FedEx St. Jude Classic

June 4, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Brooks Koepka
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Brooks Koepka 4.6 30
2 Joaquin Niemann 7.9 88
3 Dustin Johnson 11.2 1
4 Phil Mickelson 20.5 12
5 Henrik Stenson 24.0 26
6 Tony Finau 31.3 73
7 Charles Howell 35.9 26
8 Charl Schwartzel 37.8 72
9 Daniel Berger 38.7 73
10 Luke List 41.0 56
11 Steve Stricker 41.2 18
12 Adam Scott 47.0 DNP
13 Billy Horschel 47.8 51
14 Jamie Lovemark 47.8 DNP
15 Chez Reavie 49.1 6
16 Byeong Hun An 50.7 73
17 Kevin Chappell 52.7 148
18 Keegan Bradley 52.8 DNP
19 Russell Knox 52.8 DNP
20 Chris Kirk 53.0 6
21 Scott Piercy 55.6 155
22 Brandt Snedeker 57.5 6
23 Shane Lowry 57.9 30
24 Peter Uihlein 58.2 43
25 Lucas Glover 59.0 DNP
26 Ben Crane 59.3 137
27 Kevin Tway 59.3 100
28 Bud Cauley 60.0 DNP
29 Danny Lee 60.0 73
30 James Hahn 60.1 45
31 Ollie Schniederjans 60.7 DNP
32 Beau Hossler 61.3 DNP
33 Joel Dahmen 61.5 100
34 Austin Cook 62.3 6
35 Ryan Palmer 62.4 51
36 Keith Mitchell 62.6 37
37 Vaughn Taylor 63.0 18
38 Harris English 63.1 134
39 Johnson Wagner 63.3 88
40 Grayson Murray 63.5 70
41 JB Holmes 63.6 3
42 Corey Conners 63.7 68
43 Brian Gay 63.8 12
44 JJ Spaun 63.9 DNP
45 CT Pan 64.1 18
46 Stewart Cink 64.3 4
47 Brice Garnett 64.3 56
48 Scott Brown 64.4 134
49 Tom Hoge 64.5 100
50 David Hearn 64.5 73
51 Patrick Rodgers 64.7 DNP
52 William McGirt 64.8 30
53 Patton Kizzire 65.2 DNP
54 Troy Merritt 65.5 12
55 Scott Stallings 65.8 30
56 Sam Saunders 65.8 88
57 Michael Thompson 66.0 DNP
58 Seamus Power 66.0 12
59 Andrew Putnam 66.1 2
60 Tyrone van Aswegen 66.1 88
61 John Huh 66.1 100
62 Harold Varner 66.2 51
63 Matt Jones 66.4 51
64 Chad Campbell 66.5 45
65 JT Poston 66.7 18
66 Retief Goosen 66.8 6
67 Robert Garrigus 66.8 18
68 Brandon Harkins 67.5 37
69 Ben Martin 67.7 125
70 Abraham Ancer 67.9 73
71 Talor Gooch 68.2 119
72 Greg Chalmers 68.3 154
73 Bronson Burgoon 68.4 88
74 Ryan Blaum 68.5 18
75 Trey Mullinax 68.6 6
76 Derek Fathauer 68.8 56
77 Nicholas Lindheim 69.0 56
78 Daniel Summerhays 69.1 150
79 Aaron Baddeley 69.1 37
80 Sung Kang 69.3 125
81 Brian Stuard 69.5 73
82 Martin Flores 69.6 88
83 Richy Werenski 69.8 4
84 David Lingmerth 69.8 73
85 Kelly Kraft 69.8 66
86 Nick Taylor 69.8 30
87 Cameron Percy 70.0 26
88 Dominic Bozzelli 70.0 51
89 Adam Schenk 70.0 88
90 Nate Lashley 70.3 37
91 Shawn Stefani 70.3 73
92 Wesley Bryan 70.6 12
93 Tyler Duncan 70.7 37
94 Benjamin Silverman 70.7 67
95 Denny McCarthy 71.0 18
96 Mackenzie Hughes 71.1 73
97 Rob Oppenheim 71.2 148
98 JJ Henry 71.2 88
99 Martin Piller 71.2 100
100 Michael Kim 71.2 18
101 Fabian Gomez 71.5 45
102 Robert Streb 71.6 73
103 Jonathan Byrd 71.7 73
104 Padraig Harrington 71.7 56
105 Tim Herron 71.9 37
106 Cameron Tringale 71.9 100
107 Zac Blair 72.0 45
108 Cody Gribble 72.0 30
109 Will MacKenzie 72.0 DNP
110 Tom Lovelady 72.1 137
111 Blayne Barber 72.1 88
112 Sam Ryder 72.4 88
113 Hunter Mahan 72.8 100
114 Ricky Barnes 72.9 100
115 KJ Choi 73.3 DNP
116 John Peterson 73.4 45
117 Ethan Tracy 73.4 134
118 Matt Every 73.5 88
119 Xin-jun Zhang 73.7 125
120 Peter Malnati 73.7 30
121 Steve Wheatcroft 74.1 100
122 Billy Hurley 74.1 100
123 Lanto Griffin 74.2 119
124 Smylie Kaufman 74.3 152
125 Jonathan Randolph 74.6 70
126 Brett Stegmaier 75.0 73
127 Stephan Jaeger 75.1 125
128 Roberto Diaz 75.3 137
129 Conrad Shindler 75.5 65
130 DA Points 76.0 119
131 Brendon de Jonge 76.2 73
132 Matt Atkins 76.6 137
133 Braden Thornberry 77.2 26
134 Jon Curran 77.3 100
135 Andrew Yun 77.4 144
136 Ze-cheng Dou 77.7 56
137 Rick Lamb 78.1 100
138 Kyle Thompson 78.2 100
139 Angel Cabrera 78.5 DNP
140 Eric Axley 78.8 146
141 George McNeill 79.3 100
142 Dicky Pride 79.4 88
143 John Merrick 80.5 100
144 Troy Matteson 81.2 144
145 Ken Duke 81.4 45
146 Stuart Appleby 81.5 12
147 Tommy Gainey 82.2 100
148 Bob Estes 82.7 100
149 Steve Marino 83.2 DNP
150 John Daly 83.4 WD
151 Scottie Scheffler 83.6 43
152 Daniel Chopra 84.2 73
153 Brian Davis 84.8 125
154 DJ Trahan 85.0 100
155 Omar Uresti 85.5 125
156 Dawson Armstrong 85.6 150
157 David Berganio 85.6 125
158 Will Claxton 85.6 137
159 Grant Hirschman 85.6 63
160 Johan Kok 85.6 153
161 Charlie Beljan 85.6 119
162 Casey Wittenberg 85.7 69
Parker McLachlin late entry 62
AJ McInerney late entry 64
Robert Allenby late entry 114
TJ Vogel late entry 120
John Rollins late entry 123
Cameron Beckman late entry 128
Kiradech Aphibarnrat late entry 133
Mark Wilson late entry 140
Zachary Olsen late entry 147
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 148. The average is 211. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Shot Clock Masters

June 4, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,

Mikko Korhonen
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Mikko Korhonen 59.3 1
2 Miguel Angel Jimenez 60.1 12
3 David Horsey 61.3 7
4 Richard McEvoy 63.7 86
5 Ashun Wu 65.2 47
6 Lee Slattery 66.2 19
7 Gary Stal 66.5 95
8 Gregory Bourdy 67.2 80
9 Dean Burmester 67.8 DNP
10 Erik Van Rooyen 68.7 DNP
11 Florian Fritsch 69.0 90
12 Soren Kjeldsen 69.1 23
13 Nino Bertasio 69.8 WD
14 Paul Waring 70.2 DNP
15 Johan Carlsson 70.3 12
16 Nicolas Colsaerts 70.5 3
17 Bradley Dredge 70.6 38
18 Mikael Lundberg 70.9 71
19 Andrea Pavan 71.4 23
20 Joachim B Hansen 71.5 12
21 Daisuke Kataoka 72.2 DNP
22 Matthew Baldwin 72.5 90
23 Lorenzo Gagli 73.1 23
24 Adam Bland 73.3 12
25 Peter Hanson 73.3 7
26 Austin Connelly 73.5 19
27 Ryan Evans 73.5 47
28 Wade Ormsby 73.6 30
29 Carlos Pigem 73.6 95
30 Trevor Fisher 73.8 80
31 Jbe Kruger 74.4 DNP
32 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 74.4 61
33 Chase Koepka 74.5 95
34 Ashley Chesters 74.5 7
35 Shiv Kapur 74.5 DNP
36 Daniel Im 74.6 65
37 Marcus Fraser 74.7 19
38 Laurie Canter 74.7 69
39 Tapio Pulkkanen 74.8 38
40 Matthew Nixon 74.9 61
41 Jin Choi 74.9 35
42 Pedro Oriol 75.0 71
43 Sebastien Gros 75.0 DNP
44 Charlie Ford 75.1 38
45 Felipe Aguilar 75.2 60
46 Bernd Ritthammer 75.3 50
47 Zander Lombard 75.4 80
48 Justin Walters 75.5 3
49 Henric Sturehed 75.5 50
50 Tom Lewis 75.6 30
51 Marcus Armitage 75.6 102
52 Mark Foster 75.6 30
53 Matthias Schwab 75.6 12
54 Jeff Winther 75.7 30
55 Sebastian Heisele 75.7 61
56 Phachara Khongwatmai 75.7 30
57 Daniel Brooks 75.8 95
58 Duncan Stewart 75.8 57
59 Pontus Widegren 75.9 86
60 Matthew Millar 76.0 65
61 Nick Cullen 76.1 12
62 Pep Angles 76.1 WD
63 David Howell 76.2 DNP
64 Raphael Jacquelin 76.2 3
65 Scott Fernandez 76.2 7
66 Connor Syme 76.2 2
67 Miguel Tabuena 76.3 DNP
68 Jose-Filipe Lima 76.4 43
69 Josh Geary 76.4 71
70 Simon Khan 76.5 43
71 Christofer Blomstrand 76.8 80
72 Rak hyun Cho 76.9 86
73 Jason Norris 77.0 65
74 Nicolas Geyger 77.1 95
75 Grant Forrest 77.2 23
76 Oliver Farr 77.3 7
77 Nicholas Fung 77.4 DNP
78 Ross McGowan 77.4 38
79 Ajeetesh Sandhu 77.5 71
80 Jonathan Thomson 77.6 65
81 Marcel Schneider 77.6 90
82 Jack Munro 77.7 58
83 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 78.0 50
84 Bradley Neil 78.1 71
85 Oscar Serna 78.1 110
86 Christopher Mivis 78.2 102
87 Gavin Moynihan 78.7 90
88 Lukas Nemecz 79.1 50
89 Anders Hansen 79.3 43
90 Steve Webster 81.0 3
91 Daan Huizing 81.2 50
92 Ben Evans 81.3 71
93 Richard Green 81.7 71
94 Dimitrios Papadatos 82.0 12
95 Johan Edfors 82.4 110
96 Siddikur Rahman 82.9 DNP
97 Oscar Lengden 83.9 23
98 Liam Johnston 84.1 102
99 Estanislao Goya 84.1 90
100 Francesco Laporta 84.2 102
101 Matt Ford 84.5 95
102 Arnond Vongvanij 84.6 DNP
103 Sepp Straka 84.8 43
104 Eirik Tage Johansen 84.8 47
105 Oscar Stark 85.3 38
106 Jeppe Huldahl 85.4 19
107 Kim Koivu 85.4 106
108 Ben Stow 85.4 23
109 Kalle Samooja 85.4 35
110 Berni Reiter 85.6 108
111 Petr Gal 85.6 112
112 Petr Dedek 85.6 115
113 Tom McKibbin 85.6 86
114 Maximilian Steinlechner 85.6 71
115 Kristoffer Reitan 85.6 80
116 Markus Brier 85.6 59
117 Bernard Neumayer 85.6 108
118 Minkyu Kim 85.6 80
119 Jarand Ekeland Arnoy 85.6 56
120 Ruaidhri McGee 85.6 35
121 Mark Tullo 85.6 23
122 Maarten Lafeber 85.8 DNP
Steve Surry late entry 55
Victor Riu late entry 64
Clemens Prader late entry 70
Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez late entry 76
Leonhard Astl late entry 100
Chris Hanson late entry 106
Paul Shields late entry 113
Johannes Steiner late entry 114
Rene Gruber late entry 116
Jeev Milkha Singh late entry 117
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 341. The average is 211. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (June 3, 2018)

