A Look at Golf – Page 88 – Alookatgolf provides information for the professional golf fan, fantasy golf enthusiast, and daily fantasy sports golf participant. We provide true odds on U.S. and European professional golf events and accurate rankings of U.S. and European pro golfers.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 12, 2019)

August 13, 2018 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Dustin Johnson is no. 1 for the 12th straight week.

#	Thru Aug. 12, 2018	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Dustin Johnson	46	1869	1
2	Justin Thomas	53	1678	5
3	Justin Rose	47	1675	3
4	Rickie Fowler	51	1668	4
5	Tiger Woods	18	1624	11
6	Paul Casey	47	1616	2
7	Brooks Koepka	44	1594	7
8	Patrick Cantlay	31	1552	6
9	Jon Rahm	48	1467	12
10	Jordan Spieth	53	1464	10
11	Jason Day	43	1453	9
12	Rory McIlroy	44	1416	8
13	Francesco Molinari	50	1371	14
14	Webb Simpson	52	1309	17
15	Louis Oosthuizen	44	1276	18
16	Tommy Fleetwood	60	1274	16
17	Tony Finau	57	1272	15
18	Henrik Stenson	45	1248	13
19	Phil Mickelson	49	1218	19
20	Alex Noren	50	1153	20
21	Matt Kuchar	62	1138	21
22	Patrick Reed	67	1123	22
23	Marc Leishman	52	1070	23
24	Hideki Matsuyama	48	1061	24
25	Xander Schauffele	53	1037	26
26	Adam Scott	45	1037	36
27	Kyle Stanley	53	1018	25
28	Zach Johnson	52	1005	31
29	Ian Poulter	56	1003	29
30	Tyrrell Hatton	53	1003	34
31	Kevin Kisner	59	999	33
32	Brian Harman	56	992	28
33	Ryan Moore	49	962	30
34	Joaquin Niemann	14	948	27
35	Rafa Cabrera Bello	62	944	41
36	Charles Howell	52	930	32
37	Charley Hoffman	62	904	35
38	Steve Stricker	28	899	39
39	Pat Perez	49	898	38
40	Branden Grace	55	896	42
41	Jason Dufner	50	872	37
42	Russell Henley	50	866	40
43	Daniel Berger	53	843	57
44	Brandt Snedeker	48	835	45
45	Chesson Hadley	42	831	43
46	Emiliano Grillo	56	826	50
47	Bryson DeChambeau	59	822	46
48	Sergio Garcia	47	821	44
49	Stewart Cink	52	811	65
50	Bubba Watson	50	810	48
51	Brendan Steele	46	809	47
52	Luke List	61	805	49
53	Gary Woodland	55	804	64
54	Kevin Chappell	56	799	51
55	Kevin Na	52	789	60
56	Charl Schwartzel	51	785	53
57	Graham DeLaet	30	783	55
58	Chez Reavie	56	783	63
59	Keegan Bradley	55	783	54
60	Thomas Pieters	52	769	67
61	Adam Hadwin	54	769	52
62	Jamie Lovemark	54	758	56
63	Byeong Hun An	57	739	59
64	Jimmy Walker	52	739	61
65	Matthew Fitzpatrick	56	737	58
66	Cameron Smith	54	718	62
67	Shane Lowry	55	692	76
68	Bernd Wiesberger	45	672	66
69	Bud Cauley	47	670	68
70	Jordan L Smith	12	659	71
71	Martin Laird	50	643	73
72	Jason Kokrak	57	642	82
73	JB Holmes	54	641	69
74	Lucas Glover	46	636	74
75	Kevin Streelman	54	635	70
76	Anirban Lahiri	53	630	72
77	Russell Knox	65	628	77
78	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	59	618	75
79	Billy Horschel	55	606	81
80	Beau Hossler	36	596	78
81	Peter Uihlein	55	596	79
82	Thorbjorn Olesen	54	592	80
83	Chris Kirk	58	581	88
84	Aaron Wise	34	574	83
85	Brian Gay	54	574	85
86	Bill Haas	54	572	84
87	Andrew Putnam	32	569	86
88	Ross Fisher	52	568	87
89	Kevin Tway	59	560	89
90	Sam Burns	12	550	92
91	Rory Sabbatini	53	549	93
92	Danny Lee	65	547	96
93	Austin Cook	33	543	90
94	Lee Westwood	45	543	95
95	JJ Spaun	57	533	101
96	Julian Suri	36	532	115
97	Scott Piercy	49	531	91
98	Ollie Schniederjans	56	529	94
99	Ryan Palmer	42	523	100
100	Ryan Fox	46	522	108
101	Si Woo Kim	60	521	97
102	Haotong Li	52	518	98
103	Sean O’Hair	53	515	104
104	James Hahn	55	513	99
105	Jhonattan Vegas	59	506	103
106	Joel Dahmen	46	505	106
107	Nick Watney	46	501	102
108	Grayson Murray	52	497	107
109	Eddie Pepperell	47	496	105
110	Keith Mitchell	33	485	110
111	Graeme McDowell	60	484	111
112	William McGirt	57	477	113
113	Patrick Rodgers	58	475	112
114	Andy Sullivan	54	473	109
115	Abraham Ancer	35	471	114
116	Martin Kaymer	51	468	116
117	Dylan Frittelli	55	461	121
118	Vaughn Taylor	53	458	117
119	Harold Varner	64	452	119
120	John Oda	8	448	122
121	Dylan Meyer	8	447	118
122	David Lingmerth	60	441	126
123	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	439	125
124	Hudson Swafford	51	438	124
125	Scott Brown	62	435	120
126	Andrew Landry	32	433	123
127	Sam Saunders	54	429	129
128	Rafael Campos	9	429	130
129	Bronson Burgoon	27	422	131
130	CT Pan	61	421	134
131	Alexander Bjork	49	420	127
132	Victor Dubuisson	26	419	133
133	Sung Kang	62	417	138
134	Jorge Campillo	55	417	128
135	Scott Stallings	59	416	136
136	Joost Luiten	45	415	137
137	Seung-yul Noh	34	411	139
138	Morgan Hoffmann	40	411	140
139	Erik Van Rooyen	24	409	142
140	Chris Wood	54	408	132
141	Paul Dunne	56	406	135
142	Brandon Harkins	32	405	141
143	Ryan Blaum	58	403	143
144	Brandon Hagy	32	402	144
145	JT Poston	55	389	145
146	Wesley Bryan	52	386	146
147	Tyler Duncan	34	385	148
148	Robert Garrigus	54	384	147
149	Chad Campbell	59	383	149
150	Mackenzie Hughes	61	383	151
151	Ryan Armour	53	373	150
152	Jim Herman	37	373	155
153	Patton Kizzire	55	371	152
154	Tom Hoge	53	368	160
155	John Huh	58	367	159
156	Seamus Power	57	364	161
157	Ted Potter	34	364	153
158	Satoshi Kodaira	24	364	154
159	Kelly Kraft	61	364	157
160	Soren Kjeldsen	51	363	162
161	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	48	363	156
162	Dean Burmester	46	362	163
163	Alexander Levy	52	358	158
164	Richy Werenski	60	356	165
165	Hideto Tanihara	38	353	166
166	Michael Thompson	44	351	169
167	Nick Taylor	59	351	171
168	Whee Kim	59	351	164
169	Trey Mullinax	57	348	172
170	Ben Martin	51	347	173
171	Aaron Baddeley	50	347	174
172	Johnson Wagner	52	346	170
173	Troy Merritt	61	343	167
174	David Hearn	57	340	175
175	Michael Kim	54	339	168
176	Richard Sterne	47	335	176
177	Jerry Kelly	14	331	177
178	Andrew Johnston	40	330	178
179	Corey Conners	32	322	179
180	Brice Garnett	36	319	180
181	Matthew Southgate	55	317	184
182	Harris English	62	316	181
183	Matt Jones	52	314	186
184	Benjamin Hebert	48	314	189
185	Sam Ryder	32	313	187
186	Seung-su Han	14	310	185
187	Ben Crane	51	309	192
188	Alex Cejka	58	309	193
189	Chris Stroud	52	308	183
190	Henrik Norlander	14	307	188
191	Kyung-tae Kim	15	305	196
192	Adrian Otaegui	57	303	190
193	Tyrone van Aswegen	65	302	194
194	JJ Henry	58	301	195
195	Retief Goosen	42	299	200
196	George Coetzee	55	299	199
197	Marcus Kinhult	19	298	197
198	Jim Furyk	35	298	182
199	Shubhankar Sharma	31	298	191
200	Fabrizio Zanotti	47	298	198
201	Matt Wallace	44	297	242
202	Dominic Bozzelli	47	293	201
203	Julian Etulain	29	289	204
204	Cameron Percy	46	288	203
205	Chris Paisley	52	287	202
206	Scott Hend	57	285	205
207	Luke Donald	38	282	206
208	Talor Gooch	32	279	208
209	Denny McCarthy	28	279	211
210	Pablo Larrazabal	50	278	210
211	Derek Fathauer	57	277	209
212	Robert Streb	60	276	214
213	Jaco van Zyl	25	276	212
214	Nate Lashley	21	274	213
215	Nicolas Colsaerts	54	274	215
216	Blayne Barber	48	273	216
217	Brandon Stone	52	271	288
218	Danny Willett	46	271	207
219	Richie Ramsay	52	268	219
220	Jonas Blixt	51	268	218
221	Matthieu Pavon	47	267	221
222	Jeunghun Wang	54	263	220
223	Brian Stuard	65	260	222
224	Nacho Elvira	55	259	223
225	Aaron Rai	34	259	226
226	Stephen Gallacher	50	259	225
227	Andrea Pavan	24	259	224
228	Jordan Smith	35	258	217
229	Camilo Villegas	45	258	227
230	Daisuke Kataoka	15	257	228
231	Benjamin Silverman	31	256	232
232	Curtis Luck	25	255	230
233	Cameron Davis	8	254	233
234	David Horsey	51	253	229
235	David Lipsky	55	253	231
236	Robert Rock	49	252	236
237	Joakim Lagergren	50	251	234
238	John Peterson	30	251	235
239	Zac Blair	58	249	237
240	Callum Shinkwin	42	247	238
241	Thomas Detry	48	243	239
242	Martin Flores	58	243	240
243	Robby Shelton	8	241	241
244	Daniel Summerhays	54	237	243
245	Darren Fichardt	43	236	244
246	Joachim B Hansen	13	235	245
247	Mikko Ilonen	43	232	246
248	Ricky Barnes	58	230	247
249	Lucas Bjerregaard	57	229	248
250	Tag Ridings	27	227	250
251	Adam Schenk	34	227	252
252	Sam Horsfield	31	227	249
253	Anthony Wall	30	226	253
254	Andres Gonzales	33	225	254
255	Tim Wilkinson	33	223	255
256	Will MacKenzie	22	221	256
257	Michael Putnam	10	221	258
258	Mikko Korhonen	48	218	251
259	Scott Jamieson	54	216	259
260	Thongchai Jaidee	50	216	257
261	Tom Lovelady	31	213	261
262	Wade Ormsby	47	213	263
263	Geoff Ogilvy	46	213	260
264	Graeme Storm	44	212	264
265	Fabian Gomez	52	211	262
266	Sebastian Munoz	26	207	268
267	Rob Oppenheim	37	207	265
268	Parker McLachlin	11	205	266
269	Maximilian Kieffer	49	205	269
270	Henric Sturehed	14	205	267
271	David Drysdale	59	202	271
272	Smylie Kaufman	53	202	273
273	Bradley Dredge	48	202	270
274	Oliver Fisher	55	201	272
275	Greg Chalmers	52	197	275
276	Shawn Stefani	56	196	274
277	Lee Slattery	52	195	276
278	Andres Romero	37	194	278
279	Martin Piller	38	193	279
280	Chad Collins	31	193	280
281	Hunter Mahan	51	193	282
282	Roger Sloan	8	192	284
283	Nicholas Lindheim	54	191	281
284	Jacques Kruyswijk	22	191	283
285	Padraig Harrington	47	188	277
286	Renato Paratore	57	187	287
287	Rikard Karlberg	28	187	286
288	Sean Crocker	14	187	289
289	Jens Dantorp	30	184	291
290	Ashley Chesters	45	184	293
291	Andrew Dodt	49	184	295
292	Ashun Wu	49	183	292
293	Ryo Ishikawa	29	182	290
294	Cameron Tringale	59	181	296
295	Romain Wattel	50	181	297
296	Yusaku Miyazato	25	180	285
297	Boo Weekley	30	180	301
298	Austin Connelly	37	179	298
299	Peter Malnati	59	178	299
300	Nino Bertasio	61	178	300
301	Poom Saksansin	18	177	303
302	Jonathan Byrd	39	176	302
303	Maverick McNealy	11	175	304
304	Lanto Griffin	29	174	307
305	Trevor Immelman	25	173	309
306	Alejandro Canizares	39	172	305
307	Greg Owen	24	171	308
308	Matthias Schwab	18	171	310
309	Yuta Ikeda	23	170	294
310	Stephan Jaeger	36	170	312
311	Marc Warren	54	170	311
312	Paul Waring	45	170	316
313	KJ Choi	42	169	313
314	Jason Scrivener	53	169	315
315	Kristoffer Broberg	16	169	319
316	Billy Hurley	54	168	314
317	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	168	317
318	Steve Wheatcroft	45	168	318
319	Roberto Castro	34	167	306
320	Jonathan Randolph	53	162	322
321	Jose-Filipe Lima	29	162	320
322	Marcel Siem	52	161	323
323	Cody Gribble	55	160	321
324	James Morrison	55	159	324
325	Kyle Reifers	41	158	327
326	Haydn Porteous	62	158	329
327	Tim Herron	24	158	330
328	Peter Hanson	37	158	325
329	Spencer Levin	40	157	331
330	Ethan Tracy	26	157	326
331	Angel Cabrera	25	155	333
332	Rick Lamb	36	154	334
333	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	25	153	335
334	Adam Bland	23	153	332
335	John Merrick	22	153	337
336	Brett Coletta	10	152	339
337	Thomas Aiken	46	151	336
338	Richard Bland	51	150	338
339	Vijay Singh	33	149	328
340	Richard McEvoy	29	148	341
341	Khalin Joshi	8	148	340
342	Stuart Appleby	36	147	344
343	Ryan Brehm	33	146	343
344	Matteo Manassero	51	146	342
345	JC Ritchie	9	145	345
346	Brian Campbell	27	143	346
347	Jake McLeod	9	143	349
348	Paul Peterson	47	143	347
349	Ricardo Gouveia	56	141	350
350	Will Wilcox	18	140	352
351	Justin Walters	55	140	351
352	Julien Guerrier	25	139	353
353	Chris Hanson	54	139	354
354	Jamie Donaldson	45	138	356
355	Hennie Otto	16	137	357
356	Connor Syme	24	137	358
357	Scott Langley	11	137	348
358	Carlos Ortiz	10	136	361
359	Bill Lunde	10	136	359
360	Trevor Fisher	24	136	362
361	Micah Lauren Shin	8	135	363
362	Juvic Pagunsan	9	134	360
363	Freddie Jacobson	12	132	364
364	Davis Love	25	131	355
365	Christofer Blomstrand	20	131	365
366	Raphael Jacquelin	52	130	366
367	Matthew Nixon	30	129	368
368	Gavin Green	25	129	367
369	Mark Anderson	25	126	373
370	Gregory Havret	55	126	369
371	Jacques Blaauw	15	125	370
372	Xin-jun Zhang	30	124	374
373	Alex Prugh	8	124	371
374	Sam Brazel	46	123	375
375	Lasse Jensen	54	123	376
376	Young-han Song	12	123	372
377	Adrien Saddier	26	122	381
378	Johan Carlsson	38	122	380
379	Ockie Strydom	9	122	379
380	Florian Fritsch	33	121	377
381	Gregory Bourdy	57	121	378
382	Rhein Gibson	14	120	382
383	Matt Every	61	119	384
384	Panuphol Pittayarat	17	118	383
385	Mark Brown	8	118	388
386	Shiv Kapur	21	117	386
387	Bryce Molder	29	117	389
388	Prayad Marksaeng	9	116	387
389	Rod Pampling	49	116	385
390	Lucas Herbert	20	116	391
391	Brett Drewitt	27	115	390
392	Chase Koepka	24	114	393
393	Brett Stegmaier	53	113	392
394	Conrad Shindler	23	113	396
395	Scott Vincent	28	112	395
396	Marcus Fraser	47	112	394
397	Bernd Ritthammer	33	110	400
398	Michael Hoey	17	110	404
399	Robert Karlsson	46	110	398
400	Lorenzo Gagli	22	109	399
More \| Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the PGA Championship

