Desert Classic

January 15, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,
Justin Rose
Justin Rose
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Justin Rose 16.8 34
2 Patrick Cantlay 22.7 9
3 Jon Rahm 30.0 6
4 Adam Hadwin 31.2 2
5 Phil Mickelson 39.8 2
6 Zach Johnson 43.4 28
7 Charles Howell 44.4 34
8 Ryan Palmer 45.5 124
9 Daniel Berger 46.9 12
10 Luke List 47.6 89
11 Chez Reavie 48.7 28
12 Scott Piercy 48.8 57
13 Pat Perez 49.8 WD
14 Lucas Glover 49.9 12
15 JJ Spaun 52.1 51
15 Abraham Ancer 18
16 CT Pan 52.1 51
17 Si Woo Kim 52.3 40
18 Aaron Wise 52.4 74
19 Bud Cauley 52.6 74
20 Charley Hoffman 53.4 98
21 Andrew Putnam 53.5 34
22 Chesson Hadley 54.3 89
23 Brian Harman 54.7 143
24 Bill Haas 54.9 124
25 Kevin Kisner 55.9 57
26 Brendan Steele 56.0 57
27 Beau Hossler 56.0 105
28 Jamie Lovemark 56.4 WD
29 Jason Kokrak 57.1 18
30 Harold Varner 57.6 18
31 Richy Werenski 57.6 105
32 Joaquin Niemann 57.7 115
33 Peter Uihlein 57.8 98
34 Jason Dufner 57.9 151
35 Ryan Armour 58.1 89
36 Martin Laird 58.4 89
37 Brian Gay 59.2 115
38 Russell Knox 59.7 18
39 Nick Watney 60.2 51
40 Anirban Lahiri 60.7 74
41 Chris Kirk 61.4 145
42 Patton Kizzire 61.5 133
43 Danny Willett 61.6 145
44 Joel Dahmen 61.8 DNP
45 Rory Sabbatini 61.9 57
46 Graeme McDowell 61.9 DNP
47 Charl Schwartzel 62.1 115
48 Denny McCarthy 62.2 98
49 Russell Henley 62.3 133
50 Kevin Streelman 62.4 34
51 Sam Ryder 62.5 40
52 Jhonattan Vegas 62.9 69
53 Bronson Burgoon 62.9 105
54 Dylan Frittelli 63.0 28
55 James Hahn 63.2 57
56 Ryan Blaum 63.3 73
57 Anders Albertson 63.8 34
58 Grayson Murray 64.8 154
59 Hudson Swafford 65.2 65
60 David Lingmerth 65.6 DNP
61 Johnson Wagner 65.8 74
62 Nick Taylor 66.0 40
63 Adam Schenk 66.0 67
64 Vaughn Taylor 66.2 7
65 Aaron Baddeley 66.4 18
66 Sean O’Hair 66.5 9
67 Michael Thompson 66.7 9
68 Robert Streb 66.7 40
69 Whee Kim 67.0 133
70 Sungjae Im 67.1 12
71 Sam Burns 67.4 18
72 Sam Saunders 67.4 105
73 Chase Wright 67.6 89
74 Brandon Harkins 67.6 74
75 Seamus Power 67.7 148
76 Ben Martin 67.7 DNP
77 Robert Garrigus 68.0 74
78 David Hearn 68.1 124
79 Corey Conners 68.1 115
80 Andrew Landry 68.4 28
81 Scott Stallings 68.4 89
82 Kramer Hickok 68.5 40
83 Harris English 68.6 51
84 JT Poston 68.6 7
85 John Huh 69.0 70
86 Nate Lashley 69.1 12
87 Scott Brown 69.2 98
88 Ben Crane 69.3 105
89 Tom Hoge 69.4 89
90 Brandon Hagy 69.4 74
91 Hunter Mahan 69.5 115
92 Stephan Jaeger 69.6 124
93 Cameron Davis 69.8 28
94 Tyler Duncan 70.1 51
95 Ollie Schniederjans 70.1 72
96 Alex Cejka 70.3 40
97 Peter Malnati 70.4 18
98 DJ Trahan 70.5 74
99 Shawn Stefani 70.5 98
100 Matt Every 70.7 DNP
101 Chad Campbell 70.7 DNP
102 Jim Knous 70.8 105
103 Trey Mullinax 70.9 34
104 Matt Jones 71.0 98
105 Talor Gooch 71.0 4
106 Brian Stuard 71.2 40
107 Seth Reeves 71.2 145
108 Roberto Castro 71.2 40
109 Nicholas Lindheim 71.3 89
110 Jason Gore 71.4 139
111 Julian Etulain 71.5 40
112 Chris Stroud 71.7 105
113 Derek Fathauer 71.7 124
114 Benjamin Silverman 71.8 74
115 Steve Marino 71.9 18
116 Scott Langley 71.9 12
117 Carlos Ortiz 72.3 65
118 JJ Henry 72.3 143
119 Jonathan Byrd 72.4 57
120 Fabian Gomez 72.5 74
121 Roberto Diaz 72.7 115
122 Tyrone van Aswegen 72.8 98
123 Andres Romero 72.9 DNP
124 Cameron Tringale 73.1 51
125 Curtis Luck 73.1 70
126 Alex Prugh 73.2 105
127 DA Points 73.3 124
128 Martin Piller 73.6 115
129 Tom Lovelady 73.6 139
130 Wes Roach 73.9 89
131 Sang-Moon Bae 74.3 139
132 Sebastian Munoz 74.5 74
133 KH Lee 74.6 74
134 Will MacKenzie 74.7 124
135 Stuart Appleby 74.7 DNP
136 Chad Collins 74.8 57
137 Kyle Jones 74.9 151
138 Cody Gribble 75.1 40
139 Jim Herman 75.2 74
140 Sepp Straka 75.2 133
141 Roger Sloan 75.4 12
142 Adam Svensson 75.8 18
143 Rod Pampling 75.8 124
144 John Catlin 76.1 67
145 Wyndham Clark 76.1 18
146 Max Homa 76.2 115
147 John Senden 76.2 115
148 Josh Teater 76.3 40
149 George Cunningham 76.3 133
150 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 76.9 28
151 John Chin 77.1 133
152 Brendon Todd 77.3 DNP
153 Adam Long 77.6 1
154 Martin Trainer 77.7 105
155 Brady Schnell 77.8 124
156 Hank Lebioda 77.8 74
157 Chris Thompson 78.1 148
158 Joey Garber 78.2 57
159 Mark Wilson 79.5 105
160 Mike Weir 81.4 139
161 Cooper Musselman 82.0 148
163 Michael Block 82.1 153
164 Charles Reiter 82.1 74
Dominic Bozzelli late entry 5
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 100. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship presented by EGA

January 15, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,

Tommy Fleetwood
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Tommy Fleetwood 14.0 42
2 Dustin Johnson 16.6 16
3 Brooks Koepka 24.2 9
4 Henrik Stenson 34.8 72
5 Tyrrell Hatton 36.4 72
6 Louis Oosthuizen 39.1 4
7 Rafa Cabrera Bello 40.6 11
8 Thomas Pieters 41.5 16
9 Ian Poulter 45.3 6
10 Thorbjorn Olesen 49.5 100
11 Haotong Li 53.3 72
12 Branden Grace 53.4 27
13 Shane Lowry 55.4 1
14 Byeong Hun An 55.4 84
15 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 55.5 117
16 Lee Westwood 57.2 16
17 Thomas Detry 57.2 65
18 Andrea Pavan 57.3 119
19 Alexander Bjork 59.5 32
20 Eddie Pepperell 59.7 49
21 Andy Sullivan 59.7 32
22 Joost Luiten 60.1 3
23 Lucas Bjerregaard 60.6 49
24 Matt Wallace 61.1 16
25 Ross Fisher 61.3 54
26 Martin Kaymer 61.4 22
27 Bernd Wiesberger 62.0 42
28 Tom Lewis 62.2 9
29 Ryan Fox 62.9 27
30 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 63.4 32
31 Adrian Otaegui 63.7 94
32 Robert Rock 64.0 72
33 Dean Burmester 64.2 49
34 Jordan Smith 64.2 11
35 Alexander Levy 65.2 67
36 Erik Van Rooyen 65.2 32
37 Chris Paisley 66.0 100
38 Pablo Larrazabal 66.2 6
39 Paul Dunne 66.3 111
40 Jason Scrivener 66.4 16
41 Sam Horsfield 66.5 32
42 Soren Kjeldsen 67.0 5
43 Jorge Campillo 67.2 54
44 Darren Fichardt 67.3 32
45 Marcus Kinhult 67.5 100
46 Matthias Schwab 67.5 22
47 Benjamin Hebert 67.8 27
48 Lucas Herbert 67.9 54
49 Andrew Johnston 67.9 119
50 Aaron Rai 68.1 54
51 Ashun Wu 68.2 111
52 Mikko Korhonen 68.7 84
53 Richard Sterne 68.7 2
54 Matthew Southgate 68.9 42
55 Shubhankar Sharma 68.9 84
56 Brandon Stone 69.0 72
57 Nicolas Colsaerts 69.1 42
58 Renato Paratore 69.1 54
59 Wade Ormsby 69.5 84
60 Stephen Gallacher 69.8 100
61 Hideto Tanihara 69.9 94
62 George Coetzee 69.9 72
63 Ashley Chesters 69.9 100
64 Fabrizio Zanotti 70.2 32
65 Joakim Lagergren 70.3 131
66 David Drysdale 70.4 72
67 Ricardo Gouveia 70.6 DNP
68 Richie Ramsay 70.6 69
69 Maximilian Kieffer 70.8 22
70 Oliver Fisher 70.9 119
71 Gaganjeet Bhullar 71.1 27
72 Nacho Elvira 71.5 72
73 Thomas Aiken 71.6 72
74 Jeunghun Wang 71.7 100
75 Scott Hend 71.7 27
76 Tapio Pulkkanen 71.8 84
77 Bradley Dredge 71.9 54
78 Callum Shinkwin 72.0 54
79 Kristoffer Broberg 72.0 130
80 Lee Slattery 72.2 100
81 Matthieu Pavon 72.2 84
82 David Horsey 72.2 11
83 Haydn Porteous 72.2 119
84 Scott Jamieson 72.2 11
85 Alejandro Canizares 72.4 DNP
86 Peter Hanson 72.4 100
87 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 72.5 127
88 Trevor Immelman 72.7 111
89 Thongchai Jaidee 72.8 72
90 Andres Romero 73.0 49
91 David Lipsky 73.2 16
92 Gavin Green 73.2 32
93 Sean Crocker 73.2 100
94 Richard McEvoy 73.5 94
95 Nino Bertasio 73.9 71
96 Jake McLeod 73.9 DNP
97 Paul Waring 74.0 6
98 Romain Wattel 74.1 94
99 Victor Perez 74.2 54
100 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 74.3 84
101 Raphael Jacquelin 74.3 63
102 Jacques Kruyswijk 74.6 111
103 Jeff Winther 74.6 DNP
104 Thomas Bjorn 74.7 22
105 Joachim B Hansen 74.7 54
106 Robert Karlsson 74.7 127
107 Steven Brown 74.8 84
108 Zander Lombard 74.8 70
109 Justin Walters 74.9 42
110 Sam Brazel 75.1 42
111 Jens Dantorp 75.1 94
112 Kim Koivu 75.1 111
113 James Morrison 75.1 32
114 Marcel Siem 75.2 72
115 Kurt Kitayama 75.3 67
116 Yusaku Miyazato 75.4 119
117 Alvaro Quiros 75.6 65
118 Edoardo Molinari 75.7 49
119 Robert MacIntyre 75.9 63
120 SSP Chawrasia 76.3 119
121 Grant Forrest 76.4 42
122 David Howell 76.8 DNP
123 Romain Langasque 77.1 DNP
124 Kalle Samooja 77.5 84
125 Jaco van Zyl 77.6 119
126 Hyo-won Park 77.8 DNP
127 Stuart Manley 78.4 111
128 Adri Arnaus 79.2 22
129 Sebastian Soderberg 79.4 72
130 Jack Singh Brar 79.6 32
131 David Law 80.2 117
132 Liam Johnston 80.3 100
133 Pedro Figueiredo 80.3 119
134 Min Woo Lee 81.1 DNP
135 Pelle Edberg 81.7 129
136 Jose Maria Olazabal 81.7 94
137 Saif Thabet 82.1 132
138 Charlie Saxon 82.1 DNP
139 Dominic Foos 82.1 11
140 Yuxin Lin 82.1 84
Minwoo Lee late entry 105
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 53. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 13, 2019)

