A Look at Golf – Page 87 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Sep. 3, 2018)

September 3, 2018 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Dustin Johnson is no. 1 for the 15th straight week and with the highest rating by anyone this year.

#	Thru Sep. 3, 2018	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Dustin Johnson	47	1949	1
2	Justin Thomas	53	1731	2
3	Brooks Koepka	45	1718	3
4	Justin Rose	48	1697	6
5	Rickie Fowler	49	1681	4
6	Patrick Cantlay	33	1621	5
7	Paul Casey	48	1566	7
8	Tiger Woods	20	1550	8
9	Jordan Spieth	54	1498	10
10	Rory McIlroy	44	1446	12
11	Tony Finau	58	1424	13
12	Jason Day	44	1415	9
13	Jon Rahm	49	1385	11
14	Francesco Molinari	50	1329	15
15	Webb Simpson	53	1322	14
16	Tommy Fleetwood	60	1298	16
17	Phil Mickelson	50	1292	18
18	Louis Oosthuizen	45	1268	17
19	Hideki Matsuyama	49	1212	22
20	Henrik Stenson	46	1201	19
21	Patrick Reed	67	1121	20
22	Matt Kuchar	63	1100	23
23	Adam Scott	46	1097	21
24	Alex Noren	51	1087	24
25	Marc Leishman	53	1085	25
26	Tyrrell Hatton	53	1071	27
27	Kyle Stanley	53	1070	26
28	Bryson DeChambeau	60	1022	36
29	Rafa Cabrera Bello	64	1002	34
30	Xander Schauffele	55	998	28
31	Kevin Kisner	59	983	32
32	Zach Johnson	53	968	29
33	Ian Poulter	58	967	30
34	Brian Harman	56	953	31
35	Ryan Moore	50	925	33
36	Cameron Smith	55	923	45
37	Joaquin Niemann	15	913	37
38	Charley Hoffman	63	911	35
39	Brandt Snedeker	48	897	38
40	Bubba Watson	51	880	51
41	Emiliano Grillo	57	872	52
42	Charles Howell	53	865	39
43	Branden Grace	56	861	41
44	Daniel Berger	55	861	42
45	Pat Perez	51	857	40
46	Steve Stricker	28	855	43
47	Adam Hadwin	54	842	46
48	Sergio Garcia	48	816	47
49	Kevin Na	52	813	44
50	Gary Woodland	56	797	58
51	Chez Reavie	56	793	49
52	Jason Dufner	51	789	48
53	Graham DeLaet	28	787	54
54	Russell Henley	51	783	50
55	Kevin Chappell	57	776	59
56	Keegan Bradley	55	766	57
57	Stewart Cink	52	765	53
58	Luke List	61	760	56
59	Chesson Hadley	44	758	55
60	Charl Schwartzel	51	756	62
61	Thomas Pieters	52	742	61
62	Jamie Lovemark	56	740	60
63	Byeong Hun An	59	740	64
64	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	727	66
65	Brendan Steele	48	717	63
66	Billy Horschel	56	708	65
67	Jimmy Walker	52	685	67
68	Aaron Wise	36	681	68
69	Bud Cauley	46	680	69
70	Shane Lowry	54	677	70
71	Bernd Wiesberger	44	668	71
72	Jason Kokrak	58	638	77
73	Peter Uihlein	58	629	85
74	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	59	622	75
75	Ryan Palmer	43	616	72
76	Kevin Streelman	55	614	73
77	JB Holmes	54	608	76
78	Russell Knox	66	602	79
79	Lucas Glover	46	600	74
80	Anirban Lahiri	55	595	78
81	Thorbjorn Olesen	55	594	81
82	Martin Laird	50	594	82
83	Chris Kirk	59	592	83
84	Brian Gay	57	588	80
85	Kevin Tway	62	586	84
86	Beau Hossler	38	579	86
87	Abraham Ancer	37	577	113
88	Danny Lee	66	566	87
89	Ross Fisher	50	565	88
90	Bill Haas	53	552	91
91	CT Pan	64	549	114
92	Nick Watney	49	539	90
93	Lee Westwood	45	534	98
94	Andrew Putnam	34	532	92
95	Ryan Fox	46	525	95
96	Jhonattan Vegas	61	524	93
97	Haotong Li	50	521	99
98	Rory Sabbatini	54	518	100
99	Sean O’Hair	53	515	101
100	JJ Spaun	59	508	97
101	Keith Mitchell	36	506	117
102	Julian Suri	39	506	102
103	Bronson Burgoon	29	506	96
104	Austin Cook	35	504	94
105	James Hahn	56	499	107
106	Si Woo Kim	61	497	109
107	Eddie Pepperell	46	491	104
108	John Oda	11	489	89
109	Scott Piercy	50	486	103
110	Ollie Schniederjans	59	484	106
111	Patrick Rodgers	58	482	110
112	Joel Dahmen	48	478	108
113	Andy Sullivan	51	472	111
114	Graeme McDowell	59	470	112
115	Grayson Murray	54	466	115
116	Sam Burns	14	454	105
117	William McGirt	57	452	118
118	Harold Varner	64	452	119
119	Dylan Frittelli	57	448	116
120	Miguel Angel Jimenez	12	445	121
121	Erik Van Rooyen	25	433	133
122	Martin Kaymer	52	431	120
123	Vaughn Taylor	54	427	122
124	Scott Brown	62	421	126
125	Ryan Armour	56	421	136
126	Brice Garnett	38	421	175
127	Morgan Hoffmann	39	419	127
128	Hudson Swafford	51	418	125
129	Scott Stallings	61	417	124
130	David Lingmerth	62	415	123
131	Sam Saunders	55	414	129
132	Victor Dubuisson	26	414	128
133	Seung-yul Noh	32	413	134
134	Jorge Campillo	54	412	132
135	Paul Dunne	53	411	138
136	Chris Wood	53	410	137
137	Joost Luiten	45	409	135
138	Brandon Hagy	32	407	140
139	Alexander Bjork	50	406	139
140	Andrew Landry	33	402	130
141	Sung Kang	62	401	141
142	Nick Taylor	60	387	142
143	Ryan Blaum	60	383	144
144	Jim Furyk	34	380	145
145	Dylan Meyer	11	374	131
146	Mackenzie Hughes	62	374	149
147	Brandon Harkins	34	373	148
148	Wesley Bryan	52	372	150
149	Tom Hoge	55	369	146
150	Seamus Power	59	368	152
151	Michael Thompson	46	367	143
152	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	45	365	155
153	JT Poston	57	365	153
154	David Hearn	58	364	147
155	Aaron Baddeley	52	360	158
156	Tyler Duncan	36	360	159
157	Ted Potter	36	357	151
158	Patton Kizzire	55	355	156
159	Robert Garrigus	55	354	154
160	Ben Martin	49	354	163
161	Alexander Levy	51	354	161
162	Chad Campbell	60	352	157
163	Sam Ryder	34	347	165
164	Kelly Kraft	62	344	162
165	Soren Kjeldsen	53	343	172
166	Trey Mullinax	59	342	167
167	Jerry Kelly	12	341	177
168	Richy Werenski	62	341	170
169	John Huh	58	341	168
170	Richard Sterne	45	340	176
171	Dean Burmester	46	336	164
172	Harris English	62	336	173
173	Whee Kim	61	334	169
174	Matthew Southgate	54	332	180
175	Jordan Smith	49	331	179
176	Johnson Wagner	53	330	171
177	Hideto Tanihara	40	328	174
178	Cameron Davis	10	324	185
179	Jim Herman	38	322	166
180	Andrew Johnston	41	322	183
181	Troy Merritt	61	322	178
182	Matt Jones	54	319	187
183	Adrian Otaegui	55	313	191
184	Michael Kim	54	312	181
185	Rafael Campos	11	311	160
186	Matt Wallace	46	310	201
187	Denny McCarthy	31	310	192
188	Kyung-tae Kim	15	308	188
189	Seung-su Han	14	306	189
190	Satoshi Kodaira	27	306	182
191	Benjamin Hebert	48	306	190
192	Chris Stroud	52	302	193
193	Corey Conners	35	300	186
194	George Coetzee	54	300	194
195	Ben Crane	52	299	200
196	Brian Stuard	66	299	206
197	Andrea Pavan	26	298	195
198	Alex Cejka	60	297	196
199	Shubhankar Sharma	31	295	197
200	Fabrizio Zanotti	47	290	198
201	Retief Goosen	42	289	202
202	Tyrone van Aswegen	67	288	199
203	Cameron Percy	48	281	204
204	Luke Donald	36	281	208
205	JJ Henry	60	279	203
206	Robert Streb	61	277	207
207	Brandon Stone	52	275	214
208	Pablo Larrazabal	49	274	210
209	Richie Ramsay	52	274	222
210	Robert Rock	49	272	220
211	Marcus Kinhult	21	271	205
212	Henrik Norlander	15	267	184
213	Scott Hend	58	267	211
214	Jonas Blixt	51	266	212
215	Thomas Detry	50	263	232
216	Curtis Luck	27	263	209
217	Danny Willett	47	261	217
218	Chris Paisley	51	260	216
219	Camilo Villegas	44	260	224
220	Dominic Bozzelli	50	260	218
221	Matthieu Pavon	49	259	226
222	Aaron Rai	36	259	225
223	Nacho Elvira	55	258	223
224	Nicolas Colsaerts	56	257	228
225	Talor Gooch	35	256	219
226	Blayne Barber	49	256	221
227	Julian Etulain	31	255	215
228	Stephen Gallacher	51	252	230
229	Derek Fathauer	58	250	227
230	Callum Shinkwin	42	246	238
231	Lucas Bjerregaard	57	246	243
232	Jaco van Zyl	24	245	213
233	Nate Lashley	23	244	229
234	Sam Horsfield	32	241	249
235	Darren Fichardt	41	241	237
236	David Horsey	50	239	231
237	Joakim Lagergren	50	237	233
238	David Lipsky	54	234	234
239	Michael Putnam	10	234	244
240	Zac Blair	60	232	239
241	Jeunghun Wang	57	232	235
242	Tag Ridings	27	229	247
243	Benjamin Silverman	34	229	240
244	Mikko Ilonen	42	227	245
245	Anthony Wall	29	227	248
246	Doug Ghim	8	226
247	Scott Jamieson	53	225	250
248	Shawn Stefani	57	224	251
249	Adam Schenk	37	223	262
250	Martin Flores	61	222	246
251	Ricky Barnes	60	221	255
252	Peter Malnati	60	221	264
253	Andres Gonzales	32	221	253
254	Maximilian Kieffer	49	220	256
255	John Peterson	32	220	242
256	Will MacKenzie	21	220	257
257	Tim Wilkinson	32	217	258
258	Graeme Storm	41	217	259
259	Daniel Summerhays	56	216	252
260	Lee Slattery	53	216	254
261	Daisuke Kataoka	17	216	241
262	Wade Ormsby	47	215	260
263	Thongchai Jaidee	49	212	261
264	Anders Albertson	10	212	357
265	Hunter Mahan	53	209	278
266	Smylie Kaufman	52	209	268
267	Geoff Ogilvy	45	208	265
268	Mikko Korhonen	47	208	266
269	Joachim B Hansen	11	207	236
270	Padraig Harrington	49	201	271
271	Rob Oppenheim	39	199	272
272	Jacques Kruyswijk	25	196	267
273	Greg Chalmers	51	195	275
274	Jonathan Byrd	42	195	270
275	Ashley Chesters	48	195	290
276	Sebastian Munoz	28	193	269
277	David Drysdale	59	192	279
278	Fabian Gomez	54	191	273
279	Bradley Dredge	47	191	274
280	Nicholas Lindheim	57	190	280
281	Boo Weekley	28	189	282
282	Oliver Fisher	54	189	276
283	Martin Piller	40	187	294
284	Nino Bertasio	60	187	284
285	Sean Crocker	14	186	281
286	Tom Lovelady	34	186	277
287	Paul Waring	47	185	286
288	TJ Vogel	8	184	283
289	Rikard Karlberg	27	180	288
290	Poom Saksansin	18	180	295
291	Romain Wattel	51	179	299
292	Robby Shelton	10	179	263
293	Trevor Immelman	25	178	300
294	Andres Romero	39	177	287
295	Renato Paratore	56	177	297
296	Stephan Jaeger	39	176	322
297	Alex Prugh	9	176	443
298	Lanto Griffin	32	176	285
299	Kristoffer Broberg	15	174	304
300	DA Points	50	174	301
301	Wes Roach	9	174	329
302	Andrew Dodt	49	174	293
303	Haydn Porteous	62	172	305
304	Matthias Schwab	21	172	289
305	Yuta Ikeda	23	171	307
306	Jens Dantorp	32	170	298
307	Ryo Ishikawa	29	169	302
308	KJ Choi	41	169	311
309	Chad Collins	32	169	291
310	Yusaku Miyazato	26	169	292
311	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	169	314
312	Adam Bland	26	168	296
313	Billy Hurley	54	167	312
314	Cameron Tringale	60	167	306
315	Ashun Wu	52	166	308
316	JC Ritchie	10	165	317
317	Greg Owen	23	164	316
318	Austin Connelly	40	164	310
319	Jose-Filipe Lima	29	164	318
320	Marc Warren	54	164	309
321	Spencer Levin	38	163	320
322	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	28	162	339
323	Jason Scrivener	54	162	315
324	Henric Sturehed	17	161	303
325	Rick Lamb	36	160	323
326	Kyle Reifers	39	159	321
327	Angel Cabrera	24	158	324
328	Brett Coletta	10	158	327
329	Parker McLachlin	14	156	313
330	Thomas Aiken	47	156	319
331	Jonathan Randolph	56	155	328
332	Vijay Singh	32	154	336
333	James Morrison	56	153	335
334	Steve Wheatcroft	47	153	325
335	Cameron Champ	9	152	384
336	Cody Gribble	56	152	333
337	Brett Stegmaier	54	151	326
338	Richard McEvoy	29	149	342
339	Roberto Castro	32	149	332
340	Marcel Siem	54	149	337
341	Gavin Green	27	148	331
342	Brian Campbell	29	148	365
343	Jake McLeod	9	147	346
344	Ryan Brehm	33	146	345
345	Khalin Joshi	8	144	347
346	Alejandro Canizares	41	143	334
347	Justin Walters	56	143	351
348	Julien Guerrier	28	142	341
349	Carlos Ortiz	11	142	374
350	Peter Hanson	38	142	340
351	Johan Carlsson	37	141	350
352	Trevor Fisher	23	140	352
353	Tim Herron	25	138	343
354	Hennie Otto	16	138	353
355	Ethan Tracy	29	138	348
356	Sang-Moon Bae	19	137	403
357	Lucas Herbert	23	137	344
358	Micah Lauren Shin	8	137	356
359	Maverick McNealy	13	137	330
360	Matthew Nixon	33	136	358
361	Connor Syme	27	135	349
362	Matteo Manassero	52	134	359
363	Steven Brown	24	134	432
364	Jamie Donaldson	45	133	355
365	Ricardo Gouveia	57	133	364
366	Richard Bland	52	131	354
367	Paul Peterson	47	130	361
368	Mark Anderson	27	130	362
369	Juvic Pagunsan	9	129	367
370	Stuart Appleby	38	129	360
371	Chris Hanson	55	128	368
372	Roger Sloan	10	128	338
373	John Merrick	25	126	363
374	Bill Lunde	10	126	369
375	Ockie Strydom	9	126	372
376	Davis Love	26	126	371
377	Will Wilcox	20	125	366
378	Matt Every	63	124	393
379	Jacques Blaauw	14	124	373
380	Mark Brown	8	123	376
381	Tom Lewis	40	122	370
382	Bryce Molder	27	119	380
383	Freddie Jacobson	11	119	389
384	Raphael Jacquelin	53	119	377
385	Shiv Kapur	19	118	382
386	Gregory Havret	56	117	375
387	Phachara Khongwatmai	48	116	418
388	Young-han Song	12	116	381
389	Prayad Marksaeng	9	116	390
390	Michael Hoey	15	115	394
391	Scott Vincent	31	114	379
392	Christofer Blomstrand	23	114	378
393	Robert Karlsson	46	114	383
394	Panuphol Pittayarat	17	113	391
395	Jeff Winther	40	113	387
396	Jason Gore	17	112	398
397	Lasse Jensen	54	112	386
398	Sam Brazel	47	112	388
399	Gregory Bourdy	59	111	392
400	Lorenzo Gagli	22	110	399
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the Dell Technologies Championship

