A Look at the Quicken Loans National

June 25, 2018 Thomas Hawley

It seems unlikely that the Quicken Loans National has evolved as Tiger Woods dreamed when the event was born as the AT&T National in 2007. What we will see this weekend at TPC Potomac is the weakest field on the PGA Tour since the 2017-‘18 season began with the Safeway Open in October.

It’s not hard to pick a favorite. Rickie Fowler, who has Quicken among his sponsors, is the only player in the current Hawley Ratings top 10 who is in the field, and he’d also be the only one from the top 20 were it not for Woods himself at no. 20.

It wasn’t always like this. In the inaugural 2007 season, the National had six of the world’s top 10 in its field, and plenty of other top names. Here’s what the field has looked like over a sampling of years:

  • 2007 – Six of the top 10, 10 of the top 20, 28 of the top 50.
  • 2010 – Two of the top 10, six of the top 20, 22 of the top 50.
  • 2018 – One of the top 10, two of the top 20, 10 of the top 50.

If you want to go with who is playing well lately, Jimmy Walker, no. 50 in the ratings, might be the guy. The TPC runner-up made the top 10 in the Nelson and the top 20 in the Colonial, but Read more

Quicken Loans National

June 25, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,

Rickie Fowler
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rickie Fowler 8.5 12
2 Charles Howell 35.0 17
3 Francesco Molinari 37.2 1
4 Kyle Stanley 41.4 32
5 Marc Leishman 43.0 13
6 Tiger Woods 43.1 4
7 Joaquin Niemann 43.2 17
8 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 46.0 48
9 Jimmy Walker 46.2 60
10 JB Holmes 46.4 87
11 Chesson Hadley 47.4 8
12 Jamie Lovemark 48.1 74
13 Bill Haas 49.1 71
14 Byeong Hun An 50.6 41
15 Kevin Na 52.2 64
16 Rory Sabbatini 53.6 106
17 Adam Hadwin 54.2 48
18 Stewart Cink 54.5 23
19 Gary Woodland 54.7 53
20 Kevin Streelman 55.0 32
21 Brian Gay 55.3 8
22 Beau Hossler 55.9 6
23 Patrick Rodgers 55.9 53
24 Martin Laird 56.5 75
25 Jason Kokrak 57.4 87
26 Kevin Tway 58.0 73
27 James Hahn 59.5 60
28 Nick Watney 59.7 64
29 Danny Lee 59.8 106
30 Andrew Putnam 60.0 27
31 Ryan Blaum 60.1 23
32 Vaughn Taylor 60.1 DNP
33 Anirban Lahiri 60.3 13
34 Robert Garrigus 60.6 27
35 David Lingmerth 60.7 48
36 Billy Horschel 61.7 17
37 Si Woo Kim 62.6 87
38 Ben Martin 62.9 DNP
39 John Huh 63.5 64
40 Keith Mitchell 64.1 75
41 Troy Merritt 64.1 17
42 JT Poston 64.2 27
43 CT Pan 64.8 17
44 JJ Spaun 65.0 27
45 Tom Hoge 65.7 87
46 Ryan Armour 65.8 2
47 Scott Stallings 65.9 75
48 Ollie Schniederjans 65.9 32
49 Matt Jones 66.0 112
50 Richy Werenski 66.1 106
51 Aaron Baddeley 66.3 75
52 Corey Conners 66.3 41
53 Seamus Power 66.5 53
54 Joel Dahmen 66.6 23
55 Johnson Wagner 66.7 41
56 Trey Mullinax 66.8 106
57 Billy Hurley 67.0 87
58 Tyrone van Aswegen 67.0 100
59 Ryan Palmer 67.2 8
60 Brandon Harkins 67.2 32
61 Michael Thompson 67.3 75
62 Harris English 67.5 106
63 Daniel Summerhays 67.6 112
64 Sam Saunders 68.0 112
65 Ben Crane 68.1 13
66 Andrew Landry 68.2 8
67 Nick Taylor 68.8 117
68 Ted Potter 68.8 23
69 Nate Lashley 68.9 DNP
70 David Hearn 68.9 41
71 Scott Brown 69.1 60
72 Cameron Percy 69.2 32
73 Derek Fathauer 69.4 53
74 Tyler Duncan 69.4 41
75 Kelly Kraft 69.6 75
76 Abraham Ancer 69.6 4
77 Peter Malnati 69.9 87
78 Harold Varner 70.0 41
79 Denny McCarthy 70.1 100
80 Nicholas Lindheim 70.3 75
81 Sung Kang 70.3 3
82 Ricky Barnes 70.4 112
83 Alex Cejka 70.5 32
84 Shawn Stefani 70.5 117
85 Michael Kim 70.5 100
86 Chad Campbell 70.6 87
87 Cody Gribble 70.7 100
88 JJ Henry 70.9 87
89 Dominic Bozzelli 71.0 64
90 Fabian Gomez 71.1 32
91 Whee Kim 71.1 75
92 Talor Gooch 71.2 100
93 Jonas Blixt 71.2 53
94 Martin Flores 71.2 53
95 Chris Stroud 71.4 32
96 Benjamin Silverman 71.5 75
97 Blayne Barber 71.5 53
98 Sam Ryder 71.6 48
99 Tim Herron 71.8 87
100 Zac Blair 71.8 27
101 Bronson Burgoon 72.0 6
102 Brian Stuard 72.2 75
103 Cameron Tringale 72.3 DNP
104 Geoff Ogilvy 72.5 75
105 Mackenzie Hughes 72.5 DNP
106 Adam Schenk 72.5 41
107 Tom Lovelady 72.7 64
108 Rob Oppenheim 72.8 100
109 Robert Streb 72.9 119
110 Martin Piller 73.1 120
111 Hunter Mahan 73.1 DNP
112 Jonathan Byrd 74.0 DNP
113 Lanto Griffin 74.0 64
114 Ethan Tracy 74.0 48
115 Xin-jun Zhang 74.5 64
116 Smylie Kaufman 74.7 DNP
117 Stuart Appleby 74.9 DNP
118 Matt Every 74.9 75
119 Jonathan Randolph 74.9 87
120 Rod Pampling 75.4 112
121 Roberto Diaz 75.6 60
122 Stephan Jaeger 75.7 13
123 DA Points 76.4 87
124 Jason Gore 77.5 106
125 Dylan Meyer 80.0 17
126 Doug Ghim 81.2 71
127 Doc Redman 81.4 32
128 Kristoffer Ventura 81.6 87
Andrew Yun late entry 90
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 202. The average is 211. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

HNA Open de France

June 25, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,

Justin Thomas
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Justin Thomas 15.9 8
2 Tommy Fleetwood 28.2 66
3 Alex Noren 31.8 1
4 Jon Rahm 37.2 5
5 Ian Poulter 39.5 21
6 Rafa Cabrera Bello 40.4 66
7 Matthew Fitzpatrick 47.4 27
8 Tyrrell Hatton 48.1 16
9 Russell Knox 53.6 2
10 Martin Kaymer 55.1 123
11 Sergio Garcia 56.0 8
12 Graeme McDowell 56.5 37
13 Andy Sullivan 57.7 21
14 Thongchai Jaidee 58.6 72
15 Lee Westwood 59.3 WD
16 Thomas Pieters 59.5 31
17 Shane Lowry 60.3 16
18 Ross Fisher 60.4 103
19 Haotong Li 60.5 21
20 Thorbjorn Olesen 61.1 85
21 Paul Dunne 61.4 21
22 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 61.9 16
23 Alexander Levy 64.4 65
24 Ryan Fox 64.6 44
25 Jorge Campillo 65.5 8
26 Dylan Frittelli 65.5 12
27 Alexander Bjork 65.8 8
28 Benjamin Hebert 66.0 103
29 Andrew Johnston 66.2 DNP
30 Soren Kjeldsen 66.3 49
31 Richard Sterne 66.4 31
32 Mikko Korhonen 66.7 103
33 Adrian Otaegui 66.8 12
34 Fabrizio Zanotti 66.9 37
35 Matt Wallace 67.4 72
36 Shubhankar Sharma 67.6 27
37 Julian Suri 67.8 2
38 Nacho Elvira 67.9 53
39 Robert Rock 68.0 97
40 Dean Burmester 68.2 56
41 Lucas Bjerregaard 68.2 61
42 Hideto Tanihara 68.2 56
43 Richie Ramsay 68.3 72
44 Nicolas Colsaerts 68.4 85
45 Jordan Smith 69.0 21
46 Maximilian Kieffer 69.0 103
47 Chris Paisley 69.1 72
48 Eddie Pepperell 69.3 DNP
49 Erik Van Rooyen 69.3 114
50 Chris Wood 69.5 2
51 Scott Hend 69.7 44
52 Thomas Detry 69.8 16
53 Callum Shinkwin 70.0 DNP
54 Matthieu Pavon 70.1 142
55 David Lipsky 70.3 66
56 Mikko Ilonen 70.4 35
57 Jeunghun Wang 70.5 103
58 Darren Fichardt 70.5 123
59 David Horsey 70.6 27
60 Marcel Siem 70.7 103
61 Pablo Larrazabal 70.7 114
62 George Coetzee 71.0 44
63 Aaron Rai 71.0 114
64 Jacques Kruyswijk 71.1 61
65 Matthew Southgate 71.2 5
66 Lee Slattery 71.3 72
67 Bradley Dredge 71.3 44
68 Ashun Wu 71.4 103
69 Jamie Donaldson 71.5 53
70 Stephen Gallacher 71.5 59
71 Oliver Fisher 71.9 72
72 Jason Scrivener 72.1 114
73 Paul Waring 72.2 114
74 Matteo Manassero 72.3 72
75 Scott Jamieson 72.5 85
76 Andrew Dodt 72.5 154
77 Andrea Pavan 72.6 56
78 James Morrison 72.6 49
79 Gregory Bourdy 72.7 132
80 Wade Ormsby 72.7 12
81 Haydn Porteous 72.7 132
82 Marcus Kinhult 72.8 5
83 Mark Foster 72.8 72
84 Sam Horsfield 72.9 85
85 David Drysdale 73.2 97
86 Joakim Lagergren 73.3 149
87 Lasse Jensen 73.4 85
88 Danny Willett 73.5 72
89 Adam Bland 73.5 151
90 Marc Warren 73.6 WD
91 Richard Bland 73.7 60
92 Justin Walters 73.7 85
93 Romain Wattel 73.8 103
94 Thomas Aiken 73.9 142
95 Julien Quesne 73.9 114
96 Julien Guerrier 73.9 123
97 Nino Bertasio 74.0 16
98 Gregory Havret 74.0 49
99 Lorenzo Gagli 74.0 103
100 Yusaku Miyazato 74.1 114
101 Ricardo Gouveia 74.1 31
102 Austin Connelly 74.1 37
103 Chris Hanson 74.2 85
104 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 74.3 135
105 Sebastien Gros 74.3 132
106 Edoardo Molinari 74.3 123
107 Felipe Aguilar 74.3 37
108 Robert Karlsson 74.5 85
109 Matthias Schwab 74.7 37
110 Renato Paratore 74.7 66
111 David Howell 74.8 135
112 Thomas Bjorn 74.8 142
113 Matthew Nixon 74.9 72
114 Jens Dantorp 75.0 44
115 Adrien Saddier 75.0 114
116 Sam Brazel 75.1 35
117 Marcus Fraser 75.1 72
118 Raphael Jacquelin 75.1 37
119 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 75.2 103
120 Matthew Baldwin 75.2 72
121 Ashley Chesters 75.2 21
122 Victor Perez 75.4 141
123 Tapio Pulkkanen 75.4 142
124 Andres Romero 75.5 123
125 Brandon Stone 75.6 85
126 Charlie Ford 75.7 72
127 Daniel Brooks 75.7 150
128 Brett Rumford 75.8 61
129 Connor Syme 75.8 97
130 Jeff Winther 75.9 31
131 Jin Choi 75.9 103
132 Laurie Canter 76.0 85
133 Phachara Khongwatmai 76.0 49
134 Gavin Green 76.1 123
135 Chase Koepka 76.1 151
136 Ryan Evans 76.1 123
137 Scott Fernandez 76.2 123
138 SSP Chawrasia 76.2 85
139 Sebastian Heisele 76.2 DNP
140 Daniel Im 76.3 142
141 Soomin Lee 76.4 135
142 Nicolas Geyger 76.4 97
143 Alvaro Quiros 76.6 53
144 Christofer Blomstrand 76.7 135
145 Steven Brown 76.8 37
146 Pep Angles 76.8 DNP
147 Romain Langasque 76.9 85
148 Pedro Oriol 76.9 27
149 Josh Geary 76.9 61
150 James Heath 77.0 DNP
151 Clement Sordet 77.1 139
152 Carlos Pigem 77.1 142
153 Oliver Farr 77.2 123
154 Zander Lombard 77.4 97
155 Rak hyun Cho 77.5 139
156 Jason Norris 77.5 66
157 Trevor Immelman 77.5 114
158 Ross McGowan 77.5 DNP
159 Bradley Neil 77.7 142
160 Jose Maria Olazabal 81.1 155
161 Robin Sciot-Siegrist 81.4 153
Henric Sturehed late entry 15
Seung-su Han late entry 68
Peter Hanson late entry 99
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 258. The average is 211. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 24, 2018)