January 15, 2019 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson is into 2019 as the no. 1 player world for the 34rd straight week.
# Thru Jan. 13, 2019 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1737 1
2 Justin Thomas 52 1702 2
3 Justin Rose 51 1633 4
4 Rickie Fowler 49 1622 5
5 Brooks Koepka 47 1560 3
6 Tiger Woods 23 1526 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 40 1492 7
8 Paul Casey 49 1448 8
9 Jason Day 45 1431 10
10 Webb Simpson 54 1429 9
11 Tony Finau 60 1413 11
12 Jordan Spieth 51 1370 12
13 Tommy Fleetwood 59 1350 13
14 Rory McIlroy 45 1315 14
15 Jon Rahm 53 1310 15
16 Phil Mickelson 49 1174 18
17 Louis Oosthuizen 45 1169 17
18 Henrik Stenson 45 1167 19
19 Francesco Molinari 52 1156 16
20 Xander Schauffele 56 1153 20
21 Marc Leishman 55 1119 23
22 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1116 21
23 Patrick Reed 65 1103 22
24 Alex Noren 49 1100 24
25 Bryson DeChambeau 60 1065 25
26 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 1057 27
27 Tyrrell Hatton 53 1053 28
28 Matt Kuchar 60 1028 26
29 Adam Scott 42 1023 29
30 Zach Johnson 50 992 30
31 Gary Woodland 58 958 33
32 Ian Poulter 58 957 31
33 Cameron Smith 55 930 34
34 Kyle Stanley 57 917 32
35 Adam Hadwin 55 873 35
36 Emiliano Grillo 56 869 38
37 Daniel Berger 49 863 37
38 Chez Reavie 57 862 42
39 Kevin Kisner 56 858 36
40 Ryan Moore 47 848 39
41 Brian Harman 56 843 45
42 Charley Hoffman 60 843 43
43 Sergio Garcia 48 842 41
44 Pat Perez 54 841 46
45 Charles Howell 52 838 40
46 Kevin Chappell 54 833 44
47 Bubba Watson 50 819 48
48 Luke List 60 816 49
49 Keegan Bradley 58 812 47
50 Steve Stricker 27 786 50
51 Billy Horschel 59 764 53
52 Aaron Wise 37 763 51
53 Chesson Hadley 45 755 57
54 Brandt Snedeker 46 754 52
55 Branden Grace 54 749 60
56 Joaquin Niemann 20 749 55
57 Ryan Palmer 45 749 59
58 Kevin Na 54 749 54
59 Graham DeLaet 25 743 56
60 Thomas Pieters 51 728 58
61 Byeong Hun An 59 718 62
62 Stewart Cink 51 714 61
63 Abraham Ancer 40 696 63
64 Bud Cauley 46 685 64
65 Jamie Lovemark 54 680 65
66 Lucas Glover 48 677 66
67 Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 675 67
68 Scott Piercy 49 670 69
69 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 58 667 70
70 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 666 68
71 Jason Kokrak 55 651 75
72 JB Holmes 51 648 71
73 Haotong Li 53 645 73
74 Shane Lowry 57 644 74
75 Russell Henley 51 635 72
76 Jason Dufner 53 635 76
77 Peter Uihlein 61 628 77
78 Jimmy Walker 44 628 78
79 CT Pan 61 618 82
80 Kevin Tway 59 617 79
81 Danny Lee 63 614 80
82 Si Woo Kim 61 606 87
83 Charl Schwartzel 51 604 84
84 Andrew Putnam 37 604 83
85 JJ Spaun 58 601 85
86 Beau Hossler 44 595 86
87 Brendan Steele 49 594 81
88 Kevin Streelman 53 567 89
89 Eddie Pepperell 45 562 90
90 Cameron Champ 18 562 92
91 Austin Cook 37 560 88
92 Harold Varner 65 554 93
93 Anirban Lahiri 56 548 91
94 Martin Laird 51 545 94
95 Russell Knox 61 540 96
96 Lee Westwood 45 535 95
97 Chris Kirk 57 534 99
98 Patrick Rodgers 57 532 98
99 Brian Gay 57 532 97
100 Rory Sabbatini 50 516 101
101 James Hahn 54 513 105
102 Nick Watney 52 508 100
103 Bronson Burgoon 32 496 104
104 Bill Haas 51 493 103
105 Andrea Pavan 34 492 108
106 Bernd Wiesberger 39 491 102
107 Julian Suri 43 491 106
108 Keith Mitchell 38 487 107
109 Andy Sullivan 52 481 110
110 Ross Fisher 51 477 109
111 Ryan Armour 57 474 112
112 Dylan Frittelli 63 472 113
113 Brice Garnett 41 470 111
114 Jhonattan Vegas 58 469 115
115 Chase Wright 9 464 116
116 Jerry Kelly 8 463 124
117 Alexander Bjork 56 462 114
118 Patton Kizzire 59 459 127
119 Ryan Fox 54 451 117
120 Jim Furyk 34 450 122
121 Sam Ryder 36 446 118
122 Graeme McDowell 57 444 119
123 Anders Albertson 13 443 120
124 Richy Werenski 59 441 123
125 Joel Dahmen 52 440 121
126 Grayson Murray 53 434 126
127 Sung-jae Im 14 432 128
128 William McGirt 51 428 125
129 Ryan Blaum 57 420 130
130 Joost Luiten 42 418 131
131 Vaughn Taylor 53 415 133
132 Sean O’Hair 51 413 129
133 Sam Burns 20 409 134
134 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 407 136
135 John Oda 13 400 137
136 Brandon Harkins 39 399 139
137 Erik Van Rooyen 33 398 135
138 Jordan Smith 55 397 138
139 Morgan Hoffmann 34 396 132
140 Matt Wallace 55 394 143
141 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 47 394 140
142 Scott Brown 63 391 142
143 Ben Martin 43 391 144
144 Alexander Levy 52 388 152
145 Nick Taylor 61 387 141
146 Thomas Detry 56 386 149
147 Adrian Otaegui 58 386 153
148 Aaron Baddeley 50 384 154
149 Sam Saunders 56 384 150
150 Paul Dunne 55 383 155
151 Chase Seiffert 8 382 146
152 Chris Wood 51 379 147
153 Ollie Schniederjans 58 379 151
154 Ted Potter 39 379 145
155 Scott Stallings 58 372 156
156 Seung-yul Noh 27 371 148
157 Michael Thompson 43 369 159
158 Denny McCarthy 35 366 160
159 Whee Kim 60 362 163
160 Troy Merritt 62 362 167
161 Martin Kaymer 53 361 157
162 Victor Dubuisson 21 361 169
163 David Hearn 56 358 164
164 David Lingmerth 58 357 161
165 Tom Hoge 57 356 168
166 Andrew Landry 36 356 165
167 Hudson Swafford 51 354 158
168 Kramer Hickok 13 354 166
169 Tom Lewis 40 353 172
170 Sung Kang 61 352 162
171 Jim Knous 9 350 173
172 Dean Burmester 50 346 170
173 Danny Willett 47 345 174
174 Soren Kjeldsen 53 344 171
175 Dylan Meyer 15 333 175
176 Seamus Power 57 332 176
177 Johnson Wagner 52 330 181
178 Jorge Campillo 55 329 178
179 Marcus Kinhult 30 329 179
180 Lucas Herbert 27 326 183
181 Robert Garrigus 56 324 180
182 Cameron Davis 15 324 184
183 Chris Paisley 51 323 191
184 Brandon Hagy 29 323 177
185 Robert Rock 50 322 188
186 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 321 190
187 Adam Schenk 41 320 187
188 JT Poston 54 320 182
189 Matthew Southgate 55 319 186
190 Robert Streb 64 315 189
191 Mackenzie Hughes 57 314 185
192 Richard Sterne 46 310 192
193 Harris English 60 308 193
194 Darren Fichardt 45 308 197
195 Shubhankar Sharma 40 307 194
196 Andrew Johnston 41 305 196
197 Corey Conners 42 304 198
198 Tyler Duncan 41 302 195
199 Trey Mullinax 55 300 200
200 Benjamin Hebert 47 297 203
201 Hideto Tanihara 47 294 199
202 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 293 204
203 Kelly Kraft 61 290 201
204 John Huh 57 286 205
205 Chad Campbell 59 283 202
206 Richie Ramsay 51 277 207
207 Chris Stroud 50 277 215
208 Stephen Gallacher 51 276 209
209 Hunter Mahan 55 276 218
210 Retief Goosen 41 275 213
211 Matthias Schwab 30 275 212
212 Brandon Stone 53 275 206
213 Ben Crane 53 274 214
214 Pablo Larrazabal 49 272 208
215 Sam Horsfield 40 272 216
216 Alex Cejka 58 271 217
217 Fabrizio Zanotti 44 270 219
218 Jason Gore 12 270 211
219 Dominic Bozzelli 48 267 221
220 Brian Stuard 65 267 222
221 Seth Reeves 13 264 220
222 Satoshi Kodaira 32 264 210
223 Talor Gooch 39 262 227
224 Nate Lashley 28 260 226
225 Padraig Harrington 50 259 223
226 Aaron Rai 45 259 225
227 Tyrone van Aswegen 66 259 229
228 Mikko Korhonen 49 259 228
229 Nacho Elvira 56 256 230
230 Jason Scrivener 57 254 233
231 Peter Malnati 60 254 231
232 Cameron Percy 46 249 232
233 Ashun Wu 54 249 238
234 George Coetzee 54 249 234
235 Derek Fathauer 55 249 236
236 Boo Weekley 22 242 246
237 Matt Jones 53 241 235
238 Callum Shinkwin 42 241 240
239 Doug Ghim 12 239 243
240 Anthony Wall 26 239 237
241 Camilo Villegas 38 239 241
242 Julian Etulain 28 239 239
243 Matthieu Pavon 57 238 244
244 Wesley Bryan 52 238 224
245 JJ Henry 60 238 242
246 Wade Ormsby 54 237 245
247 DJ Trahan 13 232 247
248 Shawn Stefani 61 230 248
249 Stephan Jaeger 41 226 249
250 Seung-su Han 20 224 254
251 Benjamin Silverman 39 222 252
252 Scott Hend 57 221 251
253 Kristoffer Broberg 12 220 264
254 Martin Flores 55 220 257
255 Scott Jamieson 54 219 255
256 Blayne Barber 48 219 253
257 Si-hwan Kim 10 219 260
258 David Drysdale 60 218 256
259 Lee Slattery 54 216 259
260 Roberto Castro 30 216 267
261 Graeme Storm 34 215 258
262 Ashley Chesters 56 213 262
263 David Horsey 48 212 268
264 Joakim Lagergren 51 211 265
265 Tag Ridings 21 211 261
266 Nicholas Lindheim 53 210 274
267 Ricky Barnes 59 209 266
268 Michael Kim 56 208 250
269 Jeunghun Wang 58 207 271
270 Renato Paratore 56 207 269
271 Jonathan Byrd 41 206 270
272 David Lipsky 55 206 272
273 Jonas Blixt 54 204 263
274 Oliver Fisher 55 203 276
275 Mikko Ilonen 41 203 278
276 Haydn Porteous 64 202 280
277 Curtis Luck 33 201 273
278 Jake McLeod 9 200 279
279 Maximilian Kieffer 52 200 277
280 Daniel Summerhays 53 199 275
281 TJ Vogel 8 199 285
282 Trevor Immelman 29 198 283
283 Yi Keun Chang 10 198 282
284 Daisuke Kataoka 22 194 288
285 Tapio Pulkkanen 32 193 290
286 Nino Bertasio 59 193 291
287 Martin Piller 42 192 292
288 Matt Every 62 192 296
289 Julien Guerrier 36 191 293
290 Smylie Kaufman 45 188 281
291 Bradley Dredge 46 188 286
292 Carlos Ortiz 14 187 294
293 Steve Marino 20 184 303
294 Zac Blair 57 184 287
295 Rick Lamb 29 183 297
296 Luke Donald 33 183 284
297 Tom Lovelady 38 180 301
298 Greg Chalmers 47 180 306
299 KJ Choi 36 179 302
300 Will MacKenzie 15 179 289
301 Fabian Gomez 53 179 298
302 Spencer Levin 31 179 300
303 Thomas Aiken 50 177 299
304 Andres Gonzales 25 177 295
305 Ricardo Gouveia 57 177 305
306 Gaganjeet Bhullar 26 174 304
307 Scott Langley 14 174 307
308 Sean Crocker 18 172 308
309 Poom Saksansin 21 171 312
310 Marc Warren 55 171 318
311 Victor Perez 14 171 310
312 Rikard Karlberg 21 170 316
313 Andres Romero 39 169 309
314 John Catlin 9 169 313
315 Lanto Griffin 34 168 315
316 Paul Waring 48 167 323
317 Romain Wattel 48 167 326
318 Alex Prugh 12 166 321
319 Gavin Green 38 166 314
320 Rob Oppenheim 38 166 319
321 Jose-Filipe Lima 30 165 333
322 Roberto Diaz 40 165 329
323 Richard McEvoy 31 164 325
324 Thongchai Jaidee 46 163 317
325 Kurt Kitayama 9 162 322
326 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 35 161 331
327 Austin Connelly 48 159 330
328 Geoff Ogilvy 42 159 320
329 Tim Wilkinson 27 159 327
330 Marcus Fraser 46 159 336
331 Micah Lauren Shin 12 158 334
332 John Peterson 31 157 328
333 Henrik Norlander 14 156 324
334 Oliver Wilson 13 154 339
335 Vijay Singh 27 154 332
336 Kyle Reifers 32 153 335
337 Kyle Jones 9 152 344
338 Hyun-woo Ryu 12 151 346
339 Steve Wheatcroft 44 149 340
340 Johan Carlsson 30 149 342
341 Brian Campbell 24 148 337
342 Sang-hyun Park 13 147 348
343 Greg Owen 17 147 343
344 Sebastian Munoz 30 147 341
345 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 41 146 349
346 Cameron Tringale 60 145 345
347 Andrew Dodt 49 144 347
348 Matthew Nixon 38 144 354
349 Peter Hanson 39 143 350
350 Jacques Kruyswijk 32 143 353
351 Brett Stegmaier 51 143 355
352 Berry Henson 8 142 357
353 Jonathan Randolph 52 140 351
354 Wes Roach 12 140 356
355 Sang-Moon Bae 24 139 358
356 Jim Herman 37 138 311
357 Brett Drewitt 25 136 361
358 Ryan Brehm 25 135 360
359 Oscar Lengden 8 134 371
360 DA Points 47 132 352
361 Yuta Ikeda 29 131 362
362 Rafael Campos 13 131 338
363 Davis Love 26 131 366
364 Kyung-tae Kim 14 131 359
365 Oliver Bekker 15 130 364
366 Neil Schietekat 11 130 369
367 Shugo Imahira 16 127 372
368 Adam Bland 32 127 365
369 Alejandro Canizares 41 126 379
370 Paul Peterson 47 126 374
371 Steven Brown 33 126 367
372 Jamie Donaldson 46 126 370
373 Gavin Moynihan 20 125 368
374 Prayad Marksaeng 13 125 382
375 Matthew Millar 13 125 375
376 Justin Harding 17 124 377
377 Parker McLachlin 17 124 376
378 Bryce Easton 9 123 387
379 Kim Koivu 14 122 386
380 Adrien Saddier 37 122 381
381 Chad Collins 32 122 363
382 Masahiro Kawamura 20 122 388
383 Brad Kennedy 10 121 393
384 Joachim B Hansen 11 121 384
385 KH Lee 15 120 389
386 Marcel Siem 55 120 392
387 Phachara Khongwatmai 54 120 391
388 Gregory Havret 56 119 395
389 Richard Bland 49 119 385
390 Jarryd Felton 10 118 398
391 Justin Walters 55 118 394
392 Stuart Appleby 36 118 390
393 Roger Sloan 14 117 397
394 Ethan Tracy 31 117 400
395 Mark Anderson 25 117 383
396 Yusaku Miyazato 33 117 406
397 Bryce Molder 22 117 396
398 Ben Eccles 11 117 402
399 Jaco van Zyl 24 116 373
400 Clement Sordet 33 116 411
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A Look at the Sony Open in Hawaii

