A Look at Golf – Page 82 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

February 4, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	4.2	45
2	Jason Day	12.7	4
3	Patrick Cantlay	24.4	DNP
4	Phil Mickelson	28.8	1
5	Tony Finau	30.9	38
6	Tommy Fleetwood	33.0	45
7	Adam Scott	36.7	61
8	Jordan Spieth	38.2	45
9	Patrick Reed	38.8	22
10	Chez Reavie	39.9	38
11	Paul Casey	40.3	2
12	Matt Kuchar	40.7	22
13	Rafa Cabrera Bello	43.9	22
14	Adam Hadwin	45.9	18
15	Jason Kokrak	47.3	DNP
16	Brandt Snedeker	47.5	110
17	Shane Lowry	49.5	82
18	Lucas Glover	52.0	7
19	Ryan Palmer	53.0	110
20	Sungjae Im	53.0	101
21	JB Holmes	53.1	138
22	Kyle Stanley	53.2	DNP
23	Branden Grace	53.5	28
24	Andrew Putnam	54.2	38
25	Jimmy Walker	54.3	110
26	Charley Hoffman	54.4	61
27	Russell Knox	55.8	14
28	Scott Piercy	56.2	10
29	Joel Dahmen	56.5	DNP
30	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56.6	101
31	Kevin Na	57.0	DNP
32	Kevin Kisner	57.4	28
33	Pat Perez	58.0	110
34	Steve Stricker	58.1	61
35	Chesson Hadley	58.2	138
36	Si Woo Kim	58.8	4
37	Michael Thompson	59.9	10
38	Jim Furyk	60.2	14
39	Nick Watney	60.2	91
40	Talor Gooch	60.5	82
41	Austin Cook	60.6	61
42	Beau Hossler	60.7	82
43	Russell Henley	61.0	101
44	Kevin Streelman	61.0	7
45	Ryan Armour	61.1	101
46	JJ Spaun	61.3	110
47	Brian Gay	61.4	7
48	Martin Laird	61.8	61
49	Graeme McDowell	61.8	18
50	Vaughn Taylor	62.1	71
51	Patrick Rodgers	63.1	110
52	Peter Uihlein	63.2	DNP
53	Keith Mitchell	63.3	71
54	Dylan Frittelli	63.3	110
55	Matt Jones	63.7	53
56	Scott Brown	63.8	82
57	Brice Garnett	64.0	131
58	Trey Mullinax	64.0	22
59	Ted Potter	64.1	147
60	Nate Lashley	64.1	45
61	Dominic Bozzelli	64.1	61
62	Sung Kang	64.1	14
63	Chris Kirk	64.7	DNP
64	Corey Conners	65.2	110
65	Rory Sabbatini	65.6	71
66	Charl Schwartzel	65.9	DNP
67	Richy Werenski	66.1	82
68	Sean O’Hair	66.3	WD
69	Nick Taylor	66.4	28
70	David Hearn	66.5	143
71	Aaron Baddeley	66.6	91
72	Hunter Mahan	66.9	91
73	Cameron Champ	67.1	28
74	Brian Stuard	67.4	45
75	Anders Albertson	67.5	91
76	James Hahn	67.5	101
77	Scott Langley	67.7	6
78	Chris Stroud	67.7	10
79	Scott Stallings	68.2	3
80	Brandon Harkins	68.3	28
81	Bill Haas	68.5	DNP
82	Grayson Murray	68.9	71
83	Peter Malnati	69.0	131
84	Sam Saunders	69.1	38
85	Robert Streb	69.2	DNP
86	Jerry Kelly	69.2	143
87	Johnson Wagner	69.3	57
88	David Lingmerth	69.6	125
89	Roger Sloan	69.8	152
90	Mackenzie Hughes	69.9	82
91	Davis Love	69.9	120
92	Adam Schenk	69.9	45
93	Adam Svensson	70.1	110
94	Tom Hoge	70.2	91
95	Cameron Davis	70.3	59
96	Whee Kim	70.3	71
97	Robert Garrigus	70.4	142
98	Doug Ghim	70.6	71
99	Julian Etulain	70.7	38
100	Alex Cejka	70.7	125
101	Jim Knous	71.0	152
102	Matt Every	71.0	14
103	Morgan Hoffmann	71.0	DNP
104	John Huh	71.0	120
105	Tyler Duncan	71.1	22
106	DJ Trahan	71.1	18
107	Kramer Hickok	71.1	147
108	Kelly Kraft	71.1	110
109	Adam Long	71.3	71
110	Derek Fathauer	71.4	131
111	Roberto Castro	71.6	53
112	Chase Wright	71.6	143
113	Sebastian Munoz	71.7	91
114	Chad Campbell	71.7	91
115	Wyndham Clark	71.7	61
116	Sepp Straka	71.8	143
117	Jonathan Byrd	71.8	22
118	Jonas Blixt	71.9	38
119	Ben Crane	72.0	135
120	Jason Gore	72.3	101
121	Carlos Ortiz	72.5	DNP
122	Hank Lebioda	72.5	38
123	Ricky Barnes	72.7	82
124	Ernie Els	72.7	28
125	Tyrone van Aswegen	72.9	101
126	Stephan Jaeger	72.9	71
127	JJ Henry	73.0	120
128	Benjamin Silverman	73.3	45
129	Roberto Diaz	73.4	18
130	Fabian Gomez	73.5	61
131	Martin Piller	73.8	135
132	Tom Lovelady	73.8	28
133	Michael Kim	73.9	82
134	Seth Reeves	73.9	101
135	Curtis Luck	73.9	28
136	Max Homa	74.1	10
137	Alex Prugh	74.1	53
138	Sang-Moon Bae	74.2	61
139	Andres Romero	74.2	DNP
140	Cameron Tringale	74.8	53
141	DA Points	75.2	125
142	Cody Gribble	75.2	59
143	Wes Roach	75.2	71
144	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	75.3	91
145	Chad Collins	75.5	91
146	Kyle Jones	75.7	120
147	Josh Teater	75.8	45
148	KH Lee	76.2	120
149	Rod Pampling	76.4	138
150	John Senden	76.5	61
151	Freddie Jacobson	76.6	71
152	Vijay Singh	77.3	DNP
153	Chris Thompson	77.4	135
154	John Chin	77.5	147
155	Ho-sung Choi	77.7	138
156	Martin Trainer	77.9	28
157	Joey Garber	78.0	125
158	Brady Schnell	78.1	28
159	Ryan Ruffels	79.7	71
160	Dru Love	80.0	147
161	David Duval	81.5	125
162	Colt Knost	81.7	DNP
163	Kenny Perry	81.9	82
164	Broc Everett	82.1	101
165	Steve Jones	82.1	155
166	Jason Schmuhl	82.1	152
	John Rollins	late entry	58
	Brendon Todd	late entry	95
	Brian Davis	late entry	130
	Parker McLachlin	late entry	134
	John Catlin	late entry	147
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 119. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.

ISPS Handa Vic Open

February 4, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Ryan Fox

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Ryan Fox	61.4	37
2	Jason Scrivener	63.3	5
3	Lucas Herbert	66.1	37
4	Chris Wood	66.9	87
5	Adrian Otaegui	67.2	62
6	Justin Harding	67.5	4
7	Paul Dunne	67.5	17
8	Scott Hend	68.6	72
9	Andrew Johnston	68.6	121
10	Aaron Rai	69.0	17
11	Jorge Campillo	69.2	108
12	Nicolas Colsaerts	70.1	8
13	Niklas Lemke	70.6	87
14	Jake McLeod	71.5	108
15	Ricardo Gouveia	71.5	87
16	Callum Shinkwin	71.9	10
17	Si-hwan Kim	72.4	37
18	Oliver Wilson	72.8	87
19	Wade Ormsby	72.9	2
20	David Drysdale	73.2	5
21	Ashley Chesters	73.4	12
22	Jeunghun Wang	73.9	131
23	Greg Chalmers	74.1	DNP
24	Thomas Aiken	74.3	24
25	Matthew Nixon	74.3	30
26	Masahiro Kawamura	74.6	49
27	Austin Connelly	74.7	49
28	Robert MacIntyre	74.8	56
29	Marcus Fraser	75.2	17
30	Gavin Moynihan	75.2	27
31	Richard McEvoy	75.2	121
32	Andrew Dodt	75.4	49
33	Matthew Millar	75.5	87
34	Geoff Ogilvy	75.7	35
35	Brad Kennedy	75.8	2
36	Ben Evans	75.8	87
37	Oliver Farr	75.8	DNP
38	Jarryd Felton	75.9	12
39	Jazz Janewattananond	76.0	27
40	Adam Bland	76.0	81
41	Ben Eccles	76.1	81
42	Kim Koivu	76.2	56
43	Adrien Saddier	76.2	108
44	Sam Brazel	76.2	56
45	James Morrison	76.3	56
46	Yuta Ikeda	76.3	37
47	Phachara Khongwatmai	76.4	DNP
48	Mark Brown	76.4	135
49	Clement Sordet	76.4	8
50	Scott Vincent	76.4	37
51	Ryo Ishikawa	76.5	140
52	Jin Choi	76.5	146
53	Jake Higginbottom	76.7	108
54	Jonathan Thomson	76.7	DNP
55	Max Orrin	76.8	87
56	Connor Syme	76.9	49
57	Dimitrios Papadatos	76.9	87
58	Kurt Kitayama	77.0	76
59	Deyen Lawson	77.1	87
60	Matteo Manassero	77.2	87
61	Bernd Ritthammer	77.3	81
62	Liam Johnston	77.4	146
63	Grant Forrest	77.7	22
64	Christofer Blomstrand	77.9	DNP
65	Tom Murray	77.9	140
66	Travis Smyth	77.9	121
67	Stuart Manley	78.0	37
68	Hyo-won Park	78.0	146
69	Steven Jeffress	78.1	30
70	Ryan Evans	78.1	DNP
71	Anthony Quayle	78.3	140
72	James Marchesani	78.4	135
73	James Nitties	78.5	62
74	David Bransdon	78.5	5
75	Michael Hendry	78.5	62
76	Jordan Zunic	78.7	81
77	Terry Pilkadaris	78.7	24
78	Andrew Martin	78.8	68
79	Michael Hoey	78.8	17
80	Matthew Griffin	78.9	33
81	Robert Allenby	78.9	146
82	Jason Norris	79.0	22
83	Louis de Jager	79.0	56
84	Richard Green	79.3	49
85	Nick Cullen	79.3	24
86	Jack Wilson	79.4	87
87	Ben Campbell	79.4	131
88	David Law	79.4	1
89	Pedro Figueiredo	79.6	135
90	Damien Jordan	79.7	151
91	Stephen Leaney	79.8	78
92	Anton Karlsson	79.8	12
93	Daniel Fox	79.8	131
94	David Micheluzzi	80.0	30
95	Nick Voke	80.0	DNP
96	Gareth Paddison	80.0	108
97	Daniel Gale	80.1	87
98	Kristoffer Reitan	80.1	49
99	Scott Strange	80.1	121
100	Max McCardle	80.2	72
101	Max Schmitt	80.2	121
102	Josh Younger	80.2	121
103	Taylor MacDonald	80.2	68
104	Daniel Nisbet	80.2	33
105	Nick Flanagan	80.2	10
106	Ashley Hall	80.3	68
107	Matt Jager	80.3	62
108	Matt Stieger	80.3	17
109	Darren Beck	80.3	49
110	Harry Bateman	80.4	156
111	Maverick Antcliff	80.4	68
112	Callan O’Reilly	80.4	108
113	Peter Senior	80.4	87
114	Harrison Endycott	80.4	87
115	Braden Becker	80.5	87
116	Michael Wright	80.5	87
117	Scott Gregory	80.5	108
118	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	80.5	153
119	Aaron Pike	80.5	72
120	Zach Murray	80.5	80
121	Cameron John	80.5	108
122	Peter Cooke	80.6	78
123	Espen Kofstad	80.6	56
124	Marcel Schneider	80.6	DNP
125	Peter Lonard	80.6	37
126	Aaron Townsend	80.6	12
127	David Borda Antonana	80.6	108
128	Blake Proverbs	80.7	135
129	Cory Crawford	80.7	153
130	Simon Hawkes	80.7	121
131	Daniel Gavins	80.7	27
132	Hugo Leon	80.7	37
133	Nick O’Hern	80.7	87
134	Michael Long	80.7	62
135	Guido Migliozzi	80.7	135
136	James Anstiss	80.7	36
137	Peter Fowler	80.7	81
138	Peter O’Malley	80.7	140
139	Austen Truslow	80.7	108
140	Blake Windred	80.7	12
141	Conor Purcell	80.7	151
142	Andre Lautee	80.7	72
143	Christopher Fan	80.7	108
144	Jasper Stubbs	80.7	155
145	Jack Thompson	80.7	121
146	Nathan Barbieri	80.7	108
147	Dylan Perry	80.7	37
148	Ryan Chisnall	80.7	87
149	Kade McBride	80.7	131
150	Adam Burdett	80.7	37
151	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	80.7	87
152	Per Langfors	80.7	87
153	Filippo Bergamaschi	80.7	81
154	David Smail	80.7	140
155	Jack Senior	80.7	DNP
	Andrew Evans	late entry	38
	Michael Sim	late entry	47
	Dale Williamson	late entry	67
	Jordan Mullaney	late entry	77
	Tim Stewart	late entry	103
	Ryan Lynch	late entry	115
	Alexander Knappe	late entry	123
	Brady Watt	late entry	129
	Gregory Bourdy	late entry	140
	Andrew Kelly	late entry	149
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 61. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Feb. 3, 2019)

