OHL Classic at Mayakoba

November 6, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Rickie Fowler
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rickie Fowler 17.9 2
2 Pat Perez 27.8 34
3 Patrick Reed 37.3 80
4 Webb Simpson 39.3 DNP
5 Charley Hoffman 39.9 97
6 Charles Howell 43.1 4
7 Chez Reavie 44.4 14
8 Kevin Chappell 46.7 97
9 Jason Kokrak 47.7 45
10 Chesson Hadley 47.8 WD
11 Russell Knox 49.3 9
12 Stewart Cink 49.6 80
13 Gary Woodland 50.7 34
14 Zach Johnson 51.5 23
15 Ryan Moore 52.6 6
16 Kevin Streelman 53.8 20
17 Luke List 53.8 110
18 Nick Taylor 54.2 89
19 Byeong Hun An 54.3 97
20 Anirban Lahiri 54.5 14
21 Scott Brown 54.7 6
22 Graeme McDowell 56.3 34
23 Bryson DeChambeau 56.4 14
24 David Lingmerth 56.9 WD
25 Brandon Harkins 57.7 25
26 Jhonattan Vegas 58.0 61
27 Emiliano Grillo 58.0 9
28 Scott Piercy 58.3 DNP
29 Tyler Duncan 58.6 50
30 Danny Lee 58.9 25
31 Whee Kim 58.9 45
32 Ollie Schniederjans 59.2 DNP
33 Jason Bohn 60.4 118
34 Mackenzie Hughes 60.9 89
35 Austin Cook 61.8 50
36 Sung Kang 61.9 118
37 Brice Garnett 62.5 25
38 Beau Hossler 62.8 34
39 Billy Horschel 63.0 DNP
40 Aaron Baddeley 64.1 74
41 Ben Martin 64.3 89
42 Si woo Kim 64.4 3
43 Johnson Wagner 64.4 61
44 Patrick Rodgers 64.5 14
45 Bronson Burgoon 64.6 97
46 Harris English 64.6 97
47 Chris Stroud 64.8 80
48 Aaron Wise 65.1 80
49 Smylie Kaufman 65.2 125
50 Jim Herman 65.3 113
51 Patton Kizzire 65.7 1
52 Tyrone van Aswegen 65.7 25
53 Brian Stuard 65.9 9
54 Geoff Ogilvy 65.9 68
55 Ryan Armour 65.9 55
56 Martin Flores 66.2 89
57 JJ Spaun 66.3 14
58 Andrew Landry 66.3 WD
59 Alex Cejka 66.6 9
60 Camilo Villegas 66.6 50
61 Talor Gooch 66.7 41
62 Benjamin Silverman 66.7 80
63 Brandon Hagy 66.7 113
64 Seamus Power 66.8 89
65 Tom Hoge 66.9 61
66 Shawn Stefani 66.9 20
67 Nick Watney 67.1 55
68 John Huh 67.1 25
69 Daniel Summerhays 67.1 DNP
70 David Hearn 67.1 DNP
71 Rory Sabbatini 67.2 77
72 Peter Malnati 67.2 80
73 CT Pan 67.4 55
74 Vaughn Taylor 67.4 41
75 Ryan Blaum 67.5 WD
76 Zac Blair 67.6 55
77 Rob Oppenheim 67.6 34
78 Ricky Barnes 67.7 77
79 Billy Hurley 67.8 106
80 JJ Henry 68.0 118
81 Blayne Barber 68.5 45
82 JT Poston 68.9 14
83 Sam Saunders 69.0 110
84 Brian Gay 69.4 25
85 Derek Fathauer 69.4 68
86 Ben Crane 69.5 DNP
87 Trey Mullinax 69.8 DNP
88 Stephan Jaeger 69.9 118
89 Richy Werenski 69.9 41
90 Cameron Percy 70.0 DNP
91 Cameron Tringale 70.3 25
92 Retief Goosen 70.8 34
93 Matt Jones 70.9 50
94 Hunter Mahan 71.0 89
95 Jon Curran 71.2 118
96 Troy Merritt 71.4 80
97 Fabian Gomez 71.5 45
98 Xin-jun Zhang 71.6 20
99 Steve Wheatcroft 71.9 80
100 Brett Stegmaier 72.1 61
101 Rick Lamb 72.3 DNP
102 Keith Mitchell 72.4 68
103 Adam Schenk 72.8 34
104 Matt Every 72.8 61
105 DA Points 72.8 75
106 Jonathan Byrd 72.8 61
107 Tom Lovelady 73.1 127
108 Nicholas Lindheim 74.1 41
109 Ethan Tracy 74.1 55
110 Greg Chalmers 74.3 68
111 Ernie Els 74.6 WD
112 Andrew Putnam 75.0 89
113 Oscar Fraustro 75.1 25
114 Martin Piller 75.4 4
115 Corey Conners 75.8 75
116 Joel Dahmen 76.2 23
117 Ted Potter 76.3 97
118 Carlos Ortiz 77.0 45
119 Wyndham Clark 77.2 118
120 Lanto Griffin 77.7 61
121 Denny McCarthy 78.3 68
122 Abraham Ancer 78.4 9
123 Mark Wilson 79.3 89
124 Matt Atkins 80.3 110
125 Cameron Champ 80.4 118
126 Conrad Shindler 80.9 50
127 Javier Colomo 81.6 106
128 Nate Lashley 81.7 97
129 Ze-cheng Dou 82.6 WD
130 Roberto Diaz 82.7 25
131 Sam Ryder 83.5 80
132 Brian Davis 84.6 97
133 Andrew Yun 84.8 126
134 Kyle Thompson 84.9 97
135 Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 85.4 106
136 Sangmoon Bae 87.4 113
John Oda late entry 8
Tim Wilkinson late entry 60
Ken Duke late entry 72
Sean Jacklin late entry 107
Jordan Niebrugge late entry 115
Alex Kang late entry 116
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 291. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Nedbank Golf Challenge Hosted by Gary Player

November 6, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Louis Oosthuizen
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Louis Oosthuizen 28.7 8
2 Branden Grace 34.8 1
3 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 36.6 42
4 Francesco Molinari 36.7 27
5 Tyrrell Hatton 42.6 19
6 Tommy Fleetwood 42.8 10
7 Charl Schwartzel 45.8 12
8 Ross Fisher 47.7 34
9 Matthew Fitzpatrick 49.0 8
10 Alex Noren 50.4 12
11 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 50.6 42
12 Ian Poulter 51.2 19
13 Shane Lowry 52.5 12
14 Lee Westwood 53.1 6
15 Martin Kaymer 53.3 5
16 Peter Uihlein 53.8 WD
17 Soren Kjeldsen 55.0 12
18 Joost Luiten 56.7 12
19 Bernd Wiesberger 57.1 19
20 Victor Dubuisson 58.1 3
21 Eddie Pepperell 58.2 34
22 George Coetzee 60.0 37
23 Andy Sullivan 60.9 65
24 Chris Wood 61.1 68
25 Nicolas Colsaerts 61.4 57
26 Thorbjorn Olesen 61.7 12
27 Paul Dunne 61.9 29
28 Alexander Levy 63.9 37
29 Richard Sterne 64.2 19
30 Hideto Tanihara 64.5 52
31 Haotong Li 65.3 4
32 Marc Warren 65.6 66
33 Padraig Harrington 65.7 42
34 David Horsey 65.7 42
35 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 65.8 37
36 Richie Ramsay 66.2 19
37 Matthew Southgate 66.2 DNP
38 Julian Suri 66.5 42
39 Pablo Larrazabal 66.8 60
40 Gregory Bourdy 67.9 37
41 Stephen Gallacher 68.1 60
42 Ryan Fox 68.2 52
43 David Drysdale 68.5 42
44 Fabrizio Zanotti 68.7 29
45 David Lipsky 68.9 42
46 Alexander Bjork 69.0 52
47 Jorge Campillo 69.0 27
48 Benjamin Hebert 69.2 19
49 Jeunghun Wang 69.5 55
50 Scott Hend 69.7 57
51 Jordan Smith 69.8 WD
52 Nacho Elvira 69.8 29
53 Matt Wallace 69.8 34
54 Dylan Frittelli 70.1 42
55 Oliver Fisher 70.3 DNP
56 Adrian Otaegui 70.3 60
57 Haydn Porteous 70.7 12
58 Joakim Lagergren 70.7 DNP
59 Anthony Wall 71.2 DNP
60 Callum Shinkwin 71.2 29
61 Romain Wattel 71.4 59
62 Thomas Bjorn 71.5 60
63 Andrew Dodt 71.7 70
64 Paul Waring 71.8 19
65 Lucas Bjerregaard 71.9 37
66 Marcus Fraser 72.0 DNP
67 Graeme Storm 72.0 10
68 Matthieu Pavon 72.0 19
69 Dean Burmester 72.2 42
70 Scott Jamieson 72.3 2
71 Renato Paratore 72.6 60
72 Brandon Stone 72.7 66
73 Lee Slattery 73.0 29
74 Andres Romero 73.1 69
75 Sam Brazel 75.5 42
76 Edoardo Molinari 76.1 55
Darren Fichardt late entry 6
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 262. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Nov. 5, 2017)