August 29, 2018 Thomas Hawley Narrative

The TPC Boston course, host of this week’s Dell Technologies Championship, has been a destination on the PGA Tour for 16 years, and the players have generally eaten it up. For the last few years, the average per-round score of the winner has been around 66.5. Pgatour.com notes that two of the par-5s – the second and 18th – are easily reachable in two, and have yielded lots of eagles. On average, the 18th is eagled 15 times per tournament. On the second, it’s better than twice a day.

Per the Hawley course fit statistics, the stats most closely correlated with success on this track are driving distance and greens in regulation. It’s no surprise, then, that the players with the best statistical profiles for success are the boomers – Dustin Johnson topping the field by a quarter-stroke per round. Next are defending champion Justin Thomas, Tony Finau, 2016 and 2012 winner Rory McIlroy, and Jon Rahm. A little farther back are Jason Day, Bubba Watson, and Justin Rose. No shorties anywhere on that list; nevertheless note, by the time you get to Rose, Johnson has a lead of two-thirds of a stroke per round in fit for the course.

With the FedEx Cup field narrowed down a little to the top 100, there are plenty of big names who come in playing well. Heading the list is Adam Scott, who dropped as low as 38th in the Hawley Ratings at the start of summer and has risen steadily through August to no. 21. He has back-to-back top-10s in the Northern Trust and PGA. Any list you look at will have Justin Thomas (currently on a streak of three straight top-10s) and Brooks Koepka (PGA and U.S. Open winner) among the current hottest players. Don’t forget Gary Woodland (made eight straight cuts and was sixth in the PGA), Zach Johnson (also eight straight made cuts with a string of six straight top-20s ended last week), and Dustin Johnson (currently with the highest Hawley Rating for any player any week in 2018).

Rickie Fowler and Francesco Molinari are skipping the event due to health reasons. Both will advance to Read more

Dell Technologies Championship

August 27, 2018 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	-3.3	7
2	Justin Thomas	0.2	24
3	Jason Day	8.6	93
4	Rickie Fowler	10.2	DNP
5	Patrick Cantlay	11.3	24
6	Justin Rose	11.8	2
7	Brooks Koepka	12.3	12
8	Rory McIlroy	12.6	12
9	Paul Casey	21.6	21
10	Tiger Woods	22.0	24
11	Webb Simpson	22.2	49
12	Jordan Spieth	24.1	12
13	Tommy Fleetwood	24.5	24
14	Francesco Molinari	25.0	DNP
15	Tony Finau	25.1	4
16	Patrick Reed	25.7	35
17	Louis Oosthuizen	27.2	31
18	Phil Mickelson	27.7	12
19	Henrik Stenson	29.4	69
20	Adam Scott	29.4	49
21	Jon Rahm	30.3	43
22	Zach Johnson	34.0	78
23	Ian Poulter	35.4	78
24	Alex Noren	38.5	43
25	Tyrrell Hatton	38.9	12
26	Hideki Matsuyama	39.0	4
27	Ryan Moore	39.7	71
28	Bryson DeChambeau	40.7	1
29	Kyle Stanley	42.0	12
30	Rafa Cabrera Bello	43.5	7
31	Gary Woodland	44.7	24
32	Xander Schauffele	45.3	49
33	Kevin Na	45.8	78
34	Billy Horschel	46.0	WD
35	Charley Hoffman	46.2	74
36	Brandt Snedeker	46.7	31
37	Charles Howell	46.9	58
38	Daniel Berger	46.9	35
39	Matt Kuchar	47.0	43
40	Marc Leishman	47.7	21
41	Stewart Cink	49.1	62
42	Keegan Bradley	49.2	49
43	Cameron Smith	49.8	3
44	Emiliano Grillo	50.1	7
45	Chez Reavie	50.5	91
46	Brian Harman	50.5	49
47	Branden Grace	50.6	43
48	Bubba Watson	50.9	7
49	Adam Hadwin	51.3	21
50	Jamie Lovemark	51.3	76
51	Kevin Kisner	51.7	24
52	Luke List	52.0	78
53	Chris Kirk	52.3	35
54	Jimmy Walker	52.4	71
55	Aaron Wise	52.6	69
56	Chesson Hadley	52.9	86
57	Kevin Chappell	53.3	35
58	Pat Perez	53.3	WD
59	Russell Knox	54.0	43
60	Russell Henley	55.1	58
61	Jason Kokrak	55.1	24
62	Byeong Hun An	55.6	31
63	Ryan Palmer	56.1	96
64	Brian Gay	56.8	62
65	Kevin Streelman	56.9	94
66	Andrew Putnam	57.2	49
67	Kevin Tway	57.6	43
68	Danny Lee	58.0	49
69	Jason Dufner	58.5	96
70	CT Pan	58.6	4
71	Nick Watney	59.1	62
72	Beau Hossler	59.3	35
73	Brendan Steele	59.4	78
74	Joel Dahmen	59.4	94
75	Anirban Lahiri	61.6	89
76	Austin Cook	61.7	62
77	Abraham Ancer	62.2	7
78	JJ Spaun	62.3	66
79	JB Holmes	62.3	49
80	Jhonattan Vegas	63.0	78
81	Bronson Burgoon	63.7	58
82	Keith Mitchell	64.0	20
83	Scott Piercy	64.2	DQ
84	Si Woo Kim	64.5	35
85	Peter Uihlein	64.7	12
86	Ollie Schniederjans	65.7	86
87	Scott Stallings	66.0	49
88	Ryan Armour	66.1	35
89	James Hahn	66.7	35
90	Troy Merritt	67.0	86
91	Michael Kim	67.5	89
92	Tom Hoge	67.9	66
93	Whee Kim	68.0	75
94	Andrew Landry	68.2	58
95	Ted Potter	68.3	66
96	Brice Garnett	68.5	12
97	Brian Stuard	68.5	31
98	Patton Kizzire	68.5	71
99	Satoshi Kodaira	70.2	91
100	Kelly Kraft	70.5	78
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 110. The average is 206. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.