August 6, 2018 Thomas Hawley Narrative

The thing about Dustin Johnson, picking him is like picking the Golden State Warriors or the 2000s Tiger Woods or the 1960s Jack Nicklaus .. you’re going with the pick that is very frequently favored, and plenty of the misses can be categorized as near-misses. That’s where we are this week as the PGA Championship, fourth major of the 2018 golf season, is played at Bellerive Country Club near St. Louis.

Johnson, of course, is rated no. 1 in the world. That’s based on two years of results. If you look at just the last four appearances, Johnson is second only to Justin Rose, who withdrew from the WGC-Bridgestone at the last minute last week due to back spasms. Over the last nine events, Johnson is no. 1. Ditto the last 16 events. Ditto the last 25 events. He also appears to be a great fit for the course. Johnson has played 22 events going back to last year’s PGA. He has been called favorite on this website 11 times and won twice (Canadian and Northern Trust). For that matter, he’s been not-the-favorite 11 times and won two of those too (FedEx and Champions). As a non-winning favorite, he was in the top 10 five times, in the pack three times, and missed the cut once.

None of this is to knock a strong set of challengers, as in all majors. After Rose, the strongest appear to be Jason Day, Rory McIlroy, Rickie Fowler, and Justin Thomas. Johnson, Rose, and McIlroy can claim the best record in the 2018 majors among this list with two top-10s each. Day and Thomas have none.

You might want to give a nod to Thorbjorn Olesen, the 28-year-old Dane who surprised many with his third-place finish in the WGC-Bridgestone last week. And it wasn’t like he arrived in Ohio penniless – his prior six Read more

PGA Championship

August 6, 2018 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	0.4	27
2	Justin Rose	4.5	19
3	Jason Day	6.2	19
4	Rory McIlroy	11.9	50
5	Rickie Fowler	15.4	12
6	Justin Thomas	16.6	6
7	Paul Casey	18.0	137
8	Patrick Cantlay	18.7	27
9	Henrik Stenson	23.4	93
10	Brooks Koepka	24.1	1
11	Tommy Fleetwood	24.2	35
12	Francesco Molinari	24.4	6
13	Tony Finau	25.8	42
14	Louis Oosthuizen	27.6	DNP
15	Jon Rahm	28.8	4
16	Alex Noren	28.8	93
17	Phil Mickelson	29.5	115
18	Webb Simpson	31.9	19
19	Tiger Woods	32.8	2
20	Patrick Reed	33.5	104
21	Jordan Spieth	34.2	12
22	Zach Johnson	37.4	19
23	Matt Kuchar	38.0	81
24	Ryan Moore	38.8	59
25	Ian Poulter	38.8	31
26	Xander Schauffele	42.1	35
27	Charles Howell	42.3	71
28	Joaquin Niemann	42.8	71
29	Russell Henley	43.7	50
30	Hideki Matsuyama	44.0	35
31	Tyrrell Hatton	44.1	10
32	Luke List	44.1	81
33	Kyle Stanley	44.6	81
34	Marc Leishman	44.8	71
35	Branden Grace	46.3	27
36	Bryson DeChambeau	47.7	81
37	Charley Hoffman	47.8	104
38	Chesson Hadley	48.1	137
39	Brian Harman	48.4	71
40	Keegan Bradley	48.9	42
41	Emiliano Grillo	49.6	31
42	Bubba Watson	49.7	137
43	Thorbjorn Olesen	50.1	56
44	Brandt Snedeker	50.1	42
45	Jason Dufner	50.9	115
46	Kevin Chappell	50.9	65
47	Adam Scott	51.1	3
48	Kevin Kisner	51.1	12
49	Beau Hossler	51.9	115
50	Jimmy Walker	51.9	42
51	Jamie Lovemark	52.0	129
52	Rafa Cabrera Bello	52.2	10
53	Stewart Cink	52.4	4
54	Kevin Na	53.1	19
55	Pat Perez	54.2	35
56	Matthew Fitzpatrick	54.3	93
57	Adam Hadwin	54.7	104
58	Byeong Hun An	54.8	56
59	Sergio Garcia	55.0	81
60	Daniel Berger	55.2	12
61	Thomas Pieters	55.8	6
62	Charl Schwartzel	55.8	42
63	Anirban Lahiri	55.8	104
64	Shane Lowry	55.9	12
65	Gary Woodland	55.9	6
66	Andrew Putnam	56.2	59
67	Brendan Steele	56.3	81
68	Russell Knox	56.4	35
69	Ryan Fox	56.8	27
70	Austin Cook	56.9	50
71	Cameron Smith	57.1	56
72	Jorge Campillo	57.3	153
73	Dylan Frittelli	57.3	31
74	Eddie Pepperell	57.7	59
75	Brian Gay	57.8	79
76	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	58.3	115
77	JB Holmes	59.2	81
78	Billy Horschel	60.0	35
79	JJ Spaun	60.2	35
80	Chez Reavie	60.4	12
81	Si Woo Kim	61.0	144
82	Peter Uihlein	61.1	93
83	Julian Suri	61.2	19
84	Chris Wood	61.3	115
85	Andy Sullivan	61.4	115
86	Haotong Li	61.6	WD
87	Nick Watney	61.7	71
88	Ollie Schniederjans	61.9	59
89	Alexander Bjork	61.9	125
90	Aaron Wise	62.2	115
91	Lee Westwood	62.4	DNP
92	Troy Merritt	62.9	81
93	Ross Fisher	63.1	65
94	Martin Kaymer	64.0	42
95	Ryan Armour	64.1	93
96	Danny Willett	64.3	115
97	Scott Piercy	64.4	129
98	Adrian Otaegui	65.2	65
99	James Hahn	65.3	104
100	Whee Kim	65.4	93
101	Bill Haas	65.6	93
102	Jhonattan Vegas	65.7	59
103	Paul Dunne	65.8	129
104	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	66.0	65
105	Andrew Landry	66.7	50
106	Scott Brown	66.7	80
107	Alexander Levy	67.1	104
108	Michael Kim	67.3	146
109	Ted Potter	67.4	71
110	Patton Kizzire	67.5	81
111	Jim Furyk	67.6	71
112	Chris Stroud	68.0	65
113	Satoshi Kodaira	68.9	59
114	Shubhankar Sharma	70.3	104
115	Brice Garnett	70.4	50
116	Mikko Korhonen	71.3	104
117	Brandon Stone	71.6	12
118	Jordan Smith	71.7	93
119	Matt Wallace	71.8	19
120	Seung-su Han	71.9	50
121	Yusaku Miyazato	72.1	154
122	Yuta Ikeda	73.6	65
123	Padraig Harrington	74.2	81
124	Ryuko Tokimatsu	75.6	115
125	Vijay Singh	75.6	78
126	Thomas Bjorn	76.0	DNP
127	Davis Love	76.7	81
128	YE Yang	77.5	133
129	Shugo Imahira	78.4	81
130	Justin Harding	80.2	93
131	John Daly	80.3	104
132	Sung-jae Im	81.1	42
133	Matt Dobyns	81.5	133
134	Shaun Micheel	81.5	93
135	Rich Beem	81.6	104
136	Omar Uresti	81.6	137
137	Daniel Balin	81.6	133
138	Rich Berberian	81.6	137
139	Michael Block	81.6	146
140	Matthew Borchert	81.6	137
141	Craig Bowden	81.6	144
142	Paul Broadhurst	81.6	115
143	Jaysen Hansen	81.6	151
144	Craig Hocknull	81.6	125
145	Marty Jertson	81.6	146
146	Zach J Johnson	81.6	125
147	Ben Kern	81.6	42
148	Johan Kok	81.6	151
149	Sean McCarty	81.6	104
150	David Muttitt	81.6	146
151	Jason Schmuhl	81.6	133
152	Brian Smock	81.6	146
153	Bob Sowards	81.6	155
154	Ryan Vermeer	81.6	129
155	Shawn Warren	81.6	137
	Jason Kokrak	late entry	21
	Chris Kirk	late entry	32
	Kevin Streelman	late entry	100
	Kelly Kraft	late entry	127
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 62. The average is 207. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Aug. 5, 2018)

