu	72.1	67
41	Adri Arnaus	72.2	45
42	Matthieu Pavon	72.5	103
43	Renato Paratore	72.6	95
44	Gavin Green	72.6	95
45	Brandon Stone	72.6	31
46	Maximilian Kieffer	72.7	2
47	Hideto Tanihara	72.9	23
48	Callum Shinkwin	73.1	WD
49	Richie Ramsay	73.2	72
50	George Coetzee	73.2	83
51	Tapio Pulkkanen	73.3	103
52	Romain Langasque	73.5	45
53	Nacho Elvira	73.6	90
54	Haydn Porteous	73.7	WD
55	David Drysdale	73.9	23
56	Jose-Filipe Lima	73.9	DNP
57	Marc Warren	74.0	116
58	Nino Bertasio	74.1	45
59	Lee Slattery	74.2	116
60	Romain Wattel	74.4	103
61	Joakim Lagergren	74.4	136
62	Niklas Lemke	74.6	83
63	Jeunghun Wang	74.6	45
64	Oliver Fisher	74.7	128
65	Ashley Chesters	74.8	9
66	Si-hwan Kim	75.0	90
67	Thongchai Jaidee	75.2	18
68	Thomas Bjorn	75.2	125
69	Ricardo Gouveia	75.4	95
70	Oliver Wilson	75.4	56
71	Joachim B Hansen	75.5	6
72	John Catlin	75.7	58
73	Zander Lombard	75.8	45
74	Thomas Aiken	75.8	31
75	Kalle Samooja	75.9	103
76	Alvaro Quiros	75.9	128
77	Clement Sordet	75.9	2
78	Sean Crocker	76.0	18
79	Kristoffer Broberg	76.0	103
80	Jeff Winther	76.1	12
81	Matthew Nixon	76.4	DNP
82	Scott Vincent	76.4	63
83	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	76.5	67
84	Edoardo Molinari	76.6	72
85	Yusaku Miyazato	76.6	63
86	Ben Evans	76.6	125
87	Justin Walters	76.6	31
88	Masahiro Kawamura	76.7	56
89	Richard McEvoy	76.7	31
90	Robert MacIntyre	76.7	45
91	Robert Karlsson	76.8	83
92	Sam Brazel	76.8	121
93	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	76.8	WD
94	Alejandro Canizares	76.8	90
95	Matthew Baldwin	77.0	45
96	Connor Syme	77.1	72
97	Peter Hanson	77.2	6
98	Jacques Kruyswijk	77.2	103
99	Jack Singh Brar	77.4	95
100	Marcel Siem	77.6	WD
101	Raphael Jacquelin	77.6	45
102	Jens Dantorp	77.7	128
103	Kim Koivu	77.7	95
104	Gavin Moynihan	77.7	12
105	Steven Brown	77.8	72
106	Adrien Saddier	77.8	31
107	Grant Forrest	77.9	103
108	James Morrison	77.9	71
109	Lorenzo Gagli	77.9	72
110	Matteo Manassero	77.9	45
111	Kristoffer Reitan	78.0	83
112	Deyen Lawson	78.1	27
113	Jin Choi	78.2	40
114	David Law	78.3	116
115	Min Woo Lee	78.4	72
116	Kurt Kitayama	78.6	1
117	Jaco van Zyl	78.6	61
118	Bernd Ritthammer	78.7	103
119	SSP Chawrasia	78.7	116
120	Tom Murray	78.8	121
121	Liam Johnston	78.8	90
122	Max Orrin	78.9	72
123	Michael Hoey	79.0	DNP
124	Per Langfors	79.0	83
125	Stuart Manley	79.2	DNP
126	Max Schmitt	79.3	27
127	Hyo-won Park	79.5	132
128	Anton Karlsson	79.5	103
129	Sebastian Soderberg	79.6	21
130	Nick Cullen	79.9	31
131	David Howell	80.0	103
132	Louis de Jager	80.1	23
133	Oscar Lengden	80.4	DNP
134	Daniel Gavins	80.5	90
135	Paul Lawrie	80.7	116
136	Pedro Figueiredo	80.8	58
137	Espen Kofstad	81.0	45
138	Hugo Leon	81.0	21
139	Joel Girrbach	81.1	DNP
140	Cheng Jin	81.3	121
141	Guido Migliozzi	81.4	63
142	Scott Gregory	81.4	128
143	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	81.4	103
144	Eirik Tage Johansen	81.5	DNP
145	David Borda Antonana	81.5	23
146	Kieran Pratt	81.5	125
147	Othman Almulla	81.5	138
148	Max Burrow	81.5	132
149	Azaan Al Rumhy	81.5	137
150	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	81.5	132
151	Filippo Bergamaschi	81.5	40
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 21. The average is 139. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Feb. 24, 2019)

February 25, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Justin Thomas remains no. 1 for a fifth straight week.