June 25, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson is no. 1 for the fifth straight week, and with the highest rating for anyone this year.
# Thru June 24, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1867 1
2 Paul Casey 47 1790 2
3 Rickie Fowler 50 1583 4
4 Justin Thomas 53 1583 3
5 Justin Rose 48 1546 5
6 Brooks Koepka 43 1474 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 28 1433 8
8 Jordan Spieth 53 1410 7
9 Jason Day 44 1377 12
10 Jon Rahm 48 1371 9
11 Phil Mickelson 48 1362 10
12 Henrik Stenson 46 1361 11
13 Rory McIlroy 43 1340 13
14 Louis Oosthuizen 46 1267 15
15 Webb Simpson 51 1255 14
16 Tony Finau 56 1224 18
17 Tommy Fleetwood 59 1206 16
18 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1205 19
19 Patrick Reed 68 1190 17
20 Tiger Woods 14 1162 20
21 Francesco Molinari 49 1140 21
22 Alex Noren 51 1137 22
23 Matt Kuchar 63 1131 23
24 Brian Harman 56 1109 25
25 Marc Leishman 52 1074 24
26 Kyle Stanley 53 1025 28
27 Charles Howell 48 1012 26
28 Steve Stricker 30 975 29
29 Joaquin Niemann 9 969 30
30 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 963 32
31 Ryan Moore 49 962 27
32 Ian Poulter 50 959 33
33 Tyrrell Hatton 53 940 36
34 Xander Schauffele 49 937 31
35 Adam Scott 45 933 37
36 Branden Grace 57 928 38
37 Pat Perez 45 920 34
38 Sergio Garcia 45 912 39
39 Jason Dufner 51 911 40
40 Brendan Steele 47 909 35
41 Emiliano Grillo 58 898 43
42 Kevin Kisner 58 896 42
43 Charley Hoffman 61 890 46
44 Zach Johnson 53 889 45
45 Bubba Watson 50 882 55
46 Russell Henley 50 881 52
47 Bryson DeChambeau 56 871 49
48 Chesson Hadley 43 869 41
49 Adam Hadwin 53 864 44
50 Jimmy Walker 51 837 48
51 Daniel Berger 53 831 47
52 Charl Schwartzel 50 816 51
53 Jamie Lovemark 55 815 56
54 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56 795 57
55 Chez Reavie 55 792 50
56 Luke List 62 787 53
57 Byeong Hun An 55 780 58
58 Brandt Snedeker 48 773 54
59 Graham DeLaet 34 770 62
60 Kevin Chappell 55 770 59
61 Gary Woodland 55 752 63
62 Keegan Bradley 55 749 60
63 Cameron Smith 55 747 64
64 Martin Laird 50 740 61
65 Kevin Na 51 739 65
66 JB Holmes 55 725 71
67 Bill Haas 51 701 66
68 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 58 687 67
69 Stewart Cink 50 676 81
70 Bernd Wiesberger 49 674 68
71 Kevin Streelman 52 662 69
72 Bud Cauley 51 660 70
73 Lucas Glover 46 631 72
74 Thomas Pieters 52 625 73
75 Jordan L Smith 12 619 79
76 Peter Uihlein 52 619 78
77 Russell Knox 64 617 74
78 Chris Kirk 58 611 77
79 Scott Piercy 49 611 76
80 James Hahn 54 604 80
81 Billy Horschel 53 598 75
82 Beau Hossler 33 592 105
83 Shane Lowry 54 583 84
84 Ross Fisher 51 582 83
85 Sean O’Hair 53 582 85
86 Anirban Lahiri 52 571 101
87 Jason Kokrak 54 571 82
88 Sam Burns 12 567 87
89 Lee Westwood 44 565 89
90 Brian Gay 52 556 92
91 Jhonattan Vegas 60 553 86
92 Aaron Wise 31 550 93
93 Nick Watney 41 548 88
94 Patrick Rodgers 58 548 94
95 Rory Sabbatini 54 548 90
96 Ollie Schniederjans 51 541 91
97 Kevin Tway 55 539 110
98 Si Woo Kim 59 533 95
99 Martin Kaymer 52 532 96
100 Haotong Li 49 520 97
101 Andrew Putnam 26 518 98
102 Danny Lee 66 515 108
103 Grayson Murray 52 500 102
104 Graeme McDowell 60 497 100
105 Ryan Palmer 41 494 99
106 William McGirt 56 474 103
107 JJ Spaun 52 473 107
108 Vaughn Taylor 54 469 109
109 Andy Sullivan 53 467 111
110 Keith Mitchell 29 466 106
111 Austin Cook 28 459 104
112 Scott Brown 59 441 112
113 Paul Dunne 53 439 115
114 Miguel Angel Jimenez 15 438 114
115 David Lingmerth 59 428 135
116 Victor Dubuisson 29 427 116
117 Joost Luiten 50 425 117
118 Alexander Levy 48 424 118
119 Rafael Campos 9 421 120
120 Scott Stallings 59 420 121
121 Andrew Landry 32 420 113
122 Brandon Harkins 27 414 125
123 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 414 138
124 Michael Thompson 43 412 123
125 Hudson Swafford 51 410 126
126 Ryan Blaum 53 410 160
127 Wesley Bryan 49 409 127
128 Robert Garrigus 53 405 119
129 Tom Hoge 54 402 124
130 Seung-yul Noh 39 401 136
131 Morgan Hoffmann 45 393 143
132 Sung Kang 63 393 132
133 Soren Kjeldsen 53 392 150
134 Trey Mullinax 53 392 129
135 Aaron Baddeley 49 391 128
136 Dylan Frittelli 50 390 141
137 Brandon Hagy 32 389 146
138 Patton Kizzire 53 389 131
139 Sam Saunders 54 388 140
140 Harris English 59 388 130
141 CT Pan 58 387 133
142 Jim Herman 41 386 144
143 Hideto Tanihara 35 386 148
144 Seamus Power 52 385 152
145 Jerry Kelly 18 381 145
146 Ryan Fox 42 380 154
147 JT Poston 50 379 142
148 Ted Potter 32 375 137
149 Seung-su Han 11 374 122
150 Corey Conners 27 373 139
151 Nick Taylor 58 373 149
152 Satoshi Kodaira 22 373 134
153 Julian Suri 31 371 147
154 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 46 366 153
155 John Huh 58 366 155
156 Alexander Bjork 43 362 156
157 Jorge Campillo 53 361 157
158 Jim Furyk 37 358 151
159 Kelly Kraft 60 355 162
160 Henrik Norlander 19 351 164
161 Shubhankar Sharma 26 351 165
162 Richy Werenski 55 350 174
163 Tyrone van Aswegen 64 349 159
164 Ben Martin 56 346 161
165 Chad Campbell 56 346 163
166 Brice Garnett 36 345 158
167 Fabrizio Zanotti 46 337 170
168 Johnson Wagner 50 336 169
169 David Hearn 54 336 171
170 Andrew Johnston 44 333 172
171 Harold Varner 63 331 167
172 Chris Paisley 52 330 173
173 Abraham Ancer 36 328 166
174 Retief Goosen 41 325 168
175 Joel Dahmen 40 318 175
176 Chris Wood 53 316 178
177 Troy Merritt 62 315 177
178 Dominic Bozzelli 43 313 176
179 Benjamin Hebert 48 313 185
180 Ryan Armour 49 312 180
181 Pablo Larrazabal 50 311 183
182 Ben Crane 50 310 184
183 Jonas Blixt 49 308 181
184 Matt Jones 51 307 216
185 Tyler Duncan 29 307 199
186 Dean Burmester 44 306 187
187 Michael Kim 54 306 182
188 George Coetzee 56 305 188
189 Talor Gooch 27 304 179
190 Cameron Percy 45 300 190
191 Eddie Pepperell 46 300 186
192 Mackenzie Hughes 56 300 193
193 Daniel Summerhays 53 297 192
194 Whee Kim 58 297 194
195 Kyung-tae Kim 18 294 198
196 Richard Sterne 46 293 189
197 Nacho Elvira 54 291 209
198 Luke Donald 43 290 200
199 Jeunghun Wang 55 289 191
200 Adrian Otaegui 54 285 195
201 Jaco van Zyl 27 284 201
202 Martin Flores 52 283 196
203 Richie Ramsay 52 282 204
204 Nicolas Colsaerts 54 282 203
205 JJ Henry 56 281 210
206 Derek Fathauer 56 280 197
207 Blayne Barber 48 280 221
208 Denny McCarthy 24 280 206
209 Nate Lashley 21 279 205
210 Alex Cejka 59 279 214
211 Brian Stuard 64 276 202
212 David Lipsky 55 276 212
213 Matt Wallace 39 272 230
214 Julian Etulain 29 272 213
215 Chris Stroud 51 270 208
216 Callum Shinkwin 43 267 207
217 Scott Hend 57 266 224
218 David Horsey 50 263 211
219 Daisuke Kataoka 13 262 217
220 Jordan Smith 29 258 219
221 Geoff Ogilvy 47 255 215
222 Camilo Villegas 50 252 222
223 Robert Streb 58 251 218
224 Curtis Luck 25 249 226
225 Robert Rock 50 248 227
226 Lucas Bjerregaard 56 247 248
227 Matthew Southgate 55 247 229
228 Tim Wilkinson 37 246 228
229 Mikko Korhonen 47 244 257
230 Benjamin Silverman 25 239 220
231 Rob Oppenheim 36 238 223
232 Andres Gonzales 38 237 232
233 Matthieu Pavon 44 236 237
234 Bronson Burgoon 27 235 225
235 Robby Shelton 11 235 240
236 Erik Van Rooyen 20 232 243
237 Darren Fichardt 42 231 244
238 Zac Blair 58 230 246
239 Martin Piller 37 229 233
240 Sam Ryder 27 228 289
241 Anthony Wall 34 227 247
242 Nicholas Lindheim 48 227 238
243 Stephen Gallacher 47 227 239
244 Jacques Kruyswijk 19 226 231
245 Thongchai Jaidee 52 226 235
246 Padraig Harrington 48 226 236
247 Adam Schenk 28 225 234
248 Mikko Ilonen 43 225 249
249 Tag Ridings 27 224 253
250 Maximilian Kieffer 48 224 265
251 Ryo Ishikawa 28 224 245
252 Bradley Dredge 47 223 254
253 Tim Herron 22 223 251
254 Tom Lovelady 25 222 242
255 Joachim B Hansen 16 220 255
256 Scott Jamieson 53 220 268
257 Thomas Detry 45 219 263
258 Will MacKenzie 27 216 260
259 Marcus Kinhult 16 216 241
260 Ricky Barnes 57 214 259
261 Andrea Pavan 21 212 252
262 Alejandro Canizares 40 212 250
263 Roberto Castro 37 211 256
264 Ashun Wu 48 211 261
265 Cameron Tringale 58 210 258
266 Joakim Lagergren 50 208 264
267 Lee Slattery 52 205 266
268 Aaron Rai 30 204 300
269 Shawn Stefani 56 204 262
270 Andrew Dodt 46 204 269
271 Graeme Storm 47 203 271
272 Billy Hurley 53 200 273
273 Rikard Karlberg 31 198 275
274 Fabian Gomez 50 198 319
275 Smylie Kaufman 56 196 272
276 Greg Chalmers 57 196 277
277 Michael Putnam 10 196 278
278 Peter Hanson 35 195 267
279 Sebastian Munoz 25 194 279
280 Peter Malnati 58 193 306
281 Sam Horsfield 27 192 270
282 Jonathan Byrd 34 191 274
283 Jordan Niebrugge 8 190 295
284 Richard Bland 50 189 276
285 Jason Scrivener 52 189 282
286 John Peterson 27 188 283
287 Austin Connelly 34 187 284
288 Chad Collins 35 186 290
289 Yuta Ikeda 24 185 288
290 Greg Owen 29 185 286
291 Cody Gribble 50 185 285
292 Oliver Fisher 54 184 281
293 Paul Waring 42 184 292
294 Maverick McNealy 11 182 293
295 David Drysdale 58 181 294
296 Renato Paratore 56 179 287
297 Adam Bland 20 178 280
298 Marc Warren 54 177 291
299 KJ Choi 45 175 298
300 Matteo Manassero 51 173 296
301 Sean Crocker 13 170 302
302 Poom Saksansin 18 170 303
303 Scott Langley 14 169 301
304 Julien Guerrier 21 168 297
305 Wade Ormsby 43 167 323
306 Thomas Aiken 47 166 299
307 Spencer Levin 44 165 307
308 Boo Weekley 33 165 311
309 Lanto Griffin 23 164 340
310 Haydn Porteous 62 163 308
311 Chris Hanson 53 162 305
312 Jonathan Randolph 47 161 309
313 Carlos Ortiz 15 160 312
314 Kyle Reifers 46 160 314
315 Nino Bertasio 60 159 310
316 Xin-jun Zhang 24 159 304
317 Khalin Joshi 8 158 315
318 Parker McLachlin 8 158 322
319 Danny Willett 45 158 316
320 Juvic Pagunsan 9 157 317
321 Vijay Singh 34 156 318
322 James Morrison 56 154 325
323 Kristoffer Broberg 20 153 329
324 Stuart Appleby 37 153 324
325 Romain Wattel 48 153 326
326 Yusaku Miyazato 20 151 313
327 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 36 150 335
328 Paul Peterson 47 150 320
329 Ryan Brehm 33 149 331
330 JC Ritchie 9 147 332
331 Hunter Mahan 51 147 334
332 Davis Love 23 147 337
333 Jose-Filipe Lima 29 146 371
334 Angel Cabrera 29 145 344
335 Brian Campbell 27 144 341
336 Lee McCoy 8 144 349
337 Rick Lamb 36 144 330
338 Ethan Tracy 21 144 327
339 Jamie Donaldson 47 143 333
340 Gregory Bourdy 57 142 345
341 Florian Fritsch 32 141 328
342 Young-han Song 14 141 339
343 Gregory Havret 54 140 342
344 Brett Coletta 10 139 350
345 Rod Pampling 51 139 338
346 Tapio Pulkkanen 15 139 347
347 Trevor Fisher 25 139 351
348 Chase Koepka 21 138 336
349 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 138 354
350 Alex Prugh 11 137 346
351 David Bransdon 8 137 353
352 Lasse Jensen 53 137 348
353 Victor Perez 9 136 321
354 Rhein Gibson 17 136 352
355 Will Wilcox 21 136 358
356 Hennie Otto 16 135 359
357 Lorenzo Gagli 18 135 343
358 Bill Lunde 10 135 360
359 Matt Every 56 133 355
360 Matthias Schwab 14 132 362
361 Jake McLeod 8 131 364
362 Ashley Chesters 41 131 357
363 Justin Walters 52 131 397
364 Ricardo Gouveia 55 131 356
365 Micah Lauren Shin 8 130 365
366 Andres Romero 35 130 363
367 Freddie Jacobson 14 129 367
368 Sam Brazel 44 129 361
369 Jacques Blaauw 15 128 369
370 Jason Gore 20 126 376
371 Marcus Fraser 48 125 366
372 Shiv Kapur 23 125 375
373 Marcel Siem 50 124 368
374 Brendon de Jonge 31 123 373
375 Brandon Stone 50 121 374
376 Brett Drewitt 27 121 377
377 Steve Wheatcroft 45 121 370
378 Robert Karlsson 45 120 372
379 Mark Anderson 25 120 380
380 Prayad Marksaeng 9 119 379
381 Steve Marino 26 119 539
382 Ockie Strydom 9 119 381
383 Johan Carlsson 41 118 382
384 Scott Vincent 27 117 383
385 DA Points 50 117 378
386 Soomin Lee 8 117
387 Ben Eccles 10 116 384
388 Julien Quesne 41 115 386
389 YE Yang 24 113 389
390 Sangmoon Bae 15 112 390
391 Brett Stegmaier 53 112 405
392 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 21 112 403
393 Mark Brown 8 112 393
394 Bryce Molder 33 111 396
395 Stephen Leaney 8 111 392
396 Brett Rumford 45 110 395
397 Romain Langasque 38 110 391
398 Thomas Bjorn 35 110 398
399 Stephan Jaeger 30 109 387
400 Charlie Ford 21 109 385
More | Less