June 4, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson solidifies his hold on no. 1.
# Thru June 3, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1754 1
2 Paul Casey 46 1707 2
3 Justin Thomas 53 1632 3
4 Rickie Fowler 51 1550 5
5 Jordan Spieth 52 1483 4
6 Justin Rose 48 1481 7
7 Patrick Cantlay 26 1469 11
8 Jason Day 43 1420 6
9 Jon Rahm 49 1411 8
10 Phil Mickelson 48 1397 10
11 Brooks Koepka 42 1378 9
12 Rory McIlroy 42 1369 12
13 Henrik Stenson 46 1303 13
14 Tiger Woods 13 1270 14
15 Webb Simpson 51 1231 15
16 Louis Oosthuizen 46 1223 16
17 Tony Finau 56 1178 20
18 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1169 22
19 Patrick Reed 68 1155 17
20 Matt Kuchar 63 1150 23
21 Tommy Fleetwood 58 1138 19
22 Francesco Molinari 50 1129 24
23 Alex Noren 51 1127 21
24 Marc Leishman 52 1120 18
25 Joaquin Niemann 8 1113
26 Brian Harman 55 1064 25
27 Kyle Stanley 53 1019 37
28 Ryan Moore 49 1010 31
29 Charles Howell 48 1009 26
30 Adam Scott 45 982 27
31 Brendan Steele 47 981 29
32 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 968 32
33 Sergio Garcia 45 963 30
34 Pat Perez 43 959 28
35 Ian Poulter 49 938 39
36 Chesson Hadley 43 927 34
37 Emiliano Grillo 57 924 41
38 Kevin Kisner 58 914 35
39 Steve Stricker 29 913 40
40 Branden Grace 57 911 36
41 Adam Hadwin 52 910 33
42 Jason Dufner 51 891 38
43 Charl Schwartzel 49 879 42
44 Xander Schauffele 47 875 43
45 Jimmy Walker 51 864 45
46 Tyrrell Hatton 53 860 44
47 Luke List 61 855 46
48 Byeong Hun An 55 825 63
49 Bubba Watson 49 824 49
50 Charley Hoffman 61 824 48
51 Kevin Chappell 55 819 47
52 Chez Reavie 53 810 51
53 Zach Johnson 52 809 50
54 Bryson DeChambeau 56 800 65
55 Daniel Berger 52 797 52
56 Russell Henley 50 794 54
57 Keegan Bradley 55 793 56
58 Jamie Lovemark 55 786 53
59 Martin Laird 51 772 61
60 Brandt Snedeker 46 770 58
61 Gary Woodland 56 767 59
62 Cameron Smith 57 760 55
63 Graham DeLaet 34 755 60
64 Kevin Na 52 747 57
65 Bill Haas 51 730 62
66 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56 723 64
67 Bernd Wiesberger 52 673 68
68 Kevin Streelman 53 663 67
69 Scott Piercy 48 659 70
70 Bud Cauley 52 659 66
71 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 58 652 79
72 Lucas Glover 47 650 69
73 Billy Horschel 52 638 71
74 Peter Uihlein 50 633 88
75 Thomas Pieters 51 629 76
76 James Hahn 54 621 72
77 Jordan L Smith 13 606 80
78 Shane Lowry 53 601 75
79 Jason Kokrak 55 597 74
80 JB Holmes 54 591 91
81 Ross Fisher 51 590 77
82 Sean O’Hair 54 582 81
83 Chris Kirk 59 582 82
84 Russell Knox 63 581 84
85 Aaron Wise 31 577 78
86 Ollie Schniederjans 49 575 83
87 Jhonattan Vegas 59 573 86
88 Sam Burns 12 570 73
89 Nick Watney 40 563 85
90 Lee Westwood 45 563 94
91 Rory Sabbatini 54 555 87
92 Martin Kaymer 51 544 95
93 Si Woo Kim 59 542 93
94 Ryan Palmer 41 539 90
95 Stewart Cink 49 538 89
96 Patrick Rodgers 58 537 107
97 Graeme McDowell 60 527 101
98 Grayson Murray 51 518 92
99 Anirban Lahiri 53 507 98
100 William McGirt 55 489 96
101 Beau Hossler 32 486 103
102 Brian Gay 51 485 104
103 Danny Lee 65 485 99
104 Keith Mitchell 27 483 97
105 Kevin Tway 54 482 100
106 JJ Spaun 51 476 102
107 Miguel Angel Jimenez 15 470 152
108 Andy Sullivan 54 462 120
109 Haotong Li 49 458 111
110 Vaughn Taylor 54 455 105
111 Scott Brown 58 453 108
112 Andrew Landry 33 443 106
113 Alexander Levy 47 441 109
114 Victor Dubuisson 29 436 113
115 Paul Dunne 55 434 117
116 Joost Luiten 52 430 115
117 Tom Hoge 55 425 155
118 Scott Stallings 58 424 114
119 Satoshi Kodaira 20 424 110
120 Rafael Campos 9 419 122
121 Brandon Harkins 26 419 112
122 Seung-su Han 10 416 123
123 Hudson Swafford 53 416 126
124 Harris English 59 415 125
125 Ted Potter 30 414 118
126 Michael Thompson 45 414 127
127 Corey Conners 25 413 128
128 Andrew Putnam 25 411 129
129 David Lingmerth 58 410 136
130 Sung Kang 64 409 124
131 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 407 165
132 Sam Saunders 54 406 130
133 Dylan Frittelli 50 404 134
134 Patton Kizzire 54 404 121
135 Robert Garrigus 53 403 132
136 Jim Furyk 37 400 116
137 Austin Cook 26 400 119
138 Jerry Kelly 19 399 131
139 Soren Kjeldsen 52 394 133
140 John Huh 57 391 137
141 Seung-yul Noh 41 390 139
142 Jim Herman 43 389 138
143 Julian Suri 30 388 159
144 Brandon Hagy 32 383 146
145 Morgan Hoffmann 47 383 147
146 Hideto Tanihara 36 381 135
147 CT Pan 56 377 140
148 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 47 377 163
149 Ryan Fox 42 373 173
150 Nick Taylor 57 372 145
151 Aaron Baddeley 48 372 150
152 Brice Garnett 35 371 142
153 Ben Martin 56 371 153
154 Jorge Campillo 53 371 144
155 Alexander Bjork 42 370 143
156 Shubhankar Sharma 25 369 141
157 Tyrone van Aswegen 64 368 148
158 Wesley Bryan 49 368 151
159 Kelly Kraft 59 366 162
160 Trey Mullinax 50 363 149
161 Henrik Norlander 20 362 157
162 JT Poston 48 361 158
163 Chad Campbell 55 359 161
164 Abraham Ancer 35 357 154
165 Johnson Wagner 50 356 160
166 Harold Varner 62 355 156
167 David Hearn 55 351 166
168 Andrew Johnston 45 349 164
169 Seamus Power 50 342 169
170 Joel Dahmen 38 340 170
171 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 339 167
172 Talor Gooch 25 337 172
173 Ryan Blaum 51 335 171
174 Chris Paisley 53 335 168
175 Dominic Bozzelli 41 332 175
176 Ben Crane 51 323 176
177 Chris Wood 54 319 180
178 Ryan Armour 48 317 199
179 Daniel Summerhays 54 317 174
180 Mackenzie Hughes 53 314 178
181 Dean Burmester 44 314 186
182 Jonas Blixt 48 312 179
183 Pablo Larrazabal 51 311 183
184 Benjamin Hebert 49 309 191
185 Richard Sterne 46 308 177
186 Jeunghun Wang 55 303 181
187 George Coetzee 57 303 182
188 Derek Fathauer 57 302 187
189 Eddie Pepperell 46 302 185
190 Brian Stuard 63 301 184
191 Martin Flores 50 300 188
192 Whee Kim 60 297 207
193 Michael Kim 54 292 192
194 Adrian Otaegui 55 292 195
195 Tyler Duncan 26 291 194
196 Richie Ramsay 53 290 189
197 Troy Merritt 62 289 196
198 Luke Donald 44 288 197
199 Richy Werenski 52 284 193
200 Jaco van Zyl 29 283 200
201 Kyung-tae Kim 19 283 204
202 Nicolas Colsaerts 54 283 190
203 Cameron Percy 45 281 203
204 JJ Henry 56 280 206
205 Matt Jones 50 280 201
206 Callum Shinkwin 44 279 246
207 Nacho Elvira 54 277 205
208 Chris Stroud 51 274 209
209 David Horsey 50 274 198
210 Nate Lashley 20 273 210
211 Alex Cejka 59 273 212
212 David Lipsky 56 272 202
213 Geoff Ogilvy 47 269 211
214 Retief Goosen 41 269 214
215 Benjamin Silverman 23 268 215
216 Robert Streb 58 268 208
217 Blayne Barber 48 267 213
218 Julian Etulain 29 265 217
219 Bronson Burgoon 27 262 220
220 Rob Oppenheim 37 261 221
221 Daisuke Kataoka 13 259 218
222 Jordan Smith 29 256 278
223 Matthew Southgate 56 256 216
224 Matt Wallace 38 254 222
225 Adam Schenk 26 250 226
226 Scott Hend 57 250 253
227 Martin Piller 37 249 219
228 Camilo Villegas 52 248 223
229 Curtis Luck 25 247 229
230 Andres Gonzales 41 246 228
231 Robert Rock 50 246 231
232 Padraig Harrington 47 246 232
233 Tom Lovelady 23 244 233
234 Tim Wilkinson 39 243 237
235 Nicholas Lindheim 46 241 235
236 Roberto Castro 37 241 227
237 Jacques Kruyswijk 18 241 297
238 Thongchai Jaidee 52 240 225
239 Michael Putnam 9 236 240
240 Ryo Ishikawa 28 234 239
241 Stephen Gallacher 46 233 236
242 Marcus Kinhult 17 232 224
243 Darren Fichardt 43 232 238
244 Erik Van Rooyen 20 231 242
245 Robby Shelton 12 231 244
246 Mikko Ilonen 44 230 234
247 Andrea Pavan 19 230 230
248 Alejandro Canizares 40 229 241
249 Bradley Dredge 46 228 263
250 Anthony Wall 36 227 248
251 Lucas Bjerregaard 57 225 243
252 Shawn Stefani 56 224 247
253 Zac Blair 59 224 252
254 Tag Ridings 27 223 250
255 Cameron Tringale 58 223 251
256 Ricky Barnes 56 223 249
257 Ashun Wu 49 220 245
258 Denny McCarthy 23 217 257
259 Billy Hurley 54 215 256
260 Thomas Detry 44 213 264
261 Mikko Korhonen 46 211 254
262 Joachim B Hansen 17 211 268
263 Joakim Lagergren 51 210 255
264 Will MacKenzie 29 210 265
265 Jonathan Byrd 32 209 266
266 Tim Herron 22 209 270
267 Maximilian Kieffer 49 207 260
268 Smylie Kaufman 56 207 267
269 Lee Slattery 53 207 332
270 Scott Jamieson 54 206 261
271 Sebastian Munoz 24 205 272
272 Richard Bland 51 204 259
273 Peter Hanson 35 204 258
274 Rikard Karlberg 32 203 271
275 Greg Chalmers 56 202 274
276 Sam Horsfield 27 202 262
277 Graeme Storm 49 201 276
278 Andrew Dodt 47 201 269
279 Matthieu Pavon 43 195 273
280 Sam Ryder 25 195 280
281 Jason Scrivener 53 195 296
282 Paul Waring 41 191 277
283 Oliver Fisher 55 189 303
284 Greg Owen 31 188 282
285 John Peterson 26 187 283
286 Adam Bland 18 187 337
287 Yuta Ikeda 25 187 275
288 Renato Paratore 57 187 279
289 Austin Connelly 32 186 281
290 Matteo Manassero 52 184 291
291 Maverick McNealy 11 184 288
292 Chad Collins 37 183 289
293 Marc Warren 55 182 284
294 David Drysdale 59 182 285
295 Xin-jun Zhang 22 181 290
296 Julien Guerrier 20 181 287
297 KJ Choi 46 177 286
298 Cody Gribble 49 177 293
299 Thomas Aiken 48 175 314
300 Scott Langley 16 175 295
301 Chris Hanson 53 174 292
302 Sean Crocker 13 172 300
303 David Bransdon 8 171 301
304 Aaron Rai 29 171 299
305 Nino Bertasio 60 168 298
306 Jonathan Randolph 45 168 307
307 Danny Willett 46 168 385
308 Spencer Levin 46 168 304
309 Poom Saksansin 18 167 305
310 Lanto Griffin 20 166 309
311 Haydn Porteous 62 165 308
312 Kyle Reifers 48 165 306
313 Yusaku Miyazato 20 165 294
314 Carlos Ortiz 18 165 312
315 Florian Fritsch 32 164 311
316 Jordan Niebrugge 9 163 325
317 Boo Weekley 34 163 313
318 Ethan Tracy 20 162 316
319 Vijay Singh 35 159 302
320 Khalin Joshi 8 159 320
321 Fabian Gomez 50 159 317
322 Juvic Pagunsan 9 158 321
323 James Morrison 57 157 347
324 Paul Peterson 47 157 324
325 Wade Ormsby 41 156 315
326 Rick Lamb 34 155 328
327 Victor Perez 8 155 327
328 Chase Koepka 19 155 310
329 Young-han Song 14 154 323
330 Peter Malnati 58 153 329
331 Romain Wattel 50 153 318
332 Gregory Bourdy 57 151 322
333 Hunter Mahan 49 150 334
334 Ryan Brehm 33 150 333
335 Rod Pampling 52 149 326
336 JC Ritchie 9 148 335
337 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 35 147 363
338 Alex Prugh 12 147 330
339 Tapio Pulkkanen 14 146 319
340 Trevor Fisher 25 146 338
341 Jamie Donaldson 48 146 331
342 Kristoffer Broberg 22 146 341
343 Davis Love 24 144 343
344 Brian Campbell 27 144 342
345 Lorenzo Gagli 16 144 514
346 Gregory Havret 55 143 336
347 Angel Cabrera 30 142 346
348 Rhein Gibson 18 140 344
349 Ricardo Gouveia 56 139 339
350 Matt Every 54 139 351
351 Lasse Jensen 54 139 340
352 Brendon de Jonge 32 138 350
353 Steve Wheatcroft 45 137 348
354 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 136 354
355 Sam Brazel 43 135 345
356 Brett Coletta 10 135 356
357 Hennie Otto 16 135 355
358 Bill Lunde 11 134 358
359 Will Wilcox 22 134 359
360 Freddie Jacobson 15 132 353
361 Micah Lauren Shin 8 132 360
362 Jose-Filipe Lima 28 132 364
363 Andres Romero 35 131 349
364 Jake McLeod 8 131 366
365 Marcus Fraser 47 130 352
366 Ashley Chesters 39 128 361
367 Jacques Blaauw 15 127 368
368 Lee McCoy 10 127 374
369 Robert Karlsson 45 127 357
370 Marcel Siem 50 127 365
371 DA Points 49 126 362
372 Brandon Stone 50 126 367
373 Matthias Schwab 12 123 397
374 Prayad Marksaeng 9 123 371
375 Brett Drewitt 27 123 372
376 Stephan Jaeger 28 122 373
377 Shiv Kapur 24 121 377
378 Charlie Ford 19 121 471
379 Ockie Strydom 9 119 378
380 Dicky Pride 23 119 380
381 Julien Quesne 41 118 376
382 Mark Anderson 25 118 382
383 Jin Choi 18 118 369
384 Scott Vincent 27 118 381
385 Roberto Diaz 26 118 383
386 Romain Langasque 38 117 379
387 Ben Eccles 10 116 386
388 Sangmoon Bae 15 115 370
389 YE Yang 26 115 391
390 Johan Carlsson 42 114 387
391 Gavin Moynihan 12 114 395
392 Jason Gore 22 114 399
393 Lucas Herbert 15 113 392
394 Bernd Ritthammer 32 113 394
395 Anders Hansen 16 113 390
396 Stephen Leaney 8 113 396
397 Brett Stegmaier 53 112 389
398 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 19 112 375
399 Brett Rumford 47 110 407
400 Mark Brown 8 110 400
More | Less