February 4, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Justin Thomas remains no. 1 for a second straight week.

#	Thru Feb. 3, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Justin Thomas	52	1760	1
2	Dustin Johnson	45	1695	2
3	Rickie Fowler	48	1613	5
4	Justin Rose	51	1608	3
5	Tiger Woods	22	1520	6
6	Jason Day	44	1508	7
7	Brooks Koepka	47	1502	4
8	Patrick Cantlay	41	1450	8
9	Webb Simpson	51	1446	9
10	Jon Rahm	52	1418	11
11	Tony Finau	58	1395	10
12	Rory McIlroy	45	1363	12
13	Paul Casey	48	1350	13
14	Tommy Fleetwood	57	1311	14
15	Jordan Spieth	50	1266	15
16	Phil Mickelson	47	1203	16
17	Xander Schauffele	54	1200	18
18	Louis Oosthuizen	44	1192	17
19	Hideki Matsuyama	49	1163	21
20	Bryson DeChambeau	59	1151	23
21	Marc Leishman	54	1138	20
22	Francesco Molinari	50	1135	22
23	Patrick Reed	65	1129	19
24	Matt Kuchar	60	1125	25
25	Adam Scott	44	1057	27
26	Rafa Cabrera Bello	59	1044	28
27	Alex Noren	49	1039	26
28	Henrik Stenson	46	1039	24
29	Gary Woodland	57	1029	32
30	Cameron Smith	53	1028	29
31	Tyrrell Hatton	54	1018	31
32	Chez Reavie	56	1003	34
33	Ian Poulter	60	1003	30
34	Zach Johnson	50	928	33
35	Charles Howell	52	895	37
36	Adam Hadwin	54	886	35
37	Bubba Watson	51	877	46
38	Emiliano Grillo	56	864	38
39	Kyle Stanley	57	862	36
40	Kevin Chappell	51	832	41
41	Daniel Berger	49	815	39
42	Billy Horschel	58	809	43
43	Branden Grace	55	807	55
44	Sergio Garcia	50	806	40
45	Ryan Moore	48	792	42
46	Kevin Kisner	56	785	47
47	Charley Hoffman	59	785	49
48	Keegan Bradley	57	781	44
49	Luke List	59	776	45
50	Pat Perez	53	753	50
51	Ryan Palmer	44	750	48
52	Chesson Hadley	48	749	56
53	Brian Harman	56	747	51
54	Byeong Hun An	59	738	61
55	Jason Kokrak	55	730	62
56	Bud Cauley	45	730	60
57	Sungjae Im	18	726	82
58	Kevin Na	52	718	52
59	Graham DeLaet	22	711	58
60	Thomas Pieters	52	711	57
61	Brandt Snedeker	46	700	53
62	Scott Piercy	48	698	70
63	Shane Lowry	56	698	63
64	Aaron Wise	37	694	64
65	Lucas Glover	47	687	59
66	Stewart Cink	50	676	65
67	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	675	68
68	Steve Stricker	27	674	54
69	Haotong Li	53	670	72
70	Abraham Ancer	44	660	66
71	Andrew Putnam	40	652	67
72	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	57	648	73
73	Thorbjorn Olesen	54	647	69
74	Jamie Lovemark	52	636	74
75	JB Holmes	50	631	75
76	Russell Henley	51	623	84
77	Joaquin Niemann	23	615	71
78	Harold Varner	64	612	87
79	Russell Knox	63	609	91
80	Si Woo Kim	62	580	76
81	Jimmy Walker	44	580	78
82	Peter Uihlein	60	579	77
83	Jason Dufner	53	574	83
84	CT Pan	59	571	79
85	Lee Westwood	45	564	80
86	Danny Lee	62	562	85
87	Kevin Tway	58	561	81
88	Beau Hossler	45	558	90
89	JJ Spaun	56	556	86
90	Martin Laird	50	542	98
91	Charl Schwartzel	53	540	88
92	Kevin Streelman	52	536	92
93	Austin Cook	38	534	89
94	Brendan Steele	49	527	93
95	Brian Gay	56	525	94
96	Anirban Lahiri	54	519	97
97	Eddie Pepperell	46	512	95
98	Joost Luiten	42	511	109
99	Joel Dahmen	53	508	96
100	Michael Thompson	42	501	101
101	Julian Suri	43	489	104
102	Patrick Rodgers	57	489	99
103	Chris Kirk	57	487	103
104	Jhonattan Vegas	59	484	130
105	Patton Kizzire	59	483	102
106	Keith Mitchell	41	480	100
107	Ross Fisher	51	475	115
108	Rory Sabbatini	50	474	106
109	Nick Watney	52	473	108
110	Alexander Bjork	55	471	110
111	Ryan Armour	57	466	107
112	Ryan Fox	54	465	127
113	Dylan Frittelli	63	463	113
114	Jim Furyk	33	459	116
115	Cameron Champ	21	459	105
116	Vaughn Taylor	52	451	111
117	James Hahn	54	449	112
118	Andrea Pavan	37	445	119
119	Andy Sullivan	51	444	114
120	Tom Lewis	41	444	143
121	Matt Wallace	58	443	118
122	Scott Brown	61	442	124
123	Graeme McDowell	55	440	125
124	Brice Garnett	44	440	117
125	JT Poston	54	438	136
126	Bill Haas	52	428	120
127	Talor Gooch	43	428	123
128	William McGirt	47	425	132
129	Bronson Burgoon	35	423	121
130	Sean O’Hair	51	419	128
131	Sam Burns	24	418	122
132	Ted Potter	41	416	129
133	Jordan Smith	54	415	131
134	Bernd Wiesberger	38	411	126
135	Lucas Bjerregaard	55	409	139
136	Sung Kang	59	408	133
137	Richy Werenski	58	404	137
138	Alexander Levy	51	403	155
139	Aaron Baddeley	49	403	134
140	Victor Dubuisson	21	403	163
141	John Oda	12	403	141
142	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	46	402	144
143	Sam Ryder	40	401	135
144	Hudson Swafford	51	397	142
145	Grayson Murray	52	396	140
146	Brandon Harkins	43	389	162
147	Chase Seiffert	8	386	147
148	Trey Mullinax	55	382	183
149	Anders Albertson	16	380	138
150	Richard Sterne	49	378	165
151	Corey Conners	44	378	149
152	Adrian Otaegui	56	373	157
153	Ben Martin	40	372	151
154	Ryan Blaum	57	371	145
155	Chris Wood	48	368	152
156	Doug Ghim	13	366	156
157	Danny Willett	46	365	161
158	Thomas Detry	56	365	153
159	Sam Saunders	57	363	160
160	Lucas Herbert	29	363	158
161	Erik Van Rooyen	35	363	146
162	Soren Kjeldsen	53	363	148
163	Martin Kaymer	53	361	150
164	Paul Dunne	54	358	159
165	Troy Merritt	58	356	168
166	Nick Taylor	60	355	154
167	Jim Knous	11	353	169
168	Denny McCarthy	38	350	177
169	Andrew Landry	39	348	164
170	Dominic Bozzelli	48	346	172
171	Scott Stallings	58	345	166
172	Ollie Schniederjans	58	345	178
173	David Hearn	55	343	182
174	David Lingmerth	54	342	171
175	Seung-yul Noh	22	341	167
176	Chris Stroud	52	337	231
177	Dylan Meyer	15	336	176
178	Nate Lashley	29	336	175
179	Tom Hoge	60	333	180
180	Pablo Larrazabal	48	327	174
181	Whee Kim	60	322	179
182	Chris Paisley	49	321	193
183	Dean Burmester	50	320	181
184	Marcus Kinhult	33	319	203
185	Morgan Hoffmann	32	318	170
186	Brian Stuard	63	316	184
187	Jason Scrivener	56	316	187
188	Chase Wright	13	312	173
189	Robert Garrigus	53	311	190
190	Cameron Davis	18	311	188
191	Harris English	61	311	185
192	Johnson Wagner	51	310	192
193	Darren Fichardt	43	310	194
194	Jorge Campillo	54	308	189
195	Robert Streb	64	307	186
196	Andrew Johnston	40	305	196
197	Robert Rock	49	304	198
198	Steve Marino	17	303	200
199	Matt Jones	54	302	199
200	Matthias Schwab	33	301	209
201	Matthew Southgate	53	298	195
202	Fabrizio Zanotti	43	298	211
203	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	296	206
204	Kramer Hickok	16	295	205
205	Mackenzie Hughes	56	294	191
206	Shubhankar Sharma	42	293	197
207	Scott Langley	16	291	208
208	Seamus Power	57	290	202
209	Benjamin Hebert	46	290	201
210	John Huh	57	289	204
211	Adam Schenk	45	285	207
212	Retief Goosen	38	284	212
213	Peter Malnati	58	280	214
214	Nicolas Colsaerts	55	280	210
215	Hunter Mahan	54	276	225
216	Sam Horsfield	43	274	216
217	Paul Waring	47	273	213
218	Justin Harding	19	269	270
219	Tyler Duncan	45	267	215
220	Chad Campbell	55	266	217
221	Davis Love	28	264	223
222	Scott Hend	56	261	251
223	Aaron Rai	48	261	226
224	Victor Perez	17	258	299
225	Roger Sloan	17	258	227
226	Ben Crane	51	258	230
227	Alex Cejka	57	256	220
228	Padraig Harrington	47	256	228
229	Hideto Tanihara	49	254	219
230	Boo Weekley	18	254	232
231	Kelly Kraft	60	253	221
232	Tyrone van Aswegen	62	253	234
233	Richie Ramsay	50	252	224
234	Julian Etulain	28	250	233
235	Stephen Gallacher	51	249	229
236	Adam Svensson	17	248	239
237	Mikko Korhonen	48	248	237
238	Adam Long	15	245	218
239	Derek Fathauer	52	244	243
240	Cameron Percy	42	244	240
241	Sepp Straka	17	243	245
242	David Horsey	47	242	236
243	Scott Jamieson	54	241	238
244	Brandon Stone	52	241	235
245	Ashun Wu	55	239	241
246	David Lipsky	54	238	253
247	Brandon Hagy	27	237	222
248	Matthieu Pavon	56	234	244
249	Satoshi Kodaira	34	234	242
250	George Coetzee	52	234	246
251	Nacho Elvira	55	233	247
252	Anthony Wall	23	231	248
253	Callum Shinkwin	40	230	252
254	Jason Gore	13	230	250
255	Camilo Villegas	34	227	249
256	Bradley Dredge	46	225	290
257	Sebastian Munoz	30	223	254
258	Jake McLeod	10	220	280
259	Roberto Castro	28	219	259
260	Seung-su Han	21	217	261
261	JJ Henry	57	215	257
262	Martin Flores	52	215	258
263	Blayne Barber	45	215	260
264	Shawn Stefani	61	215	263
265	Graeme Storm	29	215	264
266	Wade Ormsby	54	215	255
267	Renato Paratore	55	212	292
268	Gaganjeet Bhullar	28	211	273
269	Wesley Bryan	48	211	256
270	Nicholas Lindheim	52	209	269
271	Maximilian Kieffer	51	209	265
272	Mikko Ilonen	37	206	272
273	TJ Vogel	8	206	275
274	Jonas Blixt	52	206	262
275	DJ Trahan	13	205	271
276	Stephan Jaeger	45	204	267
277	Ricky Barnes	55	203	274
278	Wyndham Clark	20	202	281
279	Gavin Green	39	202	317
280	Seth Reeves	16	201	279
281	Benjamin Silverman	42	201	283
282	Si-hwan Kim	11	200	284
283	Tapio Pulkkanen	35	200	268
284	Tag Ridings	17	200	276
285	Yi Keun Chang	11	198	285
286	Jonathan Byrd	42	198	286
287	David Drysdale	58	197	278
288	Lee Slattery	53	196	277
289	Matt Every	58	196	293
290	Hank Lebioda	10	196	295
291	Julien Guerrier	36	194	294
292	Haydn Porteous	62	194	288
293	Daniel Summerhays	49	192	296
294	Jeunghun Wang	57	191	291
295	Nino Bertasio	57	191	304
296	Martin Piller	43	191	300
297	Ashley Chesters	58	191	287
298	Joakim Lagergren	50	190	289
299	Carlos Ortiz	18	190	282
300	Adri Arnaus	12	189	266
301	Daisuke Kataoka	22	185	302
302	Romain Wattel	47	185	297
303	Oliver Fisher	53	185	298
304	Greg Chalmers	43	183	305
305	Curtis Luck	31	182	303
306	Ricardo Gouveia	53	179	307
307	Michael Kim	55	178	301
308	Spencer Levin	26	176	309
309	Tom Lovelady	39	175	312
310	Zac Blair	52	175	308
311	Rikard Karlberg	17	174	313
312	Jose-Filipe Lima	29	173	314
313	Rick Lamb	26	172	311
314	Marc Warren	52	171	315
315	John Catlin	11	171	336
316	Poom Saksansin	21	170	316
317	Trevor Immelman	29	168	310
318	Lanto Griffin	34	167	319
319	KJ Choi	33	167	306
320	Thomas Aiken	47	164	322
321	Smylie Kaufman	42	163	318
322	Rob Oppenheim	37	162	321
323	Fabian Gomez	53	161	323
324	Andres Gonzales	21	161	320
325	Oliver Wilson	13	160	326
326	Marcus Fraser	46	156	329
327	Austin Connelly	48	155	328
328	Shugo Imahira	17	154	332
329	Roberto Diaz	42	154	330
330	Luke Donald	32	153	325
331	Hyun-woo Ryu	12	152	334
332	Berry Henson	9	152	335
333	Kristoffer Broberg	12	152	333
334	Andres Romero	42	151	324
335	Thongchai Jaidee	44	151	331
336	Joachim B Hansen	14	151	433
337	Henrik Norlander	10	149	337
338	Greg Owen	15	148	348
339	Sang-Moon Bae	27	148	338
340	Max Homa	23	147	505
341	John Peterson	27	146	345
342	Steve Wheatcroft	42	146	342
343	Kyle Reifers	28	146	340
344	Tim Wilkinson	23	145	339
345	Johan Carlsson	26	145	346
346	Richard McEvoy	33	145	347
347	Matthew Nixon	37	145	349
348	Brian Campbell	21	144	350
349	Romain Langasque	36	142	354
350	Brett Stegmaier	47	142	351
351	Geoff Ogilvy	38	142	341
352	Oscar Lengden	8	141	353
353	Micah Lauren Shin	13	141	352
354	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	37	141	344
355	Kalle Samooja	10	137	327
356	Sean Crocker	21	137	343
357	Brett Drewitt	22	136	356
358	Alex Prugh	15	135	358
359	Andrew Dodt	47	135	357
360	Ryan Brehm	21	134	363
361	Sang-hyun Park	14	134	362
362	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	40	134	364
363	Ernie Els	52	134	355
364	Cameron Tringale	58	134	359
365	Jonathan Randolph	49	133	361
366	Vijay Singh	26	133	360
367	Neil Schietekat	10	133	366
368	Oliver Bekker	14	132	368
369	Yusaku Miyazato	35	130	429
370	Yoshinori Fujimoto	10	129	370
371	Masahiro Kawamura	20	129	373
372	Robert MacIntyre	8	128
373	Peter Hanson	38	128	372
374	Adam Bland	32	127	374
375	Jacques Kruyswijk	34	127	365
376	Alvaro Quiros	41	127	369
377	Bryce Easton	8	126	375
378	Alejandro Canizares	40	124	371
379	Jamie Donaldson	43	124	376
380	Paul Peterson	44	124	378
381	Parker McLachlin	16	124	379
382	Brad Kennedy	10	123	382
383	Gavin Moynihan	20	122	383
384	Tim Herron	23	121	387
385	Kyung-tae Kim	13	121	380
386	Adrien Saddier	37	120	386
387	Justin Walters	53	119	391
388	Thomas Bjorn	39	119	377
389	Jarryd Felton	10	119	389
390	Ethan Tracy	31	119	390
391	Will MacKenzie	12	119	367
392	Stuart Appleby	34	118	393
393	Gregory Havret	52	118	388
394	Cody Gribble	52	118	385
395	Bryce Molder	17	117	397
396	Prayad Marksaeng	13	117	402
397	Brendan Jones	10	117	396
398	Ben Evans	31	116	399
399	Ben Eccles	11	116	400
400	Scott Vincent	35	116	406
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the Waste Management Phoenix Open