Made in Denmark

August 27, 2018 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Thomas Pieters

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Thomas Pieters	41.0	34
2	Thorbjorn Olesen	49.1	20
3	Eddie Pepperell	54.4	56
4	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56.1	7
5	David Horsey	56.7	56
6	Bradley Dredge	58.9	49
7	Erik Van Rooyen	61.7	5
8	Lee Westwood	62.2	2
9	Soren Kjeldsen	64.9	12
10	Martin Kaymer	65.7	134
11	Richard Sterne	66.7	17
12	Dean Burmester	66.9	90
13	Danny Willett	67.8	90
14	Adrian Otaegui	68.3	10
15	Joakim Lagergren	68.7	45
16	Matthew Southgate	68.9	20
17	Matt Wallace	69.2	1
18	Robert Rock	69.4	17
19	David Lipsky	69.6	105
20	Hideto Tanihara	69.6	37
21	Marcus Kinhult	70.3	49
22	Scott Hend	70.3	142
23	Marc Warren	70.4	74
24	Thomas Detry	70.8	7
25	Jordan Smith	70.8	20
26	Stephen Gallacher	71.0	27
27	Doug Ghim	71.1	90
28	Oliver Fisher	71.2	71
29	Sam Horsfield	71.2	10
30	Fabrizio Zanotti	71.5	37
31	Jaco van Zyl	71.6	139
32	Jonas Blixt	71.7	120
33	Joachim B Hansen	71.9	49
34	Lee Slattery	72.2	128
35	Richie Ramsay	72.4	12
36	Lucas Bjerregaard	72.7	6
37	Jeunghun Wang	73.2	113
38	Matthias Schwab	73.4	90
39	Nicolas Colsaerts	73.4	27
40	Tom Lewis	73.6	65
41	David Drysdale	73.6	34
42	Matthew Nixon	73.6	37
43	Romain Wattel	73.6	27
44	Gavin Green	73.7	128
45	Callum Shinkwin	73.7	20
46	Jens Dantorp	73.8	120
47	Jacques Kruyswijk	73.9	90
48	Richard McEvoy	74.2	37
49	Adam Bland	74.2	74
50	James Morrison	74.5	34
51	Connor Syme	74.7	139
52	Thomas Aiken	74.8	71
53	Haydn Porteous	74.9	37
54	Marcel Siem	75.0	90
55	Henric Sturehed	75.0	105
56	Lucas Herbert	75.1	120
57	Yusaku Miyazato	75.2	74
58	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	75.4	20
59	Ashley Chesters	75.5	9
60	Andrew Dodt	75.6	134
61	Justin Walters	75.6	27
62	Julien Guerrier	75.7	113
63	Jason Scrivener	75.7	69
64	Ashun Wu	75.7	49
65	Lasse Jensen	75.9	74
66	Austin Connelly	75.9	105
67	Paul Peterson	76.1	56
68	Richard Bland	76.2	56
69	Rak hyun Cho	76.2	139
70	Jeff Winther	76.2	74
71	Ricardo Gouveia	76.2	37
72	Robert Karlsson	76.4	128
73	Alejandro Canizares	76.4	113
74	Peter Hanson	76.5	105
75	Christofer Blomstrand	76.6	74
76	Chris Hanson	76.6	45
77	Thomas Bjorn	76.7	69
78	Gaganjeet Bhullar	76.9	90
79	Jamie Donaldson	77.0	65
80	Gregory Havret	77.0	90
81	Zander Lombard	77.0	120
82	Steve Webster	77.2	105
83	Scott Vincent	77.2	56
84	Jin Choi	77.3	49
85	Sam Brazel	77.3	128
86	Tapio Pulkkanen	77.4	74
87	Florian Fritsch	77.6	134
88	Sebastien Gros	77.6	90
89	Phachara Khongwatmai	77.8	12
90	Marcus Fraser	77.9	56
91	Gregory Bourdy	78.0	74
92	Steven Brown	78.0	2
93	Adrien Saddier	78.0	56
94	Pedro Oriol	78.0	27
95	Felipe Aguilar	78.1	90
96	Mark Foster	78.1	138
97	Matias Calderon	78.2	74
98	Daniel Im	78.2	120
99	Sebastian Heisele	78.3	74
100	Mikael Lundberg	78.4	105
101	Chase Koepka	78.4	74
102	Edoardo Molinari	78.4	74
103	Pontus Widegren	78.5	73
104	Brett Rumford	78.5	65
105	Jazz Janewattananond	78.6	20
106	SSP Chawrasia	78.6	113
107	Marcus Armitage	78.8	90
108	Nick Cullen	78.8	49
109	Daniel Brooks	78.9	74
110	Ryan Evans	78.9	12
111	Laurie Canter	78.9	74
112	Charlie Ford	78.9	56
113	Clement Sordet	79.0	105
114	David Howell	79.0	105
115	Matthew Baldwin	79.0	12
116	Soomin Lee	79.0	113
117	Anders Hansen	79.3	113
118	Danthai Boonma	79.4	90
119	Matthew Millar	79.5	56
120	Scott Fernandez	79.6	20
121	Gary Stal	79.7	45
122	Pep Angles	79.7	27
123	Oliver Farr	79.8	45
124	Mark Tullo	80.1	74
125	John Daly	80.2	120
126	Jonathan Thomson	80.2	2
127	Bradley Neil	80.4	WD
128	Josh Geary	80.4	49
129	Morten Orum Madsen	80.4	120
130	Jason Norris	80.6	90
131	Hunter Stewart	80.7	37
132	Ajeetesh Sandhu	80.8	90
133	Simon Khan	80.9	90
134	Jack Munro	81.1	128
135	Birgir Hafthorsson	81.3	WD
136	Oscar Serna	81.4	WD
137	Niklas Norgaard Moller	81.6	65
138	Nicolai Hojgaard	81.6	74
139	Rasmus Hojgaard	81.6	113
140	Jacob Glennemo	81.6	142
141	Aksel Olsen	81.6	17
142	Nicolai Tinning	81.6	27
143	Martin Simonsen	81.6	DNP
144	Thomas Norret	81.6	128
145	Frederik Dreier	81.6	37
	Michael Jonzon	late entry	126
	Richard Green	late entry	137
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 91. The average is 206. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 26, 2018)

August 27, 2018 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Dustin Johnson is no. 1 for the 14th straight week and with the highest rating by anyone this year.