A look at the Memorial Tournament

May 30, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Considering that he is the no. 1 player in the world (per the Hawley Ratings), this has been kind of a low-profile spring for Dustin Johnson. He hasn’t played more than twice in a month since September, and his appearance in this week’s Memorial Tournament will be only his second time out since mid-April. Clearly he is pacing himself. One thing he has been is very consistent – counting back 12 events over eight months, he has missed the top 20 only once, in his embarrassing WGC-Match Play flop. Most recently he was 10th at the Masters and then 16th and 17th at the Heritage and TPC, respectively.

The Memorial is one of the top 10 events on the Tour in terms of the field that it attracts, and it is third only to the Wells Fargo and Genesis if you subtract the majors, the FedEx Cup series, and TPC. Among Read more

Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide

May 27, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Dustin jOHNSON
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson 9.7 8
2 Jason Day 14.3 44
3 Justin Thomas 17.4 8
4 Justin Rose 18.2 6
5 Rickie Fowler 21.3 8
6 Jordan Spieth 24.7 94
7 Patrick Reed 24.7 29
8 Henrik Stenson 24.8 13
9 Patrick Cantlay 24.8 4
10 Phil Mickelson 25.2 13
11 Tony Finau 26.3 13
12 Rory McIlroy 26.7 8
13 Joaquin Niemann 26.7 6
14 Matt Kuchar 29.6 13
15 Marc Leishman 30.5 62
16 Charl Schwartzel 31.8 86
17 Chesson Hadley 34.4 40
18 Charles Howell 35.3 65
19 Tiger Woods 35.3 23
20 Louis Oosthuizen 36.5 13
21 Hideki Matsuyama 36.6 13
22 Bubba Watson 37.1 44
23 Jason Dufner 37.8 101
24 Ryan Moore 39.2 13
25 Emiliano Grillo 39.3 23
26 Branden Grace 39.4 52
27 Luke List 41.2 37
28 Bryson DeChambeau 42.9 1
29 Kyle Stanley 44.5 2
30 Adam Scott 45.0 35
31 Kevin Na 45.6 110
32 Keegan Bradley 46.9 23
33 Jamie Lovemark 47.0 37
34 Pat Perez 47.2 70
35 Adam Hadwin 48.1 74
36 Zach Johnson 48.5 40
37 Kevin Streelman 48.6 44
38 Kevin Kisner 48.7 74
39 Xander Schauffele 48.7 86
40 Billy Horschel 49.3 86
41 Rory Sabbatini 49.8 44
42 Kevin Chappell 51.4 86
43 Chris Kirk 51.6 52
44 Russell Knox 52.3 44
45 Byeong Hun An 52.4 2
46 Aaron Wise 53.9 86
47 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 54.7 13
48 Charley Hoffman 54.9 94
49 Bill Haas 55.1 57
50 Russell Henley 55.2 29
51 Cameron Smith 55.4 94
52 Gary Woodland 56.4 23
53 Martin Laird 57.0 23
54 Shane Lowry 57.5 52
55 Jason Kokrak 57.6 119
56 Lucas Glover 57.7 52
57 Bud Cauley 58.6 113
58 Nick Watney 58.6 57
59 Kevin Tway 59.3 65
60 James Hahn 59.3 82
61 Danny Lee 59.6 117
62 Peter Uihlein 59.7 5
63 Ollie Schniederjans 60.5 65
64 Beau Hossler 61.3 44
65 William McGirt 61.6 86
66 Satoshi Kodaira 61.6 94
67 Keith Mitchell 62.2 120
68 Ted Potter 62.2 57
69 Jhonattan Vegas 62.5 40
70 Scott Brown 62.8 86
71 Austin Cook 62.8 101
72 Stewart Cink 62.9 101
73 David Lingmerth 62.9 29
74 Vaughn Taylor 63.2 121
75 Grayson Murray 63.3 73
76 Anirban Lahiri 63.4 37
77 Sean O’Hair 63.7 94
78 JB Holmes 63.7 13
79 JJ Spaun 63.7 101
80 Sam Burns 63.9 81
81 CT Pan 64.0 121
82 Brice Garnett 64.1 62
83 Jim Furyk 64.3 94
84 Brian Gay 64.3 44
85 John Huh 64.8 44
86 Patton Kizzire 65.1 74
87 Harold Varner 65.4 121
88 Patrick Rodgers 65.6 8
89 Shubhankar Sharma 65.6 101
90 Si Woo Kim 65.7 29
91 Daniel Summerhays 66.2 110
92 Tom Hoge 66.3 13
93 Jonas Blixt 66.6 101
94 Scott Stallings 66.6 121
95 Andrew Landry 66.9 65
96 Tyrone van Aswegen 67.1 121
97 Brandon Harkins 67.2 108
98 Abraham Ancer 67.8 57
99 Robert Streb 68.2 80
100 Julian Suri 68.3 29
101 Trey Mullinax 68.5 113
102 Brian Stuard 68.9 70
103 Sung Kang 69.3 57
104 Ryan Armour 69.3 23
105 Nick Taylor 69.8 121
106 Richy Werenski 69.8 121
107 Alex Cejka 70.1 40
108 Kelly Kraft 70.1 35
109 Wesley Bryan 70.7 52
110 Mackenzie Hughes 71.1 82
111 Camilo Villegas 71.3 121
112 Michael Kim 71.4 DNP
113 Martin Piller 71.7 82
114 Yusaku Miyazato 71.7 70
115 KJ Choi 71.9 116
116 Whee Kim 72.0 29
117 Yuta Ikeda 72.5 74
118 Rod Pampling 74.4 79
119 Sangmoon Bae 75.1 117
120 DA Points 75.8 121
121 Ernie Els 76.0 108
122 Vijay Singh 76.9 69
123 John Senden 79.2 74
124 Kenny Perry 82.0 82
125 Carl Pettersson 82.4 112
126 Cameron Davis 84.5 86
127 Doc Redman 84.8 94
128 Andrew Dorn 85.6 62
129 Harry Ellis 85.6 113
130 Will Zalatoris 85.6 101
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 133. The average is 211. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Italian Open