November 5, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson is rolling along as the world’s no. 1 player. He’s been on top for 34 weeks in a row.
# Thru Nov. 5, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 47 1855 1
2 Jordan Spieth 50 1770 2
3 Paul Casey 49 1660 3
4 Jason Day 43 1532 4
5 Rickie Fowler 52 1518 5
6 Patrick Cantlay 15 1503 7
7 Rory McIlroy 42 1426 6
8 Brooks Koepka 49 1418 8
9 Matt Kuchar 62 1384 9
10 Hideki Matsuyama 48 1374 10
11 Jon Rahm 38 1354 11
12 Justin Rose 46 1346 13
13 Justin Thomas 54 1334 12
14 Henrik Stenson 48 1279 14
15 Adam Scott 44 1277 15
16 Phil Mickelson 49 1233 16
17 Louis Oosthuizen 48 1182 17
18 Francesco Molinari 50 1161 19
19 Sergio Garcia 43 1158 18
20 Marc Leishman 55 1157 20
21 Patrick Reed 69 1143 21
22 Pat Perez 37 1138 22
23 Brandt Snedeker 46 1076 23
24 Webb Simpson 49 1043 24
25 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 59 1037 25
26 Charley Hoffman 59 977 26
27 Tony Finau 57 972 27
28 Tyrrell Hatton 50 955 28
29 Daniel Berger 53 932 29
30 Kevin Kisner 55 928 30
31 Brendan Steele 48 927 32
32 Kevin Chappell 54 925 31
33 Branden Grace 56 921 33
34 Steve Stricker 31 919 34
35 Bill Haas 53 913 35
36 Brian Harman 60 912 36
37 Jason Dufner 53 899 37
38 Gary Woodland 55 886 38
39 Charl Schwartzel 49 868 40
40 Zach Johnson 53 864 41
41 Ryan Moore 46 847 39
42 Charles Howell 50 844 42
43 Xander Schauffele 36 813 43
44 Alex Noren 46 808 44
45 Kevin Na 51 800 45
46 Chez Reavie 57 794 46
47 Lucas Glover 50 785 47
48 Russell Henley 52 763 50
49 Kyle Stanley 58 761 51
50 Bubba Watson 46 757 48
51 JB Holmes 54 742 49
52 Tommy Fleetwood 53 731 53
53 Emiliano Grillo 58 718 56
54 Ian Poulter 48 718 55
55 Keegan Bradley 57 717 57
56 Jimmy Walker 51 711 52
57 Jamie Lovemark 58 699 54
58 Ryan Palmer 41 686 58
59 Graham DeLaet 47 684 59
60 Jhonattan Vegas 59 682 61
61 Stewart Cink 47 670 65
62 Thomas Pieters 50 667 70
63 Jason Kokrak 56 666 68
64 Bernd Wiesberger 58 664 60
65 Martin Kaymer 53 664 63
66 Shane Lowry 52 662 73
67 Bud Cauley 46 658 66
68 Billy Horschel 52 656 62
69 Martin Laird 49 647 64
70 Adam Hadwin 57 646 72
71 Byeong Hun An 55 643 69
72 Scott Piercy 48 643 71
73 Sean O’Hair 53 637 74
74 Kevin Streelman 52 635 67
75 Ross Fisher 48 629 76
76 William McGirt 54 627 82
77 David Lingmerth 60 620 75
78 Anirban Lahiri 56 614 77
79 Soren Kjeldsen 55 613 80
80 Scott Brown 57 603 78
81 Cameron Smith 56 601 83
82 Lee Westwood 48 598 84
83 Matthew Fitzpatrick 61 596 87
84 James Hahn 54 595 79
85 Luke List 62 595 86
86 Russell Knox 60 585 81
87 Jordan L Smith 14 580 85
88 Jim Furyk 32 573 88
89 Danny Lee 67 556 89
90 Ollie Schniederjans 39 552 90
91 Graeme McDowell 58 551 95
92 Hudson Swafford 58 547 93
93 Mackenzie Hughes 35 544 91
94 Sung Kang 65 543 92
95 Peter Uihlein 43 531 99
96 Si woo Kim 62 529 94
97 Nick Taylor 55 513 97
98 Kevin Tway 36 505 101
99 Robert Garrigus 49 505 102
100 Chad Campbell 58 504 96
101 Chris Kirk 60 497 98
102 Andy Sullivan 57 493 100
103 Robert Streb 58 476 104
104 Jerry Kelly 29 475 108
105 Hideto Tanihara 23 469 103
106 Harold Varner 62 468 106
107 Wesley Bryan 37 466 109
108 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56 463 118
109 Aaron Baddeley 49 460 120
110 Nick Watney 26 460 105
111 Jim Herman 52 455 111
112 Joost Luiten 54 453 113
113 Bryson DeChambeau 55 452 124
114 Daniel Summerhays 60 448 110
115 Chris Wood 54 442 115
116 Colt Knost 32 439 107
117 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 438 127
118 Grayson Murray 36 434 116
119 Chesson Hadley 42 430 143
120 Haotong Li 42 427 112
121 Whee Kim 59 424 136
122 JJ Spaun 37 421 134
123 Harris English 57 420 114
124 Smylie Kaufman 56 418 117
125 Rafael Campos 10 416 119
126 Patton Kizzire 56 407 145
127 Morgan Hoffmann 56 404 121
128 David Hearn 63 404 122
129 Patrick Rodgers 57 404 123
130 Padraig Harrington 47 402 142
131 Luke Donald 51 399 129
132 Billy Hurley 46 396 126
133 Ben Martin 55 396 125
134 Alex Cejka 59 395 158
135 Nicolas Colsaerts 57 390 150
136 Geoff Ogilvy 49 389 128
137 Brandon Hagy 33 388 130
138 Roberto Castro 52 387 131
139 Andrew Johnston 47 384 132
140 Eddie Pepperell 45 378 161
141 John Senden 44 378 133
142 Chris Stroud 54 365 141
143 Martin Flores 34 364 140
144 Richard Sterne 43 362 135
145 Brandon Harkins 8 361
146 Seung-yul Noh 57 360 144
147 Tyrone van Aswegen 63 359 137
148 George Coetzee 54 359 148
149 Alexander Levy 48 359 146
150 Paul Dunne 52 358 153
151 Michael Kim 56 357 139
152 CT Pan 40 355 138
153 Julian Suri 14 351 211
154 Johnson Wagner 55 345 156
155 Vaughn Taylor 51 344 147
156 Blayne Barber 50 344 157
157 Ricky Barnes 64 343 149
158 Kelly Kraft 53 342 155
159 David Horsey 47 341 151
160 Ryan Blaum 36 340 178
161 Scott Stallings 58 338 159
162 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 43 337 163
163 Austin Cook 10 336 235
164 Jonas Blixt 52 335 152
165 Fabrizio Zanotti 48 332 194
166 Aaron Wise 13 331 183
167 Sam Saunders 53 331 160
168 Seamus Power 35 330 165
169 Pablo Larrazabal 51 329 164
170 Andrew Landry 27 328 154
171 Michael Thompson 46 327 162
172 Richard Bland 51 324 170
173 Victor Dubuisson 36 322 168
174 Richie Ramsay 50 318 177
175 Camilo Villegas 59 316 166
176 Matthew Southgate 57 316 196
177 Gregory Bourdy 57 310 175
178 Bryce Molder 49 309 172
179 Rob Oppenheim 35 309 169
180 Danny Willett 49 308 173
181 David Toms 20 308 179
182 Thongchai Jaidee 55 307 185
183 Austin Connelly 21 306 167
184 Ryan Armour 30 306 209
185 JT Poston 37 306 247
186 Freddie Jacobson 32 305 176
187 Retief Goosen 40 304 171
188 Ryan Fox 40 304 180
189 Derek Fathauer 57 302 181
190 Alexander Bjork 29 301 182
191 Scott Hend 59 301 186
192 Kyle Reifers 67 299 189
193 Vijay Singh 42 299 174
194 Bronson Burgoon 31 299 188
195 Richy Werenski 33 297 187
196 Jorge Campillo 53 297 195
197 Brian Gay 44 297 184
198 Brian Stuard 52 292 193
199 John Huh 56 291 190
200 Cameron Tringale 58 291 192
201 Fabian Gomez 49 289 191
202 Dominic Bozzelli 28 289 199
203 Beau Hossler 14 286 359
204 Henrik Norlander 31 283 203
205 Tim Wilkinson 51 282 200
206 Trey Mullinax 39 282 228
207 Ben Crane 57 282 197
208 Rory Sabbatini 48 281 198
209 Jaco van Zyl 42 280 202
210 Tom Hoge 51 279 252
211 Miguel Angel Jimenez 21 278 207
212 Cameron Percy 45 278 204
213 Jamie Donaldson 48 274 205
214 Jordan Smith 15 270 206
215 Kyung-tae Kim 21 269 212
216 Brett Coletta 8 268 214
217 Curtis Luck 23 266 215
218 David Lipsky 55 264 229
219 Matt Jones 55 264 208
220 Jon Curran 44 264 201
221 Nacho Elvira 56 264 226
222 Andres Gonzales 57 263 210
223 Boo Weekley 51 263 217
224 Bradley Dredge 46 262 218
225 Peter Hanson 38 261 219
226 Benjamin Hebert 50 259 216
227 Mikko Ilonen 45 259 224
228 Rikard Karlberg 43 258 223
229 Stephen Gallacher 45 257 248
230 Shawn Stefani 59 254 221
231 Troy Merritt 61 253 225
232 Poom Saksansin 14 250 232
233 Callum Shinkwin 41 250 254
234 Thomas Aiken 53 248 233
235 David Drysdale 56 247 230
236 Jonathan Randolph 32 245 227
237 Joakim Lagergren 48 245 237
238 KJ Choi 49 244 234
239 Jeunghun Wang 53 243 244
240 Ashun Wu 44 242 240
241 Jonathan Byrd 22 242 222
242 Zac Blair 68 241 231
243 Yuta Ikeda 16 241 243
244 Julian Etulain 29 240 241
245 Alejandro Canizares 48 240 245
246 Keith Mitchell 11 239 213
247 Spencer Levin 65 239 242
248 Robert Rock 50 238 236
249 Marc Warren 54 237 239
250 Anthony Wall 41 236 238
251 JJ Henry 53 233 250
252 Dylan Frittelli 37 233 307
253 Will MacKenzie 44 232 249
254 Steve Wheatcroft 51 231 246
255 Adrian Otaegui 53 224 251
256 Chad Collins 54 222 255
257 Xin-jun Zhang 8 219 220
258 Dean Burmester 37 218 253
259 Tag Ridings 27 216 260
260 Young-han Song 11 215 264
261 Andrew Dodt 46 211 266
262 Ashley Chesters 23 211 265
263 Matt Wallace 23 211 256
264 Graeme Storm 53 211 257
265 DA Points 45 210 258
266 Lee McCoy 11 209 261
267 Scott Langley 29 209 268
268 Nino Bertasio 56 208 262
269 Aaron Rai 13 208 269
270 Stephan Jaeger 13 207 367
271 Justin Leonard 13 207 263
272 Rick Lamb 29 205 259
273 Sebastian Munoz 24 201 270
274 Florian Fritsch 31 200 277
275 Ricardo Gouveia 54 199 273
276 John Peterson 21 199 278
277 Robby Shelton 12 198 272
278 Maximilian Kieffer 50 198 274
279 Romain Wattel 52 198 289
280 Chris Hanson 48 196 280
281 Davis Love 30 195 286
282 Renato Paratore 59 195 275
283 Marcus Fraser 49 195 271
284 Martin Piller 30 195 267
285 Cody Gribble 34 194 285
286 Adam Schenk 10 194 428
287 Anders Hansen 13 194 283
288 Brett Stegmaier 60 194 282
289 Wes Roach 25 193 284
290 Matthieu Pavon 29 193 312
291 James Morrison 54 192 287
292 Darren Fichardt 39 191 292
293 Julien Quesne 52 189 294
294 Lucas Bjerregaard 57 189 288
295 Matteo Manassero 51 188 296
296 Ryo Ishikawa 30 187 298
297 Paul Waring 29 186 339
298 Scott Jamieson 54 186 290
299 Joel Dahmen 23 184 279
300 Lee Slattery 55 184 291
301 Brandon Stone 47 184 293
302 Oliver Fisher 54 182 299
303 Brice Garnett 26 181 281
304 Mikko Korhonen 43 181 300
305 Ted Potter 14 180 276
306 Peter Malnati 62 178 310
307 Greg Owen 49 177 301
308 Steve Marino 36 176 302
309 Adrien Saddier 10 176 303
310 Andres Romero 36 175 309
311 Stuart Appleby 47 175 304
312 Wade Ormsby 40 172 308
313 Will Wilcox 38 171 305
314 Robert Karlsson 42 170 313
315 Andrew Loupe 50 170 306
316 Chris Paisley 56 168 318
317 Gregory Havret 55 168 316
318 Rod Pampling 49 167 319
319 Gavin Green 8 167 321
320 Michael Putnam 15 166 317
321 Jason Gore 36 165 311
322 Trevor Fisher 31 165 315
323 Michael Johnson 10 165 320
324 Yusaku Miyazato 11 164 324
325 Shubhankar Sharma 9 164 326
326 Richard Lee 12 163 328
327 Andrew Putnam 9 163 295
328 Bernd Ritthammer 30 162 325
329 Marcel Siem 51 162 314
330 Corey Conners 9 162 297
331 Johan Carlsson 52 162 323
332 Haydn Porteous 56 161 330
333 Ryan Ruffels 19 161 327
334 Hunter Mahan 53 158 322
335 Thomas Detry 30 157 329
336 Alex Prugh 18 157 331
337 Satoshi Kodaira 10 156 333
338 Angel Cabrera 40 154 332
339 Charlie Danielson 8 154 335
340 Mark Hubbard 58 152 336
341 Hiroshi Iwata 40 151 334
342 Raphael Jacquelin 53 150 338
343 Luke Guthrie 23 148 337
344 Jason Scrivener 50 146 344
345 Justin Hicks 16 146 342
346 Ken Duke 52 146 341
347 Ernie Els 51 145 343
348 Jose-Filipe Lima 28 145 346
349 Ryan Brehm 32 145 345
350 WC Liang 12 144 348
351 Greg Chalmers 45 144 340
352 Ben Evans 41 141 350
353 Felipe Aguilar 52 141 352
354 Matt Every 48 139 347
355 Daniel Im 50 137 353
356 Rashid Khan 13 135 357
357 Tyler Aldridge 42 134 354
358 Nicholas Lindheim 31 134 351
359 Lasse Jensen 50 134 358
360 Scott Pinckney 29 134 356
361 Johannes Veerman 9 133 361
362 Brian Campbell 27 132 360
363 Abraham Ancer 27 132 349
364 Sebastian Heisele 19 132 362
365 Ethan Tracy 11 132 439
366 Romain Langasque 32 131 365
367 Shiv Kapur 25 130 363
368 Tjaart van der Walt 17 130 364
369 Carlos Ortiz 35 128 366
370 Phachara Khongwatmai 27 125 368
371 Tim Herron 25 125 369
372 John Merrick 24 125 370
373 Brett Drewitt 27 123 372
374 Duncan Stewart 29 122 371
375 Denny McCarthy 11 121 355
376 Magnus A Carlsson 48 120 374
377 Thomas Bjorn 33 120 378
378 Joel Stalter 26 119 376
379 Prayad Marksaeng 10 119 373
380 YE Yang 30 118 375
381 Rhein Gibson 30 118 379
382 Justin Walters 52 117 380
383 Jordan Niebrugge 9 116 377
384 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 32 114 381
385 Carlos Pigem 37 114 382
386 Sebastian Soderberg 19 111 384
387 Mark Wilson 38 111 383
388 Tom Lewis 37 109 386
389 Christofer Blomstrand 8 109 385
390 Paul Peterson 50 108 388
391 SSP Chawrasia 45 108 387
392 Richard McEvoy 31 107 390
393 Miguel Angel Carballo 41 107 393
394 Adilson da Silva 27 106 391
395 Erik Compton 26 106 392
396 Hennie Otto 22 105 394
397 Dicky Pride 31 104 399
398 Jbe Kruger 38 104 396
399 Kristoffer Broberg 34 104 389
400 Alexander Knappe 26 103 397
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