#	Thru Feb. 24, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Justin Thomas	51	1850	1
2	Dustin Johnson	46	1732	2
3	Justin Rose	49	1610	3
4	Tiger Woods	24	1587	6
5	Jason Day	44	1564	5
6	Rickie Fowler	47	1557	4
7	Patrick Cantlay	43	1516	8
8	Rory McIlroy	46	1496	11
9	Brooks Koepka	45	1476	7
10	Paul Casey	48	1452	12
11	Webb Simpson	51	1418	10
12	Jon Rahm	53	1413	9
13	Tony Finau	60	1377	13
14	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1276	14
15	Xander Schauffele	55	1251	16
16	Phil Mickelson	48	1223	15
17	Hideki Matsuyama	49	1217	17
18	Bryson DeChambeau	59	1167	19
19	Marc Leishman	54	1161	18
20	Patrick Reed	65	1160	22
21	Francesco Molinari	48	1143	23
22	Louis Oosthuizen	43	1140	21
23	Jordan Spieth	51	1130	20
24	Matt Kuchar	61	1078	24
25	Adam Scott	43	1074	25
26	Ian Poulter	60	1069	30
27	Rafa Cabrera Bello	60	1065	26
28	Cameron Smith	54	1062	31
29	Gary Woodland	56	1050	29
30	Henrik Stenson	46	1011	27
31	Alex Noren	48	1008	28
32	Charles Howell	52	1007	33
33	Tyrrell Hatton	54	999	32
34	Chez Reavie	58	933	34
35	Zach Johnson	48	932	35
36	Bubba Watson	51	930	36
37	Adam Hadwin	55	874	37
38	Sergio Garcia	49	854	45
39	Emiliano Grillo	55	849	38
40	Luke List	58	826	41
41	Kevin Chappell	49	820	40
42	Keegan Bradley	57	812	48
43	Daniel Berger	48	810	42
44	Kyle Stanley	57	807	39
45	Ryan Moore	47	804	44
46	Billy Horschel	57	791	43
47	Branden Grace	55	784	46
48	Kevin Kisner	56	771	47
49	Scott Piercy	47	758	49
50	Lucas Glover	47	742	50
51	Chesson Hadley	49	741	52
52	Byeong Hun An	58	732	51
53	Brian Harman	55	732	53
54	Jason Kokrak	55	730	54
55	Si Woo Kim	61	721	56
56	Charley Hoffman	60	718	55
57	JB Holmes	50	717	58
58	Ryan Palmer	43	715	57
59	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	59	712	76
60	Kevin Na	52	711	59
61	Pat Perez	53	699	60
62	Haotong Li	53	698	65
63	Bud Cauley	44	694	61
64	Graham DeLaet	20	693	62
65	Aaron Wise	39	692	69
66	Thomas Pieters	50	685	63
67	Michael Thompson	43	673	67
68	Stewart Cink	48	668	66
69	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	668	70
70	Shane Lowry	57	656	64
71	Brandt Snedeker	45	655	68
72	Russell Knox	63	650	71
73	Sungjae Im	20	640	74
74	Abraham Ancer	46	639	73
75	Jamie Lovemark	50	637	75
76	Thorbjorn Olesen	53	635	72
77	Steve Stricker	28	625	77
78	Andrew Putnam	42	619	78
79	Joaquin Niemann	24	607	79
80	Beau Hossler	47	599	80
81	Joost Luiten	42	594	96
82	Harold Varner	63	594	81
83	Russell Henley	52	589	82
84	Kevin Streelman	53	579	83
85	Brian Gay	57	570	84
86	CT Pan	59	566	86
87	Lee Westwood	45	566	87
88	Peter Uihlein	60	551	85
89	Jim Furyk	33	543	89
90	Jason Dufner	52	541	88
91	Danny Lee	61	536	90
92	Jimmy Walker	43	535	92
93	Kevin Tway	58	532	91
94	Patrick Rodgers	57	528	93
95	JJ Spaun	57	525	94
96	Charl Schwartzel	53	520	95
97	Vaughn Taylor	52	515	98
98	Austin Cook	39	514	97
99	Martin Laird	51	509	99
100	Patton Kizzire	58	507	106
101	Brendan Steele	47	507	101
102	Anirban Lahiri	53	501	102
103	Joel Dahmen	54	493	104
104	Julian Suri	43	491	105
105	Eddie Pepperell	47	486	100
106	Chris Kirk	58	482	103
107	Alexander Bjork	55	474	107
108	Dylan Frittelli	63	472	110
109	Ross Fisher	50	465	109
110	Scott Langley	18	464	112
111	JT Poston	53	463	114
112	Rory Sabbatini	50	462	111
113	Jhonattan Vegas	57	459	113
114	Graeme McDowell	55	456	108
115	Matt Wallace	58	454	118
116	Nick Watney	51	451	116
117	Cameron Champ	23	450	117
118	Ryan Armour	58	443	121
119	Andrea Pavan	36	442	119
120	Andy Sullivan	50	441	120
121	Keith Mitchell	43	440	122
122	Ryan Fox	55	440	115
123	James Hahn	54	430	123
124	Scott Brown	62	430	126
125	Brice Garnett	45	425	127
126	Sung Kang	59	425	124
127	William McGirt	45	420	128
128	Talor Gooch	44	416	129
129	Victor Dubuisson	21	415	133
130	Trey Mullinax	55	414	131
131	Jordan Smith	53	413	130
132	Tom Lewis	41	411	125
133	Alexander Levy	51	409	135
134	Scott Stallings	59	408	136
135	Danny Willett	46	406	148
136	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	46	404	137
137	Chase Seiffert	8	404	142
138	John Oda	12	403	138
139	Bill Haas	51	403	134
140	Bronson Burgoon	36	401	140
141	Sean O’Hair	50	400	141
142	Lucas Bjerregaard	55	399	132
143	Sam Burns	25	398	143
144	Aaron Baddeley	51	397	149
145	Bernd Wiesberger	37	397	139
146	Richy Werenski	58	394	144
147	Brandon Harkins	45	394	145
148	Ted Potter	43	387	147
149	Sam Ryder	41	386	146
150	Chris Stroud	54	375	151
151	Nick Taylor	61	374	153
152	Richard Sterne	49	373	150
153	Hudson Swafford	50	371	152
154	Grayson Murray	52	371	154
155	Thomas Detry	54	370	156
156	Erik Van Rooyen	34	370	160
157	Ben Martin	39	368	155
158	Troy Merritt	57	362	162
159	Paul Dunne	55	361	161
160	Adrian Otaegui	58	359	158
161	Soren Kjeldsen	50	356	163
162	Corey Conners	46	355	157
163	Carlos Ortiz	19	355	164
164	Sam Saunders	58	352	165
165	Ryan Blaum	57	351	159
166	Nate Lashley	31	350	173
167	Dylan Meyer	15	345	167
168	Martin Kaymer	52	342	166
169	DJ Trahan	15	341	174
170	Andrew Landry	40	339	168
171	Chris Wood	48	336	169
172	Dominic Bozzelli	49	335	170
173	Denny McCarthy	39	334	171
174	Seung-yul Noh	20	330	175
175	Chris Paisley	48	329	181
176	Anders Albertson	18	328	177
177	Lucas Herbert	30	328	176
178	David Hearn	55	326	178
179	Pablo Larrazabal	47	326	180
180	Doug Ghim	14	326	179
181	Ollie Schniederjans	58	325	172
182	Johnson Wagner	51	324	194
183	Marcus Kinhult	32	321	183
184	Steve Marino	16	316	188
185	Kelly Kraft	60	316	185
186	Jason Scrivener	57	315	186
187	Dean Burmester	49	314	187
188	Tom Hoge	63	311	184
189	David Lingmerth	55	310	182
190	Brian Stuard	63	308	189
191	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	307	193
192	Robert Rock	48	307	190
193	David Lipsky	54	305	245
194	Harris English	60	303	192
195	Darren Fichardt	42	303	195
196	Matthias Schwab	33	300	196
197	Max Homa	25	300	200
198	Matthew Southgate	52	297	199
199	Jorge Campillo	55	297	202
200	Fabrizio Zanotti	42	296	197
201	Whee Kim	61	295	191
202	Andrew Johnston	41	291	204
203	Benjamin Hebert	46	290	206
204	Matt Jones	56	289	198
205	Shubhankar Sharma	42	287	203
206	Robert Streb	64	284	201
207	Roger Sloan	19	284	243
208	Cameron Davis	21	283	217
209	Seamus Power	57	281	210
210	Robert Garrigus	55	281	205
211	Adam Schenk	48	280	215
212	Tyler Duncan	48	277	209
213	Peter Malnati	58	276	212
214	Paul Waring	46	276	214
215	Retief Goosen	38	275	207
216	Nicolas Colsaerts	57	274	216
217	John Huh	57	273	218
218	Morgan Hoffmann	31	271	211
219	Justin Harding	20	270	219
220	Ben Crane	51	268	228
221	Sam Horsfield	43	266	213
222	Jonas Blixt	53	266	220
223	Jim Knous	14	265	208
224	Chase Wright	15	262	222
225	Mackenzie Hughes	55	262	221
226	Aaron Rai	48	260	223
227	Hunter Mahan	55	258	225
228	Victor Perez	16	258	226
229	Matt Every	58	255	232
230	Padraig Harrington	45	250	227
231	Mikko Korhonen	45	250	230
232	Scott Hend	57	248	234
233	Stephen Gallacher	51	248	233
234	Alex Cejka	57	248	235
235	David Horsey	45	246	238
236	Hideto Tanihara	47	245	231
237	Kramer Hickok	19	245	229
238	Cameron Percy	40	244	239
239	Derek Fathauer	52	243	246
240	Boo Weekley	18	242	224
241	Sepp Straka	19	242	257
242	Scott Jamieson	53	241	242
243	Richie Ramsay	50	241	241
244	Ashun Wu	52	240	244
245	Tyrone van Aswegen	62	238	237
246	Chad Campbell	55	238	236
247	Brandon Stone	51	237	247
248	Julian Etulain	31	236	240
249	Jonathan Byrd	44	236	252
250	Matthieu Pavon	55	235	248
251	Davis Love	30	234	249
252	Nacho Elvira	54	233	251
253	George Coetzee	51	229	250
254	Shawn Stefani	61	226	272
255	Bradley Dredge	46	226	256
256	Anthony Wall	22	225	254
257	Satoshi Kodaira	36	224	255
258	Roberto Castro	29	224	264
259	Callum Shinkwin	42	224	259
260	Wade Ormsby	55	222	262
261	Wyndham Clark	22	221	291
262	Martin Flores	52	220	265
263	Brandon Hagy	26	220	258
264	Camilo Villegas	32	219	261
265	Seung-su Han	21	219	263
266	Adam Svensson	19	217	253
267	JJ Henry	57	216	278
268	Adam Long	17	215	269
269	Roberto Diaz	43	214	283
270	Gaganjeet Bhullar	27	213	268
271	Sebastian Munoz	32	213	273
272	Nicholas Lindheim	52	213	270
273	Blayne Barber	43	212	267
274	Graeme Storm	28	212	266
275	Renato Paratore	54	211	271
276	Maximilian Kieffer	50	210	274
277	TJ Vogel	8	209	275
278	Mikko Ilonen	37	208	276
279	Curtis Luck	33	206	279
280	Hank Lebioda	12	202	260
281	Tapio Pulkkanen	34	198	282
282	Benjamin Silverman	44	197	277
283	Tom Lovelady	41	196	280
284	Julien Guerrier	35	195	285
285	Haydn Porteous	60	195	288
286	Nino Bertasio	56	195	290
287	David Drysdale	58	194	286
288	Lee Slattery	52	193	287
289	Tag Ridings	17	193	284
290	Joakim Lagergren	49	193	295
291	Stephan Jaeger	47	192	294
292	Wesley Bryan	46	192	289
293	Gavin Green	40	191	293
294	Martin Piller	45	190	300
295	Adri Arnaus	11	189	296
296	Daniel Summerhays	47	188	297
297	Romain Wattel	47	186	299
298	Ashley Chesters	58	186	298
299	Oliver Fisher	52	185	301
300	Greg Chalmers	41	184	302
301	Jake McLeod	12	184	314
302	Ricky Barnes	55	184	292
303	Jeunghun Wang	58	182	303
304	Brad Kennedy	11	181	304
305	Yi Keun Chang	12	181	305
306	Martin Trainer	12	180	427
307	Shugo Imahira	18	178	327
308	Jose-Filipe Lima	27	178	306
309	Daisuke Kataoka	23	175	307
310	Si-hwan Kim	13	175	308
311	Jason Gore	15	175	281
312	Marc Warren	51	174	309
313	Seth Reeves	18	173	310
314	Rikard Karlberg	16	171	312
315	Spencer Levin	24	170	311
316	Lanto Griffin	34	167	315
317	Ricardo Gouveia	54	166	317
318	Rob Oppenheim	36	162	320
319	Zac Blair	51	162	313
320	Michael Kim	55	162	319
321	KH Lee	21	161	321
322	Fabian Gomez	53	161	324
323	Rick Lamb	26	161	318
324	Trevor Immelman	29	160	316
325	Poom Saksansin	22	157	322
326	Ernie Els	52	157	323
327	Thomas Aiken	47	156	325
328	Greg Owen	15	154	334
329	KJ Choi	33	154	329
330	Hyun-woo Ryu	12	154	328
331	Berry Henson	10	154	332
332	Andres Romero	43	154	340
333	John Catlin	12	153	331
334	Marcus Fraser	46	152	333
335	Joachim B Hansen	13	152	336
336	Andres Gonzales	20	152	326
337	Kristoffer Broberg	12	150	337
338	Henrik Norlander	10	149	339
339	John Peterson	26	149	342
340	Thongchai Jaidee	44	149	338
341	Austin Connelly	49	147	341
342	Romain Langasque	34	146	343
343	Smylie Kaufman	41	146	335
344	Luke Donald	30	144	344
345	Brian Campbell	21	144	345
346	Steve Wheatcroft	42	142	346
347	Brett Stegmaier	45	142	350
348	Kyle Jones	15	142	330
349	Johan Carlsson	25	141	348
350	Tim Wilkinson	22	141	347
351	Kyle Reifers	26	140	349
352	Brett Drewitt	21	139	351
353	Sean Crocker	21	138	353
354	Matthew Nixon	37	137	354
355	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	36	136	355
356	Kalle Samooja	9	136	352
357	Ryan Brehm	20	135	356
358	Neil Schietekat	8	135	358
359	Oliver Bekker	12	134	361
360	Cameron Tringale	58	133	365
361	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	40	132	362
362	Yusaku Miyazato	35	132	363
363	Richard McEvoy	33	130	364
364	Yoshinori Fujimoto	10	130	366
365	Jacques Kruyswijk	32	129	367
366	Micah Lauren Shin	14	128	371
367	Scott Vincent	35	128	369
368	Oliver Wilson	14	128	373
369	Alvaro Quiros	41	128	370
370	Sang-Moon Bae	30	127	360
371	Alejandro Canizares	40	127	375
372	Clement Sordet	36	127	372
373	Jonathan Randolph	49	126	368
374	Peter Hanson	38	126	374
375	Tim Herron	24	125	377
376	Robert MacIntyre	9	124	378
377	Gareth Paddison	9	124	380
378	Alex Prugh	17	124	359
379	Jamie Donaldson	42	123	381
380	Sang-hyun Park	15	122	357
381	Geoff Ogilvy	39	122	376
382	Andrew Dodt	48	122	379
383	Jarryd Felton	11	122	382
384	Yuta Ikeda	32	121	383
385	Ethan Tracy	31	120	384
386	Paul Peterson	43	119	387
387	Thomas Bjorn	39	119	385
388	Justin Walters	52	118	388
389	Prayad Marksaeng	13	118	390
390	Parker McLachlin	18	118	407
391	Gregory Havret	51	118	389
392	Brendan Jones	10	118	391
393	Panuphol Pittayarat	17	117	394
394	Ben Evans	31	117	392
395	Bryce Molder	16	116	393
396	Stuart Appleby	35	116	386
397	Adam Bland	33	116	399
398	Robert Karlsson	44	116	395
399	Jazz Janewattananond	31	116	397
400	Matthew Baldwin	25	114	402
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the WGC-Mexico Championship