May 27, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Francesco Molinari
Francesco Molinari
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Francesco Molinari -5.8 2
2 Tommy Fleetwood 7.5 23
3 Alex Noren 26.5 23
4 Ian Poulter 27.3 8
5 Matthew Fitzpatrick 29.2 30
6 Rafa Cabrera Bello 35.3 4
7 Tyrrell Hatton 42.1 103
8 Ross Fisher 47.1 84
9 Miguel Angel Jimenez 51.5 14
10 Graeme McDowell 53.2 5
11 Alexander Levy 53.8 65
12 Joost Luiten 53.9 DNP
13 David Horsey 54.7 129
14 Martin Kaymer 55.3 8
15 Thomas Pieters 55.4 14
16 Andy Sullivan 56.8 5
17 Lee Westwood 57.2 5
18 Jorge Campillo 59.6 60
19 Alexander Bjork 61.2 96
20 Hideto Tanihara 61.7 80
21 Lucas Bjerregaard 61.8 71
22 Harold Varner 61.9 DNP
23 Benjamin Hebert 62.0 23
24 Haotong Li 62.2 19
25 Chris Paisley 63.1 103
26 David Lipsky 63.4 65
27 Darren Fichardt 63.9 74
28 Dylan Frittelli 64.4 30
29 Jeunghun Wang 64.4 80
30 Soren Kjeldsen 65.1 42
31 Andrew Johnston 65.1 42
32 Richie Ramsay 65.3 103
33 Nacho Elvira 65.7 42
34 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 65.8 19
35 Paul Dunne 66.2 30
36 Fabrizio Zanotti 66.7 60
37 Nicolas Colsaerts 66.7 115
38 Adrian Otaegui 66.8 36
39 Joakim Lagergren 67.2 122
40 Mikko Korhonen 67.4 84
41 Erik Van Rooyen 67.5 42
42 Robert Rock 67.7 42
43 Andrea Pavan 67.7 103
44 Richard Bland 67.9 70
45 Matt Wallace 67.9 51
46 Thorbjorn Olesen 68.1 1
47 Ryan Fox 68.2 8
48 George Coetzee 68.5 103
49 Chris Wood 68.5 36
50 Dean Burmester 68.9 30
51 Thongchai Jaidee 69.2 84
52 Marc Warren 69.3 84
53 Richard Sterne 69.5 65
54 Mikko Ilonen 69.7 96
55 Pablo Larrazabal 69.8 DNP
56 Danny Willett 70.6 8
57 Matthew Southgate 70.7 84
58 Jacques Kruyswijk 70.7 14
59 Marcus Kinhult 70.8 103
60 Romain Wattel 71.0 115
61 Eddie Pepperell 71.3 51
62 Callum Shinkwin 72.4 8
63 Sam Horsfield 72.5 103
64 Ashun Wu 72.6 60
65 Chris Hanson 72.8 84
66 Matteo Manassero 72.9 36
67 Andrew Dodt 73.0 122
68 Padraig Harrington 73.1 36
69 David Drysdale 73.4 65
70 Stephen Gallacher 73.5 96
71 Maximilian Kieffer 73.6 129
72 Soomin Lee 73.8 144
73 Julien Guerrier 73.9 51
74 Bradley Dredge 74.0 23
75 Austin Connelly 74.3 51
76 Paul Waring 74.4 122
77 Felipe Aguilar 74.4 84
78 Peter Hanson 74.4 80
79 Robert Karlsson 74.6 140
80 Lee Slattery 74.6 3
81 Scott Hend 74.6 14
82 Jordan Smith 74.7 8
83 Aaron Rai 74.7 51
84 Jason Scrivener 74.9 21
85 Scott Jamieson 75.0 83
86 Tapio Pulkkanen 75.0 140
87 Nino Bertasio 75.1 115
88 Thomas Detry 75.1 36
89 Oliver Fisher 75.3 21
90 Wade Ormsby 75.3 71
91 Renato Paratore 75.5 153
92 Brett Rumford 75.8 42
93 Marcus Fraser 75.9 122
94 Lasse Jensen 76.0 115
95 Matthieu Pavon 76.4 122
96 Chase Koepka 76.4 103
97 David Howell 76.6 42
98 Thomas Aiken 76.7 30
99 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 76.7 129
100 Sebastien Gros 76.8 84
101 Haydn Porteous 77.1 51
102 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 77.2 30
103 Gregory Bourdy 77.2 84
104 Brandon Stone 77.4 65
105 Jin Choi 77.5 96
106 James Morrison 77.6 23
107 Ricardo Gouveia 78.3 96
108 Adam Bland 78.4 23
109 Matthias Schwab 78.4 42
110 Marcel Siem 78.5 137
111 Sam Brazel 78.5 137
112 Gregory Havret 78.5 78
113 Matthew Baldwin 78.7 152
114 Jamie Donaldson 78.8 74
115 Andres Romero 78.8 74
116 Alvaro Quiros 79.1 103
117 Ashley Chesters 79.2 96
118 Daniel Im 79.2 78
119 Daniel Brooks 79.4 73
120 Edoardo Molinari 79.5 129
121 Sebastian Heisele 79.6 84
122 Raphael Jacquelin 79.9 122
123 Connor Syme 80.0 84
124 Thomas Bjorn 80.3 DNP
125 Adrien Saddier 80.5 51
126 Phachara Khongwatmai 80.5 103
127 Gavin Green 80.5 74
128 Pedro Oriol 80.5 103
129 Scott Fernandez 80.6 144
130 Ryan Evans 80.8 60
131 Jens Dantorp 80.8 42
132 Jeff Winther 80.9 129
133 Pontus Widegren 80.9 129
134 Pep Angles 81.0 147
135 Steven Brown 81.0 129
136 Laurie Canter 81.0 36
137 Rak hyun Cho 81.2 140
138 Lorenzo Gagli 81.2 14
139 Clement Sordet 81.3 115
140 Charlie Ford 81.4 23
141 Carlos Pigem 81.5 153
142 SSP Chawrasia 81.5 129
143 Nicolas Geyger 81.7 147
144 Mark Foster 82.0 115
145 Josh Geary 82.6 51
146 Zander Lombard 82.7 155
147 Trevor Immelman 82.7 60
148 Jason Norris 82.7 103
149 Luca Cianchetti 82.9 115
150 Enrico di Nitto 83.3 149
151 Oliver Farr 83.5 149
152 Francesco Laporta 84.0 122
153 Bradley Neil 85.2 140
154 Guido Migliozzi 85.6 96
155 Filippo Bergamaschi 85.6 84
156 Jacopo Vecchi Fossa 85.6 144
Ross McGowan late entry 54
James Heath late entry 138
Federico Maccario late entry 151
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 293. The average is 211. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (May 27, 2018)