A look at the Travelers Championship

June 18, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Brooks Koepka, winner of last week’s U.S. Open, is on top of the world and in the field this week for the Travelers Championship. Best to enjoy that look from the top while it lasts: The history on winners of majors coming back the week after their big win doesn’t show much in terms of back-to-back success.

In this decade – that’s 33 events from the 2010 Masters through the 2018 Masters, inclusive – there are only four cases of a winner of the Masters, U.S. Open, British Open, or PGA coming back to play the next week, and none of them finished in the top 10. The best was Jordan Spieth (current defending Travelers champion) coming in 11th in the Heritage the week after the 2015 Masters. We also had:

  • Justin Rose 13th in the Travelers the week after the 2013 U.S. Open,
  • Webb Simpson 29th in the Travelers the week after the 2012 U.S. Open, and
  • Ernie Els missing the cut in the Canadian the week after the 2012 British.

So although the statistics point to Koepka as favorite in the Travelers, a lot Read more

Travelers Championship

June 18, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Brooks Koepka
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Brooks Koepka -9.1 19
2 Paul Casey 2.7 2
3 Justin Thomas 13.1 56
4 Patrick Reed 20.9 75
5 Webb Simpson 21.3 130
6 Jason Day 23.3 12
7 Patrick Cantlay 28.7 15
8 Rory McIlroy 30.9 12
9 Ryan Moore 33.4 87
10 Jordan Spieth 34.6 42
11 Marc Leishman 37.4 102
12 Xander Schauffele 38.8 87
13 Brendan Steele 40.4 75
14 Daniel Berger 41.0 67
15 Brian Harman 41.7 6
16 Emiliano Grillo 42.0 19
17 Chesson Hadley 42.3 102
18 Bryson DeChambeau 42.4 9
19 Kyle Stanley 42.9 15
20 Brandt Snedeker 45.2 130
21 Jamie Lovemark 47.0 19
22 Zach Johnson 47.2 19
23 Keegan Bradley 47.5 47
24 Chez Reavie 47.7 75
25 Russell Knox 48.5 38
26 Charley Hoffman 49.0 15
27 Luke List 49.6 75
28 Bubba Watson 50.1 1
29 Kevin Streelman 50.3 33
30 Rory Sabbatini 51.1 130
31 Pat Perez 51.8 87
32 Russell Henley 52.6 6
33 Adam Hadwin 53.8 42
34 JB Holmes 53.8 2
35 Martin Laird 55.4 61
36 Patrick Rodgers 57.1 26
37 Nick Watney 57.2 75
38 Jason Kokrak 58.1 125
39 Danny Lee 58.3 15
40 Bill Haas 58.7 87
41 Vaughn Taylor 59.5 47
42 Billy Horschel 59.7 87
43 Kevin Tway 60.1 6
44 Jhonattan Vegas 60.2 102
45 Graeme McDowell 60.8 87
46 Beau Hossler 61.1 2
47 Austin Cook 61.1 102
48 James Hahn 61.4 36
49 Retief Goosen 61.4 144
50 Joel Dahmen 61.7 75
51 CT Pan 61.7 102
52 Troy Merritt 62.1 125
53 William McGirt 62.5 87
54 Stewart Cink 62.5 2
55 Keith Mitchell 62.9 56
56 JT Poston 62.9 138
57 Anirban Lahiri 63.4 9
58 Robert Garrigus 63.5 111
59 Aaron Baddeley 63.7 130
60 Corey Conners 64.0 75
61 Ryan Palmer 64.0 150
62 Harris English 64.1 144
63 Ollie Schniederjans 64.1 87
64 Tom Hoge 64.2 75
65 JJ Spaun 64.3 47
66 Seamus Power 65.0 36
67 Ryan Blaum 65.1 12
68 Ryan Armour 65.1 56
69 John Huh 65.2 61
70 Tyrone van Aswegen 65.5 125
71 Trey Mullinax 65.7 67
72 Johnson Wagner 65.9 DNP
73 Sam Saunders 66.0 47
74 Ted Potter 66.2 75
75 Chris Stroud 66.2 111
76 Patton Kizzire 66.3 121
77 Scott Brown 66.5 47
78 Jim Furyk 66.7 102
79 Scott Stallings 67.0 38
80 Andrew Landry 67.2 144
81 Cameron Percy 67.4 DNP
82 Brice Garnett 67.4 111
83 Brandon Harkins 67.4 38
84 Satoshi Kodaira 67.6 154
85 Wesley Bryan 67.6 47
86 Ben Crane 67.7 DNP
87 Si Woo Kim 67.8 26
88 Greg Chalmers 67.9 DNP
89 Chad Campbell 67.9 138
90 Nick Taylor 68.1 130
91 Michael Kim 68.1 111
92 Matt Jones 68.1 19
93 Richy Werenski 68.3 26
94 Ben Martin 68.3 87
95 Abraham Ancer 68.4 75
96 David Lingmerth 68.4 19
97 Talor Gooch 68.5 142
98 Nate Lashley 68.7 DNP
99 David Hearn 68.7 DNP
100 Derek Fathauer 68.8 111
101 Daniel Summerhays 68.8 DNP
102 Nicholas Lindheim 69.2 75
103 Tyler Duncan 69.3 33
104 Sung Kang 69.3 151
105 Kelly Kraft 69.4 47
106 Denny McCarthy 69.5 47
107 Harold Varner 70.0 75
108 Dominic Bozzelli 70.2 72
109 Brian Stuard 70.2 111
110 Jonas Blixt 70.3 144
111 Benjamin Silverman 70.3 111
112 JJ Henry 70.5 42
113 Martin Flores 70.6 72
114 Alex Cejka 70.7 33
115 Bronson Burgoon 71.1 87
116 Shawn Stefani 71.2 121
117 Padraig Harrington 71.3 74
118 Martin Piller 71.3 153
119 Rob Oppenheim 71.5 102
120 Zac Blair 71.5 DNP
121 Ricky Barnes 71.6 DNP
122 Tom Lovelady 71.7 61
123 Mackenzie Hughes 72.0 42
124 Peter Malnati 72.0 26
125 Adam Schenk 72.0 121
126 Geoff Ogilvy 72.1 87
127 Blayne Barber 72.2 26
128 Robert Streb 72.5 87
129 Hunter Mahan 72.6 56
130 Cameron Tringale 72.6 69
131 Jonathan Byrd 73.2 102
132 Sam Ryder 73.3 26
133 Ethan Tracy 73.6 69
134 Fabian Gomez 73.7 19
135 Xin-jun Zhang 74.1 130
136 Smylie Kaufman 74.3 156
137 Rod Pampling 74.4 87
138 Billy Hurley 74.5 47
139 Jonathan Randolph 74.5 151
140 Matt Every 74.6 144
141 Lanto Griffin 74.6 38
142 Steve Wheatcroft 75.1 61
143 Roberto Diaz 75.3 111
144 Conrad Shindler 75.5 111
145 Brett Stegmaier 75.8 42
146 DA Points 76.0 111
147 Matt Atkins 76.8 87
148 Ze-cheng Dou 77.3 130
149 Jon Curran 77.3 102
150 Andrew Yun 77.3 142
151 Kyle Thompson 78.1 69
152 Rick Lamb 78.4 138
153 Dylan Meyer 78.6 130
154 Ken Duke 79.9 56
155 Bob Estes 83.4 87
156 Steve Marino 83.5 26
157 Doug Ghim 84.4 144
158 Nick Hardy 84.6 61
159 Chase Seiffert 85.1 9
160 Andrew Svoboda 85.3 121
161 Shane Bertsch 85.4 125
162 James Driscoll 85.4 61
163 Kris Blanks 85.5 125
164 Will Claxton 85.6 138
165 Adam D’Amario 85.6 155
166 David Berganio 85.6 DNP
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 215. The average is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

BMW International Open

June 18, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,

Tommy Fleetwood
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Tommy Fleetwood 21.8 59
2 Sergio Garcia 49.4 12
3 Andy Sullivan 60.4 9
4 Thomas Pieters 61.8 18
5 Martin Kaymer 63.7 2
6 Jorge Campillo 64.4 33
7 Thorbjorn Olesen 64.4 2
8 Alexander Bjork 65.0 33
9 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 65.1 76
10 Seung-su Han 66.5 101
11 Julian Suri 66.6 51
12 Chris Paisley 66.9 26
13 Adrian Otaegui 67.0 56
14 David Horsey 67.7 40
15 Nacho Elvira 68.1 9
16 Jeunghun Wang 68.2 88
17 Callum Shinkwin 68.4 133
18 Eddie Pepperell 68.6 WD
19 Soren Kjeldsen 68.7 7
20 Richard Sterne 68.9 51
21 Chris Wood 69.1 33
22 Thongchai Jaidee 69.4 76
23 Thomas Detry 69.6 18
24 Lucas Bjerregaard 69.7 5
25 Matt Wallace 69.7 1
26 Jacques Kruyswijk 69.8 141
27 Mikko Korhonen 69.9 2
28 David Lipsky 70.2 18
29 Alejandro Canizares 70.3 88
30 Lee Slattery 70.3 45
31 Matteo Manassero 70.9 124
32 Bradley Dredge 71.1 26
33 Stephen Gallacher 71.4 76
34 Oliver Fisher 71.5 76
35 Scott Hend 71.6 7
36 Sam Horsfield 71.7 59
37 Marcus Kinhult 71.9 59
38 Peter Hanson 72.0 69
39 Andrea Pavan 72.0 56
40 Maximilian Kieffer 72.0 12
41 Yusaku Miyazato 72.0 124
42 Haydn Porteous 72.1 51
43 Julien Guerrier 72.2 115
44 Aaron Rai 72.5 5
45 Scott Jamieson 72.5 12
46 Richard Bland 72.5 76
47 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 72.7 33
48 Adam Bland 72.7 76
49 Paul Peterson 72.8 124
50 Nino Bertasio 73.2 115
51 Lorenzo Gagli 73.2 63
52 Jamie Donaldson 73.2 WD
53 Wade Ormsby 73.3 16
54 Austin Connelly 73.4 40
55 David Drysdale 73.4 40
56 Marc Warren 73.5 115
57 Thomas Aiken 73.6 88
58 Gregory Havret 73.7 101
59 Renato Paratore 73.8 133
60 Marcus Fraser 73.8 88
61 Marcel Siem 73.9 133
62 Ashley Chesters 73.9 63
63 Thomas Bjorn 73.9 DNP
64 Lasse Jensen 73.9 45
65 Chris Hanson 73.9 137
66 Andres Romero 74.1 45
67 Robert Karlsson 74.2 124
68 Jens Dantorp 74.3 76
69 Victor Perez 74.4 66
70 Soomin Lee 74.5 124
71 Brandon Stone 74.6 141
72 Julien Quesne 74.7 40
73 Sam Brazel 74.7 143
74 Chase Koepka 74.8 63
75 Ricardo Gouveia 74.9 124
76 Charlie Ford 75.0 66
77 Matthias Schwab 75.0 40
78 Justin Walters 75.0 9
79 Sebastien Gros 75.1 26
80 Raphael Jacquelin 75.1 66
81 Gregory Bourdy 75.2 33
82 Matthew Baldwin 75.2 88
83 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 75.2 33
84 Bernd Ritthammer 75.2 143
85 Adrien Saddier 75.3 74
86 Ernie Els 75.3 101
87 Alexander Knappe 75.3 133
88 Jeff Winther 75.4 88
89 Gavin Green 75.4 73
90 Mark Foster 75.5 12
91 Brett Rumford 75.5 DNP
92 Scott Fernandez 75.6 101
93 Nick Cullen 75.6 45
94 Felipe Aguilar 75.6 51
95 Jin Choi 75.6 76
96 Phachara Khongwatmai 75.6 76
97 Connor Syme 75.6 45
98 Laurie Canter 75.6 88
99 Henric Sturehed 75.6 51
100 Tom Lewis 75.7 26
101 Joel Stalter 75.7 56
102 Edoardo Molinari 75.8 16
103 Sebastian Heisele 75.8 101
104 Daniel Im 75.8 137
105 Daniel Brooks 75.9 WD
106 SSP Chawrasia 75.9 101
107 Lucas Herbert 76.0 101
108 David Howell 76.0 26
109 Pontus Widegren 76.1 88
110 Alvaro Quiros 76.2 115
111 Richard McEvoy 76.2 26
112 Matthew Nixon 76.3 18
113 Steven Brown 76.4 88
114 Matthew Millar 76.4 DNP
115 Pedro Oriol 76.5 101
116 Pep Angles 76.6 101
117 Clement Sordet 76.7 147
118 Josh Geary 76.8 115
119 Carlos Pigem 76.8 88
120 Oliver Farr 77.0 124
121 Zander Lombard 77.1 88
122 Christofer Blomstrand 77.1 26
123 Rak hyun Cho 77.1 143
124 Jason Norris 77.1 115
125 James Heath 77.1 45
126 Simon Khan 77.2 DNP
127 Nicolas Geyger 77.3 18
128 Ross McGowan 77.4 124
129 Marcel Schneider 77.7 76
130 Jonathan Thomson 77.8 115
131 Jack Munro 77.9 DNP
132 Oscar Serna 78.0 115
133 Florian Fritsch 78.1 101
134 Bradley Neil 78.2 33
135 Christopher Mivis 78.3 18
136 Anders Hansen 78.4 76
137 Jose-Filipe Lima 78.5 18
138 Louis de Jager 80.1 137
139 Eirik Tage Johansen 81.6 69
140 Johan Edfors 82.5 137
141 Scott Henry 83.4 DNP
142 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 83.6 18
143 Paul McBride 84.8 101
144 Jose Maria Olazabal 84.8 151
145 Christian Braeunig 84.9 115
146 Eunshin Park 85.3 DNP
147 Max Schmitt 85.3 88
148 Mark Tullo 85.4 72
149 Kalle Samooja 85.5 DNP
150 Ruaidhri McGee 85.5 DNP
151 Adri Arnaus 85.5 DNP
152 Yan-wei Liu 85.5 101
153 Sean Einhaus 85.5 147
154 Birgir Hafthorsson 85.6 71
155 Hurly Long 85.6 124
156 Michael Hirmer 85.6 151
157 Jonas Kolbing 85.6 59
158 Max Kramer 85.6 149
159 Stephan Jager 85.6 DNP
160 Joel Sjoholm 85.9 101
Rafa Echenique late entry 75
Stephan Jaeger late entry 94
Hinrich Arkenau late entry 110
Julian Kunzenbacher late entry 146
Jordan Zunic late entry 150
Finn Fleer late entry 151
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 118. The average is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 17, 2018)

