ISPS Handa World Super 6 Perth

February 5, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,

Brett Rumford
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Brett Rumford 58.9 40
2 Jason Scrivener 58.9 26
3 Thorbjorn Olesen 60.7 9
4 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60.7 1
5 Lee Westwood 62.8 40
6 Chase Koepka 63.2 58
7 Andrew Johnston 63.8 119
8 Ryan Fox 65.5 26
9 Wade Ormsby 66.5 26
10 David Lipsky 66.9 77
11 Daisuke Kataoka 67.0 40
12 Hideto Tanihara 67.1 65
13 David Bransdon 68.9 26
14 Marcus Fraser 69.3 17
15 Andrew Dodt 69.4 65
16 Alejandro Canizares 69.7 130
17 Paul Peterson 70.3 81
18 Danny Willett 72.0 137
19 Richard McEvoy 72.2 119
20 Adrien Saddier 72.3 90
21 Felipe Aguilar 72.9 144
22 Adam Bland 72.9 73
23 Austin Connelly 73.0 80
24 Ben Evans 73.1 113
25 Poom Saksansin 73.4 DNP
26 Bernd Ritthammer 73.6 81
27 Mark Foster 73.6 79
28 Gaganjeet Bhullar 74.1 90
29 Richard Green 74.4 40
30 Connor Syme 74.5 105
31 Sean Crocker 74.6 5
32 Laurie Canter 74.7 49
33 Charlie Ford 74.8 65
34 Aaron Rai 74.8 26
35 Tom Lewis 74.9 90
36 Adilson da Silva 75.0 81
37 Marcus Armitage 75.1 90
38 Duncan Stewart 75.2 90
39 Jens Fahrbring 75.3 65
40 Sebastian Heisele 75.3 105
41 Jbe Kruger 75.4 81
42 Jens Dantorp 75.5 73
43 Alexander Knappe 75.6 65
44 Prom Meesawat 75.6 9
45 Nathan Kimsey 75.7 119
46 Lucas Herbert 75.8 3
47 Gary Stal 75.9 113
48 Prayad Marksaeng 76.0 DNP
49 Pep Angles 76.2 40
50 Nick Cullen 76.3 DNP
51 Simon Khan 76.3 DNP
52 Zander Lombard 76.3 17
53 Johan Edfors 76.4 26
54 Julien Guerrier 76.4 33
55 Pontus Widegren 76.4 144
56 Yusaku Miyazato 76.5 9
57 Scott Henry 76.6 DNP
58 Matthew Nixon 76.6 119
59 Pavit Tangkamolprasert 76.8 17
60 Ryan Evans 76.8 33
61 Sebastien Gros 77.0 40
62 Sam Horsfield 77.0 4
63 Matthew Millar 77.0 9
64 Satoshi Kodaira 77.1 17
65 Jordan Zunic 77.2 49
66 Shiv Kapur 77.3 119
67 Jason Norris 77.5 137
68 Nathan Holman 77.6 154
69 Matthew Griffin 77.7 58
70 Brett Coletta 77.7 90
71 Christofer Blomstrand 78.0 113
72 Scott Vincent 78.3 26
73 Gareth Paddison 78.4 49
74 Ben Leong 78.7 154
75 Steven Jeffress 78.8 81
76 James Nitties 78.8 17
77 Ben Eccles 78.9 17
78 Michael Hendry 79.5 90
79 Stephen Leaney 79.7 17
80 Daniel Fox 79.9 65
81 Matthew Guyatt 80.1 81
82 Josh Younger 80.2 113
83 Terry Pilkadaris 80.5 40
84 Danthai Boonma 80.8 105
85 Jake Higginbottom 80.9 49
86 Johannes Veerman 81.0 90
87 Matthew Baldwin 81.1 137
88 Garrick Porteous 81.2 130
89 Ajeetesh Sandhu 81.2 90
90 Miguel Tabuena 81.3 DNP
91 Seung-su Han 81.3 58
92 Mark Brown 81.4 81
93 Jarryd Felton 81.5 58
94 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 81.5 113
95 Jazz Janewattananond 81.5 40
96 Todd Sinnott 81.7 73
97 Michael Long 81.7 144
98 Andrea Pavan 82.1 9
99 Rattanon Wannasrichan 82.3 58
100 Ashley Hall 82.3 DNP
101 Javier Colomo 82.4 119
102 Siddikur Rahman 82.5 WD
103 Peter Wilson 82.6 144
104 Tirawat Kaewsirbandit 82.6 90
105 Jarin Todd 82.8 49
106 Adam Blyth 82.8 58
107 Gavin Moynihan 82.9 130
108 Yi Keun Chang 83.0 9
109 Robert Allenby 83.0 33
110 Travis Smyth 83.0 153
111 Jake McLeod 83.2 33
112 Arnond Vongvanij 83.3 105
113 Dimitrios Papadatos 83.4 9
114 James Marchesani 83.4 49
115 Suradit Yongcharoenchai 83.5 33
116 Josh Geary 83.6 105
117 Scott Fernandez 83.7 90
118 Daniel Nisbet 83.8 119
119 Natipong Srithong 83.9 130
120 Victor Perez 83.9 81
121 Nicholas Fung 84.0 33
122 Lionel Weber 84.0 DNP
123 Matthias Schwab 84.0 33
124 Aron Price 84.1 73
125 Dale Brandt-Richards 84.1 144
126 James Heath 84.2 137
127 Anthony Quayle 84.3 25
128 Steven Brown 84.4 49
129 Min Woo Lee 84.4 5
130 Jack Wilson 84.5 49
131 Taylor MacDonald 84.5 81
132 Peter O’Malley 84.6 137
133 Jonathan Thomson 84.7 130
134 Yan-wei Liu 84.7 137
135 Nicolas Geyger 84.7 113
136 Jack Munro 84.8 DNP
137 Ben Campbell 84.8 137
138 Brad Kennedy 84.9 5
139 Bradley Neil 84.9 77
140 Daniel Pearce 84.9 105
141 Philipp Mejow 84.9 DNP
142 Peter Lonard 85.0 90
143 Adrian Meronk 85.0 130
144 Deyen Lawson 85.0 144
145 Marcel Schneider 85.0 119
146 Adri Arnaus 85.1 DNP
147 Brett Rankin 85.1 119
148 Christopher Mivis 85.1 49
149 Damien Jordan 85.2 144
150 Peter Fowler 85.2 58
151 Hugo Leon 85.3 DNP
152 Grant Forrest 85.3 17
153 Cory Crawford 85.3 40
154 David Smail 85.3 119
155 Simon Hawkes 85.3 105
156 Rak hyun Cho 85.3 DNP
157 Joel Girrbach 85.3 65
158 Darren Beck 85.3 144
159 Callan O’Reilly 85.3 5
160 Aaron Townsend 85.3 119
161 Lorenzo Gagli 85.5 90
162 Tom Murray 85.6 90
163 Nick O’Hern 86.7 130
Rak Cho late entry 71
Matt Stieger late entry 96
Berry Henson late entry 108
Simon Yates late entry 146
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 116. The average is 211. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Feb. 4, 2018)