August 6, 2018 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Dustin Johnson is no. 1 for the 11th straight week, and with the highest rating for anyone this year.

#	Thru Aug. 5, 2018	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Dustin Johnson	45	1890	1
2	Paul Casey	46	1674	2
3	Justin Rose	47	1660	3
4	Rickie Fowler	51	1623	4
5	Justin Thomas	52	1607	5
6	Patrick Cantlay	30	1561	6
7	Brooks Koepka	43	1465	10
8	Rory McIlroy	43	1462	9
9	Jason Day	42	1428	11
10	Jordan Spieth	52	1419	7
11	Tiger Woods	17	1399	8
12	Jon Rahm	48	1377	12
13	Henrik Stenson	45	1298	13
14	Francesco Molinari	49	1295	14
15	Tony Finau	56	1294	19
16	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1285	18
17	Webb Simpson	51	1281	15
18	Louis Oosthuizen	44	1273	16
19	Phil Mickelson	48	1262	17
20	Alex Noren	49	1193	20
21	Matt Kuchar	62	1164	22
22	Patrick Reed	67	1154	21
23	Marc Leishman	51	1104	24
24	Hideki Matsuyama	47	1073	23
25	Kyle Stanley	53	1050	29
26	Xander Schauffele	52	1037	25
27	Joaquin Niemann	13	1032	27
28	Brian Harman	56	1022	26
29	Ian Poulter	55	998	31
30	Ryan Moore	49	997	28
31	Zach Johnson	52	969	35
32	Charles Howell	51	963	30
33	Kevin Kisner	58	942	33
34	Tyrrell Hatton	52	937	36
35	Charley Hoffman	61	926	34
36	Adam Scott	44	917	32
37	Jason Dufner	49	900	39
38	Pat Perez	48	900	37
39	Steve Stricker	29	896	40
40	Russell Henley	49	886	41
41	Rafa Cabrera Bello	62	882	44
42	Branden Grace	54	880	38
43	Chesson Hadley	42	860	45
44	Sergio Garcia	47	852	43
45	Brandt Snedeker	47	847	47
46	Bryson DeChambeau	58	844	49
47	Brendan Steele	45	843	42
48	Bubba Watson	50	838	48
49	Luke List	61	830	51
50	Emiliano Grillo	56	824	46
51	Kevin Chappell	55	821	50
52	Adam Hadwin	54	800	52
53	Charl Schwartzel	50	791	55
54	Keegan Bradley	55	791	54
55	Graham DeLaet	31	782	56
56	Jamie Lovemark	54	781	57
57	Daniel Berger	52	780	53
58	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	761	59
59	Byeong Hun An	57	759	58
60	Kevin Na	52	747	60
61	Jimmy Walker	51	747	61
62	Cameron Smith	54	736	63
63	Chez Reavie	55	720	62
64	Gary Woodland	55	718	65
65	Stewart Cink	52	704	64
66	Bernd Wiesberger	46	673	67
67	Thomas Pieters	52	670	68
68	Bud Cauley	48	669	69
69	JB Holmes	53	661	70
70	Kevin Streelman	53	657	66
71	Jordan L Smith	12	651	72
72	Anirban Lahiri	53	648	83
73	Martin Laird	50	647	71
74	Lucas Glover	46	637	74
75	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	59	636	75
76	Shane Lowry	54	627	77
77	Russell Knox	64	626	73
78	Beau Hossler	35	622	76
79	Peter Uihlein	54	612	79
80	Thorbjorn Olesen	54	603	100
81	Billy Horschel	54	602	81
82	Jason Kokrak	56	602	80
83	Aaron Wise	34	600	105
84	Bill Haas	53	591	78
85	Brian Gay	54	590	82
86	Andrew Putnam	31	590	88
87	Ross Fisher	51	586	90
88	Chris Kirk	57	568	85
89	Kevin Tway	59	555	89
90	Austin Cook	32	554	84
91	Scott Piercy	48	553	86
92	Sam Burns	12	552	87
93	Rory Sabbatini	54	549	91
94	Ollie Schniederjans	55	543	98
95	Lee Westwood	45	542	92
96	Danny Lee	66	542	93
97	Si Woo Kim	59	536	111
98	Haotong Li	52	535	94
99	James Hahn	54	531	95
100	Ryan Palmer	42	525	97
101	JJ Spaun	56	524	104
102	Nick Watney	45	521	99
103	Jhonattan Vegas	59	520	96
104	Sean O’Hair	54	518	101
105	Eddie Pepperell	46	507	103
106	Joel Dahmen	46	506	102
107	Grayson Murray	52	497	106
108	Ryan Fox	46	493	108
109	Andy Sullivan	53	489	109
110	Keith Mitchell	33	487	110
111	Graeme McDowell	60	486	107
112	Patrick Rodgers	59	476	112
113	William McGirt	57	476	117
114	Abraham Ancer	36	473	114
115	Julian Suri	35	471	115
116	Martin Kaymer	51	469	113
117	Vaughn Taylor	54	457	122
118	Dylan Meyer	8	450
119	Harold Varner	64	449	119
120	Scott Brown	62	444	121
121	Dylan Frittelli	54	444	120
122	John Oda	8	443
123	Andrew Landry	32	443	116
124	Hudson Swafford	52	440	128
125	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	439	124
126	David Lingmerth	61	438	118
127	Alexander Bjork	48	434	123
128	Jorge Campillo	54	432	125
129	Sam Saunders	55	428	137
130	Rafael Campos	9	428	127
131	Bronson Burgoon	28	422	131
132	Chris Wood	53	421	130
133	Victor Dubuisson	26	421	129
134	CT Pan	62	421	138
135	Paul Dunne	55	418	126
136	Scott Stallings	60	417	133
137	Joost Luiten	46	417	132
138	Sung Kang	63	416	135
139	Seung-yul Noh	35	410	136
140	Morgan Hoffmann	41	409	139
141	Brandon Harkins	32	406	148
142	Erik Van Rooyen	24	405	141
143	Ryan Blaum	58	404	134
144	Brandon Hagy	32	401	143
145	JT Poston	55	388	146
146	Wesley Bryan	53	387	145
147	Robert Garrigus	55	386	142
148	Tyler Duncan	34	384	149
149	Chad Campbell	59	383	164
150	Ryan Armour	52	383	151
151	Mackenzie Hughes	61	382	144
152	Patton Kizzire	54	382	158
153	Ted Potter	33	381	147
154	Satoshi Kodaira	23	381	140
155	Jim Herman	37	377	150
156	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	47	376	152
157	Kelly Kraft	61	374	153
158	Alexander Levy	51	372	154
159	John Huh	59	370	155
160	Tom Hoge	54	368	157
161	Seamus Power	58	364	156
162	Soren Kjeldsen	52	364	159
163	Dean Burmester	46	361	161
164	Whee Kim	59	361	162
165	Richy Werenski	60	354	160
166	Hideto Tanihara	38	353	166
167	Troy Merritt	61	352	167
168	Michael Kim	54	351	168
169	Michael Thompson	45	350	175
170	Johnson Wagner	53	350	170
171	Nick Taylor	60	349	165
172	Trey Mullinax	57	348	163
173	Ben Martin	52	347	171
174	Aaron Baddeley	50	346	172
175	David Hearn	58	340	169
176	Richard Sterne	47	336	176
177	Jerry Kelly	15	332	173
178	Andrew Johnston	40	330	177
179	Corey Conners	32	323	174
180	Brice Garnett	36	320	181
181	Harris English	62	319	178
182	Jim Furyk	34	316	182
183	Chris Stroud	52	316	203
184	Matthew Southgate	55	315	186
185	Seung-su Han	13	315	184
186	Matt Jones	53	314	193
187	Sam Ryder	32	313	185
188	Henrik Norlander	15	313	180
189	Benjamin Hebert	48	313	187
190	Adrian Otaegui	56	312	188
191	Shubhankar Sharma	30	311	179
192	Ben Crane	51	308	183
193	Alex Cejka	59	308	189
194	Tyrone van Aswegen	66	302	191
195	JJ Henry	59	300	190
196	Kyung-tae Kim	15	299	200
197	Marcus Kinhult	19	299	196
198	Fabrizio Zanotti	48	299	194
199	George Coetzee	55	298	197
200	Retief Goosen	43	297	192
201	Dominic Bozzelli	47	295	198
202	Chris Paisley	52	287	202
203	Cameron Percy	47	287	195
204	Julian Etulain	29	287	205
205	Scott Hend	58	286	199
206	Luke Donald	38	284	204
207	Danny Willett	46	281	206
208	Talor Gooch	32	281	201
209	Derek Fathauer	58	279	221
210	Pablo Larrazabal	50	279	208
211	Denny McCarthy	28	279	207
212	Jaco van Zyl	26	277	210
213	Nate Lashley	21	275	211
214	Robert Streb	61	274	209
215	Nicolas Colsaerts	55	273	213
216	Blayne Barber	49	273	212
217	Jordan Smith	34	268	218
218	Jonas Blixt	51	268	214
219	Richie Ramsay	52	266	219
220	Jeunghun Wang	55	266	217
221	Matthieu Pavon	47	265	220
222	Brian Stuard	65	261	216
223	Nacho Elvira	55	260	222
224	Andrea Pavan	24	260	224
225	Stephen Gallacher	50	259	225
226	Aaron Rai	34	259	223
227	Camilo Villegas	46	257	227
228	Daisuke Kataoka	15	256	229
229	David Horsey	51	255	226
230	Curtis Luck	25	254	232
231	David Lipsky	55	254	228
232	Benjamin Silverman	31	254	250
233	Cameron Davis	8	253	230
234	Joakim Lagergren	50	253	231
235	John Peterson	30	252	215
236	Robert Rock	49	251	233
237	Zac Blair	59	248	235
238	Callum Shinkwin	42	246	237
239	Thomas Detry	48	244	236
240	Martin Flores	58	243	234
241	Robby Shelton	9	240	239
242	Matt Wallace	43	237	240
243	Daniel Summerhays	55	235	238
244	Darren Fichardt	43	234	243
245	Joachim B Hansen	13	233	244
246	Mikko Ilonen	44	233	242
247	Ricky Barnes	59	230	245
248	Lucas Bjerregaard	57	227	247
249	Sam Horsfield	31	227	246
250	Tag Ridings	27	227	251
251	Mikko Korhonen	47	226	248
252	Adam Schenk	34	226	241
253	Anthony Wall	30	226	253
254	Andres Gonzales	34	225	249
255	Tim Wilkinson	34	225	252
256	Will MacKenzie	23	221	258
257	Thongchai Jaidee	51	217	259
258	Michael Putnam	10	216	262
259	Scott Jamieson	54	215	261
260	Geoff Ogilvy	47	215	254
261	Tom Lovelady	31	214	257
262	Fabian Gomez	53	213	255
263	Wade Ormsby	47	212	268
264	Graeme Storm	44	211	263
265	Rob Oppenheim	38	207	260
266	Parker McLachlin	12	206	256
267	Henric Sturehed	14	206	265
268	Sebastian Munoz	26	205	267
269	Maximilian Kieffer	49	205	264
270	Bradley Dredge	48	203	266
271	David Drysdale	59	201	272
272	Oliver Fisher	55	200	271
273	Smylie Kaufman	53	200	274
274	Shawn Stefani	57	198	273
275	Greg Chalmers	52	198	275
276	Lee Slattery	52	194	279
277	Padraig Harrington	47	194	276
278	Andres Romero	38	194	269
279	Martin Piller	39	194	270
280	Chad Collins	32	193	278
281	Nicholas Lindheim	54	191	277
282	Hunter Mahan	52	191	297
283	Jacques Kruyswijk	22	191	282
284	Roger Sloan	8	190	287
285	Yusaku Miyazato	24	190	283
286	Rikard Karlberg	28	189	281
287	Renato Paratore	57	188	284
288	Brandon Stone	52	188	285
289	Sean Crocker	14	186	289
290	Ryo Ishikawa	29	186	280
291	Jens Dantorp	30	185	291
292	Ashun Wu	50	184	288
293	Ashley Chesters	45	183	295
294	Yuta Ikeda	23	182	293
295	Andrew Dodt	49	182	294
296	Cameron Tringale	59	181	290
297	Romain Wattel	50	180	298
298	Austin Connelly	38	178	300
299	Peter Malnati	60	178	292
300	Nino Bertasio	62	177	303
301	Boo Weekley	31	177	306
302	Jonathan Byrd	39	176	299
303	Poom Saksansin	18	176	302
304	Maverick McNealy	11	176	301
305	Alejandro Canizares	39	175	286
306	Roberto Castro	34	174	296
307	Lanto Griffin	29	174	319
308	Greg Owen	25	174	304
309	Trevor Immelman	26	173	309
310	Matthias Schwab	18	171	310
311	Marc Warren	54	170	311
312	Stephan Jaeger	36	170	305
313	KJ Choi	42	169	312
314	Billy Hurley	55	169	308
315	Jason Scrivener	53	169	313
316	Paul Waring	45	169	315
317	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	168	316
318	Steve Wheatcroft	46	167	307
319	Kristoffer Broberg	16	167	318
320	Jose-Filipe Lima	30	162	321
321	Cody Gribble	55	162	314
322	Jonathan Randolph	53	161	320
323	Marcel Siem	52	161	325
324	James Morrison	55	159	324
325	Peter Hanson	37	159	322
326	Ethan Tracy	26	157	372
327	Kyle Reifers	41	157	326
328	Vijay Singh	32	156	323
329	Haydn Porteous	62	156	327
330	Tim Herron	25	155	317
331	Spencer Levin	41	155	329
332	Adam Bland	23	154	331
333	Angel Cabrera	26	154	333
334	Rick Lamb	36	153	334
335	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	25	153	332
336	Thomas Aiken	47	153	330
337	John Merrick	23	152	408
338	Richard Bland	51	152	328
339	Brett Coletta	10	150	337
340	Khalin Joshi	8	150	335
341	Richard McEvoy	29	148	339
342	Matteo Manassero	52	147	338
343	Ryan Brehm	33	147	340
344	Stuart Appleby	37	145	354
345	JC Ritchie	9	145	341
346	Brian Campbell	27	143	343
347	Paul Peterson	47	143	344
348	Scott Langley	12	143	336
349	Jake McLeod	9	142	357
350	Ricardo Gouveia	57	142	345
351	Justin Walters	55	140	342
352	Will Wilcox	18	140	349
353	Julien Guerrier	25	139	347
354	Chris Hanson	54	139	346
355	Davis Love	24	139	350
356	Jamie Donaldson	45	137	355
357	Hennie Otto	16	137	352
358	Connor Syme	24	136	358
359	Bill Lunde	10	136	356
360	Juvic Pagunsan	9	135	351
361	Carlos Ortiz	11	135	348
362	Trevor Fisher	24	134	359
363	Micah Lauren Shin	8	134	360
364	Freddie Jacobson	12	132	362
365	Christofer Blomstrand	20	131	365
366	Raphael Jacquelin	52	130	361
367	Gavin Green	25	130	353
368	Matthew Nixon	30	129	366
369	Gregory Havret	55	127	371
370	Jacques Blaauw	15	126	370
371	Alex Prugh	9	126	369
372	Young-han Song	12	126	368
373	Mark Anderson	25	125	376
374	Xin-jun Zhang	30	125	363
375	Sam Brazel	46	124	373
376	Lasse Jensen	54	124	374
377	Florian Fritsch	33	123	375
378	Gregory Bourdy	58	121	379
379	Ockie Strydom	9	121	384
380	Johan Carlsson	38	121	383
381	Adrien Saddier	26	121	381
382	Rhein Gibson	15	120	364
383	Panuphol Pittayarat	17	120	382
384	Matt Every	62	119	380
385	Rod Pampling	50	118	378
386	Shiv Kapur	21	117	367
387	Prayad Marksaeng	9	117	387
388	Mark Brown	8	116
389	Bryce Molder	29	116	391
390	Brett Drewitt	27	116	388
391	Lucas Herbert	20	116	386
392	Brett Stegmaier	53	114	390
393	Chase Koepka	24	113	393
394	Marcus Fraser	48	112	392
395	Scott Vincent	28	112	385
396	Conrad Shindler	23	112	406
397	YE Yang	22	111	394
398	Robert Karlsson	46	110	396
399	Lorenzo Gagli	22	110	397
400	Bernd Ritthammer	33	109	401
More \| Less