February 19, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

The pick this week in the WGC-Mexico Championship is Dustin Johnson, and if it seems like you frequently see that name atop someone’s list of picks for an event, you’re right. Within the last year, there almost certainly has been some shifting of players near the top of whatever rankings you prefer, and there have been plenty of higher-end events with strong fields, but one thing has been a constant: Johnson gets picked to win more than four times as often as anyone else.

From March 2018 to the current, Johnson has appeared in 23 events. For most (but not all) of them, I did a survey of various selection providers, including the Official World Golf ratings, the golfweek.com Sagarin Ratings, my own Hawley Ratings, and a variety of websites offering fresh picks every week. If Johnson was in the field, he was the top pick 56% of the time. The only other player who was close is Justin Rose, picked 13% of the time. Justin Thomas and Brooks Koepka, each picked 6% of the time, were the only others above 3%.

And how often did these guys win? In the last year, it’s Johnson three Read more

World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship

February 18, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	5.3	1
2	Justin Thomas	5.6	9
3	Rory McIlroy	17.9	2
4	Rickie Fowler	20.1	36
5	Jon Rahm	20.6	45
6	Webb Simpson	23.9	39
7	Patrick Cantlay	24.6	6
8	Tiger Woods	25.8	10
9	Hideki Matsuyama	26.5	19
10	Brooks Koepka	29.2	27
11	Tony Finau	29.4	25
12	Bryson DeChambeau	29.4	56
13	Phil Mickelson	29.7	39
14	Marc Leishman	30.3	62
15	Xander Schauffele	31.1	14
16	Gary Woodland	31.2	17
17	Paul Casey	34.4	3
18	Tommy Fleetwood	34.5	19
19	Matt Kuchar	36.1	50
20	Patrick Reed	36.5	14
21	Louis Oosthuizen	37.2	25
22	Francesco Molinari	37.7	17
23	Rafa Cabrera Bello	39.0	19
24	Ian Poulter	39.4	3
25	Cameron Smith	40.5	6
26	Bubba Watson	40.8	27
27	Alex Noren	44.0	62
28	Tyrrell Hatton	44.8	19
29	Jordan Spieth	45.8	54
30	Billy Horschel	46.2	45
31	Chez Reavie	47.3	65
32	Henrik Stenson	47.3	54
33	Emiliano Grillo	48.0	58
34	Sergio Garcia	49.6	6
35	Shane Lowry	51.5	62
36	Russell Knox	52.0	39
37	Branden Grace	52.4	33
38	Haotong Li	53.3	19
39	Kyle Stanley	54.2	58
40	Keegan Bradley	54.5	10
41	Thorbjorn Olesen	54.7	45
42	Kevin Kisner	54.8	27
43	Lee Westwood	54.8	33
44	Kevin Na	55.1	36
45	Abraham Ancer	55.6	39
46	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56.1	27
47	Joost Luiten	56.6	10
48	Andrew Putnam	57.7	DNP
49	Alexander Bjork	58.8	39
50	Matt Wallace	60.0	33
51	Danny Willett	60.1	27
52	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	60.8	3
53	Aaron Wise	61.4	19
54	Lucas Bjerregaard	62.8	69
55	Patton Kizzire	63.5	27
56	Richard Sterne	63.8	51
57	Eddie Pepperell	64.0	67
58	Erik Van Rooyen	66.7	36
59	David Lipsky	68.6	10
60	Aaron Rai	69.5	51
61	Shubhankar Sharma	70.7	60
62	George Coetzee	71.9	56
63	Jake McLeod	75.0	45
64	Shugo Imahira	75.0	39
65	Shaun Norris	75.3	71
66	Matthew Millar	75.8	70
67	Sang-hyun Park	76.9	WD
	Charles Howell	late entry	14
	Byeong Hun An	late entry	47
	Satoshi Kodaira	late entry	53
	Adrian Otaegui	late entry	61
	Tom Lewis	late entry	66
	Ryan Fox	late entry	67
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 455. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Puerto Rico Open

February 18, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Scott Brown

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Scott Brown	51.8	10
2	Daniel Berger	53.8	2
3	Graeme McDowell	59.0	42
4	Peter Uihlein	63.7	66
5	Jonathan Byrd	63.8	21
6	Nate Lashley	65.4	8
7	Chris Kirk	65.5	76
8	Corey Conners	65.8	76
9	David Hearn	66.0	25
10	Matt Jones	66.1	55
11	DJ Trahan	66.5	16
12	Max Homa	66.6	DNP
13	Aaron Baddeley	66.8	2
14	Matt Every	66.9	16
15	Dominic Bozzelli	67.4	25
16	Will MacKenzie	67.5	89
17	Carlos Ortiz	67.6	DNP
18	Retief Goosen	67.9	89
19	Boo Weekley	68.2	35
20	Sam Horsfield	68.4	89
21	Robert Streb	68.9	59
22	Rafael Campos	68.9	49
23	Roberto Diaz	69.3	10
24	Ryan Blaum	69.6	55
25	Johnson Wagner	69.7	2
26	Adam Schenk	69.8	16
27	Cameron Davis	69.9	16
28	Grayson Murray	70.1	DNP
29	Adam Svensson	70.1	122
30	Roger Sloan	70.3	2
31	Tyler Duncan	70.3	62
32	David Lingmerth	70.4	49
33	Julian Etulain	70.7	35
34	Ollie Schniederjans	70.9	49
35	Tom Hoge	71.0	55
36	Whee Kim	71.2	71
37	Roberto Castro	71.4	25
38	Fabian Gomez	71.6	25
39	Jim Knous	71.6	55
40	Jason Gore	71.7	WD
41	Wyndham Clark	71.8	10
42	Robert Garrigus	71.9	110
43	Sebastian Munoz	71.9	25
44	Ricky Barnes	72.0	76
45	Derek Fathauer	72.1	21
46	Tom Lovelady	72.1	47
47	Hank Lebioda	72.1	97
48	Sepp Straka	72.1	16
49	Ben Crane	72.2	8
50	Tyrone van Aswegen	72.3	76
51	Chad Campbell	72.3	42
52	Kramer Hickok	72.4	35
53	Curtis Luck	72.5	25
54	Shawn Stefani	72.5	6
55	JJ Henry	72.6	10
56	Andres Romero	72.6	25
57	DA Points	73.0	42
58	Benjamin Silverman	73.1	119
59	Stephan Jaeger	73.3	DNP
60	Trevor Immelman	73.4	59
61	Alex Prugh	73.7	97
62	Rod Pampling	73.8	76
63	KH Lee	74.0	35
64	Martin Piller	74.0	25
65	Brendon de Jonge	74.2	122
66	Sang-Moon Bae	74.4	97
67	Seth Reeves	74.4	DNP
68	Kyle Jones	74.5	89
69	Chad Collins	74.7	71
70	Cameron Tringale	74.8	25
71	Tim Petrovic	75.0	DNP
72	Wes Roach	75.0	75
73	Stuart Appleby	75.1	49
74	Josh Teater	75.2	76
75	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	75.5	35
76	Martin Trainer	75.8	1
77	Brady Schnell	76.1	113
78	Freddie Jacobson	76.3	76
79	Tim Herron	76.8	42
80	John Senden	76.9	62
81	John Merrick	77.1	97
82	Michael Bradley	77.2	DNP
83	George McNeill	77.3	89
84	Chris Thompson	77.5	69
85	John Chin	77.6	21
86	Dicky Pride	77.6	110
87	Eric Axley	77.7	119
88	Parker McLachlin	77.7	35
89	Joey Garber	78.0	10
90	Billy Hurley	78.3	62
91	Troy Matteson	78.8	97
92	Angel Cabrera	79.0	113
93	Charlie Wi	79.8	71
94	Arjun Atwal	80.0	70
95	Daniel Chopra	80.3	113
96	Alex Kang	80.7	35
97	Robert Allenby	80.7	49
98	Jason Bohn	80.7	97
99	Carl Pettersson	81.0	DNP
100	Ken Duke	81.0	62
101	John Rollins	81.1	113
102	Tommy Gainey	81.2	76
103	Chris Smith	81.3	97
104	Brendon Todd	81.4	25
105	Mike Weir	81.4	DNP
106	Cameron Beckman	81.5	125
107	Derek Ernst	81.6	66
108	Brian Davis	81.7	42
109	Heath Slocum	81.8	128
110	Todd Hamilton	81.8	107
111	Duffy Waldorf	81.8	DNP
112	Charlie Beljan	82.0	76
113	Jay Don Blake	82.0	DNP
114	William Cannon	82.1	76
115	Frank Lickliter	82.1	76
116	Dudley Hart	82.1	DNP
117	Omar Uresti	82.1	107
118	David Duval	82.1	97
119	Max Alverio	82.1	119
120	Olin Browne	82.1	DNP
121	Chris Couch	82.1	66
122	Jeronimo Esteve	82.1	113
123	Edward Figueroa	82.1	89
124	Hunter Hamrick	82.1	97
125	Nick Heinen	82.1	76
126	Jonathan Kaye	82.1	71
127	Neal Lancaster	82.1	WD
128	Jay McLuen	82.1	76
129	Bryson Nimmer	82.1	47
130	Kyle Sanders	82.1	122
131	Hiram Silfa	82.1	125
132	Austen Truslow	82.1	10
133	Kristoffer Ventura	82.1	89
134	Steve Jones	82.1	DNP
135	Blaine McCallister	82.1	DNP
136	Robert Gamez	82.1	130
137	Len Mattiace	82.1	DNP
138	Keith Clearwater	82.1	DNP
	Charl Schwartzel	late entry	7
	Martin Flores	late entry	23
	Ben Griffin	late entry	53
	Zac Blair	late entry	60
	Taylor Pendrith	late entry	92
	Derek Lamely	late entry	102
	Spike McRoy	late entry	108
	Yuwa Kosaihira	late entry	110
	Ted Purdy	late entry	115
	Alexander Hicks	late entry	125
	Marc Turnesa	late entry	128
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 234. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Feb. 17, 2019)