June 18, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson is no. 1 for the fourth straight week with the highest rating by anyone this year.
# Thru June 17, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1863 1
2 Paul Casey 46 1731 2
3 Justin Thomas 53 1631 3
4 Rickie Fowler 51 1573 4
5 Justin Rose 48 1541 5
6 Brooks Koepka 42 1470 12
7 Jordan Spieth 52 1441 6
8 Patrick Cantlay 27 1414 7
9 Jon Rahm 49 1368 8
10 Phil Mickelson 48 1363 10
11 Henrik Stenson 47 1361 13
12 Jason Day 43 1354 9
13 Rory McIlroy 42 1313 11
14 Webb Simpson 51 1295 15
15 Louis Oosthuizen 46 1263 16
16 Tommy Fleetwood 59 1237 21
17 Patrick Reed 68 1221 18
18 Tony Finau 57 1221 20
19 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1205 17
20 Tiger Woods 14 1162 14
21 Francesco Molinari 50 1139 22
22 Alex Noren 51 1137 23
23 Matt Kuchar 63 1127 19
24 Marc Leishman 52 1105 24
25 Brian Harman 56 1057 25
26 Charles Howell 49 1013 28
27 Ryan Moore 48 1003 27
28 Kyle Stanley 53 994 26
29 Steve Stricker 30 973 37
30 Joaquin Niemann 9 969 31
31 Xander Schauffele 48 966 43
32 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 963 32
33 Ian Poulter 50 957 35
34 Pat Perez 44 954 34
35 Brendan Steele 47 945 29
36 Tyrrell Hatton 54 941 45
37 Adam Scott 45 938 30
38 Branden Grace 57 926 40
39 Sergio Garcia 45 924 33
40 Jason Dufner 51 909 42
41 Chesson Hadley 43 901 36
42 Kevin Kisner 58 893 39
43 Emiliano Grillo 57 887 38
44 Adam Hadwin 53 880 41
45 Zach Johnson 52 867 52
46 Charley Hoffman 61 860 49
47 Daniel Berger 52 857 60
48 Jimmy Walker 51 838 44
49 Bryson DeChambeau 56 821 54
50 Chez Reavie 55 819 46
51 Charl Schwartzel 50 818 47
52 Russell Henley 50 816 55
53 Luke List 62 810 48
54 Brandt Snedeker 47 801 51
55 Bubba Watson 49 795 50
56 Jamie Lovemark 55 792 58
57 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56 791 66
58 Byeong Hun An 56 779 53
59 Kevin Chappell 56 770 56
60 Keegan Bradley 55 768 57
61 Martin Laird 50 768 59
62 Graham DeLaet 34 764 63
63 Gary Woodland 56 757 62
64 Cameron Smith 56 743 61
65 Kevin Na 51 741 64
66 Bill Haas 51 728 65
67 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 59 684 72
68 Bernd Wiesberger 50 673 67
69 Kevin Streelman 52 661 68
70 Bud Cauley 51 660 69
71 JB Holmes 54 645 71
72 Lucas Glover 47 630 70
73 Thomas Pieters 51 630 74
74 Russell Knox 63 625 87
75 Billy Horschel 52 620 76
76 Scott Piercy 49 617 73
77 Chris Kirk 59 616 77
78 Peter Uihlein 52 616 75
79 Jordan L Smith 12 615 78
80 James Hahn 54 606 79
81 Stewart Cink 49 593 82
82 Jason Kokrak 54 591 81
83 Ross Fisher 52 582 83
84 Shane Lowry 54 582 80
85 Sean O’Hair 54 581 84
86 Jhonattan Vegas 60 571 89
87 Sam Burns 12 566 88
88 Nick Watney 40 566 90
89 Lee Westwood 44 563 91
90 Rory Sabbatini 54 563 92
91 Ollie Schniederjans 50 558 86
92 Brian Gay 52 556 98
93 Aaron Wise 31 550 85
94 Patrick Rodgers 58 535 95
95 Si Woo Kim 59 520 94
96 Martin Kaymer 51 519 93
97 Haotong Li 50 518 111
98 Andrew Putnam 26 517 99
99 Ryan Palmer 41 517 97
100 Graeme McDowell 59 511 96
101 Anirban Lahiri 52 510 100
102 Grayson Murray 52 501 101
103 William McGirt 55 490 102
104 Austin Cook 27 484 104
105 Beau Hossler 32 483 103
106 Keith Mitchell 28 482 105
107 JJ Spaun 51 478 106
108 Danny Lee 65 478 108
109 Vaughn Taylor 54 476 107
110 Kevin Tway 54 474 109
111 Andy Sullivan 53 459 110
112 Scott Brown 58 444 113
113 Andrew Landry 31 442 112
114 Miguel Angel Jimenez 16 438 115
115 Paul Dunne 54 438 116
116 Victor Dubuisson 29 429 117
117 Joost Luiten 51 426 119
118 Alexander Levy 48 424 114
119 Robert Garrigus 53 421 120
120 Rafael Campos 9 421 122
121 Scott Stallings 59 418 118
122 Seung-su Han 10 416 123
123 Michael Thompson 44 414 128
124 Tom Hoge 54 414 129
125 Brandon Harkins 26 413 125
126 Hudson Swafford 52 412 126
127 Wesley Bryan 49 412 130
128 Aaron Baddeley 49 404 155
129 Trey Mullinax 52 403 124
130 Harris English 58 401 133
131 Patton Kizzire 53 401 134
132 Sung Kang 63 401 135
133 CT Pan 57 400 136
134 Satoshi Kodaira 21 398 121
135 David Lingmerth 58 397 137
136 Seung-yul Noh 40 396 142
137 Ted Potter 31 395 127
138 Thorbjorn Olesen 54 394 131
139 Corey Conners 26 392 141
140 Sam Saunders 54 392 139
141 Dylan Frittelli 50 391 132
142 JT Poston 49 390 144
143 Morgan Hoffmann 46 389 146
144 Jim Herman 42 388 143
145 Jerry Kelly 18 387 138
146 Brandon Hagy 32 387 147
147 Julian Suri 30 386 145
148 Hideto Tanihara 35 385 148
149 Nick Taylor 58 382 150
150 Soren Kjeldsen 52 380 149
151 Jim Furyk 37 380 140
152 Seamus Power 51 380 151
153 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 46 380 152
154 Ryan Fox 42 379 154
155 John Huh 58 377 153
156 Alexander Bjork 42 369 156
157 Jorge Campillo 53 368 157
158 Brice Garnett 35 360 161
159 Tyrone van Aswegen 64 359 164
160 Ryan Blaum 52 358 159
161 Ben Martin 56 358 160
162 Kelly Kraft 59 357 163
163 Chad Campbell 55 356 165
164 Henrik Norlander 19 355 162
165 Shubhankar Sharma 26 352 158
166 Abraham Ancer 35 342 169
167 Harold Varner 63 340 166
168 Retief Goosen 40 338 173
169 Johnson Wagner 50 338 168
170 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 338 172
171 David Hearn 55 337 171
172 Andrew Johnston 45 334 167
173 Chris Paisley 52 333 174
174 Richy Werenski 54 331 170
175 Joel Dahmen 39 329 175
176 Dominic Bozzelli 42 326 176
177 Troy Merritt 62 325 177
178 Chris Wood 52 320 179
179 Talor Gooch 26 318 178
180 Ryan Armour 48 318 181
181 Jonas Blixt 48 317 182
182 Michael Kim 54 317 180
183 Pablo Larrazabal 51 311 184
184 Ben Crane 51 311 185
185 Benjamin Hebert 49 311 186
186 Eddie Pepperell 46 309 189
187 Dean Burmester 44 307 183
188 George Coetzee 57 305 190
189 Richard Sterne 45 304 187
190 Cameron Percy 45 301 193
191 Jeunghun Wang 55 301 191
192 Daniel Summerhays 54 300 192
193 Mackenzie Hughes 55 297 188
194 Whee Kim 59 296 195
195 Adrian Otaegui 54 293 197
196 Martin Flores 51 292 199
197 Derek Fathauer 56 291 196
198 Kyung-tae Kim 18 291 202