February 5, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson has a streak of 47 weeks on top of the ratings as he heads into the core of his season.
# Thru Feb. 4, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 47 1726 1
2 Paul Casey 47 1697 2
3 Jordan Spieth 51 1600 3
4 Rickie Fowler 51 1509 4
5 Jon Rahm 41 1453 7
6 Jason Day 44 1446 5
7 Rory McIlroy 41 1435 6
8 Patrick Cantlay 16 1396 8
9 Justin Thomas 54 1360 10
10 Brooks Koepka 47 1333 11
11 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1298 9
12 Justin Rose 48 1294 12
13 Matt Kuchar 61 1255 14
14 Phil Mickelson 49 1204 18
15 Henrik Stenson 47 1166 13
16 Pat Perez 36 1160 16
17 Adam Scott 42 1150 15
18 Marc Leishman 54 1143 17
19 Louis Oosthuizen 45 1111 20
20 Francesco Molinari 50 1103 19
21 Patrick Reed 69 1070 21
22 Tyrrell Hatton 48 1046 22
23 Sergio Garcia 45 1037 23
24 Brendan Steele 49 1021 30
25 Gary Woodland 56 1020 28
26 Brian Harman 59 1012 25
27 Tony Finau 58 1002 24
28 Webb Simpson 49 967 26
29 Rafa Cabrera Bello 59 964 27
30 Kevin Kisner 56 931 31
31 Steve Stricker 29 930 29
32 Brandt Snedeker 45 930 33
33 Daniel Berger 54 922 37
34 Charles Howell 48 915 34
35 Alex Noren 46 900 36
36 Chez Reavie 55 897 44
37 Charley Hoffman 60 888 35
38 Ryan Moore 48 877 32
39 Kevin Chappell 56 858 39
40 Zach Johnson 52 847 38
41 Branden Grace 55 843 40
42 Jason Dufner 51 842 41
43 Tommy Fleetwood 53 837 42
44 Charl Schwartzel 48 825 43
45 Bill Haas 53 800 49
46 Keegan Bradley 56 789 46
47 Kyle Stanley 56 783 45
48 Lucas Glover 49 773 50
49 Emiliano Grillo 55 769 48
50 Xander Schauffele 37 763 55
51 Ryan Palmer 42 754 47
52 Russell Henley 51 733 52
53 JB Holmes 51 727 51
54 Martin Kaymer 51 722 57
55 Adam Hadwin 55 720 54
56 Kevin Na 51 713 53
57 Ian Poulter 49 702 58
58 Thomas Pieters 48 699 60
59 Ollie Schniederjans 41 698 82
60 James Hahn 55 696 72
61 Graham DeLaet 43 691 62
62 Ross Fisher 47 689 64
63 Matthew Fitzpatrick 58 687 65
64 Stewart Cink 47 686 66
65 Bud Cauley 47 680 59
66 Jhonattan Vegas 59 675 68
67 Martin Laird 49 673 80
68 Jason Kokrak 56 673 69
69 Shane Lowry 52 666 63
70 Brandon Harkins 14 665 56
71 Bernd Wiesberger 57 663 67
72 Scott Piercy 46 660 61
73 Cameron Smith 55 658 70
74 Kevin Streelman 52 633 74
75 Luke List 61 626 78
76 Russell Knox 62 625 71
77 Anirban Lahiri 54 622 73
78 Byeong Hun An 54 621 81
79 Bubba Watson 47 613 76
80 Jimmy Walker 51 613 77
81 William McGirt 55 611 75
82 Chris Kirk 60 609 90
83 Jamie Lovemark 56 590 79
84 Sean O’Hair 53 583 86
85 Jordan L Smith 13 583 84
86 Billy Horschel 50 581 83
87 Lee Westwood 47 566 89
88 Scott Brown 57 563 85
89 Chesson Hadley 43 561 110
90 Jerry Kelly 27 556 92
91 David Lingmerth 58 556 93
92 Hudson Swafford 56 555 87
93 Jim Furyk 32 552 91
94 Soren Kjeldsen 55 548 88
95 Peter Uihlein 43 530 94
96 Robert Garrigus 48 521 95
97 JJ Spaun 43 518 96
98 Patton Kizzire 55 513 102
99 Graeme McDowell 57 512 100
100 Haotong Li 45 507 97
101 Bryson DeChambeau 54 506 119
102 Austin Cook 15 500 106
103 Si Woo Kim 62 500 99
104 Sung Kang 63 493 101
105 Andrew Landry 29 488 98
106 Nick Taylor 56 487 103
107 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56 487 104
108 Brian Gay 46 466 134
109 Danny Lee 67 458 105
110 Victor Dubuisson 34 454 112
111 Wesley Bryan 40 452 107
112 Joost Luiten 52 451 114
113 Kevin Tway 40 450 108
114 Alexander Levy 47 442 109
115 Nick Watney 29 441 128
116 Andy Sullivan 57 441 115
117 Rafael Campos 10 439 116
118 Grayson Murray 39 433 111
119 Vaughn Taylor 56 428 150
120 Beau Hossler 20 427 172
121 Harris English 58 427 113
122 Chad Campbell 57 422 120
123 Daisuke Kataoka 9 421 121
124 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 421 117
125 Aaron Wise 18 421 124
126 Mackenzie Hughes 42 417 118
127 Ben Martin 57 411 122
128 Jim Herman 52 406 129
129 Robert Streb 57 402 125
130 Hideto Tanihara 29 400 146
131 Tom Hoge 52 399 126
132 Julian Suri 19 396 123
133 Brian Stuard 56 396 127
134 Martin Flores 39 394 160
135 Harold Varner 61 394 132
136 Aaron Baddeley 50 391 151
137 Alex Cejka 56 389 130
138 Patrick Rodgers 57 389 131
139 Richard Sterne 43 385 135
140 Miguel Angel Jimenez 19 382 139
141 David Hearn 61 380 137
142 Sam Saunders 52 380 138
143 Whee Kim 60 378 133
144 Andrew Johnston 46 378 136
145 Daniel Summerhays 59 373 142
146 Paul Dunne 51 371 147
147 Dylan Frittelli 43 370 168
148 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 44 370 153
149 Brandon Hagy 33 368 148
150 Morgan Hoffmann 56 368 141
151 Fabrizio Zanotti 48 367 140
152 Luke Donald 50 366 149
153 Roberto Castro 48 365 145
154 Michael Kim 55 365 143
155 CT Pan 43 363 144
156 Padraig Harrington 47 360 155
157 Seung-yul Noh 51 360 158
158 Chase Koepka 9 358 161
159 Michael Thompson 44 357 159
160 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 353 163
161 Geoff Ogilvy 48 350 152
162 David Horsey 47 350 162
163 Tyrone van Aswegen 63 348 156
164 Alexander Bjork 35 347 154
165 John Huh 56 346 171
166 Ryan Blaum 40 346 157
167 Johnson Wagner 54 342 170
168 Jorge Campillo 53 339 181
169 Billy Hurley 51 339 165
170 Kelly Kraft 53 339 167
171 Richie Ramsay 50 339 166
172 Chris Wood 54 339 173
173 Scott Stallings 56 335 187
174 Retief Goosen 42 333 164
175 Eddie Pepperell 44 331 169
176 Seamus Power 40 331 174
177 Rory Sabbatini 49 327 185
178 JT Poston 41 323 177
179 David Lipsky 56 322 183
180 John Senden 37 318 176
181 Blayne Barber 50 315 175
182 George Coetzee 56 315 182
183 Ryan Fox 42 315 194
184 Pablo Larrazabal 51 315 193
185 Henrik Norlander 27 313 184
186 Jeunghun Wang 56 309 180
187 Chris Stroud 54 308 178
188 Smylie Kaufman 56 305 179
189 Benjamin Silverman 13 302 186
190 Xin-jun Zhang 12 298 190
191 Shubhankar Sharma 16 296 261
192 Richard Bland 49 294 191
193 Ricky Barnes 65 288 189
194 Jaco van Zyl 35 286 195
195 Camilo Villegas 57 284 192
196 Talor Gooch 13 282 201
197 Chris Paisley 56 281 202
198 Benjamin Hebert 49 278 210
199 Tyler Duncan 13 278 188
200 Thongchai Jaidee 52 276 200
201 Derek Fathauer 57 275 203
202 Dean Burmester 42 274 199
203 Matthew Southgate 58 273 198
204 Andres Gonzales 52 272 206
205 Ryan Armour 35 272 196
206 Rob Oppenheim 36 271 207
207 Dominic Bozzelli 31 271 197
208 Tim Wilkinson 47 269 209
209 Scott Hend 61 267 204
210 Nacho Elvira 54 266 205
211 Cameron Percy 45 265 211
212 Lanto Griffin 12 264 215
213 Richy Werenski 39 260 208
214 Trey Mullinax 41 259 218
215 David Toms 19 257 214
216 Abraham Ancer 28 257 220
217 JJ Henry 54 257 222
218 Shawn Stefani 57 256 217
219 Cameron Tringale 60 256 213
220 Matthieu Pavon 35 256 245
221 Kyung-tae Kim 21 255 223
222 Jonas Blixt 51 254 212
223 Anthony Wall 38 254 224
224 Kyle Reifers 61 253 219
225 Brice Garnett 27 253 225
226 Peter Hanson 36 252 229
227 Rikard Karlberg 38 251 227
228 Gregory Bourdy 57 250 216
229 Martin Piller 28 250 226
230 Bradley Dredge 43 250 230
231 Scott Jamieson 52 250 243
232 Ben Crane 53 249 228
233 Alejandro Canizares 46 249 232
234 Ryo Ishikawa 28 248 279
235 Vijay Singh 41 246 231
236 Curtis Luck 24 245 233
237 Ashun Wu 45 245 235
238 Corey Conners 14 244 236
239 Julian Etulain 29 243 239
240 Matt Jones 57 241 240
241 Stephen Gallacher 44 240 238
242 Callum Shinkwin 42 239 242
243 Darren Fichardt 40 236 244
244 Joakim Lagergren 49 236 237
245 Fabian Gomez 50 235 234
246 Keith Mitchell 16 231 249
247 Mikko Ilonen 46 231 247
248 Thomas Detry 36 229 255
249 Colt Knost 30 228 221
250 Chris Hanson 49 226 246
251 Nino Bertasio 56 225 282
252 Danny Willett 46 225 241
253 Adrian Otaegui 55 225 251
254 Marc Warren 54 222 250
255 Graeme Storm 52 222 252
256 Jonathan Byrd 26 220 259
257 Andrew Putnam 14 219 260
258 Tag Ridings 27 217 266
259 Bryce Molder 45 217 253
260 Jonathan Randolph 36 217 267
261 Will MacKenzie 39 217 263
262 Florian Fritsch 31 216 268
263 Yuta Ikeda 18 216 257
264 Jamie Donaldson 49 215 262
265 Ted Potter 19 214 270
266 Cody Gribble 38 214 256
267 Zac Blair 67 213 273
268 Thomas Aiken 50 213 269
269 Matt Wallace 30 213 254
270 Maximilian Kieffer 47 213 294
271 Robert Rock 49 212 258
272 David Drysdale 56 211 275
273 Chad Collins 50 211 274
274 Poom Saksansin 16 211 248
275 Spencer Levin 59 209 271
276 Boo Weekley 45 208 276
277 Robby Shelton 12 208 281
278 Bronson Burgoon 31 206 278
279 Scott Langley 26 205 280
280 Austin Connelly 26 205 264
281 Andrew Dodt 46 205 277
282 Jordan Smith 21 203 265
283 Nicholas Lindheim 36 201 287
284 Troy Merritt 62 201 283
285 Romain Wattel 52 198 306
286 Mikko Korhonen 45 197 289
287 John Peterson 23 195 286
288 Freddie Jacobson 28 195 285
289 Renato Paratore 58 195 288
290 DA Points 45 195 284
291 Davis Love 28 192 296
292 Young-han Song 14 191 272
293 Haydn Porteous 59 190 291
294 Stephan Jaeger 18 189 299
295 Matteo Manassero 51 188 293
296 Steve Wheatcroft 51 187 300
297 Paul Waring 34 186 292
298 Khalin Joshi 8 186
299 Jason Scrivener 52 186 298
300 Ricardo Gouveia 54 185 301
301 Sebastian Munoz 24 183 302
302 Wade Ormsby 39 183 297
303 Adam Schenk 15 182 305
304 James Morrison 54 182 303
305 Joel Dahmen 28 181 307
306 Rod Pampling 48 178 309
307 Michael Putnam 13 176 312
308 Julien Quesne 47 175 308
309 Tom Lovelady 13 175 295
310 KJ Choi 48 172 304
311 Greg Owen 43 171 315
312 Charlie Ford 9 169 316
313 Lucas Bjerregaard 57 168 311
314 Robert Karlsson 43 168 310
315 Oliver Fisher 55 168 313
316 David Bransdon 8 167 320
317 Connor Syme 9 166 317
318 Maverick McNealy 9 165 322
319 Rick Lamb 31 164 321
320 Marcus Fraser 45 163 314
321 Angel Cabrera 36 163 325
322 Alex Prugh 17 162 323
323 Jon Curran 43 162 318
324 Trevor Fisher 24 161 326
325 Lee Slattery 51 161 319
326 Ashley Chesters 29 159 327
327 Wes Roach 21 159 324
328 Paul Peterson 51 158 358
329 Brett Stegmaier 59 158 328
330 Bernd Ritthammer 28 157 329
331 Michael Johnson 10 156 332
332 Charlie Danielson 8 156 330
333 Adrien Saddier 13 155 331
334 Gregory Havret 56 154 335
335 Anders Hansen 15 154 338
336 Richard Lee 11 154 290
337 Prayad Marksaeng 11 153 375
338 JC Ritchie 8 151 339
339 Andres Romero 37 151 340
340 Peter Malnati 62 150 334
341 Brandon Stone 46 150 333
342 Nate Lashley 12 150 341
343 Steve Marino 33 149 336
344 Hunter Mahan 55 148 337
345 Lasse Jensen 51 148 343
346 Joachim B Hansen 23 145 348
347 Ryan Brehm 32 145 347
348 Satoshi Kodaira 10 144 345
349 Jose-Filipe Lima 31 144 346
350 Carlos Ortiz 30 144 349
351 Ryan Ruffels 14 143 344
352 Aaron Rai 18 143 350
353 Raphael Jacquelin 50 143 351
354 Erik Van Rooyen 11 142 352
355 Sam Brazel 41 142 342
356 Hennie Otto 20 142 355
357 Sean Crocker 8 141 353
358 Romain Langasque 34 140 356
359 Adam Bland 9 138 361
360 Brett Coletta 9 138 360
361 Rhein Gibson 26 138 362
362 Jordan Zunic 14 137 368
363 Felipe Aguilar 47 137 359
364 Marcel Siem 49 136 354
365 Yusaku Miyazato 13 136 393
366 Juvic Pagunsan 11 136 415
367 Stuart Appleby 44 136 357
368 Ben Evans 38 135 366
369 Johan Carlsson 47 134 365
370 Justin Hicks 14 134 367
371 Phachara Khongwatmai 35 134 389
372 Will Wilcox 34 133 364
373 Lucas Herbert 11 130 369
374 Lee McCoy 11 130 363
375 Ockie Strydom 8 129 370
376 Shiv Kapur 28 129 404
377 Brett Drewitt 27 128 371
378 Brian Campbell 27 127 372
379 Joel Stalter 29 125 373
380 Tom Gillis 10 124 379
381 Gavin Green 12 122 385
382 Luke Guthrie 20 122 374
383 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 31 120 382
384 Mark Hubbard 52 120 378
385 Greg Chalmers 50 119 376
386 Thomas Bjorn 33 118 387
387 Magnus A Carlsson 43 118 383
388 SSP Chawrasia 48 118 380
389 Justin Walters 51 117 384
390 YE Yang 30 117 386
391 Andrew Loupe 49 116 377
392 Christofer Blomstrand 11 116 388
393 Daniel Im 51 116 381
394 Sebastian Heisele 22 115 390
395 Bill Lunde 11 114 395
396 Ken Duke 53 113 391
397 Miguel Angel Carballo 36 112 394
398 Sebastian Soderberg 18 112 396
399 Josh Teater 10 110 401
400 Steven Alker 31 109 403
More | Less

A look at the Waste Management Phoenix Open

January 30, 2018 Thomas Hawley

The incredible mass of humanity otherwise known at the Waste Management Phoenix Open is next up. Drawing crowds nearing 200,000 per day (except Sunday, Super Bowl day), this is the no. 1 attendance event on the PGA Tour. Many of those in attendance will focus on two-time defending champion Hideki Matsuyama, who ranks as the favorite again this year. In two 2018 appearances, he has been fourth in the Sentry Tournament of Champions and a top-15 finisher last week in the Farmers Insurance Open. Additionally, he ranks in the top 15 of hottest players based on play in the last five months, and he is in the top 10 of players whose statistical profile Read more