A look at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational

July 31, 2018 Thomas Hawley Narrative

— Justin Rose withdrew on Wednesday due to back spasms. —

When they started the World Golf Championships in 1999, the stated objective was to get the world’s top players into distinctive events that were built on joint sanctioning by the five major tours (Australasia, Europe, Japan, South Africa, U.S.). They can consider that a success, with this week’s WGC-Bridgestone Invitational merely the most recent example. In the top 10 picks, we have players who started out on four of those five tours, and at the top we have the two hottest players in the world, coming from the two sides of the Atlantic.

Of course that is Justin Rose, the top pick this week, and Dustin Johnson, fresh off his third win of the season. Here’s how they stack up over the last three months:

	Rose	Johnson
Canadian, July 29		Won
British Open, July 22	2nd	104th
Scottish, July 15	9th
U.S. Open, June 17	10th	3rd
FedEx, June 10		Won
Memorial, June 3	6th	8th
Colonial, May 27	Won
TPC, May 13	23rd	17th

The edge goes to Rose, who has performed better in this event over the years and who lacks the blemish Johnson shows on his record for the weekend of July 22.

For many years, this event was the semi-private prowling grounds of Tiger Woods. In the 19 years Read more

World Golf Championships-Bridgestone Invitational

July 30, 2018 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	-2.7	3
2	Rickie Fowler	8.4	17
3	Paul Casey	9.0	31
4	Rory McIlroy	13.4	6
5	Jason Day	19.1	10
6	Patrick Cantlay	19.2	6
7	Henrik Stenson	19.4	39
8	Francesco Molinari	20.6	39
9	Justin Thomas	21.5	1
10	Louis Oosthuizen	22.6	24
11	Brooks Koepka	24.9	5
12	Tony Finau	26.2	10
13	Webb Simpson	26.6	24
14	Patrick Reed	26.7	28
15	Jordan Spieth	26.8	60
16	Tiger Woods	27.5	31
17	Alex Noren	27.8	31
18	Zach Johnson	28.1	17
19	Tommy Fleetwood	29.1	14
20	Phil Mickelson	29.9	24
21	Jon Rahm	32.9	17
22	Xander Schauffele	33.3	68
23	Hideki Matsuyama	34.5	39
24	Charley Hoffman	38.0	53
25	Bubba Watson	40.0	31
26	Matt Kuchar	40.4	14
27	Adam Scott	40.8	57
28	Branden Grace	41.5	63
29	Ian Poulter	41.9	10
30	Tyrrell Hatton	42.0	28
31	Emiliano Grillo	43.3	66
32	Brian Harman	44.4	62
33	Bryson DeChambeau	44.8	30
34	Marc Leishman	45.2	14
35	Luke List	47.0	24
36	Kyle Stanley	47.0	2
37	Kevin Chappell	47.7	39
38	Charl Schwartzel	49.2	31
39	Sergio Garcia	49.4	39
40	Russell Knox	49.5	48
41	Kevin Kisner	49.8	39
42	Pat Perez	50.0	63
43	Kevin Na	51.0	31
44	Matthew Fitzpatrick	51.8	48
45	Daniel Berger	52.8	48
46	Rafa Cabrera Bello	53.7	17
47	Adam Hadwin	53.9	DNP
48	Gary Woodland	54.8	17
49	Brendan Steele	55.0	60
50	Thorbjorn Olesen	56.5	3
51	Austin Cook	56.6	53
52	Anirban Lahiri	57.6	6
53	Cameron Smith	58.4	23
54	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	59.3	31
55	Alexander Bjork	59.4	48
56	Haotong Li	60.3	39
57	Paul Dunne	63.9	66
58	Jhonattan Vegas	65.0	53
59	Ross Fisher	65.5	17
60	Si Woo Kim	65.6	10
61	Andrew Landry	65.9	57
62	Aaron Wise	66.3	6
63	Ted Potter	68.0	48
64	Satoshi Kodaira	68.3	63
65	Patton Kizzire	69.1	31
66	Shubhankar Sharma	69.2	69
67	Wade Ormsby	70.2	39
68	Brandon Stone	71.8	53
69	Ryuko Tokimatsu	78.5	39
70	Jaco Ahlers	79.6	71
71	Kodai Ichihara	81.2	69
	Byeong Hun An	late entry	57
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 276. The average is 208. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Barracuda Championship