February 18, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Justin Thomas remains no. 1 for a fourth straight week.

#	Thru Feb. 17, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Justin Thomas	51	1828	1
2	Dustin Johnson	46	1671	2
3	Justin Rose	50	1609	4
4	Rickie Fowler	47	1600	3
5	Jason Day	44	1560	5
6	Tiger Woods	23	1543	6
7	Brooks Koepka	45	1500	7
8	Patrick Cantlay	42	1467	9
9	Jon Rahm	53	1453	10
10	Webb Simpson	50	1452	8
11	Rory McIlroy	46	1430	13
12	Paul Casey	48	1393	11
13	Tony Finau	59	1386	12
14	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1271	14
15	Phil Mickelson	48	1252	15
16	Xander Schauffele	54	1228	17
17	Hideki Matsuyama	49	1209	19
18	Marc Leishman	53	1202	21
19	Bryson DeChambeau	58	1194	20
20	Jordan Spieth	51	1176	16
21	Louis Oosthuizen	43	1142	18
22	Patrick Reed	65	1136	22
23	Francesco Molinari	48	1127	23
24	Matt Kuchar	61	1111	24
25	Adam Scott	44	1076	31
26	Rafa Cabrera Bello	60	1052	25
27	Henrik Stenson	46	1044	27
28	Alex Noren	48	1044	26
29	Gary Woodland	56	1029	29
30	Ian Poulter	59	1005	32
31	Cameron Smith	53	1005	28
32	Tyrrell Hatton	54	983	30
33	Charles Howell	51	973	36
34	Chez Reavie	57	961	33
35	Zach Johnson	49	930	34
36	Bubba Watson	51	923	37
37	Adam Hadwin	55	873	35
38	Emiliano Grillo	55	870	38
39	Kyle Stanley	56	834	39
40	Kevin Chappell	50	825	40
41	Luke List	58	823	47
42	Daniel Berger	48	811	41
43	Billy Horschel	56	808	43
44	Ryan Moore	48	803	45
45	Sergio Garcia	49	791	44
46	Branden Grace	55	785	42
47	Kevin Kisner	56	773	48
48	Keegan Bradley	56	764	46
49	Scott Piercy	48	755	50
50	Lucas Glover	47	745	52
51	Byeong Hun An	58	743	53
52	Chesson Hadley	49	735	55
53	Brian Harman	55	732	51
54	Jason Kokrak	55	727	54
55	Charley Hoffman	60	723	49
56	Si Woo Kim	62	719	74
57	Ryan Palmer	43	718	58
58	JB Holmes	51	717	79
59	Kevin Na	52	716	59
60	Pat Perez	54	701	57
61	Bud Cauley	44	696	56
62	Graham DeLaet	20	694	61
63	Thomas Pieters	51	689	60
64	Shane Lowry	56	676	64
65	Haotong Li	53	671	66
66	Stewart Cink	48	670	65
67	Michael Thompson	43	669	86
68	Brandt Snedeker	46	663	67
69	Aaron Wise	38	662	62
70	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	657	69
71	Russell Knox	63	649	73
72	Thorbjorn Olesen	53	647	71
73	Abraham Ancer	45	646	68
74	Sungjae Im	20	638	63
75	Jamie Lovemark	50	637	75
76	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	58	637	70
77	Steve Stricker	28	628	76
78	Andrew Putnam	42	621	72
79	Joaquin Niemann	24	605	77
80	Beau Hossler	47	595	91
81	Harold Varner	63	593	78
82	Russell Henley	52	590	80
83	Kevin Streelman	53	578	81
84	Brian Gay	57	569	82
85	Peter Uihlein	60	567	83
86	CT Pan	59	565	84
87	Lee Westwood	45	562	87
88	Jason Dufner	53	544	85
89	Jim Furyk	34	540	94
90	Danny Lee	61	539	88
91	Kevin Tway	58	537	89
92	Jimmy Walker	44	533	90
93	Patrick Rodgers	57	525	107
94	JJ Spaun	57	523	92
95	Charl Schwartzel	53	517	93
96	Joost Luiten	42	514	99
97	Austin Cook	39	514	98
98	Vaughn Taylor	52	512	124
99	Martin Laird	51	507	96
100	Eddie Pepperell	46	507	100
101	Brendan Steele	48	507	95
102	Anirban Lahiri	53	500	97
103	Chris Kirk	57	494	102
104	Joel Dahmen	54	492	101
105	Julian Suri	43	491	103
106	Patton Kizzire	57	490	104
107	Alexander Bjork	55	473	109
108	Graeme McDowell	54	470	110
109	Ross Fisher	51	469	108
110	Dylan Frittelli	64	469	116
111	Rory Sabbatini	50	461	112
112	Scott Langley	18	460	117
113	Jhonattan Vegas	58	460	105
114	JT Poston	53	459	123
115	Ryan Fox	55	452	115
116	Nick Watney	51	452	113
117	Cameron Champ	23	452	106
118	Matt Wallace	57	446	120
119	Andrea Pavan	36	443	119
120	Andy Sullivan	51	442	122
121	Ryan Armour	58	442	114
122	Keith Mitchell	43	441	111
123	James Hahn	54	432	125
124	Sung Kang	59	428	121
125	Tom Lewis	40	428	118
126	Scott Brown	61	427	128
127	Brice Garnett	45	425	126
128	William McGirt	46	423	127
129	Talor Gooch	44	415	134
130	Jordan Smith	54	413	133
131	Trey Mullinax	55	412	136
132	Lucas Bjerregaard	55	411	135
133	Victor Dubuisson	21	410	137
134	Bill Haas	52	409	129
135	Alexander Levy	51	407	139
136	Scott Stallings	59	407	132
137	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	46	403	141
138	John Oda	12	403	143
139	Bernd Wiesberger	38	402	138
140	Bronson Burgoon	36	401	130
141	Sean O’Hair	51	400	142
142	Chase Seiffert	8	398	147
143	Sam Burns	25	397	131
144	Richy Werenski	58	393	148
145	Brandon Harkins	45	392	140
146	Sam Ryder	41	387	145
147	Ted Potter	43	387	144
148	Danny Willett	46	383	159
149	Aaron Baddeley	50	382	150
150	Richard Sterne	49	378	152
151	Chris Stroud	54	377	149
152	Hudson Swafford	50	376	146
153	Nick Taylor	61	376	156
154	Grayson Murray	52	370	151
155	Ben Martin	39	369	154
156	Thomas Detry	55	368	155
157	Corey Conners	45	367	157
158	Adrian Otaegui	58	367	160
159	Ryan Blaum	56	362	153
160	Erik Van Rooyen	34	361	161
161	Paul Dunne	56	360	165
162	Troy Merritt	57	360	163
163	Soren Kjeldsen	51	358	162
164	Carlos Ortiz	19	353	297
165	Sam Saunders	58	353	158
166	Martin Kaymer	53	344	164
167	Dylan Meyer	15	342	172
168	Andrew Landry	40	338	168
169	Chris Wood	49	338	167
170	Dominic Bozzelli	48	336	173
171	Denny McCarthy	39	335	169
172	Ollie Schniederjans	57	333	171
173	Nate Lashley	30	332	174
174	DJ Trahan	14	330	176
175	Seung-yul Noh	20	330	175
176	Lucas Herbert	30	330	170
177	Anders Albertson	18	329	166
178	David Hearn	54	328	177
179	Doug Ghim	14	328	178
180	Pablo Larrazabal	48	327	179
181	Chris Paisley	49	326	182
182	David Lingmerth	54	323	180
183	Marcus Kinhult	32	320	184
184	Tom Hoge	62	317	181
185	Kelly Kraft	60	315	238
186	Jason Scrivener	57	314	185
187	Dean Burmester	50	313	183
188	Steve Marino	16	311	192
189	Brian Stuard	63	308	187
190	Robert Rock	49	305	193
191	Whee Kim	60	303	188
192	Harris English	60	303	189
193	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	303	199
194	Johnson Wagner	50	303	195
195	Darren Fichardt	43	302	190
196	Matthias Schwab	33	300	196
197	Fabrizio Zanotti	43	298	200
198	Matt Jones	55	297	202
199	Matthew Southgate	53	297	201
200	Max Homa	25	296	218