Waste Management Phoenix Open

January 29, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,

Hideki Matsuyama
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Hideki Matsuyama 16.0 WD
2 Rickie Fowler 17.2 11
3 Jordan Spieth 20.4 73
4 Jon Rahm 23.9 11
5 Justin Thomas 31.3 17
6 Marc Leishman 35.4 31
7 Phil Mickelson 36.4 5
8 Webb Simpson 39.0 84
9 Tony Finau 39.4 73
10 Zach Johnson 39.7 57
11 Steve Stricker 40.1 31
12 Matt Kuchar 41.3 5
13 Patrick Reed 41.7 17
14 Ryan Moore 44.3 84
15 Gary Woodland 44.5 1
16 Francesco Molinari 45.2 40
17 Chez Reavie 45.3 2
18 Charles Howell 46.8 DNP
19 Brandt Snedeker 46.8 23
20 Brendan Steele 47.1 3
21 Daniel Berger 47.1 11
22 Alex Noren 47.6 21
23 Charley Hoffman 48.2 26
24 Keegan Bradley 50.0 43
25 Ian Poulter 50.6 52
26 Si Woo Kim 50.8 62
27 Kevin Chappell 50.8 31
28 Kevin Streelman 51.1 40
29 Shane Lowry 51.3 65
30 Ryan Palmer 51.5 84
31 Emiliano Grillo 52.3 57
32 Lucas Glover 52.4 43
33 Bud Cauley 52.7 84
34 Xander Schauffele 52.8 17
35 Brandon Harkins 53.7 73
36 Cameron Smith 53.8 48
37 Kyle Stanley 54.0 99
38 Anirban Lahiri 54.4 84
39 James Hahn 55.3 11
40 JB Holmes 55.8 99
41 Jason Kokrak 55.9 31
42 Russell Henley 55.9 73
43 Scott Piercy 56.0 84
44 Bubba Watson 56.0 40
45 William McGirt 56.2 84
46 Adam Hadwin 56.4 43
47 Chris Kirk 56.5 11
48 Tom Hoge 56.8 84
49 Kevin Na 56.8 48
50 Russell Knox 57.2 73
51 Andrew Landry 57.8 84
52 JJ Spaun 58.1 WD
53 Bill Haas 58.4 26
54 Peter Uihlein 58.5 52
55 Harris English 58.6 73
56 Brian Stuard 58.7 65
57 Patton Kizzire 59.0 31
58 Ollie Schniederjans 59.3 3
59 Jamie Lovemark 60.2 52
60 Austin Cook 60.5 31
61 Luke List 60.6 26
62 Hudson Swafford 60.6 99
63 Martin Laird 60.9 9
64 Ben Martin 61.7 67
65 Alex Cejka 61.7 WD
66 Bryson DeChambeau 61.7 5
67 Robert Garrigus 61.8 52
68 Scott Brown 61.9 113
69 Byeong Hun An 61.9 23
70 Chesson Hadley 62.3 5
71 Brian Gay 62.9 9
72 Billy Horschel 63.0 43
73 Kevin Tway 63.2 57
74 Nick Taylor 63.9 52
75 Aaron Wise 64.1 DNP
76 Retief Goosen 64.3 73
77 Julian Suri 64.4 127
78 Sung Kang 64.7 99
79 CT Pan 64.8 62
80 Grayson Murray 65.0 70
81 John Huh 65.3 38
82 Martin Flores 65.9 21
83 Danny Lee 66.0 73
84 Wesley Bryan 66.1 109
85 Tyrone van Aswegen 66.1 69
86 Vaughn Taylor 66.5 11
87 Harold Varner 66.7 38
88 Rory Sabbatini 66.8 31
89 Robert Streb 67.3 84
90 Nick Watney 67.4 26
91 Patrick Rodgers 67.4 99
92 Ryan Armour 67.7 73
93 Mackenzie Hughes 67.7 73
94 Chad Campbell 67.8 43
95 Ryan Blaum 67.9 117
96 Morgan Hoffmann 68.1 124
97 Beau Hossler 68.2 17
98 Michael Kim 68.3 84
99 Chris Stroud 68.4 84
100 Kelly Kraft 68.6 122
101 Whee Kim 68.9 99
102 Aaron Baddeley 68.9 26
103 Blayne Barber 69.0 67
104 Geoff Ogilvy 69.3 109
105 Brice Garnett 69.5 DNP
106 Richy Werenski 69.5 84
107 Benjamin Silverman 69.8 48
108 JJ Henry 70.0 DNP
109 Camilo Villegas 70.1 57
110 Nicholas Lindheim 70.2 DNP
111 Scott Stallings 70.5 23
112 Smylie Kaufman 70.5 124
113 Hunter Mahan 70.5 109
114 Talor Gooch 70.7 DNP
115 Billy Hurley 70.8 117
116 Abraham Ancer 70.8 DNP
117 Tyler Duncan 70.9 120
118 Dominic Bozzelli 71.1 99
119 Derek Fathauer 71.4 48
120 Jonas Blixt 72.0 113
121 Colt Knost 72.1 62
122 KJ Choi 72.4 99
123 Tom Lovelady 72.5 113
124 Fabian Gomez 72.5 84
125 Jonathan Randolph 72.6 DNP
126 Cody Gribble 72.7 70
127 Stephan Jaeger 72.9 DNP
128 Peter Malnati 73.3 73
129 DA Points 73.7 126
130 Matt Every 74.4 109
131 Greg Chalmers 74.4 122
132 John Peterson 74.9 57
133 Andrew Loupe 75.3 129
134 Martin Pillar 75.3 DNP
135 Sangmoon Bae 76.3 113
136 Wyndham Clark 77.4 117
137 Jesse Mueller 77.7 128
138 Charlie Beljan 85.0 72
Ricky Barnes late entry 98
Cameron Tringale late entry 106
Richard Lee late entry 108
John Oda late entry 121
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 44. The average is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Maybank Championship

January 29, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Henrik Stenson
Henrik Stenson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Henrik Stenson 36.6 60
2 Bernd Wiesberger 40.6 93
3 Daisuke Kataoka 53.7 23
4 Lee Westwood 55.3 11
5 Alexander Levy 57.5 55
6 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 57.6 27
7 Haotong Li 58.1 125
8 Thorbjorn Olesen 62.0 93
9 Fabrizio Zanotti 62.2 60
10 Soren Kjeldsen 62.2 39
11 Richie Ramsay 62.4 62
12 David Lipsky 63.8 17
13 Dylan Frittelli 64.0 5
14 Joost Luiten 64.1 11
15 Chris Paisley 64.6 27
16 Andrew Johnston 64.8 27
17 Andy Sullivan 64.9 17
18 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 64.9 17
19 Alexander Bjork 65.4 93
20 Jeunghun Wang 65.7 62
21 Pablo Larrazabal 66.5 3
22 Eddie Pepperell 66.6 80
23 David Horsey 66.7 34
24 Jorge Campillo 66.9 2
25 Danny Willett 67.2 115
26 Scott Hend 67.4 82
27 Hideto Tanihara 68.2 5
28 Matteo Manassero 68.4 55
29 Stephen Gallacher 68.4 39
30 Gregory Bourdy 68.4 93
31 Andrew Dodt 68.6 55
32 Ryan Fox 69.0 3
33 Thomas Detry 69.1 23
34 Robert Rock 69.1 115
35 Benjamin Hebert 69.1 17
36 Scott Jamieson 69.2 17
37 Wade Ormsby 69.2 153
38 Dean Burmester 69.2 106
39 Thongchai Jaidee 69.3 39
40 Poom Saksansin 69.3 93
41 Nacho Elvira 69.4 125
42 Matthew Southgate 69.4 62
43 Adrian Otaegui 69.6 39
44 Maximilian Kieffer 69.8 11
45 Matt Wallace 70.0 139
46 Alejandro Canizares 70.0 DNP
47 Marc Warren 70.1 67
48 Chris Hanson 70.2 74
49 Marcus Fraser 70.2 106
50 Haydn Porteous 70.6 82
51 Matthieu Pavon 70.8 11
52 Sam Brazel 70.9 133
53 Romain Wattel 71.0 11
54 Paul Peterson 71.2 11
55 Young-han Song 71.5 93
56 Paul Waring 71.5 125
57 Nino Bertasio 71.7 5
58 Jamie Donaldson 71.7 DNP
59 Joakim Lagergren 71.9 125
60 Shubhankar Sharma 72.1 1
61 James Morrison 72.1 DNP
62 Thomas Aiken 72.4 DNP
63 Gregory Havret 72.4 DNP
64 Graeme Storm 72.4 50
65 Jordan Smith 72.5 69
66 Austin Connelly 72.7 62
67 Lee Slattery 72.8 93
68 Ryo Ishikawa 72.9 5
69 Renato Paratore 73.0 115
70 Robert Karlsson 73.0 79
71 Lucas Bjerregaard 73.1 82
72 Prom Meesawat 73.4 39
73 Oliver Fisher 73.4 133
74 Yuta Ikeda 73.5 39
75 SSP Chawrasia 73.5 55
76 Lasse Jensen 73.5 DNP
77 Edoardo Molinari 73.6 133
78 Marcel Siem 73.8 76
79 Jbe Kruger 74.0 106
80 Carlos Pigem 74.1 76
81 Thomas Bjorn 74.1 39
82 Phachara Khongwatmai 74.2 17
83 Soo-min Lee 74.2 39
84 Adilson da Silva 74.4 82
85 Brandon Stone 74.5 93
86 Gaganjeet Bhullar 74.6 27
87 Daniel Im 74.9 73
88 Alvaro Quiros 75.6 106
89 Daniel Brooks 75.7 DNP
90 Prayad Marksaeng 76.0 27
91 Shiv Kapur 76.6 23
92 Shih-chang Chan 76.7 34
93 Pavit Tangkamolprasert 76.8 125
94 Ben Leong 76.9 76
95 WC Liang 77.0 93
96 Darren Clarke 77.2 81
97 Rashid Khan 77.9 115
98 Scott Vincent 78.2 39
99 Yusaku Miyazato 78.3 27
100 Juvic Pagunsan 78.6 27
101 Gavin Green 78.8 39
102 Danny Chia 79.7 115
103 Richard T Lee 79.7 125
104 Miguel Tabuena 79.8 82
105 Jake Higginbottom 80.2 115
106 Angelo Que 80.4 133
107 Shaun Norris 80.6 115
108 Yi Keun Chang 80.7 145
109 Johannes Veerman 80.7 82
110 Jazz Janewattananond 81.1 39
111 Arjun Atwal 81.2 34
112 Siddikur Rahman 81.3 139
113 Todd Sinnott 81.4 115
114 Panuphol Pittayarat 81.4 23
115 Keith Horne 81.5 72
116 S Chikarangappa 81.8 115
117 Rattanon Wannasrichan 81.9 70
118 Antonio Lascuna 81.9 67
119 Jason Norris 82.0 70
120 Danthai Boonma 82.0 34
121 Nicholas Fung 82.1 74
122 Tirawat Kaewsirbandit 82.3 93
123 Chien-yao Hung 82.5 82
124 Chiragh Kumar 82.7 139
125 Micah Lauren Shin 82.9 93
126 Rahil Gangjee 82.9 133
127 Suradit Yongcharoenchai 83.2 WD
128 Terry Pilkadaris 83.4 106
129 Javier Colomo 83.5 34
130 Casey O’Toole 83.5 93
131 Natipong Srithong 83.6 82
132 Justin Quiban 83.7 139
133 Jyoti Randhawa 83.8 50
134 Lionel Weber 84.0 149
135 Simon Yates 84.1 55
136 Galven Green 84.2 149
137 Wei-chih Lu 84.3 106
138 Jarin Todd 84.4 82
139 Ajeetesh Sandhu 84.4 125
140 Gi-whan Kim 84.8 148
141 Thaworn Wiratchant 84.8 50
142 Mohd Shukree Othman 84.8 106
143 Rory Hie 84.8 115
144 Quincy Quek 84.9 106
145 Yuxin Lin 85.0 139
146 Michael Tran 85.0 50
147 Bowen Xiao 85.1 82
148 Khor Kheng Hwai 85.1 152
149 Kemarol Baharin 85.1 145
150 Khalin Joshi 85.2 5
151 Si-hwan Kim 85.3 62
152 Shahriffuddin Ariffin 85.3 153
153 Ramasamy Nachimuthu 85.3 145
154 Airil-Rizman Zahari 85.3 149
155 Amir Nazrin 85.3 50
156 Mohammad Wafiyuddin 85.3 106
157 M Sasidaran 85.3 139
158 Naing Naing Lin 85.3 133
159 Arie Irawan Fauzi 85.3 125
160 Jamie Elson 85.3 DNP
161 Arnond Vongvanij 85.3 93
162 Berry Henson 85.5 10
Jason Scrivener late entry 86
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 5. The average is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 29, 2018)