January 8, 2019 Thomas Hawley

With a nice record in this event, a game well-suited to the Waialae Country Club course, and a nice week in Hawaii already under his belt, Justin Thomas looks like a solid choice as favorite in this week’s Sony Open in Hawaii.

The only other top-10 player in the field is Paul Casey, no. 8, and he is the second pick.

Last week Thomas was named to a list of the “Ten Best-Mannered People” from 2018 by the National League of Junior Cotillions. Well of course, that plus four bucks will get you an excellent coffee. Nice guy that he is, Thomas didn’t do much last fall after a solid 4-1 showing in the Ryder Cup. He was fifth in the CIMB, then outside the top 20 in the CJ Cup and 12th in the World Challenge. Overall he’s just about where he was at this time last year, no. 2 in the world per the Read more

Sony Open in Hawaii

January 8, 2019 Thomas Hawley ,

Justin Thomas
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Justin Thomas 10.6 16
2 Paul Casey 30.4 94
3 Gary Woodland 32.3 80
4 Zach Johnson 36.8 82
5 Jordan Spieth 38.6 82
6 Marc Leishman 39.0 3
7 Bryson DeChambeau 40.5 10
8 Hideki Matsuyama 43.3 51
9 Patrick Reed 43.7 13
10 Adam Hadwin 44.4 57
11 Charles Howell 44.7 8
12 Matt Kuchar 44.9 1
13 Adam Scott 45.2 138
14 Scott Piercy 45.3 34
15 Ian Poulter 45.4 37
16 Emiliano Grillo 45.5 28
17 Chez Reavie 47.7 5
18 Kyle Stanley 47.8 27
19 Kevin Kisner 48.4 70
20 Pat Perez 48.5 92
21 Abraham Ancer 49.5 31
22 Brian Harman 50.2 134
23 Cameron Smith 50.4 22
24 Jamie Lovemark 51.1 105
25 Jimmy Walker 51.8 55
26 Si Woo Kim 52.5 85
27 Keegan Bradley 52.6 29
28 Russell Knox 52.9 45
29 Kevin Na 53.1 DNP
30 Andrew Putnam 53.4 2
31 Steve Stricker 54.3 75
32 Brandt Snedeker 54.7 17
33 Kevin Tway 54.8 88
34 Bubba Watson 54.9 117
35 Jerry Kelly 54.9 91
36 Stewart Cink 56.6 21
37 Danny Lee 57.2 71
38 Jason Kokrak 57.4 DNP
39 Ryan Armour 58.0 24
40 Russell Henley 58.4 66
41 Patrick Rodgers 58.9 141
42 Chris Kirk 59.2 89
43 Cameron Champ 59.4 73
44 Jason Dufner 59.7 76
45 Keith Mitchell 60.3 19
46 Patton Kizzire 60.5 14
47 Brian Gay 60.8 25
48 Rory Sabbatini 60.8 35
49 James Hahn 61.1 103
50 Brice Garnett 61.3 41
51 Anirban Lahiri 61.5 50
52 Joel Dahmen 61.7 23
53 Sam Ryder 62.5 99
54 Ryan Blaum 62.7 64
55 Dylan Frittelli 62.9 52
56 Bill Haas 64.2 DNP
57 Hudson Swafford 65.0 4
58 Johnson Wagner 65.1 67
59 Troy Merritt 65.8 116
60 Michael Thompson 65.9 69
61 Adam Schenk 66.0 137
62 Vaughn Taylor 66.0 125
63 Nick Taylor 66.2 128
64 Ted Potter 66.3 15
65 Robert Streb 66.3 111
66 Ben Martin 66.4 113
67 Aaron Baddeley 66.7 DNP
68 Sean O’Hair 66.8 77
69 Whee Kim 67.0 98
70 Sam Burns 67.3 95
71 David Hearn 67.3 90
72 Grayson Murray 67.5 DNP
73 Chase Wright 67.6 57
74 Sam Saunders 67.8 38
75 Harris English 67.8 26
76 Brandon Harkins 68.0 56
77 Corey Conners 68.0 6
78 Tom Hoge 68.3 86
79 Sung Kang 68.4 10
80 Kramer Hickok 68.4 132
81 JT Poston 68.6 20
82 Ollie Schniederjans 68.7 118
83 Seamus Power 69.0 142
84 Nate Lashley 69.1 DNP
85 Scott Brown 69.1 36
86 Andrew Landry 69.6 133
87 Stephan Jaeger 69.6 43
88 Shawn Stefani 69.7 139
89 Cameron Davis 69.8 126
90 Dominic Bozzelli 69.8 42
91 Fabian Gomez 69.9 61
92 Tyler Duncan 70.0 58
93 Satoshi Kodaira 70.1 120
94 Peter Malnati 70.1 110
95 Mackenzie Hughes 70.1 78
96 Brian Stuard 70.2 8
97 John Huh 70.3 101
98 Jim Knous 70.7 53
99 Steve Marino 71.0 129
100 Talor Gooch 71.0 83
101 Kelly Kraft 71.0 100
102 Trey Mullinax 71.1 63
103 Seth Reeves 71.2 136
104 Scott Langley 71.3 44
105 Nicholas Lindheim 71.3 121
106 Matt Jones 71.3 30
107 Julian Etulain 71.5 46
108 Benjamin Silverman 71.8 84
109 JJ Henry 72.2 135
110 Carlos Ortiz 72.2 32
111 Roberto Diaz 72.6 127
112 Michael Kim 72.8 96
113 Curtis Luck 73.1 DNP
114 Alex Prugh 73.1 51
115 Jonas Blixt 73.4 122
116 Martin Piller 73.6 DNP
117 Wes Roach 73.8 59
118 Jim Herman 74.3 49
119 Yuta Ikeda 74.3 115
120 Davis Love 74.4 7
121 Sebastian Munoz 74.4 11
122 Sang-Moon Bae 74.5 104
123 KH Lee 74.5 114
124 Kyle Jones 74.8 138
125 Luke Donald 75.0 107
126 Sepp Straka 75.2 94
127 Roger Sloan 75.4 39
128 Adam Svensson 75.7 47
129 Max Homa 75.8 97
130 Vijay Singh 76.0 143
131 Josh Teater 76.1 123
132 Wyndham Clark 76.1 82
133 Shugo Imahira 76.1 33
134 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 76.8 60
135 John Chin 77.1 112
136 Adam Long 77.5 102
137 Martin Trainer 77.6 74
138 Brady Schnell 77.7 79
139 Hank Lebioda 77.8 48
140 Rikuya Hoshino 77.8 68
141 Chris Thompson 78.1 124
142 Joey Garber 78.2 81
143 Yuki Inamori 78.2 65
144 YE Yang 79.3 40
145 Colt Knost 81.0 106
146 Takumi Kanaya 81.4 109
147 Kenny Perry 81.5 130
148 Eric Dugas 82.1 72
149 Sungjae Im 82.1 18
150 Peter Jung 82.1 144
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 39. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 6, 2019)