201	Robert Streb	63	295	194
202	Jorge Campillo	56	295	198
203	Shubhankar Sharma	41	295	204
204	Andrew Johnston	41	291	206
205	Robert Garrigus	54	291	197
206	Benjamin Hebert	46	290	208
207	Retief Goosen	37	288	209
208	Jim Knous	13	287	186
209	Tyler Duncan	47	285	203
210	Seamus Power	57	281	207
211	Morgan Hoffmann	31	276	191
212	Peter Malnati	58	276	219
213	Sam Horsfield	42	275	217
214	Paul Waring	47	275	216
215	Adam Schenk	47	275	211
216	Nicolas Colsaerts	57	274	212
217	Cameron Davis	20	273	205
218	John Huh	57	272	213
219	Justin Harding	20	270	215
220	Jonas Blixt	53	268	271
221	Mackenzie Hughes	56	266	214
222	Chase Wright	15	264	210
223	Aaron Rai	47	260	222
224	Boo Weekley	17	260	225
225	Hunter Mahan	55	258	221
226	Victor Perez	16	257	224
227	Padraig Harrington	45	252	226
228	Ben Crane	50	251	231
229	Kramer Hickok	18	251	220
230	Mikko Korhonen	46	249	232
231	Hideto Tanihara	48	249	229
232	Matt Every	57	248	236
233	Stephen Gallacher	51	248	233
234	Scott Hend	58	247	227
235	Alex Cejka	57	247	234
236	Chad Campbell	54	247	228
237	Tyrone van Aswegen	61	245	237
238	David Horsey	46	244	239
239	Cameron Percy	40	244	240
240	Julian Etulain	30	243	223
241	Richie Ramsay	51	242	230
242	Scott Jamieson	54	241	241
243	Roger Sloan	18	240	242
244	Ashun Wu	53	240	243
245	David Lipsky	54	240	245
246	Derek Fathauer	51	238	246
247	Brandon Stone	52	237	244
248	Matthieu Pavon	56	235	248
249	Davis Love	30	235	235
250	George Coetzee	51	234	249
251	Nacho Elvira	55	233	250
252	Jonathan Byrd	43	232	252
253	Adam Svensson	18	231	254
254	Anthony Wall	23	226	256
255	Satoshi Kodaira	35	226	247
256	Bradley Dredge	46	226	257
257	Sepp Straka	18	225	259
258	Brandon Hagy	26	224	253
259	Callum Shinkwin	42	224	251
260	Hank Lebioda	11	224	261
261	Camilo Villegas	32	223	258
262	Wade Ormsby	55	221	260
263	Seung-su Han	21	219	262
264	Roberto Castro	29	217	265
265	Martin Flores	51	215	266
266	Graeme Storm	29	214	267
267	Blayne Barber	43	213	268
268	Gaganjeet Bhullar	27	212	269
269	Adam Long	17	212	255
270	Nicholas Lindheim	52	212	272
271	Renato Paratore	55	211	270
272	Shawn Stefani	60	211	263
273	Sebastian Munoz	31	210	273
274	Maximilian Kieffer	51	210	274
275	TJ Vogel	8	208	275
276	Mikko Ilonen	37	208	276
277	Benjamin Silverman	43	204	278
278	JJ Henry	56	204	277
279	Curtis Luck	32	203	264
280	Tom Lovelady	40	201	282
281	Jason Gore	14	199	283
282	Tapio Pulkkanen	34	199	284
283	Roberto Diaz	43	199	286
284	Tag Ridings	17	195	288
285	Julien Guerrier	35	195	290
286	David Drysdale	59	195	281
287	Lee Slattery	53	195	289
288	Haydn Porteous	61	194	292
289	Wesley Bryan	46	194	279
290	Nino Bertasio	57	193	294
291	Wyndham Clark	21	193	293
292	Ricky Barnes	54	193	291
293	Gavin Green	40	192	280
294	Stephan Jaeger	47	192	287
295	Joakim Lagergren	50	191	298
296	Adri Arnaus	11	190	300
297	Daniel Summerhays	47	189	299
298	Ashley Chesters	58	186	295
299	Romain Wattel	47	186	305
300	Martin Piller	44	186	306
301	Oliver Fisher	53	185	307
302	Greg Chalmers	41	184	308
303	Jeunghun Wang	59	181	303
304	Brad Kennedy	11	181	323
305	Yi Keun Chang	12	180	285
306	Jose-Filipe Lima	28	177	309
307	Daisuke Kataoka	23	175	304
308	Si-hwan Kim	13	174	302
309	Marc Warren	52	174	312
310	Seth Reeves	18	173	301
311	Spencer Levin	24	173	310
312	Rikard Karlberg	17	171	314
313	Zac Blair	50	171	313
314	Jake McLeod	11	170	296
315	Lanto Griffin	34	167	319
316	Trevor Immelman	29	167	318
317	Ricardo Gouveia	55	166	311
318	Rick Lamb	26	165	317
319	Michael Kim	55	163	315
320	Rob Oppenheim	36	162	321
321	KH Lee	20	159	471
322	Poom Saksansin	22	157	316
323	Ernie Els	52	157	326
324	Fabian Gomez	52	157	328
325	Thomas Aiken	48	157	322
326	Andres Gonzales	20	155	325
327	Shugo Imahira	17	155	329
328	Hyun-woo Ryu	12	154	332
329	KJ Choi	33	153	320
330	Kyle Jones	14	153	445
331	John Catlin	12	153	330
332	Berry Henson	10	153	331
333	Marcus Fraser	47	152	324
334	Greg Owen	15	152	337
335	Smylie Kaufman	41	152	327
336	Joachim B Hansen	13	151	333
337	Kristoffer Broberg	12	150	334
338	Thongchai Jaidee	44	150	335
339	Henrik Norlander	10	149	339
340	Andres Romero	42	148	336
341	Austin Connelly	49	148	338
342	John Peterson	26	147	341
343	Romain Langasque	35	145	347
344	Luke Donald	30	145	340
345	Brian Campbell	21	144	346
346	Steve Wheatcroft	42	143	342
347	Tim Wilkinson	22	143	344
348	Johan Carlsson	26	142	345
349	Kyle Reifers	26	142	343
350	Brett Stegmaier	45	142	352
351	Brett Drewitt	21	138	358
352	Kalle Samooja	9	138	359
353	Sean Crocker	21	138	357
354	Matthew Nixon	37	137	348
355	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	37	136	354
356	Ryan Brehm	20	135	362
357	Sang-hyun Park	14	134	363
358	Neil Schietekat	9	134	365
359	Alex Prugh	16	134	361
360	Sang-Moon Bae	29	134	353
361	Oliver Bekker	13	133	366
362	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	40	133	364
363	Yusaku Miyazato	35	131	371
364	Richard McEvoy	33	131	356
365	Cameron Tringale	57	129	370
366	Yoshinori Fujimoto	10	129	372
367	Jacques Kruyswijk	33	129	373
368	Jonathan Randolph	49	128	367
369	Scott Vincent	35	128	401
370	Alvaro Quiros	41	128	376
371	Micah Lauren Shin	14	128	351
372	Clement Sordet	36	127	381
373	Oliver Wilson	14	127	350
374	Peter Hanson	38	126	375
375	Alejandro Canizares	40	126	377
376	Geoff Ogilvy	39	125	360
377	Tim Herron	23	125	380
378	Robert MacIntyre	9	124	406
379	Andrew Dodt	48	124	369
380	Gareth Paddison	9	123	510
381	Jamie Donaldson	43	123	379
382	Jarryd Felton	11	123	355
383	Yuta Ikeda	33	121	409
384	Ethan Tracy	31	120	386
385	Thomas Bjorn	39	119	387
386	Stuart Appleby	34	119	388
387	Paul Peterson	44	119	378
388	Justin Walters	53	118	385
389	Gregory Havret	52	118	389
390	Prayad Marksaeng	13	118	392
391	Brendan Jones	10	117	395
392	Ben Evans	31	117	410
393	Bryce Molder	16	117	391
394	Panuphol Pittayarat	17	117	438
395	Robert Karlsson	44	116	396
396	Vijay Singh	26	116	368
397	Jazz Janewattananond	31	116	421
398	Kyung-tae Kim	13	116	390
399	Adam Bland	33	116	382
400	Will MacKenzie	11	115	393
More \| Less