January 29, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson has been the world’s no. 1 player for 46 weeks and shows no signs of slowing down.
# Thru Jan. 29, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 47 1733 1
2 Paul Casey 47 1695 2
3 Jordan Spieth 50 1663 3
4 Rickie Fowler 51 1482 4
5 Jason Day 44 1456 8
6 Rory McIlroy 42 1436 7
7 Jon Rahm 40 1422 6
8 Patrick Cantlay 16 1397 5
9 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1350 11
10 Justin Thomas 54 1346 9
11 Brooks Koepka 48 1335 10
12 Justin Rose 48 1296 12
13 Henrik Stenson 47 1218 14
14 Matt Kuchar 60 1211 13
15 Adam Scott 42 1158 17
16 Pat Perez 37 1155 15
17 Marc Leishman 53 1153 20
18 Phil Mickelson 49 1139 16
19 Francesco Molinari 49 1125 19
20 Louis Oosthuizen 46 1113 18
21 Patrick Reed 68 1059 22
22 Tyrrell Hatton 49 1044 24
23 Sergio Garcia 45 1037 21
24 Tony Finau 58 1031 26
25 Brian Harman 60 1004 23
26 Webb Simpson 49 1003 25
27 Rafa Cabrera Bello 60 967 27
28 Gary Woodland 56 941 33
29 Steve Stricker 29 939 30
30 Brendan Steele 49 936 29
31 Kevin Kisner 57 925 31
32 Ryan Moore 48 915 32
33 Brandt Snedeker 45 914 28
34 Charles Howell 49 912 39
35 Charley Hoffman 60 882 34
36 Alex Noren 46 878 47
37 Daniel Berger 54 878 36
38 Zach Johnson 52 876 35
39 Kevin Chappell 56 863 38
40 Branden Grace 55 846 37
41 Jason Dufner 52 838 40
42 Tommy Fleetwood 54 832 46
43 Charl Schwartzel 48 828 41
44 Chez Reavie 55 814 45
45 Kyle Stanley 56 803 42
46 Keegan Bradley 56 801 52
47 Ryan Palmer 42 792 67
48 Emiliano Grillo 55 792 50
49 Bill Haas 52 791 44
50 Lucas Glover 48 788 43
51 JB Holmes 51 760 66
52 Russell Henley 51 758 49
53 Kevin Na 51 735 51
54 Adam Hadwin 55 730 53
55 Xander Schauffele 36 729 48
56 Brandon Harkins 13 722 82
57 Martin Kaymer 52 722 55
58 Ian Poulter 49 720 63
59 Bud Cauley 46 705 54
60 Thomas Pieters 49 696 57
61 Scott Piercy 46 692 62
62 Graham DeLaet 44 689 64
63 Shane Lowry 52 689 56
64 Ross Fisher 48 685 59
65 Matthew Fitzpatrick 59 682 60
66 Stewart Cink 47 682 58
67 Bernd Wiesberger 57 681 65
68 Jhonattan Vegas 59 676 61
69 Jason Kokrak 56 672 68
70 Cameron Smith 55 667 73
71 Russell Knox 61 647 72
72 James Hahn 55 642 70
73 Anirban Lahiri 54 641 69
74 Kevin Streelman 52 639 75
75 William McGirt 55 635 74
76 Bubba Watson 47 625 76
77 Jimmy Walker 51 618 71
78 Luke List 61 609 90
79 Jamie Lovemark 56 605 78
80 Martin Laird 49 604 77
81 Byeong Hun An 54 600 88
82 Ollie Schniederjans 40 598 79
83 Billy Horschel 50 593 80
84 Jordan L Smith 13 586 83
85 Scott Brown 57 583 86
86 Sean O’Hair 54 583 81
87 Hudson Swafford 56 572 89
88 Soren Kjeldsen 55 564 84
89 Lee Westwood 47 562 85
90 Chris Kirk 60 559 92
91 Jim Furyk 32 556 93
92 Jerry Kelly 27 555 94
93 David Lingmerth 59 555 87
94 Peter Uihlein 42 545 91
95 Robert Garrigus 47 536 108
96 JJ Spaun 42 535 99
97 Haotong Li 44 525 104
98 Andrew Landry 28 516 95
99 Si Woo Kim 62 515 100
100 Graeme McDowell 58 512 96
101 Sung Kang 62 509 97
102 Patton Kizzire 55 503 101
103 Nick Taylor 56 497 98
104 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56 492 102
105 Danny Lee 67 473 103
106 Austin Cook 14 473 105
107 Wesley Bryan 39 469 107
108 Kevin Tway 39 463 109
109 Alexander Levy 47 456 127
110 Chesson Hadley 43 452 124
111 Grayson Murray 38 451 106
112 Victor Dubuisson 34 450 115
113 Harris English 58 443 142
114 Joost Luiten 52 441 111
115 Andy Sullivan 57 440 128
116 Rafael Campos 10 436 119
117 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 435 117
118 Mackenzie Hughes 41 431 113
119 Bryson DeChambeau 54 428 114
120 Chad Campbell 57 426 116
121 Daisuke Kataoka 8 426 121
122 Ben Martin 57 425 120
123 Julian Suri 18 423 110
124 Aaron Wise 18 420 112
125 Robert Streb 57 418 118
126 Tom Hoge 51 410 160
127 Brian Stuard 55 408 130
128 Nick Watney 28 407 122
129 Jim Herman 53 405 125
130 Alex Cejka 56 404 123
131 Patrick Rodgers 57 403 126
132 Harold Varner 61 393 129
133 Whee Kim 60 388 132
134 Brian Gay 46 388 138
135 Richard Sterne 44 386 131
136 Andrew Johnston 46 383 134
137 David Hearn 62 382 133
138 Sam Saunders 52 380 144
139 Miguel Angel Jimenez 20 380 171
140 Fabrizio Zanotti 48 379 135
141 Morgan Hoffmann 56 378 137
142 Daniel Summerhays 60 378 143
143 Michael Kim 55 375 165
144 CT Pan 42 375 151
145 Roberto Castro 48 371 148
146 Hideto Tanihara 28 370 136
147 Paul Dunne 52 370 140
148 Brandon Hagy 33 368 152
149 Luke Donald 50 368 139
150 Vaughn Taylor 55 365 153
151 Aaron Baddeley 50 365 141
152 Geoff Ogilvy 48 363 145
153 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 44 363 147
154 Alexander Bjork 34 361 181
155 Padraig Harrington 48 361 146
156 Tyrone van Aswegen 63 359 149
157 Ryan Blaum 39 359 156
158 Seung-yul Noh 52 358 159
159 Michael Thompson 44 356 150
160 Martin Flores 38 356 164
161 Chase Koepka 9 355 161
162 David Horsey 47 353 168
163 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 353 154
164 Retief Goosen 42 352 201
165 Billy Hurley 50 351 163
166 Richie Ramsay 50 351 182
167 Kelly Kraft 52 349 155
168 Dylan Frittelli 42 348 185
169 Eddie Pepperell 44 344 158
170 Johnson Wagner 54 344 157
171 John Huh 56 342 167
172 Beau Hossler 19 340 179
173 Chris Wood 55 340 162
174 Seamus Power 40 332 166
175 Blayne Barber 50 328 175
176 John Senden 38 326 172
177 JT Poston 41 321 173
178 Chris Stroud 54 320 180
179 Smylie Kaufman 56 318 174
180 Jeunghun Wang 55 316 203
181 Jorge Campillo 53 315 177
182 George Coetzee 57 315 178
183 David Lipsky 56 312 206
184 Henrik Norlander 27 309 187
185 Rory Sabbatini 48 309 210
186 Benjamin Silverman 12 307 169
187 Scott Stallings 56 305 183
188 Tyler Duncan 12 305 170
189 Ricky Barnes 65 300 184
190 Xin-jun Zhang 12 297 176
191 Richard Bland 50 294 186
192 Camilo Villegas 57 290 190
193 Pablo Larrazabal 51 289 189
194 Ryan Fox 41 288 188
195 Jaco van Zyl 35 286 194
196 Ryan Armour 34 284 197
197 Dominic Bozzelli 30 284 199
198 Matthew Southgate 57 283 191
199 Dean Burmester 41 282 214
200 Thongchai Jaidee 52 280 192
201 Talor Gooch 13 280 193
202 Chris Paisley 56 278 240
203 Derek Fathauer 56 276 195
204 Scott Hend 61 276 204
205 Nacho Elvira 54 273 200
206 Andres Gonzales 53 273 207
207 Rob Oppenheim 36 272 196
208 Richy Werenski 38 271 198
209 Tim Wilkinson 47 270 209
210 Benjamin Hebert 49 269 202
211 Cameron Percy 45 266 217
212 Jonas Blixt 51 264 205
213 Cameron Tringale 60 264 211
214 David Toms 20 262 213
215 Lanto Griffin 12 262 449
216 Gregory Bourdy 57 261 208
217 Shawn Stefani 58 258 216
218 Trey Mullinax 41 258 215
219 Kyle Reifers 62 257 218
220 Abraham Ancer 28 256 300
221 Colt Knost 30 255 212
222 JJ Henry 55 255 258
223 Kyung-tae Kim 21 253 220
224 Anthony Wall 39 253 246
225 Brice Garnett 27 253 248
226 Martin Piller 28 252 222
227 Rikard Karlberg 39 251 223
228 Ben Crane 54 251 221
229 Peter Hanson 37 251 228
230 Bradley Dredge 44 250 226
231 Vijay Singh 41 249 224
232 Alejandro Canizares 47 248 250
233 Curtis Luck 24 247 230
234 Fabian Gomez 50 245 235
235 Ashun Wu 46 245 236
236 Corey Conners 14 243 298
237 Joakim Lagergren 49 243 227
238 Stephen Gallacher 44 242 229
239 Julian Etulain 29 242 238
240 Matt Jones 58 241 231
241 Danny Willett 46 240 219
242 Callum Shinkwin 42 240 225
243 Scott Jamieson 52 238 239
244 Darren Fichardt 41 236 234
245 Matthieu Pavon 34 236 233
246 Chris Hanson 48 233 296
247 Mikko Ilonen 47 232 237
248 Poom Saksansin 15 231 252
249 Keith Mitchell 16 230 232
250 Marc Warren 54 228 242
251 Adrian Otaegui 54 228 267
252 Graeme Storm 52 227 244
253 Bryce Molder 46 225 245
254 Matt Wallace 29 223 260
255 Thomas Detry 35 222 281
256 Cody Gribble 37 222 276
257 Yuta Ikeda 17 222 259
258 Robert Rock 49 220 253
259 Jonathan Byrd 26 220 243
260 Andrew Putnam 14 220 254
261 Shubhankar Sharma 15 219 241
262 Jamie Donaldson 50 218 257
263 Will MacKenzie 39 218 261
264 Austin Connelly 25 217 249
265 Jordan Smith 20 217 247
266 Tag Ridings 27 217 265
267 Jonathan Randolph 36 217 256
268 Florian Fritsch 31 215 268
269 Thomas Aiken 50 214 262
270 Ted Potter 19 213 251
271 Spencer Levin 60 213 266
272 Young-han Song 13 213 272
273 Zac Blair 68 213 264
274 Chad Collins 51 212 269
275 David Drysdale 57 212 271
276 Boo Weekley 46 212 263
277 Andrew Dodt 46 210 286
278 Bronson Burgoon 31 209 255
279 Ryo Ishikawa 28 207 277
280 Scott Langley 26 207 275
281 Robby Shelton 12 207 278
282 Nino Bertasio 55 204 279
283 Troy Merritt 63 202 273
284 DA Points 44 202 285
285 Freddie Jacobson 28 202 270
286 John Peterson 22 201 287
287 Nicholas Lindheim 36 201 274
288 Renato Paratore 58 199 280
289 Mikko Korhonen 46 197 284
290 Richard Lee 10 196 294
291 Haydn Porteous 59 196 306
292 Paul Waring 33 194 283
293 Matteo Manassero 51 193 288
294 Maximilian Kieffer 47 193 303
295 Tom Lovelady 12 192 304
296 Davis Love 28 192 295
297 Wade Ormsby 39 191 289
298 Jason Scrivener 51 191 340
299 Stephan Jaeger 18 188 282
300 Steve Wheatcroft 52 188 293
301 Ricardo Gouveia 55 185 297
302 Sebastian Munoz 24 185 302
303 James Morrison 55 183 299
304 KJ Choi 48 183 291
305 Adam Schenk 15 181 290
306 Romain Wattel 52 181 309
307 Joel Dahmen 28 180 301
308 Julien Quesne 48 177 308
309 Rod Pampling 48 176 305
310 Robert Karlsson 43 175 312
311 Lucas Bjerregaard 57 174 310
312 Michael Putnam 13 173 315
313 Oliver Fisher 55 173 311
314 Marcus Fraser 45 172 307
315 Greg Owen 44 170 316
316 Charlie Ford 9 169 317
317 Connor Syme 9 168 292
318 Jon Curran 44 167 314
319 Lee Slattery 51 167 313
320 David Bransdon 8 166 319
321 Rick Lamb 31 166 318
322 Maverick McNealy 9 163 560
323 Alex Prugh 17 162 324
324 Wes Roach 21 161 323
325 Angel Cabrera 37 161 329
326 Trevor Fisher 25 160 326
327 Ashley Chesters 29 159 322
328 Brett Stegmaier 60 159 320
329 Bernd Ritthammer 28 158 332
330 Charlie Danielson 8 158 330
331 Adrien Saddier 13 157 328
332 Michael Johnson 10 157 334
333 Brandon Stone 46 156 325
334 Peter Malnati 62 155 327
335 Gregory Havret 57 154 339
336 Steve Marino 33 153 335
337 Hunter Mahan 55 153 331
338 Anders Hansen 15 153 337
339 JC Ritchie 8 151 338
340 Andres Romero 37 150 333
341 Nate Lashley 12 150 321
342 Sam Brazel 40 147 373
343 Lasse Jensen 51 147 352
344 Ryan Ruffels 14 146 341
345 Satoshi Kodaira 10 145 345
346 Jose-Filipe Lima 31 144 343
347 Ryan Brehm 32 144 344
348 Joachim B Hansen 24 144 349
349 Carlos Ortiz 31 144 346
350 Aaron Rai 18 144 336
351 Raphael Jacquelin 51 143 350
352 Erik Van Rooyen 11 142 351
353 Sean Crocker 8 142
354 Marcel Siem 49 141 342
355 Hennie Otto 21 140 354
356 Romain Langasque 34 140 353
357 Stuart Appleby 44 139 347
358 Paul Peterson 50 139 356
359 Felipe Aguilar 48 137 357
360 Brett Coletta 9 137 360
361 Adam Bland 9 137 359
362 Rhein Gibson 26 137 362
363 Lee McCoy 11 136 348
364 Will Wilcox 35 136 355
365 Johan Carlsson 48 136 358
366 Ben Evans 39 135 363
367 Justin Hicks 14 135 361
368 Jordan Zunic 14 135 364
369 Lucas Herbert 11 130 366
370 Ockie Strydom 8 129 367
371 Brett Drewitt 27 128 369
372 Brian Campbell 27 127 368
373 Joel Stalter 29 125 374
374 Luke Guthrie 20 124 370
375 Prayad Marksaeng 10 124 371
376 Greg Chalmers 49 124 376
377 Andrew Loupe 48 123 365
378 Mark Hubbard 53 123 372
379 Tom Gillis 10 121 381
380 SSP Chawrasia 47 121 375
381 Daniel Im 50 120 377
382 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 31 119 379
383 Magnus A Carlsson 44 118 380
384 Justin Walters 51 117 384
385 Gavin Green 12 117 395
386 YE Yang 30 117 385
387 Thomas Bjorn 32 116 378
388 Christofer Blomstrand 11 115 389
389 Phachara Khongwatmai 34 115 382
390 Sebastian Heisele 22 115 387
391 Ken Duke 54 115 383
392 WC Liang 13 114 392
393 Yusaku Miyazato 12 113 388
394 Miguel Angel Carballo 36 113 391
395 Bill Lunde 11 112 397
396 Sebastian Soderberg 18 112 394
397 John Merrick 22 111 393
398 Hiroshi Iwata 36 110 390
399 Rashid Khan 15 110 398
400 Kristoffer Broberg 31 109 399
More | Less