January 29, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

Don’t forget that there is a great alternative to all that pre-Super Bowl hoopla on television Sunday. It’s the best-attended event on the PGA Tour, the Waste Management Phoenix Open, where over 700,000 spectators will drop in sometime during the week, if last year is any indication. They have brought together another nice field, including Justin Thomas, enjoying his first week as world no. 1 in the Hawley Ratings.

Thomas has been playing steady golf at a very high level going all the way back to last year’s British Open. In 12 events since late July, he has one win (Bridgestone), five top-10s, three top-20s, a 4-1 record in the Ryder Cup, and mid-pack finishes in the other two appearances. This year he made the top-20 in the Sony and was third in the Champions.

Also in the field are three others from the Hawley Ratings top 10 – Rickie Fowler, Webb Simpson, and Tony Finau – and three more from the top 20 – Jon Rahm, Phil Mickelson, and Xander Read more

Waste Management Phoenix Open

January 28, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Justin Thomas

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Justin Thomas	20.2	3
2	Rickie Fowler	21.1	1
3	Webb Simpson	24.6	20
4	Tony Finau	26.2	93
5	Jon Rahm	26.7	10
6	Hideki Matsuyama	28.7	15
7	Phil Mickelson	34.6	83
8	Gary Woodland	35.9	7
9	Xander Schauffele	38.3	10
10	Alex Noren	39.9	44
11	Adam Hadwin	40.3	44
12	Cameron Smith	42.8	15
13	Billy Horschel	43.9	39
14	Tyrrell Hatton	44.8	15
15	Zach Johnson	45.5	39
16	Matt Kuchar	45.5	4
17	Daniel Berger	46.2	74
18	Ryan Palmer	46.3	60
19	Chez Reavie	47.5	4
20	Emiliano Grillo	48.9	33
21	Kyle Stanley	49.8	125
22	Lucas Glover	50.0	108
23	Keegan Bradley	51.7	67
24	Abraham Ancer	51.7	83
25	Andrew Putnam	52.6	108
26	Luke List	52.8	83
27	Brandt Snedeker	53.2	55
28	Bubba Watson	53.7	4
29	Kevin Na	53.9	60
30	Jason Kokrak	54.2	20
31	Joel Dahmen	54.8	108
32	Ryan Moore	55.0	74
33	Byeong Hun An	55.3	20
34	Si Woo Kim	56.2	108
35	Scott Piercy	56.3	20
36	Steve Stricker	56.4	83
37	JB Holmes	56.6	26
38	Bud Cauley	57.3	26
39	Kevin Tway	57.4	74
40	Austin Cook	57.4	127
41	Ryan Armour	57.6	108
42	Kevin Kisner	57.7	26
43	Charley Hoffman	57.9	20
44	Harold Varner	57.9	10
45	CT Pan	57.9	60
46	Stewart Cink	58.5	50
47	JJ Spaun	58.8	50
48	Danny Lee	58.9	44
49	Chesson Hadley	59.3	20
50	Aaron Wise	59.4	DNP
51	Brian Gay	59.8	55
52	Martin Laird	59.8	26
53	Russell Knox	59.9	10
54	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	60.0	33
55	Sungjae Im	60.0	7
56	Michael Thompson	60.1	DNP
57	Jimmy Walker	60.4	44
58	Brian Harman	60.4	39
59	Patton Kizzire	60.7	83
60	Peter Uihlein	60.8	WD
61	Beau Hossler	61.5	39
62	Joaquin Niemann	61.9	74
63	JT Poston	62.2	26
64	Patrick Rodgers	62.4	99
65	Ted Potter	62.4	108
66	Sung Kang	62.5	119
67	Aaron Baddeley	62.9	108
68	Keith Mitchell	62.9	73
69	Richy Werenski	62.9	60
70	Nick Watney	63.0	39
71	Brice Garnett	63.0	74
72	Brendan Steele	63.1	83
73	Russell Henley	63.4	15
74	Vaughn Taylor	63.5	93
75	Sam Ryder	64.0	60
76	Chris Kirk	64.5	50
77	Rory Sabbatini	64.6	108
78	Charl Schwartzel	64.9	99
79	Kevin Streelman	64.9	50
80	Sam Burns	65.3	93
81	Nick Taylor	66.3	74
82	Bronson Burgoon	66.6	99
83	Cameron Champ	66.6	67
84	Brian Stuard	66.7	55
85	Denny McCarthy	66.7	33
86	James Hahn	66.8	67
87	Anders Albertson	66.8	121
88	Sean O’Hair	66.9	93
89	Ryan Blaum	66.9	83
90	Robert Streb	67.3	108
91	Bill Haas	67.6	129
92	Martin Kaymer	67.7	83
93	Scott Langley	68.0	DNP
94	Jhonattan Vegas	68.0	10
95	Harris English	68.3	99
96	Trey Mullinax	68.6	15
97	Andrew Landry	68.9	60
98	Grayson Murray	69.0	59
99	Adam Schenk	69.2	55
100	Peter Malnati	69.3	DNP
101	Scott Stallings	69.6	99
102	Morgan Hoffmann	69.6	74
103	Hunter Mahan	69.7	33
104	John Huh	69.8	70
105	Chase Wright	69.9	74
106	Mackenzie Hughes	69.9	99
107	Whee Kim	69.9	131
108	Brandon Harkins	70.1	26
109	Cameron Davis	70.3	DNP
110	Ollie Schniederjans	70.4	33
111	Tyler Duncan	70.6	121
112	Tom Hoge	70.7	44
113	Julian Etulain	70.7	DNP
114	Adam Long	71.0	119
115	Jim Knous	71.1	DNP
116	Kramer Hickok	71.2	DNP
117	Seamus Power	71.3	121
118	Brandon Hagy	71.5	99
119	Alex Cejka	71.7	99
120	Chris Stroud	72.0	7
121	Kelly Kraft	72.0	108
122	Carlos Ortiz	72.4	60
123	Shawn Stefani	72.5	DNP
124	Satoshi Kodaira	72.6	72
125	Jonas Blixt	72.6	121
126	KJ Choi	72.6	83
127	Stephan Jaeger	72.8	93
128	Michael Kim	73.7	74
129	Seth Reeves	74.0	DNP
130	Sang-Moon Bae	74.3	DNP
131	Cody Gribble	75.2	93
132	Jim Herman	75.9	127
133	Freddie Jacobson	76.6	70
134	Colt Knost	81.9	108
135	Kenny Perry	81.9	99
136	Michael Hopper	82.1	130
137	Matthew Wolff	82.1	50
	Branden Grace	late entry	2
	Max Homa	late entry	27
	David Hearn	late entry	34
	John Catlin	late entry	47
	Talor Gooch	late entry	83
	Blair Hamilton	late entry	125
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 249. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Saudi International powered by SBIA