January 8, 2019 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson heads into 2019 as the no. 1 player world for the 33rd straight week.
# Thru Jan. 6, 2019 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1737 1
2 Justin Thomas 52 1702 2
3 Justin Rose 51 1633 4
4 Rickie Fowler 49 1622 5
5 Brooks Koepka 47 1560 3
6 Tiger Woods 23 1526 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 40 1492 7
8 Paul Casey 49 1448 8
9 Jason Day 45 1431 10
10 Webb Simpson 54 1429 9
11 Tony Finau 60 1413 11
12 Jordan Spieth 51 1370 12
13 Tommy Fleetwood 59 1350 13
14 Rory McIlroy 45 1315 14
15 Jon Rahm 53 1310 15
16 Phil Mickelson 49 1174 18
17 Louis Oosthuizen 45 1169 17
18 Henrik Stenson 45 1167 19
19 Francesco Molinari 52 1156 16
20 Xander Schauffele 56 1153 20
21 Marc Leishman 55 1119 23
22 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1116 21
23 Patrick Reed 65 1103 22
24 Alex Noren 49 1100 24
25 Bryson DeChambeau 60 1065 25
26 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 1057 27
27 Tyrrell Hatton 53 1053 28
28 Matt Kuchar 60 1028 26
29 Adam Scott 42 1023 29
30 Zach Johnson 50 992 30
31 Gary Woodland 58 958 33
32 Ian Poulter 58 957 31
33 Cameron Smith 55 930 34
34 Kyle Stanley 57 917 32
35 Adam Hadwin 55 873 35
36 Emiliano Grillo 56 869 38
37 Daniel Berger 49 863 37
38 Chez Reavie 57 862 42
39 Kevin Kisner 56 858 36
40 Ryan Moore 47 848 39
41 Brian Harman 56 843 45
42 Charley Hoffman 60 843 43
43 Sergio Garcia 48 842 41
44 Pat Perez 54 841 46
45 Charles Howell 52 838 40
46 Kevin Chappell 54 833 44
47 Bubba Watson 50 819 48
48 Luke List 60 816 49
49 Keegan Bradley 58 812 47
50 Steve Stricker 27 786 50
51 Billy Horschel 59 764 53
52 Aaron Wise 37 763 51
53 Chesson Hadley 45 755 57
54 Brandt Snedeker 46 754 52
55 Branden Grace 54 749 60
56 Joaquin Niemann 20 749 55
57 Ryan Palmer 45 749 59
58 Kevin Na 54 749 54
59 Graham DeLaet 25 743 56
60 Thomas Pieters 51 728 58
61 Byeong Hun An 59 718 62
62 Stewart Cink 51 714 61
63 Abraham Ancer 40 696 63
64 Bud Cauley 46 685 64
65 Jamie Lovemark 54 680 65
66 Lucas Glover 48 677 66
67 Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 675 67
68 Scott Piercy 49 670 69
69 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 58 667 70
70 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 666 68
71 Jason Kokrak 55 651 75
72 JB Holmes 51 648 71
73 Haotong Li 53 645 73
74 Shane Lowry 57 644 74
75 Russell Henley 51 635 72
76 Jason Dufner 53 635 76
77 Peter Uihlein 61 628 77
78 Jimmy Walker 44 628 78
79 CT Pan 61 618 82
80 Kevin Tway 59 617 79
81 Danny Lee 63 614 80
82 Si Woo Kim 61 606 87
83 Charl Schwartzel 51 604 84
84 Andrew Putnam 37 604 83
85 JJ Spaun 58 601 85
86 Beau Hossler 44 595 86
87 Brendan Steele 49 594 81
88 Kevin Streelman 53 567 89
89 Eddie Pepperell 45 562 90
90 Cameron Champ 18 562 92
91 Austin Cook 37 560 88
92 Harold Varner 65 554 93
93 Anirban Lahiri 56 548 91
94 Martin Laird 51 545 94
95 Russell Knox 61 540 96
96 Lee Westwood 45 535 95
97 Chris Kirk 57 534 99
98 Patrick Rodgers 57 532 98
99 Brian Gay 57 532 97
100 Rory Sabbatini 50 516 101
101 James Hahn 54 513 105
102 Nick Watney 52 508 100
103 Bronson Burgoon 32 496 104
104 Bill Haas 51 493 103
105 Andrea Pavan 34 492 108
106 Bernd Wiesberger 39 491 102
107 Julian Suri 43 491 106
108 Keith Mitchell 38 487 107
109 Andy Sullivan 52 481 110
110 Ross Fisher 51 477 109
111 Ryan Armour 57 474 112
112 Dylan Frittelli 63 472 113
113 Brice Garnett 41 470 111
114 Jhonattan Vegas 58 469 115
115 Chase Wright 9 464 116
116 Jerry Kelly 8 463 124
117 Alexander Bjork 56 462 114
118 Patton Kizzire 59 459 127
119 Ryan Fox 54 451 117
120 Jim Furyk 34 450 122
121 Sam Ryder 36 446 118
122 Graeme McDowell 57 444 119
123 Anders Albertson 13 443 120
124 Richy Werenski 59 441 123
125 Joel Dahmen 52 440 121
126 Grayson Murray 53 434 126
127 Sung-jae Im 14 432 128
128 William McGirt 51 428 125
129 Ryan Blaum 57 420 130
130 Joost Luiten 42 418 131
131 Vaughn Taylor 53 415 133
132 Sean O’Hair 51 413 129
133 Sam Burns 20 409 134
134 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 407 136
135 John Oda 13 400 137
136 Brandon Harkins 39 399 139
137 Erik Van Rooyen 33 398 135
138 Jordan Smith 55 397 138
139 Morgan Hoffmann 34 396 132
140 Matt Wallace 55 394 143
141 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 47 394 140
142 Scott Brown 63 391 142
143 Ben Martin 43 391 144
144 Alexander Levy 52 388 152
145 Nick Taylor 61 387 141
146 Thomas Detry 56 386 149
147 Adrian Otaegui 58 386 153
148 Aaron Baddeley 50 384 154
149 Sam Saunders 56 384 150
150 Paul Dunne 55 383 155
151 Chase Seiffert 8 382 146
152 Chris Wood 51 379 147
153 Ollie Schniederjans 58 379 151
154 Ted Potter 39 379 145
155 Scott Stallings 58 372 156
156 Seung-yul Noh 27 371 148
157 Michael Thompson 43 369 159
158 Denny McCarthy 35 366 160
159 Whee Kim 60 362 163
160 Troy Merritt 62 362 167
161 Martin Kaymer 53 361 157
162 Victor Dubuisson 21 361 169
163 David Hearn 56 358 164
164 David Lingmerth 58 357 161
165 Tom Hoge 57 356 168
166 Andrew Landry 36 356 165
167 Hudson Swafford 51 354 158
168 Kramer Hickok 13 354 166
169 Tom Lewis 40 353 172
170 Sung Kang 61 352 162
171 Jim Knous 9 350 173
172 Dean Burmester 50 346 170
173 Danny Willett 47 345 174
174 Soren Kjeldsen 53 344 171
175 Dylan Meyer 15 333 175
176 Seamus Power 57 332 176
177 Johnson Wagner 52 330 181
178 Jorge Campillo 55 329 178
179 Marcus Kinhult 30 329 179
180 Lucas Herbert 27 326 183
181 Robert Garrigus 56 324 180
182 Cameron Davis 15 324 184
183 Chris Paisley 51 323 191
184 Brandon Hagy 29 323 177
185 Robert Rock 50 322 188
186 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 321 190
187 Adam Schenk 41 320 187
188 JT Poston 54 320 182
189 Matthew Southgate 55 319 186
190 Robert Streb 64 315 189
191 Mackenzie Hughes 57 314 185
192 Richard Sterne 46 310 192
193 Harris English 60 308 193
194 Darren Fichardt 45 308 197
195 Shubhankar Sharma 40 307 194
196 Andrew Johnston 41 305 196
197 Corey Conners 42 304 198
198 Tyler Duncan 41 302 195
199 Trey Mullinax 55 300 200
200 Benjamin Hebert 47 297 203
201 Hideto Tanihara 47 294 199
202 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 293 204
203 Kelly Kraft 61 290 201
204 John Huh 57 286 205
205 Chad Campbell 59 283 202
206 Richie Ramsay 51 277 207
207 Chris Stroud 50 277 215
208 Stephen Gallacher 51 276 209
209 Hunter Mahan 55 276 218
210 Retief Goosen 41 275 213
211 Matthias Schwab 30 275 212
212 Brandon Stone 53 275 206
213 Ben Crane 53 274 214
214 Pablo Larrazabal 49 272 208
215 Sam Horsfield 40 272 216
216 Alex Cejka 58 271 217
217 Fabrizio Zanotti 44 270 219
218 Jason Gore 12 270 211
219 Dominic Bozzelli 48 267 221
220 Brian Stuard 65 267 222
221 Seth Reeves 13 264 220
222 Satoshi Kodaira 32 264 210
223 Talor Gooch 39 262 227
224 Nate Lashley 28 260 226
225 Padraig Harrington 50 259 223
226 Aaron Rai 45 259 225
227 Tyrone van Aswegen 66 259 229
228 Mikko Korhonen 49 259 228
229 Nacho Elvira 56 256 230
230 Jason Scrivener 57 254 233
231 Peter Malnati 60 254 231
232 Cameron Percy 46 249 232
233 Ashun Wu 54 249 238
234 George Coetzee 54 249 234
235 Derek Fathauer 55 249 236
236 Boo Weekley 22 242 246
237 Matt Jones 53 241 235
238 Callum Shinkwin 42 241 240
239 Doug Ghim 12 239 243
240 Anthony Wall 26 239 237
241 Camilo Villegas 38 239 241
242 Julian Etulain 28 239 239
243 Matthieu Pavon 57 238 244
244 Wesley Bryan 52 238 224
245 JJ Henry 60 238 242
246 Wade Ormsby 54 237 245
247 DJ Trahan 13 232 247
248 Shawn Stefani 61 230 248
249 Stephan Jaeger 41 226 249
250 Seung-su Han 20 224 254
251 Benjamin Silverman 39 222 252
252 Scott Hend 57 221 251
253 Kristoffer Broberg 12 220 264
254 Martin Flores 55 220 257
255 Scott Jamieson 54 219 255
256 Blayne Barber 48 219 253
257 Si-hwan Kim 10 219 260
258 David Drysdale 60 218 256
259 Lee Slattery 54 216 259
260 Roberto Castro 30 216 267
261 Graeme Storm 34 215 258
262 Ashley Chesters 56 213 262
263 David Horsey 48 212 268
264 Joakim Lagergren 51 211 265
265 Tag Ridings 21 211 261
266 Nicholas Lindheim 53 210 274
267 Ricky Barnes 59 209 266
268 Michael Kim 56 208 250
269 Jeunghun Wang 58 207 271
270 Renato Paratore 56 207 269
271 Jonathan Byrd 41 206 270
272 David Lipsky 55 206 272
273 Jonas Blixt 54 204 263
274 Oliver Fisher 55 203 276
275 Mikko Ilonen 41 203 278
276 Haydn Porteous 64 202 280
277 Curtis Luck 33 201 273
278 Jake McLeod 9 200 279
279 Maximilian Kieffer 52 200 277
280 Daniel Summerhays 53 199 275
281 TJ Vogel 8 199 285
282 Trevor Immelman 29 198 283
283 Yi Keun Chang 10 198 282
284 Daisuke Kataoka 22 194 288
285 Tapio Pulkkanen 32 193 290
286 Nino Bertasio 59 193 291
287 Martin Piller 42 192 292
288 Matt Every 62 192 296
289 Julien Guerrier 36 191 293
290 Smylie Kaufman 45 188 281
291 Bradley Dredge 46 188 286
292 Carlos Ortiz 14 187 294
293 Steve Marino 20 184 303
294 Zac Blair 57 184 287
295 Rick Lamb 29 183 297
296 Luke Donald 33 183 284
297 Tom Lovelady 38 180 301
298 Greg Chalmers 47 180 306
299 KJ Choi 36 179 302
300 Will MacKenzie 15 179 289
301 Fabian Gomez 53 179 298
302 Spencer Levin 31 179 300
303 Thomas Aiken 50 177 299
304 Andres Gonzales 25 177 295
305 Ricardo Gouveia 57 177 305
306 Gaganjeet Bhullar 26 174 304
307 Scott Langley 14 174 307
308 Sean Crocker 18 172 308
309 Poom Saksansin 21 171 312
310 Marc Warren 55 171 318
311 Victor Perez 14 171 310
312 Rikard Karlberg 21 170 316
313 Andres Romero 39 169 309
314 John Catlin 9 169 313
315 Lanto Griffin 34 168 315
316 Paul Waring 48 167 323
317 Romain Wattel 48 167 326
318 Alex Prugh 12 166 321
319 Gavin Green 38 166 314
320 Rob Oppenheim 38 166 319
321 Jose-Filipe Lima 30 165 333
322 Roberto Diaz 40 165 329
323 Richard McEvoy 31 164 325
324 Thongchai Jaidee 46 163 317
325 Kurt Kitayama 9 162 322
326 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 35 161 331
327 Austin Connelly 48 159 330
328 Geoff Ogilvy 42 159 320
329 Tim Wilkinson 27 159 327
330 Marcus Fraser 46 159 336
331 Micah Lauren Shin 12 158 334
332 John Peterson 31 157 328
333 Henrik Norlander 14 156 324
334 Oliver Wilson 13 154 339
335 Vijay Singh 27 154 332
336 Kyle Reifers 32 153 335
337 Kyle Jones 9 152 344
338 Hyun-woo Ryu 12 151 346
339 Steve Wheatcroft 44 149 340
340 Johan Carlsson 30 149 342
341 Brian Campbell 24 148 337
342 Sang-hyun Park 13 147 348
343 Greg Owen 17 147 343
344 Sebastian Munoz 30 147 341
345 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 41 146 349
346 Cameron Tringale 60 145 345
347 Andrew Dodt 49 144 347
348 Matthew Nixon 38 144 354
349 Peter Hanson 39 143 350
350 Jacques Kruyswijk 32 143 353
351 Brett Stegmaier 51 143 355
352 Berry Henson 8 142 357
353 Jonathan Randolph 52 140 351
354 Wes Roach 12 140 356
355 Sang-Moon Bae 24 139 358
356 Jim Herman 37 138 311
357 Brett Drewitt 25 136 361
358 Ryan Brehm 25 135 360
359 Oscar Lengden 8 134 371
360 DA Points 47 132 352
361 Yuta Ikeda 29 131 362
362 Rafael Campos 13 131 338
363 Davis Love 26 131 366
364 Kyung-tae Kim 14 131 359
365 Oliver Bekker 15 130 364
366 Neil Schietekat 11 130 369
367 Shugo Imahira 16 127 372
368 Adam Bland 32 127 365
369 Alejandro Canizares 41 126 379
370 Paul Peterson 47 126 374
371 Steven Brown 33 126 367
372 Jamie Donaldson 46 126 370
373 Gavin Moynihan 20 125 368
374 Prayad Marksaeng 13 125 382
375 Matthew Millar 13 125 375
376 Justin Harding 17 124 377
377 Parker McLachlin 17 124 376
378 Bryce Easton 9 123 387
379 Kim Koivu 14 122 386
380 Adrien Saddier 37 122 381
381 Chad Collins 32 122 363
382 Masahiro Kawamura 20 122 388
383 Brad Kennedy 10 121 393
384 Joachim B Hansen 11 121 384
385 KH Lee 15 120 389
386 Marcel Siem 55 120 392
387 Phachara Khongwatmai 54 120 391
388 Gregory Havret 56 119 395
389 Richard Bland 49 119 385
390 Jarryd Felton 10 118 398
391 Justin Walters 55 118 394
392 Stuart Appleby 36 118 390
393 Roger Sloan 14 117 397
394 Ethan Tracy 31 117 400
395 Mark Anderson 25 117 383
396 Yusaku Miyazato 33 117 406
397 Bryce Molder 22 117 396
398 Ben Eccles 11 117 402
399 Jaco van Zyl 24 116 373
400 Clement Sordet 33 116 411
More | Less

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

A look at the Sentry Tournament of Champions

December 31, 2018 Thomas Hawley

A very good field including several of the world’s top golfers is gathering this week on the west edge of Maui for the Sentry Tournament of Champions. It’s almost good enough to make people forget about the three names that are missing from the first PGA Tour event of 2019. So let’s start at the top. Dustin Johnson breezed home by eight strokes in this event last year, and he presents himself as somewhat of a flawed favorite this time.