May 27, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson is back at no. 1 after his fourth flip-flop with Paul Casey this spring.
# Thru May 27, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 46 1711 2
2 Paul Casey 47 1708 1
3 Justin Thomas 53 1584 3
4 Jordan Spieth 52 1527 4
5 Rickie Fowler 51 1498 5
6 Jason Day 43 1469 6
7 Justin Rose 47 1418 10
8 Jon Rahm 49 1408 9
9 Brooks Koepka 42 1377 11
10 Phil Mickelson 48 1365 8
11 Patrick Cantlay 25 1363 7
12 Rory McIlroy 42 1310 12
13 Henrik Stenson 46 1265 14
14 Tiger Woods 12 1257 15
15 Webb Simpson 52 1227 13
16 Louis Oosthuizen 45 1181 22
17 Patrick Reed 68 1161 16
18 Marc Leishman 52 1155 17
19 Tommy Fleetwood 57 1146 18
20 Tony Finau 56 1141 19
21 Alex Noren 51 1140 23
22 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1126 21
23 Matt Kuchar 63 1115 20
24 Francesco Molinari 50 1102 24
25 Brian Harman 56 1061 26
26 Charles Howell 48 1043 25
27 Adam Scott 44 997 27
28 Pat Perez 42 993 28
29 Brendan Steele 48 982 29
30 Sergio Garcia 45 965 32
31 Ryan Moore 49 964 30
32 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 946 37
33 Adam Hadwin 52 940 31
34 Chesson Hadley 42 938 40
35 Kevin Kisner 58 938 33
36 Branden Grace 56 935 43
37 Kyle Stanley 52 925 39
38 Jason Dufner 51 919 34
39 Ian Poulter 48 918 41
40 Steve Stricker 29 916 35
41 Emiliano Grillo 57 915 45
42 Charl Schwartzel 49 911 42
43 Xander Schauffele 46 901 36
44 Tyrrell Hatton 53 892 38
45 Jimmy Walker 51 865 47
46 Luke List 60 861 44
47 Kevin Chappell 55 844 49
48 Charley Hoffman 60 843 46
49 Bubba Watson 49 840 50
50 Zach Johnson 51 821 48
51 Chez Reavie 54 811 51
52 Daniel Berger 53 798 54
53 Jamie Lovemark 55 788 56
54 Russell Henley 50 786 52
55 Cameron Smith 56 782 53
56 Keegan Bradley 55 776 58
57 Kevin Na 52 773 65
58 Brandt Snedeker 46 770 55
59 Gary Woodland 56 753 59
60 Graham DeLaet 34 752 60
61 Martin Laird 50 751 57
62 Bill Haas 51 749 64
63 Byeong Hun An 55 734 62
64 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56 729 67
65 Bryson DeChambeau 56 705 63
66 Bud Cauley 52 678 69
67 Kevin Streelman 53 675 66
68 Bernd Wiesberger 52 673 70
69 Lucas Glover 47 665 71
70 Scott Piercy 49 664 68
71 Billy Horschel 51 659 72
72 James Hahn 53 642 73
73 Sam Burns 11 641 61
74 Jason Kokrak 55 620 76
75 Shane Lowry 52 615 80
76 Thomas Pieters 50 612 75
77 Ross Fisher 51 610 84
78 Aaron Wise 30 607 74
79 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 57 601 87
80 Jordan L Smith 13 600 81
81 Sean O’Hair 54 600 77
82 Chris Kirk 59 597 88
83 Ollie Schniederjans 48 593 78
84 Russell Knox 63 592 83
85 Nick Watney 39 580 79
86 Jhonattan Vegas 59 576 82
87 Rory Sabbatini 53 559 94
88 Peter Uihlein 49 556 89
89 Stewart Cink 48 556 85
90 Ryan Palmer 41 543 86
91 JB Holmes 54 538 92
92 Grayson Murray 50 534 90
93 Si Woo Kim 59 531 91
94 Lee Westwood 45 517 97
95 Martin Kaymer 50 516 93
96 William McGirt 55 509 99
97 Keith Mitchell 26 507 100
98 Anirban Lahiri 53 502 96
99 Danny Lee 65 494 109
100 Kevin Tway 53 493 119
101 Graeme McDowell 59 493 106
102 JJ Spaun 50 492 98
103 Beau Hossler 31 492 95
104 Brian Gay 50 490 102
105 Vaughn Taylor 54 470 114
106 Andrew Landry 32 470 101
107 Patrick Rodgers 58 468 103
108 Scott Brown 58 465 104
109 Alexander Levy 46 458 105
110 Satoshi Kodaira 19 451 139
111 Haotong Li 48 444 110
112 Brandon Harkins 25 443 107
113 Victor Dubuisson 29 440 116
114 Scott Stallings 57 436 113
115 Joost Luiten 52 431 111
116 Jim Furyk 37 431 108
117 Paul Dunne 55 430 115
118 Ted Potter 29 429 118
119 Austin Cook 25 423 112
120 Andy Sullivan 53 423 120
121 Patton Kizzire 54 419 117
122 Rafael Campos 9 418 125
123 Seung-su Han 10 416 128
124 Sung Kang 63 416 121
125 Harris English 59 416 136
126 Hudson Swafford 54 416 127
127 Michael Thompson 45 412 132
128 Corey Conners 25 412 183
129 Andrew Putnam 25 410 162
130 Sam Saunders 54 407 124
131 Jerry Kelly 19 406 129
132 Robert Garrigus 53 406 123
133 Soren Kjeldsen 52 404 122
134 Dylan Frittelli 49 404 126
135 Hideto Tanihara 35 397 134
136 David Lingmerth 58 394 130
137 John Huh 57 392 135
138 Jim Herman 44 389 138
139 Seung-yul Noh 41 388 141
140 CT Pan 55 388 159
141 Shubhankar Sharma 24 387 169
142 Brice Garnett 34 385 131
143 Alexander Bjork 42 383 144
144 Jorge Campillo 53 383 133
145 Nick Taylor 56 382 137
146 Brandon Hagy 32 382 145
147 Morgan Hoffmann 48 379 147
148 Tyrone van Aswegen 63 378 167
149 Trey Mullinax 49 376 142
150 Aaron Baddeley 49 373 140
151 Wesley Bryan 48 373 143
152 Miguel Angel Jimenez 14 372 150
153 Ben Martin 57 372 157
154 Abraham Ancer 34 368 146
155 Tom Hoge 54 365 153
156 Harold Varner 62 364 148
157 Henrik Norlander 20 363 156
158 JT Poston 48 361 172
159 Julian Suri 29 360 151
160 Johnson Wagner 51 360 158
161 Chad Campbell 55 358 163
162 Kelly Kraft 58 357 155
163 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 47 356 161
164 Andrew Johnston 45 356 149
165 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 355 154
166 David Hearn 56 352 152
167 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 352 174
168 Chris Paisley 53 347 160
169 Seamus Power 50 341 165
170 Joel Dahmen 38 341 188
171 Ryan Blaum 51 337 166
172 Talor Gooch 25 337 164
173 Ryan Fox 42 331 171
174 Daniel Summerhays 54 330 170
175 Dominic Bozzelli 41 330 173
176 Ben Crane 51 323 226
177 Richard Sterne 45 323 168
178 Mackenzie Hughes 52 322 178
179 Jonas Blixt 48 321 179
180 Chris Wood 53 318 182
181 Jeunghun Wang 55 314 177
182 George Coetzee 57 312 176
183 Pablo Larrazabal 52 311 175
184 Brian Stuard 63 310 189
185 Eddie Pepperell 46 307 184
186 Dean Burmester 43 307 213
187 Derek Fathauer 57 305 186
188 Martin Flores 50 300 181
189 Richie Ramsay 52 300 193
190 Nicolas Colsaerts 54 295 185
191 Benjamin Hebert 49 293 195
192 Michael Kim 54 293 194
193 Richy Werenski 51 291 192
194 Tyler Duncan 26 290 187
195 Adrian Otaegui 55 290 190
196 Troy Merritt 63 288 196
197 Luke Donald 45 287 198
198 David Horsey 49 286 191
199 Ryan Armour 47 283 235
200 Jaco van Zyl 29 282 201
201 Matt Jones 51 281 204
202 David Lipsky 56 281 212
203 Cameron Percy 45 280 202
204 Kyung-tae Kim 19 279 207
205 Nacho Elvira 54 279 197
206 JJ Henry 56 278 200
207 Whee Kim 59 277 199
208 Robert Streb 58 277 203
209 Chris Stroud 51 273 205
210 Nate Lashley 20 272 208
211 Geoff Ogilvy 48 271 209
212 Alex Cejka 59 270 206
213 Blayne Barber 48 270 210
214 Retief Goosen 41 270 211
215 Benjamin Silverman 23 268 301
216 Matthew Southgate 55 266 224
217 Julian Etulain 29 264 216
218 Daisuke Kataoka 13 262 215
219 Martin Piller 36 260 180
220 Bronson Burgoon 27 259 218
221 Rob Oppenheim 37 259 217
222 Matt Wallace 38 259 237
223 Camilo Villegas 52 256 223
224 Marcus Kinhult 17 251 333
225 Thongchai Jaidee 51 251 264
226 Adam Schenk 26 250 214
227 Roberto Castro 38 249 221
228 Andres Gonzales 41 249 227
229 Curtis Luck 25 247 228
230 Andrea Pavan 18 246 220
231 Robert Rock 50 246 248
232 Padraig Harrington 46 246 219
233 Tom Lovelady 23 245 222
234 Mikko Ilonen 44 242 225
235 Nicholas Lindheim 46 242 240
236 Stephen Gallacher 46 242 229
237 Tim Wilkinson 39 242 230
238 Darren Fichardt 42 242 288
239 Ryo Ishikawa 28 237 231
240 Michael Putnam 9 233 239
241 Alejandro Canizares 41 231 236
242 Erik Van Rooyen 19 231 289
243 Lucas Bjerregaard 57 230 297
244 Robby Shelton 12 229 243
245 Ashun Wu 49 228 234
246 Callum Shinkwin 44 228 232
247 Shawn Stefani 57 228 233
248 Anthony Wall 36 227 244
249 Ricky Barnes 57 223 245
250 Tag Ridings 27 223 246
251 Cameron Tringale 59 223 247
252 Zac Blair 60 223 249
253 Scott Hend 57 222 238
254 Mikko Korhonen 45 219 287
255 Joakim Lagergren 51 219 242
256 Billy Hurley 54 218 250
257 Denny McCarthy 23 216 256
258 Peter Hanson 35 215 241
259 Richard Bland 51 214 270
260 Maximilian Kieffer 48 214 262
261 Scott Jamieson 54 212 251
262 Sam Horsfield 26 212 319
263 Bradley Dredge 46 210 253
264 Thomas Detry 43 209 258
265 Will MacKenzie 29 209 260
266 Jonathan Byrd 32 209 252
267 Smylie Kaufman 57 208 255
268 Joachim B Hansen 18 208 265
269 Andrew Dodt 47 207 263
270 Tim Herron 22 207 583
271 Rikard Karlberg 33 205 259
272 Sebastian Munoz 24 204 267
273 Matthieu Pavon 42 204 257
274 Greg Chalmers 56 203 268
275 Yuta Ikeda 24 201 269
276 Graeme Storm 50 200 273
277 Paul Waring 40 199 266
278 Jordan Smith 28 196 261
279 Renato Paratore 57 193 271
280 Sam Ryder 25 193 277
281 Austin Connelly 31 188 274
282 Greg Owen 31 188 281
283 John Peterson 26 188 280
284 Marc Warren 55 188 278
285 David Drysdale 58 187 279
286 KJ Choi 46 186 284
287 Julien Guerrier 19 185 272
288 Maverick McNealy 11 184 316
289 Chad Collins 37 183 285
290 Xin-jun Zhang 22 183 275
291 Matteo Manassero 52 180 308
292 Chris Hanson 53 180 283
293 Cody Gribble 49 179 282
294 Yusaku Miyazato 19 179 276
295 Scott Langley 17 176 293
296 Jason Scrivener 53 175 290
297 Jacques Kruyswijk 17 175 385
298 Nino Bertasio 60 174 291
299 Aaron Rai 28 174 286
300 Sean Crocker 13 173 296
301 David Bransdon 8 171 302
302 Vijay Singh 34 169 300
303 Oliver Fisher 55 169 295
304 Spencer Levin 47 168 303
305 Poom Saksansin 18 168 305
306 Kyle Reifers 49 168 298
307 Jonathan Randolph 45 167 307
308 Haydn Porteous 62 167 312
309 Lanto Griffin 20 166 306
310 Chase Koepka 18 165 292
311 Florian Fritsch 33 165 310
312 Carlos Ortiz 19 165 313
313 Boo Weekley 34 164 314
314 Thomas Aiken 48 164 299
315 Wade Ormsby 40 162 304
316 Ethan Tracy 21 162 320
317 Fabian Gomez 51 161 317
318 Romain Wattel 50 159 309
319 Tapio Pulkkanen 13 159 294
320 Khalin Joshi 8 159 322
321 Juvic Pagunsan 9 158 323
322 Gregory Bourdy 56 158 311
323 Young-han Song 14 158 318
324 Paul Peterson 48 157 324
325 Jordan Niebrugge 9 156 335
326 Rod Pampling 52 156 315
327 Victor Perez 8 155 328
328 Rick Lamb 34 154 329
329 Peter Malnati 59 153 330
330 Alex Prugh 12 151 327
331 Jamie Donaldson 47 151 325
332 Lee Slattery 52 150 326
333 Ryan Brehm 33 150 334
334 Hunter Mahan 50 149 337
335 JC Ritchie 9 148 336
336 Gregory Havret 55 148 331
337 Adam Bland 17 147 321
338 Trevor Fisher 25 145 341
339 Ricardo Gouveia 56 145 332
340 Lasse Jensen 54 143 368
341 Kristoffer Broberg 23 143 347
342 Brian Campbell 27 143 343
343 Davis Love 25 142 344
344 Rhein Gibson 18 141 342
345 Sam Brazel 42 141 338
346 Angel Cabrera 31 141 348
347 James Morrison 57 140 340
348 Steve Wheatcroft 45 139 346
349 Andres Romero 34 138 339
350 Brendon de Jonge 33 138 349
351 Matt Every 54 137 354
352 Marcus Fraser 46 136 345
353 Freddie Jacobson 16 135 352
354 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 135 358
355 Hennie Otto 16 135 356
356 Brett Coletta 10 133 363
357 Robert Karlsson 45 133 350
358 Bill Lunde 11 133 362
359 Will Wilcox 22 133 365
360 Micah Lauren Shin 8 132 360
361 Ashley Chesters 38 132 353
362 DA Points 48 132 361
363 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 34 132 351
364 Jose-Filipe Lima 29 131 366
365 Marcel Siem 49 131 357
366 Jake McLeod 8 131 367
367 Brandon Stone 49 130 359
368 Jacques Blaauw 15 127 369
369 Jin Choi 17 126 355
370 Sangmoon Bae 14 126 371
371 Prayad Marksaeng 9 123 372
372 Brett Drewitt 27 123 373
373 Stephan Jaeger 28 123 374
374 Lee McCoy 10 122 381
375 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 18 120 378
376 Julien Quesne 42 120 375
377 Shiv Kapur 25 119 380
378 Ockie Strydom 9 119 377
379 Romain Langasque 38 119 376
380 Dicky Pride 23 118 383
381 Scott Vincent 27 117 382
382 Mark Anderson 25 117 387
383 Roberto Diaz 26 117 384
384 Matthew Baldwin 26 117 391
385 Danny Willett 45 117 370
386 Ben Eccles 10 116 389
387 Johan Carlsson 43 115 390
388 John Senden 30 114 364
389 Brett Stegmaier 53 114 388
390 Anders Hansen 16 114 386
391 YE Yang 27 114 392
392 Lucas Herbert 15 114 394
393 Michael Johnson 10 114 379
394 Bernd Ritthammer 32 113 393
395 Gavin Moynihan 12 113 398
396 Stephen Leaney 8 113 395
397 Matthias Schwab 11 113 397
398 Magnus A Carlsson 36 111 399
399 Jason Gore 23 110 407
400 Mark Brown 8 109 403
More | Less

A look at the Fort Worth Invitational

May 23, 2018 Thomas Hawley

The last time we dug into Jordan Spieth’s putting statistics for the current PGA Tour season was 11 weeks ago. Repeating, for the season ending with the 2017 Tour Championship, he ranked second on the PGA Tour in putts per green-in-regulation and 42nd in strokes gained putting. This season’s stats show him 126th in putts per GIR, down from 109th in mid-March, and 190th in strokes gained putting, down from 163rd. That’s the bottom half in putts per GIR and the bottom one-tenth of PGA pros in strokes gained putting, going the wrong way since March and an enormous plunge since last season.