A Look at the Genesis Open

February 12, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

There are a few instances around the PGA Tour where a certain player flourishes on a given course with strong finishes year after year, and we have one of those instances potentially recurring this week. The event is the Genesis Open at beautiful Riviera Country Club and the player is Dustin Johnson, a solid favorite. Johnson has played the event 11 times, and how about this performance summary: One win (2017), two seconds, a third, two fourths, another top-10, a top-20 (last year), a made cut, and missed cuts in 2011 and 2013.

This event annually draws the strongest field of any event in the pre-Florida segment of the PGA Tour, and 2019 is no exception. The field includes five of the top 10 in the Hawley Ratings, everyone ranked from 11 through 20, and 32 of the top 50. As noted by foxsports.com, the field includes 21 winners of majors, with a combined total of 50 majors won, and 87 Tour event winners who have amassed 516 PGA Tour titles.

Beyond Johnson, here are another half-dozen, in alphabetical order, who would be no surprise at all to Read more

Genesis Open

February 11, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	10.7	9
2	Justin Thomas	15.3	2
3	Tiger Woods	23.4	15
4	Jon Rahm	24.3	9
5	Patrick Cantlay	24.7	15
6	Rory McIlroy	26.8	4
7	Phil Mickelson	30.8	37
8	Tony Finau	32.3	15
9	Bryson DeChambeau	33.5	15
10	Xander Schauffele	34.3	15
11	Louis Oosthuizen	35.4	101
12	Hideki Matsuyama	35.4	9
13	Tommy Fleetwood	36.8	28
14	Bubba Watson	37.0	15
15	Paul Casey	37.1	25
16	Matt Kuchar	37.5	28
17	Cameron Smith	38.5	49
18	Marc Leishman	39.6	4
19	Chez Reavie	41.5	137
20	Rafa Cabrera Bello	42.1	25
21	Adam Scott	42.1	7
22	Adam Hadwin	42.5	75
23	Tyrrell Hatton	42.8	101
24	Jordan Spieth	43.7	51
25	Charles Howell	45.7	6
26	Jason Kokrak	46.9	37
27	Sergio Garcia	50.7	37
28	Branden Grace	51.4	117
29	Harold Varner	51.8	101
30	Keegan Bradley	52.3	51
31	Michael Thompson	53.3	7
32	Kyle Stanley	53.3	101
33	Si Woo Kim	53.7	3
34	Andrew Putnam	54.3	126
35	Kevin Na	54.3	33
36	Ryan Moore	54.9	28
37	Abraham Ancer	55.0	44
38	Luke List	55.8	15
39	Bud Cauley	56.2	88
40	Sungjae Im	56.6	101
41	Joel Dahmen	56.8	101
42	Charley Hoffman	56.9	101
43	JB Holmes	58.5	1
44	JT Poston	58.8	28
45	Brian Gay	58.9	60
46	Aaron Wise	59.4	88
47	Kevin Tway	59.5	77
48	Sung Kang	59.5	64
49	CT Pan	59.6	44
50	Danny Lee	59.6	101
51	Jim Furyk	59.9	37
52	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	60.2	77
53	Kevin Streelman	60.5	126
54	Martin Laird	60.7	140
55	Steve Stricker	60.8	DNP
56	Pat Perez	61.0	56
57	Brian Harman	61.4	51
58	Beau Hossler	61.6	15
59	Jimmy Walker	61.6	74
60	Chris Stroud	62.1	88
61	Trey Mullinax	62.1	DNP
62	Scott Langley	62.2	37
63	Russell Henley	62.3	44
64	JJ Spaun	62.7	88
65	Danny Willett	63.1	33
66	Peter Uihlein	63.2	60
67	Joaquin Niemann	64.0	44
68	Anirban Lahiri	64.3	140
69	Jhonattan Vegas	64.4	117
70	Sam Ryder	64.6	56
71	Scott Brown	64.7	37
72	Keith Mitchell	64.7	101
73	Dylan Frittelli	64.8	28
74	Scott Stallings	64.9	101
75	Jason Dufner	65.0	101
76	Charl Schwartzel	65.1	144
77	Ryan Armour	65.4	101
78	Nick Taylor	65.5	33
79	Brendan Steele	65.5	126
80	Patrick Rodgers	65.6	15
81	Denny McCarthy	65.7	117
82	Vaughn Taylor	65.9	9
83	Cameron Champ	66.2	117
84	Sam Burns	66.4	132
85	James Hahn	66.5	DNP
86	Ted Potter	66.5	64
87	Brandon Harkins	66.6	139
88	Brian Stuard	66.7	60
89	Bill Haas	67.0	51
90	Bronson Burgoon	67.0	77
91	Hudson Swafford	67.0	132
92	Sam Saunders	68.0	88
93	Martin Kaymer	68.0	60
94	Andrew Landry	68.9	77
95	Ryan Blaum	69.2	77
96	Robert Streb	69.3	77
97	Peter Malnati	69.4	44
98	Tyler Duncan	69.5	132
99	Anders Albertson	69.6	101
100	Harris English	69.6	88
101	Adam Schenk	69.7	88
102	Julian Etulain	69.7	101
103	Grayson Murray	69.9	88
104	Hunter Mahan	70.0	137
105	Adam Svensson	70.2	DNP
106	Mackenzie Hughes	70.4	88
107	Ollie Schniederjans	70.4	88
108	Whee Kim	70.5	143
109	Cameron Davis	70.5	77
110	Ernie Els	70.6	56
111	Davis Love	70.6	70
112	Tom Hoge	70.7	117
113	Morgan Hoffmann	71.1	117
114	John Huh	71.2	77
115	Kramer Hickok	71.5	64
116	Seamus Power	71.6	64
117	Adam Long	71.6	88
118	Jim Knous	71.7	77
119	Jonas Blixt	71.8	15
120	Alex Cejka	71.8	51
121	Wyndham Clark	71.8	DNP
122	Carlos Ortiz	72.0	9
123	Chase Wright	72.2	77
124	Hank Lebioda	72.2	DNP
125	Shawn Stefani	72.4	64
126	Satoshi Kodaira	72.8	132
127	Kelly Kraft	73.1	9
128	Stephan Jaeger	73.3	70
129	Alex Prugh	73.8	DNP
130	Michael Kim	74.1	117
131	KJ Choi	74.2	117
132	Fabian Gomez	74.2	DNP
133	Seth Reeves	74.2	77
134	Sang-Moon Bae	74.4	101
135	Cody Gribble	75.2	76
136	DA Points	75.7	132
137	Vijay Singh	76.2	88
138	KH Lee	76.4	25
139	Kyle Jones	76.6	33
140	Rod Pampling	76.7	126
141	John Senden	76.7	88
142	Freddie Jacobson	77.2	56
143	Fred Couples	78.9	101
144	Tae-hee Lee	81.7	70
145	Kenny Perry	81.9	DNP
146	Michael Block	82.1	140
147	Tim O’Neal	82.1	126
	Max Homa	late entry	38
	Aaron Baddeley	late entry	49
	Robert Garrigus	late entry	64
	Richard Lee	late entry	73
	Curtis Luck	late entry	118
	Lukas Euler	late entry	126
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 264. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

ISPS Handa World Super 6 Perth

February 11, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Jason Scrivener

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jason Scrivener	49.1	26
2	Thomas Pieters	50.9	11
3	Tom Lewis	57.1	63
4	Ryan Fox	58.9	1
5	Lucas Herbert	62.2	121
6	Wade Ormsby	65.4	20
7	Chris Wood	67.7	95
8	Justin Harding	67.7	26
9	Andrew Johnston	68.4	DNP
10	Marcus Fraser	68.6	68
11	Adrian Otaegui	68.8	2
12	Nicolas Colsaerts	69.4	47
13	Scott Hend	69.7	34
14	Gaganjeet Bhullar	69.8	DNP
15	Paul Dunne	70.0	3
16	Jorge Campillo	70.5	34
17	David Drysdale	70.7	143
18	Gavin Green	71.0	95
19	Callum Shinkwin	71.7	72
20	Matthew Nixon	72.1	95
21	James Morrison	72.1	133
22	Ashley Chesters	72.1	121
23	Ricardo Gouveia	72.2	133
24	Richie Ramsay	72.3	149
25	Adam Bland	72.4	95
26	Jake McLeod	72.8	60
27	Gregory Bourdy	72.9	20
28	Andrew Dodt	73.2	60
29	Yi Keun Chang	73.3	47
30	Thomas Aiken	73.4	72
31	Richard McEvoy	73.5	55
32	Phachara Khongwatmai	73.6	DNP
33	Matthew Millar	73.7	121
34	Brad Kennedy	73.8	10
35	Niklas Lemke	73.8	149
36	Ryan Evans	74.0	DNP
37	Nick Cullen	74.0	79
38	Jason Norris	74.0	133
39	Jeunghun Wang	74.0	60
40	Si-hwan Kim	74.2	41
41	Austin Connelly	74.2	26
42	Clement Sordet	74.3	17
43	Jazz Janewattananond	74.4	13
44	Nick Flanagan	74.6	41
45	Scott Vincent	75.0	4
46	David Bransdon	75.0	63
47	Gareth Paddison	75.1	6
48	Paul Peterson	75.3	154
49	Adrien Saddier	75.4	55
50	Poom Saksansin	75.5	133
51	Yuta Ikeda	75.5	11
52	Oliver Wilson	75.5	121
53	Jin Choi	75.5	121
54	Daisuke Kataoka	75.5	95
55	Ross McGowan	75.5	DNP
56	Matthew Griffin	75.8	34
57	Connor Syme	75.8	15
58	Jarryd Felton	75.9	149
59	Nicolas Geyger	76.0	DNP
60	Matteo Manassero	76.1	95
61	Berry Henson	76.1	26
62	SSP Chawrasia	76.6	41
63	Micah Lauren Shin	76.6	79
64	Ben Eccles	76.7	121
65	Matt Stieger	76.7	143
66	Prom Meesawat	76.7	55
67	James Nitties	76.9	68
68	Masahiro Kawamura	77.0	143
69	Stephen Leaney	77.0	95
70	Steven Jeffress	77.1	20
71	Dimitrios Papadatos	77.1	79
72	Gavin Moynihan	77.2	121
73	Geoff Ogilvy	77.4	143
74	Robert MacIntyre	77.4	20
75	Jarin Todd	77.7	149
76	Ajeetesh Sandhu	77.8	72
77	Richard Green	77.8	95
78	Terry Pilkadaris	77.9	41
79	Kim Koivu	77.9	95
80	David Law	78.0	68
81	Panuphol Pittayarat	78.0	15
82	Ben Evans	78.0	17
83	Mark Brown	78.0	72
84	Adilson da Silva	78.3	79
85	Shiv Kapur	78.4	26
86	Grant Forrest	78.5	47
87	Kurt Kitayama	78.8	121
88	Deyen Lawson	78.8	26
89	Max Orrin	78.9	79
90	Max Schmitt	79.0	133
91	Stuart Manley	79.0	95
92	Bernd Ritthammer	79.1	34
93	Michael Sim	79.1	DNP
94	Liam Johnston	79.1	72
95	Matt Jager	79.1	13
96	Daniel Fox	79.3	26
97	Michael Hendry	79.3	47
98	Robert Allenby	79.4	79
99	Michael Hoey	79.4	47
100	Khalin Joshi	79.4	95
101	Max McCardle	79.4	34
102	Darren Beck	79.4	47
103	Miguel Tabuena	79.5	41
104	S Chikarangappa	79.6	95
105	Callan O’Reilly	79.7	34
106	Hyo-won Park	79.8	121
107	Anton Karlsson	79.8	67
108	Tom Murray	79.9	20
109	Sebastian Soderberg	80.0	95
110	Jordan Zunic	80.0	26
111	Anthony Quayle	80.0	63
112	Danthai Boonma	80.2	68
113	Jack Wilson	80.3	133
114	Nicholas Fung	80.3	95
115	Johannes Veerman	80.4	95
116	Louis de Jager	80.5	121
117	Shih-chang Chan	80.6	79
118	Andrew Martin	80.6	20
119	Josh Younger	80.6	47
120	Harrison Endycott	80.7	47
121	Viraj Madappa	80.9	121
122	Michael Wright	80.9	72
123	Rattanon Wannasrichan	80.9	154
124	Ben Campbell	80.9	8
125	Daniel Nisbet	80.9	79
126	Peter Lonard	81.0	34
127	Michael Long	81.1	95
128	Espen Kofstad	81.1	79
129	Zach Murray	81.1	41
130	Pedro Figueiredo	81.2	95
131	Malcolm Kokocinski	81.3	154
132	Damien Jordan	81.3	95
133	Kristoffer Reitan	81.4	5
134	Nick Voke	81.4	95
135	Cameron John	81.5	79
136	Hugo Leon	81.5	95
137	Blake Proverbs	81.7	143
138	Peter O’Malley	81.8	133
139	Maverick Antcliff	81.8	95
140	Daniel Gale	81.9	17
141	Cory Crawford	81.9	55
142	Simon Hawkes	81.9	79
143	Nick O’Hern	82.0	79
144	Guido Migliozzi	82.0	79
145	Aaron Pike	82.0	95
146	Scott Gregory	82.0	95
147	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	82.0	79
148	Daniel Gavins	82.0	63
149	Dylan Perry	82.0	121
150	Ewen Ferguson	82.0	149
151	Marco Iten	82.1	DNP
152	Joel Girrbach	82.1	143
153	David Borda Antonana	82.1	95
154	Peter Fowler	82.1	55
155	Austen Truslow	82.1	79
156	Ryan Chisnall	82.1	72
157	David Smail	82.1	133
158	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	82.1	133
159	Per Langfors	82.1	9
160	Filippo Bergamaschi	82.1	95
161	Minkyu Kim	82.1	DNP
162	Minchel Choi	82.1	95
	Min Woo Lee	late entry	7
	James Marchesani	late entry	84
	Suradit Yongcharoenchai	late entry	139
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 38. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Feb. 11, 2019)