199 Tyler Duncan 28 291 194
200 Luke Donald 43 289 201
201 Jaco van Zyl 28 285 203
202 Brian Stuard 64 283 198
203 Nicolas Colsaerts 55 282 204
204 Richie Ramsay 53 281 200
205 Nate Lashley 21 281 205
206 Denny McCarthy 23 280 207
207 Callum Shinkwin 43 278 206
208 Chris Stroud 51 278 209
209 Nacho Elvira 54 277 208
210 JJ Henry 55 276 211
211 David Horsey 50 270 212
212 David Lipsky 55 270 213
213 Julian Etulain 29 269 216
214 Alex Cejka 59 268 214
215 Geoff Ogilvy 46 266 215
216 Matt Jones 51 265 210
217 Daisuke Kataoka 13 261 217
218 Robert Streb 58 260 218
219 Jordan Smith 29 258 219
220 Benjamin Silverman 24 253 223
221 Blayne Barber 48 253 220
222 Camilo Villegas 51 251 225
223 Rob Oppenheim 36 249 226
224 Scott Hend 57 249 224
225 Bronson Burgoon 27 248 229
226 Curtis Luck 25 248 227
227 Robert Rock 50 247 228
228 Tim Wilkinson 38 247 231
229 Matthew Southgate 56 247 221
230 Matt Wallace 38 245 222
231 Jacques Kruyswijk 18 242 232
232 Andres Gonzales 39 241 230
233 Martin Piller 37 238 234
234 Adam Schenk 27 238 237
235 Thongchai Jaidee 52 236 235
236 Padraig Harrington 47 236 236
237 Matthieu Pavon 44 236 280
238 Nicholas Lindheim 47 235 239
239 Stephen Gallacher 46 234 240
240 Robby Shelton 11 233 243
241 Marcus Kinhult 16 233 242
242 Tom Lovelady 24 232 241
243 Erik Van Rooyen 20 232 245
244 Darren Fichardt 43 231 246
245 Ryo Ishikawa 28 228 244
246 Zac Blair 59 228 250
247 Anthony Wall 35 228 248
248 Lucas Bjerregaard 56 227 251
249 Mikko Ilonen 44 226 247
250 Alejandro Canizares 40 225 249
251 Tim Herron 22 224 254
252 Andrea Pavan 20 224 252
253 Tag Ridings 27 224 253
254 Bradley Dredge 47 220 255
255 Joachim B Hansen 17 218 258
256 Roberto Castro 38 218 238
257 Mikko Korhonen 47 217 257
258 Cameron Tringale 58 216 256
259 Ricky Barnes 57 215 259
260 Will MacKenzie 28 214 263
261 Ashun Wu 49 212 261
262 Shawn Stefani 56 212 260
263 Thomas Detry 44 211 262
264 Joakim Lagergren 51 209 264
265 Maximilian Kieffer 48 209 265
266 Lee Slattery 52 207 267
267 Peter Hanson 35 207 266
268 Scott Jamieson 53 205 269
269 Andrew Dodt 47 203 271
270 Sam Horsfield 26 202 276
271 Graeme Storm 48 202 272
272 Smylie Kaufman 56 202 273
273 Billy Hurley 53 201 270
274 Jonathan Byrd 33 200 277
275 Rikard Karlberg 32 200 274
276 Richard Bland 50 199 275
277 Greg Chalmers 57 196 278
278 Michael Putnam 10 194 233
279 Sebastian Munoz 25 192 268
280 Adam Bland 19 190 283
281 Oliver Fisher 54 190 282
282 Jason Scrivener 53 189 279
283 John Peterson 27 189 284
284 Austin Connelly 33 188 288
285 Cody Gribble 50 187 285
286 Greg Owen 30 187 286
287 Renato Paratore 56 186 289
288 Yuta Ikeda 24 186 287
289 Sam Ryder 26 185 290
290 Chad Collins 36 185 291
291 Marc Warren 54 183 293
292 Paul Waring 42 183 281
293 Maverick McNealy 11 183 292
294 David Drysdale 58 182 295
295 Jordan Niebrugge 9 181 300
296 Matteo Manassero 51 181 294
297 Julien Guerrier 20 180 296
298 KJ Choi 46 176 297
299 Thomas Aiken 46 174 298
300 Aaron Rai 29 172 302
301 Scott Langley 15 172 299
302 Sean Crocker 13 170 301
303 Poom Saksansin 18 169 305
304 Xin-jun Zhang 23 168 303
305 Chris Hanson 53 168 304
306 Peter Malnati 58 167 306
307 Spencer Levin 45 166 308
308 Haydn Porteous 62 166 309
309 Jonathan Randolph 46 165 314
310 Nino Bertasio 60 164 311
311 Boo Weekley 33 163 315
312 Carlos Ortiz 16 162 310
313 Yusaku Miyazato 19 162 313
314 Kyle Reifers 47 162 312
315 Khalin Joshi 8 158 316
316 Danny Willett 46 158 307
317 Juvic Pagunsan 9 158 319
318 Vijay Singh 35 157 318
319 Fabian Gomez 50 156 317
320 Paul Peterson 46 156 321
321 Victor Perez 8 156 322
322 Parker McLachlin 8 155 324
323 Wade Ormsby 42 154 325
324 Stuart Appleby 38 154 326
325 James Morrison 57 153 320
326 Romain Wattel 49 153 327
327 Ethan Tracy 20 152 329
328 Florian Fritsch 32 151 328
329 Kristoffer Broberg 21 150 333
330 Rick Lamb 35 150 332
331 Ryan Brehm 33 149 331
332 JC Ritchie 9 148 335
333 Jamie Donaldson 46 148 337
334 Hunter Mahan 50 147 338
335 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 35 147 334
336 Chase Koepka 20 146 339
337 Davis Love 24 146 340
338 Rod Pampling 51 146 336
339 Young-han Song 14 145 330
340 Lanto Griffin 22 145 323
341 Brian Campbell 27 145 341
342 Gregory Havret 54 144 342
343 Lorenzo Gagli 17 144 343
344 Angel Cabrera 29 143 346
345 Gregory Bourdy 56 141 344
346 Alex Prugh 11 140 345
347 Tapio Pulkkanen 15 139 348
348 Lasse Jensen 53 139 349
349 Lee McCoy 9 138 360
350 Brett Coletta 10 138 353
351 Trevor Fisher 26 138 351
352 Rhein Gibson 17 137 347
353 David Bransdon 8 137
354 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 137 352
355 Matt Every 55 137 354
356 Ricardo Gouveia 55 136 350
357 Ashley Chesters 40 135 359
358 Will Wilcox 21 135 357
359 Hennie Otto 16 135 355
360 Bill Lunde 10 134 358
361 Sam Brazel 43 134 356
362 Matthias Schwab 13 132 361
363 Andres Romero 34 132 362
364 Jake McLeod 8 131 365
365 Micah Lauren Shin 8 131 363
366 Marcus Fraser 48 130 364
367 Freddie Jacobson 14 129 367
368 Marcel Siem 50 128 369
369 Jacques Blaauw 15 128 368
370 Steve Wheatcroft 45 127 366
371 Jose-Filipe Lima 28 126 372
372 Robert Karlsson 45 126 371
373 Brendon de Jonge 32 126 370
374 Brandon Stone 50 126 373
375 Shiv Kapur 23 124 374
376 Jason Gore 21 122 381
377 Brett Drewitt 27 121 375
378 DA Points 49 121 377
379 Prayad Marksaeng 9 121 376
380 Mark Anderson 25 119 379
381 Ockie Strydom 9 119 380
382 Johan Carlsson 42 119 378
383 Scott Vincent 27 118 382
384 Ben Eccles 10 116 385
385 Charlie Ford 20 116 384
386 Julien Quesne 41 115 383
387 Stephan Jaeger 29 115 386
388 Jin Choi 19 115 388
389 YE Yang 25 114 389
390 Sangmoon Bae 15 114 390
391 Romain Langasque 38 112 387
392 Stephen Leaney 8 111 392
393 Mark Brown 8 111 395
394 Roberto Diaz 27 111 393
395 Brett Rumford 46 110 396
396 Bryce Molder 33 110 397
397 Justin Walters 52 110 394
398 Thomas Bjorn 36 110 398
399 Bernd Ritthammer 33 109 399
400 Sebastian Soderberg 15 108 401
More | Less