July 30, 2018 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Joel Dahmen

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Joel Dahmen	46.4	54
2	Beau Hossler	47.4	DNP
3	Martin Laird	49.3	15
4	Kevin Streelman	50.2	121
5	Shane Lowry	52.2	15
6	Kevin Tway	54.0	23
7	Abraham Ancer	54.5	DNP
8	Andrew Putnam	55.4	1
9	Sam Saunders	55.4	7
10	Robert Garrigus	56.0	74
11	JJ Henry	57.3	94
12	Tom Hoge	57.4	35
13	Nick Watney	57.7	DNP
14	Graeme McDowell	57.8	44
15	Ryan Palmer	57.9	26
16	Mackenzie Hughes	58.2	74
17	Patrick Rodgers	58.3	37
18	JJ Spaun	58.6	3
19	Ricky Barnes	58.6	37
20	Derek Fathauer	58.6	11
21	Vaughn Taylor	58.9	9
22	CT Pan	59.4	11
23	Tyler Duncan	59.4	DNP
24	Johnson Wagner	59.5	26
25	Ollie Schniederjans	60.1	5
26	Ryan Blaum	60.6	WD
27	Richy Werenski	60.9	103
28	William McGirt	60.9	6
29	Bronson Burgoon	61.2	DNP
30	Bill Haas	61.3	82
31	Grayson Murray	61.4	DNP
32	David Lingmerth	61.4	82
33	Ben Crane	61.4	74
34	Alex Cejka	61.5	30
35	Retief Goosen	61.9	54
36	Chris Stroud	62.6	7
37	Hudson Swafford	62.8	11
38	Scott Stallings	62.9	22
39	Brandon Harkins	63.0	9
40	Seamus Power	63.1	44
41	Tyrone van Aswegen	63.3	37
42	David Hearn	63.5	107
43	Chad Campbell	64.0	2
44	Corey Conners	64.0	94
45	Denny McCarthy	64.2	36
46	Dylan Meyer	64.3	44
47	Geoff Ogilvy	64.8	94
48	Trey Mullinax	64.8	121
49	Andres Romero	64.9	69
50	Matt Jones	65.2	15
51	Aaron Baddeley	65.3	26
52	Steve Wheatcroft	65.4	94
53	Robert Streb	65.5	58
54	Nick Taylor	65.7	69
55	Fabian Gomez	66.0	103
56	Cameron Percy	66.0	74
57	Michael Thompson	66.0	15
58	Talor Gooch	66.1	62
59	Harris English	66.2	50
60	Zac Blair	66.3	30
61	Jonathan Byrd	66.3	44
62	Brian Stuard	66.4	119
63	Martin Flores	66.8	66
64	Adam Schenk	67.0	121
65	Jonas Blixt	67.3	42
66	Tom Lovelady	67.4	50
67	Hunter Mahan	67.5	23
68	Benjamin Silverman	67.9	11
69	Rod Pampling	68.0	58
70	Rob Oppenheim	68.2	89
71	Daniel Summerhays	68.8	89
72	Martin Piller	68.8	111
73	Peter Malnati	68.8	94
74	Nicholas Lindheim	68.8	57
75	Stephan Jaeger	68.9	62
76	Lanto Griffin	69.3	26
77	Cameron Tringale	69.3	94
78	Cody Gribble	69.4	74
79	Jonathan Randolph	69.8	116
80	Brett Stegmaier	69.9	44
81	Padraig Harrington	70.0	50
82	Billy Hurley	70.2	44
83	Ken Duke	70.2	42
84	Rick Lamb	70.3	DNP
85	Xin-jun Zhang	70.7	58
86	Conrad Shindler	70.7	37
87	Matt Every	70.8	121
88	Ethan Tracy	70.9	15
89	Roberto Diaz	71.3	94
90	Arjun Atwal	71.7	82
91	DA Points	71.8	DNP
92	Jason Bohn	72.1	107
93	Matt Atkins	72.3	111
94	Ze-cheng Dou	73.3	107
95	Andrew Yun	73.4	74
96	Steven Bowditch	73.4	131
97	Parker McLachlin	73.4	53
98	Kyle Thompson	73.4	89
99	Eric Axley	74.4	DNP
100	Stuart Appleby	74.6	30
101	Tim Herron	75.0	126
102	John Merrick	75.9	15
103	Craig Barlow	76.9	94
104	Mark Wilson	77.0	74
105	Dicky Pride	77.3	30
106	Jason Gore	77.5	DNP
107	Charlie Wi	78.6	103
108	Brendon de Jonge	78.6	71
109	DJ Trahan	79.1	15
110	George McNeill	79.9	117
111	Scottie Scheffler	79.9	89
112	Robert Allenby	80.4	74
113	Doug Ghim	80.4	23
114	Richard S Johnson	80.5	111
115	Peter Lonard	80.5	DNP
116	Tommy Gainey	80.6	94
117	Doc Redman	80.6	DNP
118	John Rollins	80.7	82
119	Brian Davis	80.8	71
120	Charlie Beljan	81.0	54
121	Cameron Beckman	81.0	64
122	Mike Weir	81.0	111
123	Daniel Chopra	81.0	127
124	Nick Hardy	81.1	30
125	Brendon Todd	81.3	128
126	Michael Bradley	81.3	DNP
127	Shaun Micheel	81.5	DNP
128	Marc Turnesa	81.5	107
129	David Duval	81.5	89
130	Omar Uresti	81.6	66
131	Frank Adams	81.6	82
132	David Berganio	81.6	117
133	Kris Blanks	81.6	58
134	Grant Booth	81.6	64
135	AJ McInerney	81.6	125
136	Jay McLuen	81.6	130
137	Jason Owen	81.6	119
138	Norman Xiong	81.6	111
	John Oda	late entry	3
	Sulman Raza	late entry	37
	Jonathan Kaye	late entry	68
	Heath Slocum	late entry	73
	John Peterson	late entry	82
	Eddie Olson	late entry	85
	Scott Strohmeyer	late entry	103
	Frank Lickliter	late entry	128
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 84. The average is 208. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Fiji International presented by Fiji Airways

July 30, 2018 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Jason Norris

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Jason Norris	63.6	55
2	Michael Hendry	67.5	41
3	Scott Hend	68.0	114
4	Jazz Janewattananond	70.9	39
5	Scott Vincent	72.0	60
6	Justin Walters	73.1	67
7	Ashun Wu	73.2	11
8	Alejandro Canizares	73.3	72
9	Poom Saksansin	73.4	6
10	Jake Higginbottom	73.7	25
11	Andrew Dodt	73.8	6
12	Gavin Green	73.8	64
13	James Marchesani	74.0	14
14	Lucas Herbert	74.3	18
15	Phachara Khongwatmai	74.3	25
16	Vijay Singh	74.4	25
17	Josh Geary	74.5	89
18	Shiv Kapur	74.6	98
19	Masahiro Kawamura	74.7	67
20	Ben Eccles	74.8	80
21	Jake McLeod	74.9	6
22	Stephen Leaney	75.0	34
23	Prom Meesawat	75.2	25
24	Marcus Fraser	75.3	34
25	Nick Cullen	75.5	18
26	David Bransdon	75.5	72
27	Rhein Gibson	75.7	25
28	Jbe Kruger	76.0	117
29	Gaganjeet Bhullar	76.1	1
30	Terry Pilkadaris	76.1	16
31	Matthew Millar	76.2	9
32	Daniel Im	76.5	107
33	Ernie Els	76.7	3
34	Johannes Veerman	76.7	25
35	Soomin Lee	76.8	41
36	Yi Keun Chang	76.9	34
37	Dimitrios Papadatos	77.1	80
38	Rattanon Wannasrichan	77.2	102
39	James Nitties	77.4	48
40	Daniel Fox	77.5	48
41	Peter Wilson	77.5	102
42	Ajeetesh Sandhu	77.6	41
43	Matthew Griffin	77.6	11
44	Todd Sinnott	77.7	110
45	Jarryd Felton	77.7	5
46	Aron Price	77.9	72
47	Yan-wei Liu	78.0	52
48	Jack Wilson	78.2	114
49	Ben Campbell	78.3	3
50	Gareth Paddison	78.4	89
51	Adam Blyth	78.4	67
52	Brett Rankin	78.4	107
53	Daniel Pearce	78.4	80
54	Mark Brown	78.5	18
55	Michael Long	78.7	80
56	Jordan Zunic	78.8	107
57	Deyen Lawson	79.0	48
58	Shih-chang Chan	79.2	89
59	Ashley Hall	79.4	98
60	Siddikur Rahman	79.4	89
61	Taylor MacDonald	79.5	98
62	Michael Sim	79.6	89
63	Richard T Lee	79.7	98
64	Richard Green	79.7	14
65	Pavit Tangkamolprasert	79.7	67
66	Josh Younger	79.9	58
67	Chien-yao Hung	80.1	60
68	Max McCardle	80.1	41
69	Dale Brandt-Richards	80.1	52
70	Daniel Nisbet	80.1	89
71	Chiragh Kumar	80.1	117
72	Sam Lee	80.2	41
73	Harry Bateman	80.3	18
74	Damien Jordan	80.3	16
75	Anthony Quayle	80.5	2
76	Travis Smyth	80.6	18
77	Suradit Yongcharoenchai	80.6	80
78	Justin Harding	80.6	25
79	Andrew Martin	80.6	9
80	Thitiphun Chauyprakong	80.8	18
81	Matt Stieger	80.9	66
82	Steven Jeffress	80.9	11
83	Tim Hart	80.9	130
84	Aaron Townsend	81.0	46
85	Braden Becker	81.1	89
86	Rory Bourke	81.2	122
87	Aaron Pike	81.2	60
88	Scott Strange	81.2	25
89	Nick Flanagan	81.2	25
90	Callan O’Reilly	81.3	80
91	Wei-chih Lu	81.3	80
92	Michael Wright	81.3	18
93	Bowen Xiao	81.5	60
94	Cory Crawford	81.5	89
95	Adam Stephens	81.5	121
96	John Catlin	81.5	48
97	Arnond Vongvanij	81.5	72
98	Harrison Endycott	81.6	55
99	Benjamin Clementson	81.6	46
100	Matt Jager	81.6	72
101	Dinesh Chand	81.6	102
102	Go-woong Choi	81.6	80
103	David Micheluzzi	81.6	110
104	Simon Hawkes	81.6	72
105	Daniel Gale	81.6	71
106	Brad Moules	81.6	72
107	David Smail	81.6	117
108	Nick Voke	81.6	34
109	Adam Burdett	81.6	114
110	Jordan Mullaney	81.6	102
111	Minchel Choi	81.6	117
112	Tomasi Tuivana	81.6	110
113	Anasa Seruvatu	81.6	127
114	Roneel Prakash	81.6	123
115	Bill Suguturaga	81.6	110
116	Amitesh Chandra	81.6	129
117	Ryan Chisnall	81.6	64
118	Tim Stewart	81.6	72
119	Kieran Muir	81.6	58
120	Antonio Murdaca	81.6	123
121	Darren Beck	81.6	52
	Cameron John	late entry	36
	Maverick Antcliff	late entry	40
	Matthew Perry	late entry	57
	Neven Basic	late entry	80
	James Anstiss	late entry	90
	Aaron Wilkin	late entry	105
	Rick Kulacz	late entry	123
	Troy Moses	late entry	126
	Anthony Marchesani	late entry	128
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 25. The average is 208. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (July 29, 2018)

July 30, 2018 Thomas Hawley Ratings

After winning last week, Dustin Johnson is no. 1 for the 10th straight week.