Farmers Insurance Open

January 23, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,

Rickie Fowler
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rickie Fowler 16.8 78
2 Jon Rahm 22.1 29
3 Jason Day 22.1 1
4 Patrick Cantlay 31.0 51
5 Hideki Matsuyama 32.2 12
6 Phil Mickelson 33.1 45
7 Marc Leishman 36.6 8
8 Brian Harman 36.7 147
9 Brandt Snedeker 36.9 45
10 Tony Finau 37.7 6
11 Justin Rose 39.6 8
12 Charles Howell 41.3 6
13 Francesco Molinari 42.9 45
14 Charley Hoffman 44.6 35
15 Gary Woodland 45.1 12
16 Shane Lowry 45.5 124
17 Patrick Reed 45.7 23
18 Brendan Steele 46.1 29
19 Lucas Glover 47.1 67
20 Kyle Stanley 47.3 51
21 Xander Schauffele 49.8 78
22 Jhonattan Vegas 50.0 78
23 Anirban Lahiri 50.2 54
24 Keegan Bradley 50.4 5
25 Si Woo Kim 51.5 35
26 Bud Cauley 51.7 58
27 Stewart Cink 51.7 105
28 Kevin Streelman 52.0 29
29 Alex Noren 52.3 2
30 JB Holmes 54.1 4
31 James Hahn 54.2 45
32 Russell Knox 55.7 29
33 Scott Stallings 55.8 115
34 Ollie Schniederjans 56.0 78
35 Jamie Lovemark 56.2 105
36 Bill Haas 56.4 54
37 Andrew Landry 57.0 135
38 Martin Laird 57.1 124
39 Peter Uihlein 57.1 78
40 Bryson DeChambeau 57.6 115
41 Cameron Smith 57.6 20
42 Adam Hadwin 57.7 35
43 Jimmy Walker 57.7 63
44 Emiliano Grillo 57.9 12
45 Ryan Palmer 58.4 2
46 JJ Spaun 58.9 23
47 Chris Kirk 59.1 35
48 Brandon Harkins 59.5 12
49 David Lingmerth 61.0 135
50 Billy Horschel 61.5 54
51 Alex Cejka 61.6 78
52 Sean O’Hair 62.1 69
53 Nick Taylor 62.2 75
54 Chesson Hadley 62.7 23
55 Luke List 62.8 12
56 KJ Choi 62.9 140
57 Kevin Tway 63.0 35
58 Robert Streb 63.0 66
59 Aaron Wise 63.1 78
60 Tom Hoge 63.6 12
61 Tyrone van Aswegen 63.8 105
62 Harris English 63.9 8
63 John Huh 63.9 45
64 Grayson Murray 64.2 75
65 Sung Kang 64.3 69
66 Danny Lee 64.4 58
67 JT Poston 65.4 73
68 Padraig Harrington 65.7 78
69 Morgan Hoffmann 65.7 140
70 Robert Garrigus 66.2 8
71 Harold Varner 66.4 143
72 Seamus Power 66.5 78
73 Chad Campbell 66.5 105
74 Aaron Baddeley 66.6 78
75 Kelly Kraft 66.7 147
76 Nick Watney 66.7 58
77 Patrick Rodgers 67.0 115
78 CT Pan 67.1 35
79 Martin Flores 67.1 35
80 Luke Donald 67.1 140
81 Mackenzie Hughes 67.6 105
82 Michael Thompson 67.6 135
83 David Hearn 67.7 147
84 Jim Herman 68.0 135
85 Johnson Wagner 68.1 78
86 Xin-jun Zhang 68.2 115
87 Whee Kim 68.5 78
88 Rob Oppenheim 68.7 124
89 Richy Werenski 68.8 78
90 Rory Sabbatini 68.9 20
91 Benjamin Silverman 68.9 67
92 Retief Goosen 69.1 12
93 Beau Hossler 69.1 35
94 Jonas Blixt 69.2 115
95 Ricky Barnes 69.2 78
96 Nicholas Lindheim 69.5 143
97 Ben Crane 69.5 DNP
98 Daniel Summerhays 69.6 DNP
99 Trey Mullinax 69.7 124
100 Camilo Villegas 69.7 77
101 Geoff Ogilvy 69.7 143
102 Brice Garnett 69.9 35
103 Tyler Duncan 70.0 78
104 Michael Kim 70.2 23
105 Cameron Tringale 70.3 58
106 Martin Pillar 70.3 105
107 Smylie Kaufman 70.4 156
108 Matt Jones 70.6 124
109 Cameron Percy 70.8 DNP
110 Ted Potter 71.0 73
111 Derek Fathauer 71.0 135
112 Talor Gooch 71.1 51
113 Shawn Stefani 71.2 78
114 JJ Henry 71.3 23
115 Hunter Mahan 71.4 69
116 Jonathan Byrd 71.5 124
117 Keith Mitchell 71.6 63
118 Andrew Putnam 71.7 54
119 Abraham Ancer 72.2 20
120 Jonathan Randolph 72.3 153
121 Zac Blair 72.3 105
122 Corey Conners 72.4 29
123 Joel Dahmen 72.5 115
124 Bronson Burgoon 72.6 105
125 Stephan Jaeger 72.7 78
126 Nate Lashley 73.1 78
127 Troy Merritt 73.1 78
128 Rod Pampling 73.2 78
129 Adam Schenk 73.2 147
130 Cody Gribble 73.3 35
131 Angel Cabrera 73.4 DNP
132 Rick Lamb 73.4 DNP
133 Peter Malnati 73.4 78
134 Tom Lovelady 73.5 45
135 Steve Wheatcroft 73.8 78
136 Brett Stegmaier 74.3 78
137 Roberto Diaz 74.6 72
138 Matt Every 74.7 124
139 Sam Burns 74.8 115
140 Andrew Loupe 75.2 143
141 Ken Duke 75.7 DNP
142 Ethan Tracy 75.9 78
143 Derek Ernst 75.9 DNP
144 Conrad Shindler 76.0 124
145 Brendon de Jonge 76.1 DNP
146 Denny McCarthy 76.1 105
147 Sangmoon Bae 76.3 78
148 Lanto Griffin 76.4 12
149 Eric Axley 76.4 DNP
150 Sam Ryder 76.6 115
151 George McNeill 76.7 DNP
152 Maverick McNealy 76.8 29
153 Matt Atkins 76.8 154
154 Kyle Thompson 77.8 105
155 Andrew Yun 77.9 124
156 Ze-cheng Dou 78.0 155
157 Cameron Davis 81.1 58
158 Michael Block 85.3 147
159 Norman Xiong 85.3 115
160 Tiger Woods 86.6 23
Julian Suri late entry 63
Jack Maguire late entry 92
Will Zalatoris late entry 100
Tyler Torano late entry 127
Derek Barron late entry 130
John Mallinger late entry 148
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 187. The average is 213. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Omega Dubai Desert Classic