October 31, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Webb Simpson and Patrick Cantlay, the two highest-rated players in the field per the Hawley Ratings, are the top two picks this week in the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Simpson, who has accumulated the most money in this event over the past eight seasons, won it in 2013, has two other top-10s, and two other made cuts here over that span. He’s played only one event of the five so far this season, finishing in the top 20 in the Safeway. This is Cantlay’s first appearance at the TPC Summerlin course in Las Vegas. When last season began, Cantlay was basically known only for having had a great amateur career. He took off like a rocket in March and he played his way all the way to the Tour Championship, finishing in the top 50 on the money list. He was 15th in last week’s Read more

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

October 30, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Webb Simpson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Webb Simpson 28.2 20
2 Patrick Cantlay 30.4 1
3 Tony Finau 35.0 16
4 Ryan Moore 42.4 51
5 Charley Hoffman 44.7 18
6 Kevin Chappell 46.9 20
7 Anirban Lahiri 49.3 51
8 Jimmy Walker 49.9 105
9 Kevin Streelman 50.0 67
10 Jamie Lovemark 51.0 90
11 Bubba Watson 51.5 51
12 Martin Laird 52.0 79
13 Kevin Na 52.6 DNP
14 Scott Brown 53.2 63
15 Jason Kokrak 53.5 20
16 Gary Woodland 53.7 18
17 Luke List 54.2 20
18 Tyler Duncan 54.5 97
19 David Lingmerth 54.8 57
20 Scott Piercy 56.0 32
21 Nick Taylor 56.0 32
22 Byeong Hun An 56.3 32
23 Chesson Hadley 56.7 4
24 Colt Knost 56.9 128
25 Nick Watney 57.0 141
26 JB Holmes 57.6 79
27 James Hahn 57.8 77
28 Morgan Hoffmann 58.1 131
29 William McGirt 60.0 10
30 Harold Varner 60.4 63
31 Ben Martin 60.7 97
32 Russell Knox 60.8 72
33 Kevin Tway 60.9 32
34 Chad Campbell 60.9 72
35 Bryson DeChambeau 61.8 7
36 Smylie Kaufman 62.0 90
37 Billy Horschel 62.4 WD
38 Tyrone van Aswegen 63.4 105
39 Graeme McDowell 64.2 10
40 Chris Kirk 64.3 90
41 Bronson Burgoon 64.3 DNP
42 David Hearn 64.5 79
43 Robert Streb 64.5 105
44 Robert Garrigus 64.7 32
45 Rob Oppenheim 64.7 97
46 Martin Flores 64.7 41
47 Ricky Barnes 64.7 136
48 Patrick Rodgers 65.0 79
49 Daniel Summerhays 65.1 57
50 Andrew Landry 65.3 131
51 Geoff Ogilvy 65.6 75
52 Brandon Hagy 65.8 41
53 Whee Kim 65.8 2
54 Benjamin Silverman 66.2 47
55 Camilo Villegas 66.5 75
56 Aaron Wise 66.6 32
57 Harris English 66.7 79
58 Luke Donald 66.7 32
59 Alex Cejka 66.8 2
60 Vaughn Taylor 66.8 105
61 CT Pan 66.8 122
62 Seamus Power 66.9 41
63 Aaron Baddeley 67.1 10
64 Jonas Blixt 67.5 105
65 Billy Hurley 67.5 105
66 Cameron Tringale 67.6 137
67 Scott Stallings 67.6 41
68 Rory Sabbatini 67.7 105
69 Austin Cook 67.7 20
70 Brandon Harkins 67.9 20
71 Kelly Kraft 68.1 47
72 Patton Kizzire 68.5 4
73 Vijay Singh 68.6 90
74 JJ Spaun 68.7 10
75 John Huh 68.7 57
76 Sam Saunders 68.8 57
77 Michael Thompson 68.8 72
78 Ben Crane 68.9 97
79 Cameron Percy 69.0 DNP
80 Zac Blair 69.1 131
81 Johnson Wagner 69.2 DNP
82 Xin-jun Zhang 69.3 128
83 Michael Kim 69.3 139
84 Ryan Armour 69.5 20
85 Brian Gay 69.5 105
86 Shawn Stefani 69.5 68
87 Brian Stuard 69.6 57
88 Richy Werenski 69.9 51
89 Matt Jones 69.9 131
90 Tom Hoge 70.0 7
91 Keith Mitchell 70.1 79
92 Derek Fathauer 70.2 63
93 Steve Wheatcroft 70.3 137
94 Retief Goosen 70.4 77
95 Jonathan Randolph 70.5 WD
96 Hunter Mahan 70.5 79
97 Ryan Blaum 70.6 20
98 Fabian Gomez 70.7 90
99 Jon Curran 70.8 105
100 Trey Mullinax 70.9 20
101 Troy Merritt 71.0 51
102 Tom Lovelady 71.3 79
103 Brice Garnett 71.4 122
104 Brett Stegmaier 71.5 47
105 Peter Malnati 71.6 32
106 Rick Lamb 71.8 122
107 Jonathan Byrd 72.2 97
108 Nicholas Lindheim 72.5 WD
109 JT Poston 72.5 4
110 Matt Every 72.5 97
111 Corey Conners 72.6 68
112 DA Points 72.6 140
113 Andres Romero 73.1 DNP
114 Andrew Putnam 73.2 79
115 Martin Piller 73.3 105
116 Rod Pampling 73.4 47
117 Ken Duke 73.5 DNP
118 Greg Chalmers 73.6 105
119 Jason Gore 74.2 DNP
120 Joel Dahmen 74.6 79
121 Ernie Els 74.7 51
122 Ted Potter 74.8 105
123 Lanto Griffin 75.2 122
124 Stuart Appleby 75.6 DNP
125 Denny McCarthy 76.1 90
126 Angel Cabrera 76.4 DNP
127 Beau Hossler 76.6 7
128 Stephan Jaeger 77.6 20
129 Abraham Ancer 77.8 90
130 Matt Atkins 77.9 105
131 Ethan Tracy 78.8 32
132 Talor Gooch 79.1 16
133 Bill Lunde 79.5 DNP
134 Adam Schenk 80.4 20
135 Dicky Pride 80.5 DNP
136 Nate Lashley 80.7 105
137 Maverick McNealy 81.2 128
138 Roberto Diaz 81.9 68
139 Ze-cheng Dou 82.2 105
140 Sam Ryder 83.0 105
141 Sam Burns 83.6 20
142 Brian Davis 84.5 68
143 Andrew Yun 84.8 131
144 Kyle Thompson 84.8 97
145 Aj McInerney 85.5 10
146 Jesse Mueller 85.5 57
147 Jimmy Stanger 85.5 41
148 Sangmoon Bae 87.4 79
Alex Kang late entry 15
Jim Knous late entry 46
Ryan Hogue late entry 66
Andres Gonzales late entry 97
Tom Whitney late entry 119
Scott Strohmeyer late entry 122
Taylor Moore late entry 124
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 210. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Turkish Airlines Open