#	Thru July 29, 2018	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Dustin Johnson	44	1840	1
2	Paul Casey	46	1705	2
3	Justin Rose	47	1658	3
4	Rickie Fowler	50	1616	4
5	Justin Thomas	52	1544	5
6	Patrick Cantlay	29	1503	6
7	Jordan Spieth	51	1465	7
8	Tiger Woods	16	1452	9
9	Rory McIlroy	42	1414	10
10	Brooks Koepka	43	1400	8
11	Jason Day	41	1395	11
12	Jon Rahm	48	1365	12
13	Henrik Stenson	44	1330	13
14	Francesco Molinari	49	1321	14
15	Webb Simpson	51	1281	16
16	Louis Oosthuizen	44	1275	17
17	Phil Mickelson	47	1267	18
18	Tommy Fleetwood	59	1264	19
19	Tony Finau	56	1262	15
20	Alex Noren	49	1209	20
21	Patrick Reed	67	1160	21
22	Matt Kuchar	62	1142	22
23	Hideki Matsuyama	46	1098	23
24	Marc Leishman	51	1072	25
25	Xander Schauffele	51	1067	26
26	Brian Harman	56	1052	27
27	Joaquin Niemann	13	1033	24
28	Ryan Moore	50	1001	28
29	Kyle Stanley	53	976	30
30	Charles Howell	51	965	31
31	Ian Poulter	54	957	38
32	Adam Scott	43	957	33
33	Kevin Kisner	57	956	29
34	Charley Hoffman	61	944	34
35	Zach Johnson	52	942	36
36	Tyrrell Hatton	52	938	35
37	Pat Perez	47	930	32
38	Branden Grace	54	905	39
39	Jason Dufner	49	901	41
40	Steve Stricker	29	893	37
41	Russell Henley	50	886	42
42	Brendan Steele	45	878	43
43	Sergio Garcia	46	868	40
44	Rafa Cabrera Bello	61	860	45
45	Chesson Hadley	43	858	47
46	Emiliano Grillo	55	853	46
47	Brandt Snedeker	47	846	52
48	Bubba Watson	50	843	44
49	Bryson DeChambeau	58	840	48
50	Kevin Chappell	55	832	50
51	Luke List	61	820	51
52	Adam Hadwin	55	804	49
53	Daniel Berger	52	798	53
54	Keegan Bradley	56	792	60
55	Charl Schwartzel	49	791	55
56	Graham DeLaet	31	782	56
57	Jamie Lovemark	55	781	54
58	Byeong Hun An	56	779	62
59	Matthew Fitzpatrick	55	776	57
60	Kevin Na	51	748	59
61	Jimmy Walker	51	747	58
62	Chez Reavie	56	720	61
63	Cameron Smith	54	718	63
64	Stewart Cink	52	705	64
65	Gary Woodland	55	693	65
66	Kevin Streelman	53	677	67
67	Bernd Wiesberger	46	673	69
68	Thomas Pieters	52	672	70
69	Bud Cauley	49	668	71
70	JB Holmes	54	662	66
71	Martin Laird	50	648	68
72	Jordan L Smith	12	643	73
73	Russell Knox	64	639	72
74	Lucas Glover	46	637	74
75	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	58	630	76
76	Beau Hossler	35	623	78
77	Shane Lowry	54	622	81
78	Bill Haas	52	612	75
79	Peter Uihlein	55	609	79
80	Jason Kokrak	57	606	84
81	Billy Horschel	54	606	77
82	Brian Gay	55	587	82
83	Anirban Lahiri	52	581	83
84	Austin Cook	31	573	85
85	Chris Kirk	57	571	80
86	Scott Piercy	48	557	86
87	Sam Burns	12	555	87
88	Andrew Putnam	30	554	110
89	Kevin Tway	58	554	95
90	Ross Fisher	50	551	88
91	Rory Sabbatini	55	548	100
92	Lee Westwood	45	540	92
93	Danny Lee	66	538	107
94	Haotong Li	51	535	93
95	James Hahn	55	533	89
96	Jhonattan Vegas	58	532	94
97	Ryan Palmer	41	532	99
98	Ollie Schniederjans	54	527	90
99	Nick Watney	45	521	96
100	Thorbjorn Olesen	53	520	97
101	Sean O’Hair	55	519	91
102	Joel Dahmen	45	519	114
103	Eddie Pepperell	46	503	104
104	JJ Spaun	55	500	98
105	Aaron Wise	33	499	103
106	Grayson Murray	52	497	105
107	Graeme McDowell	59	497	111
108	Ryan Fox	46	492	106
109	Andy Sullivan	53	488	108
110	Keith Mitchell	33	487	101
111	Si Woo Kim	59	487	109
112	Patrick Rodgers	59	486	102
113	Martin Kaymer	51	470	112
114	Abraham Ancer	37	470	144
115	Julian Suri	35	470	113
116	Andrew Landry	32	457	115
117	William McGirt	56	457	119
118	David Lingmerth	60	448	116
119	Harold Varner	64	447	130
120	Dylan Frittelli	54	443	120
121	Scott Brown	63	443	118
122	Vaughn Taylor	54	441	117
123	Alexander Bjork	47	440	122
124	Miguel Angel Jimenez	13	436	123
125	Jorge Campillo	55	433	124
126	Paul Dunne	54	430	125
127	Rafael Campos	9	426	127
128	Hudson Swafford	52	425	151
129	Victor Dubuisson	26	423	128
130	Chris Wood	54	421	133
131	Bronson Burgoon	29	419	121
132	Joost Luiten	46	418	132
133	Scott Stallings	60	417	129
134	Ryan Blaum	57	416	141
135	Sung Kang	64	415	126
136	Seung-yul Noh	36	409	134
137	Sam Saunders	55	409	131
138	CT Pan	61	409	135
139	Morgan Hoffmann	42	407	136
140	Satoshi Kodaira	22	406	138
141	Erik Van Rooyen	24	405	140
142	Robert Garrigus	55	400	147
143	Brandon Hagy	32	399	143
144	Mackenzie Hughes	60	392	170
145	Wesley Bryan	53	389	139
146	JT Poston	55	388	142
147	Ted Potter	33	387	146
148	Brandon Harkins	31	385	137
149	Tyler Duncan	34	382	172
150	Jim Herman	37	381	148
151	Ryan Armour	52	381	145
152	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	48	375	154
153	Kelly Kraft	62	375	152
154	Alexander Levy	51	373	156
155	John Huh	60	372	153
156	Seamus Power	57	372	150
157	Tom Hoge	54	371	149
158	Patton Kizzire	53	369	155
159	Soren Kjeldsen	53	364	158
160	Richy Werenski	59	364	159
161	Dean Burmester	46	361	160
162	Whee Kim	60	359	199
163	Trey Mullinax	56	359	162
164	Chad Campbell	59	357	164
165	Nick Taylor	60	357	157
166	Hideto Tanihara	38	352	176
167	Troy Merritt	62	352	163
168	Michael Kim	55	352	167
169	David Hearn	57	350	161
170	Johnson Wagner	53	348	175
171	Ben Martin	53	347	171
172	Aaron Baddeley	50	343	165
173	Jerry Kelly	16	341	169
174	Corey Conners	31	337	166
175	Michael Thompson	45	336	168
176	Richard Sterne	47	335	173
177	Andrew Johnston	40	330	179
178	Harris English	61	328	174
179	Shubhankar Sharma	29	327	182
180	Henrik Norlander	16	322	177
181	Brice Garnett	36	320	184
182	Jim Furyk	35	320	178
183	Ben Crane	51	317	181
184	Seung-su Han	13	315	187
185	Sam Ryder	32	313	180
186	Matthew Southgate	56	312	192
187	Benjamin Hebert	49	311	191
188	Adrian Otaegui	56	311	183
189	Alex Cejka	59	308	185
190	JJ Henry	59	308	189
191	Tyrone van Aswegen	66	306	188
192	Retief Goosen	43	306	186
193	Matt Jones	53	301	190
194	Fabrizio Zanotti	48	300	196
195	Cameron Percy	47	299	193
196	Marcus Kinhult	19	298	197
197	George Coetzee	55	298	198
198	Dominic Bozzelli	47	297	194
199	Scott Hend	57	295	200
200	Kyung-tae Kim	15	294	202
201	Talor Gooch	31	293	195
202	Chris Paisley	53	290	201
203	Chris Stroud	52	290	205
204	Luke Donald	39	286	203
205	Julian Etulain	29	284	209
206	Danny Willett	46	282	207
207	Denny McCarthy	27	281	211
208	Pablo Larrazabal	51	280	210
209	Robert Streb	60	280	204
210	Jaco van Zyl	26	278	212
211	Nate Lashley	21	276	215
212	Blayne Barber	50	274	206
213	Nicolas Colsaerts	55	273	208
214	Jonas Blixt	51	271	214
215	John Peterson	29	269	217
216	Brian Stuard	65	268	223
217	Jeunghun Wang	55	268	225
218	Jordan Smith	34	267	213
219	Richie Ramsay	53	265	221
220	Matthieu Pavon	47	264	216
221	Derek Fathauer	58	263	222
222	Nacho Elvira	56	261	219
223	Aaron Rai	34	259	218
224	Andrea Pavan	24	259	226
225	Stephen Gallacher	51	258	220
226	David Horsey	52	256	224
227	Camilo Villegas	47	256	229
228	David Lipsky	56	256	237
229	Daisuke Kataoka	15	255	239
230	Cameron Davis	8	255	228
231	Joakim Lagergren	51	254	227
232	Curtis Luck	25	253	232
233	Robert Rock	50	250	235
234	Martin Flores	57	250	230
235	Zac Blair	59	245	236
236	Thomas Detry	48	244	244
237	Callum Shinkwin	43	244	234
238	Daniel Summerhays	55	243	231
239	Robby Shelton	10	239	240
240	Matt Wallace	43	237	241
241	Adam Schenk	33	236	272
242	Mikko Ilonen	45	234	238
243	Darren Fichardt	43	233	246
244	Joachim B Hansen	13	231	248
245	Ricky Barnes	59	229	277
246	Sam Horsfield	31	228	242
247	Lucas Bjerregaard	58	227	250
248	Mikko Korhonen	47	227	252
249	Andres Gonzales	35	227	249
250	Benjamin Silverman	30	226	243
251	Tag Ridings	27	226	255
252	Tim Wilkinson	35	226	251
253	Anthony Wall	31	226	254
254	Geoff Ogilvy	47	224	253
255	Fabian Gomez	52	221	247
256	Parker McLachlin	11	221	233
257	Tom Lovelady	30	220	245
258	Will MacKenzie	24	220	257
259	Thongchai Jaidee	51	218	258
260	Rob Oppenheim	38	216	259
261	Scott Jamieson	55	215	263
262	Michael Putnam	10	213	260
263	Graeme Storm	45	209	261
264	Maximilian Kieffer	50	205	264
265	Henric Sturehed	14	204	256
266	Bradley Dredge	48	204	262
267	Sebastian Munoz	26	203	269
268	Wade Ormsby	46	203	265
269	Andres Romero	37	202	267
270	Martin Piller	39	201	273
271	Oliver Fisher	56	200	266
272	David Drysdale	60	200	295
273	Shawn Stefani	58	200	301
274	Smylie Kaufman	54	198	276
275	Greg Chalmers	53	197	275
276	Padraig Harrington	47	197	274
277	Nicholas Lindheim	53	196	268
278	Chad Collins	33	194	279
279	Lee Slattery	53	192	282
280	Ryo Ishikawa	29	191	278
281	Rikard Karlberg	28	191	280
282	Jacques Kruyswijk	22	191	283
283	Yusaku Miyazato	24	190	270
284	Renato Paratore	58	189	314
285	Brandon Stone	51	188	284
286	Alejandro Canizares	39	187	271
287	Roger Sloan	8	187
288	Ashun Wu	49	187	285
289	Sean Crocker	14	186	290
290	Cameron Tringale	58	186	281
291	Jens Dantorp	30	184	292
292	Peter Malnati	60	183	288
293	Yuta Ikeda	23	183	294
294	Andrew Dodt	48	182	289
295	Ashley Chesters	45	182	286
296	Roberto Castro	34	181	287
297	Hunter Mahan	52	180	293
298	Romain Wattel	50	180	325
299	Jonathan Byrd	38	178	291
300	Austin Connelly	38	177	296
301	Maverick McNealy	11	177	303
302	Poom Saksansin	17	176	304
303	Nino Bertasio	62	176	298
304	Greg Owen	26	176	302
305	Stephan Jaeger	35	176	297
306	Boo Weekley	32	174	307
307	Steve Wheatcroft	46	173	300
308	Billy Hurley	55	172	299
309	Trevor Immelman	26	171	306
310	Matthias Schwab	18	171	364
311	Marc Warren	55	171	317
312	KJ Choi	42	169	308
313	Jason Scrivener	53	169	309
314	Cody Gribble	54	168	310
315	Paul Waring	45	168	313
316	Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano	39	168	312
317	Tim Herron	24	167	316
318	Kristoffer Broberg	17	165	319
319	Lanto Griffin	28	165	305
320	Jonathan Randolph	52	164	327
321	Jose-Filipe Lima	30	161	336
322	Peter Hanson	37	160	311
323	Vijay Singh	32	160	322
324	James Morrison	56	159	315
325	Marcel Siem	52	159	318
326	Kyle Reifers	42	156	324
327	Haydn Porteous	63	155	323
328	Richard Bland	52	155	320
329	Spencer Levin	42	154	329
330	Thomas Aiken	48	154	332
331	Adam Bland	23	154	326
332	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	25	153	321
333	Angel Cabrera	27	152	333
334	Rick Lamb	36	151	334
335	Khalin Joshi	8	151	331
336	Scott Langley	12	148	328
337	Brett Coletta	10	148	340
338	Matteo Manassero	52	148	330
339	Richard McEvoy	29	147	435
340	Ryan Brehm	33	147	339
341	JC Ritchie	9	145	341
342	Justin Walters	54	145	337
343	Brian Campbell	27	144	345
344	Paul Peterson	47	143	335
345	Ricardo Gouveia	57	142	338
346	Chris Hanson	54	140	342
347	Julien Guerrier	25	140	343
348	Carlos Ortiz	12	140	344
349	Will Wilcox	18	139	348
350	Davis Love	24	138	351
351	Juvic Pagunsan	9	137	350
352	Hennie Otto	16	137	354
353	Gavin Green	24	137	352
354	Stuart Appleby	37	136	356
355	Jamie Donaldson	46	136	347
356	Bill Lunde	10	136	355
357	Jake McLeod	8	136	358
358	Connor Syme	24	135	378
359	Trevor Fisher	24	133	346
360	Micah Lauren Shin	8	133	359
361	Raphael Jacquelin	53	132	353
362	Freddie Jacobson	13	131	361
363	Xin-jun Zhang	29	131	349
364	Rhein Gibson	14	130	362
365	Christofer Blomstrand	20	129	489
366	Matthew Nixon	30	129	413
367	Shiv Kapur	20	128	368
368	Young-han Song	12	128	363
369	Alex Prugh	9	127	365
370	Jacques Blaauw	15	127	367
371	Gregory Havret	56	127	360
372	Ethan Tracy	25	126	372
373	Sam Brazel	46	125	369
374	Lasse Jensen	54	125	377
375	Florian Fritsch	33	125	357
376	Mark Anderson	25	124	373
377	David Bransdon	9	124	375
378	Rod Pampling	50	123	366
379	Gregory Bourdy	58	121	370
380	Matt Every	61	121	374
381	Adrien Saddier	26	121	371
382	Panuphol Pittayarat	17	121	376
383	Johan Carlsson	39	120	380
384	Ockie Strydom	9	120	382
385	Scott Vincent	27	119	385
386	Lucas Herbert	19	117	406
387	Prayad Marksaeng	9	117	387
388	Brett Drewitt	27	117	386
389	Ben Eccles	10	116	388
390	Brett Stegmaier	53	116	379
391	Bryce Molder	30	115	391
392	Marcus Fraser	47	115	390
393	Chase Koepka	25	112	384
394	YE Yang	22	112	392
395	Stephen Leaney	8	111	396
396	Robert Karlsson	46	111	394
397	Lorenzo Gagli	22	109	389
398	Tapio Pulkkanen	19	109	395
399	Jin Choi	24	109	414
400	Sebastian Soderberg	15	108	400
More \| Less