January 23, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy 23.6 2
2 Tyrrell Hatton 39.3 3
3 Pat Perez 39.7 29
4 Louis Oosthuizen 41.2 71
5 Sergio Garcia 44.7 32
6 Tommy Fleetwood 45.5 6
7 Matthew Fitzpatrick 46.1 71
8 Branden Grace 47.0 37
9 Rafa Cabrera Bello 47.7 6
10 Bernd Wiesberger 50.7 32
11 Martin Kaymer 52.1 19
12 Ross Fisher 52.2 45
13 Ian Poulter 52.8 6
14 Stephen Gallacher 54.6 57
15 Thorbjorn Olesen 55.0 29
16 Thomas Pieters 55.5 32
17 Lee Westwood 55.8 71
18 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 57.3 51
19 Joost Luiten 58.1 71
20 Soren Kjeldsen 59.3 114
21 Haotong Li 59.8 1
22 Richard Sterne 60.9 67
23 Graeme McDowell 61.1 71
24 Alexander Levy 61.2 4
25 Fabrizio Zanotti 61.8 116
26 Paul Dunne 61.9 71
27 Andrew Johnston 62.9 45
28 Byeong Hun An 63.1 6
29 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 63.4 71
30 Jorge Campillo 63.6 71
31 Eddie Pepperell 64.6 99
32 Richie Ramsay 64.8 6
33 Robert Rock 65.2 108
34 Chris Wood 65.3 87
35 Miguel Angel Jimenez 65.9 19
36 Benjamin Hebert 66.2 99
37 Darren Fichardt 66.2 87
38 Danny Willett 66.4 127
39 Dylan Frittelli 66.5 6
40 George Coetzee 66.6 87
41 Alexander Bjork 66.7 6
42 Matthew Southgate 66.8 57
43 Nicolas Colsaerts 67.2 51
44 Hideto Tanihara 67.4 108
45 Nacho Elvira 67.9 124
46 Ryan Fox 68.0 99
47 David Horsey 68.0 22
48 Callum Shinkwin 68.2 124
49 Scott Hend 68.2 37
50 Mikko Ilonen 68.3 57
51 Ashun Wu 68.3 37
52 Dean Burmester 68.6 22
53 Matthieu Pavon 68.6 70
54 David Lipsky 68.9 6
55 Gregory Bourdy 69.0 87
56 Pablo Larrazabal 69.1 108
57 Jeunghun Wang 69.3 6
58 Richard Bland 69.4 71
59 Peter Hanson 69.5 DNP
60 Renato Paratore 69.6 87
61 Graeme Storm 69.7 129
62 Anthony Wall 69.8 22
63 Thomas Detry 69.9 22
64 Paul Waring 69.9 99
65 Connor Syme 70.1 71
66 Maximilian Kieffer 70.3 32
67 Adrian Otaegui 70.5 22
68 Matt Wallace 70.5 37
69 Shubhankar Sharma 70.9 61
70 Jamie Donaldson 71.0 45
71 Nino Bertasio 71.0 45
72 David Drysdale 71.1 DNP
73 Haydn Porteous 71.2 19
74 Thomas Aiken 71.3 51
75 Matteo Manassero 71.5 99
76 SSP Chawrasia 71.5 87
77 Joakim Lagergren 71.6 87
78 Marc Warren 71.7 116
79 Andrew Dodt 71.7 29
80 Lee Slattery 71.8 64
81 Marcus Fraser 71.8 120
82 Jordan Smith 71.9 120
83 Romain Wattel 72.0 37
84 Mikko Korhonen 72.1 61
85 Austin Connelly 72.2 120
86 Chris Hanson 72.3 6
87 Jason Scrivener 72.5 6
88 Oliver Fisher 72.5 124
89 Raphael Jacquelin 72.6 DNP
90 Gregory Havret 72.6 37
91 Ricardo Gouveia 72.7 87
92 Sam Brazel 73.0 22
93 Alvaro Quiros 73.0 87
94 Ashley Chesters 73.0 51
95 Brett Rumford 73.1 37
96 Lucas Bjerregaard 73.1 61
97 Marcel Siem 73.5 114
98 Thomas Bjorn 73.5 87
99 Andres Romero 73.7 65
100 Lasse Jensen 73.8 37
101 Brandon Stone 74.0 108
102 Phachara Khongwatmai 74.1 57
103 Daniel Im 74.6 65
104 Daniel Brooks 74.7 71
105 Paul Lawrie 74.9 71
106 Ernie Els 75.0 71
107 Edoardo Molinari 75.1 45
108 Carlos Pigem 75.1 127
109 Soo-min Lee 76.0 129
110 Zander Lombard 76.0 108
111 Erik Van Rooyen 76.2 DNP
112 Darren Clarke 76.8 132
113 Trevor Immelman 77.7 32
114 Clement Sordet 78.7 DNP
115 Gavin Green 79.2 45
116 Jason Norris 81.8 120
117 Sean Crocker 82.5 71
118 Sam Horsfield 82.9 108
119 Jack Singh Brar 85.2 116
120 Todd Clements 85.3 68
121 Henric Sturehed 85.3 71
122 Luke Joy 85.3 99
123 Daan Huizing 85.5 69
Chris Paisley late entry 5
Henrik Stenson late entry 16
Andy Sullivan late entry 17
Alejandro Canizares late entry 24
Scott Jamieson late entry 55
Robert Karlsson late entry 56
James Morrison late entry 81
Wade Ormsby late entry 94
Colin Montgomerie late entry 98
Thongchai Jaidee late entry 101
Aaron Rai late entry 104
Jamie Elson late entry 106
Ahmed Marjan late entry 118
Rayhan Thomas late entry 131
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 423. The average is 213. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Jan. 21, 2018)