Johnson has continued as no. 1 player in the world per the Hawley Ratings for 32 straight weeks (somewhat in contrast to the Official World Golf Ratings, which have featured Brooks Koepka and Justin Rose alternating in and out of the top spot all fall). Also Johnson ranks second in the field in the extent to which his statistical profile matches what has been successful on the Kapalua Plantation Course the past several years. (Cameron Champ is first.) The down-side on Johnson is that he has played farther below his rating than any other player in this field in the period between the Tour Championship and Dec. 31, his rating having dropped 180 points. Johnson appeared three times, going 1-4 in the Ryder Cup, 30th at the HSBC, and seventh at the World Challenge.

There have been about 20 regular tour and “silly season” events featuring primarily U.S. and European Read more

Sentry Tournament of Champions

December 30, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson 10.0 4
2 Justin Thomas 14.9 3
3 Brooks Koepka 18.1 24
4 Jason Day 19.8 13
5 Webb Simpson 22.8 8
6 Patrick Reed 25.4 25
7 Paul Casey 29.3 16
8 Jon Rahm 32.1 8
9 Rory McIlroy 34.5 4
10 Francesco Molinari 35.4 27
11 Xander Schauffele 39.8 1
12 Marc Leishman 40.3 4
13 Bryson DeChambeau 42.2 7
14 Ian Poulter 42.3 18
15 Gary Woodland 45.5 2
16 Billy Horschel 46.2 25
17 Matt Kuchar 48.3 19
18 Keegan Bradley 48.6 27
19 Aaron Wise 48.7 27
20 Scott Piercy 49.7 19
21 Charles Howell 50.5 14
22 Brandt Snedeker 51.0 22
23 Bubba Watson 51.4 31
24 Kevin Tway 53.4 11
25 Kevin Na 54.4 WD
26 Andrew Putnam 55.6 14
27 Cameron Champ 56.3 11
28 Brice Garnett 61.9 19
29 Patton Kizzire 65.0 8
30 Ted Potter 66.2 27
31 Troy Merritt 66.7 16
32 Andrew Landry 69.9 22
33 Satoshi Kodaira 70.5 32
34 Michael Kim 72.6 32
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 172. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Dec. 16, 2018)

December 20, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Ho-ho-ho, Dustin Johnson is no. 1 in the world for the 30th straight week heading into the new year.
# Thru Dec. 16, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1741 1
2 Justin Thomas 52 1718 2
3 Brooks Koepka 46 1654 4
4 Justin Rose 51 1638 3
5 Rickie Fowler 49 1636 5
6 Tiger Woods 23 1521 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 39 1518 7
8 Paul Casey 48 1480 8
9 Webb Simpson 53 1427 9
10 Jason Day 46 1424 10
11 Tony Finau 61 1404 11
12 Jordan Spieth 52 1388 12
13 Tommy Fleetwood 59 1346 13
14 Rory McIlroy 44 1322 14
15 Jon Rahm 51 1320 15
16 Francesco Molinari 51 1211 16
17 Louis Oosthuizen 45 1176 17
18 Phil Mickelson 49 1169 19
19 Henrik Stenson 45 1158 18
20 Xander Schauffele 54 1137 20
21 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1130 21
22 Patrick Reed 66 1117 22
23 Marc Leishman 53 1109 23
24 Alex Noren 49 1097 24
25 Bryson DeChambeau 58 1064 26
26 Matt Kuchar 59 1063 25
27 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 1054 27
28 Tyrrell Hatton 53 1054 28
29 Adam Scott 42 1038 29
30 Zach Johnson 51 993 30
31 Ian Poulter 57 974 31
32 Kyle Stanley 56 941 32
33 Gary Woodland 57 935 33
34 Cameron Smith 54 931 34
35 Adam Hadwin 54 887 36
36 Kevin Kisner 56 884 35
37 Daniel Berger 49 866 37
38 Emiliano Grillo 57 864 38
39 Ryan Moore 48 852 42
40 Charles Howell 51 850 39
41 Sergio Garcia 48 850 40
42 Chez Reavie 57 850 43
43 Charley Hoffman 61 848 41
44 Kevin Chappell 53 838 47
45 Brian Harman 55 838 44
46 Pat Perez 54 838 45
47 Keegan Bradley 57 835 46
48 Bubba Watson 51 827 48
49 Luke List 60 797 52
50 Steve Stricker 27 795 49
51 Aaron Wise 36 794 51
52 Brandt Snedeker 47 790 50
53 Billy Horschel 57 785 53
54 Kevin Na 53 776 54
55 Joaquin Niemann 20 755 57
56 Graham DeLaet 25 755 56
57 Chesson Hadley 45 742 60
58 Thomas Pieters 51 741 58
59 Ryan Palmer 45 740 59
60 Branden Grace 55 740 55
61 Stewart Cink 51 722 61
62 Byeong Hun An 59 717 62
63 Abraham Ancer 40 701 63
64 Bud Cauley 46 690 64
65 Jamie Lovemark 54 680 65
66 Lucas Glover 48 677 66
67 Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 675 67
68 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 666 68
69 Scott Piercy 49 662 72
70 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 58 660 70
71 JB Holmes 52 658 69
72 Russell Henley 50 654 71
73 Haotong Li 53 648 73
74 Shane Lowry 57 646 74
75 Jason Kokrak 55 646 75
76 Jason Dufner 53 634 76
77 Peter Uihlein 61 628 79
78 Jimmy Walker 46 625 77
79 Kevin Tway 58 622 80
80 Danny Lee 64 621 81
81 Brendan Steele 49 620 82
82 CT Pan 61 617 84
83 Andrew Putnam 36 613 83
84 Charl Schwartzel 51 604 78
85 JJ Spaun 58 599 85
86 Beau Hossler 44 590 86
87 Si Woo Kim 61 587 87
88 Austin Cook 36 571 88
89 Kevin Streelman 53 564 90
90 Eddie Pepperell 45 562 91
91 Anirban Lahiri 56 553 89
92 Cameron Champ 17 548 92
93 Harold Varner 65 547 93
94 Martin Laird 51 545 95
95 Lee Westwood 45 542 94
96 Russell Knox 63 535 98
97 Brian Gay 57 533 97
98 Patrick Rodgers 57 531 99
99 Chris Kirk 58 527 100
100 Nick Watney 52 512 101
101 Rory Sabbatini 50 508 104
102 Bernd Wiesberger 39 507 96
103 Bill Haas 52 506 102
104 Bronson Burgoon 32 505 103
105 James Hahn 56 503 105
106 Julian Suri 43 493 106
107 Keith Mitchell 38 492 107
108 Andrea Pavan 34 489 109
109 Ross Fisher 51 487 108
110 Andy Sullivan 52 485 110
111 Brice Garnett 40 476 112
112 Ryan Armour 56 474 111
113 Dylan Frittelli 63 466 113
114 Alexander Bjork 56 461 114
115 Jhonattan Vegas 58 457 116
116 Chase Wright 9 457 115
117 Ryan Fox 54 456 117
118 Sam Ryder 36 450 118
119 Graeme McDowell 58 449 119
120 Anders Albertson 13 445 121
121 Joel Dahmen 52 444 120
122 Jim Furyk 34 444 122
123 Richy Werenski 59 439 123
124 Jerry Kelly 8 438 126
125 William McGirt 52 437 124
126 Grayson Murray 52 431 127
127 Patton Kizzire 57 429 128
128 Sung-jae Im 14 428 125
129 Sean O’Hair 51 419 129
130 Ryan Blaum 57 419 130
131 Joost Luiten 42 416 131
132 Morgan Hoffmann 34 408 132
133 Vaughn Taylor 54 407 134
134 Sam Burns 20 405 135
135 Erik Van Rooyen 33 402 133
136 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 401 137
137 John Oda 13 400 136
138 Jordan Smith 55 400 138
139 Brandon Harkins 39 396 140
140 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 47 395 139
141 Nick Taylor 61 393 141
142 Scott Brown 63 392 143
143 Matt Wallace 55 391 142
144 Ben Martin 43 391 144
145 Ted Potter 38 386 148
146 Chase Seiffert 8 386 145
147 Chris Wood 51 386 147
148 Seung-yul Noh 27 384 146
149 Thomas Detry 56 384 151
150 Sam Saunders 56 384 150
151 Ollie Schniederjans 58 383 149
152 Alexander Levy 52 382 153
153 Adrian Otaegui 58 381 152
154 Aaron Baddeley 51 378 154
155 Paul Dunne 55 377 156
156 Scott Stallings 58 376 155
157 Martin Kaymer 53 372 157
158 Hudson Swafford 50 371 158
159 Michael Thompson 43 369 162
160 Denny McCarthy 35 369 160
161 David Lingmerth 59 368 159
162 Sung Kang 61 364 161
163 Whee Kim 60 362 163
164 David Hearn 56 359 165
165 Andrew Landry 35 358 166
166 Kramer Hickok 13 356 167
167 Troy Merritt 62 355 168