January 28, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	13.0	1
2	Justin Rose	13.8	78
3	Brooks Koepka	18.6	57
4	Bryson DeChambeau	31.8	6
5	Patrick Reed	33.1	56
6	Ian Poulter	38.4	6
7	Henrik Stenson	40.7	78
8	Sergio Garcia	44.2	DQ
9	Thomas Pieters	46.9	22
10	Lee Westwood	51.3	95
11	Thorbjorn Olesen	51.6	78
12	Haotong Li	55.0	2
13	Eddie Pepperell	59.0	112
14	Matt Wallace	59.4	104
15	Jordan Smith	60.0	54
16	Joost Luiten	60.1	6
17	Ross Fisher	61.0	13
18	Tom Lewis	61.3	3
19	Andrea Pavan	61.6	34
20	Andy Sullivan	62.1	95
21	Soren Kjeldsen	62.6	121
22	Ryan Fox	63.6	6
23	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	64.3	13
24	Thomas Detry	64.5	42
25	Pablo Larrazabal	64.6	64
26	Paul Waring	64.7	54
27	Bernd Wiesberger	64.7	114
28	Erik Van Rooyen	65.4	126
29	Richard Sterne	65.7	13
30	Alexander Levy	66.3	5
31	Victor Dubuisson	66.8	18
32	Paul Dunne	67.1	51
33	Adrian Otaegui	67.8	24
34	Matthew Southgate	68.3	51
35	Matthias Schwab	68.3	24
36	Shubhankar Sharma	68.3	124
37	Dean Burmester	68.4	121
38	Benjamin Hebert	68.5	95
39	Marcus Kinhult	68.7	18
40	Fabrizio Zanotti	68.7	24
41	Robert Rock	69.0	34
42	Jorge Campillo	69.0	42
43	Scott Jamieson	69.2	78
44	Nicolas Colsaerts	69.2	61
45	Chris Paisley	69.3	24
46	Aaron Rai	69.4	34
47	Sam Horsfield	69.7	34
48	David Horsey	70.1	89
49	Brandon Stone	70.1	104
50	Ashun Wu	70.1	67
51	David Lipsky	70.3	24
52	Scott Hend	70.3	6
53	Gaganjeet Bhullar	70.5	34
54	Adri Arnaus	70.5	67
55	Hideto Tanihara	70.6	78
56	Richie Ramsay	70.9	89
57	Mikko Korhonen	71.0	44
58	Stephen Gallacher	71.2	67
59	George Coetzee	71.5	67
60	Matthieu Pavon	71.7	95
61	Tapio Pulkkanen	72.0	104
62	Renato Paratore	72.1	18
63	Nacho Elvira	72.2	89
64	Bradley Dredge	72.2	13
65	Maximilian Kieffer	72.2	57
66	Justin Harding	72.3	11
67	Jake McLeod	72.5	34
68	Wade Ormsby	72.5	124
69	Joakim Lagergren	72.8	112
70	Haydn Porteous	72.8	51
71	David Drysdale	72.9	89
72	Romain Langasque	73.0	44
73	Victor Perez	73.0	13
74	Romain Wattel	73.1	67
75	Lee Slattery	73.1	126
76	Marc Warren	73.3	DNP
77	Ashley Chesters	73.3	78
78	Jeunghun Wang	73.6	95
79	Ernie Els	73.8	89
80	Oliver Fisher	73.8	119
81	Gavin Green	74.0	11
82	Nino Bertasio	74.1	30
83	Andres Romero	74.2	104
84	Kalle Samooja	74.2	114
85	Trevor Immelman	74.5	57
86	Alvaro Quiros	74.5	78
87	Thomas Bjorn	74.5	104
88	Masahiro Kawamura	74.6	DNP
89	Sean Crocker	74.8	67
90	Alejandro Canizares	75.0	114
91	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	75.1	67
92	Robert MacIntyre	75.3	44
93	Jeff Winther	75.7	78
94	Sam Brazel	75.7	95
95	James Morrison	75.8	121
96	Justin Walters	75.9	44
97	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	75.9	44
98	Jacques Kruyswijk	76.1	89
99	Jack Singh Brar	76.1	78
100	Kim Koivu	76.1	104
101	Kurt Kitayama	76.3	67
102	Clement Sordet	76.3	61
103	Raphael Jacquelin	76.3	95
104	Zander Lombard	76.3	18
105	Robert Karlsson	76.4	44
106	Steven Brown	76.5	114
107	Jens Dantorp	76.6	57
108	Yusaku Miyazato	76.7	22
109	Joachim B Hansen	76.8	24
110	Grant Forrest	76.8	119
111	Matteo Manassero	77.0	78
112	Deyen Lawson	77.1	DNP
113	Bernd Ritthammer	77.1	104
114	Lorenzo Gagli	77.1	44
115	Edoardo Molinari	77.1	34
116	Hyo-won Park	77.4	67
117	Stuart Manley	77.7	64
118	Shaun Norris	77.8	30
119	Sebastian Soderberg	78.4	67
120	Louis de Jager	79.0	DNP
121	David Howell	79.1	67
122	David Law	79.2	114
123	Liam Johnston	79.2	30
124	Pedro Figueiredo	79.2	95
125	Niklas Lemke	79.4	30
126	Min Woo Lee	79.7	4
127	Anton Karlsson	79.8	DNP
128	Matthew Jordan	80.1	34
129	Alfie Plant	80.3	61
130	Pelle Edberg	80.4	104
131	Scott Gregory	80.5	DNP
132	Daniel Gavins	80.7	DNP
133	Rayhan Thomas	80.7	95
134	Todd Clements	80.7	78
135	Abdulrahman Al Mansour	80.7	132
136	Saud Al Sharif	80.7	130
137	Shergo Al Kurdi	80.7	129
138	Othman Almulla	80.7	131
139	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	80.7	126
140	Filippo Bergamaschi	80.7	DNP
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 390. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 27, 2019)

January 28, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Justin Thomas takes over the no. 1 world rating for the first time.