#	Thru Aug. 26, 2018	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Dustin Johnson	46	1904	1
2	Justin Thomas	52	1737	2
3	Brooks Koepka	44	1676	7
4	Rickie Fowler	49	1675	4
5	Patrick Cantlay	32	1629	8
6	Justin Rose	47	1620	3
7	Paul Casey	47	1564	6
8	Tiger Woods	19	1559	5
9	Jason Day	43	1469	11
10	Jordan Spieth	53	1464	10
11	Jon Rahm	48	1417	9
12	Rory McIlroy	43	1410	12
13	Tony Finau	57	1358	17
14	Webb Simpson	52	1351	14
15	Francesco Molinari	50	1329	13
16	Tommy Fleetwood	60	1293	16
17	Louis Oosthuizen	44	1277	15
18	Phil Mickelson	49	1252	19
19	Henrik Stenson	45	1244	18
20	Patrick Reed	66	1130	22
21	Adam Scott	45	1130	26
22	Hideki Matsuyama	48	1127	23
23	Matt Kuchar	62	1118	21
24	Alex Noren	51	1112	20
25	Marc Leishman	52	1066	24
26	Kyle Stanley	52	1025	27
27	Tyrrell Hatton	53	1024	30
28	Xander Schauffele	54	1016	25
29	Zach Johnson	52	996	28
30	Ian Poulter	57	992	29
31	Brian Harman	55	973	33
32	Kevin Kisner	58	971	31
33	Ryan Moore	49	961	32
34	Rafa Cabrera Bello	63	943	34
35	Charley Hoffman	62	933	37
36	Bryson DeChambeau	60	930	44
37	Joaquin Niemann	15	914	36
38	Brandt Snedeker	47	896	40
39	Charles Howell	52	895	35
40	Pat Perez	50	886	39
41	Branden Grace	55	873	38
42	Daniel Berger	54	863	47
43	Steve Stricker	28	854	41
44	Kevin Na	51	840	54
45	Cameron Smith	54	827	66
46	Adam Hadwin	53	822	61
47	Sergio Garcia	48	820	46
48	Jason Dufner	50	816	42
49	Chez Reavie	55	816	57
50	Russell Henley	50	809	43
51	Bubba Watson	50	808	50
52	Emiliano Grillo	56	804	45
53	Stewart Cink	52	787	48
54	Graham DeLaet	28	786	55
55	Chesson Hadley	43	786	49
56	Luke List	60	786	51
57	Keegan Bradley	54	783	58
58	Gary Woodland	55	780	52
59	Kevin Chappell	56	777	53
60	Jamie Lovemark	55	764	62
61	Thomas Pieters	51	761	60
62	Charl Schwartzel	51	760	56
63	Brendan Steele	47	746	59
64	Byeong Hun An	58	734	63
65	Billy Horschel	55	730	74
66	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	727	65
67	Jimmy Walker	51	713	64
68	Aaron Wise	35	709	86
69	Bud Cauley	46	676	68
70	Shane Lowry	54	674	67
71	Bernd Wiesberger	45	669	69
72	Ryan Palmer	42	637	98
73	Kevin Streelman	54	633	72
74	Lucas Glover	45	623	73
75	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	59	621	79
76	JB Holmes	53	620	71
77	Jason Kokrak	57	617	78
78	Anirban Lahiri	54	613	75
79	Russell Knox	65	608	76
80	Brian Gay	56	603	80
81	Thorbjorn Olesen	54	600	83
82	Martin Laird	50	600	77
83	Chris Kirk	58	591	81
84	Kevin Tway	61	587	84
85	Peter Uihlein	57	575	85
86	Beau Hossler	37	574	82
87	Danny Lee	65	571	89
88	Ross Fisher	51	566	88
89	John Oda	10	557	70
90	Nick Watney	48	557	110
91	Bill Haas	53	556	90
92	Andrew Putnam	33	544	87
93	Jhonattan Vegas	60	539	108
94	Austin Cook	34	524	93
95	Ryan Fox	46	523	97
96	Bronson Burgoon	28	522	140
97	JJ Spaun	58	522	95
98	Lee Westwood	45	522	92
99	Haotong Li	51	520	99
100	Rory Sabbatini	54	519	94
101	Sean O’Hair	53	515	106
102	Julian Suri	38	510	96
103	Scott Piercy	49	505	100
104	Eddie Pepperell	46	505	105
105	Sam Burns	13	503	91
106	Ollie Schniederjans	58	499	101
107	James Hahn	55	493	102
108	Joel Dahmen	47	492	103
109	Si Woo Kim	60	491	104
110	Patrick Rodgers	58	483	109
111	Andy Sullivan	52	473	114
112	Graeme McDowell	59	471	115
113	Abraham Ancer	36	469	107
114	CT Pan	63	467	113
115	Grayson Murray	54	466	111
116	Dylan Frittelli	56	458	117
117	Keith Mitchell	35	456	112
118	William McGirt	57	453	116
119	Harold Varner	64	451	120
120	Martin Kaymer	51	449	118
121	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	442	122
122	Vaughn Taylor	54	429	121
123	David Lingmerth	61	424	124
124	Scott Stallings	60	423	142
125	Hudson Swafford	51	420	128
126	Scott Brown	62	420	126
127	Morgan Hoffmann	39	417	132
128	Victor Dubuisson	26	416	130
129	Sam Saunders	55	414	127
130	Andrew Landry	32	414	123
131	Dylan Meyer	10	414	119
132	Jorge Campillo	55	414	131
133	Erik Van Rooyen	24	413	137
134	Seung-yul Noh	32	413	134
135	Joost Luiten	45	411	133
136	Ryan Armour	55	410	129
137	Chris Wood	54	410	136
138	Paul Dunne	54	409	138
139	Alexander Bjork	50	406	139
140	Brandon Hagy	32	405	141
141	Sung Kang	62	400	135
142	Nick Taylor	60	385	145
143	Michael Thompson	45	383	143
144	Ryan Blaum	60	383	144
145	Jim Furyk	34	382	149
146	Tom Hoge	54	378	146
147	David Hearn	57	374	148
148	Brandon Harkins	34	374	147
149	Mackenzie Hughes	62	373	151
150	Wesley Bryan	52	373	153
151	Ted Potter	35	373	159
152	Seamus Power	59	368	165
153	JT Poston	57	366	150
154	Robert Garrigus	54	365	154
155	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	46	364	160
156	Patton Kizzire	54	364	156
157	Chad Campbell	59	362	152
158	Aaron Baddeley	51	360	158
159	Tyler Duncan	36	358	155
160	Rafael Campos	10	356	125
161	Alexander Levy	52	355	163
162	Kelly Kraft	61	354	161
163	Ben Martin	49	351	172
164	Dean Burmester	45	349	162
165	Sam Ryder	34	347	185
166	Jim Herman	37	344	157
167	Trey Mullinax	59	343	170
168	John Huh	58	342	164
169	Whee Kim	60	342	174
170	Richy Werenski	62	341	171
171	Johnson Wagner	52	340	166
172	Soren Kjeldsen	52	338	167
173	Harris English	62	338	169
174	Hideto Tanihara	39	337	176
175	Brice Garnett	37	336	168
176	Richard Sterne	45	335	179
177	Jerry Kelly	12	334	181
178	Troy Merritt	60	332	175
179	Jordan Smith	48	328	180
180	Matthew Southgate	54	327	182
181	Michael Kim	53	325	177
182	Satoshi Kodaira	26	324	173
183	Andrew Johnston	42	322	178
184	Henrik Norlander	14	320	191
185	Cameron Davis	9	320	231
186	Corey Conners	34	314	183
187	Matt Jones	53	309	188
188	Kyung-tae Kim	15	308	187
189	Seung-su Han	14	308	186
190	Benjamin Hebert	49	304	184
191	Adrian Otaegui	55	303	189
192	Denny McCarthy	30	301	203
193	Chris Stroud	52	301	192
194	George Coetzee	55	300	194
195	Andrea Pavan	26	298	210
196	Alex Cejka	60	297	190
197	Shubhankar Sharma	31	297	196
198	Fabrizio Zanotti	47	296	197
199	Tyrone van Aswegen	66	295	199
200	Ben Crane	51	293	193
201	Matt Wallace	45	291	195
202	Retief Goosen	42	288	202
203	JJ Henry	59	286	200
204	Cameron Percy	47	284	198
205	Marcus Kinhult	20	284	205
206	Brian Stuard	65	282	229
207	Robert Streb	60	281	216
208	Luke Donald	36	281	208
209	Curtis Luck	26	280	228
210	Pablo Larrazabal	50	276	209
211	Scott Hend	58	275	204
212	Jonas Blixt	50	274	212
213	Jaco van Zyl	23	273	211
214	Brandon Stone	52	273	213
215	Julian Etulain	30	273	201
216	Chris Paisley	51	272	206
217	Danny Willett	47	272	217
218	Dominic Bozzelli	49	270	207
219	Talor Gooch	34	268	218
220	Robert Rock	49	265	222
221	Blayne Barber	48	265	214
222	Richie Ramsay	52	262	223
223	Nacho Elvira	56	260	226
224	Camilo Villegas	44	260	225
225	Aaron Rai	36	259	224
226	Matthieu Pavon	49	258	220
227	Derek Fathauer	57	258	219
228	Nicolas Colsaerts	56	257	221
229	Nate Lashley	22	253	215
230	Stephen Gallacher	51	251	233
231	David Horsey	49	249	232
232	Thomas Detry	49	248	235
233	Joakim Lagergren	50	244	238
234	David Lipsky	54	243	234
235	Jeunghun Wang	56	241	230
236	Joachim B Hansen	11	240	242
237	Darren Fichardt	42	240	243
238	Callum Shinkwin	42	239	236
239	Zac Blair	59	239	241
240	Benjamin Silverman	33	238	239
241	Daisuke Kataoka	16	235	227
242	John Peterson	31	234	237
243	Lucas Bjerregaard	57	231	253
244	Michael Putnam	10	229	251
245	Mikko Ilonen	43	229	245
246	Martin Flores	60	228	244
247	Tag Ridings	27	228	247
248	Anthony Wall	30	227	248
249	Sam Horsfield	31	225	250
250	Scott Jamieson	54	225	263
251	Shawn Stefani	56	225	259
252	Daniel Summerhays	55	223	246
253	Andres Gonzales	32	223	252
254	Lee Slattery	53	221	266
255	Ricky Barnes	59	221	249
256	Maximilian Kieffer	50	221	254
257	Will MacKenzie	21	220	255
258	Tim Wilkinson	32	218	256
259	Graeme Storm	42	215	262
260	Wade Ormsby	47	215	261
261	Thongchai Jaidee	50	214	260
262	Adam Schenk	36	213	257
263	Robby Shelton	9	212	240
264	Peter Malnati	59	212	274
265	Geoff Ogilvy	45	210	264
266	Mikko Korhonen	48	209	258
267	Jacques Kruyswijk	24	206	288
268	Smylie Kaufman	52	206	267
269	Sebastian Munoz	27	205	265
270	Jonathan Byrd	41	202	270
271	Padraig Harrington	49	200	294
272	Rob Oppenheim	38	198	273
273	Fabian Gomez	53	198	268
274	Bradley Dredge	47	197	272
275	Greg Chalmers	51	196	276
276	Oliver Fisher	54	195	271
277	Tom Lovelady	33	194	269
278	Hunter Mahan	52	194	282
279	David Drysdale	59	192	275
280	Nicholas Lindheim	56	192	287
281	Sean Crocker	14	186	285
282	Boo Weekley	28	186	293
283	TJ Vogel	8	186	281
284	Nino Bertasio	61	185	292
285	Lanto Griffin	31	185	317
286	Paul Waring	47	185	279
287	Andres Romero	38	183	286
288	Rikard Karlberg	28	183	289
289	Matthias Schwab	20	181	324
290	Ashley Chesters	47	180	291
291	Chad Collins	31	180	278
292	Yusaku Miyazato	25	179	297
293	Andrew Dodt	49	179	290
294	Martin Piller	39	179	284
295	Poom Saksansin	18	179	298
296	Adam Bland	25	177	315
297	Renato Paratore	57	177	296
298	Jens Dantorp	31	176	300
299	Romain Wattel	51	176	295
300	Trevor Immelman	25	175	303
301	DA Points	50	175	305
302	Ryo Ishikawa	29	174	299
303	Henric Sturehed	16	173	280
304	Kristoffer Broberg	15	172	309
305	Haydn Porteous	62	172	308
306	Cameron Tringale	59	171	302
307	Yuta Ikeda	23	171	311
308	Ashun Wu	51	170	301
309	Marc Warren	54	169	304
310	Austin Connelly	39	169	307
311	KJ Choi	41	169	313
312	Billy Hurley	54	169	310
313	Parker McLachlin	13	169	283
314	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	168	316
315	Jason Scrivener	53	168	320
316	Greg Owen	23	167	314
317	JC Ritchie	10	163	345
318	Jose-Filipe Lima	29	163	322
319	Thomas Aiken	46	163	312
320	Spencer Levin	38	161	326
321	Kyle Reifers	39	159	328
322	Stephan Jaeger	38	158	318
323	Rick Lamb	36	158	332
324	Angel Cabrera	24	157	331
325	Steve Wheatcroft	46	157	321
326	Brett Stegmaier	53	157	323
327	Brett Coletta	10	156	336
328	Jonathan Randolph	55	156	327
329	Wes Roach	8	156
330	Maverick McNealy	12	156	306
331	Gavin Green	26	155	368
332	Roberto Castro	32	155	325
333	Cody Gribble	56	153	334
334	Alejandro Canizares	41	153	319
335	James Morrison	56	153	335
336	Vijay Singh	32	152	338
337	Marcel Siem	54	152	330
338	Roger Sloan	9	152	277
339	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	27	151	341
340	Peter Hanson	37	150	333
341	Julien Guerrier	27	150	365
342	Richard McEvoy	28	149	340
343	Tim Herron	24	149	329
344	Lucas Herbert	22	147	337
345	Ryan Brehm	33	146	343
346	Jake McLeod	9	146	346
347	Khalin Joshi	8	146	342
348	Ethan Tracy	28	143	339
349	Connor Syme	26	141	344
350	Johan Carlsson	38	140	354
351	Justin Walters	55	139	357
352	Trevor Fisher	24	138	360
353	Hennie Otto	16	137	359
354	Richard Bland	52	137	349
355	Jamie Donaldson	44	137	355
356	Micah Lauren Shin	8	136	361
357	Anders Albertson	9	136	454
358	Matthew Nixon	32	135	367
359	Matteo Manassero	53	135	351
360	Stuart Appleby	37	135	352
361	Paul Peterson	47	134	353
362	Mark Anderson	26	134	370
363	John Merrick	24	134	348
364	Ricardo Gouveia	57	133	356
365	Brian Campbell	28	132	347
366	Will Wilcox	19	131	350
367	Juvic Pagunsan	9	131	364
368	Chris Hanson	54	131	362
369	Bill Lunde	10	129	363
370	Tom Lewis	39	127	407
371	Davis Love	26	125	373
372	Ockie Strydom	9	125	374
373	Jacques Blaauw	14	124	371
374	Carlos Ortiz	10	122	358
375	Gregory Havret	56	121	376
376	Mark Brown	8	121	378
377	Raphael Jacquelin	54	120	372
378	Christofer Blomstrand	22	120	369
379	Scott Vincent	30	119	405
380	Bryce Molder	27	119	384
381	Young-han Song	12	118	377
382	Shiv Kapur	19	118	383
383	Robert Karlsson	45	118	380
384	Cameron Champ	8	118
385	Gaganjeet Bhullar	24	117	462
386	Lasse Jensen	53	117	381
387	Jeff Winther	40	117	412
388	Sam Brazel	47	117	375
389	Freddie Jacobson	11	117	390
390	Prayad Marksaeng	9	115	388
391	Panuphol Pittayarat	17	115	387
392	Gregory Bourdy	59	114	385
393	Matt Every	62	114	386
394	Michael Hoey	16	113	394
395	Xin-jun Zhang	32	113	382
396	Marcus Fraser	47	113	393
397	Adrien Saddier	28	111	389
398	Jason Gore	17	110	400
399	Lorenzo Gagli	22	110	397
400	DJ Trahan	16	109	404
More \| Less

A look at the Northern Trust

August 21, 2018 Thomas Hawley Narrative

You’ve got to hand it to the PGA Tour pros – it’s a long, grinding season but these guys know how to manage their schedules and get into form for the end of the season. Tiger Woods put it this way to the Golf Channel: “It’s about pacing myself and making sure I don’t practice too much, don’t overdo it and make sure my training schedule goes well. One of the hardest things this year has been finding the right balance. As the summer has gone on, I’ve gotten better and felt better. This is a pretty important stretch.”