168 Tom Hoge 57 354 169
169 Victor Dubuisson 21 352 170
170 Dean Burmester 50 348 164
171 Soren Kjeldsen 53 347 171
172 Tom Lewis 40 346 173
173 Jim Knous 9 346 172
174 Danny Willett 47 344 174
175 Dylan Meyer 15 337 175
176 Seamus Power 57 334 176
177 Brandon Hagy 29 332 177
178 Jorge Campillo 55 330 179
179 Marcus Kinhult 30 328 178
180 Robert Garrigus 56 327 180
181 Johnson Wagner 52 325 185
182 JT Poston 54 325 181
183 Lucas Herbert 27 325 184
184 Cameron Davis 15 324 182
185 Mackenzie Hughes 58 321 183
186 Matthew Southgate 55 321 186
187 Adam Schenk 41 319 187
188 Robert Rock 50 319 190
189 Robert Streb 64 317 188
190 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 317 191
191 Chris Paisley 51 314 193
192 Richard Sterne 46 309 192
193 Harris English 60 308 194
194 Shubhankar Sharma 40 307 189
195 Tyler Duncan 41 304 195
196 Andrew Johnston 41 304 196
197 Darren Fichardt 45 303 202
198 Corey Conners 42 303 198
199 Hideto Tanihara 47 301 197
200 Trey Mullinax 55 300 199
201 Kelly Kraft 61 298 201
202 Chad Campbell 59 296 200
203 Benjamin Hebert 47 296 203
204 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 291 204
205 John Huh 57 284 205
206 Brandon Stone 53 278 206
207 Richie Ramsay 51 276 208
208 Pablo Larrazabal 49 276 216
209 Stephen Gallacher 51 275 209
210 Satoshi Kodaira 31 274 211
211 Jason Gore 12 274 207
212 Matthias Schwab 30 274 210
213 Retief Goosen 41 272 213
214 Ben Crane 53 272 214
215 Chris Stroud 49 272 212
216 Sam Horsfield 40 272 215
217 Alex Cejka 59 271 217
218 Hunter Mahan 55 270 220
219 Fabrizio Zanotti 44 270 218
220 Seth Reeves 13 269 221
221 Dominic Bozzelli 48 269 219
222 Brian Stuard 66 266 223
223 Padraig Harrington 51 263 224
224 Wesley Bryan 51 261 222
225 Aaron Rai 45 260 226
226 Nate Lashley 28 260 225
227 Talor Gooch 39 259 228
228 Mikko Korhonen 49 258 227
229 Tyrone van Aswegen 66 258 229
230 Nacho Elvira 56 255 230
231 Peter Malnati 61 253 232
232 Cameron Percy 46 253 231
233 Jason Scrivener 57 252 233
234 George Coetzee 54 248 234
235 Matt Jones 53 247 235
236 Derek Fathauer 55 245 239
237 Anthony Wall 26 245 237
238 Ashun Wu 54 244 240
239 Julian Etulain 28 242 238
240 Callum Shinkwin 42 241 243
241 Camilo Villegas 38 240 241
242 JJ Henry 61 240 242
243 Doug Ghim 12 240 244
244 Matthieu Pavon 57 239 236
245 Wade Ormsby 54 237 245
246 Boo Weekley 22 233 246
247 DJ Trahan 13 232 248
248 Shawn Stefani 61 228 250
249 Stephan Jaeger 41 227 251
250 Michael Kim 55 227 247
251 Scott Hend 57 224 249
252 Benjamin Silverman 39 222 252
253 Blayne Barber 48 222 253
254 Seung-su Han 20 221 254
255 Scott Jamieson 54 220 264
256 David Drysdale 60 220 266
257 Martin Flores 55 219 257
258 Graeme Storm 34 217 256
259 Lee Slattery 54 217 258
260 Si-hwan Kim 10 217 260
261 Tag Ridings 21 216 255
262 Ashley Chesters 56 215 261
263 Jonas Blixt 53 214 259
264 Kristoffer Broberg 12 212 263
265 Joakim Lagergren 51 212 262
266 Ricky Barnes 59 210 265
267 Roberto Castro 30 209 271
268 David Horsey 48 208 269
269 Renato Paratore 56 208 267
270 Jonathan Byrd 41 207 268
271 Jeunghun Wang 58 206 274
272 David Lipsky 55 206 287
273 Curtis Luck 33 205 270
274 Nicholas Lindheim 53 205 276
275 Daniel Summerhays 53 204 275
276 Oliver Fisher 55 203 277
277 Maximilian Kieffer 52 201 279
278 Mikko Ilonen 41 199 272
279 Jake McLeod 9 199 282
280 Haydn Porteous 64 199 278
281 Smylie Kaufman 46 199 280
282 Yi Keun Chang 10 199 284
283 Trevor Immelman 29 195 273
284 Luke Donald 33 195 283
285 TJ Vogel 8 192 291
286 Bradley Dredge 46 192 289
287 Zac Blair 57 191 286
288 Daisuke Kataoka 22 191 290
289 Will MacKenzie 15 190 288
290 Tapio Pulkkanen 32 190 281
291 Nino Bertasio 59 189 292
292 Martin Piller 42 189 295
293 Julien Guerrier 36 188 296
294 Carlos Ortiz 14 188 298
295 Andres Gonzales 25 188 293
296 Matt Every 63 187 299
297 Rick Lamb 29 186 297
298 Fabian Gomez 55 183 300
299 Thomas Aiken 50 181 294
300 Spencer Levin 31 180 302
301 Tom Lovelady 38 178 303
302 KJ Choi 36 177 304
303 Steve Marino 20 177 308
304 Gaganjeet Bhullar 26 176 305
305 Ricardo Gouveia 57 175 307
306 Greg Chalmers 48 174 311
307 Scott Langley 14 172 313
308 Sean Crocker 18 172 330
309 Andres Romero 39 172 312
310 Victor Perez 14 171 301
311 Jim Herman 38 170 306
312 Poom Saksansin 21 170 332
313 John Catlin 9 169 309
314 Gavin Green 38 169 316
315 Lanto Griffin 34 169 317
316 Rikard Karlberg 21 168 319
317 Thongchai Jaidee 46 168 314
318 Marc Warren 55 167 324
319 Rob Oppenheim 38 167 320
320 Geoff Ogilvy 42 167 315
321 Alex Prugh 12 167 323
322 Kurt Kitayama 9 166 285
323 Paul Waring 48 165 326
324 Henrik Norlander 14 165 318
325 Richard McEvoy 31 165 325
326 Romain Wattel 48 165 327
327 Tim Wilkinson 27 165 322
328 John Peterson 31 165 321
329 Roberto Diaz 40 164 328
330 Austin Connelly 48 162 329
331 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 35 161 339
332 Vijay Singh 27 160 333
333 Jose-Filipe Lima 30 160 334
334 Micah Lauren Shin 12 158 310
335 Kyle Reifers 32 157 336
336 Marcus Fraser 46 155 337
337 Brian Campbell 24 154 338
338 Rafael Campos 13 154 331
339 Oliver Wilson 13 152 442
340 Steve Wheatcroft 44 152 344
341 Sebastian Munoz 30 151 343
342 Johan Carlsson 30 151 345
343 Greg Owen 17 151 349
344 Kyle Jones 9 150 348
345 Cameron Tringale 60 149 347
346 Hyun-woo Ryu 12 149 350
347 Andrew Dodt 49 148 340
348 Sang-hyun Park 13 147 335
349 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 41 147 341
350 Peter Hanson 39 146 342
351 Jonathan Randolph 52 145 353
352 DA Points 46 144 352
353 Jacques Kruyswijk 32 143 346
354 Matthew Nixon 38 143 355
355 Brett Stegmaier 51 143 354
356 Wes Roach 12 141 356
357 Berry Henson 8 140
358 Sang-Moon Bae 24 139 359
359 Kyung-tae Kim 14 138 357
360 Ryan Brehm 25 137 361
361 Brett Drewitt 25 135 363
362 Yuta Ikeda 29 134 364
363 Chad Collins 32 128 367
364 Oliver Bekker 15 128 463
365 Adam Bland 32 128 371
366 Davis Love 27 127 374
367 Steven Brown 33 127 366
368 Gavin Moynihan 20 127 360
369 Neil Schietekat 11 127 498
370 Jamie Donaldson 46 127 373
371 Oscar Lengden 8 126 382
372 Shugo Imahira 16 126 388
373 Jaco van Zyl 24 126 362
374 Paul Peterson 47 125 377
375 Matthew Millar 13 125 379
376 Parker McLachlin 17 124 380
377 Justin Harding 17 124 365
378 Brett Coletta 9 124 375
379 Alejandro Canizares 41 124 390
380 Billy Hurley 50 124 372
381 Adrien Saddier 37 123 369
382 Prayad Marksaeng 13 123 387
383 Mark Anderson 25 122 384
384 Joachim B Hansen 11 121 358
385 Richard Bland 49 121 386
386 Kim Koivu 14 121 378
387 Bryce Easton 9 121 351
388 Masahiro Kawamura 20 121 425
389 KH Lee 15 121 392
390 Stuart Appleby 36 120 389
391 Phachara Khongwatmai 54 120 381
392 Marcel Siem 55 120 383
393 Brad Kennedy 10 119 394
394 Justin Walters 55 119 393
395 Gregory Havret 56 119 385
396 Bryce Molder 22 119 391
397 Roger Sloan 14 118 397
398 Jarryd Felton 10 118 399
399 Cody Gribble 53 118 401
400 Ethan Tracy 31 117 396
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Dec. 9, 2018)