A look at the U.S. Open

June 11, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Interested in creating a list of contenders that is long enough to give confidence of including the U.S. Open champion? That list might need to be a little longer than you expect. Since 2000, only half of the 18 U.S. Open winners have even been in the top 10 of the Hawley Ratings. Only three have been no. 1 before winning (Tiger Woods in each case). Believe it or not, we’ve had five winners this century who weren’t even in the top 40 of the ratings before winning – that’s no. 78 Retief Goosen in 2001, no. 183 (!) Michael Campbell in 2005, no. 64 Angel Cabrera in 2007, no. 48 Lucas Glover in 2009, and no. 80 Graeme McDowell in 2010. More recently Martin Kaymer was no. 40 on the nose when he won in 2014.

The average and median rating numbers of the winner Read more

U.S. Open

June 11, 2018 Thomas Hawley , ,
Dustin jOHNSON
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -5.6 3
2 Brooks Koepka 0.1 1
3 Justin Thomas 13.9 25
4 Justin Rose 14.6 10
5 Jason Day 14.7 98
6 Paul Casey 16.1 16
7 Rickie Fowler 16.4 20
8 Phil Mickelson 21.0 48
9 Patrick Cantlay 22.0 45
10 Rory McIlroy 22.9 83
11 Webb Simpson 24.9 10
12 Henrik Stenson 28.8 6
13 Patrick Reed 28.8 4
14 Jordan Spieth 29.4 68
15 Louis Oosthuizen 32.3 16
16 Jon Rahm 33.3 122
17 Steve Stricker 33.6 20
18 Matt Kuchar 33.9 98
19 Tommy Fleetwood 34.4 2
20 Alex Noren 35.3 25
21 Emiliano Grillo 36.7 68
22 Francesco Molinari 37.0 25
23 Tony Finau 37.1 5
24 Tiger Woods 37.3 83
25 Branden Grace 38.1 25
26 Chesson Hadley 38.4 90
27 Bryson DeChambeau 39.0 25
28 Hideki Matsuyama 39.4 16
29 Rafa Cabrera Bello 40.3 36
30 Brian Harman 41.0 36
31 Kyle Stanley 41.0 112
32 Charles Howell 41.5 25
33 Adam Scott 41.5 106
34 Ian Poulter 41.7 25
35 Jimmy Walker 43.1 56
36 Charl Schwartzel 44.9 98
37 Marc Leishman 45.4 45
38 Brendan Steele 45.5 63
39 Byeong Hun An 46.5 67
40 Luke List 46.5 98
41 Chez Reavie 46.8 68
42 Brandt Snedeker 48.4 48
43 Jason Dufner 49.2 25
44 Keegan Bradley 49.3 122
45 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49.7 12
46 Pat Perez 50.0 36
47 Xander Schauffele 50.0 6
48 Zach Johnson 50.1 12
49 Sergio Garcia 50.1 112
50 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 50.4 15
51 Adam Hadwin 51.8 136
52 Bubba Watson 52.1 90
53 Tyrrell Hatton 54.0 6
54 Kevin Chappell 54.4 65
55 Graeme McDowell 54.4 68
56 Shane Lowry 54.9 112
57 Daniel Berger 55.5 6
58 Kevin Kisner 55.7 98
59 Russell Knox 55.7 12
60 Gary Woodland 56.0 36
61 Russell Henley 56.1 25
62 Cameron Smith 56.5 90
63 Peter Uihlein 56.6 48
64 Charley Hoffman 56.7 20
65 Brian Gay 58.2 20
66 Scott Piercy 58.9 45
67 Bill Haas 59.1 36
68 Martin Kaymer 59.3 136
69 Lucas Glover 60.1 68
70 Jhonattan Vegas 61.0 41
71 Patrick Rodgers 61.9 41
72 Aaron Wise 62.2 90
73 Ross Fisher 62.6 48
74 Ollie Schniederjans 62.6 98
75 Dylan Frittelli 63.2 136
76 Alexander Levy 63.3 131
77 Jim Furyk 64.2 48
78 Haotong Li 64.4 16
79 Ted Potter 64.5 112
80 Andrew Johnston 64.8 62
81 Ryan Fox 64.9 41
82 Thorbjorn Olesen 64.9 68
83 Trey Mullinax 65.3 106
84 Sam Burns 65.9 41
85 Shubhankar Sharma 66.4 83
86 Harold Varner 66.7 112
87 Scott Stallings 67.0 112
88 Satoshi Kodaira 67.1 136
89 Si Woo Kim 67.2 68
90 Matt Wallace 67.3 68
91 Dean Burmester 67.9 56
92 Richie Ramsay 68.2 106
93 Richy Werenski 68.3 127
94 Michael Putnam 68.6 112
95 Matt Jones 68.7 83
96 Aaron Baddeley 69.3 25
97 Roberto Castro 69.7 68
98 Tyler Duncan 69.7 56
99 Brian Stuard 70.7 83
100 Matthew Southgate 70.7 68
101 Jason Scrivener 71.1 68
102 Paul Waring 71.5 112
103 Mackenzie Hughes 71.8 90
104 Matthieu Pavon 72.9 25
105 Danny Willett 73.2 98
106 Sebastian Munoz 73.5 90
107 Tim Wilkinson 73.6 48
108 James Morrison 74.2 136
109 Lanto Griffin 74.6 68
110 Ernie Els 75.0 131
111 Lucas Herbert 75.5 131
112 Ryan Evans 75.5 127
113 Tom Lewis 75.9 90
114 Braden Thornberry 78.3 68
115 Eric Axley 80.5 68
116 WC Liang 81.1 122
117 Stewart Hagestad 82.0 122
118 Doug Ghim 83.2 106
119 David Bransdon 84.2 106
120 Rikuya Hoshino 84.3 136
121 Sung-jae Im 84.5 68
122 Cameron Wilson 84.7 64
123 Shota Akiyoshi 84.8 148
124 Chris Naegel 84.8 56
125 Kenny Perry 85.4 136
126 Scott Gregory 85.5 156
127 Garrett Rank 85.6 136
128 Mickey Demorat 85.6 56
129 Dylan Meyer 85.6 20
130 Kristoffer Reitan 85.6 136
131 Christopher Babcock 85.6 112
132 Noah Goodwin 85.6 148
133 Rhett Rasmussen 85.6 112
134 Franklin Huang 85.6 136
135 Shintaro Ban 85.6 148
136 Ty Strafaci 85.6 83
137 Sulman Raza 85.6 148
138 Luis Gagne 85.6 48
139 Timothy Wiseman 85.6 136
140 Ryan Lumsden 85.6 136
141 Matt Parziale 85.6 48
142 Michael Hebert 85.6 153
143 Sebastian Vazquez 85.6 83
144 Will Grimmer 85.6 66
145 An Yu Chun 85.6 131
146 Theo Humphrey 85.6 127
147 Calum Hill 85.6 61
148 Cole Miller 85.6 98
149 David Gazzolo 85.6 131
150 Harry Ellis 85.6 148
151 Jacob Bergeron 85.6 127
152 Michael Block 85.6 155
153 Michael Miller 85.6 122
154 Philip Barbaree 85.6 154
155 Will Zalatoris 85.6 90
156 Sung-joon Park 86.1 106
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The accuracy number for these picks is 373. The average is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 10, 2018)