Here is a list of 10 who have gotten better and presumably feel better heading into the Northern Trust, first event of the FedEx Cup series. (First, a note. The Hawley Ratings give each player a number for each event based on his finish and on who else is playing; a high finish in an event with a top field gets a premium rating. These are the players who come into the Northern Trust with the highest average finish across their past four appearances.) Start with the best:

Tiger Woods – Second in the PGA, 31st in the Bridgestone, sixth in the British, fourth in the National.
Francesco Molinari – Sixth in the PGA, 39th in the Bridgestone, won the British, second in the Deere.
Justin Rose —19th in the PGA, second in the British, ninth in the Scottish (Euro event), 10th in the U.S. Open.
Justin Thomas – Sixth in the PGA, won the Bridgestone, missed cut in British, eighth in France (Euro event).
Patrick Cantlay – 27th in the PGA, sixth in the Bridgestone, 12th in British, 15th in Travelers.
Webb Simpson – Second in Wyndham, 19th in PGA, 24th in Bridgestone, 12th in British.
Jason Day – 19th in PGA, 10th in Bridgestone, 17th in British, 12th in Travelers.
Tommy Fleetwood – 35th in PGA, 14th in Bridgestone, sixth in Canadian, 12th in British.
Dustin Johnson – 27th in PGA, third in Bridgestone, won Canadian, missed cut in British.
Brooks Koepka – Won PGA, fifth in Bridgestone, missed cut in Canadian, 39th in British.

Beyond that group, here is another set of six players whose performances over the last four events have done the most to improve their overall rating, in order: Harold Varner, Zach Johnson, Kevin Kisner, Joel Dahmen, Gary Woodland, and Rafa Cabrera Bello. Varner had back-to-back top-10s in the Deere and Greenbrier. Zach has been in the top 20 in his last six starts (no top-10s, however). Kisner was runner-up in the British and 12th in the PGA. Dahmen had top-10s in the Canadian and Deere. Woodland was sixth in the PGA and 17th in the Bridgestone. Cabrera Bello was 11th in the Wyndham, 10th in the PGA, and 17th in the Bridgestone.

Ridgewood Country Club in Paramus NJ, just over the George Washington Bridge and a few miles west into New Jersey from the Bronx and Yonkers, is hosting this event for the fourth time in 11 years. The 89-year-old course provides little bias toward any particular skill area, with driving distance and greens in regulation being the stats most strongly (but not real strongly) correlated with success, per the Hawley course fit analytics. Also note that it is playing a slightly different configuration than in prior events, with holes this week selected from each of the three nines in everyday use at the club.

The players whose stat profiles indicate that they are the best fits for the course are mostly the big names – Dustin Johnson, Day, Thomas, Luke List, Tony Finau, Rose, Charles Howell, and Seamus Power, in that order.

Winners on this course in the three previous FedEx Cup events were Vijay Singh in 2008, Matt Kuchar in 2010, and Hunter Mahan in 2014. Kuchar is the only one of those who is here this week.

The Northern Trust

August 20, 2018 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	-6.7	11
2	Justin Rose	5.0	101
3	Justin Thomas	9.4	8
4	Jason Day	16.0	20
5	Rickie Fowler	16.8	DNP
6	Patrick Cantlay	17.7	8
7	Tiger Woods	19.1	40
8	Francesco Molinari	20.5	90
9	Brooks Koepka	20.9	8
10	Webb Simpson	21.0	28
11	Tommy Fleetwood	24.5	20
12	Paul Casey	24.6	60
13	Jon Rahm	25.5	109
14	Jordan Spieth	28.4	25
15	Tony Finau	29.6	2
16	Louis Oosthuizen	30.3	28
17	Alex Noren	32.9	90
18	Phil Mickelson	33.5	15
19	Henrik Stenson	34.7	DNP
20	Zach Johnson	35.1	40
21	Ryan Moore	36.3	90
22	Ian Poulter	37.5	48
23	Patrick Reed	38.2	25
24	Xander Schauffele	40.2	81
25	Tyrrell Hatton	41.0	20
26	Matt Kuchar	41.3	60
27	Bubba Watson	41.5	34
28	Adam Scott	41.8	5
29	Rafa Cabrera Bello	42.3	60
30	Hideki Matsuyama	43.9	15
31	Kevin Kisner	44.1	73
32	Charles Howell	45.4	101
33	Kevin Na	46.3	15
34	Luke List	46.4	48
35	Branden Grace	46.5	81
36	Kyle Stanley	46.7	28
37	Stewart Cink	46.9	101
38	Emiliano Grillo	47.0	48
39	Marc Leishman	47.0	34
40	Keegan Bradley	48.3	34
41	Brandt Snedeker	48.5	DNP
42	Charley Hoffman	48.6	20
43	Bryson DeChambeau	48.7	1
44	Gary Woodland	49.7	48
45	Jamie Lovemark	51.5	34
46	Brian Harman	51.8	48
47	Pat Perez	52.4	40
48	Russell Henley	52.4	90
49	Chesson Hadley	52.8	56
50	Beau Hossler	53.6	60
51	Billy Horschel	53.8	3
52	Jimmy Walker	53.9	71
53	Charl Schwartzel	54.3	81
54	Kevin Chappell	54.6	109
55	Joel Dahmen	54.6	97
56	Jason Kokrak	54.9	40
57	Chris Kirk	55.1	78
58	Daniel Berger	55.1	15
59	Byeong Hun An	55.8	40
60	Adam Hadwin	56.5	11
61	Brian Gay	56.6	70
62	Andrew Putnam	56.7	78
63	Russell Knox	56.9	97
64	Chez Reavie	56.9	20
65	Kevin Tway	57.0	56
66	Brendan Steele	57.0	106
67	Jason Dufner	57.1	81
68	Cameron Smith	57.4	3
69	CT Pan	58.4	60
70	Harold Varner	58.6	40
71	Kevin Streelman	59.2	40
72	Martin Laird	59.2	73
73	JJ Spaun	59.5	60
74	Austin Cook	59.8	60
75	Rory Sabbatini	59.8	101
76	Anirban Lahiri	60.1	71
77	Danny Lee	60.6	34
78	JB Holmes	60.8	90
79	Abraham Ancer	60.9	81
80	Si Woo Kim	61.5	76
81	Keith Mitchell	61.6	117
82	Bud Cauley	61.9	DNP
83	William McGirt	62.1	117
84	Ryan Palmer	62.5	5
85	Aaron Wise	62.5	5
86	James Hahn	63.8	81
87	Ollie Schniederjans	64.3	90
88	Patrick Rodgers	64.3	DNP
89	Peter Uihlein	64.4	48
90	Tyler Duncan	64.5	112
91	Vaughn Taylor	64.8	90
92	Jhonattan Vegas	65.2	15
93	Nick Watney	65.4	11
94	Scott Piercy	65.6	48
95	Ryan Armour	65.7	78
96	Troy Merritt	65.9	115
97	Sam Ryder	66.2	28
98	Richy Werenski	66.3	112
99	John Huh	66.6	81
100	Grayson Murray	66.7	WD
101	Sam Saunders	67.0	60
102	Ryan Blaum	67.0	109
103	Tom Hoge	67.1	101
104	Bronson Burgoon	67.3	11
105	Sean O’Hair	67.3	28
106	Michael Kim	67.3	81
107	Patton Kizzire	67.7	60
108	Andrew Landry	67.8	76
109	Scott Brown	67.8	97
110	Harris English	67.8	97
111	Nick Taylor	67.9	81
112	JT Poston	68.0	115
113	Brice Garnett	68.0	106
114	Ted Potter	68.2	40
115	Scott Stallings	68.3	28
116	Seamus Power	68.5	34
117	Whee Kim	68.5	48
118	Trey Mullinax	68.7	56
119	Alex Cejka	68.8	56
120	Brandon Harkins	68.9	60
121	Satoshi Kodaira	68.9	112
122	Kelly Kraft	70.2	106
123	Sung Kang	70.3	75
124	Brian Stuard	71.8	25
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 73. The average is 207. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

D+D Real Czech Masters

August 20, 2018 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Thomas Pieters

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Thomas Pieters	35.9	9
2	Eddie Pepperell	56.4	9
3	Lee Westwood	62.1	61
4	Danny Willett	64.3	18
5	Dean Burmester	65.4	72
6	Andrew Johnston	66.8	142
7	Benjamin Hebert	66.9	44
8	Oliver Fisher	67.1	126
9	Andrea Pavan	67.9	1
10	Aaron Rai	67.9	24
11	Matt Wallace	68.3	36
12	Soren Kjeldsen	68.6	72
13	David Lipsky	68.9	50
14	Matthieu Pavon	69.2	72
15	Stephen Gallacher	69.3	24
16	Scott Hend	69.7	70
17	Lee Slattery	69.7	4
18	Peter Hanson	70.1	50
19	David Drysdale	70.5	109
20	Jordan Smith	70.6	36
21	Nacho Elvira	70.6	18
22	Haydn Porteous	70.9	36
23	Paul Peterson	70.9	63
24	Jeunghun Wang	71.0	87
25	Doug Ghim	71.2	DNP
26	Romain Wattel	71.3	147
27	Callum Shinkwin	71.3	65
28	Nicolas Colsaerts	71.3	140
29	Maximilian Kieffer	71.4	29
30	Scott Jamieson	71.6	4
31	Jamie Donaldson	71.7	44
32	James Morrison	71.7	36
33	Marc Warren	71.7	87
34	Tom Lewis	71.8	6
35	Renato Paratore	71.8	36
36	Mikko Korhonen	72.2	72
37	Ashley Chesters	72.3	59
38	Steve Webster	72.3	101
39	Matthew Nixon	72.5	24
40	Lucas Bjerregaard	72.5	9
41	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	72.6	29
42	Nino Bertasio	72.8	29
43	Thomas Aiken	72.9	121
44	Paul Waring	73.0	72
45	Justin Walters	73.1	29
46	Marcel Siem	73.3	121
47	Jacques Kruyswijk	73.3	7
48	Jason Scrivener	73.4	18
49	Henric Sturehed	73.4	109
50	Connor Syme	73.5	50
51	Felipe Aguilar	73.5	126
52	Ashun Wu	73.6	72
53	Gregory Bourdy	73.6	101
54	Adam Bland	73.7	18
55	Julien Guerrier	73.7	9
56	Alejandro Canizares	73.8	72
57	Matthias Schwab	74.0	9
58	Johan Carlsson	74.0	DNP
59	Gavin Green	74.1	3
60	Ricardo Gouveia	74.2	72
61	Raphael Jacquelin	74.2	50
62	Andrew Dodt	74.3	101
63	Richard Bland	74.4	44
64	Adrien Saddier	74.5	87
65	Austin Connelly	74.6	50
66	Jin Choi	74.6	68
67	Sebastien Gros	74.6	70
68	Jeff Winther	74.7	9
69	Chris Hanson	74.7	65
70	Bernd Ritthammer	74.8	87
71	Padraig Harrington	74.8	2
72	Matteo Manassero	74.8	126
73	Christofer Blomstrand	74.8	87
74	Sam Brazel	74.8	109
75	Scott Vincent	74.9	18
76	Florian Fritsch	75.0	121
77	Ryan Evans	75.1	50
78	Rak hyun Cho	75.2	24
79	Steven Brown	75.2	72
80	Nick Cullen	75.3	44
81	Gaganjeet Bhullar	75.3	7
82	Garrick Porteous	75.3	109
83	David Howell	75.5	36
84	Anders Hansen	75.5	87
85	Daniel Im	75.5	87
86	Alexander Knappe	75.7	36
87	Jazz Janewattananond	75.7	126
88	Chase Koepka	75.7	61
89	Charlie Ford	75.7	50
90	Joel Stalter	75.8	72
91	Pedro Oriol	75.8	72
92	James Heath	75.9	DNP
93	Tapio Pulkkanen	75.9	44
94	JC Ritchie	75.9	24
95	Sebastian Heisele	75.9	29
96	Matthew Baldwin	75.9	36
97	Phachara Khongwatmai	76.0	9
98	Danthai Boonma	76.0	50
99	Marcus Armitage	76.1	101
100	Matthew Millar	76.1	142
101	Victor Perez	76.1	DNP
102	Clement Sordet	76.1	101
103	SSP Chawrasia	76.1	87
104	Pontus Widegren	76.3	9
105	Johan Edfors	76.3	65
106	Daniel Brooks	76.5	133
107	Laurie Canter	76.5	121
108	Gary Stal	76.5	109
109	Scott Fernandez	76.6	87
110	Mark Tullo	76.7	87
111	Oliver Farr	76.9	72
112	Pep Angles	76.9	50
113	Soomin Lee	77.0	29
114	Carlos Pigem	77.2	126
115	Simon Khan	77.2	72
116	Bradley Neil	77.2	69
117	Ajeetesh Sandhu	77.3	72
118	Jonathan Thomson	77.3	63
119	Josh Geary	77.3	87
120	Jason Norris	77.4	140
121	Ruaidhri McGee	77.5	DNP
122	Jack Munro	77.8	101
123	Birgir Hafthorsson	77.8	109
124	Gavin Moynihan	78.0	87
125	Adrian Meronk	78.0	121
126	Oscar Serna	78.0	147
127	Ben Evans	78.1	72
128	Hugo Leon	78.2	101
129	John Daly	80.4	59
130	Joel Sjoholm	80.7	WD
131	Matt Ford	81.0	109
132	Filip Mruzek	81.4	101
133	Rene Gruber	81.6	133
134	Aaron Leitmannstetter	81.6	133
135	Jan Friesz	81.6	151
136	Peter Valasek	81.6	146
137	Mateusz Gradecki	81.6	109
138	Simon Zach	81.6	126
139	Vaclav Tichy	81.6	126
140	Jan Cafourek	81.6	109
141	Petr Dedek	81.6	154
142	Petr Gal	81.6	133
143	Ondrej Lieser	81.6	109
144	Daniel Suchan	81.6	133
145	Ales Korinek	81.6	109
146	Stanislav Matus	81.6	109
147	Paul Howard	81.6	DNP
	Hunter Stewart	late entry	17
	Peter Karmis	late entry	23
	Callum Tarren	late entry	35
	Lucas Herbert	late entry	48
	Mathieu Decottignies-Lafon	late entry	98
	Dru Love	late entry	99
	Adam Puchmelter	late entry	137
	Lukas Tintera	late entry	139
	Paul McBride	late entry	144
	Liam Robinson	late entry	145
	Ricardo Gonzalez	late entry	149
	Michal Pospisil	late entry	150
	Chris Doak	late entry	152
	Benedict Staben	late entry	153
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 41. The average is 207. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 19, 2018)