#	Thru Jan. 27, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Justin Thomas	51	1708	2
2	Dustin Johnson	45	1702	1
3	Justin Rose	51	1662	3
4	Brooks Koepka	46	1561	5
5	Rickie Fowler	47	1545	4
6	Tiger Woods	22	1525	6
7	Jason Day	45	1505	8
8	Patrick Cantlay	42	1451	7
9	Webb Simpson	51	1439	9
10	Tony Finau	58	1436	10
11	Jon Rahm	52	1387	15
12	Rory McIlroy	45	1365	14
13	Paul Casey	48	1352	11
14	Tommy Fleetwood	58	1310	12
15	Jordan Spieth	51	1276	13
16	Phil Mickelson	47	1246	17
17	Louis Oosthuizen	44	1193	16
18	Xander Schauffele	54	1160	19
19	Patrick Reed	65	1156	21
20	Marc Leishman	54	1141	18
21	Hideki Matsuyama	48	1139	27
22	Francesco Molinari	50	1139	20
23	Bryson DeChambeau	59	1135	23
24	Henrik Stenson	45	1080	22
25	Matt Kuchar	60	1067	26
26	Alex Noren	48	1065	24
27	Adam Scott	44	1061	30
28	Rafa Cabrera Bello	60	1042	25
29	Cameron Smith	53	995	32
30	Ian Poulter	59	991	29
31	Tyrrell Hatton	53	988	28
32	Gary Woodland	57	977	33
33	Zach Johnson	49	944	31
34	Chez Reavie	56	927	34
35	Adam Hadwin	54	905	40
36	Kyle Stanley	56	891	35
37	Charles Howell	52	891	37
38	Emiliano Grillo	55	867	36
39	Daniel Berger	48	851	38
40	Sergio Garcia	49	839	41
41	Kevin Chappell	52	834	42
42	Ryan Moore	47	823	39
43	Billy Horschel	57	819	52
44	Keegan Bradley	56	807	46
45	Luke List	58	797	43
46	Bubba Watson	50	792	49
47	Kevin Kisner	56	783	45
48	Ryan Palmer	44	778	54
49	Charley Hoffman	59	768	44
50	Pat Perez	54	755	47
51	Brian Harman	55	755	48
52	Kevin Na	51	745	56
53	Brandt Snedeker	46	731	50
54	Steve Stricker	27	726	61
55	Branden Grace	54	721	57
56	Chesson Hadley	47	720	51
57	Thomas Pieters	51	719	58
58	Graham DeLaet	22	717	59
59	Lucas Glover	46	716	69
60	Bud Cauley	44	713	66
61	Byeong Hun An	58	712	62
62	Jason Kokrak	55	704	72
63	Shane Lowry	57	699	64
64	Aaron Wise	37	697	53
65	Stewart Cink	50	696	60
66	Abraham Ancer	43	686	63
67	Andrew Putnam	39	677	65
68	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	673	68
69	Thorbjorn Olesen	53	669	73
70	Scott Piercy	48	662	67
71	Joaquin Niemann	22	655	55
72	Haotong Li	53	640	76
73	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	57	640	71
74	Jamie Lovemark	52	636	70
75	JB Holmes	50	615	74
76	Si Woo Kim	62	596	86
77	Peter Uihlein	60	594	75
78	Jimmy Walker	44	589	78
79	CT Pan	59	586	77
80	Lee Westwood	45	586	91
81	Kevin Tway	58	582	84
82	Sungjae Im	17	579	101
83	Jason Dufner	53	579	80
84	Russell Henley	50	578	79
85	Danny Lee	62	572	85
86	JJ Spaun	56	565	82
87	Harold Varner	63	561	90
88	Charl Schwartzel	53	560	81
89	Austin Cook	37	558	89
90	Beau Hossler	45	556	83
91	Russell Knox	62	554	96
92	Kevin Streelman	52	549	88
93	Brendan Steele	48	547	87
94	Brian Gay	56	535	92
95	Eddie Pepperell	45	533	94
96	Joel Dahmen	53	524	118
97	Anirban Lahiri	55	519	95
98	Martin Laird	50	519	93
99	Patrick Rodgers	56	502	102
100	Keith Mitchell	40	500	98
101	Michael Thompson	43	498	166
102	Patton Kizzire	58	494	104
103	Chris Kirk	57	493	100
104	Julian Suri	43	490	108
105	Cameron Champ	20	490	97
106	Rory Sabbatini	50	490	99
107	Ryan Armour	57	479	106
108	Nick Watney	52	475	103
109	Joost Luiten	41	472	107
110	Alexander Bjork	55	471	116
111	Vaughn Taylor	52	467	136
112	James Hahn	54	465	105
113	Dylan Frittelli	63	462	115
114	Andy Sullivan	50	462	111
115	Ross Fisher	51	460	119
116	Jim Furyk	34	458	121
117	Brice Garnett	43	457	112
118	Matt Wallace	57	454	132
119	Andrea Pavan	36	452	113
120	Bill Haas	51	449	110
121	Bronson Burgoon	34	446	109
122	Sam Burns	23	444	149
123	Talor Gooch	42	443	228
124	Scott Brown	62	443	141
125	Graeme McDowell	55	441	122
126	Bernd Wiesberger	38	439	114
127	Ryan Fox	53	439	120
128	Sean O’Hair	51	434	143
129	Ted Potter	40	431	127
130	Jhonattan Vegas	58	428	117
131	Jordan Smith	53	427	128
132	William McGirt	48	426	129
133	Sung Kang	59	424	140
134	Aaron Baddeley	48	419	148
135	Sam Ryder	39	416	130
136	JT Poston	54	416	168
137	Richy Werenski	58	413	124
138	Anders Albertson	15	412	123
139	Lucas Bjerregaard	56	407	135
140	Grayson Murray	52	407	125
141	John Oda	12	402	137
142	Hudson Swafford	51	399	126
143	Tom Lewis	40	397	133
144	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	46	381	139
145	Ryan Blaum	57	381	134
146	Erik Van Rooyen	34	380	138
147	Chase Seiffert	8	380	150
148	Soren Kjeldsen	52	378	142
149	Corey Conners	44	376	146
150	Martin Kaymer	52	375	158
151	Ben Martin	41	372	156
152	Chris Wood	48	370	155
153	Thomas Detry	55	370	153
154	Nick Taylor	60	369	157
155	Alexander Levy	51	369	151
156	Doug Ghim	13	366	242
157	Adrian Otaegui	56	365	152
158	Lucas Herbert	29	364	190
159	Paul Dunne	54	364	154
160	Sam Saunders	58	364	145
161	Danny Willett	47	363	171
162	Brandon Harkins	42	363	144
163	Victor Dubuisson	21	363	161
164	Andrew Landry	38	359	173
165	Richard Sterne	48	359	159
166	Scott Stallings	58	358	160
167	Seung-yul Noh	23	355	163
168	Troy Merritt	59	355	165
169	Jim Knous	11	354	178
170	Morgan Hoffmann	32	350	147
171	David Lingmerth	54	345	170
172	Dominic Bozzelli	49	344	210
173	Chase Wright	12	341	131
174	Pablo Larrazabal	48	339	179
175	Nate Lashley	29	337	222
176	Dylan Meyer	15	335	176
177	Denny McCarthy	37	335	162
178	Ollie Schniederjans	57	335	164
179	Whee Kim	60	332	167
180	Tom Hoge	60	331	169
181	Dean Burmester	49	331	174
182	David Hearn	55	330	172
183	Trey Mullinax	55	330	203
184	Brian Stuard	63	321	181
185	Harris English	60	319	175
186	Robert Streb	64	317	196
187	Jason Scrivener	56	315	204
188	Cameron Davis	18	313	198
189	Jorge Campillo	54	312	182
190	Robert Garrigus	54	311	180
191	Mackenzie Hughes	56	311	199
192	Johnson Wagner	51	310	183
193	Chris Paisley	49	309	187
194	Darren Fichardt	43	309	185
195	Matthew Southgate	53	305	189
196	Andrew Johnston	41	305	201
197	Shubhankar Sharma	42	304	197
198	Robert Rock	49	303	191
199	Matt Jones	55	302	227
200	Steve Marino	18	300	318
201	Benjamin Hebert	46	300	193
202	Seamus Power	57	300	184
203	Marcus Kinhult	32	298	192
204	John Huh	56	297	211
205	Kramer Hickok	16	296	186
206	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	292	177
207	Adam Schenk	44	291	194
208	Scott Langley	17	291	292
209	Matthias Schwab	32	289	195
210	Nicolas Colsaerts	55	288	200
211	Fabrizio Zanotti	43	287	206
212	Retief Goosen	38	282	207
213	Paul Waring	46	280	252
214	Peter Malnati	59	279	237
215	Tyler Duncan	44	277	202
216	Sam Horsfield	42	271	205
217	Chad Campbell	55	270	214
218	Adam Long	14	269	655
219	Hideto Tanihara	48	266	209
220	Alex Cejka	57	265	215
221	Kelly Kraft	60	265	213
222	Brandon Hagy	27	263	188
223	Davis Love	28	262	220
224	Richie Ramsay	50	261	217
225	Hunter Mahan	54	260	208
226	Aaron Rai	47	259	230
227	Roger Sloan	17	258	330
228	Padraig Harrington	48	257	225
229	Stephen Gallacher	50	257	218
230	Ben Crane	51	257	212
231	Chris Stroud	52	255	216
232	Boo Weekley	18	252	234
233	Julian Etulain	29	252	240
234	Tyrone van Aswegen	63	252	223
235	Brandon Stone	51	251	221
236	David Horsey	47	251	224
237	Mikko Korhonen	48	250	232
238	Scott Jamieson	53	250	226
239	Adam Svensson	17	248	372
240	Cameron Percy	43	246	236
241	Ashun Wu	55	246	238
242	Satoshi Kodaira	33	244	229
243	Derek Fathauer	53	244	231
244	Matthieu Pavon	55	241	250
245	Sepp Straka	17	241	466
246	George Coetzee	52	241	239
247	Nacho Elvira	55	239	235
248	Anthony Wall	23	233	244
249	Camilo Villegas	34	230	247
250	Jason Gore	13	229	219
251	Scott Hend	56	229	249
252	Callum Shinkwin	41	229	243
253	David Lipsky	54	228	245
254	Sebastian Munoz	31	222	233
255	Wade Ormsby	53	222	251
256	Wesley Bryan	48	218	257
257	JJ Henry	58	218	255
258	Martin Flores	53	217	261
259	Roberto Castro	29	217	259
260	Blayne Barber	45	216	262
261	Seung-su Han	21	216	254
262	Jonas Blixt	52	215	288
263	Shawn Stefani	61	215	256
264	Graeme Storm	30	214	263
265	Maximilian Kieffer	51	214	258
266	Adri Arnaus	11	213	301
267	Stephan Jaeger	44	212	253
268	Tapio Pulkkanen	34	208	293
269	Nicholas Lindheim	53	207	267
270	Justin Harding	18	207	375
271	DJ Trahan	13	207	248
272	Mikko Ilonen	38	206	270
273	Gaganjeet Bhullar	28	206	276
274	Ricky Barnes	56	205	269
275	TJ Vogel	8	204	274
276	Tag Ridings	18	204	268
277	Lee Slattery	52	204	265
278	David Drysdale	58	204	266
279	Seth Reeves	16	203	241
280	Jake McLeod	9	202	277
281	Wyndham Clark	20	201	495
282	Carlos Ortiz	17	201	246
283	Benjamin Silverman	42	201	264
284	Si-hwan Kim	11	200	260
285	Yi Keun Chang	11	199	280
286	Jonathan Byrd	42	198	272
287	Ashley Chesters	57	197	271
288	Haydn Porteous	62	197	279
289	Joakim Lagergren	50	197	273
290	Bradley Dredge	45	196	295
291	Jeunghun Wang	57	196	278
292	Renato Paratore	55	195	275
293	Matt Every	59	195	287
294	Julien Guerrier	36	194	289
295	Hank Lebioda	10	193	394
296	Daniel Summerhays	50	193	283
297	Romain Wattel	47	191	323
298	Oliver Fisher	53	191	282
299	Victor Perez	16	190	322
300	Martin Piller	43	189	285
301	Michael Kim	54	186	286
302	Daisuke Kataoka	22	184	284
303	Curtis Luck	32	184	281
304	Nino Bertasio	57	183	290
305	Greg Chalmers	44	183	297
306	KJ Choi	33	179	300
307	Ricardo Gouveia	54	179	303
308	Zac Blair	53	177	299
309	Spencer Levin	27	177	304
310	Trevor Immelman	28	176	291
311	Rick Lamb	27	175	302
312	Tom Lovelady	39	175	296
313	Rikard Karlberg	18	174	309
314	Jose-Filipe Lima	29	170	314
315	Marc Warren	53	170	306
316	Poom Saksansin	22	169	308
317	Gavin Green	39	169	305
318	Smylie Kaufman	43	167	298
319	Lanto Griffin	34	167	315
320	Andres Gonzales	22	165	312
321	Rob Oppenheim	38	164	319
322	Thomas Aiken	48	164	313
323	Fabian Gomez	53	161	307
324	Andres Romero	41	159	316
325	Luke Donald	33	159	321
326	Oliver Wilson	13	158	329
327	Kalle Samooja	9	157	649
328	Austin Connelly	48	156	328
329	Marcus Fraser	47	155	324
330	Roberto Diaz	42	154	325
331	Thongchai Jaidee	45	153	331
332	Shugo Imahira	18	153	317
333	Kristoffer Broberg	12	152	294
334	Hyun-woo Ryu	12	152	335
335	Berry Henson	9	151	346
336	John Catlin	10	151	310
337	Henrik Norlander	11	151	336
338	Sang-Moon Bae	27	148	364
339	Tim Wilkinson	24	148	338
340	Kyle Reifers	28	148	339
341	Geoff Ogilvy	39	147	337
342	Steve Wheatcroft	43	147	340
343	Sean Crocker	20	147	326
344	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	36	147	333
345	John Peterson	27	147	334
346	Johan Carlsson	27	146	342
347	Richard McEvoy	33	145	332
348	Greg Owen	16	145	345
349	Matthew Nixon	37	144	344
350	Brian Campbell	22	144	343
351	Brett Stegmaier	48	142	347
352	Micah Lauren Shin	13	141	327
353	Oscar Lengden	8	141	350
354	Romain Langasque	35	140	441
355	Ernie Els	51	138	442
356	Brett Drewitt	23	138	354
357	Andrew Dodt	48	137	349
358	Alex Prugh	15	136	320
359	Cameron Tringale	59	136	348
360	Vijay Singh	27	135	355
361	Jonathan Randolph	50	135	356
362	Sang-hyun Park	14	134	341
363	Ryan Brehm	22	134	359
364	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	40	133	352
365	Jacques Kruyswijk	33	132	353
366	Neil Schietekat	10	132	363
367	Will MacKenzie	13	131	311
368	Oliver Bekker	14	131	362
369	Alvaro Quiros	40	131	526
370	Yoshinori Fujimoto	10	129	440
371	Alejandro Canizares	39	129	365
372	Peter Hanson	38	128	357
373	Masahiro Kawamura	21	128	381
374	Adam Bland	32	127	366
375	Bryce Easton	8	126	374
376	Jamie Donaldson	43	125	373
377	Thomas Bjorn	38	124	425
378	Paul Peterson	45	124	367
379	Parker McLachlin	16	124	376
380	Kyung-tae Kim	14	123	370
381	Kim Koivu	16	123	412
382	Brad Kennedy	10	122	382
383	Gavin Moynihan	20	122	377
384	Kurt Kitayama	11	122	351
385	Cody Gribble	52	121	401
386	Adrien Saddier	37	121	383
387	Tim Herron	23	119	389
388	Gregory Havret	53	119	385
389	Jarryd Felton	10	119	386
390	Ethan Tracy	31	118	388
391	Justin Walters	53	118	379
392	James Morrison	57	118	378
393	Stuart Appleby	35	118	391
394	Clement Sordet	33	118	392
395	Jeff Winther	40	117	396
396	Brendan Jones	10	116	397
397	Bryce Molder	18	116	399
398	Richard Bland	46	116	393
399	Ben Evans	31	116	400
400	Ben Eccles	11	116	398
More \| Less