A look at the RBC Canadian Open

July 24, 2018 Thomas Hawley Narrative

The question this week is whether Dustin Johnson can put things back in order for the RBC Canadian Open a week after not quite making the top 100 finishers in the 147th Open Championship. Luckily we have some historical data to work with on this one.

Last year Johnson had an abysmal June, missing the cuts in the Mermorial and U.S. Open. Then he skipped all intervening events until the British Open five week later, and finished just above the cut line. So, the answer to the question: From the U.K. it was direct to Toronto where he finished eighth in the Canadian Open. In fact he has made it a habit of doing the British-Canadian double, and a pretty good habit at that. Johnson has played in Canada in four of the last five years and was second in both 2013 and 2016, eighth as noted last year, and missed the cut in 2014. So yeah, not much evidence of a hangover after a bad week. Also recall that after bombing out of the WGC-Match Play in late March, he came back after a week off to finish 10th in the Masters.

The field at Glen Abbey this week, of course, is nothing like the British Open, U.S. Open, Masters, Memorial, etc., and Johnson as no. 1 player in the world appears to merit the tag as favorite. Not that he is the only one in the field with more than a few birdies this season. You can make a very good case for Tony Finau, the no. 2 pick, and others among the top 20 picks who stand out due to excellent recent play include rookie Joaquin Niemann and and veteran Charley Hoffman.

Finau has top-10s in all three majors, including a ninth last week. Niemann, the 19-year-old Chilean, has an amazing four top-10s in only nine appearances since turning pro, plus two others in the top 25. Hoffman has been flirting with the big money but not quite collecting it; he finished between 15th and 20th in his last four appearances, including the last two majors. Also in the field are Englishman Tommy Fleetwood, 19th in the Hawley Ratings this week, and the top Canadian (of course) Adam Hadwin, who is 49th.

They are at Glen Abbey, about 20 miles southwest of Toronto, down Read more

RBC Canadian Open

July 23, 2018 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dustin Johnson