August 20, 2018 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Heading into the FedEx Cup playoffs, Dustin Johnson is no. 1 for the 13th straight week.

#	Thru Aug. 19, 2018	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Dustin Johnson	46	1869	1
2	Justin Thomas	52	1683	2
3	Justin Rose	47	1677	3
4	Rickie Fowler	50	1673	4
5	Tiger Woods	18	1627	5
6	Paul Casey	47	1619	6
7	Brooks Koepka	44	1604	7
8	Patrick Cantlay	31	1552	8
9	Jon Rahm	47	1468	9
10	Jordan Spieth	53	1464	10
11	Jason Day	43	1452	11
12	Rory McIlroy	44	1412	12
13	Francesco Molinari	50	1373	13
14	Webb Simpson	52	1350	14
15	Louis Oosthuizen	44	1278	15
16	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1275	16
17	Tony Finau	57	1273	17
18	Henrik Stenson	46	1244	18
19	Phil Mickelson	49	1216	19
20	Alex Noren	50	1151	20
21	Matt Kuchar	62	1140	21
22	Patrick Reed	66	1124	22
23	Hideki Matsuyama	48	1083	24
24	Marc Leishman	52	1072	23
25	Xander Schauffele	53	1042	25
26	Adam Scott	45	1033	26
27	Kyle Stanley	52	1019	27
28	Zach Johnson	52	1007	28
29	Ian Poulter	56	1007	29
30	Tyrrell Hatton	52	1002	30
31	Kevin Kisner	58	999	31
32	Ryan Moore	49	996	33
33	Brian Harman	55	992	32
34	Rafa Cabrera Bello	62	964	35
35	Charles Howell	52	928	36
36	Joaquin Niemann	15	913	34
37	Charley Hoffman	62	906	37
38	Branden Grace	55	900	40
39	Pat Perez	49	897	39
40	Brandt Snedeker	48	894	44
41	Steve Stricker	29	852	38
42	Jason Dufner	50	843	41
43	Russell Henley	50	838	42
44	Bryson DeChambeau	59	826	47
45	Emiliano Grillo	56	823	46
46	Sergio Garcia	48	821	48
47	Daniel Berger	54	819	43
48	Stewart Cink	51	811	49
49	Chesson Hadley	42	810	45
50	Bubba Watson	50	807	50
51	Luke List	60	804	52
52	Gary Woodland	55	800	53
53	Kevin Chappell	56	799	54
54	Kevin Na	51	788	55
55	Graham DeLaet	29	785	57
56	Charl Schwartzel	51	784	56
57	Chez Reavie	55	784	58
58	Keegan Bradley	54	782	59
59	Brendan Steele	47	777	51
60	Thomas Pieters	51	771	60
61	Adam Hadwin	53	763	61
62	Jamie Lovemark	55	760	62
63	Byeong Hun An	57	740	63
64	Jimmy Walker	51	738	64
65	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56	729	65
66	Cameron Smith	53	718	66
67	Shane Lowry	55	674	67
68	Bud Cauley	46	672	69
69	Bernd Wiesberger	45	670	68
70	John Oda	9	643	120
71	JB Holmes	53	639	73
72	Kevin Streelman	54	635	75
73	Lucas Glover	45	635	74
74	Billy Horschel	55	633	79
75	Anirban Lahiri	53	631	76
76	Russell Knox	65	627	77
77	Martin Laird	50	625	71
78	Jason Kokrak	57	622	72
79	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	59	620	78
80	Brian Gay	55	620	85
81	Chris Kirk	58	610	83
82	Beau Hossler	36	595	80
83	Thorbjorn Olesen	55	595	82
84	Kevin Tway	60	594	89
85	Peter Uihlein	56	583	81
86	Aaron Wise	34	575	84
87	Andrew Putnam	32	568	87
88	Ross Fisher	52	566	88
89	Danny Lee	65	559	92
90	Bill Haas	54	559	86
91	Sam Burns	12	547	90
92	Lee Westwood	44	543	94
93	Austin Cook	33	543	93
94	Rory Sabbatini	53	535	91
95	JJ Spaun	57	535	95
96	Julian Suri	37	526	96
97	Ryan Fox	46	523	100
98	Ryan Palmer	42	522	99
99	Haotong Li	52	520	102
100	Scott Piercy	49	517	97
101	Ollie Schniederjans	57	514	98
102	James Hahn	55	510	104
103	Joel Dahmen	46	508	106
104	Si Woo Kim	60	505	101
105	Eddie Pepperell	46	500	109
106	Sean O’Hair	53	496	103
107	Abraham Ancer	35	491	115
108	Jhonattan Vegas	60	490	105
109	Patrick Rodgers	59	485	113
110	Nick Watney	47	484	107
111	Grayson Murray	53	481	108
112	Keith Mitchell	34	478	110
113	CT Pan	62	476	130
114	Andy Sullivan	53	474	114
115	Graeme McDowell	60	472	111
116	William McGirt	57	466	112
117	Dylan Frittelli	55	462	117
118	Martin Kaymer	52	451	116
119	Dylan Meyer	9	448	121
120	Harold Varner	64	445	119
121	Vaughn Taylor	54	443	118
122	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	442	123
123	Andrew Landry	31	435	126
124	David Lingmerth	61	432	122
125	Rafael Campos	9	429	128
126	Scott Brown	62	428	125
127	Sam Saunders	54	424	127
128	Hudson Swafford	52	423	124
129	Ryan Armour	54	420	151
130	Victor Dubuisson	26	418	132
131	Jorge Campillo	55	415	134
132	Morgan Hoffmann	39	414	138
133	Joost Luiten	45	413	136
134	Seung-yul Noh	33	412	137
135	Sung Kang	62	411	133
136	Chris Wood	54	409	140
137	Erik Van Rooyen	24	408	139
138	Paul Dunne	55	408	141
139	Alexander Bjork	50	407	131
140	Bronson Burgoon	27	404	129
141	Brandon Hagy	32	403	144
142	Scott Stallings	59	402	135
143	Michael Thompson	44	399	166
144	Ryan Blaum	59	394	143
145	Nick Taylor	59	393	167
146	Tom Hoge	53	389	154
147	Brandon Harkins	33	387	142
148	David Hearn	57	386	174
149	Jim Furyk	35	382	198
150	JT Poston	56	376	145
151	Mackenzie Hughes	62	374	150
152	Chad Campbell	59	373	149
153	Wesley Bryan	52	373	146
154	Robert Garrigus	54	373	148
155	Tyler Duncan	35	372	147
156	Patton Kizzire	54	371	153
157	Jim Herman	37	368	152
158	Aaron Baddeley	51	365	171
159	Ted Potter	34	365	157
160	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	47	364	161
161	Kelly Kraft	60	363	159
162	Dean Burmester	45	362	162
163	Alexander Levy	52	357	163
164	John Huh	58	355	155
165	Seamus Power	58	354	156
166	Johnson Wagner	52	352	172
167	Soren Kjeldsen	52	352	160
168	Brice Garnett	36	350	180
169	Harris English	62	349	182
170	Trey Mullinax	58	349	169
171	Richy Werenski	61	349	164
172	Ben Martin	50	349	170
173	Satoshi Kodaira	25	343	158
174	Whee Kim	59	343	168
175	Troy Merritt	60	342	173
176	Hideto Tanihara	39	338	165
177	Michael Kim	53	338	175
178	Andrew Johnston	41	337	178
179	Richard Sterne	46	336	176
180	Jordan Smith	47	334	70
181	Jerry Kelly	13	329	177
182	Matthew Southgate	55	326	181
183	Corey Conners	33	317	179
184	Benjamin Hebert	49	312	184
185	Sam Ryder	33	309	185
186	Seung-su Han	14	308	186
187	Kyung-tae Kim	15	306	191
188	Matt Jones	52	305	183
189	Adrian Otaegui	56	303	192
190	Alex Cejka	59	301	188
191	Henrik Norlander	13	300	190
192	Chris Stroud	52	300	189
193	Ben Crane	51	300	187
194	George Coetzee	55	299	196
195	Matt Wallace	44	297	201
196	Shubhankar Sharma	31	297	199
197	Fabrizio Zanotti	47	297	200
198	Cameron Percy	46	295	204
199	Tyrone van Aswegen	66	294	193
200	JJ Henry	58	293	194
201	Julian Etulain	29	292	203
202	Retief Goosen	42	288	195
203	Denny McCarthy	29	287	209
204	Scott Hend	57	285	206
205	Marcus Kinhult	20	284	197
206	Chris Paisley	51	284	205
207	Dominic Bozzelli	48	282	202
208	Luke Donald	37	280	207
209	Pablo Larrazabal	50	277	210
210	Andrea Pavan	25	276	227
211	Jaco van Zyl	24	274	213
212	Jonas Blixt	51	274	220
213	Brandon Stone	52	273	217
214	Blayne Barber	48	273	216
215	Nate Lashley	21	272	214
216	Robert Streb	60	270	212
217	Danny Willett	46	270	218
218	Talor Gooch	33	268	208
219	Derek Fathauer	57	268	211
220	Matthieu Pavon	48	265	221
221	Nicolas Colsaerts	55	265	215
222	Robert Rock	49	264	236
223	Richie Ramsay	53	260	219
224	Aaron Rai	35	259	225
225	Camilo Villegas	44	259	229
226	Nacho Elvira	55	258	224
227	Daisuke Kataoka	15	258	230
228	Curtis Luck	25	257	232
229	Brian Stuard	65	253	223
230	Jeunghun Wang	55	252	222
231	Cameron Davis	8	252	233
232	David Horsey	50	251	234
233	Stephen Gallacher	51	251	226
234	David Lipsky	54	251	235
235	Thomas Detry	49	249	241
236	Callum Shinkwin	41	249	240
237	John Peterson	30	249	238
238	Joakim Lagergren	51	246	237
239	Benjamin Silverman	32	245	231
240	Robby Shelton	8	244	243
241	Zac Blair	59	243	239
242	Joachim B Hansen	12	237	246
243	Darren Fichardt	43	237	245
244	Martin Flores	59	236	242
245	Mikko Ilonen	43	230	247
246	Daniel Summerhays	55	230	244
247	Tag Ridings	27	228	250
248	Anthony Wall	30	226	253
249	Ricky Barnes	59	226	248
250	Sam Horsfield	31	225	252
251	Michael Putnam	10	224	257
252	Andres Gonzales	32	224	254
253	Lucas Bjerregaard	57	221	249
254	Maximilian Kieffer	49	221	269
255	Will MacKenzie	21	221	256
256	Tim Wilkinson	32	220	255
257	Adam Schenk	35	218	251
258	Mikko Korhonen	47	217	258
259	Shawn Stefani	56	215	276
260	Thongchai Jaidee	50	214	260
261	Wade Ormsby	47	214	262
262	Graeme Storm	43	214	264
263	Scott Jamieson	54	212	259
264	Geoff Ogilvy	45	211	263
265	Sebastian Munoz	26	209	266
266	Lee Slattery	52	207	277
267	Smylie Kaufman	53	204	272
268	Fabian Gomez	53	203	265
269	Tom Lovelady	32	203	261
270	Jonathan Byrd	40	203	302
271	Oliver Fisher	54	201	274
272	Bradley Dredge	48	198	273
273	Rob Oppenheim	37	198	267
274	Peter Malnati	59	198	299
275	David Drysdale	59	197	271
276	Greg Chalmers	51	197	275
277	Roger Sloan	8	194	282
278	Chad Collins	30	192	280
279	Paul Waring	46	190	312
280	Henric Sturehed	15	189	270
281	TJ Vogel	8	188
282	Hunter Mahan	51	188	281
283	Parker McLachlin	12	187	268
284	Martin Piller	38	187	279
285	Sean Crocker	14	186	288
286	Andres Romero	37	186	278
287	Nicholas Lindheim	55	186	283
288	Jacques Kruyswijk	23	185	284
289	Rikard Karlberg	28	185	287
290	Andrew Dodt	49	185	291
291	Ashley Chesters	46	184	290
292	Nino Bertasio	61	184	300
293	Boo Weekley	29	183	297
294	Padraig Harrington	48	182	285
295	Romain Wattel	50	181	295
296	Renato Paratore	57	180	286
297	Yusaku Miyazato	25	179	296
298	Poom Saksansin	18	178	301
299	Ryo Ishikawa	29	178	293
300	Jens Dantorp	31	177	289
301	Ashun Wu	50	176	292
302	Cameron Tringale	59	176	294
303	Trevor Immelman	25	176	305
304	Marc Warren	54	175	311
305	DA Points	50	175	406
306	Maverick McNealy	11	173	303
307	Austin Connelly	38	173	298
308	Haydn Porteous	62	171	326
309	Kristoffer Broberg	16	170	315
310	Billy Hurley	55	170	316
311	Yuta Ikeda	23	170	309
312	Thomas Aiken	46	170	337
313	KJ Choi	42	169	313
314	Greg Owen	23	169	307
315	Adam Bland	24	169	334
316	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	168	317
317	Lanto Griffin	30	168	304
318	Stephan Jaeger	37	164	310
319	Alejandro Canizares	40	164	306
320	Jason Scrivener	53	163	314
321	Steve Wheatcroft	45	163	318
322	Jose-Filipe Lima	29	163	321
323	Brett Stegmaier	53	161	393
324	Matthias Schwab	19	160	308
325	Roberto Castro	33	160	319
326	Spencer Levin	39	160	329
327	Jonathan Randolph	54	159	320
328	Kyle Reifers	40	158	325
329	Tim Herron	23	157	327
330	Marcel Siem	53	157	322
331	Angel Cabrera	24	156	331
332	Rick Lamb	36	156	332
333	Peter Hanson	36	156	328
334	Cody Gribble	56	154	323
335	James Morrison	56	154	324
336	Brett Coletta	10	154	336
337	Lucas Herbert	21	152	390
338	Vijay Singh	33	151	339
339	Ethan Tracy	27	151	330
340	Richard McEvoy	29	149	340
341	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	26	149	333
342	Khalin Joshi	8	147	341
343	Ryan Brehm	33	146	343
344	Connor Syme	25	146	356
345	JC Ritchie	9	144	345
346	Jake McLeod	9	144	347
347	Brian Campbell	27	143	346
348	John Merrick	23	143	335
349	Richard Bland	51	142	338
350	Will Wilcox	18	140	350
351	Matteo Manassero	52	140	344
352	Stuart Appleby	36	140	342
353	Paul Peterson	47	139	348
354	Johan Carlsson	39	139	378
355	Jamie Donaldson	44	139	354
356	Ricardo Gouveia	57	138	349
357	Justin Walters	55	138	351
358	Carlos Ortiz	9	137	358
359	Hennie Otto	16	137	355
360	Trevor Fisher	24	137	360
361	Micah Lauren Shin	8	136	361
362	Chris Hanson	54	136	353
363	Bill Lunde	10	133	359
364	Juvic Pagunsan	9	132	362
365	Julien Guerrier	26	132	352
366	Scott Langley	10	131	357
367	Matthew Nixon	31	130	367
368	Gavin Green	25	129	368
369	Christofer Blomstrand	21	128	365
370	Mark Anderson	25	126	369
371	Jacques Blaauw	14	124	371
372	Raphael Jacquelin	53	124	366
373	Davis Love	26	124	364
374	Ockie Strydom	9	123	379
375	Sam Brazel	46	123	374
376	Gregory Havret	56	122	370
377	Young-han Song	12	121	376
378	Mark Brown	8	120	385
379	Rhein Gibson	13	119	382
380	Robert Karlsson	46	118	399
381	Lasse Jensen	54	118	375
382	Xin-jun Zhang	31	118	372
383	Shiv Kapur	20	118	386
384	Bryce Molder	28	118	387
385	Gregory Bourdy	58	118	381
386	Matt Every	61	117	383
387	Panuphol Pittayarat	17	117	384
388	Prayad Marksaeng	9	116	388
389	Adrien Saddier	27	116	377
390	Freddie Jacobson	12	115	363
391	Brett Drewitt	27	114	391
392	Florian Fritsch	33	113	380
393	Marcus Fraser	47	112	396
394	Michael Hoey	17	111	398
395	Bernd Ritthammer	33	111	397
396	Rod Pampling	49	110	389
397	Lorenzo Gagli	22	110	400
398	Tapio Pulkkanen	20	110	403
399	Chase Koepka	24	108	392
400	Jason Gore	17	108	408
More \| Less