January 23, 2018 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson has been the world’s no. 1 player for 45 weeks and shows no signs of slowing down.
# Thru Jan. 14, 2018 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 48 1736 1
2 Paul Casey 48 1690 2
3 Jordan Spieth 50 1666 3
4 Rickie Fowler 51 1537 4
5 Patrick Cantlay 15 1515 5
6 Jon Rahm 39 1446 8
7 Rory McIlroy 41 1427 6
8 Jason Day 44 1395 7
9 Justin Thomas 54 1344 9
10 Brooks Koepka 48 1337 10
11 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1327 11
12 Justin Rose 48 1257 12
13 Matt Kuchar 60 1216 13
14 Henrik Stenson 46 1215 15
15 Pat Perez 37 1182 17
16 Phil Mickelson 49 1176 14
17 Adam Scott 42 1163 16
18 Louis Oosthuizen 46 1162 18
19 Francesco Molinari 49 1152 19
20 Marc Leishman 53 1111 20
21 Sergio Garcia 45 1066 21
22 Patrick Reed 68 1062 22
23 Brian Harman 60 1028 25
24 Tyrrell Hatton 49 1022 24
25 Webb Simpson 49 1006 23
26 Tony Finau 58 979 28
27 Rafa Cabrera Bello 60 956 27
28 Brandt Snedeker 45 944 26
29 Brendan Steele 49 937 31
30 Steve Stricker 29 937 30
31 Kevin Kisner 57 920 29
32 Ryan Moore 48 915 32
33 Gary Woodland 56 908 33
34 Charley Hoffman 60 894 34
35 Zach Johnson 52 880 36
36 Daniel Berger 55 880 35
37 Branden Grace 55 867 37
38 Kevin Chappell 56 865 43
39 Charles Howell 49 847 40
40 Jason Dufner 52 837 38
41 Charl Schwartzel 48 830 41
42 Kyle Stanley 56 817 45
43 Lucas Glover 48 816 44
44 Bill Haas 52 814 39
45 Chez Reavie 56 814 42
46 Tommy Fleetwood 54 809 47
47 Alex Noren 46 791 46
48 Xander Schauffele 36 764 48
49 Russell Henley 51 755 50
50 Emiliano Grillo 55 751 51
51 Kevin Na 51 738 49
52 Keegan Bradley 56 732 52
53 Adam Hadwin 55 731 63
54 Bud Cauley 46 728 56
55 Martin Kaymer 51 719 53
56 Shane Lowry 52 714 55
57 Thomas Pieters 49 705 62
58 Stewart Cink 47 704 59
59 Ross Fisher 47 699 68
60 Matthew Fitzpatrick 59 698 65
61 Jhonattan Vegas 59 697 64
62 Scott Piercy 47 694 76
63 Ian Poulter 48 694 54
64 Graham DeLaet 45 687 58
65 Bernd Wiesberger 57 686 60
66 JB Holmes 51 685 57
67 Ryan Palmer 41 678 67
68 Jason Kokrak 57 672 77
69 Anirban Lahiri 54 656 70
70 James Hahn 55 651 69
71 Jimmy Walker 51 644 61
72 Russell Knox 60 643 72
73 Cameron Smith 55 641 74
74 William McGirt 55 637 73
75 Kevin Streelman 52 634 75
76 Bubba Watson 47 630 66
77 Martin Laird 49 628 71
78 Jamie Lovemark 56 626 78
79 Ollie Schniederjans 40 621 81
80 Billy Horschel 50 615 80
81 Sean O’Hair 53 604 79
82 Brandon Harkins 12 595 114
83 Jordan L Smith 13 591 85
84 Soren Kjeldsen 55 584 84
85 Lee Westwood 46 584 82
86 Scott Brown 58 583 83
87 David Lingmerth 58 574 86
88 Byeong Hun An 53 573 87
89 Hudson Swafford 57 570 91
90 Luke List 61 565 88
91 Peter Uihlein 42 564 95
92 Chris Kirk 59 561 89
93 Jim Furyk 32 561 90
94 Jerry Kelly 27 556 92
95 Andrew Landry 28 545 129
96 Graeme McDowell 57 529 93
97 Sung Kang 62 524 94
98 Nick Taylor 56 512 102
99 JJ Spaun 41 512 96
100 Si Woo Kim 62 511 98
101 Patton Kizzire 56 505 97
102 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56 505 100
103 Danny Lee 67 486 99
104 Haotong Li 43 479 101
105 Austin Cook 14 473 148
106 Grayson Murray 37 471 121
107 Wesley Bryan 39 468 104
108 Robert Garrigus 47 468 103
109 Kevin Tway 38 457 109
110 Julian Suri 17 456 110
111 Joost Luiten 52 456 105
112 Aaron Wise 17 453 140
113 Mackenzie Hughes 40 448 106
114 Bryson DeChambeau 54 447 107
115 Victor Dubuisson 34 446 112
116 Chad Campbell 57 441 108
117 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 435 111
118 Robert Streb 57 435 116
119 Rafael Campos 10 432 119
120 Ben Martin 57 428 113
121 Daisuke Kataoka 8 425
122 Nick Watney 28 424 115
123 Alex Cejka 56 420 118
124 Chesson Hadley 43 419 123
125 Jim Herman 53 418 117
126 Patrick Rodgers 57 416 126
127 Alexander Levy 47 413 147
128 Andy Sullivan 56 412 120
129 Harold Varner 61 407 124
130 Brian Stuard 56 407 125
131 Richard Sterne 43 401 134
132 Whee Kim 60 399 128
133 David Hearn 61 396 127
134 Andrew Johnston 46 394 161
135 Fabrizio Zanotti 48 392 162
136 Hideto Tanihara 27 389 122
137 Morgan Hoffmann 56 389 132
138 Brian Gay 46 385 133
139 Luke Donald 49 384 137
140 Paul Dunne 52 383 154
141 Aaron Baddeley 50 383 135
142 Harris English 58 383 170
143 Daniel Summerhays 60 382 130
144 Sam Saunders 53 380 177
145 Geoff Ogilvy 48 377 131
146 Padraig Harrington 47 377 139
147 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 44 376 138
148 Roberto Castro 48 374 141
149 Tyrone van Aswegen 63 371 153
150 Michael Thompson 44 371 150
151 CT Pan 41 369 136
152 Brandon Hagy 34 368 151
153 Vaughn Taylor 55 364 142
154 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 361 159
155 Kelly Kraft 52 360 160
156 Ryan Blaum 39 360 145
157 Johnson Wagner 54 358 146
158 Eddie Pepperell 44 356 149
159 Seung-yul Noh 53 356 163
160 Tom Hoge 51 354 157
161 Chase Koepka 9 353 166
162 Chris Wood 55 352 155
163 Billy Hurley 50 349 158
164 Martin Flores 37 348 156
165 Michael Kim 55 346 165
166 Seamus Power 39 345 191
167 John Huh 56 344 208
168 David Horsey 46 340 164
169 Benjamin Silverman 11 339 143
170 Tyler Duncan 11 338 144
171 Miguel Angel Jimenez 19 335 172
172 John Senden 39 333 171
173 JT Poston 40 332 168
174 Smylie Kaufman 56 330 167
175 Blayne Barber 51 329 169
176 Xin-jun Zhang 11 328 152
177 Jorge Campillo 53 325 187
178 George Coetzee 57 323 174
179 Beau Hossler 18 322 224
180 Chris Stroud 54 321 173
181 Alexander Bjork 33 317 175
182 Richie Ramsay 50 316 178
183 Scott Stallings 56 316 176
184 Ricky Barnes 64 311 192
185 Dylan Frittelli 41 310 193
186 Richard Bland 50 306 180
187 Henrik Norlander 28 306 184
188 Ryan Fox 40 300 190
189 Pablo Larrazabal 51 299 181
190 Camilo Villegas 57 299 182
191 Matthew Southgate 56 292 183
192 Thongchai Jaidee 52 291 185
193 Talor Gooch 12 291 179
194 Jaco van Zyl 35 287 195
195 Derek Fathauer 56 286 200
196 Rob Oppenheim 36 286 196
197 Ryan Armour 34 285 188
198 Richy Werenski 37 284 214
199 Dominic Bozzelli 30 283 189
200 Nacho Elvira 54 281 194
201 Retief Goosen 42 279 197
202 Benjamin Hebert 49 279 206
203 Jeunghun Wang 54 279 233
204 Scott Hend 61 277 216
205 Jonas Blixt 51 276 202
206 David Lipsky 56 275 198
207 Andres Gonzales 54 273 210
208 Gregory Bourdy 57 272 199
209 Tim Wilkinson 48 271 212
210 Rory Sabbatini 48 270 201
211 Cameron Tringale 60 269 203
212 Colt Knost 31 268 186
213 David Toms 20 267 211
214 Dean Burmester 40 267 215
215 Trey Mullinax 40 267 207
216 Shawn Stefani 58 266 204
217 Cameron Percy 46 265 205
218 Kyle Reifers 63 261 217
219 Danny Willett 45 256 221
220 Kyung-tae Kim 21 253 209
221 Ben Crane 55 252 231
222 Martin Piller 29 252 227
223 Rikard Karlberg 39 252 232
224 Vijay Singh 41 252 229
225 Callum Shinkwin 42 252 218
226 Bradley Dredge 45 251 234
227 Joakim Lagergren 49 251 228
228 Peter Hanson 38 250 220
229 Stephen Gallacher 44 250 225
230 Curtis Luck 24 249 235
231 Matt Jones 58 249 226
232 Keith Mitchell 15 248 213
233 Matthieu Pavon 33 247 223
234 Darren Fichardt 41 245 240
235 Fabian Gomez 51 245 230
236 Ashun Wu 46 243 256
237 Mikko Ilonen 47 241 244
238 Julian Etulain 29 241 248
239 Scott Jamieson 52 240 239
240 Chris Paisley 56 239 293
241 Shubhankar Sharma 14 238 222
242 Marc Warren 54 234 246
243 Jonathan Byrd 25 234 237
244 Graeme Storm 52 233 247
245 Bryce Molder 47 233 245
246 Anthony Wall 38 233 242
247 Jordan Smith 19 233 236
248 Brice Garnett 27 232 243
249 Austin Connelly 24 231 219
250 Alejandro Canizares 47 231 251
251 Ted Potter 18 230 238
252 Poom Saksansin 15 230 253
253 Robert Rock 49 229 249
254 Andrew Putnam 13 228 387
255 Bronson Burgoon 31 226 257
256 Jonathan Randolph 35 225 250
257 Jamie Donaldson 49 223 252
258 JJ Henry 55 222 254
259 Yuta Ikeda 17 222 241
260 Matt Wallace 28 220 274
261 Will MacKenzie 40 219 261
262 Thomas Aiken 50 219 255
263 Boo Weekley 47 217 259
264 Zac Blair 68 217 260
265 Tag Ridings 27 216 267
266 Spencer Levin 61 216 264
267 Adrian Otaegui 53 215 268
268 Florian Fritsch 31 214 272
269 Chad Collins 51 213 270
270 Freddie Jacobson 29 213 258
271 David Drysdale 58 213 262
272 Young-han Song 13 213 280
273 Troy Merritt 62 211 263
274 Nicholas Lindheim 35 209 266
275 Scott Langley 27 209 275
276 Cody Gribble 36 206 281
277 Ryo Ishikawa 29 206 282
278 Robby Shelton 12 206 283
279 Nino Bertasio 54 205 276
280 Renato Paratore 58 205 277
281 Thomas Detry 34 204 331
282 Stephan Jaeger 17 203 265
283 Paul Waring 32 203 273
284 Mikko Korhonen 46 203 306
285 DA Points 45 201 287
286 Andrew Dodt 46 201 279
287 John Peterson 22 200 271
288 Matteo Manassero 51 200 297
289 Wade Ormsby 39 200 278
290 Adam Schenk 14 197 269
291 KJ Choi 48 197 285
292 Connor Syme 8 196 290
293 Steve Wheatcroft 51 196 284
294 Richard Lee 11 193 298
295 Davis Love 28 192 295
296 Chris Hanson 47 192 288
297 Ricardo Gouveia 55 191 292
298 Corey Conners 13 190 296
299 James Morrison 55 189 291
300 Abraham Ancer 28 188 286
301 Joel Dahmen 27 188 289
302 Sebastian Munoz 24 186 299
303 Maximilian Kieffer 47 186 294
304 Tom Lovelady 11 181 377
305 Rod Pampling 48 181 302
306 Haydn Porteous 59 181 304
307 Marcus Fraser 45 179 307
308 Julien Quesne 49 179 309
309 Romain Wattel 52 179 300
310 Lucas Bjerregaard 57 179 303
311 Oliver Fisher 55 178 305
312 Robert Karlsson 43 178 313
313 Lee Slattery 51 174 308
314 Jon Curran 44 173 301
315 Michael Putnam 14 170 316
316 Greg Owen 45 169 315
317 Charlie Ford 9 169 314
318 Rick Lamb 31 168 310
319 David Bransdon 8 166 319
320 Brett Stegmaier 60 166 312
321 Nate Lashley 11 165 415
322 Ashley Chesters 28 164 311
323 Wes Roach 22 163 320
324 Alex Prugh 17 162 323
325 Brandon Stone 46 162 317
326 Trevor Fisher 26 161 322
327 Peter Malnati 61 160 321
328 Adrien Saddier 13 160 324
329 Angel Cabrera 38 159 332
330 Charlie Danielson 8 159 327
331 Hunter Mahan 55 159 335
332 Bernd Ritthammer 28 159 329
333 Andres Romero 36 158 318
334 Michael Johnson 10 157 330
335 Steve Marino 34 156 328
336 Aaron Rai 17 155 334
337 Anders Hansen 15 153 336
338 JC Ritchie 8 152 338
339 Gregory Havret 57 150 333
340 Jason Scrivener 50 148 341
341 Ryan Ruffels 15 148 339
342 Marcel Siem 49 146 337
343 Jose-Filipe Lima 31 145 344
344 Ryan Brehm 32 144 346
345 Satoshi Kodaira 10 144 360
346 Carlos Ortiz 32 144 345
347 Stuart Appleby 44 143 343
348 Lee McCoy 11 143 340
349 Joachim B Hansen 25 142 350
350 Raphael Jacquelin 52 142 342
351 Erik Van Rooyen 11 142 347
352 Lasse Jensen 50 142 369
353 Romain Langasque 34 140 352
354 Hennie Otto 22 140 353
355 Will Wilcox 35 139 348
356 Paul Peterson 50 138 355
357 Felipe Aguilar 49 138 354
358 Johan Carlsson 49 138 351
359 Adam Bland 9 137 325
360 Brett Coletta 9 137 326
361 Justin Hicks 14 136 356
362 Rhein Gibson 27 136 358
363 Ben Evans 40 135 357
364 Jordan Zunic 14 134 361
365 Andrew Loupe 48 131 349
366 Lucas Herbert 11 129 364
367 Ockie Strydom 8 129 366
368 Brian Campbell 27 127 368
369 Brett Drewitt 27 127 372
370 Luke Guthrie 21 127 365
371 Prayad Marksaeng 10 126 425
372 Mark Hubbard 54 125 367
373 Sam Brazel 39 125 395
374 Joel Stalter 29 125 376
375 SSP Chawrasia 46 125 374
376 Greg Chalmers 49 125 362
377 Daniel Im 49 125 363
378 Thomas Bjorn 32 123 414
379 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 31 118 380
380 Magnus A Carlsson 45 118 379
381 Tom Gillis 10 118 388
382 Phachara Khongwatmai 33 118 383
383 Ken Duke 54 117 378
384 Justin Walters 51 117 382
385 YE Yang 30 117 381
386 Justin Leonard 11 117 370
387 Sebastian Heisele 22 115 386
388 Yusaku Miyazato 12 115 359
389 Christofer Blomstrand 11 114 393
390 Hiroshi Iwata 37 114 375
391 Miguel Angel Carballo 37 113 394
392 WC Liang 13 113 371
393 John Merrick 22 113 391
394 Sebastian Soderberg 18 112 398
395 Gavin Green 11 111 373
396 Tim Herron 24 111 396
397 Bill Lunde 11 110 404
398 Rashid Khan 15 110 400
399 Kristoffer Broberg 32 110 445
400 Josh Teater 10 109 407
More | Less

A look at the CareerBuilder Classic

January 16, 2018 Thomas Hawley

We have a real anomaly occuring this weekend – the field in the Euro Tour event, the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship presented by EGA, is significantly stronger than the field in the PGA Tour event, the CareerBuilder Challenge. It’s because of an influx of PGA Tour players, several making an 8,600-mile flight due west from Hawaii, to the Arabian Peninsula. The U.S. natives among this group include world no. 1 Dustin Johnson and Matt Kuchar, plus PGA Tour regulars Paul Casey, Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose, and Henrik Stenson. The upshot of it is that there are three players at Abu Dhabi rated higher in the Hawley Ratings than the highest-rated player in the Read more