February 11, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Justin Thomas remains no. 1 for a third straight week.

#	Thru Feb. 10, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Justin Thomas	51	1765	1
2	Dustin Johnson	45	1636	2
3	Rickie Fowler	48	1608	3
4	Justin Rose	50	1607	4
5	Jason Day	44	1556	6
6	Tiger Woods	22	1518	5
7	Brooks Koepka	46	1501	7
8	Webb Simpson	50	1449	9
9	Patrick Cantlay	41	1448	8
10	Jon Rahm	52	1415	10
11	Paul Casey	48	1403	13
12	Tony Finau	58	1368	11
13	Rory McIlroy	45	1360	12
14	Tommy Fleetwood	58	1280	14
15	Phil Mickelson	47	1274	16
16	Jordan Spieth	50	1222	15
17	Xander Schauffele	54	1203	17
18	Louis Oosthuizen	43	1193	18
19	Hideki Matsuyama	48	1161	19
20	Bryson DeChambeau	58	1160	20
21	Marc Leishman	53	1135	21
22	Patrick Reed	65	1132	23
23	Francesco Molinari	49	1132	22
24	Matt Kuchar	60	1120	24
25	Rafa Cabrera Bello	60	1048	26
26	Alex Noren	48	1042	27
27	Henrik Stenson	46	1041	28
28	Cameron Smith	52	1030	30
29	Gary Woodland	57	1030	29
30	Tyrrell Hatton	54	1018	31
31	Adam Scott	44	1008	25
32	Ian Poulter	60	1004	33
33	Chez Reavie	56	989	32
34	Zach Johnson	50	929	34
35	Adam Hadwin	54	903	36
36	Charles Howell	51	897	35
37	Bubba Watson	50	881	37
38	Emiliano Grillo	56	867	38
39	Kyle Stanley	56	861	39
40	Kevin Chappell	50	829	40
41	Daniel Berger	49	813	41
42	Branden Grace	55	809	43
43	Billy Horschel	57	808	42
44	Sergio Garcia	49	803	44
45	Ryan Moore	47	794	45
46	Keegan Bradley	56	782	48
47	Luke List	58	780	49
48	Kevin Kisner	57	779	46
49	Charley Hoffman	59	752	47
50	Scott Piercy	48	751	62
51	Brian Harman	55	749	53
52	Lucas Glover	48	746	65
53	Byeong Hun An	58	741	54
54	Jason Kokrak	54	731	55
55	Chesson Hadley	49	730	52
56	Bud Cauley	44	729	56
57	Pat Perez	53	725	50
58	Ryan Palmer	44	718	51
59	Kevin Na	51	714	58
60	Thomas Pieters	51	705	60
61	Graham DeLaet	21	702	59
62	Aaron Wise	37	692	64
63	Sungjae Im	19	680	57
64	Shane Lowry	56	677	63
65	Stewart Cink	49	673	66
66	Haotong Li	53	671	69
67	Brandt Snedeker	46	668	61
68	Abraham Ancer	44	658	70
69	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56	655	67
70	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	57	652	72
71	Thorbjorn Olesen	53	647	73
72	Andrew Putnam	41	644	71
73	Russell Knox	64	643	79
74	Si Woo Kim	62	639	80
75	Jamie Lovemark	51	637	74
76	Steve Stricker	28	629	68
77	Joaquin Niemann	23	616	77
78	Harold Varner	63	612	78
79	JB Holmes	50	607	75
80	Russell Henley	52	600	76
81	Kevin Streelman	52	597	92
82	Brian Gay	57	582	95
83	Peter Uihlein	59	580	82
84	CT Pan	59	572	84
85	Jason Dufner	53	570	83
86	Michael Thompson	43	569	100
87	Lee Westwood	45	563	85
88	Danny Lee	61	560	86
89	Kevin Tway	57	558	87
90	Jimmy Walker	44	555	81
91	Beau Hossler	46	541	88
92	JJ Spaun	57	539	89
93	Charl Schwartzel	52	537	91
94	Jim Furyk	33	536	114
95	Brendan Steele	48	527	94
96	Martin Laird	50	523	90
97	Anirban Lahiri	53	520	96
98	Austin Cook	39	513	93
99	Joost Luiten	42	513	98
100	Eddie Pepperell	46	509	97
101	Joel Dahmen	53	507	99
102	Chris Kirk	57	490	103
103	Julian Suri	43	490	101
104	Patton Kizzire	58	486	105
105	Jhonattan Vegas	58	479	104
106	Cameron Champ	22	479	115
107	Patrick Rodgers	57	475	102
108	Ross Fisher	51	473	107
109	Alexander Bjork	55	472	110
110	Graeme McDowell	55	471	123
111	Keith Mitchell	42	460	106
112	Rory Sabbatini	51	459	108
113	Nick Watney	52	454	109
114	Ryan Armour	58	453	111
115	Ryan Fox	54	452	112
116	Dylan Frittelli	64	452	113
117	Scott Langley	17	449	207
118	Tom Lewis	40	445	120
119	Andrea Pavan	37	445	118
120	Matt Wallace	58	444	121
121	Sung Kang	59	443	136
122	Andy Sullivan	51	442	119
123	JT Poston	53	439	125
124	Vaughn Taylor	52	438	116
125	James Hahn	54	433	117
126	Brice Garnett	45	426	124
127	William McGirt	47	424	128
128	Scott Brown	61	423	122
129	Bill Haas	51	421	126
130	Bronson Burgoon	35	421	129
131	Sam Burns	24	420	131
132	Scott Stallings	59	418	171
133	Jordan Smith	54	414	133
134	Talor Gooch	44	414	127
135	Lucas Bjerregaard	55	410	135
136	Trey Mullinax	56	409	148
137	Victor Dubuisson	21	407	140
138	Bernd Wiesberger	38	407	134
139	Alexander Levy	51	405	138
140	Brandon Harkins	44	404	146
141	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	46	403	142
142	Sean O’Hair	52	403	130
143	John Oda	12	403	141
144	Ted Potter	42	400	132
145	Sam Ryder	40	399	143
146	Hudson Swafford	50	393	144
147	Chase Seiffert	8	393	147
148	Richy Werenski	59	392	137
149	Chris Stroud	53	392	176
150	Aaron Baddeley	49	388	139
151	Grayson Murray	52	383	145
152	Richard Sterne	49	379	150
153	Ryan Blaum	56	372	154
154	Ben Martin	39	371	153
155	Thomas Detry	55	367	158
156	Nick Taylor	60	367	166
157	Corey Conners	45	365	151
158	Sam Saunders	57	365	159
159	Danny Willett	46	365	157
160	Adrian Otaegui	57	362	152
161	Erik Van Rooyen	35	362	161
162	Soren Kjeldsen	52	362	162
163	Troy Merritt	57	358	165
164	Martin Kaymer	53	358	163
165	Paul Dunne	55	355	164
166	Anders Albertson	17	353	149
167	Chris Wood	48	353	155
168	Andrew Landry	39	349	169
169	Denny McCarthy	38	349	168
170	Lucas Herbert	29	347	160
171	Ollie Schniederjans	57	343	172
172	Dylan Meyer	15	340	177
173	Dominic Bozzelli	49	335	170
174	Nate Lashley	30	333	178
175	Seung-yul Noh	21	330	175
176	DJ Trahan	14	330	275
177	David Hearn	55	330	173
178	Doug Ghim	14	329	156
179	Pablo Larrazabal	48	327	180
180	David Lingmerth	55	326	174
181	Tom Hoge	61	325	179
182	Chris Paisley	49	324	182
183	Dean Burmester	50	320	183
184	Marcus Kinhult	33	319	184
185	Jason Scrivener	56	318	187
186	Jim Knous	12	317	167
187	Brian Stuard	63	315	186
188	Whee Kim	60	313	181
189	Harris English	60	311	191
190	Darren Fichardt	43	311	193
191	Morgan Hoffmann	31	311	185
192	Steve Marino	16	310	198
193	Robert Rock	49	305	197
194	Robert Streb	63	304	195
195	Johnson Wagner	51	302	192
196	Matthias Schwab	33	301	200
197	Robert Garrigus	54	301	189
198	Jorge Campillo	55	299	194
199	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	299	203
200	Fabrizio Zanotti	43	298	202
201	Matthew Southgate	53	297	201
202	Matt Jones	55	297	199
203	Tyler Duncan	46	295	219
204	Shubhankar Sharma	42	294	206
205	Cameron Davis	19	293	190
206	Andrew Johnston	41	292	196
207	Seamus Power	57	290	208
208	Benjamin Hebert	46	290	209
209	Retief Goosen	38	286	212
210	Chase Wright	14	285	188
211	Adam Schenk	46	284	211
212	Nicolas Colsaerts	56	281	214
213	John Huh	57	280	210
214	Mackenzie Hughes	56	280	205
215	Justin Harding	20	276	218
216	Paul Waring	47	274	217
217	Sam Horsfield	43	274	216
218	Max Homa	24	273	340
219	Peter Malnati	58	273	213
220	Kramer Hickok	17	272	204
221	Hunter Mahan	54	267	215
222	Aaron Rai	48	260	223
223	Julian Etulain	29	259	234
224	Victor Perez	17	258	224
225	Boo Weekley	18	257	230