June 11, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson is no. 1 with the highest rating for anyone this year.
# Thru June 10, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1781 1
2 Paul Casey 46 1712 2
3 Justin Thomas 53 1637 3
4 Rickie Fowler 51 1558 4
5 Justin Rose 48 1487 6
6 Jordan Spieth 52 1486 5
7 Patrick Cantlay 26 1469 7
8 Jon Rahm 49 1415 9
9 Jason Day 43 1415 8
10 Phil Mickelson 48 1402 10
11 Rory McIlroy 42 1368 12
12 Brooks Koepka 42 1344 11
13 Henrik Stenson 47 1282 13
14 Tiger Woods 13 1270 14
15 Webb Simpson 51 1234 15
16 Louis Oosthuizen 46 1226 16
17 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1168 18
18 Patrick Reed 68 1155 19
19 Matt Kuchar 63 1154 20
20 Tony Finau 57 1146 17
21 Tommy Fleetwood 58 1143 21
22 Francesco Molinari 49 1132 22
23 Alex Noren 51 1127 23
24 Marc Leishman 52 1126 24
25 Brian Harman 55 1066 26
26 Kyle Stanley 52 1025 27
27 Ryan Moore 49 1005 28
28 Charles Howell 48 1000 29
29 Brendan Steele 47 981 31
30 Adam Scott 45 978 30
31 Joaquin Niemann 9 970 25
32 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 969 32
33 Sergio Garcia 45 962 33
34 Pat Perez 43 959 34
35 Ian Poulter 49 939 35
36 Chesson Hadley 42 930 36
37 Steve Stricker 29 926 39
38 Emiliano Grillo 57 919 37
39 Kevin Kisner 58 917 38
40 Branden Grace 57 912 40
41 Adam Hadwin 52 911 41
42 Jason Dufner 51 891 42
43 Xander Schauffele 47 876 44
44 Jimmy Walker 51 864 45
45 Tyrrell Hatton 53 857 46
46 Chez Reavie 54 847 52
47 Charl Schwartzel 50 846 43
48 Luke List 61 833 47
49 Charley Hoffman 61 828 50
50 Bubba Watson 49 826 49
51 Brandt Snedeker 47 818 60
52 Zach Johnson 52 809 53
53 Byeong Hun An 56 802 48
54 Bryson DeChambeau 56 802 54
55 Russell Henley 49 795 56
56 Kevin Chappell 56 794 51
57 Keegan Bradley 55 792 57
58 Jamie Lovemark 55 789 58
59 Martin Laird 50 771 59
60 Daniel Berger 52 770 55
61 Cameron Smith 56 765 62
62 Gary Woodland 55 763 61
63 Graham DeLaet 34 759 63
64 Kevin Na 52 743 64
65 Bill Haas 51 728 65
66 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56 725 66
67 Bernd Wiesberger 51 674 67
68 Kevin Streelman 53 662 68
69 Bud Cauley 51 659 70
70 Lucas Glover 47 651 72
71 JB Holmes 55 645 80
72 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 59 634 71
73 Scott Piercy 49 630 69
74 Thomas Pieters 51 629 75
75 Peter Uihlein 51 626 74
76 Billy Horschel 53 619 73
77 Chris Kirk 60 619 83
78 Jordan L Smith 12 611 77
79 James Hahn 55 608 76
80 Shane Lowry 54 600 78
81 Jason Kokrak 55 595 79
82 Stewart Cink 49 592 95
83 Ross Fisher 51 591 81
84 Sean O’Hair 54 583 82
85 Aaron Wise 31 578 85
86 Ollie Schniederjans 49 575 86
87 Russell Knox 63 575 84
88 Sam Burns 12 574 88
89 Jhonattan Vegas 59 572 87
90 Nick Watney 40 566 89
91 Lee Westwood 45 564 90
92 Rory Sabbatini 54 560 91
93 Martin Kaymer 51 542 92
94 Si Woo Kim 58 539 93
95 Patrick Rodgers 58 537 96
96 Graeme McDowell 59 526 97
97 Ryan Palmer 41 520 94
98 Brian Gay 51 517 102
99 Andrew Putnam 26 515 128
100 Anirban Lahiri 53 509 99
101 Grayson Murray 52 501 98
102 William McGirt 56 491 100
103 Beau Hossler 32 483 101
104 Austin Cook 27 482 137
105 Keith Mitchell 28 481 104
106 JJ Spaun 51 478 106
107 Vaughn Taylor 54 477 110
108 Danny Lee 66 474 103
109 Kevin Tway 55 471 105
110 Andy Sullivan 54 461 108
111 Haotong Li 49 458 109
112 Andrew Landry 32 444 112
113 Scott Brown 58 442 111
114 Alexander Levy 47 441 113
115 Miguel Angel Jimenez 16 440 107
116 Paul Dunne 54 435 115
117 Victor Dubuisson 29 433 114
118 Scott Stallings 58 431 118
119 Joost Luiten 51 428 116
120 Robert Garrigus 53 424 135
121 Satoshi Kodaira 20 423 119
122 Rafael Campos 9 419 120
123 Seung-su Han 10 418 122
124 Trey Mullinax 51 416 160
125 Brandon Harkins 27 415 121
126 Hudson Swafford 52 415 123
127 Ted Potter 30 414 125
128 Michael Thompson 44 414 126
129 Tom Hoge 55 412 117
130 Wesley Bryan 49 409 158
131 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 407 131
132 Dylan Frittelli 49 404 133
133 Harris English 59 402 124
134 Patton Kizzire 54 402 134
135 Sung Kang 64 400 130
136 CT Pan 57 399 147
137 David Lingmerth 59 398 129
138 Jerry Kelly 18 394 138
139 Sam Saunders 54 394 132
140 Jim Furyk 37 393 136
141 Corey Conners 26 392 127
142 Seung-yul Noh 40 392 141
143 Jim Herman 43 389 142
144 JT Poston 49 388 162
145 Julian Suri 30 387 143
146 Morgan Hoffmann 46 386 145
147 Brandon Hagy 32 385 144
148 Hideto Tanihara 36 383 146
149 Soren Kjeldsen 53 383 139
150 Nick Taylor 58 381 150
151 Seamus Power 51 379 169
152 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 46 378 148
153 John Huh 58 378 140
154 Ryan Fox 41 374 149
155 Aaron Baddeley 48 371 151
156 Alexander Bjork 42 370 155
157 Jorge Campillo 53 369 154
158 Shubhankar Sharma 25 368 156
159 Ryan Blaum 52 360 173
160 Ben Martin 56 359 153
161 Brice Garnett 35 359 152
162 Henrik Norlander 19 359 161
163 Kelly Kraft 59 358 159
164 Tyrone van Aswegen 64 358 157
165 Chad Campbell 55 356 163
166 Harold Varner 62 348 166
167 Andrew Johnston 45 348 168
168 Johnson Wagner 50 342 165
169 Abraham Ancer 35 341 164
170 Richy Werenski 53 340 199
171 David Hearn 55 338 167
172 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 338 171
173 Retief Goosen 41 337 214
174 Chris Paisley 52 333 174
175 Joel Dahmen 39 329 170
176 Dominic Bozzelli 42 326 175
177 Troy Merritt 62 324 197
178 Talor Gooch 26 319 172
179 Chris Wood 53 319 177
180 Michael Kim 54 318 193
181 Ryan Armour 48 317 178
182 Jonas Blixt 48 315 182
183 Dean Burmester 43 314 181
184 Pablo Larrazabal 51 312 183
185 Ben Crane 51 311 176
186 Benjamin Hebert 49 310 184
187 Richard Sterne 45 306 185
188 Mackenzie Hughes 54 305 180
189 Eddie Pepperell 46 305 189
190 George Coetzee 57 303 187
191 Jeunghun Wang 55 302 186
192 Daniel Summerhays 55 302 179
193 Cameron Percy 45 300 203
194 Tyler Duncan 27 297 195
195 Whee Kim 59 296 192
196 Derek Fathauer 57 294 188
197 Adrian Otaegui 54 292 194
198 Brian Stuard 63 292 190
199 Martin Flores 51 292 191
200 Richie Ramsay 52 290 196
201 Luke Donald 44 289 198
202 Kyung-tae Kim 19 287 201
203 Jaco van Zyl 29 284 200
204 Nicolas Colsaerts 55 283 202
205 Nate Lashley 21 280 210
206 Callum Shinkwin 43 279 206
207 Denny McCarthy 24 278 258
208 Nacho Elvira 54 276 207
209 Chris Stroud 51 276 208
210 Matt Jones 50 275 205
211 JJ Henry 56 273 204
212 David Horsey 50 273 209
213 David Lipsky 55 271 212
214 Alex Cejka 59 270 211
215 Geoff Ogilvy 47 268 213