CareerBuilder Challenge

January 16, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,

Phil Mickelson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Phil Mickelson 26.5 104
2 Jon Rahm 30.4 1
3 Brian Harman 33.2 20
4 Webb Simpson 35.2 36
5 Patrick Reed 37.2 97
6 Brendan Steele 38.8 20
7 Bill Haas 38.8 97
8 Chez Reavie 39.2 36
9 Brandt Snedeker 40.2 90
10 Zach Johnson 42.8 20
11 Lucas Glover 44.4 29
12 Charles Howell 44.7 20
13 Bud Cauley 48.0 14
14 Jason Dufner 49.6 36
15 Kevin Kisner 52.0 50
16 Ryan Palmer 52.3 20
17 Kevin Streelman 52.4 29
18 James Hahn 53.0 36
19 Stewart Cink 53.8 20
20 Patton Kizzire 53.8 42
21 Kevin Chappell 53.9 6
22 Adam Hadwin 54.0 3
23 David Lingmerth 54.8 57
24 JJ Spaun 54.9 90
25 Martin Laird 55.8 127
26 Kevin Na 56.1 42
27 Jhonattan Vegas 56.1 11
28 Ollie Schniederjans 56.5 DNP
29 Sean O’Hair 56.8 50
30 Russell Knox 57.0 29
31 Luke List 57.2 121
32 Chris Kirk 57.3 78
33 Jason Kokrak 58.6 8
34 Brian Stuard 58.6 104
35 Tom Hoge 58.6 57
36 Scott Piercy 58.9 6
37 Peter Uihlein 59.3 17
38 Hudson Swafford 59.3 29
39 Bubba Watson 60.3 112
40 Chesson Hadley 60.4 42
41 Alex Cejka 60.7 50
42 Scott Brown 60.7 63
43 Sung Kang 60.9 63
44 Ben Martin 60.9 57
45 Jimmy Walker 62.0 133
46 Brian Gay 62.7 42
47 Nick Taylor 63.2 20
48 Brandon Harkins 63.4 8
49 Danny Lee 63.8 127
50 Wesley Bryan 64.0 63
51 Ryan Blaum 64.7 78
52 JT Poston 64.8 141
53 Grayson Murray 65.1 14
54 Robert Garrigus 65.1 57
55 Whee Kim 65.2 138
56 Martin Flores 65.5 78
57 Harold Varner 65.7 138
58 Vaughn Taylor 65.8 97
59 Chad Campbell 66.0 104
60 CT Pan 66.1 78
61 Andrew Landry 66.2 2
62 Tyrone van Aswegen 66.2 36
63 Mackenzie Hughes 66.3 127
64 Austin Cook 66.4 14
65 David Hearn 66.6 121
66 Brandon Hagy 66.9 DNP
67 Scott Stallings 66.9 78
68 Aaron Wise 67.0 17
69 Johnson Wagner 67.0 133
70 Ryan Armour 67.3 112
71 Nick Watney 67.4 50
72 Xin-jun Zhang 67.5 90
73 Jim Herman 67.5 90
74 Benjamin Silverman 67.7 77
75 Chris Stroud 67.7 69
76 Shawn Stefani 67.9 141
77 Daniel Summerhays 68.1 78
78 Ben Crane 68.2 42
79 Blayne Barber 68.3 141
80 Matt Jones 68.5 112
81 Geoff Ogilvy 68.5 127
82 Rory Sabbatini 68.7 69
83 Sam Saunders 68.7 8
84 Cameron Tringale 68.8 104
85 Brice Garnett 68.8 63
86 Harris English 69.0 11
87 John Huh 69.1 3
88 Seamus Power 69.1 11
89 Nicholas Lindheim 69.2 136
90 Dominic Bozzelli 69.2 152
91 Colt Knost 69.2 104
92 Michael Kim 69.4 50
93 Camilo Villegas 69.4 144
94 Smylie Kaufman 69.5 69
95 Rob Oppenheim 69.5 42
96 Talor Gooch 69.5 67
97 Trey Mullinax 69.6 57
98 Beau Hossler 69.8 20
99 Richy Werenski 69.9 29
100 Stephan Jaeger 70.2 144
101 Tyler Duncan 70.2 78
102 Jonathan Randolph 70.2 WD
103 Billy Hurley 70.4 69
104 Ted Potter 70.6 112
105 Ricky Barnes 70.6 20
106 Jonathan Byrd 70.7 112
107 Cameron Percy 70.7 136
108 Derek Fathauer 71.0 36
109 Keith Mitchell 71.0 69
110 Adam Schenk 71.2 104
111 JJ Henry 71.5 104
112 Abraham Ancer 71.7 76
113 Joel Dahmen 72.2 127
114 Hunter Mahan 72.3 42
115 Fabian Gomez 72.4 121
116 Troy Merritt 72.6 78
117 Peter Malnati 72.7 78
118 Corey Conners 72.7 50
119 Bronson Burgoon 72.7 42
120 Rod Pampling 72.7 133
121 Zac Blair 72.8 112
122 Steve Wheatcroft 73.0 121
123 Rick Lamb 73.0 90
124 DA Points 73.2 DNP
125 Angel Cabrera 73.5 DNP
126 John Peterson 73.6 75
127 Mark Wilson 73.9 149
128 Brett Stegmaier 74.0 57
129 Jon Curran 74.2 97
130 Greg Chalmers 74.3 97
131 Roberto Diaz 74.3 144
132 Stuart Appleby 74.4 DNP
133 Andrew Loupe 74.5 151
134 Matt Every 74.5 69
135 Tim Herron 74.8 DNP
136 Brendon de Jonge 75.0 DNP
137 Tom Lovelady 75.1 29
138 Andrew Putnam 75.1 17
139 Ken Duke 75.1 DNP
140 Nate Lashley 75.2 29
141 Ethan Tracy 75.2 138
142 Conrad Shindler 75.6 90
143 John Daly 75.8 144
144 Lanto Griffin 76.0 78
145 Denny McCarthy 76.1 90
146 Sangmoon Bae 76.2 97
147 Eric Axley 76.3 DNP
148 George McNeill 76.5 DNP
149 Matt Atkins 76.7 112
150 Sam Ryder 77.0 50
151 Maverick McNealy 77.4 78
152 Kyle Thompson 77.6 121
153 Andrew Yun 77.7 154
154 Omar Uresti 77.7 DNP
155 Ze-cheng Dou 77.8 104
156 Mike Weir 83.3 144
157 Lee Janzen 84.8 78
158 DJ Trahan 85.0 97
159 Charlie Beljan 85.3 152
160 Michael Block 85.3 112
161 Mark Brooks 85.3 121
162 Corey Pavin 85.3 WD
163 Martin Pillar 85.3 3
164 Charles Reiter 85.3 127
Tom Whitney late entry 68
Jeff Gove late entry 118
Jason Gore late entry 150
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 210. The average is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given
the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship presented by EGA

January 16, 2018 Thomas Hawley ,
Paul Casey
Paul Casey
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Paul Casey 14.2 9
2 Dustin Johnson 15.6 9
3 Rory McIlroy 21.7 3
4 Justin Rose 35.7 22
5 Henrik Stenson 37.1 8
6 Tyrrell Hatton 39.5 15
7 Matt Kuchar 39.7 32
8 Branden Grace 42.9 15
9 Rafa Cabrera Bello 44.3 40
10 Tommy Fleetwood 44.8 1
11 Martin Kaymer 46.8 27
12 Ian Poulter 48.8 72
13 Matthew Fitzpatrick 50.4 3
14 Bernd Wiesberger 52.2 15
15 Ross Fisher 52.9 2
16 Thomas Pieters 54.0 5
17 Bryson DeChambeau 54.0 104
18 Joost Luiten 55.2 48
19 Thorbjorn Olesen 56.8 53
20 Lee Westwood 57.9 72
21 Haotong Li 58.8 97
22 Graeme McDowell 58.9 89
23 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 58.9 22
24 Pablo Larrazabal 58.9 97
25 Soren Kjeldsen 59.3 48
26 Eddie Pepperell 59.9 89
27 Byeong Hun An 61.0 40
28 Paul Dunne 62.3 19
29 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 63.6 40
30 Richard Sterne 64.0 19
31 Richie Ramsay 64.2 40
32 Alexander Levy 64.8 7
33 David Horsey 64.9 89
34 George Coetzee 65.3 72
35 Fabrizio Zanotti 65.5 9
36 Andy Sullivan 65.8 53
37 Peter Hanson 65.9 72
38 Alexander Bjork 66.2 72
39 Matthieu Pavon 66.4 104
40 Matthew Southgate 66.5 104
41 Jamie Donaldson 66.6 72
42 Andrew Johnston 66.9 9
43 Benjamin Hebert 67.0 32
44 Hideto Tanihara 67.0 68
45 Nicolas Colsaerts 67.1 32
46 Wade Ormsby 67.2 89
47 Dylan Frittelli 67.3 19
48 Jorge Campillo 67.4 14
49 Darren Fichardt 67.4 40
50 Scott Jamieson 67.5 104
51 Nacho Elvira 67.6 113
52 Robert Rock 67.9 97
53 Callum Shinkwin 67.9 97
54 Paul Waring 68.0 72
55 Ryan Fox 68.4 32
56 David Lipsky 68.4 89
57 Dean Burmester 68.5 40
58 Chris Wood 68.6 120
59 Haydn Porteous 68.7 53
60 Shubhankar Sharma 68.8 48
61 Richard Bland 68.8 97
62 Nino Bertasio 68.9 53
63 Alejandro Canizares 69.2 48
64 Maximilian Kieffer 69.7 72
65 Anthony Wall 69.9 72
66 David Drysdale 70.1 72
67 Stephen Gallacher 70.1 61
68 Gregory Bourdy 70.2 61
69 Adrian Otaegui 70.3 40
70 Oliver Fisher 70.4 72
71 Thongchai Jaidee 70.4 72
72 Graeme Storm 70.6 104
73 Graeme Storm 70.6 104
74 Ashun Wu 70.6 22
75 Jordan Smith 70.7 61
76 Matt Wallace 70.8 32
77 Scott Hend 70.8 22
78 Andrew Dodt 70.8 116
79 Thomas Aiken 71.0 72
80 Jeunghun Wang 71.0 15
81 Joakim Lagergren 71.0 53
82 Danny Willett 71.3 DNP
83 Renato Paratore 71.3 72
84 Austin Connelly 71.3 97
85 Marc Warren 71.4 104
86 James Morrison 71.5 113
87 Chris Hanson 71.7 120
88 Ashley Chesters 71.8 89
89 Mikko Ilonen 71.9 40
90 Thomas Bjorn 72.0 30
91 Chris Paisley 72.1 5
92 Matteo Manassero 72.2 30
93 Jason Scrivener 72.2 48
94 Jason Scrivener 72.2 48
95 Marcel Siem 72.2 116
96 Robert Karlsson 72.2 32
97 Ricardo Gouveia 72.3 53
98 Lee Slattery 72.3 61
99 Romain Wattel 72.5 104
100 Mikko Korhonen 72.6 22
101 Lucas Bjerregaard 72.7 69
102 Brandon Stone 73.0 61
103 Thomas Detry 73.1 9
104 Kristoffer Broberg 73.3 32
105 Andres Romero 73.3 72
106 Gregory Havret 73.5 67
107 Aaron Rai 73.8 DNP
108 Raphael Jacquelin 73.8 72
109 Sam Brazel 73.9 32
110 Daniel Brooks 73.9 72
111 Gary Stal 74.1 53
112 Phachara Khongwatmai 74.3 120
113 Daniel Im 74.5 WD
114 Ernie Els 74.6 116
115 Lasse Jensen 74.8 27
116 Carlos Pigem 74.9 53
117 Paul Lawrie 74.9 104
118 Tapio Pulkkanen 75.1 DNP
119 Brett Rumford 75.2 DNP
120 Soo-min Lee 75.7 104
121 Zander Lombard 75.8 113
122 Edoardo Molinari 75.8 89
123 Erik Van Rooyen 76.2 DNP
124 Alvaro Quiros 76.4 61
125 Scott Vincent 76.7 71
126 Trevor Immelman 77.6 97
127 Jose Maria Olazabal 77.6 123
128 Marcus Kinhult 78.0 DNP
129 Clement Sordet 78.6 DNP
130 Jacques Kruyswijk 79.2 69
131 Jason Norris 81.3 89
132 Ahmed Al Musharek 85.3 125
133 Dan Kirkwood 85.3 124
134 Harry Ellis 85.3 DNP
135 Seung-su Han 85.3 27
136 Tom Buchanan 85.3 119
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The accuracy number for these picks is 206. The average is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.