October 30, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Justin Rose
Justin Rose
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Justin Rose 15.4 1
2 Henrik Stenson 25.2 35
3 Tyrrell Hatton 41.2 16
4 Ian Poulter 44.7 20
5 Victor Dubuisson 50.7 35
6 Lee Westwood 52.5 20
7 Matthew Fitzpatrick 53.0 11
8 Bernd Wiesberger 53.6 48
9 Shane Lowry 54.1 8
10 Peter Uihlein 54.9 14
11 Soren Kjeldsen 57.9 23
12 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 58.0 6
13 Martin Kaymer 58.7 30
14 Thomas Pieters 59.6 11
15 Paul Dunne 60.6 23
16 George Coetzee 60.7 27
17 Joost Luiten 61.0 16
18 Eddie Pepperell 61.6 6
19 Hideto Tanihara 62.7 70
20 Alexander Levy 62.8 30
21 Chris Wood 63.0 23
22 Andy Sullivan 63.5 61
23 Thorbjorn Olesen 63.8 5
24 Marc Warren 64.1 66
25 Nicolas Colsaerts 64.2 2
26 Haotong Li 64.3 66
27 David Horsey 64.8 61
28 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 64.9 35
29 Richard Sterne 64.9 54
30 Richie Ramsay 65.4 27
31 Pablo Larrazabal 66.0 42
32 Andrew Johnston 66.1 30
33 Gregory Bourdy 66.5 42
34 Stephen Gallacher 66.6 16
35 Alexander Bjork 67.9 48
36 Padraig Harrington 68.0 4
37 David Lipsky 68.0 27
38 Ryan Fox 68.2 48
39 Robert Rock 68.3 52
40 David Drysdale 68.5 56
41 Jorge Campillo 68.7 35
42 Austin Connelly 68.9 70
43 Benjamin Hebert 69.0 56
44 Darren Fichardt 69.2 DNP
45 Romain Wattel 69.3 30
46 Matthew Southgate 69.4 11
47 Adrian Otaegui 69.5 73
48 Fabrizio Zanotti 69.6 8
49 Scott Hend 69.6 42
50 Marcus Fraser 69.8 66
51 Lucas Bjerregaard 69.9 48
52 Nacho Elvira 69.9 30
53 Matt Wallace 70.0 54
54 Julian Suri 70.2 8
55 Oliver Fisher 70.2 DNP
56 Jordan Smith 70.2 42
57 Joakim Lagergren 70.5 DNP
58 Anthony Wall 70.6 56
59 Maximilian Kieffer 70.7 DNP
60 Jeunghun Wang 70.8 35
61 Scott Jamieson 71.0 66
62 Dean Burmester 71.0 61
63 Marcel Siem 71.2 64
64 Brandon Stone 71.5 74
65 Andrew Dodt 71.7 42
66 Haydn Porteous 71.8 35
67 Wade Ormsby 71.8 DNP
68 Lee Slattery 72.3 72
69 Dylan Frittelli 72.5 2
70 Renato Paratore 72.5 56
71 Callum Shinkwin 72.6 16
72 Thomas Detry 72.8 DNP
73 Matthieu Pavon 73.1 20
74 Paul Waring 73.3 14
75 Andres Romero 73.5 35
76 Daniel Im 74.2 DNP
77 Sam Brazel 75.5 52
78 Edoardo Molinari 76.1 56
79 Leon Acikalin 85.5 75
80 Taner Yamac 85.5 78
Tommy Fleetwood late entry 24
Thomas Bjorn late entry 42
Ali Altuntas late entry 64
Nino Bertasio late entry 75
Graeme Storm late entry 77
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 324. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Oct. 29, 2017)