Nevertheless, Spieth is second on the Tour in strokes gained tee-to-green, second in GIR percentage, seventh in birdie average, 29th in money, and 31st in FedEx Cup points. Most importantly, he is Read more

Fort Worth Invitational

May 21, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Jordan Spieth
Jordan Spieth
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jordan Spieth 13.6 32
2 Webb Simpson 20.1 79
3 Patrick Cantlay 22.0 98
4 Rickie Fowler 26.1 14
5 Brooks Koepka 29.4 2
6 Justin Rose 30.0 1
7 Steve Stricker 33.1 32
8 Jon Rahm 34.1 5
9 Chesson Hadley 34.6 20
10 Jason Dufner 37.8 89
11 Charl Schwartzel 38.1 DNP
12 Louis Oosthuizen 38.6 5
13 Zach Johnson 41.6 98
14 Jimmy Walker 41.7 20
15 Bryson DeChambeau 41.8 42
16 Brian Harman 42.1 14
17 Xander Schauffele 43.4 85
18 Adam Hadwin 43.4 52
19 Matt Kuchar 43.5 32
20 Kevin Kisner 43.8 52
21 Adam Scott 44.3 52
22 Emiliano Grillo 45.4 3
23 Pat Perez 47.9 42
24 Chez Reavie 48.8 85
25 Kevin Streelman 49.5 76
26 Russell Henley 50.4 58
27 Cameron Smith 50.5 114
28 Martin Laird 50.8 79
29 Aaron Wise 52.7 79
30 Charley Hoffman 52.7 52
31 Scott Piercy 53.3 89
32 Rory Sabbatini 53.4 20
33 Joaquin Niemann 54.1 8
34 Brandt Snedeker 54.1 42
35 Chris Kirk 54.6 11
36 Russell Knox 55.4 20
37 Nick Watney 55.7 118
38 Kevin Na 56.7 4
39 Jason Kokrak 58.6 32
40 Ollie Schniederjans 59.2 74
41 Ryan Palmer 59.2 110
42 Peter Uihlein 59.6 DNP
43 Sean O’Hair 59.9 98
44 Grayson Murray 59.9 98
45 Bill Haas 60.1 14
46 Beau Hossler 60.2 64
47 Jhonattan Vegas 60.4 73
48 Sam Burns 60.4 114
49 JJ Spaun 61.4 98
50 Austin Cook 61.5 79
51 Danny Lee 61.7 14
52 Keith Mitchell 62.2 DNP
53 Ted Potter 62.4 42
54 Si Woo Kim 62.5 66
55 Brice Garnett 62.5 89
56 Stewart Cink 62.5 58
57 Scott Brown 63.0 109
58 David Hearn 63.5 89
59 Andrew Landry 63.6 104
60 Patton Kizzire 64.0 64
61 Anirban Lahiri 64.0 58
62 Vaughn Taylor 64.2 20
63 William McGirt 64.4 32
64 Satoshi Kodaira 64.5 20
65 Patrick Rodgers 64.8 85
66 John Huh 65.4 42
67 Sam Saunders 65.4 104
68 Seamus Power 65.5 DQ
69 Joel Dahmen 65.5 20
70 Harris English 65.6 20
71 Kevin Tway 65.9 5
72 Brandon Harkins 66.0 66
73 Scott Stallings 66.1 79
74 Jim Furyk 66.3 66
75 Trey Mullinax 66.4 58
76 Jonas Blixt 66.5 DNP
77 Tom Hoge 66.9 42
78 David Lingmerth 67.0 104
79 Aaron Baddeley 67.1 89
80 Ben Martin 67.1 32
81 Robert Garrigus 67.3 WD
82 CT Pan 67.4 20
83 Tyler Duncan 67.6 71
84 Talor Gooch 67.8 104
85 Michael Thompson 67.9 32
86 Andrew Putnam 67.9 20
87 Ryan Blaum 67.9 114
88 Corey Conners 68.0 8
89 Abraham Ancer 68.1 52
90 Ben Crane 68.2 8
91 Greg Chalmers 68.2 DNP
92 JT Poston 68.3 20
93 Shubhankar Sharma 68.7 20
94 Nick Taylor 68.7 110
95 Sung Kang 68.9 113
96 Richy Werenski 68.9 74
97 Chris Stroud 68.9 WD
98 Tyrone van Aswegen 68.9 14
99 Chad Campbell 69.0 42
100 Adam Schenk 69.3 89
101 Nicholas Lindheim 69.5 32
102 Derek Fathauer 69.5 42
103 Kelly Kraft 69.6 98
104 Martin Flores 69.6 89
105 Wesley Bryan 70.0 71
106 JJ Henry 70.0 79
107 Brian Stuard 70.0 32
108 Shawn Stefani 70.1 66
109 Alex Cejka 70.2 66
110 Dominic Bozzelli 70.3 DNP
111 Robert Streb 71.0 52
112 Denny McCarthy 71.1 DNP
113 Whee Kim 71.3 58
114 Jonathan Byrd 71.4 85
115 Tom Lovelady 71.5 58
116 Mackenzie Hughes 71.5 42
117 Cody Gribble 71.6 89
118 Martin Pillar 71.8 DNP
119 Ryan Armour 72.0 14
120 Sam Ryder 72.4 DNP
121 Hunter Mahan 72.4 DNP
122 Xin-jun Zhang 73.4 89
123 Maverick McNealy 73.4 42
124 Benjamin Silverman 73.8 11
125 Smylie Kaufman 74.1 114
126 Rod Pampling 74.5 110
127 Jonathan Randolph 74.6 DNP
128 Conrad Shindler 77.0 32
129 John Senden 79.3 77
130 Tim Herron 83.8 11
131 Keith Clearwater 85.6 119
Martin Piller late entry 78
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 146. The average is 209. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

BMW PGA Championship

May 21, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Paul Casey
Paul Casey
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Paul Casey 13.5 20
2 Tommy Fleetwood 27.2 20
3 Francesco Molinari 30.6 1
4 Rory McIlroy 34.5 2
5 Alex Noren 36.1 3
6 Branden Grace 39.4 5
7 Ian Poulter 39.9 20
8 Shane Lowry 43.8 15
9 Tyrrell Hatton 46.5 95
10 Rafa Cabrera Bello 47.5 8
11 Lee Westwood 50.5 27
12 Matthew Fitzpatrick 52.1 8
13 Byeong Hun An 52.6 15
14 Joost Luiten 56.1 68
15 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56.5 5
16 Alexander Levy 57.8 52
17 Chris Wood 57.9 27
18 Martin Kaymer 58.8 68
19 Jorge Campillo 60.4 95
20 Paul Dunne 60.5 95
21 Andrew Johnston 60.6 123
22 Thomas Pieters 60.6 108
23 Andy Sullivan 60.9 35
24 Dylan Frittelli 61.7 68
25 Ross Fisher 63.6 8
26 Graeme McDowell 64.2 12
27 Adrian Otaegui 64.2 108
28 Alexander Bjork 64.3 DNP
29 Chris Paisley 65.0 82
30 Haotong Li 65.3 43
31 Harold Varner 65.6 68
32 Jeunghun Wang 65.8 52
33 Richie Ramsay 65.9 35
34 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 66.1 43
35 Julian Suri 66.4 43
36 Hideto Tanihara 66.4 35
37 David Horsey 66.5 95
38 Fabrizio Zanotti 66.6 15
39 Soren Kjeldsen 66.6 82
40 Richard Sterne 66.8 68
41 George Coetzee 66.8 82
42 Nacho Elvira 67.0 82
43 Thomas Aiken 67.1 68
44 Stephen Gallacher 67.1 51
45 Peter Hanson 67.3 142
46 Thorbjorn Olesen 67.4 60
47 Mikko Ilonen 67.6 82
48 Benjamin Hebert 67.7 35
49 Nicolas Colsaerts 67.8 108
50 Ryan Fox 68.2 43
51 Pablo Larrazabal 68.5 95
52 Andrea Pavan 68.5 52
53 Marc Warren 68.9 60
54 Eddie Pepperell 69.0 43
55 Robert Rock 69.3 20
56 Ashun Wu 69.3 64
57 Romain Wattel 69.5 137
58 Matt Wallace 69.7 20
59 Callum Shinkwin 70.0 108
60 Scott Jamieson 70.0 129
61 Maximilian Kieffer 70.2 35
62 Aaron Rai 70.4 123
63 Paul Waring 70.4 52
64 Matthew Southgate 70.7 27
65 Julien Guerrier 70.7 120
66 David Lipsky 70.7 27
67 Scott Hend 70.7 95
68 Yusaku Miyazato 70.8 149
69 Dean Burmester 70.8 12
70 Matteo Manassero 70.8 27
71 Joakim Lagergren 70.8 68
72 Thongchai Jaidee 70.9 8
73 Jamie Donaldson 71.1 120
74 Andrew Dodt 71.1 43
75 Thomas Bjorn 71.1 144
76 Thomas Detry 71.3 42
77 Nino Bertasio 71.3 58
78 David Drysdale 71.4 82
79 Matthieu Pavon 71.6 64
80 Erik Van Rooyen 71.7 20
81 Bradley Dredge 71.7 68
82 Padraig Harrington 71.9 120
83 Lucas Bjerregaard 72.1 3
84 Jordan Smith 72.2 108
85 Gregory Havret 72.2 108
86 Wade Ormsby 72.2 129
87 Chris Hanson 72.5 68
88 Marcel Siem 72.5 95
89 Mikko Korhonen 72.6 15
90 Jason Scrivener 72.6 108
91 Gregory Bourdy 72.7 68
92 Austin Connelly 72.7 145
93 Haydn Porteous 72.8 43
94 Renato Paratore 72.9 129
95 Oliver Fisher 73.0 68
96 Danny Willett 73.0 95
97 Marcus Fraser 73.1 95
98 Darren Fichardt 73.1 7
99 Felipe Aguilar 73.1 DNP
100 Soomin Lee 73.4 95
101 Tapio Pulkkanen 73.4 123
102 Ashley Chesters 73.7 108
103 Lee Slattery 73.8 145
104 Ricardo Gouveia 73.8 140
105 James Morrison 73.9 108
106 Robert Karlsson 73.9 95
107 Sam Horsfield 73.9 15
108 Richard Bland 74.0 27
109 Chase Koepka 74.0 137
110 Alvaro Quiros 74.0 82
111 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 74.0 DNP
112 Brandon Stone 74.3 60
113 Sam Brazel 74.3 129
114 Ryan Evans 74.3 82
115 Adam Bland 74.4 95
116 Jin Choi 74.5 82
117 Jacques Kruyswijk 74.6 20
118 Brett Rumford 74.6 82
119 Marcus Kinhult 74.6 12
120 Pedro Oriol 74.7 108
121 Ernie Els 74.7 108
122 Edoardo Molinari 74.7 123
123 Matthew Baldwin 74.7 DNP
124 Jeff Winther 75.0 68
125 Gavin Green 75.0 52
126 Sebastien Gros 75.0 27
127 Daniel Brooks 75.0 64
128 Sebastian Heisele 75.1 DNP
129 Lasse Jensen 75.2 27
130 Phachara Khongwatmai 75.3 123
131 Steven Brown 75.4 147
132 Daniel Im 75.5 129
133 SSP Chawrasia 75.5 129
134 Raphael Jacquelin 75.5 68
135 Matthias Schwab 75.7 DNP
136 Jens Dantorp 75.7 35
137 Clement Sordet 75.8 142
138 Rak hyun Cho 76.2 60
139 Adrien Saddier 76.2 35
140 Mark Foster 76.3 DNP
141 Charlie Ford 76.3 82
142 David Howell 76.3 82
143 Carlos Pigem 76.5 137
144 Jason Norris 76.7 129
145 Scott Fernandez 76.8 43
146 James Heath 76.8 67
147 Zander Lombard 76.8 129
148 Nicolas Geyger 77.0 DNP
149 Oliver Farr 77.2 68
150 Trevor Immelman 77.2 52
151 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 77.4 82
152 Darren Clarke 77.8 DNP
153 Bradley Neil 78.1 58
154 Andres Romero 78.5 95
155 Paul O’Hara 85.6 108
156 Richard Wallis 85.6 140
157 Gavin Hay 85.6 148
158 Robert Coles 85.8 123
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 380. The average is 209. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (May 20, 2018)