216 Julian Etulain 29 267 218
217 Daisuke Kataoka 13 260 221
218 Robert Streb 59 260 216
219 Jordan Smith 29 257 222
220 Blayne Barber 48 256 217
221 Matthew Southgate 55 255 223
222 Matt Wallace 37 254 224
223 Benjamin Silverman 24 253 215
224 Scott Hend 57 249 226
225 Camilo Villegas 51 249 228
226 Rob Oppenheim 37 248 220
227 Curtis Luck 25 248 229
228 Robert Rock 50 246 231
229 Bronson Burgoon 27 246 219
230 Andres Gonzales 40 244 230
231 Tim Wilkinson 38 244 234
232 Jacques Kruyswijk 18 241 237
233 Michael Putnam 9 239 239
234 Martin Piller 37 238 227
235 Thongchai Jaidee 52 238 238
236 Padraig Harrington 47 238 232
237 Adam Schenk 27 237 225
238 Roberto Castro 37 236 236
239 Nicholas Lindheim 47 235 235
240 Stephen Gallacher 46 233 241
241 Tom Lovelady 24 233 233
242 Marcus Kinhult 16 232 242
243 Robby Shelton 11 232 245
244 Ryo Ishikawa 28 231 240
245 Erik Van Rooyen 20 231 244
246 Darren Fichardt 43 231 243
247 Mikko Ilonen 44 228 246
248 Anthony Wall 35 228 250
249 Alejandro Canizares 40 227 248
250 Zac Blair 59 226 253
251 Lucas Bjerregaard 56 225 251
252 Andrea Pavan 20 224 247
253 Tag Ridings 27 223 254
254 Tim Herron 22 223 266
255 Bradley Dredge 47 222 249
256 Cameron Tringale 58 216 255
257 Mikko Korhonen 47 216 261
258 Joachim B Hansen 17 216 262
259 Ricky Barnes 57 215 256
260 Shawn Stefani 56 215 252
261 Ashun Wu 49 213 257
262 Thomas Detry 44 212 260
263 Will MacKenzie 28 212 264
264 Joakim Lagergren 51 210 263
265 Maximilian Kieffer 49 208 267
266 Peter Hanson 36 207 273
267 Lee Slattery 53 207 269
268 Sebastian Munoz 24 206 271
269 Scott Jamieson 53 205 270
270 Billy Hurley 54 205 259
271 Andrew Dodt 47 201 278
272 Graeme Storm 48 201 277
273 Smylie Kaufman 57 201 268
274 Rikard Karlberg 32 201 274
275 Richard Bland 50 201 272
276 Sam Horsfield 27 201 276
277 Jonathan Byrd 33 200 265
278 Greg Chalmers 57 197 275
279 Jason Scrivener 52 195 281
280 Matthieu Pavon 43 195 279
281 Paul Waring 41 190 282
282 Oliver Fisher 54 190 283
283 Adam Bland 19 190 286
284 John Peterson 27 189 285
285 Cody Gribble 50 189 298
286 Greg Owen 30 189 284
287 Yuta Ikeda 25 187 287
288 Austin Connelly 33 187 289
289 Renato Paratore 56 186 288
290 Sam Ryder 26 184 280
291 Chad Collins 36 184 292
292 Maverick McNealy 11 183 291
293 Marc Warren 54 182 293
294 Matteo Manassero 52 182 290
295 David Drysdale 58 182 294
296 Julien Guerrier 20 179 296
297 KJ Choi 46 177 297
298 Thomas Aiken 47 175 299
299 Scott Langley 15 174 300
300 Jordan Niebrugge 9 172 316
301 Sean Crocker 13 171 302
302 Aaron Rai 29 171 304
303 Xin-jun Zhang 23 170 295
304 Chris Hanson 53 168 301
305 Poom Saksansin 18 168 309
306 Peter Malnati 58 167 330
307 Danny Willett 46 167 307
308 Spencer Levin 46 167 308
309 Haydn Porteous 62 165 311
310 Carlos Ortiz 17 164 314
311 Nino Bertasio 60 164 305
312 Kyle Reifers 47 164 312
313 Yusaku Miyazato 20 164 313
314 Jonathan Randolph 46 164 306
315 Boo Weekley 33 162 317
316 Khalin Joshi 8 159 320
317 Fabian Gomez 50 159 321
318 Vijay Singh 35 158 319
319 Juvic Pagunsan 9 158 322
320 James Morrison 56 158 323
321 Paul Peterson 46 157 324
322 Victor Perez 8 156 327
323 Lanto Griffin 21 155 310
324 Parker McLachlin 8 155
325 Wade Ormsby 42 154 325
326 Stuart Appleby 38 153 468
327 Romain Wattel 50 153 331
328 Florian Fritsch 32 153 315
329 Ethan Tracy 21 152 318
330 Young-han Song 14 150 329
331 Ryan Brehm 33 149 334
332 Rick Lamb 35 149 326
333 Kristoffer Broberg 21 148 342
334 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 35 148 337
335 JC Ritchie 9 147 336
336 Rod Pampling 51 147 335
337 Jamie Donaldson 47 147 341
338 Hunter Mahan 50 146 333
339 Chase Koepka 20 145 328
340 Davis Love 24 145 343
341 Brian Campbell 27 145 344
342 Gregory Havret 54 144 346
343 Lorenzo Gagli 17 144 345
344 Gregory Bourdy 57 144 332
345 Alex Prugh 11 143 338
346 Angel Cabrera 30 142 347
347 Rhein Gibson 17 139 348
348 Tapio Pulkkanen 15 139 339
349 Lasse Jensen 53 138 351
350 Ricardo Gouveia 55 138 349
351 Trevor Fisher 26 137 340
352 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 136 354
353 Brett Coletta 10 136 356
354 Matt Every 55 135 350
355 Hennie Otto 16 135 357
356 Sam Brazel 43 135 355
357 Will Wilcox 21 134 359
358 Bill Lunde 10 134 358
359 Ashley Chesters 40 134 366
360 Lee McCoy 9 133 368
361 Matthias Schwab 13 132 373
362 Andres Romero 34 131 363
363 Micah Lauren Shin 8 131 361
364 Marcus Fraser 48 131 365
365 Jake McLeod 8 131 364
366 Steve Wheatcroft 45 129 353
367 Freddie Jacobson 14 129 360
368 Jacques Blaauw 15 128 367
369 Marcel Siem 50 127 370
370 Brendon de Jonge 32 126 352
371 Robert Karlsson 45 126 369
372 Jose-Filipe Lima 28 126 362
373 Brandon Stone 50 126 372
374 Shiv Kapur 23 122 377
375 Brett Drewitt 27 122 375
376 Prayad Marksaeng 9 121 374
377 DA Points 49 121 371
378 Johan Carlsson 42 119 390
379 Mark Anderson 25 119 382
380 Ockie Strydom 9 119 379
381 Jason Gore 21 118 392
382 Scott Vincent 27 117 384
383 Julien Quesne 41 117 381
384 Charlie Ford 20 116 378
385 Ben Eccles 10 116 387
386 Stephan Jaeger 29 115 376
387 Romain Langasque 38 115 386
388 Jin Choi 19 114 383
389 YE Yang 25 114 389
390 Sangmoon Bae 15 114 388
391 Lucas Herbert 15 113 393
392 Stephen Leaney 8 112 396
393 Roberto Diaz 27 111 385
394 Justin Walters 52 111 409
395 Mark Brown 8 110 400
396 Brett Rumford 46 110 399
397 Bryce Molder 33 110 404
398 Thomas Bjorn 36 109 403
399 Bernd Ritthammer 33 109 394
400 Dicky Pride 23 108 380
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A look at the FedEx St. Jude Classic

June 5, 2018 Thomas Hawley

With the U.S. Open little more than a week away, we move into a phase of the season where the list of favorites is growing more formidable and longer each week. This week we have defending Open champion Brooks Koepka; this year’s most remarkable rookie, Joaquin Niemann; and 2016 Open champion and no. 1 player in the world Dustin Johnson as the top three faves in the FedEx St. Jude Classic.

Koepka missed over three months earlier this year with a wrist injury. He’s been drastically improved with each appearance since his return – 139th in the Zurich, 42nd in the Wells Fargo, 11th in TPC, and then second at the Colonial two weeks ago. “Feel like I’m playing really well,” Koepka told sportingnews.com after his finish at Fort Worth. “You know, for some reason over the past two years I feel like we probably had more Read more