October 30, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson is no. 1 entering the 2017-’18 season, now on top for 33 weeks in a row.
# Thru Oct. 29, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 48 1855 1
2 Jordan Spieth 51 1767 2
3 Paul Casey 50 1658 3
4 Jason Day 43 1533 4
5 Rickie Fowler 53 1518 5
6 Rory McIlroy 43 1427 6
7 Patrick Cantlay 14 1426 7
8 Brooks Koepka 49 1419 11
9 Matt Kuchar 62 1386 9
10 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1375 8
11 Jon Rahm 38 1354 10
12 Justin Thomas 55 1335 12
13 Justin Rose 45 1334 14
14 Henrik Stenson 48 1312 15
15 Adam Scott 45 1275 13
16 Phil Mickelson 49 1235 16
17 Louis Oosthuizen 49 1182 18
18 Sergio Garcia 44 1159 21
19 Francesco Molinari 50 1158 17
20 Marc Leishman 56 1155 19
21 Patrick Reed 70 1146 20
22 Pat Perez 37 1132 22
23 Brandt Snedeker 46 1075 23
24 Webb Simpson 48 1046 24
25 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 59 1037 25
26 Charley Hoffman 58 974 26
27 Tony Finau 56 962 28
28 Tyrrell Hatton 50 951 34
29 Daniel Berger 54 933 29
30 Kevin Kisner 56 929 31
31 Kevin Chappell 53 928 30
32 Brendan Steele 48 926 32
33 Branden Grace 57 922 35
34 Steve Stricker 31 918 33
35 Bill Haas 53 914 27
36 Brian Harman 60 911 39
37 Jason Dufner 53 900 36
38 Gary Woodland 55 878 38
39 Ryan Moore 45 873 40
40 Charl Schwartzel 50 870 37
41 Zach Johnson 53 859 41
42 Charles Howell 50 846 43
43 Xander Schauffele 36 814 42
44 Alex Noren 47 805 44
45 Kevin Na 52 798 46
46 Chez Reavie 57 792 48
47 Lucas Glover 51 782 45
48 Bubba Watson 46 782 47
49 JB Holmes 53 770 49
50 Russell Henley 52 763 50
51 Kyle Stanley 59 760 56
52 Jimmy Walker 50 737 51
53 Tommy Fleetwood 53 732 54
54 Jamie Lovemark 58 722 52
55 Ian Poulter 48 718 53
56 Emiliano Grillo 59 718 55
57 Keegan Bradley 57 714 57
58 Ryan Palmer 41 688 58
59 Graham DeLaet 48 685 59
60 Bernd Wiesberger 58 680 75
61 Jhonattan Vegas 60 680 65
62 Billy Horschel 51 679 60
63 Martin Kaymer 53 669 62
64 Martin Laird 49 667 64
65 Stewart Cink 47 667 63
66 Bud Cauley 47 660 67
67 Kevin Streelman 52 657 69
68 Jason Kokrak 56 654 73
69 Byeong Hun An 55 652 68
70 Thomas Pieters 50 651 61
71 Scott Piercy 48 646 72
72 Adam Hadwin 58 644 66
73 Shane Lowry 52 641 74
74 Sean O’Hair 53 637 77
75 David Lingmerth 60 636 76
76 Ross Fisher 49 629 70
77 Anirban Lahiri 56 628 78
78 Scott Brown 56 622 79
79 James Hahn 53 615 80
80 Soren Kjeldsen 55 611 81
81 Russell Knox 60 601 83
82 William McGirt 54 600 82
83 Cameron Smith 57 599 84
84 Lee Westwood 48 593 85
85 Jordan L Smith 14 584 71
86 Luke List 62 582 86
87 Matthew Fitzpatrick 61 581 94
88 Jim Furyk 32 569 87
89 Danny Lee 68 559 88
90 Ollie Schniederjans 40 549 91
91 Mackenzie Hughes 35 544 93
92 Sung Kang 66 544 92
93 Hudson Swafford 58 544 89
94 Si woo Kim 63 532 90
95 Graeme McDowell 57 520 96
96 Chad Campbell 57 520 95
97 Nick Taylor 55 514 99
98 Chris Kirk 60 512 97
99 Peter Uihlein 42 511 115
100 Andy Sullivan 57 510 101
101 Kevin Tway 35 510 100
102 Robert Garrigus 49 501 98
103 Hideto Tanihara 22 499 111
104 Robert Streb 58 492 102
105 Nick Watney 25 486 103
106 Harold Varner 62 482 105
107 Colt Knost 31 476 104
108 Jerry Kelly 29 475 107
109 Wesley Bryan 37 466 106
110 Daniel Summerhays 60 460 108
111 Jim Herman 52 454 110
112 Haotong Li 42 443 109
113 Joost Luiten 53 439 113
114 Harris English 57 436 112
115 Chris Wood 54 436 114
116 Grayson Murray 36 436 116
117 Smylie Kaufman 56 435 121
118 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56 434 122
119 Rafael Campos 10 421 119
120 Aaron Baddeley 49 419 118
121 Morgan Hoffmann 55 416 123
122 David Hearn 62 416 117
123 Patrick Rodgers 57 415 124
124 Bryson DeChambeau 54 410 125
125 Ben Martin 54 409 120
126 Billy Hurley 46 408 126
127 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 407 127
128 Geoff Ogilvy 48 400 129
129 Luke Donald 51 397 128
130 Brandon Hagy 32 394 131
131 Roberto Castro 53 388 130
132 Andrew Johnston 46 383 132
133 John Senden 44 379 133
134 JJ Spaun 36 372 134
135 Richard Sterne 42 372 135
136 Whee Kim 59 369 136
137 Tyrone van Aswegen 63 368 139
138 CT Pan 39 368 138
139 Michael Kim 56 367 140
140 Martin Flores 34 365 141
141 Chris Stroud 54 365 142
142 Padraig Harrington 46 363 143
143 Chesson Hadley 41 362 165
144 Seung-yul Noh 58 362 144
145 Patton Kizzire 56 358 153
146 Alexander Levy 47 356 157
147 Vaughn Taylor 51 356 159
148 George Coetzee 53 354 146
149 Ricky Barnes 64 353 158
150 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 353 149
151 David Horsey 46 350 152
152 Jonas Blixt 52 350 147
153 Paul Dunne 51 349 154
154 Andrew Landry 27 348 137
155 Kelly Kraft 53 346 155
156 Johnson Wagner 56 345 151
157 Blayne Barber 51 343 145
158 Alex Cejka 58 342 148
159 Scott Stallings 58 340 156
160 Sam Saunders 52 340 161
161 Eddie Pepperell 44 340 162
162 Michael Thompson 46 340 163
163 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 42 336 150
164 Pablo Larrazabal 50 335 164
165 Seamus Power 34 332 172
166 Camilo Villegas 58 325 167
167 Austin Connelly 20 324 168
168 Victor Dubuisson 35 324 169
169 Rob Oppenheim 35 323 186
170 Richard Bland 51 323 170
171 Retief Goosen 39 322 160
172 Bryce Molder 50 315 173
173 Danny Willett 50 314 174
174 Vijay Singh 41 314 179
175 Gregory Bourdy 56 314 181
176 Freddie Jacobson 33 313 175
177 Richie Ramsay 49 313 178
178 Ryan Blaum 35 313 166
179 David Toms 21 312 177
180 Ryan Fox 39 311 184
181 Derek Fathauer 57 310 196
182 Alexander Bjork 28 310 185
183 Aaron Wise 12 309 191
184 Brian Gay 43 308 193
185 Thongchai Jaidee 56 307 188
186 Scott Hend 59 304 183
187 Richy Werenski 32 303 176
188 Bronson Burgoon 32 302 171
189 Kyle Reifers 67 301 190
190 John Huh 56 301 180
191 Fabian Gomez 48 301 182
192 Cameron Tringale 57 300 187
193 Brian Stuard 52 299 208
194 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 298 192
195 Jorge Campillo 52 296 195
196 Matthew Southgate 56 292 209
197 Ben Crane 56 291 194
198 Rory Sabbatini 47 290 197
199 Dominic Bozzelli 28 288 198
200 Tim Wilkinson 52 283 200
201 Jon Curran 43 281 199
202 Jaco van Zyl 42 281 201
203 Henrik Norlander 32 280 205
204 Cameron Percy 46 278 204
205 Jamie Donaldson 48 277 203
206 Jordan Smith 14 277 206
207 Miguel Angel Jimenez 22 274 211
208 Matt Jones 55 273 202
209 Ryan Armour 29 273 247
210 Andres Gonzales 57 270 216
211 Julian Suri 13 270 217
212 Kyung-tae Kim 22 270 210
213 Keith Mitchell 10 269 189
214 Brett Coletta 8 268 215
215 Curtis Luck 23 268 214
216 Benjamin Hebert 49 267 213
217 Boo Weekley 52 267 212
218 Bradley Dredge 46 263 220
219 Peter Hanson 38 262 222
220 Xin-jun Zhang 8 261
221 Shawn Stefani 59 260 237
222 Jonathan Byrd 22 260 207
223 Rikard Karlberg 43 259 223
224 Mikko Ilonen 45 259 224
225 Troy Merritt 60 258 219
226 Nacho Elvira 55 257 225
227 Jonathan Randolph 32 257 252
228 Trey Mullinax 39 257 218
229 David Lipsky 54 256 221
230 David Drysdale 55 253 226
231 Zac Blair 67 250 230
232 Poom Saksansin 14 250 312
233 Thomas Aiken 54 248 229
234 KJ Choi 50 246 228
235 Austin Cook 10 244 255
236 Robert Rock 49 244 234
237 Joakim Lagergren 48 244 236
238 Anthony Wall 40 244 235
239 Marc Warren 54 243 238
240 Ashun Wu 45 242 268
241 Julian Etulain 29 242 233
242 Spencer Levin 65 241 227
243 Yuta Ikeda 16 241 239
244 Jeunghun Wang 52 240 243
245 Alejandro Canizares 48 239 240
246 Steve Wheatcroft 50 237 231
247 JT Poston 36 237 232
248 Stephen Gallacher 44 234 246
249 Will MacKenzie 45 233 245
250 JJ Henry 53 232 241
251 Adrian Otaegui 52 231 248
252 Tom Hoge 51 229 242
253 Dean Burmester 36 227 250
254 Callum Shinkwin 40 224 254
255 Chad Collins 54 222 256
256 Matt Wallace 22 218 261
257 Graeme Storm 52 217 251
258 DA Points 45 217 263
259 Rick Lamb 28 216 249
260 Tag Ridings 27 216 262
261 Lee McCoy 11 216 253
262 Nino Bertasio 55 214 264
263 Justin Leonard 13 214 257
264 Young-han Song 11 214 244
265 Ashley Chesters 23 212 265
266 Andrew Dodt 46 212 259
267 Martin Piller 30 210 260
268 Scott Langley 30 209 266
269 Aaron Rai 13 209 267
270 Sebastian Munoz 24 203 271
271 Marcus Fraser 48 202 272
272 Robby Shelton 12 200 274
273 Ricardo Gouveia 54 199 279
274 Maximilian Kieffer 50 199 276
275 Renato Paratore 58 199 277
276 Ted Potter 13 198 258
277 Florian Fritsch 31 198 278
278 John Peterson 21 197 282
279 Joel Dahmen 22 197 269
280 Chris Hanson 48 196 283
281 Brice Garnett 26 195 273
282 Brett Stegmaier 60 195 281
283 Anders Hansen 13 194 286
284 Wes Roach 26 194 285
285 Cody Gribble 34 193 275
286 Davis Love 30 193 270
287 James Morrison 55 193 284
288 Lucas Bjerregaard 56 192 287
289 Romain Wattel 51 191 288
290 Scott Jamieson 53 191 291
291 Lee Slattery 54 191 290
292 Darren Fichardt 39 190 292
293 Brandon Stone 46 190 280
294 Julien Quesne 52 190 289
295 Andrew Putnam 8 188
296 Matteo Manassero 51 186 293
297 Corey Conners 8 185
298 Ryo Ishikawa 30 185 294
299 Oliver Fisher 54 182 296
300 Mikko Korhonen 43 180 297
301 Greg Owen 49 177 301
302 Steve Marino 37 177 302
303 Adrien Saddier 10 177 300
304 Stuart Appleby 47 176 295
305 Will Wilcox 39 175 298
306 Andrew Loupe 51 174 299
307 Dylan Frittelli 36 174 303
308 Wade Ormsby 40 172 305
309 Andres Romero 36 171 306
310 Peter Malnati 62 169 310
311 Jason Gore 36 169 304
312 Matthieu Pavon 28 169 309
313 Robert Karlsson 43 169 311
314 Marcel Siem 50 168 308
315 Trevor Fisher 32 167 307
316 Gregory Havret 55 167 314
317 Michael Putnam 16 167 313
318 Chris Paisley 56 166 316
319 Rod Pampling 49 166 315
320 Michael Johnson 10 165 317
321 Gavin Green 8 165 319
322 Hunter Mahan 53 163 334
323 Johan Carlsson 52 163 318
324 Yusaku Miyazato 11 162 321
325 Bernd Ritthammer 30 162 320
326 Shubhankar Sharma 9 161 323
327 Ryan Ruffels 19 161 322
328 Richard Lee 14 158 329
329 Thomas Detry 30 158 324
330 Haydn Porteous 55 157 337
331 Alex Prugh 19 155 330
332 Angel Cabrera 40 155 332
333 Satoshi Kodaira 11 155 328
334 Hiroshi Iwata 41 154 325
335 Charlie Danielson 8 154 331
336 Mark Hubbard 59 153 327
337 Luke Guthrie 24 150 339
338 Raphael Jacquelin 53 150 340
339 Paul Waring 28 149 338
340 Greg Chalmers 45 147 335
341 Ken Duke 52 147 333
342 Justin Hicks 16 147 341
343 Ernie Els 50 147 342
344 Jason Scrivener 50 146 344
345 Ryan Brehm 32 145 345
346 Jose-Filipe Lima 28 144 346
347 Matt Every 47 144 343
348 WC Liang 13 143 409
349 Abraham Ancer 27 141 336
350 Ben Evans 41 141 348
351 Nicholas Lindheim 30 140 391
352 Felipe Aguilar 52 140 347
353 Daniel Im 50 137 350
354 Tyler Aldridge 43 137 349
355 Denny McCarthy 10 136 326
356 Scott Pinckney 29 136 351
357 Rashid Khan 13 135 352
358 Lasse Jensen 50 134 353
359 Beau Hossler 13 133 496
360 Brian Campbell 27 133 358
361 Johannes Veerman 9 133 357
362 Sebastian Heisele 19 132 359
363 Shiv Kapur 25 131 356
364 Tjaart van der Walt 17 130 361
365 Romain Langasque 32 130 362
366 Carlos Ortiz 35 127 363
367 Stephan Jaeger 12 125 355
368 Phachara Khongwatmai 27 125 368
369 Tim Herron 26 125 360
370 John Merrick 25 124 354
371 Duncan Stewart 29 123 364
372 Brett Drewitt 27 122 365
373 Prayad Marksaeng 10 120 366
374 Magnus A Carlsson 48 120 369
375 YE Yang 30 119 370
376 Joel Stalter 26 118 371
377 Jordan Niebrugge 9 118 367
378 Thomas Bjorn 32 117 373
379 Rhein Gibson 31 117 376
380 Justin Walters 52 117 374
381 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 33 115 375
382 Carlos Pigem 37 113 377
383 Mark Wilson 39 112 372
384 Sebastian Soderberg 19 112 378
385 Christofer Blomstrand 8 109 381
386 Tom Lewis 37 108 382
387 SSP Chawrasia 46 108 422
388 Paul Peterson 50 108 385
389 Kristoffer Broberg 34 107 379
390 Richard McEvoy 31 107 386
391 Adilson da Silva 27 106 388
392 Erik Compton 26 106 387
393 Miguel Angel Carballo 42 105 393
394 Hennie Otto 22 105 390
395 Jeff Overton 24 105 380
396 Jbe Kruger 38 104 394
397 Alexander Knappe 26 103 397
398 Eduardo de la Riva 49 103 395
399 Dicky Pride 32 103 383
400 David Bransdon 9 103 396
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