A Look at the Farmers Insurance Open

January 22, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

Desert Classic They could put together a threesome of the top three players in the Official World Golf Ratings who are entered in this week’s Farmers Insurance Open (Justin Rose, Xander Schauffele, and Jon Rahm). Or how about a trio of three crowd-pleasing, photogenic stars right around the age of 30 (Jason Day, Rickie Fowler, and Rory McIlroy)? Those groups would attract nice galleries to follow them around the Torrey Pines North and South courses. But, guaranteed, however they are grouped, nothing will approach the crowds that will be following Tiger Woods.

The 43-year-old former world no. 1 will step up to the first tee on the South course at 10:40a PST Thursday, and the crowd will be 10 deep and lined all the way down the fairway. Few will care that it’s been a fall and winter without distinction for Woods since he won the Tour Championship in September. You may recall that he was 0-4 in the Ryder Cup, lost that exhibition match to Phil Mickelson, and finished near the bottom in the World Challenge in December. So, it’s a question of whether and when he can win again.

Before the World Challenge, Woods told pgatour.com, “The expectations are much different this upcoming year. Now I know that I can do it, now it’s just about managing and making sure I’m fresh for events, because I know I can win tournaments again.” Of course, you would expect nothing less than confidence from Woods.

Although he will be the crowd favorite and has won at Torrey Pines eight times over the past 20 years, including the memorable 2008 U.S. Open, Woods should not be considered the favorite to win this week. The numbers point to Day, who is a statistical good fit for the courses and has been in the top 20 in each of his last five appearances going back to the Tour Championship. His best was a fifth in the CJ Cup in Korea in October.

A good case can be made for Patrick Cantlay, who is working on a streak of four straight top-10s over the last 12 weeks – ninth last week at the Desert Classic, fifth in the World Challenge, second in the Shriners, and seventh in the HSBC Champions. The highest-ranked player in the field, Rose, is coming off two mediocre outings, barely inside the top 40 last week at the Desert Classic and 17th against a very soft field in the Indonesian in December.

You might also ask Jordan Spieth and Hideki Matsuyama if the food has been bad or what. Spieth hasn’t been in the top 50 of any of four events since the Dell on Labor Day weekend. Matsuyama has no top-10 and only two top-20s in six appearances since the Tour Championship.

On the plus side, consider Marc Leishman, with four straight in the top five, including two already this year, third in the Sony and fourth in the Champions. Also in good form is Rahm, with four straight top-10s since mid-November, including the World Challenge win. Schauffele (paired with Woods in the first two rounds) has two wins in the last four times out (Champions in January and HSBC Champions in October), plus a top-10 in the World Challenge.

As with last week’s Desert Classic, trying to figure out what style of play fits the event is iffy when multiple courses are used. Over the last few years, driving distance has been the stat most closely associated with success on the Torrey Pines North and South courses, per the Hawley course fit statistics, and scrambling and sand saves also are well-correlated.

Among the big names, McIlroy has the game best-matched to those stats. Rookies Cameron Davis and Cameron Champ rank slightly better, and Day, Tony Finau (also paired with Tiger), Rose, and the little-known rookie Wyndham Clark are just behind.

Farmers Insurance Open

January 22, 2019 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Jason Day

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jason Day	9.3	5
2	Justin Rose	18.6	1
3	Patrick Cantlay	20.6	87
4	Rickie Fowler	23.4	66
5	Tiger Woods	24.8	20
6	Tony Finau	26.2	13
7	Jon Rahm	29.1	5
8	Rory McIlroy	32.4	5
9	Alex Noren	34.2	107
10	Marc Leishman	35.2	43
11	Xander Schauffele	35.6	25
12	Charles Howell	41.9	20
13	Gary Woodland	42.7	9
14	Patrick Reed	43.7	13
15	Jordan Spieth	43.8	35
16	Emiliano Grillo	45.7	52
17	Kyle Stanley	46.4	147
18	Hideki Matsuyama	46.7	3
19	Adam Scott	47.0	2
20	Billy Horschel	47.3	8
21	JB Holmes	47.5	143
22	Daniel Berger	48.2	107
23	Brandt Snedeker	48.2	62
24	Cameron Smith	48.2	9
25	Abraham Ancer	49.8	78
26	Keegan Bradley	50.6	35
27	Ryan Palmer	50.7	13
28	Luke List	52.6	40
29	Stewart Cink	54.6	78
30	Aaron Wise	54.8	87
31	JJ Spaun	55.1	122
32	CT Pan	55.1	66
33	Charley Hoffman	55.3	122
34	Ryan Moore	55.4	136
35	Jimmy Walker	55.9	154
36	Pat Perez	56.6	115
37	Harold Varner	56.7	78
38	Branden Grace	56.9	136
39	Si Woo Kim	57.2	29
40	Brian Harman	57.3	122
41	Kevin Tway	57.5	43
42	Beau Hossler	57.7	57
43	Jason Kokrak	58.0	20
44	Peter Uihlein	58.2	78
45	Chesson Hadley	58.5	143
46	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	58.7	136
47	Danny Lee	58.8	115
48	Keith Mitchell	58.9	122
49	Bud Cauley	58.9	13
50	Joaquin Niemann	58.9	72
51	Russell Knox	59.8	43
52	Joel Dahmen	60.0	9
53	Jamie Lovemark	60.2	DNP
54	Richy Werenski	60.6	122
55	Brice Garnett	60.6	115
56	Patrick Rodgers	61.1	122
57	Nick Watney	61.2	72
58	Sungjae Im	61.3	52
59	Martin Laird	61.5	43
60	Rory Sabbatini	61.8	70
61	JT Poston	62.4	40
62	Kevin Streelman	62.4	107
63	Brendan Steele	62.5	136
64	Dylan Frittelli	63.1	87
65	Charl Schwartzel	63.6	87
66	Cameron Champ	63.7	122
67	Bronson Burgoon	63.8	87
68	Danny Willett	63.9	25
69	Jhonattan Vegas	64.0	107
70	Chris Kirk	64.0	115
71	Michael Thompson	64.7	13
72	Denny McCarthy	64.8	87
73	Sam Ryder	64.9	43
74	Anders Albertson	65.0	107
75	Harris English	65.3	107
76	James Hahn	65.5	78
77	Bill Haas	65.7	57
78	Hudson Swafford	66.0	115
79	Ryan Blaum	66.1	70
80	Sung Kang	66.5	20
81	Nick Taylor	66.5	43
82	Sean O’Hair	67.1	76
83	Scott Stallings	67.4	43
84	Sam Burns	67.8	40
85	Scott Brown	68.2	9
86	Grayson Murray	68.2	62
87	Whee Kim	68.3	147
88	Chase Wright	68.4	87
89	Robert Streb	68.4	29
90	Morgan Hoffmann	68.6	77
91	Sam Saunders	68.6	87
92	Adam Schenk	68.8	57
93	Hunter Mahan	68.8	87
94	Scott Langley	68.9	107
95	Brandon Harkins	69.4	154
96	Kramer Hickok	69.8	143
97	Tyler Duncan	69.8	136
98	Peter Malnati	69.9	DNP
99	Tom Hoge	70.2	87
100	Ollie Schniederjans	70.3	87
101	Brandon Hagy	70.5	66
102	Ben Crane	70.6	136
103	Cameron Davis	70.7	57
104	Seamus Power	70.8	156
105	Trey Mullinax	70.8	25
106	Roberto Castro	70.9	87
107	Mackenzie Hughes	71.0	29
108	Stephan Jaeger	71.2	66
109	Sebastian Munoz	71.3	72
110	John Huh	71.3	25
111	Kelly Kraft	71.4	122
112	Carlos Ortiz	71.4	122
113	Matt Jones	71.5	13
114	Alex Cejka	71.6	115
115	Julian Etulain	71.7	43
116	Roger Sloan	71.8	87
117	Steve Marino	71.8	DNP
118	JJ Henry	72.0	DNP
119	Satoshi Kodaira	72.1	122
120	Chris Stroud	72.3	52
121	Shawn Stefani	72.3	62
122	Jim Knous	72.4	29
123	Jonas Blixt	72.7	29
124	Seth Reeves	72.8	122
125	Benjamin Silverman	72.9	62
126	Michael Kim	72.9	87
127	Fabian Gomez	73.3	87
128	DA Points	73.3	122
129	Alex Prugh	73.3	78
130	Nicholas Lindheim	73.4	43
131	Doug Ghim	73.4	20
132	Roberto Diaz	73.4	DNP
133	Curtis Luck	73.8	DNP
134	Adam Svensson	73.9	35
135	Cameron Tringale	74.0	87
136	Wes Roach	74.4	107
137	Cody Gribble	75.0	147
138	Sang-Moon Bae	75.3	35
139	Chad Collins	75.3	DNP
140	Hank Lebioda	75.4	29
141	Kyle Jones	75.4	147
142	Josh Teater	75.4	78
143	Adam Long	75.4	78
144	Wyndham Clark	75.4	35
145	Jim Herman	75.5	87
146	KH Lee	75.5	87
147	Rod Pampling	76.3	152
148	Sepp Straka	76.4	13
149	Max Homa	76.5	DNP
150	Jose de Jesus Rodriguez	76.6	87
151	John Senden	76.6	57
152	John Chin	77.5	72
153	Chris Thompson	77.8	52
154	Martin Trainer	77.9	DNP
155	Brady Schnell	78.0	152
156	Joey Garber	78.3	143
157	Nick Hardy	81.2	78
158	Braden Thornberry	81.4	52
159	Viktor Hovland	81.7	115
160	Kenny Pigman	82.0	136
	Talor Gooch	late entry	4
	Dominic Bozzelli	late entry	90
	Bruce Doucett	late entry	122
	David Pastore	late entry	126
	Brian Davis	late entry	151
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 207. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Omega Dubai Desert Classic

January 22, 2019 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Tommy Fleetwood