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Dustin Johnson	3.8	1
2	Tony Finau	20.2	37
3	Brooks Koepka	27.2	133
4	Tommy Fleetwood	28.7	6
5	Matt Kuchar	34.9	79
6	Joaquin Niemann	36.6	37
7	Charley Hoffman	37.9	29
8	Steve Stricker	45.0	50
9	Ian Poulter	45.0	12
10	Bubba Watson	46.2	111
11	Chesson Hadley	47.9	DNP
12	Jamie Lovemark	50.1	50
13	Jhonattan Vegas	50.7	29
14	Adam Hadwin	51.3	79
15	Stewart Cink	51.6	37
16	Beau Hossler	51.6	DNP
17	Kevin Kisner	51.7	101
18	Brandt Snedeker	53.2	8
19	JB Holmes	54.0	61
20	Sergio Garcia	54.4	79
21	Byeong Hun An	54.6	2
22	Chris Kirk	54.6	76
23	Joel Dahmen	54.9	8
24	Austin Cook	56.1	DNP
25	Keegan Bradley	56.8	4
26	Gary Woodland	56.9	22
27	Jimmy Walker	57.0	29
28	Chez Reavie	57.4	111
29	Martin Laird	59.2	91
30	Billy Horschel	59.7	91
31	Jason Kokrak	60.4	12
32	Shane Lowry	60.5	12
33	Bronson Burgoon	60.7	91
34	Keith Mitchell	61.9	65
35	Harold Varner	62.0	17
36	Rory Sabbatini	62.0	12
37	Andrew Putnam	62.1	8
38	JJ Spaun	62.2	119
39	Troy Merritt	62.6	50
40	James Hahn	62.6	50
41	Nick Watney	62.7	29
42	Ollie Schniederjans	62.8	119
43	Kevin Tway	63.1	17
44	Patrick Rodgers	63.2	125
45	Sean O’Hair	63.3	71
46	Ryan Armour	63.3	101
47	Jim Furyk	63.4	45
48	Vaughn Taylor	64.3	142
49	Ryan Palmer	64.3	22
50	Ryan Blaum	64.9	22
51	Graeme McDowell	64.9	17
52	William McGirt	65.0	29
53	JT Poston	65.1	91
54	Sam Saunders	65.1	125
55	Bill Haas	65.3	111
56	David Lingmerth	65.3	50
57	Alex Cejka	65.6	65
58	Si Woo Kim	65.6	29
59	Abraham Ancer	65.7	5
60	David Hearn	65.8	61
61	Brandon Harkins	65.8	119
62	Scott Stallings	65.8	45
63	Johnson Wagner	66.1	29
64	Robert Garrigus	66.2	22
65	Tom Hoge	66.3	101
66	John Huh	66.3	50
67	Sam Ryder	66.4	78
68	Danny Lee	66.4	6
69	Seamus Power	66.5	91
70	Scott Brown	66.8	148
71	Mackenzie Hughes	66.9	8
72	Corey Conners	67.1	91
73	Tyler Duncan	67.1	17
74	Ben Crane	67.1	91
75	Retief Goosen	67.3	125
76	JJ Henry	67.4	111
77	Martin Kaymer	67.5	DNP
78	Kelly Kraft	67.8	50
79	Cameron Percy	67.8	69
80	Sung Kang	68.0	79
81	Chad Campbell	68.4	37
82	Denny McCarthy	68.5	DNP
83	Nate Lashley	68.7	DNP
84	Matt Jones	68.9	79
85	Fabian Gomez	69.0	101
86	Hudson Swafford	69.2	12
87	Wesley Bryan	69.3	152
88	Aaron Baddeley	69.5	65
89	Robert Streb	69.5	101
90	Nick Taylor	69.7	71
91	Blayne Barber	69.7	91
92	Talor Gooch	69.8	119
93	Michael Thompson	69.8	101
94	Andres Romero	70.2	DNP
95	Steve Wheatcroft	70.2	71
96	Harris English	70.3	101
97	Dominic Bozzelli	70.3	65
98	Whee Kim	70.6	2
99	Chris Stroud	70.8	37
100	Derek Fathauer	70.8	DNP
101	Tyrone van Aswegen	70.8	79
102	Zac Blair	71.2	50
103	Stephan Jaeger	71.3	71
104	Tom Lovelady	71.4	111
105	Ricky Barnes	71.5	17
106	Hunter Mahan	71.6	79
107	Brian Stuard	71.8	37
108	Benjamin Silverman	72.0	71
109	Jonas Blixt	72.1	133
110	Parker McLachlin	72.3	111
111	Daniel Summerhays	72.4	145
112	Martin Flores	72.5	50
113	Adam Schenk	72.6	22
114	Will MacKenzie	72.8	DNP
115	Peter Malnati	72.8	61
116	Lanto Griffin	72.9	69
117	Rob Oppenheim	72.9	45
118	Nicholas Lindheim	73.0	125
119	Shawn Stefani	73.5	22
120	Cameron Tringale	73.6	133
121	Martin Piller	73.6	45
122	Jonathan Byrd	73.8	125
123	Brett Stegmaier	74.0	142
124	Austin Connelly	74.0	139
125	Billy Hurley	74.3	133
126	Xin-jun Zhang	74.8	79
127	Conrad Shindler	74.8	119
128	Jonathan Randolph	74.9	37
129	Sangmoon Bae	75.0	WD
130	Matt Every	75.1	61
131	Ethan Tracy	75.2	50
132	Rod Pampling	75.4	77
133	Roberto Diaz	75.4	111
134	Stuart Appleby	75.6	DNP
135	DA Points	76.0	111
136	Tim Herron	76.2	DNP
137	Matt Atkins	76.5	79
138	Rick Lamb	76.8	DNP
139	John Merrick	77.1	DNP
140	Ze-cheng Dou	77.5	119
141	Andrew Yun	77.6	79
142	Kyle Thompson	77.7	91
143	John Senden	78.6	133
144	Roger Sloan	80.9	37
145	Mike Weir	81.0	125
146	Adam Svensson	81.1	101
147	Zachary Bauchou	81.6	139
148	Hugo Bernard	81.6	145
149	Marc-Etienne Bussires	81.6	142
150	Will Claxton	81.6	125
151	Chris Crisologo	81.6	45
152	Jared du Toit	81.6	79
153	Todd Fanning	81.6	150
154	Nyasha Mauchaza	81.6	145
155	Joey Savoie	81.6	101
156	Norman Xiong	81.6	101
	Ryan Yip	late entry	27
	George Cunningham	late entry	34
	Zach Wright	late entry	55
	Cameron Champ	late entry	88
	Ken Duke	late entry	100
	Michael Gligic	late entry	131
	Russell Budd	late entry	135
	Sam Fidone	late entry	141
	Dylan Meyer	late entry	149
	Brendon de Jonge	late entry	150
	Mitchell Sutton	late entry	152
	Justin YW Kim	late entry	154
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 353. The average is 210. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Porsche European Open

July 23, 2018 Thomas Hawley Euro Events, Picks

Paul Casey

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Paul Casey	14.6	7
2	Patrick Reed	31.7	9
3	Bryson DeChambeau	44.7	13
4	Pat Perez	49.5	123
5	Alexander Levy	53.4	13
6	Charl Schwartzel	57.9	9
7	Adrian Otaegui	64.4	68
8	Richard Sterne	64.7	39
9	Benjamin Hebert	65.7	DNP
10	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	66.3	19
11	Jordan Smith	66.6	64
12	Matthieu Pavon	66.7	54
13	Aaron Rai	67.1	151
14	Scott Hend	67.5	19
15	Soren Kjeldsen	68.5	22
16	Thomas Detry	69.2	13
17	David Horsey	69.6	39
18	Richie Ramsay	69.7	39
19	Nicolas Colsaerts	69.9	92
20	Nacho Elvira	70.0	54
21	Sam Horsfield	70.1	48
22	Stephen Gallacher	70.2	101
23	Mikko Ilonen	70.2	140
24	Ashley Chesters	70.7	101
25	Lucas Bjerregaard	70.7	39
26	Hideto Tanihara	71.0	5
27	Callum Shinkwin	71.1	48
28	Jeunghun Wang	71.2	13
29	Oliver Fisher	71.3	39
30	Justin Walters	71.7	45
31	David Lipsky	71.7	13
32	Yusaku Miyazato	71.7	131
33	Bradley Dredge	71.8	29
34	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	72.3	101
35	Jose-Filipe Lima	72.4	22
36	Raphael Jacquelin	72.6	80
37	Maximilian Kieffer	72.6	29
38	Richard Bland	72.6	101
39	Alejandro Canizares	72.7	80
40	Nino Bertasio	72.7	92
41	Jamie Donaldson	73.1	123
42	James Morrison	73.2	68
43	Ricardo Gouveia	73.2	80
44	Daisuke Kataoka	73.4	22
45	Marcel Siem	73.5	54
46	Scott Jamieson	73.5	13
47	David Drysdale	73.6	9
48	Paul Peterson	73.7	101
49	Henric Sturehed	73.8	54
50	Romain Wattel	73.9	5
51	Haydn Porteous	73.9	116
52	Gregory Havret	74.0	101
53	Richard McEvoy	74.0	1
54	Florian Fritsch	74.0	92
55	Peter Hanson	74.0	72
56	Trevor Fisher	74.1	131
57	Zander Lombard	74.1	101
58	Tom Lewis	74.1	92
59	Andrew Dodt	74.2	54
60	Renato Paratore	74.3	2
61	Matthew Nixon	74.4	9
62	Marc Warren	74.5	22
63	Adrien Saddier	74.6	54
64	Matteo Manassero	74.6	101
65	Steven Brown	74.7	54
66	Julien Guerrier	74.7	54
67	Chris Hanson	74.8	101
68	Matthias Schwab	74.9	7
69	Thomas Aiken	75.0	29
70	Alexander Knappe	75.2	92
71	Lasse Jensen	75.3	29
72	Jeff Winther	75.3	22
73	Sebastien Gros	75.4	48
74	Edoardo Molinari	75.4	101
75	Felipe Aguilar	75.5	29
76	Lorenzo Gagli	75.6	123
77	Gregory Bourdy	75.6	131
78	Nick Cullen	75.6	76
79	Connor Syme	75.6	22
80	Pedro Oriol	75.6	123
81	Sebastian Heisele	75.8	48
82	Joel Stalter	75.8	45
83	Steve Webster	75.8	80
84	Thomas Bjorn	75.8	80
85	Jin Choi	75.9	29
86	Lucas Herbert	76.0	29
87	Victor Perez	76.1	116
88	Chase Koepka	76.2	131
89	Rak hyun Cho	76.2	29
90	Tapio Pulkkanen	76.3	48
91	Matthew Baldwin	76.4	80
92	Ryan Evans	76.4	80
93	Jbe Kruger	76.5	79
94	Nicolas Geyger	76.6	45
95	Laurie Canter	76.6	80
96	Pontus Widegren	76.6	123
97	Daniel Brooks	76.7	80
98	Scott Fernandez	76.7	63
99	Christofer Blomstrand	76.8	2
100	Pep Angles	76.8	101
101	Clement Sordet	76.9	64
102	James Heath	76.9	DNP
103	Oliver Farr	77.1	64
104	Jazz Janewattananond	77.1	140
105	Marcel Schneider	77.2	WD
106	Carlos Pigem	77.2	101
107	Christopher Mivis	77.2	54
108	Simon Khan	77.4	131
109	Ross McGowan	77.4	80
110	Ajeetesh Sandhu	77.7	116
111	Gavin Moynihan	77.8	101
112	Mark Tullo	77.9	131
113	Jack Munro	77.9	116
114	Jonathan Thomson	78.0	74
115	Eirik Tage Johansen	78.1	92
116	Kristian Krogh Johannessen	78.2	78
117	Oscar Serna	78.2	68
118	Birgir Hafthorsson	78.3	48
119	Ben Evans	78.4	101
120	Brad Fritsch	78.5	123
121	Luca Cianchetti	79.9	75
122	Garrick Porteous	79.9	101
123	Mikael Lundberg	80.3	39
124	Philipp Mejow	80.9	29
125	Kyle McClatchie	81.0	147
126	Liam Johnston	81.2	22
127	Oliver Wilson	81.3	29
128	Eunshin Park	81.4	140
129	Max Schmitt	81.5	116
130	Ruaidhri McGee	81.5	148
131	Kim Koivu	81.5	64
132	Jonas Kolbing	81.5	71
133	Harrison Endycott	81.6	116
134	Maarten Lafeber	81.6	140
135	Chris Lloyd	81.6	DNP
136	Mathias Gronberg	81.6	154
137	Fabian Becker	81.6	140
138	Max Kramer	81.6	123
139	Luca Galliano	81.6	92
140	Andreas Halvorsen	81.6	131
141	Gavin Hall	81.6	131
142	Harry Ellis	81.6	148
143	Ashton Turner	81.6	92
144	Niklas Adank	81.6	140
145	Matias Calderon	81.6	19
146	Nicolai Hojgaard	81.6	WD
147	Rasmus Hojgaard	81.6	123
148	Allen John	81.6	2
149	Viktor Hovland	81.6	116
150	Hurly Long	81.6	131
151	Alex Fitzpatrick	81.6	153
152	Georg Schultes	81.6	140
153	Benedict Staben	81.6	72
154	Hinrich Arkenau	81.6	80
155	Minkyu Kim	81.6	80
156	Paul Howard	81.6	151
	Dennis Meyerrose	late entry	99
	Matthew Perry	late entry	150
More \| Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 61. The average is 210. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

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