December 10, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Ho-ho-ho, Dustin Johnson is no. 1 in the world for the 29th straight week.
# Thru Dec. 9, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1744 1
2 Justin Thomas 52 1712 2
3 Justin Rose 50 1692 3
4 Brooks Koepka 46 1654 4
5 Rickie Fowler 49 1638 5
6 Tiger Woods 23 1522 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 39 1518 7
8 Paul Casey 48 1477 8
9 Webb Simpson 53 1426 10
10 Jason Day 46 1419 11
11 Tony Finau 61 1403 9
12 Jordan Spieth 52 1388 12
13 Tommy Fleetwood 59 1347 13
14 Rory McIlroy 44 1326 15
15 Jon Rahm 51 1323 14
16 Francesco Molinari 51 1214 17
17 Louis Oosthuizen 44 1205 16
18 Henrik Stenson 44 1191 18
19 Phil Mickelson 49 1166 19
20 Xander Schauffele 54 1135 20
21 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1131 21
22 Patrick Reed 66 1114 22
23 Marc Leishman 53 1108 23
24 Alex Noren 49 1097 24
25 Matt Kuchar 59 1066 25
26 Bryson DeChambeau 58 1057 26
27 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 1055 27
28 Tyrrell Hatton 53 1054 28
29 Adam Scott 42 1046 29
30 Zach Johnson 51 992 30
31 Ian Poulter 57 974 32
32 Kyle Stanley 56 942 31
33 Gary Woodland 57 935 33
34 Cameron Smith 54 926 35
35 Kevin Kisner 56 889 34
36 Adam Hadwin 54 885 36
37 Daniel Berger 49 869 37
38 Emiliano Grillo 57 859 40
39 Charles Howell 51 853 39
40 Sergio Garcia 48 852 42
41 Charley Hoffman 61 851 41
42 Ryan Moore 48 851 44
43 Chez Reavie 57 847 45
44 Brian Harman 55 840 47
45 Pat Perez 54 838 38
46 Keegan Bradley 57 836 48
47 Kevin Chappell 53 834 49
48 Bubba Watson 51 824 46
49 Steve Stricker 27 799 43
50 Brandt Snedeker 47 796 50
51 Aaron Wise 36 795 52
52 Luke List 60 793 53
53 Billy Horschel 57 786 51
54 Kevin Na 53 777 54
55 Branden Grace 54 762 55
56 Graham DeLaet 25 758 56
57 Joaquin Niemann 20 756 57
58 Thomas Pieters 51 744 58
59 Ryan Palmer 45 740 60
60 Chesson Hadley 45 739 59
61 Stewart Cink 51 724 61
62 Byeong Hun An 59 717 62
63 Abraham Ancer 40 700 63
64 Bud Cauley 46 690 64
65 Jamie Lovemark 54 681 65
66 Lucas Glover 48 679 66
67 Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 675 67
68 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 665 68
69 JB Holmes 52 661 69
70 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 58 659 71
71 Russell Henley 50 657 70
72 Scott Piercy 49 655 73
73 Haotong Li 53 648 74
74 Shane Lowry 57 647 72
75 Jason Kokrak 55 644 76
76 Jason Dufner 53 639 75
77 Jimmy Walker 46 628 78
78 Charl Schwartzel 50 627 77
79 Peter Uihlein 61 627 81
80 Kevin Tway 58 626 79
81 Danny Lee 64 624 80
82 Brendan Steele 49 622 82
83 Andrew Putnam 36 615 83
84 CT Pan 61 614 84
85 JJ Spaun 58 600 85
86 Beau Hossler 44 589 87
87 Si Woo Kim 61 586 88
88 Austin Cook 36 572 90
89 Anirban Lahiri 55 567 91
90 Kevin Streelman 53 563 93
91 Eddie Pepperell 45 561 92
92 Cameron Champ 17 549 86
93 Harold Varner 65 547 94
94 Lee Westwood 45 545 95
95 Martin Laird 51 544 96
96 Bernd Wiesberger 38 538 89
97 Brian Gay 57 535 97
98 Russell Knox 63 534 98
99 Patrick Rodgers 57 531 99
100 Chris Kirk 58 526 100
101 Nick Watney 52 513 101
102 Bill Haas 52 510 102
103 Bronson Burgoon 32 507 103
104 Rory Sabbatini 50 506 104
105 James Hahn 56 500 105
106 Julian Suri 43 494 107
107 Keith Mitchell 38 493 106
108 Ross Fisher 51 489 108
109 Andrea Pavan 34 487 110
110 Andy Sullivan 52 486 109
111 Ryan Armour 56 474 113
112 Brice Garnett 40 473 112
113 Dylan Frittelli 62 468 111
114 Alexander Bjork 56 461 114
115 Chase Wright 9 461 117
116 Jhonattan Vegas 58 459 116
117 Ryan Fox 54 458 115
118 Sam Ryder 36 453 118
119 Graeme McDowell 58 451 121
120 Joel Dahmen 52 446 119
121 Anders Albertson 13 445 120
122 Jim Furyk 34 441 122
123 Richy Werenski 59 439 124
124 William McGirt 52 438 123
125 Sung-jae Im 14 431 126
126 Jerry Kelly 8 430 128
127 Grayson Murray 52 429 127
128 Patton Kizzire 57 425 135
129 Sean O’Hair 51 420 125
130 Ryan Blaum 57 420 129
131 Joost Luiten 42 416 131
132 Morgan Hoffmann 34 412 130
133 Erik Van Rooyen 32 412 132
134 Vaughn Taylor 54 406 133
135 Sam Burns 20 403 134
136 John Oda 13 400 136
137 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 400 138
138 Jordan Smith 55 399 137
139 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 47 396 139
140 Brandon Harkins 39 395 143
141 Nick Taylor 61 394 140
142 Matt Wallace 54 393 141
143 Scott Brown 63 393 142
144 Ben Martin 43 390 146
145 Chase Seiffert 8 390 144
146 Seung-yul Noh 27 388 145
147 Chris Wood 51 387 147
148 Ted Potter 38 386 149
149 Ollie Schniederjans 58 384 148
150 Sam Saunders 56 382 150
151 Thomas Detry 56 382 151
152 Adrian Otaegui 58 380 153
153 Alexander Levy 52 380 154
154 Aaron Baddeley 51 378 155
155 Scott Stallings 58 377 156
156 Paul Dunne 55 376 159
157 Martin Kaymer 53 376 152
158 Hudson Swafford 50 373 157
159 David Lingmerth 59 371 160
160 Denny McCarthy 35 370 162
161 Sung Kang 61 367 161
162 Michael Thompson 44 363 163
163 Whee Kim 60 361 165
164 Dean Burmester 49 361 158
165 David Hearn 56 360 166
166 Andrew Landry 35 357 164
167 Kramer Hickok 13 356 167
168 Troy Merritt 62 354 168
169 Tom Hoge 57 353 169
170 Victor Dubuisson 21 349 171
171 Soren Kjeldsen 53 347 170
172 Jim Knous 9 347 173
173 Tom Lewis 40 346 174
174 Danny Willett 47 346 172
175 Dylan Meyer 15 337 175
176 Seamus Power 57 334 176
177 Brandon Hagy 29 332 177
178 Marcus Kinhult 30 330 179
179 Jorge Campillo 55 330 178
180 Robert Garrigus 56 327 182
181 JT Poston 54 327 180
182 Cameron Davis 15 325 185
183 Mackenzie Hughes 58 325 181
184 Lucas Herbert 27 325 186
185 Johnson Wagner 52 325 184
186 Matthew Southgate 55 321 187
187 Adam Schenk 41 318 190
188 Robert Streb 64 318 189
189 Shubhankar Sharma 39 318 188
190 Robert Rock 50 318 191
191 Miguel Angel Jimenez 13 315 193
192 Richard Sterne 45 315 183
193 Chris Paisley 50 313 192
194 Harris English 60 308 195
195 Tyler Duncan 41 304 197
196 Andrew Johnston 41 304 198
197 Hideto Tanihara 47 303 196
198 Corey Conners 42 303 200
199 Trey Mullinax 55 300 202
200 Chad Campbell 59 300 199
201 Kelly Kraft 61 300 201
202 Darren Fichardt 44 299 194
203 Benjamin Hebert 47 296 203
204 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 291 204
205 John Huh 57 284 205
206 Brandon Stone 52 277 211
207 Jason Gore 12 277 207
208 Richie Ramsay 51 275 209
209 Stephen Gallacher 51 275 208
210 Matthias Schwab 30 274 213
211 Satoshi Kodaira 31 273 212
212 Chris Stroud 49 272 210
213 Retief Goosen 41 272 218
214 Ben Crane 53 271 216
215 Sam Horsfield 40 271 215
216 Pablo Larrazabal 48 271 206
217 Alex Cejka 59 271 217
218 Fabrizio Zanotti 44 271 219
219 Dominic Bozzelli 48 270 221
220 Hunter Mahan 55 269 222
221 Seth Reeves 13 268 220
222 Wesley Bryan 51 266 214
223 Brian Stuard 66 266 223
224 Padraig Harrington 51 263 224
225 Nate Lashley 28 260 225
226 Aaron Rai 45 259 226
227 Mikko Korhonen 49 258 227
228 Talor Gooch 39 257 228
229 Tyrone van Aswegen 66 257 230
230 Nacho Elvira 56 255 233
231 Cameron Percy 46 254 231
232 Peter Malnati 61 254 234
233 Jason Scrivener 57 251 236
234 George Coetzee 53 249 229
235 Matt Jones 53 249 235
236 Matthieu Pavon 56 246 232
237 Anthony Wall 26 246 237
238 Julian Etulain 28 245 238
239 Derek Fathauer 55 244 240
240 Ashun Wu 54 242 243
241 Camilo Villegas 38 241 242
242 JJ Henry 61 241 241
243 Callum Shinkwin 42 240 239
244 Doug Ghim 12 240 244
245 Wade Ormsby 54 236 245
246 Boo Weekley 22 232 248
247 Michael Kim 55 230 246
248 DJ Trahan 13 230 247
249 Scott Hend 56 229 249
250 Shawn Stefani 61 227 251
251 Stephan Jaeger 41 227 250
252 Benjamin Silverman 39 223 252
253 Blayne Barber 48 222 253
254 Seung-su Han 20 220 255
255 Tag Ridings 21 218 258
256 Graeme Storm 34 217 257
257 Martin Flores 55 217 261
258 Lee Slattery 54 217 260
259 Jonas Blixt 53 216 256
260 Si-hwan Kim 9 216 264
261 Ashley Chesters 56 215 263
262 Joakim Lagergren 51 211 265
263 Kristoffer Broberg 12 211 269
264 Scott Jamieson 53 210 259
265 Ricky Barnes 59 210 268
266 David Drysdale 59 210 262
267 Renato Paratore 56 208 272
268 Jonathan Byrd 41 208 271
269 David Horsey 48 207 274
270 Curtis Luck 33 207 270
271 Roberto Castro 30 207 275
272 Mikko Ilonen 40 206 276
273 Trevor Immelman 28 206 254
274 Jeunghun Wang 58 206 266
275 Daniel Summerhays 53 205 273
276 Nicholas Lindheim 53 204 279
277 Oliver Fisher 55 204 278
278 Haydn Porteous 63 203 285
279 Maximilian Kieffer 52 202 280
280 Smylie Kaufman 46 202 277
281 Tapio Pulkkanen 31 199 287
282 Jake McLeod 9 199 282
283 Luke Donald 33 199 267
284 Yi Keun Chang 10 198 329
285 Kurt Kitayama 8 195
286 Zac Blair 57 194 283
287 David Lipsky 54 194 281
288 Will MacKenzie 15 193 284
289 Bradley Dredge 46 193 286
290 Daisuke Kataoka 22 190 289
291 TJ Vogel 8 189 293
292 Nino Bertasio 59 189 292
293 Andres Gonzales 25 189 288
294 Thomas Aiken 49 189 301
295 Martin Piller 42 187 294
296 Julien Guerrier 36 187 295
297 Rick Lamb 29 187 290
298 Carlos Ortiz 14 187 291
299 Matt Every 63 185 298
300 Fabian Gomez 55 184 296
301 Victor Perez 13 182 297
302 Spencer Levin 31 181 299
303 Tom Lovelady 38 177 303
304 KJ Choi 36 177 305
305 Gaganjeet Bhullar 26 176 304
306 Jim Herman 38 176 300
307 Ricardo Gouveia 57 174 306
308 Steve Marino 20 173 312
309 John Catlin 8 173
310 Micah Lauren Shin 11 173 308
311 Greg Chalmers 48 172 309
312 Andres Romero 39 172 307
313 Scott Langley 14 172 311
314 Thongchai Jaidee 46 169 314
315 Geoff Ogilvy 42 169 310
316 Gavin Green 38 169 316
317 Lanto Griffin 34 169 319
318 Henrik Norlander 14 169 313
319 Rikard Karlberg 21 167 323
320 Rob Oppenheim 38 167 320
321 John Peterson 31 167 315
322 Tim Wilkinson 27 167 317
323 Alex Prugh 12 166 322
324 Marc Warren 54 165 328
325 Richard McEvoy 31 165 325
326 Paul Waring 48 165 326
327 Romain Wattel 48 164 327
328 Roberto Diaz 40 163 331
329 Austin Connelly 48 162 324
330 Sean Crocker 17 162 302
331 Rafael Campos 13 161 318
332 Poom Saksansin 20 160 335
333 Vijay Singh 27 160 334
334 Jose-Filipe Lima 30 158 321
335 Sang-hyun Park 12 158 339
336 Kyle Reifers 32 158 338
337 Marcus Fraser 45 157 340
338 Brian Campbell 24 156 336
339 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 34 155 332
340 Andrew Dodt 48 154 341
341 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 40 153 333
342 Peter Hanson 38 153 343
343 Sebastian Munoz 30 153 342
344 Steve Wheatcroft 44 153 344
345 Johan Carlsson 30 152 346
346 Jacques Kruyswijk 31 151 337
347 Cameron Tringale 60 151 345
348 Kyle Jones 9 151 348
349 Greg Owen 17 150 349
350 Hyun-woo Ryu 12 149 351
351 Bryce Easton 8 147
352 DA Points 46 146 350
353 Jonathan Randolph 52 146 352
354 Brett Stegmaier 51 143 356
355 Matthew Nixon 38 143 354
356 Wes Roach 12 142 359
357 Kyung-tae Kim 14 140 358
358 Joachim B Hansen 10 139 330
359 Sang-Moon Bae 24 139 360
360 Gavin Moynihan 19 138 347
361 Ryan Brehm 25 137 361
362 Jaco van Zyl 23 137 355
363 Brett Drewitt 25 135 365
364 Yuta Ikeda 29 135 364
365 Justin Harding 16 135 353
366 Steven Brown 32 130 363
367 Chad Collins 32 130 368
368 Trevor Fisher 20 129 357
369 Adrien Saddier 36 129 367
370 Anthony Michael 10 128 575
371 Adam Bland 32 128 372
372 Billy Hurley 50 127 370
373 Jamie Donaldson 46 126 375
374 Davis Love 27 126 378
375 Brett Coletta 9 126 371
376 Hennie Otto 18 125 374
377 Paul Peterson 47 125 369
378 Kim Koivu 13 125 362
379 Matthew Millar 13 125 380
380 Parker McLachlin 17 125 377
381 Phachara Khongwatmai 53 124 381
382 Oscar Lengden 8 124 386
383 Marcel Siem 54 123 373
384 Mark Anderson 25 123 379
385 Gregory Havret 55 123 376
386 Richard Bland 49 122 385
387 Prayad Marksaeng 13 122 387
388 Shugo Imahira 15 121 389
389 Stuart Appleby 36 121 388
390 Alejandro Canizares 40 120 382
391 Bryce Molder 22 120 391
392 KH Lee 15 119 390
393 Justin Walters 54 119 383
394 Brad Kennedy 10 119 394
395 Dimitrios Papadatos 12 119 366
396 Ethan Tracy 31 118 393
397 Roger Sloan 14 118 395
398 Scott Vincent 35 118 384
399 Jarryd Felton 9 118 403
400 Ben Eccles 11 118 400
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