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Tommy Fleetwood	29.9	16
2	Tyrrell Hatton	34.9	38
3	Louis Oosthuizen	35.2	DNP
4	Henrik Stenson	37.9	74
5	Bryson DeChambeau	39.4	1
6	Rafa Cabrera Bello	40.8	84
7	Ian Poulter	43.8	3
8	Sergio Garcia	45.9	3
9	Thomas Pieters	47.7	29
10	Thorbjorn Olesen	52.2	7
11	Shane Lowry	52.5	12
12	Lee Westwood	52.9	7
13	Haotong Li	55.0	12
14	Andy Sullivan	55.0	128
15	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55.6	16
16	Byeong Hun An	57.2	12
17	Joost Luiten	57.4	74
18	Andrea Pavan	58.0	128
19	Alexander Bjork	59.3	20
20	Tom Lewis	60.0	48
21	Jordan Smith	60.4	29
22	Thomas Detry	60.5	48
23	Matt Wallace	60.8	2
24	Eddie Pepperell	61.9	38
25	Ryan Fox	62.4	84
26	Lucas Bjerregaard	62.6	29
27	Soren Kjeldsen	62.9	94
28	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	63.0	74
29	Bernd Wiesberger	63.3	84
30	Jason Scrivener	64.1	7
31	Erik Van Rooyen	64.1	119
32	Stephen Gallacher	64.4	67
33	Ross Fisher	64.4	24
34	Richard Sterne	65.0	99
35	Martin Kaymer	65.1	24
36	Robert Rock	65.4	74
37	Alexander Levy	65.8	108
38	Victor Dubuisson	65.9	38
39	Pablo Larrazabal	66.2	20
40	Chris Paisley	66.5	56
41	Adrian Otaegui	66.7	74
42	Matthias Schwab	66.7	64
43	Dean Burmester	67.2	48
44	Darren Fichardt	67.4	84
45	Benjamin Hebert	67.5	84
46	Jorge Campillo	67.7	56
47	Sam Horsfield	67.9	108
48	Aaron Rai	68.1	29
49	Scott Jamieson	68.2	94
50	Andrew Johnston	68.2	24
51	Paul Dunne	68.4	99
52	Lucas Herbert	68.4	7
53	Renato Paratore	68.5	84
54	Marcus Kinhult	68.6	99
55	Matthew Southgate	68.6	69
56	Ashun Wu	68.9	38
57	Nicolas Colsaerts	68.9	48
58	Brandon Stone	69.2	99
59	David Lipsky	69.4	119
60	David Horsey	69.4	74
61	Miguel Angel Jimenez	69.5	108
62	Mikko Korhonen	69.7	38
63	Scott Hend	69.8	48
64	Wade Ormsby	70.3	64
65	Gaganjeet Bhullar	70.3	38
66	Fabrizio Zanotti	70.3	29
67	Maximilian Kieffer	70.4	74
68	Shubhankar Sharma	70.4	29
69	Hideto Tanihara	70.5	64
70	George Coetzee	70.6	38
71	Joakim Lagergren	70.7	132
72	Paul Waring	70.7	3
73	Richie Ramsay	71.2	56
74	Ashley Chesters	71.3	67
75	Haydn Porteous	71.4	48
76	Thomas Aiken	71.6	55
77	Callum Shinkwin	71.8	56
78	Nacho Elvira	71.8	94
79	Bradley Dredge	71.9	24
80	Gavin Green	72.1	99
81	Lee Slattery	72.1	108
82	Matthieu Pavon	72.4	24
83	Marc Warren	72.4	71
84	David Drysdale	72.4	84
85	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	72.7	69
86	Jeunghun Wang	72.7	125
87	Oliver Fisher	72.7	108
88	Tapio Pulkkanen	73.1	20
89	Trevor Immelman	73.1	108
90	Andres Romero	73.2	99
91	Thongchai Jaidee	73.2	47
92	Romain Wattel	73.3	16
93	Raphael Jacquelin	73.4	61
94	Adri Arnaus	73.5	29
95	Nino Bertasio	73.5	73
96	Richard McEvoy	73.6	131
97	Alvaro Quiros	73.9	3
98	Sean Crocker	74.0	74
99	Ernie Els	74.1	12
100	James Morrison	74.1	99
101	Victor Perez	74.1	29
102	Sam Brazel	74.2	56
103	Justin Walters	74.3	108
104	Romain Langasque	74.3	20
105	Kristoffer Broberg	74.4	74
106	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	74.5	108
107	Joachim B Hansen	74.6	61
108	Peter Hanson	74.7	108
109	Thomas Bjorn	74.8	29
110	Jacques Kruyswijk	74.9	84
111	Edoardo Molinari	75.0	119
112	Steven Brown	75.0	119
113	Jens Dantorp	75.1	48
114	Phachara Khongwatmai	75.2	94
115	Yusaku Miyazato	75.4	99
116	Jack Singh Brar	75.5	DNP
117	Lorenzo Gagli	75.6	DNP
118	Grant Forrest	75.7	DNP
119	Kim Koivu	75.7	38
120	Robert Karlsson	75.7	38
121	Stuart Manley	76.0	DNP
122	Shaun Norris	76.2	61
123	Kurt Kitayama	76.2	71
124	SSP Chawrasia	76.5	119
125	Justin Harding	76.6	7
126	David Howell	76.6	125
127	Robert MacIntyre	76.7	DNP
128	Kalle Samooja	77.7	16
129	Jose Maria Olazabal	77.8	128
130	Jaco van Zyl	78.5	74
131	Sebastian Soderberg	79.7	94
132	David Law	80.6	DNP
133	Liam Johnston	80.6	DNP
134	Pelle Edberg	81.9	125
135	Jovan Rebula	82.0	108
136	Colin Montgomerie	82.0	108
137	Kristoffer Reitan	82.1	124
138	Rayhan Thomas	82.1	84
139	Ahmed Marjan	82.1	84
140	Victor Riu	82.1	99
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 101. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 20, 2019)

January 22, 2019 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Dustin Johnson is the no. 1 player world for the 35th straight week, although not by much.