A look at the Wyndham Championship

August 13, 2018 Thomas Hawley Narrative

We’re in the one-week gap between two of the season’s premiere events and the start of the FedEx Cup series, meaning that the guys who didn’t qualify for the WGC-Bridgestone or PGA Championship have this one, last chance to get into the top 125 in time for next week’s playoffs.

First let’s note that the obvious favorite is TPC champion and Ryder Cup probable Webb Simpson. Now without further ado, let’s take a look the guys who have the most riding on this event, i.e. those ranked near the 125-player cutoff for the FedEx Cup.

FedEx rank	Player	Rating	Trend
115	Sam Ryder	312.9	up
116	Ryan Blaum	403.4	up
117	Brian Stuard	260.0	down
118	Scott Brown	435.1	down
119	Sean O’Hair	515.5	down
120	Sam Saunders	429.5	down
121	Bud Cauley	not entered
122	Jhonattan Vegas	505.9	down
123	Seamus Power	364.4	down
124	Martin Piller	193.4	down
125	Tyrone van Aswegen	301.9	down
126	Chad Campbell	383.2	down
127	Robert Garrigus	384.1	down
128	Corey Conners	322.2	down
129	Nick Taylor	350.6	down
130	Tom Lovelady	212.9	down
131	Sergio Garcia	820.9	down
132	Harris English	316.5	down
133	Lucas Glover	not entered
134	Benjamin Silverman	256.0	down
135	Derek Fathauer	277.1	down
136	Johnson Wagner	346.5	up
137	Aaron Baddeley	347.0	down
138	Talor Gooch	279.4	down
139	Shane Lowry	691.8	up

“Rating” is the player’s Hawley Rating. “Trend” indicates whether the player’s Hawley Rating Read more