QBE Shootout

December 3, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,

Brandt Snedeker
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Billy Horschel & Brandt Snedeker 43.1 8
2 Charley Hoffman & Gary Woodland 43.2 3
3 Charles Howell & Luke List 44.6 3
4 Kyle Stanley & Pat Perez 47.2 11
5 Bryson DeChambeau & Kevin Na 47.8 3
6 Lexi Thompson & Tony Finau 49.3 7
7 Sean O’Hair & Steve Stricker 50.2 8
8 Emiliano Grillo & Graeme McDowell 51.1 2
9 Cameron Champ & Kevin Kisner 52.6 12
10 Bubba Watson & Harold Varner 54.1 6
11 Brian Harman & Patton Kizzire 69.6 1
12 Andrew Landry & Luke Donald 70.9 10
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 349. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Dec. 2, 2018)`

December 3, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Ho-ho-ho, Dustin Johnson is no. 1 in the world for the 28th straight week.
# Thru Dec. 2, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1747 1
2 Justin Thomas 53 1707 2
3 Justin Rose 51 1695 3
4 Brooks Koepka 46 1652 5
5 Rickie Fowler 49 1638 4
6 Tiger Woods 23 1520 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 39 1519 7
8 Paul Casey 48 1475 8
9 Tony Finau 60 1436 10
10 Webb Simpson 53 1422 11
11 Jason Day 46 1417 9
12 Jordan Spieth 52 1389 12
13 Tommy Fleetwood 60 1346 13
14 Jon Rahm 51 1326 14
15 Rory McIlroy 44 1326 15
16 Louis Oosthuizen 43 1233 16
17 Francesco Molinari 51 1219 17
18 Henrik Stenson 44 1187 18
19 Phil Mickelson 49 1166 20
20 Xander Schauffele 54 1133 21
21 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1131 19
22 Patrick Reed 67 1111 22
23 Marc Leishman 53 1108 23
24 Alex Noren 49 1096 24
25 Matt Kuchar 60 1069 26
26 Bryson DeChambeau 58 1064 25
27 Rafa Cabrera Bello 62 1054 29
28 Tyrrell Hatton 53 1054 28
29 Adam Scott 42 1049 27
30 Zach Johnson 51 990 30
31 Kyle Stanley 55 974 31
32 Ian Poulter 58 973 32
33 Gary Woodland 57 942 33
34 Kevin Kisner 56 922 35
35 Cameron Smith 54 922 34
36 Adam Hadwin 54 884 36
37 Daniel Berger 50 869 37
38 Pat Perez 53 865 38
39 Charles Howell 51 863 39
40 Emiliano Grillo 56 862 43
41 Charley Hoffman 61 859 41
42 Sergio Garcia 48 854 44
43 Steve Stricker 27 850 45
44 Ryan Moore 48 849 46
45 Chez Reavie 57 843 47
46 Bubba Watson 50 841 40
47 Brian Harman 54 836 48
48 Keegan Bradley 57 836 42
49 Kevin Chappell 54 831 50
50 Brandt Snedeker 47 826 49
51 Billy Horschel 57 804 51
52 Aaron Wise 36 795 52
53 Luke List 59 793 53
54 Kevin Na 52 781 54
55 Branden Grace 53 773 55
56 Graham DeLaet 25 762 56
57 Joaquin Niemann 20 757 57
58 Thomas Pieters 51 748 58
59 Chesson Hadley 45 740 59
60 Ryan Palmer 45 736 60
61 Stewart Cink 51 728 61
62 Byeong Hun An 59 717 62
63 Abraham Ancer 40 702 63
64 Bud Cauley 46 691 64
65 Jamie Lovemark 54 682 65
66 Lucas Glover 48 677 66
67 Matthew Fitzpatrick 55 675 67
68 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 664 70
69 JB Holmes 52 663 68
70 Russell Henley 50 662 69
71 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 59 657 71
72 Shane Lowry 57 648 72
73 Scott Piercy 49 648 75
74 Haotong Li 53 647 74
75 Jason Dufner 54 644 73
76 Jason Kokrak 55 642 76
77 Charl Schwartzel 49 634 77
78 Jimmy Walker 46 631 78
79 Kevin Tway 58 630 79
80 Danny Lee 64 628 80
81 Peter Uihlein 62 628 81
82 Brendan Steele 49 624 82
83 Andrew Putnam 36 617 83
84 CT Pan 61 614 85
85 JJ Spaun 58 600 86
86 Cameron Champ 16 594 87
87 Beau Hossler 44 587 88
88 Si Woo Kim 61 585 89
89 Bernd Wiesberger 37 574 84
90 Austin Cook 36 573 90
91 Anirban Lahiri 55 569 91
92 Eddie Pepperell 45 561 93
93 Kevin Streelman 53 561 94
94 Harold Varner 64 553 92
95 Lee Westwood 45 547 95
96 Martin Laird 51 544 96
97 Brian Gay 57 536 97
98 Russell Knox 64 533 98
99 Patrick Rodgers 57 530 99
100 Chris Kirk 58 525 100
101 Nick Watney 52 514 102
102 Bill Haas 52 514 101
103 Bronson Burgoon 32 509 103
104 Rory Sabbatini 51 505 104
105 James Hahn 56 498 107
106 Keith Mitchell 38 496 105
107 Julian Suri 43 495 106
108 Ross Fisher 51 493 108
109 Andy Sullivan 52 488 109
110 Andrea Pavan 34 486 110
111 Dylan Frittelli 62 479 111
112 Brice Garnett 40 474 114
113 Ryan Armour 56 473 113
114 Alexander Bjork 57 462 115
115 Ryan Fox 54 460 112
116 Jhonattan Vegas 58 459 116
117 Chase Wright 9 457 117
118 Sam Ryder 36 452 118
119 Joel Dahmen 52 449 119
120 Anders Albertson 13 446 120
121 Graeme McDowell 57 441 121
122 Jim Furyk 34 440 124
123 William McGirt 52 439 122
124 Richy Werenski 59 439 123
125 Sean O’Hair 51 431 125
126 Sung-jae Im 14 429 126
127 Grayson Murray 52 426 127
128 Jerry Kelly 9 425 130
129 Ryan Blaum 57 419 128
130 Morgan Hoffmann 34 416 129
131 Joost Luiten 42 415 131
132 Erik Van Rooyen 32 413 132
133 Vaughn Taylor 54 406 134
134 Sam Burns 20 402 136
135 Patton Kizzire 56 402 137
136 John Oda 13 401 135
137 Jordan Smith 56 399 133
138 Lucas Bjerregaard 58 398 139
139 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 47 396 140
140 Nick Taylor 61 396 138
141 Matt Wallace 53 395 143
142 Scott Brown 63 394 142
143 Brandon Harkins 39 393 146
144 Chase Seiffert 8 392 141
145 Seung-yul Noh 27 391 145
146 Ben Martin 43 389 147
147 Chris Wood 51 388 144
148 Ollie Schniederjans 58 386 149
149 Ted Potter 38 385 150
150 Sam Saunders 56 383 151
151 Thomas Detry 57 381 153
152 Martin Kaymer 53 379 152
153 Adrian Otaegui 58 378 148
154 Alexander Levy 52 378 158
155 Aaron Baddeley 51 377 156
156 Scott Stallings 58 377 157
157 Hudson Swafford 50 375 155
158 Dean Burmester 48 375 159
159 Paul Dunne 56 375 161
160 David Lingmerth 59 374 154
161 Sung Kang 61 371 160
162 Denny McCarthy 35 370 162
163 Michael Thompson 43 369 163
164 Andrew Landry 34 368 164
165 Whee Kim 60 361 167
166 David Hearn 56 360 165
167 Kramer Hickok 13 355 168
168 Troy Merritt 62 353 166
169 Tom Hoge 57 351 170
170 Soren Kjeldsen 53 348 171
171 Victor Dubuisson 21 346 174
172 Danny Willett 48 345 172
173 Jim Knous 9 344 173
174 Tom Lewis 40 343 175
175 Dylan Meyer 15 339 177
176 Seamus Power 57 334 179
177 Brandon Hagy 29 333 180
178 Jorge Campillo 56 330 184
179 Marcus Kinhult 30 330 182
180 JT Poston 54 329 183
181 Mackenzie Hughes 58 328 181
182 Robert Garrigus 56 326 185
183 Richard Sterne 44 325 178
184 Johnson Wagner 52 325 186
185 Cameron Davis 15 324 169
186 Lucas Herbert 27 324 176
187 Matthew Southgate 55 320 187
188 Shubhankar Sharma 39 318 190
189 Robert Streb 64 318 188
190 Adam Schenk 41 318 189
191 Robert Rock 51 317 191
192 Chris Paisley 50 314 192
193 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 314 193
194 Darren Fichardt 43 310 194
195 Harris English 61 309 195
196 Hideto Tanihara 47 306 196
197 Tyler Duncan 41 305 197
198 Andrew Johnston 41 303 202
199 Chad Campbell 59 303 198
200 Corey Conners 42 303 201
201 Kelly Kraft 61 302 200
202 Trey Mullinax 55 300 203
203 Benjamin Hebert 48 296 199
204 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 291 204
205 John Huh 57 283 206
206 Pablo Larrazabal 48 282 205
207 Jason Gore 12 277 208
208 Stephen Gallacher 52 274 212
209 Richie Ramsay 51 274 215
210 Chris Stroud 49 273 213
211 Brandon Stone 51 273 211
212 Satoshi Kodaira 31 273 214
213 Matthias Schwab 30 272 207
214 Wesley Bryan 51 272 209
215 Sam Horsfield 40 271 218
216 Ben Crane 53 271 219
217 Alex Cejka 59 271 216
218 Retief Goosen 41 271 220
219 Fabrizio Zanotti 44 271 210
220 Seth Reeves 13 270 221
221 Dominic Bozzelli 48 270 217
222 Hunter Mahan 55 268 222
223 Brian Stuard 66 265 223
224 Padraig Harrington 51 264 224
225 Nate Lashley 28 260 226
226 Aaron Rai 45 260 227
227 Mikko Korhonen 49 258 228
228 Talor Gooch 39 258 229
229 George Coetzee 52 257 225
230 Tyrone van Aswegen 66 256 231
231 Cameron Percy 46 256 230
232 Matthieu Pavon 56 254 235
233 Nacho Elvira 57 254 233
234 Peter Malnati 61 253 234
235 Matt Jones 53 252 232
236 Jason Scrivener 58 250 238
237 Anthony Wall 26 248 237
238 Julian Etulain 28 247 236
239 Callum Shinkwin 41 246 239
240 Derek Fathauer 55 243 241
241 JJ Henry 61 241 242
242 Camilo Villegas 38 241 243
243 Ashun Wu 54 240 245
244 Doug Ghim 12 240 244
245 Wade Ormsby 55 236 240
246 Michael Kim 55 234 246
247 DJ Trahan 13 231 249
248 Boo Weekley 22 231 248
249 Scott Hend 57 230 247
250 Stephan Jaeger 41 228 250
251 Shawn Stefani 61 227 251
252 Benjamin Silverman 39 223 252
253 Blayne Barber 48 223 253
254 Trevor Immelman 27 219 259
255 Seung-su Han 20 218 261
256 Jonas Blixt 53 218 256
257 Graeme Storm 35 218 257
258 Tag Ridings 21 217 260
259 Scott Jamieson 52 217 258
260 Lee Slattery 54 217 267
261 Martin Flores 55 216 264
262 David Drysdale 59 216 254
263 Ashley Chesters 56 215 263
264 Si-hwan Kim 9 215 262
265 Joakim Lagergren 51 212 268
266 Jeunghun Wang 58 211 265
267 Luke Donald 33 211 266
268 Ricky Barnes 59 210 269
269 Kristoffer Broberg 12 209 273
270 Curtis Luck 33 209 255
271 Jonathan Byrd 41 208 272
272 Renato Paratore 57 208 271
273 Daniel Summerhays 53 207 270
274 David Horsey 48 206 276
275 Roberto Castro 30 206 278
276 Mikko Ilonen 40 205 279
277 Smylie Kaufman 47 204 275
278 Oliver Fisher 55 203 277
279 Nicholas Lindheim 53 203 281
280 Maximilian Kieffer 52 202 280
281 David Lipsky 54 200 274
282 Jake McLeod 9 198 285
283 Zac Blair 57 196 284
284 Will MacKenzie 15 196 283
285 Haydn Porteous 63 195 282
286 Bradley Dredge 46 194 286
287 Tapio Pulkkanen 30 193 287
288 Andres Gonzales 25 190 288
289 Daisuke Kataoka 22 189 289
290 Rick Lamb 29 188 290
291 Carlos Ortiz 14 188 291
292 Nino Bertasio 60 187 292
293 TJ Vogel 8 186 297
294 Martin Piller 42 186 296
295 Julien Guerrier 36 186 295
296 Fabian Gomez 55 185 294
297 Victor Perez 13 183 305
298 Matt Every 63 183 303
299 Spencer Levin 31 182 299
300 Jim Herman 38 181 293
301 Thomas Aiken 48 178 302
302 Sean Crocker 16 178 331
303 Tom Lovelady 38 177 308
304 Gaganjeet Bhullar 27 177 298
305 KJ Choi 37 176 311
306 Ricardo Gouveia 57 174 307
307 Andres Romero 39 173 312
308 Micah Lauren Shin 11 173 314
309 Greg Chalmers 48 173 304
310 Geoff Ogilvy 42 172 300
311 Scott Langley 14 172 317
312 Steve Marino 20 171 321
313 Henrik Norlander 14 171 313
314 Thongchai Jaidee 47 171 316
315 John Peterson 31 170 315
316 Gavin Green 38 170 309
317 Tim Wilkinson 27 169 318
318 Rafael Campos 13 169 310
319 Lanto Griffin 34 168 319
320 Rob Oppenheim 38 167 320
321 Jose-Filipe Lima 29 167 306
322 Alex Prugh 12 167 323
323 Rikard Karlberg 21 167 325
324 Austin Connelly 47 166 322
325 Richard McEvoy 31 165 326
326 Paul Waring 49 165 327
327 Romain Wattel 49 164 328
328 Marc Warren 53 163 330
329 Yi Keun Chang 9 163 329
330 Joachim B Hansen 9 162 301
331 Roberto Diaz 40 162 333
332 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 33 162 335
333 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 39 160 324
334 Vijay Singh 27 160 334
335 Poom Saksansin 20 159 337
336 Brian Campbell 24 158 339
337 Jacques Kruyswijk 30 158 338
338 Kyle Reifers 32 158 336
339 Sang-hyun Park 12 157 340
340 Marcus Fraser 46 156 332
341 Andrew Dodt 49 156 341
342 Sebastian Munoz 30 154 342
343 Peter Hanson 38 154 343
344 Steve Wheatcroft 44 153 344
345 Cameron Tringale 60 152 345
346 Johan Carlsson 30 152 348
347 Gavin Moynihan 18 151 356
348 Kyle Jones 9 150 347
349 Greg Owen 17 149 352
350 DA Points 46 149 349
351 Hyun-woo Ryu 12 148 354
352 Jonathan Randolph 52 148 350
353 Justin Harding 15 147 378
354 Matthew Nixon 37 145 346
355 Jaco van Zyl 22 144 353
356 Brett Stegmaier 51 143 359
357 Trevor Fisher 19 143 363
358 Kyung-tae Kim 14 143 355
359 Wes Roach 12 142 358
360 Sang-Moon Bae 24 139 364
361 Ryan Brehm 25 138 362
362 Kim Koivu 12 137 351
363 Steven Brown 31 136 367
364 Yuta Ikeda 29 136 365
365 Brett Drewitt 25 135 366
366 Dimitrios Papadatos 11 134 385
367 Adrien Saddier 35 134 361
368 Chad Collins 32 131 371
369 Paul Peterson 47 130 368
370 Billy Hurley 50 130 370
371 Brett Coletta 9 129 372
372 Adam Bland 32 128 369
373 Marcel Siem 53 127 373
374 Hennie Otto 17 127 357
375 Jamie Donaldson 46 127 380
376 Gregory Havret 55 127 374
377 Parker McLachlin 17 126 376
378 Davis Love 27 125 381
379 Mark Anderson 25 125 379
380 Matthew Millar 13 125 464
381 Phachara Khongwatmai 53 124 382
382 Alejandro Canizares 39 124 384
383 Justin Walters 54 124 375
384 Scott Vincent 34 123 386
385 Richard Bland 49 122 387
386 Oscar Lengden 8 122 394
387 Prayad Marksaeng 13 122 388
388 Stuart Appleby 36 121 390
389 Shugo Imahira 15 121 391
390 KH Lee 15 120 396
391 Bryce Molder 22 120 389
392 Deyen Lawson 9 120 360
393 Ethan Tracy 31 119 392
394 Brad Kennedy 10 119 401
395 Roger Sloan 14 119 399
396 Will Wilcox 22 118 393
397 Clement Sordet 32 118 418
398 Jens Dantorp 42 118 383
399 James Morrison 58 118 395
400 Ben Eccles 11 118 507
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Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.