A look at the WGC-HSBC Championship and Sanderson Farms Championship

October 23, 2017 Thomas Hawley

After taking three weeks off, Dustin Johnson rejoins the PGA Tour this week in Shanghai, China, where the World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions is being played. The Sheshan International GC (West) is hosting for the 12th time in the 13 HSBC Champions competitions. At last sighting, Johnson was leading the U.S. to an easy win in the President’s Cup with a 4-0-1 record in the mixed-format event. The week prior, he finished mid-pack in the Tour Championship.

The Hawley course fit statistics indicate that scrambling, greens in regulation, and driving distance are the top three stats in correlation with success at Sheshan. That works for Johnson, who is no. 1 in the field in fit Read more

World Golf Championships-HSBC Champions

October 23, 2017 Thomas Hawley , ,
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson 3.4 2
2 Paul Casey 10.5 11
3 Justin Rose 23.2 1
4 Henrik Stenson 23.7 2
5 Brooks Koepka 24.6 2
6 Matt Kuchar 26.4 31
7 Marc Leishman 27.4 38
8 Phil Mickelson 27.6 15
9 Jason Day 29.2 11
10 Patrick Cantlay 29.4 15
11 Jon Rahm 30.1 36
12 Hideki Matsuyama 30.3 50
13 Louis Oosthuizen 32.2 DNP
14 Francesco Molinari 32.2 46
15 Patrick Reed 32.3 50
16 Pat Perez 32.4 24
17 Adam Scott 35.7 50
18 Ian Poulter 37.4 DNP
19 Tony Finau 38.8 11
20 Jordan L Smith 39.3 58
21 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 39.7 5
22 Xander Schauffele 40.0 46
23 Bill Haas 42.6 62
24 Branden Grace 42.8 15
25 Ross Fisher 44.0 58
26 Tyrrell Hatton 44.5 11
27 Daniel Berger 44.7 24
28 Chez Reavie 44.9 24
29 Lucas Glover 45.1 50
30 Charl Schwartzel 46.4 50
31 Tommy Fleetwood 47.6 20
32 Brian Harman 49.2 8
33 Matthew Fitzpatrick 52.0 9
34 Alex Noren 52.1 31
35 Russell Henley 52.5 36
36 Kyle Stanley 54.1 5
37 Bernd Wiesberger 55.7 9
38 Thomas Pieters 56.2 71
39 Charles Howell 56.3 15
40 Hudson Swafford 60.1 50
41 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60.4 24
42 Paul Dunne 60.5 38
43 Mackenzie Hughes 60.8 DNP
44 Jhonattan Vegas 61.0 20
45 Thorbjorn Olesen 61.2 31
46 Adam Hadwin 61.8 65
47 Si woo Kim 63.2 69
48 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 63.4 67
49 Peter Uihlein 63.9 5
50 Alexander Levy 64.1 31
51 Xin-jun Zhang 64.3 44
52 Richard Sterne 64.6 38
53 Haotong Li 64.7 50
54 Scott Hend 64.9 62
55 Wesley Bryan 65.2 62
56 Hideto Tanihara 65.4 20
57 Richie Ramsay 65.7 44
58 Pablo Larrazabal 66.5 DNP
59 Graeme Storm 67.8 71
60 Ryan Fox 68.9 46
61 David Lipsky 69.0 58
62 Fabrizio Zanotti 69.7 50
63 Matthew Southgate 71.1 24
64 Ashun Wu 71.3 20
65 Brandon Stone 71.5 76
66 Andrew Dodt 71.7 75
67 WC Liang 73.1 38
68 Haydn Porteous 73.1 38
69 Poom Saksansin 73.6 24
70 Phachara Khongwatmai 73.7 46
71 Michael Hendry 74.6 65
72 Zander Lombard 75.3 DNP
73 SSP Chawrasia 75.4 31
74 Daisuke Kataoka 77.6 15
75 Shugo Imahira 80.1 WD
76 Chan Kim 80.8 58
77 Ashley Hall 81.3 74
78 Matthew Griffin 81.4 67
79 Ze-cheng Dou 81.6 69
80 Gavin Kyle Green 84.3 38
81 Cao Yi 85.0 77
82 Hyun-woo Ryu 85.3 24
83 Liu Yanwei 85.5 73
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 539 — highest of the year. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Sanderson Farms Championship

October 23, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,

Tyler Duncan
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Tyler Duncan 46.7 77
2 William McGirt 47.6 25
3 Jason Kokrak 49.9 7
4 Chris Kirk 53.8 34
5 Kevin Streelman 59.1 10
6 Vaughn Taylor 60.4 10
7 Ben Martin 61.1 59
8 Robert Garrigus 62.2 121
9 Daniel Summerhays 63.0 72
10 Tyrone van Aswegen 63.4 25
11 Blayne Barber 64.2 77
12 Brandon Harkins 64.5 121
13 Brandon Hagy 65.0 18
14 Jonathan Byrd 65.1 88
15 Andrew Landry 65.6 59
16 Smylie Kaufman 65.6 4
17 Chesson Hadley 65.7 2
18 Jason Bohn 66.0 WD
19 Scott Stallings 66.2 43
20 Aaron Baddeley 66.5 30
21 Bronson Burgoon 66.6 WD
22 Luke Donald 66.7 DNP
23 JJ Spaun 67.0 34
24 David Hearn 67.0 59
25 Fabian Gomez 67.5 72
26 Harris English 67.6 97
27 Cameron Percy 67.7 34
28 Richy Werenski 67.8 126
29 Rob Oppenheim 67.9 18
30 Keith Mitchell 68.0 102
31 Ricky Barnes 68.1 10
32 Ryan Blaum 68.2 88
33 Billy Hurley 68.2 25
34 Seamus Power 68.3 18
35 Brian Gay 68.3 18
36 Cameron Tringale 68.4 53
37 Aaron Wise 68.4 25
38 Patton Kizzire 68.5 10
39 Peter Malnati 68.6 34
40 Cody Gribble 68.8 77
41 Tom Hoge 68.9 108
42 Davis Love 69.0 77
43 Austin Cook 69.0 25
44 Johnson Wagner 69.2 34
45 Matt Every 69.3 53
46 Alex Cejka 69.3 DQ
47 John Huh 69.4 97
48 Retief Goosen 69.4 88
49 JJ Henry 69.5 WD
50 Troy Merritt 69.7 108
51 Derek Fathauer 69.8 10
52 Matt Jones 69.9 77
53 Trey Mullinax 70.0 WD
54 Ben Crane 70.1 43
55 Corey Conners 70.2 65
56 Jonathan Randolph 70.2 3
57 Steve Wheatcroft 70.5 74
58 Zac Blair 70.8 18
59 Ted Potter 70.9 108
60 Ryan Armour 71.1 1
61 Brian Stuard 71.5 4
62 Spencer Levin 71.5 59
63 Shawn Stefani 71.6 10
64 Rick Lamb 71.7 121
65 Mark Wilson 71.7 102
66 Brice Garnett 71.9 43
67 JT Poston 72.2 53
68 Jason Gore 72.4 DNP
69 Hunter Mahan 72.5 18
70 Martin Piller 72.7 43
71 Brett Stegmaier 72.7 43
72 Greg Chalmers 72.8 68
73 Denny McCarthy 73.2 88
74 Stuart Appleby 73.2 59
75 Lanto Griffin 73.4 77
76 Joel Dahmen 73.4 51
77 Angel Cabrera 73.7 34
78 Abraham Ancer 73.8 68
79 Dicky Pride 74.0 77
80 Andrew Putnam 74.1 34
81 Ken Duke 74.3 113
82 Carl Pettersson 74.6 126
83 Nicholas Lindheim 74.7 7
84 YE Yang 74.9 DNP
85 Brendon de Jonge 74.9 102
86 George McNeill 75.1 43
87 Benjamin Silverman 75.4 7
88 Derek Ernst 76.1 34
89 Robert Allenby 76.5 77
90 Tom Lovelady 76.7 18
91 Steven Bowditch 76.8 108
92 Richard S Johnson 77.0 DNP
93 Matt Atkins 77.1 65
94 Brendon Todd 77.3 113
95 Charlie Wi 77.3 77
96 Stephan Jaeger 77.4 51
97 John Merrick 78.0 108
98 Michael Bradley 78.5 DNP
99 Tim Herron 78.8 53
100 Taylor Moore 79.4 53
101 Conrad Shindler 79.5 59
102 Nate Lashley 79.6 97
103 Adam Schenk 80.3 43
104 Nicholas Thompson 80.9 65
105 Arjun Atwal 80.9 118
106 Talor Gooch 81.5 30
107 Roberto Diaz 81.6 97
108 Ethan Tracy 81.7 30
109 Beau Hossler 82.0 10
110 John Rollins 82.1 74
111 Marc Turnesa 82.6 DNP
112 Sam Ryder 82.7 88
113 Eric Axley 83.5 34
114 Tim Petrovic 83.6 DNP
115 DJ Trahan 83.8 77
116 Heath Slocum 84.0 121
117 Sam Burns 84.2 43
118 Brian Davis 84.3 118
119 Tommy Gainey 84.4 88
120 Omar Uresti 84.4 71
121 Andrew Yun 84.7 121
122 Craig Barlow 84.7 102
123 Kyle Thompson 84.8 113
124 Wyndham Clark 85.3 17
125 Daniel Chopra 85.3 DNP
126 Shaun Micheel 85.3 113
127 Derek Bard 85.5 88
128 Ross Bell 85.5 128
129 Mark Hensby 85.5 DQ
130 Dru Love 85.5 30
131 Phil Schmitt 85.5 113
132 Jimmy Stanger 85.5 77
133 Ben Wolcott 85.5 102
134 Jonathan Kaye 85.5 DNP
135 Parker McLachlin 85.5 118
136 Dudley Hart 85.5 DNP
137 Troy Matteson 86.1 102
138 Chris Smith 86.2 DNP
Scott Strohmeyer late entry 6
David Skinns late entry 58
Grady Brame late entry 69
Nyasha Mauchaza late entry 93
Richard Johnson late entry 101
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 51. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