Wyndham Championship

August 13, 2018 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Webb Simpson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Webb Simpson	12.7	2
2	Henrik Stenson	30.8	20
3	Ryan Moore	39.3	6
4	Brandt Snedeker	42.7	1
5	Adam Scott	44.1	DNP
6	Charles Howell	44.9	DNP
7	Rafa Cabrera Bello	45.6	11
8	Russell Henley	47.0	73
9	Stewart Cink	47.2	DNP
10	Steve Stricker	47.2	90
11	Joaquin Niemann	47.8	33
12	Shane Lowry	49.2	73
13	Jason Kokrak	50.2	57
14	Chesson Hadley	50.9	45
15	Jason Dufner	53.2	66
16	Daniel Berger	53.5	105
17	Jamie Lovemark	54.3	24
18	Matthew Fitzpatrick	54.8	36
19	Billy Horschel	54.9	11
20	Sergio Garcia	56.1	24
21	Rory Sabbatini	56.9	57
22	Brendan Steele	57.5	99
23	Chris Kirk	57.8	11
24	Harold Varner	58.0	53
25	Julian Suri	58.3	41
26	Abraham Ancer	58.7	24
27	William McGirt	58.9	57
28	Bill Haas	58.9	45
29	Martin Laird	59.0	45
30	Brian Gay	60.5	6
31	CT Pan	60.9	2
32	Si Woo Kim	61.0	153
33	Kevin Tway	61.1	11
34	Nick Watney	61.4	105
35	Johnson Wagner	62.3	33
36	Keith Mitchell	62.8	41
37	Sam Saunders	62.9	45
38	Danny Lee	63.0	24
39	Peter Uihlein	63.2	105
40	Graeme McDowell	63.3	57
41	Tyler Duncan	63.4	124
42	Vaughn Taylor	63.5	90
43	Chad Campbell	63.5	105
44	Scott Piercy	63.9	45
45	John Huh	64.7	90
46	Patrick Rodgers	64.8	24
47	Jhonattan Vegas	65.0	124
48	Bronson Burgoon	65.3	130
49	Hudson Swafford	65.4	66
50	Whee Kim	65.4	130
51	Dylan Meyer	65.5	36
52	Grayson Murray	65.6	130
53	John Oda	65.9	11
54	Mackenzie Hughes	66.0	66
55	Scott Brown	66.0	57
56	Richy Werenski	66.1	53
57	Scott Stallings	66.1	73
58	Brandon Harkins	66.3	105
59	Robert Garrigus	66.5	105
60	Matt Jones	66.6	99
61	Sean O’Hair	66.6	105
62	Seamus Power	66.7	124
63	JT Poston	66.8	130
64	Sam Ryder	66.8	45
65	Ryan Armour	66.9	8
66	Ryan Blaum	67.0	57
67	Alex Cejka	67.5	73
68	David Lingmerth	67.8	90
69	Denny McCarthy	68.0	36
70	Satoshi Kodaira	68.2	147
71	JJ Henry	68.4	105
72	Sung Kang	68.5	53
73	Nate Lashley	68.7	DNP
74	Chris Stroud	68.7	WD
75	Tom Hoge	69.0	20
76	Michael Thompson	69.2	11
77	Trey Mullinax	69.2	36
78	Brice Garnett	69.3	20
79	Derek Fathauer	69.4	147
80	David Hearn	69.6	8
81	Harris English	69.6	11
82	Ricky Barnes	69.6	70
83	Corey Conners	69.6	45
84	Davis Love	69.6	90
85	Hunter Mahan	69.6	124
86	Blayne Barber	69.7	41
87	Jim Furyk	69.9	4
88	Wesley Bryan	70.0	139
89	Benjamin Silverman	70.0	99
90	Ben Crane	70.0	90
91	Retief Goosen	70.1	130
92	Aaron Baddeley	70.1	24
93	Cameron Percy	70.2	33
94	Nick Taylor	70.3	8
95	Fabian Gomez	70.4	99
96	Robert Streb	70.6	139
97	Talor Gooch	70.7	90
98	Dominic Bozzelli	70.8	90
99	Brian Stuard	70.9	73
100	Tyrone van Aswegen	71.0	73
101	Shawn Stefani	71.2	24
102	Jonas Blixt	71.2	36
103	Zac Blair	71.2	99
104	Andres Romero	71.3	147
105	Adam Schenk	71.5	130
106	Steve Wheatcroft	71.6	117
107	Tom Lovelady	71.9	154
108	Martin Flores	72.2	65
109	Peter Malnati	72.8	24
110	Jonathan Byrd	73.0	24
111	Nicholas Lindheim	73.0	73
112	Rob Oppenheim	73.2	139
113	Daniel Summerhays	73.2	139
114	Martin Piller	73.4	73
115	Ethan Tracy	73.4	139
116	Lanto Griffin	73.6	57
117	Arjun Atwal	73.6	73
118	Stephan Jaeger	73.7	70
119	DA Points	73.7	4
120	Brett Stegmaier	73.8	11
121	Parker McLachlin	73.8	117
122	John Merrick	73.8	150
123	Cody Gribble	73.8	99
124	Conrad Shindler	74.3	66
125	Padraig Harrington	74.4	117
126	Cameron Tringale	74.5	130
127	Jonathan Randolph	74.5	124
128	Billy Hurley	74.6	41
129	Matt Every	74.8	139
130	Xin-jun Zhang	74.9	70
131	Sangmoon Bae	75.1	45
132	Rod Pampling	75.6	124
133	Roberto Diaz	75.7	53
134	Stuart Appleby	75.9	73
135	Ernie Els	76.0	73
136	Tim Herron	76.2	DNP
137	Matt Atkins	76.5	139
138	Ken Duke	76.6	105
139	Carl Pettersson	76.8	130
140	DJ Trahan	77.0	DNP
141	Ze-cheng Dou	77.3	73
142	Steve Marino	77.5	DNP
143	Andrew Yun	77.5	90
144	Doug Ghim	77.5	20
145	Dicky Pride	77.5	150
146	Kyle Thompson	77.7	130
147	Brendon de Jonge	78.5	139
148	George McNeill	78.8	117
149	Jason Bohn	79.2	73
150	Bob Estes	79.6	DNP
151	Mark Wilson	79.7	DNP
152	Tommy Gainey	79.9	105
153	Robert Allenby	80.5	DNP
154	Doc Redman	80.6	117
155	Daniel Chopra	81.1	DNP
156	Shane Bertsch	81.2	105
157	Brian Davis	81.2	117
158	Kris Blanks	81.3	117
159	Omar Uresti	81.6	DNP
160	Charles Frost	81.6	154
161	Norman Xiong	81.6	73
162	Will Zalatoris	81.6	73
	Hideki Matsuyama	late entry	15
	Ollie Schniederjans	late entry	63
	Mickey Demorat	late entry	73
	TJ Vogel	late entry	77
	Stewart Jolly	late entry	105
	James Driscoll	late entry	152
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 366. The average is 208. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Nordea Masters

August 13, 2018 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Thorbjorn Olesen

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Thorbjorn Olesen	48.3	4
2	Nicolas Colsaerts	64.5	110
3	Alexander Bjork	65.9	119
4	Soren Kjeldsen	66.1	45
5	Martin Kaymer	66.4	61
6	Benjamin Hebert	66.7	24
7	Matthew Southgate	67.0	10
8	Stephen Gallacher	68.6	119
9	Hideto Tanihara	69.2	127
10	Andrew Johnston	69.2	10
11	Joakim Lagergren	69.4	34
12	Marcus Kinhult	69.9	45
13	Jens Dantorp	69.9	100
14	Aaron Rai	70.4	24
15	Thomas Detry	70.5	13
16	Bradley Dredge	70.6	34
17	Matthieu Pavon	70.6	29
18	Maximilian Kieffer	70.8	3
19	Andrea Pavan	71.2	6
20	Richie Ramsay	71.6	85
21	Robert Rock	71.7	6
22	Lucas Bjerregaard	72.0	WD
23	Jeunghun Wang	72.0	75
24	Nacho Elvira	72.3	24
25	Ashley Chesters	72.3	29
26	Renato Paratore	72.5	127
27	Scott Jamieson	72.5	42
28	James Morrison	72.8	61
29	David Drysdale	73.1	85
30	Raphael Jacquelin	73.2	85
31	Peter Hanson	73.5	DNP
32	Matthew Nixon	73.8	34
33	Henric Sturehed	73.9	75
34	Matthias Schwab	74.1	85
35	Richard McEvoy	74.3	34
36	Alejandro Canizares	74.4	45
37	Matteo Manassero	74.7	94
38	Sebastian Soderberg	74.7	75
39	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	74.8	45
40	Lee Slattery	74.9	10
41	Nino Bertasio	75.0	17
42	Robert Karlsson	75.0	17
43	Marcel Siem	75.1	94
44	Tom Lewis	75.2	29
45	Ricardo Gouveia	75.2	45
46	Paul Waring	75.2	1
47	Jacques Kruyswijk	75.3	42
48	Ashun Wu	75.4	127
49	Marc Warren	75.6	17
50	Austin Connelly	75.6	110
51	Christofer Blomstrand	75.6	45
52	Connor Syme	75.6	21
53	Justin Walters	75.8	45
54	Thomas Aiken	75.9	2
55	Lasse Jensen	75.9	110
56	Jason Scrivener	76.0	61
57	Freddie Jacobson	76.0	56
58	Thomas Bjorn	76.1	94
59	Richard Bland	76.1	61
60	Felipe Aguilar	76.2	110
61	Johan Carlsson	76.3	13
62	Jeff Winther	76.3	68
63	Lucas Herbert	76.4	5
64	Adam Bland	76.4	13
65	Haydn Porteous	76.4	6
66	Gregory Havret	76.5	74
67	Julien Guerrier	76.6	110
68	Steven Brown	76.7	85
69	Paul Peterson	76.7	45
70	Adrien Saddier	76.8	139
71	Florian Fritsch	77.0	144
72	Rak hyun Cho	77.0	56
73	Oscar Lengden	77.0	DNP
74	Chris Hanson	77.1	45
75	Scott Vincent	77.1	100
76	Niclas Fasth	77.1	143
77	Jin Choi	77.3	42
78	Matias Calderon	77.3	119
79	Richard Green	77.5	45
80	Johan Edfors	77.6	45
81	Sebastien Gros	77.8	13
82	Gregory Bourdy	77.8	100
83	Chase Koepka	77.9	85
84	Brett Rumford	77.9	94
85	Tapio Pulkkanen	77.9	34
86	Anders Hansen	77.9	85
87	Pedro Oriol	78.0	34
88	Edoardo Molinari	78.1	68
89	Matthew Millar	78.3	75
90	Phachara Khongwatmai	78.3	100
91	Sebastian Heisele	78.5	61
92	Charlie Ford	78.7	100
93	Steve Webster	78.7	85
94	Brad Fritsch	78.7	72
95	Peter Karmis	78.8	110
96	Daniel Im	78.9	100
97	Daniel Brooks	79.0	94
98	Matthew Baldwin	79.0	136
99	Laurie Canter	79.2	56
100	Soomin Lee	79.2	85
101	David Howell	79.2	24
102	Scott Fernandez	79.3	75
103	Gary Stal	79.4	56
104	Ryan Evans	79.4	29
105	Ricardo Gonzalez	79.5	110
106	Pep Angles	79.6	75
107	Carlos Pigem	79.7	61
108	Pontus Widegren	79.7	133
109	Clement Sordet	79.8	17
110	Michael Jonzon	80.0	133
111	Oliver Farr	80.0	119
112	Mikael Lundberg	80.1	DNP
113	Niklas Lemke	80.1	139
114	Jazz Janewattananond	80.1	6
115	Josh Geary	80.3	75
116	Mark Tullo	80.5	34
117	Simon Khan	80.7	127
118	Ajeetesh Sandhu	80.7	119
119	Jonathan Thomson	80.8	29
120	Bradley Neil	80.9	21
121	Dru Love	81.0	94
122	Oliver Lindell	81.1	21
123	Alfie Plant	81.2	61
124	Birgir Hafthorsson	81.2	68
125	Oscar Serna	81.3	100
126	Oscar Floren	81.4	56
127	Oscar Stark	81.4	100
128	Malcolm Kokocinski	81.5	127
129	Wesley McClain	81.5	146
130	Kim Koivu	81.5	68
131	Jarand Ekeland Arnoy	81.5	136
132	Joel Sjoholm	81.5	119
133	Ake Nilsson	81.6	100
134	Jordan Gumberg	81.6	139
135	Danny List	81.6	147
136	Anthony Paolucci	81.6	136
137	Ludvig Aberg	81.6	34
138	Fredrik Nilehn	81.6	72
139	Ryan Lumsden	81.6	75
140	Adam Blomme	81.6	119
141	Tim Widing	81.6	127
142	Pontus Nyholm	81.6	75
143	Gustav Adell	81.6	110
144	Oskar Franck	81.6	144
145	Jarmo Sandelin	81.6	100
146	Hannes Ronneblad	81.6	139
147	Alexander Wennstam	81.6	119
148	Hunter Stewart	81.7	24
	Linus Lilliedahl	late entry	81
	Roope Kakko	late entry	117
	Per Langfors	late entry	135
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 123. The average is 208. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

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