May 21, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Paul Casey, playing in Europe this week, is no. 1 for the third week in a row.
# Thru May 20, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Paul Casey 46 1736 1
2 Dustin Johnson 46 1714 2
3 Justin Thomas 53 1580 3
4 Jordan Spieth 52 1553 4
5 Rickie Fowler 50 1482 6
6 Jason Day 43 1473 5
7 Patrick Cantlay 24 1445 7
8 Phil Mickelson 48 1364 8
9 Jon Rahm 48 1359 9
10 Justin Rose 46 1352 10
11 Brooks Koepka 41 1305 11
12 Rory McIlroy 41 1284 12
13 Webb Simpson 52 1268 14
14 Henrik Stenson 46 1267 13
15 Tiger Woods 12 1257 15
16 Patrick Reed 69 1162 16
17 Marc Leishman 53 1151 22
18 Tommy Fleetwood 57 1149 18
19 Tony Finau 57 1138 19
20 Matt Kuchar 63 1126 17
21 Hideki Matsuyama 47 1126 20
22 Louis Oosthuizen 45 1123 21
23 Alex Noren 51 1108 23
24 Francesco Molinari 50 1062 24
25 Charles Howell 48 1042 27
26 Brian Harman 56 1039 25
27 Adam Scott 44 1034 28
28 Pat Perez 41 1019 26
29 Brendan Steele 48 982 30
30 Ryan Moore 49 968 31
31 Adam Hadwin 52 966 32
32 Sergio Garcia 45 966 29
33 Kevin Kisner 58 958 33
34 Jason Dufner 51 951 34
35 Steve Stricker 29 932 35
36 Xander Schauffele 45 932 38
37 Rafa Cabrera Bello 61 928 37
38 Tyrrell Hatton 53 926 36
39 Kyle Stanley 53 921 39
40 Chesson Hadley 42 920 42
41 Ian Poulter 48 917 41
42 Charl Schwartzel 50 914 40
43 Branden Grace 55 906 44
44 Luke List 60 861 45
45 Emiliano Grillo 57 861 43
46 Charley Hoffman 60 858 46
47 Jimmy Walker 51 850 51
48 Zach Johnson 51 849 47
49 Kevin Chappell 56 842 48
50 Bubba Watson 49 838 49
51 Chez Reavie 54 836 50
52 Russell Henley 49 810 53
53 Cameron Smith 55 803 55
54 Daniel Berger 53 798 56
55 Brandt Snedeker 46 785 52
56 Jamie Lovemark 56 784 57
57 Martin Laird 50 779 54
58 Keegan Bradley 56 778 58
59 Gary Woodland 56 758 59
60 Graham DeLaet 34 747 60
61 Sam Burns 10 721 62
62 Byeong Hun An 55 721 63
63 Bryson DeChambeau 56 716 64
64 Bill Haas 51 715 61
65 Kevin Na 52 709 70
66 Kevin Streelman 53 699 66
67 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56 698 67
68 Scott Piercy 49 694 65
69 Bud Cauley 52 678 68
70 Bernd Wiesberger 53 673 69
71 Lucas Glover 48 663 71
72 Billy Horschel 51 662 74
73 James Hahn 53 643 72
74 Aaron Wise 29 634 91
75 Thomas Pieters 50 634 73
76 Jason Kokrak 55 620 75
77 Sean O’Hair 54 617 76
78 Ollie Schniederjans 47 613 77
79 Nick Watney 38 601 79
80 Shane Lowry 52 597 80
81 Jordan L Smith 13 594 82
82 Jhonattan Vegas 59 594 81
83 Russell Knox 63 577 86
84 Ross Fisher 51 573 83
85 Stewart Cink 48 573 84
86 Ryan Palmer 41 571 78
87 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 57 562 87
88 Chris Kirk 59 558 88
89 Peter Uihlein 49 555 92
90 Grayson Murray 49 551 85
91 Si Woo Kim 59 549 90
92 JB Holmes 54 540 89
93 Martin Kaymer 50 538 93
94 Rory Sabbatini 52 531 98
95 Beau Hossler 30 518 94
96 Anirban Lahiri 53 517 96
97 Lee Westwood 45 513 95
98 JJ Spaun 49 507 111
99 William McGirt 55 506 97
100 Keith Mitchell 26 504 130
101 Andrew Landry 31 495 99
102 Brian Gay 50 490 108
103 Patrick Rodgers 57 482 100
104 Scott Brown 58 478 102
105 Alexander Levy 45 472 103
106 Graeme McDowell 59 469 101
107 Brandon Harkins 24 468 104
108 Jim Furyk 37 461 105
109 Danny Lee 65 458 109
110 Haotong Li 48 452 110
111 Joost Luiten 52 449 106
112 Austin Cook 24 448 112
113 Scott Stallings 57 446 114
114 Vaughn Taylor 54 444 107
115 Paul Dunne 54 443 116
116 Victor Dubuisson 30 442 113
117 Patton Kizzire 54 435 117
118 Ted Potter 28 431 120
119 Kevin Tway 52 428 140
120 Andy Sullivan 53 427 121
121 Sung Kang 63 426 119
122 Soren Kjeldsen 52 422 115
123 Robert Garrigus 52 422 132
124 Sam Saunders 53 419 118
125 Rafael Campos 9 418 127
126 Dylan Frittelli 48 418 124
127 Hudson Swafford 55 416 122
128 Seung-su Han 10 415 129
129 Jerry Kelly 20 412 128
130 David Lingmerth 58 407 123
131 Brice Garnett 33 403 135
132 Michael Thompson 44 402 126
133 Jorge Campillo 53 398 136
134 Hideto Tanihara 34 396 137
135 John Huh 57 395 133
136 Harris English 59 393 131
137 Nick Taylor 56 392 138
138 Jim Herman 45 388 139
139 Satoshi Kodaira 18 388 125
140 Aaron Baddeley 49 387 134
141 Seung-yul Noh 42 386 142
142 Trey Mullinax 48 385 141
143 Wesley Bryan 47 384 144
144 Alexander Bjork 42 383 143
145 Brandon Hagy 32 381 147
146 Abraham Ancer 33 378 145
147 Morgan Hoffmann 48 376 154
148 Harold Varner 61 375 152
149 Andrew Johnston 45 374 153
150 Miguel Angel Jimenez 15 373 149
151 Julian Suri 28 369 156
152 David Hearn 56 367 146
153 Tom Hoge 54 366 158
154 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 366 157
155 Kelly Kraft 57 366 148
156 Henrik Norlander 20 364 159
157 Ben Martin 57 362 151
158 Johnson Wagner 52 362 163
159 CT Pan 54 361 164
160 Chris Paisley 53 361 162
161 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 47 359 165
162 Andrew Putnam 24 359 161
163 Chad Campbell 55 358 155
164 Talor Gooch 24 356 150
165 Seamus Power 49 353 160
166 Ryan Blaum 50 348 188
167 Tyrone van Aswegen 63 342 166
168 Richard Sterne 45 337 168
169 Shubhankar Sharma 23 336 170
170 Daniel Summerhays 55 335 167
171 Ryan Fox 41 334 171
172 JT Poston 47 328 180
173 Dominic Bozzelli 41 328 169
174 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 322 172
175 Pablo Larrazabal 52 322 174
176 George Coetzee 57 322 175
177 Jeunghun Wang 55 321 173
178 Mackenzie Hughes 51 321 177
179 Jonas Blixt 49 319 179
180 Martin Pillar 14 309 220
181 Martin Flores 49 309 189
182 Chris Wood 53 308 178
183 Corey Conners 24 308 176
184 Eddie Pepperell 46 307 182
185 Nicolas Colsaerts 54 307 184
186 Derek Fathauer 57 306 204
187 Tyler Duncan 25 304 201
188 Joel Dahmen 37 302 216
189 Brian Stuard 62 302 186
190 Adrian Otaegui 54 300 194
191 David Horsey 49 299 187
192 Richy Werenski 50 299 183
193 Richie Ramsay 52 297 181
194 Michael Kim 55 294 185
195 Benjamin Hebert 49 289 205
196 Troy Merritt 64 288 190
197 Nacho Elvira 54 288 197
198 Luke Donald 46 287 198
199 Whee Kim 58 285 196
200 JJ Henry 56 285 193
201 Jaco van Zyl 30 283 200
202 Cameron Percy 45 282 191
203 Robert Streb 58 282 195
204 Matt Jones 52 281 234
205 Chris Stroud 51 281 202
206 Alex Cejka 58 280 192
207 Kyung-tae Kim 19 277 208
208 Nate Lashley 20 273 222
209 Geoff Ogilvy 49 272 215
210 Blayne Barber 49 271 199
211 Retief Goosen 41 270 210
212 David Lipsky 56 270 203
213 Dean Burmester 42 266 213
214 Adam Schenk 25 265 207
215 Daisuke Kataoka 13 263 214
216 Julian Etulain 29 262 219
217 Rob Oppenheim 37 259 211
218 Bronson Burgoon 28 258 280
219 Padraig Harrington 45 258 212
220 Andrea Pavan 17 256 206
221 Roberto Castro 39 256 217
222 Tom Lovelady 22 255 209
223 Camilo Villegas 53 254 224
224 Matthew Southgate 55 254 223
225 Mikko Ilonen 44 254 221
226 Ben Crane 51 254 218
227 Andres Gonzales 41 251 225
228 Curtis Luck 25 247 227
229 Stephen Gallacher 46 246 229
230 Tim Wilkinson 40 240 231
231 Ryo Ishikawa 28 240 232
232 Callum Shinkwin 43 239 233
233 Shawn Stefani 57 238 245
234 Ashun Wu 49 238 226
235 Ryan Armour 46 234 230
236 Alejandro Canizares 42 233 235
237 Matt Wallace 37 232 236
238 Scott Hend 57 230 238
239 Michael Putnam 9 230 243
240 Nicholas Lindheim 45 229 253
241 Peter Hanson 35 228 228
242 Joakim Lagergren 51 227 242
243 Robby Shelton 12 227 246
244 Anthony Wall 37 227 244
245 Ricky Barnes 58 224 237
246 Tag Ridings 27 223 247
247 Cameron Tringale 60 222 241
248 Robert Rock 50 221 250
249 Zac Blair 61 221 254
250 Billy Hurley 54 221 239
251 Scott Jamieson 54 220 251
252 Jonathan Byrd 31 219 257
253 Bradley Dredge 46 219 240
254 Martin Piller 22 218 252
255 Smylie Kaufman 57 215 248
256 Denny McCarthy 23 214 264
257 Matthieu Pavon 41 212 249
258 Thomas Detry 42 209 255
259 Rikard Karlberg 34 209 258
260 Will MacKenzie 29 208 265
261 Jordan Smith 27 206 256
262 Maximilian Kieffer 48 206 259
263 Andrew Dodt 47 205 260
264 Thongchai Jaidee 51 205 266
265 Joachim B Hansen 19 204 289
266 Paul Waring 39 204 268
267 Sebastian Munoz 24 203 270
268 Greg Chalmers 56 202 263
269 Yuta Ikeda 24 201 269
270 Richard Bland 51 201 261
271 Renato Paratore 57 200 271
272 Julien Guerrier 18 200 273
273 Graeme Storm 51 199 274
274 Austin Connelly 30 196 267
275 Xin-jun Zhang 21 196 262
276 Yusaku Miyazato 18 195 275
277 Sam Ryder 25 194 283
278 Marc Warren 55 193 272
279 David Drysdale 58 192 291
280 John Peterson 26 189 281
281 Greg Owen 32 188 282
282 Cody Gribble 48 187 296
283 Chris Hanson 52 187 277
284 KJ Choi 46 185 284
285 Chad Collins 38 184 285
286 Aaron Rai 27 183 279
287 Mikko Korhonen 44 182 286
288 Darren Fichardt 42 181 287
289 Erik Van Rooyen 18 181 276
290 Jason Scrivener 53 181 290
291 Nino Bertasio 59 178 295
292 Chase Koepka 17 178 278
293 Scott Langley 18 176 298
294 Tapio Pulkkanen 12 176 299
295 Oliver Fisher 55 174 312
296 Sean Crocker 13 173 300
297 Lucas Bjerregaard 57 173 305
298 Kyle Reifers 50 172 297
299 Thomas Aiken 48 171 292
300 Vijay Singh 35 170 304
301 Benjamin Silverman 22 170 288
302 David Bransdon 8 170 314
303 Spencer Levin 47 169 303
304 Wade Ormsby 39 169 311
305 Poom Saksansin 18 168 313
306 Lanto Griffin 20 167 294
307 Jonathan Randolph 45 167 306
308 Matteo Manassero 52 166 315
309 Romain Wattel 50 166 301
310 Florian Fritsch 33 166 293
311 Gregory Bourdy 56 166 309
312 Haydn Porteous 62 165 307
313 Carlos Ortiz 19 165 318
314 Boo Weekley 35 164 316
315 Rod Pampling 51 163 310
316 Maverick McNealy 10 163 342
317 Fabian Gomez 52 162 332
318 Young-han Song 14 161 317
319 Sam Horsfield 25 161 308
320 Ethan Tracy 21 161 509
321 Adam Bland 16 160 302
322 Khalin Joshi 8 159 323
323 Juvic Pagunsan 9 158 321
324 Paul Peterson 48 158 325
325 Jamie Donaldson 47 156 319
326 Lee Slattery 52 155 329
327 Alex Prugh 12 155 322
328 Victor Perez 8 154
329 Rick Lamb 34 152 320
330 Peter Malnati 60 152 327
331 Gregory Havret 55 152 326
332 Ricardo Gouveia 56 151 324
333 Marcus Kinhult 16 150 334
334 Ryan Brehm 33 150 333
335 Jordan Niebrugge 9 149 347
336 JC Ritchie 9 149 336
337 Hunter Mahan 51 148 330
338 Sam Brazel 41 148 341
339 Andres Romero 33 146 343
340 James Morrison 57 144 335
341 Trevor Fisher 25 144 328
342 Rhein Gibson 18 143 345
343 Brian Campbell 27 142 349
344 Davis Love 25 141 350
345 Marcus Fraser 46 141 338
346 Steve Wheatcroft 45 141 344
347 Kristoffer Broberg 24 141 355
348 Angel Cabrera 32 140 339
349 Brendon de Jonge 34 140 337
350 Robert Karlsson 45 139 362
351 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 33 139 352
352 Freddie Jacobson 17 138 348
353 Ashley Chesters 37 137 346
354 Matt Every 54 137 351
355 Jin Choi 16 137 340
356 Hennie Otto 17 135 358
357 Marcel Siem 49 135 353
358 Panuphol Pittayarat 17 134 360
359 Brandon Stone 49 134 354
360 Micah Lauren Shin 8 133 359
361 DA Points 48 133 361
362 Bill Lunde 11 132 364
363 Brett Coletta 10 132 366
364 John Senden 30 132 331
365 Will Wilcox 23 132 367
366 Jose-Filipe Lima 29 131 368
367 Jake McLeod 8 131 370
368 Lasse Jensen 53 128 363
369 Jacques Blaauw 15 127 376
370 Danny Willett 45 125 373
371 Sangmoon Bae 14 124 357
372 Prayad Marksaeng 9 124 383
373 Brett Drewitt 27 124 380
374 Stephan Jaeger 28 123 369
375 Julien Quesne 43 123 365
376 Romain Langasque 38 121 371
377 Ockie Strydom 9 120 386
378 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 18 120 372
379 Michael Johnson 10 119 379
380 Shiv Kapur 25 118 388
381 Lee McCoy 10 118 394
382 Scott Vincent 27 118 382
383 Dicky Pride 23 118 374
384 Roberto Diaz 26 118 381
385 Jacques Kruyswijk 16 118 375
386 Anders Hansen 16 117 356
387 Mark Anderson 25 117 389
388 Brett Stegmaier 54 117 384
389 Ben Eccles 10 115 390
390 Johan Carlsson 44 115 385
391 Matthew Baldwin 27 115 421
392 YE Yang 28 114 391
393 Bernd Ritthammer 32 113 387
394 Lucas Herbert 15 113 377
395 Stephen Leaney 8 113 397
396 Thomas Bjorn 37 113 402
397 Matthias Schwab 11 113 378
398 Gavin Moynihan 12 112 401
399 Magnus A Carlsson 37 112 400
400 Brett Rumford 47 110 393
More | Less