Tom Hawley’s U.S./ Euro Ratings (Oct. 22, 2017)

October 23, 2017 Thomas Hawley

Dustin Johnson is no. 1 entering the 2017-‘18 season, now on top for 32 weeks in a row.
# Thru Oct. 22, 2017 Events Hawley Rating Previous Week
1 Dustin Johnson 47 1823 1
2 Jordan Spieth 51 1762 2
3 Paul Casey 50 1648 3
4 Jason Day 42 1520 5
5 Rickie Fowler 53 1519 4
6 Rory McIlroy 44 1431 8
7 Patrick Cantlay 13 1418 10
8 Hideki Matsuyama 49 1417 9
9 Matt Kuchar 61 1409 6
10 Jon Rahm 37 1389 7
11 Brooks Koepka 48 1377 11
12 Justin Thomas 56 1329 13
13 Adam Scott 45 1320 12
14 Justin Rose 44 1276 14
15 Henrik Stenson 48 1257 15
16 Phil Mickelson 48 1226 16
17 Francesco Molinari 49 1186 17
18 Louis Oosthuizen 49 1177 18
19 Marc Leishman 56 1176 21
20 Patrick Reed 70 1169 20
21 Sergio Garcia 45 1160 19
22 Pat Perez 37 1132 23
23 Brandt Snedeker 46 1075 22
24 Webb Simpson 48 1048 24
25 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 59 999 25
26 Charley Hoffman 58 976 26
27 Bill Haas 52 942 28
28 Tony Finau 56 935 29
29 Daniel Berger 54 934 27
30 Kevin Chappell 54 930 30
31 Kevin Kisner 57 928 31
32 Brendan Steele 49 926 32
33 Steve Stricker 31 916 33
34 Tyrrell Hatton 50 914 34
35 Branden Grace 57 906 38
36 Jason Dufner 54 902 35
37 Charl Schwartzel 50 895 36
38 Gary Woodland 56 875 37
39 Brian Harman 60 874 42
40 Ryan Moore 46 873 40
41 Zach Johnson 53 859 41
42 Xander Schauffele 35 840 39
43 Charles Howell 50 824 44
44 Alex Noren 47 810 45
45 Lucas Glover 50 801 49
46 Kevin Na 53 797 43
47 Bubba Watson 46 785 47
48 Chez Reavie 56 785 50
49 JB Holmes 53 773 46
50 Russell Henley 51 770 48
51 Jimmy Walker 50 738 51
52 Jamie Lovemark 58 725 62
53 Ian Poulter 49 716 58
54 Tommy Fleetwood 53 715 54
55 Emiliano Grillo 59 715 52
56 Kyle Stanley 58 712 56
57 Keegan Bradley 58 711 53
58 Ryan Palmer 41 692 57
59 Graham DeLaet 48 684 55
60 Billy Horschel 51 679 59
61 Thomas Pieters 50 674 65
62 Martin Kaymer 53 668 60
63 Stewart Cink 48 665 66
64 Martin Laird 49 663 67
65 Jhonattan Vegas 59 663 63
66 Adam Hadwin 57 662 64
67 Bud Cauley 47 662 61
68 Byeong Hun An 56 656 78
69 Kevin Streelman 51 653 69
70 Ross Fisher 49 649 70
71 Jordan L Smith 13 649 68
72 Scott Piercy 49 645 71
73 Jason Kokrak 55 644 72
74 Shane Lowry 53 641 74
75 Bernd Wiesberger 58 641 73
76 David Lingmerth 61 637 75
77 Sean O’Hair 53 637 76
78 Anirban Lahiri 57 628 84
79 Scott Brown 57 622 85
80 James Hahn 54 614 77
81 Soren Kjeldsen 56 612 79
82 William McGirt 53 612 80
83 Russell Knox 61 601 81
84 Cameron Smith 58 600 94
85 Lee Westwood 49 594 82
86 Luke List 62 581 96
87 Jim Furyk 32 566 86
88 Danny Lee 69 562 83
89 Hudson Swafford 58 552 90
90 Si woo Kim 62 549 87
91 Ollie Schniederjans 40 548 97
92 Sung Kang 66 546 88
93 Mackenzie Hughes 35 544 89
94 Matthew Fitzpatrick 61 539 91
95 Chad Campbell 58 522 93
96 Graeme McDowell 58 521 92
97 Chris Kirk 59 521 95
98 Robert Garrigus 48 517 99
99 Nick Taylor 56 514 101
100 Kevin Tway 35 513 100
101 Andy Sullivan 58 511 98
102 Robert Streb 59 490 102
103 Nick Watney 26 484 104
104 Colt Knost 32 483 103
105 Harold Varner 62 483 108
106 Wesley Bryan 36 482 105
107 Jerry Kelly 30 474 107
108 Daniel Summerhays 60 473 106
109 Haotong Li 42 456 110
110 Jim Herman 53 454 109
111 Hideto Tanihara 21 452 111
112 Harris English 57 452 113
113 Joost Luiten 54 438 121
114 Chris Wood 55 437 114
115 Peter Uihlein 42 436 115
116 Grayson Murray 36 435 112
117 David Hearn 62 428 117
118 Aaron Baddeley 48 426 118
119 Rafael Campos 10 425 116
120 Ben Martin 54 422 120
121 Smylie Kaufman 55 420 119
122 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56 419 122
123 Morgan Hoffmann 56 416 128
124 Patrick Rodgers 57 413 124
125 Bryson DeChambeau 54 409 123
126 Billy Hurley 45 408 125
127 Thorbjorn Olesen 53 401 126
128 Luke Donald 52 398 127
129 Geoff Ogilvy 48 397 129
130 Roberto Castro 53 389 130
131 Brandon Hagy 31 386 131
132 Andrew Johnston 47 383 132
133 John Senden 45 380 133
134 JJ Spaun 35 379 134
135 Richard Sterne 41 368 138
136 Whee Kim 59 367 189
137 Andrew Landry 26 367 142
138 CT Pan 39 366 135
139 Tyrone van Aswegen 62 366 141
140 Michael Kim 56 365 140
141 Martin Flores 34 365 143
142 Chris Stroud 54 364 137
143 Padraig Harrington 47 362 139
144 Seung-yul Noh 58 362 144
145 Blayne Barber 50 356 145
146 George Coetzee 53 354 146
147 Jonas Blixt 52 354 136
148 Alex Cejka 58 352 147
149 Nicolas Colsaerts 56 352 149
150 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 42 349 151
151 Johnson Wagner 55 349 150
152 David Horsey 47 349 155
153 Patton Kizzire 55 349 148
154 Paul Dunne 50 347 152
155 Kelly Kraft 53 347 154
156 Scott Stallings 57 346 153
157 Alexander Levy 47 344 158
158 Ricky Barnes 63 343 157
159 Vaughn Taylor 50 342 160
160 Retief Goosen 38 341 156
161 Sam Saunders 52 340 161
162 Eddie Pepperell 44 340 162
163 Michael Thompson 46 339 163
164 Pablo Larrazabal 51 335 165
165 Chesson Hadley 41 329 164
166 Ryan Blaum 34 327 170
167 Camilo Villegas 58 325 176
168 Austin Connelly 20 325 159
169 Victor Dubuisson 36 325 166
170 Richard Bland 52 323 169
171 Bronson Burgoon 31 322 171
172 Seamus Power 33 322 175
173 Bryce Molder 50 321 167
174 Danny Willett 51 321 172
175 Freddie Jacobson 33 319 173
176 Richy Werenski 31 317 180
177 David Toms 21 316 177
178 Richie Ramsay 49 315 182
179 Vijay Singh 41 315 178
180 John Huh 55 314 179
181 Gregory Bourdy 57 314 174
182 Fabian Gomez 47 313 181
183 Scott Hend 59 313 183
184 Ryan Fox 38 313 184
185 Alexander Bjork 28 311 168
186 Rob Oppenheim 34 310 186
187 Cameron Tringale 57 308 185
188 Thongchai Jaidee 57 308 187
189 Keith Mitchell 9 305 190
190 Kyle Reifers 68 304 188
191 Aaron Wise 11 301 193
192 Fabrizio Zanotti 47 301 194
193 Brian Gay 42 300 192
194 Ben Crane 56 297 195
195 Jorge Campillo 53 296 191
196 Derek Fathauer 56 295 196
197 Rory Sabbatini 48 288 198
198 Dominic Bozzelli 28 286 200
199 Jon Curran 44 286 197
200 Tim Wilkinson 52 284 199
201 Jaco van Zyl 43 282 201
202 Matt Jones 55 282 202
203 Jamie Donaldson 49 280 220
204 Cameron Percy 45 279 203
205 Henrik Norlander 32 277 207
206 Jordan Smith 14 277 206
207 Jonathan Byrd 21 277 204