226	Padraig Harrington	46	254	228
227	Scott Hend	57	253	222
228	Chad Campbell	55	252	220
229	Hideto Tanihara	48	252	229
230	Richie Ramsay	50	251	233
231	Ben Crane	51	250	226
232	Mikko Korhonen	47	249	237
233	Stephen Gallacher	51	248	235
234	Alex Cejka	57	248	227
235	Davis Love	29	248	221
236	Matt Every	58	247	289
237	Tyrone van Aswegen	62	246	232
238	Kelly Kraft	60	245	231
239	David Horsey	46	244	242
240	Cameron Percy	41	244	240
241	Scott Jamieson	54	242	243
242	Roger Sloan	18	241	225
243	Ashun Wu	54	240	245
244	Brandon Stone	52	240	244
245	David Lipsky	54	239	246
246	Derek Fathauer	52	236	239
247	Satoshi Kodaira	34	235	249
248	Matthieu Pavon	56	234	248
249	George Coetzee	52	233	250
250	Nacho Elvira	55	233	251
251	Callum Shinkwin	41	233	253
252	Jonathan Byrd	43	232	286
253	Brandon Hagy	27	232	247
254	Adam Svensson	18	231	236
255	Adam Long	16	229	238
256	Anthony Wall	23	229	252
257	Bradley Dredge	46	226	256
258	Camilo Villegas	33	225	255
259	Sepp Straka	18	223	241
260	Wade Ormsby	54	221	266
261	Hank Lebioda	11	221	290
262	Seung-su Han	21	217	260
263	Shawn Stefani	60	217	264
264	Curtis Luck	31	216	305
265	Roberto Castro	29	216	259
266	Martin Flores	52	215	262
267	Graeme Storm	29	215	265
268	Blayne Barber	44	214	263
269	Gaganjeet Bhullar	27	213	268
270	Renato Paratore	55	212	267
271	Jonas Blixt	53	211	274
272	Nicholas Lindheim	52	211	270
273	Sebastian Munoz	31	210	257
274	Maximilian Kieffer	51	209	271
275	TJ Vogel	8	208	273
276	Mikko Ilonen	37	207	272
277	JJ Henry	57	205	261
278	Benjamin Silverman	43	204	281
279	Wesley Bryan	47	201	269
280	Gavin Green	39	201	279
281	David Drysdale	59	201	287
282	Tom Lovelady	40	200	309
283	Jason Gore	14	200	254
284	Tapio Pulkkanen	35	199	283
285	Yi Keun Chang	11	199	285
286	Roberto Diaz	43	198	329
287	Stephan Jaeger	46	198	276
288	Tag Ridings	17	197	284
289	Lee Slattery	53	195	288
290	Julien Guerrier	35	195	291
291	Ricky Barnes	55	195	277
292	Haydn Porteous	62	194	292
293	Wyndham Clark	21	192	278
294	Nino Bertasio	57	192	295
295	Ashley Chesters	58	192	297
296	Jake McLeod	10	192	258
297	Carlos Ortiz	18	191	299
298	Joakim Lagergren	50	191	298
299	Daniel Summerhays	48	191	293
300	Adri Arnaus	12	189	300
301	Seth Reeves	17	188	280
302	Si-hwan Kim	12	187	282
303	Jeunghun Wang	58	186	294
304	Daisuke Kataoka	22	186	301
305	Romain Wattel	47	185	302
306	Martin Piller	44	185	296
307	Oliver Fisher	53	185	303
308	Greg Chalmers	42	184	304
309	Jose-Filipe Lima	29	175	312
310	Spencer Levin	25	174	308
311	Ricardo Gouveia	54	173	306
312	Marc Warren	52	173	314
313	Zac Blair	51	173	310
314	Rikard Karlberg	17	172	311
315	Michael Kim	55	170	307
316	Poom Saksansin	21	169	316
317	Rick Lamb	26	168	313
318	Trevor Immelman	29	167	317
319	Lanto Griffin	34	167	318
320	KJ Choi	32	163	319
321	Rob Oppenheim	36	162	322
322	Thomas Aiken	48	162	320
323	Brad Kennedy	10	160	382
324	Marcus Fraser	46	158	326
325	Andres Gonzales	21	158	324
326	Ernie Els	52	158	363
327	Smylie Kaufman	42	157	321
328	Fabian Gomez	53	157	323
329	Shugo Imahira	17	154	328
330	John Catlin	12	154	315
331	Berry Henson	9	153	332
332	Hyun-woo Ryu	12	153	331
333	Joachim B Hansen	14	152	336
334	Kristoffer Broberg	12	151	333
335	Thongchai Jaidee	44	151	335
336	Andres Romero	42	150	334
337	Greg Owen	15	150	338
338	Austin Connelly	48	149	327
339	Henrik Norlander	10	149	337
340	Luke Donald	31	148	330
341	John Peterson	27	145	341
342	Steve Wheatcroft	42	144	342
343	Kyle Reifers	27	144	343
344	Tim Wilkinson	23	144	344
345	Johan Carlsson	26	144	345
346	Brian Campbell	21	144	348
347	Romain Langasque	36	143	349
348	Matthew Nixon	37	143	347
349	Oscar Lengden	8	143	352
350	Oliver Wilson	13	142	325
351	Micah Lauren Shin	13	142	353
352	Brett Stegmaier	46	141	350
353	Sang-Moon Bae	28	141	339
354	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	37	140	354
355	Jarryd Felton	10	139	389
356	Richard McEvoy	33	137	346
357	Sean Crocker	21	137	356
358	Brett Drewitt	22	137	357
359	Kalle Samooja	10	136	355
360	Geoff Ogilvy	38	136	351
361	Alex Prugh	16	135	358
362	Ryan Brehm	21	134	360
363	Sang-hyun Park	14	134	361
364	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	40	133	362
365	Neil Schietekat	10	133	367
366	Oliver Bekker	14	132	368
367	Jonathan Randolph	49	131	365
368	Vijay Singh	25	130	366
369	Andrew Dodt	47	130	359
370	Cameron Tringale	58	130	364
371	Yusaku Miyazato	35	130	369
372	Yoshinori Fujimoto	10	129	370
373	Jacques Kruyswijk	34	128	375
374	Bryce Easton	8	128	377
375	Peter Hanson	38	127	373
376	Alvaro Quiros	41	127	376
377	Alejandro Canizares	40	125	378
378	Paul Peterson	44	124	380
379	Jamie Donaldson	43	124	379
380	Tim Herron	23	123	384
381	Clement Sordet	35	122	409
382	Adam Bland	32	121	374
383	Masahiro Kawamura	20	121	371
384	Gavin Moynihan	21	121	383
385	Justin Walters	53	119	387
386	Ethan Tracy	31	119	390
387	Thomas Bjorn	39	119	388
388	Stuart Appleby	34	119	392
389	Gregory Havret	52	118	393
390	Kyung-tae Kim	13	118	385
391	Bryce Molder	16	117	395
392	Prayad Marksaeng	13	117	396
393	Will MacKenzie	12	117	391
394	Cody Gribble	52	117	394
395	Brendan Jones	10	117	397
396	Robert Karlsson	44	116	401
397	Matthew Baldwin	26	115	402
398	Chris Hanson	51	115	406
399	Phachara Khongwatmai	54	114	404
400	Adrien Saddier	37	114	386
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A Look at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

February 5, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

If it weren’t for the small matters of an 8000-mile trip from Riyadh, Saudi Arabia to San Francisco, the 18 hours or so that it takes to fly it, and the 11 time zones that are flown over in the process, it would be fairly straightforward to name a favorite in this week’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. That’s Dustin Johnson, recent no. 1 in the world ratings and winner of the inaugural Saudi International just a few days ago.

Then you think about the wear and tear on a guy’s body in doing that kind of travel, and consider that the field on the Monterey Peninsula will be about twice as tough as the one Johnson faced in the Middle East, you think about a bit of history, and you tend to start scanning the entries list .. oh yeah, Jason Day, Patrick Cantlay, Phil Mickelson, Tony Finau. And so forth.

Both Johnson and Day, the top two picks, have seen their Hawley Ratings number start to trend downward lately. Not that Johnson hasn’t been playing well. But he hasn’t played a full-field PGA Tour event since the PGA last August. He has five top-10s in 10 appearances since then but all were against smaller and/ or weaker fields, and that’s not Read more

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