AT&T Byron Nelson

May 14, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Jordan Spieth
Jordan Spieth
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jordan Spieth -4.3 21
2 Matt Kuchar -3.8 108
3 Charles Howell 7.2 9
4 Jimmy Walker 15.3 6
5 Chesson Hadley 20.7 DNP
6 Marc Leishman 23.4 2
7 Billy Horschel 24.4 21
8 Adam Scott 29.6 9
9 Hideki Matsuyama 29.7 16
10 Sergio Garcia 33.8 108
11 Martin Laird 34.0 151
12 Steve Stricker 34.8 DNP
13 Branden Grace 37.4 3
14 James Hahn 37.9 125
15 Scott Piercy 40.1 32
16 Brandt Snedeker 43.6 76
17 Joaquin Niemann 43.8 76
18 Ryan Palmer 45.1 108
19 Bill Haas 45.6 76
20 Chez Reavie 49.1 DNP
21 Grayson Murray 52.3 WD
22 Satoshi Kodaira 53.7 140
23 Rory Sabbatini 53.7 13
24 Russell Knox 54.4 16
25 Kevin Na 54.5 6
26 Aaron Wise 54.5 1
27 Beau Hossler 54.6 32
28 Peter Uihlein 54.6 21
29 Chad Campbell 55.0 90
30 JB Holmes 57.7 42
31 David Hearn 57.8 140
32 Johnson Wagner 57.8 32
33 Graeme McDowell 58.6 76
34 Richy Werenski 59.3 128
35 Patrick Rodgers 59.8 53
36 Andrew Putnam 60.5 42
37 Vaughn Taylor 60.8 59
38 Seamus Power 61.2 90
39 Keith Mitchell 61.3 3
40 Brice Garnett 61.3 DNP
41 Robert Garrigus 61.3 21
42 Sam Saunders 61.4 76
43 Michael Thompson 61.6 59
44 Talor Gooch 61.8 76
45 Harris English 61.9 90
46 JJ Spaun 62.0 3
47 Anirban Lahiri 62.3 26
48 Brian Gay 62.3 12
49 Trey Mullinax 62.9 DNP
50 Sung Kang 63.0 42
51 Hudson Swafford 63.1 59
52 John Huh 63.3 76
53 Abraham Ancer 63.3 42
54 Kevin Tway 63.7 9
55 David Lingmerth 63.8 90
56 Aaron Baddeley 63.9 108
57 Daniel Summerhays 64.0 128
58 Greg Chalmers 64.3 146
59 Nate Lashley 65.2 32
60 Nick Taylor 65.9 32
61 Troy Merritt 66.1 53
62 JT Poston 66.5 26
63 Michael Kim 66.5 108
64 JJ Henry 66.8 76
65 Ben Crane 66.8 53
66 Kelly Kraft 67.1 90
67 Adam Schenk 67.1 59
68 Corey Conners 67.1 53
69 Cameron Percy 67.4 70
70 Ben Martin 67.7 140
71 Dominic Bozzelli 68.3 59
72 Tyrone van Aswegen 68.3 140
73 Joel Dahmen 68.5 16
74 CT Pan 68.7 32
75 Tyler Duncan 68.7 26
76 Rob Oppenheim 69.0 125
77 Brian Stuard 69.5 42
78 Billy Hurley 69.5 76
79 Martin Flores 69.7 26
80 Alex Cejka 69.8 90
81 Tom Lovelady 69.8 70
82 Denny McCarthy 69.8 42
83 Robert Streb 70.5 53
84 Matt Jones 70.6 13
85 Whee Kim 70.7 DNP
86 Ryan Blaum 71.0 6
87 Shawn Stefani 71.0 26
88 Martin Pillar 71.1 21
89 Blayne Barber 71.5 90
90 Ricky Barnes 71.5 DQ
91 Geoff Ogilvy 71.7 32
92 Zac Blair 71.8 42
93 Padraig Harrington 71.9 76
94 Cameron Tringale 72.0 128
95 Derek Fathauer 72.0 16
96 Brendon de Jonge 72.1 76
97 Jonathan Byrd 72.9 42
98 Rod Pampling 73.5 70
99 Colt Knost 73.7 DNP
100 Nicholas Lindheim 73.7 32
101 Smylie Kaufman 73.8 140
102 Boo Weekley 73.8 DNP
103 Cody Gribble 74.6 32
104 Ryan Armour 74.6 59
105 Bronson Burgoon 74.7 16
106 Sam Ryder 74.8 42
107 John Senden 75.3 128
108 Xin-jun Zhang 75.3 108
109 Benjamin Silverman 75.3 90
110 Lanto Griffin 75.8 76
111 Maverick McNealy 76.0 42
112 Hunter Mahan 76.5 90
113 Jonathan Randolph 76.7 108
114 Fabian Gomez 77.3 32
115 Peter Malnati 77.5 59
116 Brett Stegmaier 77.9 90
117 Steve Wheatcroft 77.9 53
118 Angel Cabrera 78.0 128
119 Rick Lamb 78.2 108
120 Dicky Pride 78.4 90
121 Roberto Diaz 78.5 66
122 Andres Romero 78.6 DNP
123 Bill Lunde 78.9 DNP
124 Matt Every 79.3 76
125 Ernie Els 79.3 108
126 Stephan Jaeger 79.3 90
127 Sangmoon Bae 79.6 69
128 George McNeill 79.8 128
129 Ken Duke 80.0 108
130 John Merrick 80.2 108
131 Jason Gore 80.5 DNP
132 Troy Matteson 80.6 140
133 Eric Axley 81.1 42
134 Steve Marino 81.3 108
135 Stuart Appleby 81.4 108
136 Matt Atkins 81.6 66
137 Ethan Tracy 82.0 13
138 Tommy Gainey 82.1 128
139 Carl Pettersson 82.1 90
140 Steven Bowditch 82.3 128
141 Robert Allenby 82.5 75
142 Conrad Shindler 82.6 90
143 Tim Herron 82.8 90
144 Mark Wilson 82.8 74
145 Andrew Yun 83.3 108
146 Brendon Todd 83.5 152
147 Daniel Chopra 83.5 108
148 Ze-cheng Dou 83.7 76
149 Brian Davis 84.8 73
150 John Rollins 85.1 108
151 DJ Trahan 85.3 128
152 Kyle Thompson 85.4 128
153 Charlie Beljan 85.4 90
154 David Berganio 85.6 90
155 Kris Blanks 85.6 146
156 Noah Goodwin 85.6 152
157 Brian Norman 85.6 154
158 Will Zalatoris 85.6 108
159 Parker McLachlin 85.6 26
160 Omar Uresti 85.6 125
161 Cameron Beckman 85.7 128
TJ Vogel late entry 68
Oliver Goss late entry 107
Steven Ihm late entry 137
Ryan Baca late entry 148
Tom Whitney late entry 150
David Duval late entry 155
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The accuracy number for these picks is 153. The average is 209. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.