#	Thru Jan. 20, 2019	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Dustin Johnson	46	1705	1
2	Justin Thomas	52	1703	2
3	Justin Rose	50	1634	3
4	Rickie Fowler	48	1614	4
5	Brooks Koepka	48	1559	5
6	Tiger Woods	23	1527	6
7	Patrick Cantlay	40	1493	7
8	Jason Day	45	1441	8
9	Webb Simpson	52	1436	9
10	Tony Finau	59	1413	10
11	Paul Casey	48	1395	11
12	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1320	12
13	Jordan Spieth	51	1309	13
14	Rory McIlroy	44	1307	14
15	Jon Rahm	52	1306	15
16	Louis Oosthuizen	46	1195	18
17	Phil Mickelson	48	1184	16
18	Marc Leishman	55	1168	19
19	Xander Schauffele	54	1157	20
20	Francesco Molinari	51	1145	21
21	Patrick Reed	65	1125	22
22	Henrik Stenson	45	1122	17
23	Bryson DeChambeau	59	1108	24
24	Alex Noren	48	1105	23
25	Rafa Cabrera Bello	61	1073	27
26	Matt Kuchar	61	1073	25
27	Hideki Matsuyama	49	1069	26
28	Tyrrell Hatton	53	1015	28
29	Ian Poulter	59	972	31
30	Adam Scott	43	969	29
31	Zach Johnson	49	952	30
32	Cameron Smith	54	941	32
33	Gary Woodland	58	929	33
34	Chez Reavie	56	928	34
35	Kyle Stanley	57	922	35
36	Emiliano Grillo	56	885	36
37	Charles Howell	51	882	37
38	Daniel Berger	48	855	38
39	Ryan Moore	47	853	39
40	Adam Hadwin	55	845	40
41	Sergio Garcia	48	836	41
42	Kevin Chappell	54	834	43
43	Luke List	58	830	44
44	Charley Hoffman	59	829	42
45	Kevin Kisner	55	815	45
46	Keegan Bradley	57	811	47
47	Pat Perez	54	811	48
48	Brian Harman	55	809	46
49	Bubba Watson	51	791	49
50	Brandt Snedeker	46	767	50
51	Chesson Hadley	45	766	53
52	Billy Horschel	58	762	51
53	Aaron Wise	36	760	52
54	Ryan Palmer	43	754	55
55	Joaquin Niemann	20	752	54
56	Kevin Na	52	748	57
57	Branden Grace	53	745	56
58	Thomas Pieters	51	733	61
59	Graham DeLaet	24	728	58
60	Stewart Cink	50	727	59
61	Steve Stricker	28	726	60
62	Byeong Hun An	59	699	62
63	Abraham Ancer	41	692	63
64	Shane Lowry	58	689	75
65	Andrew Putnam	38	684	64
66	Bud Cauley	44	681	65
67	Scott Piercy	48	679	68
68	Matthew Fitzpatrick	54	677	66
69	Lucas Glover	47	676	67
70	Jamie Lovemark	53	657	71
71	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	58	655	69
72	Jason Kokrak	55	653	72
73	Thorbjorn Olesen	54	645	70
74	JB Holmes	51	642	74
75	Peter Uihlein	59	632	76
76	Haotong Li	54	625	73
77	CT Pan	59	619	77
78	Jimmy Walker	44	613	78
79	Russell Henley	50	604	80
80	Jason Dufner	52	603	79
81	Charl Schwartzel	51	603	81
82	JJ Spaun	56	601	82
83	Beau Hossler	44	597	83
84	Kevin Tway	58	592	84
85	Danny Lee	63	591	85
86	Si Woo Kim	62	591	87
87	Brendan Steele	48	590	86
88	Kevin Streelman	52	569	88
89	Austin Cook	37	558	90
90	Harold Varner	63	556	91
91	Lee Westwood	45	555	95
92	Brian Gay	56	551	92
93	Martin Laird	50	546	93
94	Eddie Pepperell	44	545	89
95	Anirban Lahiri	55	537	94
96	Russell Knox	61	534	96
97	Cameron Champ	19	523	98
98	Keith Mitchell	39	523	97
99	Rory Sabbatini	49	523	99
100	Chris Kirk	56	522	100
101	Sungjae Im	15	521	101
102	Patrick Rodgers	57	518	102
103	Nick Watney	51	507	103
104	Patton Kizzire	59	505	104
105	James Hahn	54	495	105
106	Ryan Armour	57	494	108
107	Joost Luiten	42	493	130
108	Julian Suri	43	490	109
109	Bronson Burgoon	32	490	106
110	Bill Haas	49	485	110
111	Andy Sullivan	51	479	112
112	Brice Garnett	42	473	114
113	Andrea Pavan	35	472	107
114	Bernd Wiesberger	39	468	111
115	Dylan Frittelli	62	466	116
116	Alexander Bjork	55	462	117
117	Jhonattan Vegas	57	461	115
118	Joel Dahmen	52	460	118
119	Ross Fisher	51	458	113
120	Ryan Fox	54	454	120
121	Jim Furyk	34	454	119
122	Graeme McDowell	57	442	121
123	Anders Albertson	13	442	122
124	Richy Werenski	57	440	123
125	Grayson Murray	52	437	124
126	Hudson Swafford	50	433	125
127	Ted Potter	40	431	126
128	Jordan Smith	54	427	138
129	William McGirt	49	427	127
130	Sam Ryder	37	424	128
131	Chase Wright	10	423	129
132	Matt Wallace	56	417	139
133	Tom Lewis	39	408	163
134	Ryan Blaum	56	407	132
135	Lucas Bjerregaard	57	404	131
136	Vaughn Taylor	52	403	133
137	John Oda	12	402	134
138	Erik Van Rooyen	33	399	136
139	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	47	396	141
140	Sung Kang	60	395	135
141	Scott Brown	62	394	137
142	Soren Kjeldsen	52	393	172
143	Sean O’Hair	50	393	140
144	Brandon Harkins	40	390	145
145	Sam Saunders	56	390	144
146	Corey Conners	43	388	148
147	Morgan Hoffmann	33	386	142
148	Aaron Baddeley	49	385	150
149	Sam Burns	21	383	151
150	Chase Seiffert	8	381	152
151	Alexander Levy	52	380	143
152	Adrian Otaegui	57	377	147
153	Thomas Detry	56	376	146
154	Paul Dunne	55	374	149
155	Chris Wood	50	373	153
156	Ben Martin	42	372	155
157	Nick Taylor	60	371	154
158	Martin Kaymer	53	370	161
159	Richard Sterne	47	370	192
160	Scott Stallings	57	370	156
161	Victor Dubuisson	21	369	159
162	Denny McCarthy	35	365	158
163	Seung-yul Noh	25	361	157
164	Ollie Schniederjans	57	361	160
165	Troy Merritt	61	354	166
166	Michael Thompson	42	353	164
167	Whee Kim	59	352	165
168	JT Poston	53	350	167
169	Tom Hoge	58	350	168
170	David Lingmerth	56	349	162
171	Danny Willett	46	347	170
172	David Hearn	55	344	171
173	Andrew Landry	37	343	173
174	Dean Burmester	49	338	169
175	Harris English	60	334	176
176	Dylan Meyer	15	332	175
177	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	328	181
178	Jim Knous	10	326	182
179	Pablo Larrazabal	49	324	218
180	Robert Garrigus	55	322	184
181	Brian Stuard	64	321	187
182	Jorge Campillo	55	321	177
183	Johnson Wagner	51	321	189
184	Seamus Power	56	320	185
185	Darren Fichardt	44	319	191
186	Kramer Hickok	14	319	186
187	Chris Paisley	50	317	179
188	Brandon Hagy	27	316	188
189	Matthew Southgate	54	316	190
190	Lucas Herbert	28	313	180
191	Robert Rock	50	313	183
192	Marcus Kinhult	31	313	178
193	Benjamin Hebert	47	311	198
194	Adam Schenk	42	309	193
195	Matthias Schwab	31	302	212
196	Robert Streb	64	302	196
197	Shubhankar Sharma	41	297	194
198	Cameron Davis	16	296	199
199	Mackenzie Hughes	57	295	197
200	Nicolas Colsaerts	56	293	201
201	Andrew Johnston	42	292	195
202	Tyler Duncan	42	292	200
203	Trey Mullinax	54	292	202
204	Jason Scrivener	57	282	229
205	Sam Horsfield	41	281	216
206	Fabrizio Zanotti	44	279	219
207	Retief Goosen	40	279	210
208	Hunter Mahan	54	279	209
209	Hideto Tanihara	47	279	203
210	Dominic Bozzelli	48	278	207
211	John Huh	56	278	208
212	Ben Crane	51	277	213
213	Kelly Kraft	60	276	204
214	Chad Campbell	57	273	205
215	Alex Cejka	57	271	217
216	Chris Stroud	50	271	214
217	Richie Ramsay	51	269	206
218	Stephen Gallacher	51	267	211
219	Jason Gore	12	266	220
220	Davis Love	27	264	221
221	Brandon Stone	52	263	215
222	Nate Lashley	28	260	222
223	Tyrone van Aswegen	64	260	224
224	David Horsey	47	259	265
225	Padraig Harrington	50	258	226
226	Scott Jamieson	54	258	259
227	Matt Jones	54	255	227
228	Talor Gooch	40	254	230
229	Satoshi Kodaira	32	254	231
230	Aaron Rai	46	252	223
231	Derek Fathauer	53	252	233
232	Mikko Korhonen	48	250	225
233	Sebastian Munoz	30	250	235
234	Boo Weekley	20	249	237
235	Nacho Elvira	56	248	228
236	Cameron Percy	44	247	236
237	Peter Malnati	59	247	238
238	Ashun Wu	55	244	232
239	George Coetzee	53	241	234
240	Julian Etulain	28	239	241
241	Seth Reeves	14	239	239
242	Doug Ghim	12	238	242
243	Callum Shinkwin	42	236	240
244	Anthony Wall	25	235	245
245	David Lipsky	55	235	272
246	Carlos Ortiz	15	235	247
247	Camilo Villegas	36	234	246
248	DJ Trahan	12	233	248
249	Scott Hend	57	232	255
250	Matthieu Pavon	56	230	244
251	Wade Ormsby	54	229	243
252	Paul Waring	47	228	317
253	Stephan Jaeger	42	227	250
254	Seung-su Han	20	227	252
255	JJ Henry	59	227	251
256	Shawn Stefani	60	225	253
257	Wesley Bryan	50	225	249
258	Maximilian Kieffer	52	221	280
259	Roberto Castro	29	220	258
260	Si-hwan Kim	10	220	257
261	Martin Flores	54	219	256
262	Blayne Barber	47	217	260
263	Graeme Storm	32	215	263
264	Benjamin Silverman	40	215	264
265	Lee Slattery	53	211	262
266	David Drysdale	59	210	261
267	Nicholas Lindheim	52	207	273
268	Tag Ridings	19	207	268
269	Ricky Barnes	57	206	269
270	Mikko Ilonen	40	205	275
271	Ashley Chesters	56	205	266
272	Jonathan Byrd	41	204	274
273	Joakim Lagergren	51	204	267
274	TJ Vogel	8	203	278
275	Renato Paratore	56	202	271
276	Gaganjeet Bhullar	27	202	306
277	Jake McLeod	9	201	279
278	Jeunghun Wang	58	201	270
279	Haydn Porteous	63	198	276
280	Yi Keun Chang	10	198	283
281	Curtis Luck	32	197	281
282	Oliver Fisher	54	197	277
283	Daniel Summerhays	51	196	284
284	Daisuke Kataoka	21	195	287
285	Martin Piller	42	195	289
286	Michael Kim	55	195	285
287	Matt Every	60	194	290
288	Jonas Blixt	53	193	286
289	Julien Guerrier	36	193	292
290	Nino Bertasio	58	188	288
291	Trevor Immelman	29	187	282
292	Scott Langley	15	187	294
293	Tapio Pulkkanen	33	185	291
294	Kristoffer Broberg	12	182	254
295	Bradley Dredge	46	182	293
296	Tom Lovelady	38	182	297
297	Greg Chalmers	46	181	298
298	Smylie Kaufman	43	180	295
299	Zac Blair	55	179	296
300	KJ Choi	35	179	300
301	Adri Arnaus	10	179	517
302	Rick Lamb	28	178	299
303	Ricardo Gouveia	56	178	302
304	Spencer Levin	29	178	301
305	Gavin Green	39	176	320
306	Marc Warren	54	174	308
307	Fabian Gomez	52	174	305
308	Poom Saksansin	21	173	309
309	Rikard Karlberg	20	172	312
310	John Catlin	9	170	313
311	Will MacKenzie	13	169	303
312	Andres Gonzales	23	169	307
313	Thomas Aiken	49	168	304
314	Jose-Filipe Lima	30	168	319
315	Lanto Griffin	34	168	315
316	Andres Romero	40	167	314
317	Shugo Imahira	17	166	322
318	Steve Marino	19	166	323
319	Rob Oppenheim	38	165	321
320	Alex Prugh	13	164	324
321	Luke Donald	34	163	318
322	Victor Perez	15	163	311
323	Romain Wattel	48	162	316
324	Marcus Fraser	46	160	330
325	Roberto Diaz	41	159	329
326	Sean Crocker	19	159	310
327	Micah Lauren Shin	12	158	332
328	Austin Connelly	48	157	331
329	Oliver Wilson	13	156	335
330	Roger Sloan	15	156	333
331	Thongchai Jaidee	46	155	326
332	Richard McEvoy	32	154	325
333	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	35	154	328
334	John Peterson	29	152	336
335	Hyun-woo Ryu	12	152	340
336	Henrik Norlander	12	151	338
337	Geoff Ogilvy	41	151	334
338	Tim Wilkinson	25	151	337
339	Kyle Reifers	30	149	339
340	Steve Wheatcroft	44	148	341
341	Sang-hyun Park	13	147	343
342	Johan Carlsson	29	147	342
343	Brian Campbell	23	144	344
344	Matthew Nixon	37	144	348
345	Greg Owen	16	143	346
346	Berry Henson	8	143	352
347	Brett Stegmaier	50	143	350
348	Cameron Tringale	59	142	349
349	Andrew Dodt	48	141	351
350	Oscar Lengden	8	140	357
351	Kurt Kitayama	10	139	327
352	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	40	139	345
353	Jacques Kruyswijk	32	138	347
354	Brett Drewitt	24	138	358
355	Vijay Singh	27	137	354
356	Jonathan Randolph	51	137	356
357	Peter Hanson	39	135	353
358	Kyle Jones	10	135	360
359	Ryan Brehm	23	134	359
360	Jim Herman	37	134	355
361	Wes Roach	13	132	361
362	Oliver Bekker	14	131	363
363	Neil Schietekat	10	131	362
364	Sang-Moon Bae	25	129	364
365	Alejandro Canizares	40	128	368
366	Adam Bland	32	127	367
367	Paul Peterson	46	127	369
368	Prayad Marksaeng	13	127	371
369	DA Points	46	126	365
370	Kyung-tae Kim	14	126	366
371	Matthew Millar	13	125	375
372	Adam Svensson	15	125	374
373	Jamie Donaldson	44	125	372
374	Bryce Easton	8	124	373
375	Justin Harding	16	124	376
376	Parker McLachlin	16	124	378
377	Gavin Moynihan	20	124	377
378	James Morrison	57	123	415
379	Justin Walters	54	122	391
380	Yuta Ikeda	30	122	380
381	Masahiro Kawamura	20	122	383
382	Brad Kennedy	10	122	384
383	Adrien Saddier	37	121	382
384	Steven Brown	34	120	370
385	Gregory Havret	55	119	388
386	Jarryd Felton	10	119	390
387	Phachara Khongwatmai	54	118	389
388	Ethan Tracy	31	118	393
389	Tim Herron	23	118	401
390	Chad Collins	30	118	386
391	Stuart Appleby	36	117	395
392	Clement Sordet	33	117	396
393	Richard Bland	47	117	392
394	Hank Lebioda	8	117	404
395	Joachim B Hansen	12	117	385
396	Jeff Winther	40	116	398
397	Brendan Jones	10	116	400
398	Ben Eccles	11	116	399
399	Bryce Molder	20	116	397
400	Ben Evans	31	116	402
More \| Less

A Look at the Desert Classic

January 15, 2019 Thomas Hawley Narrative

Justin Rose makes his first appearance of 2019 this weekend at the recently renamed Desert Classic in La Quinta CA. He’s been out of action since kind of a nothing finish (17th) against a really weak field in the BNI Indonesian Masters in mid-December. But, boy, if he starts up the way he finished in the three months prior to that, he will be a formidable presence out in the southern California desert.

And it’s not like he will be facing a loaded field. Patrick Cantlay is the only other member of the current Hawley Ratings top 10 in the field, and out of the next 10 there is only Jon Rahm and Phil Mickelson, both former winners here. From the top 50, there are 12 players here for this event, including the previously mentioned four.

Rose finished in the top 10 in seven straight events, including the win at the Turkish Airlines, with two seconds, two thirds, and a fourth, from September to the Indonesia event. It was a run that lifted him up from sixth Read more

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