208 Brian Stuard 51 276 205
209 Matthew Southgate 55 273 209
210 Kyung-tae Kim 22 272 243
211 Miguel Angel Jimenez 23 272 217
212 Boo Weekley 52 270 208
213 Benjamin Hebert 50 269 211
214 Curtis Luck 23 269 212
215 Brett Coletta 8 268 213
216 Andres Gonzales 57 268 216
217 Julian Suri 13 268 249
218 Trey Mullinax 38 267 215
219 Troy Merritt 60 267 214
220 Bradley Dredge 46 264 210
221 David Lipsky 54 262 222
222 Peter Hanson 38 262 228
223 Rikard Karlberg 44 260 223
224 Mikko Ilonen 46 258 218
225 Nacho Elvira 55 256 221
226 David Drysdale 56 253 226
227 Spencer Levin 65 250 225
228 KJ Choi 50 247 224
229 Thomas Aiken 55 247 229
230 Zac Blair 67 245 230
231 Steve Wheatcroft 49 244 235
232 JT Poston 35 244 233
233 Julian Etulain 29 243 232
234 Robert Rock 50 243 247
235 Anthony Wall 41 243 234
236 Joakim Lagergren 49 243 227
237 Shawn Stefani 58 243 240
238 Marc Warren 55 242 239
239 Yuta Ikeda 16 242 237
240 Alejandro Canizares 49 240 236
241 JJ Henry 52 240 242
242 Tom Hoge 50 239 241
243 Jeunghun Wang 52 238 231
244 Young-han Song 9 233 219
245 Will MacKenzie 45 233 244
246 Stephen Gallacher 45 233 238
247 Ryan Armour 28 231 245
248 Adrian Otaegui 52 230 259
249 Rick Lamb 27 227 248
250 Dean Burmester 36 226 251
251 Graeme Storm 52 225 252
252 Jonathan Randolph 31 224 253
253 Lee McCoy 11 223 246
254 Callum Shinkwin 40 223 254
255 Austin Cook 9 223 255
256 Chad Collins 54 221 257
257 Justin Leonard 13 221 250
258 Ted Potter 12 220 258
259 Andrew Dodt 46 219 260
260 Martin Piller 29 219 256
261 Matt Wallace 22 218 268
262 Tag Ridings 27 216 261
263 DA Points 45 216 262
264 Nino Bertasio 55 214 274
265 Ashley Chesters 23 212 287
266 Scott Langley 30 210 264
267 Aaron Rai 13 207 322
268 Ashun Wu 44 207 263
269 Joel Dahmen 21 206 267
270 Davis Love 29 205 272
271 Sebastian Munoz 24 204 270
272 Marcus Fraser 49 202 273
273 Brice Garnett 25 202 269
274 Robby Shelton 12 202 271
275 Cody Gribble 33 201 265
276 Maximilian Kieffer 51 201 266
277 Renato Paratore 58 198 283
278 Florian Fritsch 31 198 277
279 Ricardo Gouveia 54 198 285
280 Brandon Stone 45 197 279
281 Brett Stegmaier 59 196 278
282 John Peterson 22 195 282
283 Chris Hanson 48 195 290
284 James Morrison 56 194 281
285 Wes Roach 26 193 286
286 Anders Hansen 13 193 364
287 Lucas Bjerregaard 57 192 284
288 Romain Wattel 52 192 275
289 Julien Quesne 53 192 276
290 Lee Slattery 55 191 280
291 Scott Jamieson 53 191 306
292 Darren Fichardt 39 189 289
293 Matteo Manassero 51 185 294
294 Ryo Ishikawa 31 184 288
295 Stuart Appleby 46 182 292
296 Oliver Fisher 54 181 316
297 Mikko Korhonen 43 180 291
298 Will Wilcox 39 178 293
299 Andrew Loupe 51 178 295
300 Adrien Saddier 10 177 296
301 Greg Owen 50 177 300
302 Steve Marino 37 177 298
303 Dylan Frittelli 36 175 303
304 Jason Gore 37 172 302
305 Wade Ormsby 40 171 341
306 Andres Romero 36 170 301
307 Trevor Fisher 33 169 308
308 Marcel Siem 51 169 304
309 Matthieu Pavon 28 169 309
310 Peter Malnati 61 168 312
311 Robert Karlsson 43 168 305
312 Poom Saksansin 13 168 314
313 Michael Putnam 16 168 311
314 Gregory Havret 56 167 307
315 Rod Pampling 49 165 313
316 Chris Paisley 56 165 315
317 Michael Johnson 10 164 319
318 Johan Carlsson 52 163 310
319 Gavin Green 8 162 320
320 Bernd Ritthammer 30 161 318
321 Yusaku Miyazato 11 161 317
322 Ryan Ruffels 19 160 297
323 Shubhankar Sharma 9 159 324
324 Thomas Detry 30 157 323
325 Hiroshi Iwata 41 156 321
326 Denny McCarthy 9 156 326
327 Mark Hubbard 59 155 325
328 Satoshi Kodaira 11 155 299
329 Richard Lee 15 154 334
330 Alex Prugh 19 154 331
331 Charlie Danielson 8 153 329
332 Angel Cabrera 39 153 327
333 Ken Duke 51 152 328
334 Hunter Mahan 52 152 330
335 Greg Chalmers 44 151 332
336 Abraham Ancer 26 150 336
337 Haydn Porteous 54 150 333
338 Paul Waring 28 150 340
339 Luke Guthrie 24 149 337
340 Raphael Jacquelin 54 149 342
341 Justin Hicks 16 148 335
342 Ernie Els 51 147 338
343 Matt Every 47 147 339
344 Jason Scrivener 50 146 346
345 Ryan Brehm 32 145 343
346 Jose-Filipe Lima 28 144 349
347 Felipe Aguilar 52 140 345
348 Ben Evans 41 140 350
349 Tyler Aldridge 43 140 347
350 Daniel Im 50 138 348
351 Scott Pinckney 30 137 351
352 Rashid Khan 13 135 352
353 Lasse Jensen 50 134 356
354 John Merrick 24 133 360
355 Stephan Jaeger 11 132 355
356 Shiv Kapur 25 132 353
357 Johannes Veerman 9 132 358
358 Brian Campbell 27 132 357
359 Sebastian Heisele 19 132 359
360 Tim Herron 25 131 361
361 Tjaart van der Walt 17 129 363
362 Romain Langasque 32 129 354
363 Carlos Ortiz 36 126 365
364 Duncan Stewart 29 123 362
365 Brett Drewitt 27 122 369
366 Prayad Marksaeng 11 122 344
367 Jordan Niebrugge 9 120 370
368 Phachara Khongwatmai 26 119 372
369 Magnus A Carlsson 49 119 368
370 YE Yang 30 119 371
371 Joel Stalter 26 118 366
372 Mark Wilson 38 118 375
373 Thomas Bjorn 33 117 374
374 Justin Walters 52 117 373
375 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 33 116 367
376 Rhein Gibson 31 115 378
377 Carlos Pigem 37 113 381
378 Sebastian Soderberg 19 111 413
379 Kristoffer Broberg 35 111 376
380 Jeff Overton 24 110 377
381 Christofer Blomstrand 8 109 382
382 Tom Lewis 37 108 379
383 Dicky Pride 31 108 391
384 Matt Atkins 10 108 385
385 Paul Peterson 51 107 384
386 Richard McEvoy 31 106 389
387 Erik Compton 26 106 388
388 Adilson da Silva 27 106 392
389 Michael Hendry 13 106 386
390 Hennie Otto 22 105 395
391 Nicholas Lindheim 29 105 393
392 Matthew Griffin 10 104 394
393 Miguel Angel Carballo 42 104 398
394 Jbe Kruger 38 104 397
395 Eduardo de la Riva 50 103 390
396 David Bransdon 9 103 396
397 Alexander Knappe 26 102 387
398 Seve Benson 18 102 399
399 Jens Dantorp 13 102 401
400 Zander Lombard 33 101 407
More | Less

Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

CJ Cup @ Nine Bridges

October 16, 2017 Thomas Hawley ,
Paul Casey
Paul Casey
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Paul Casey -78.0 19
2 Patrick Cantlay -46.9 DNP
3 Jason Day -41.5 11
4 Marc Leishman -39.6 2
5 Justin Thomas -39.4 1
6 Pat Perez -23.2 5
7 Xander Schauffele -19.9 72
8 Patrick Reed -18.3 11
9 Tony Finau -14.7 26
10 Adam Scott -11.0 25
11 Rafael Cabrera-Bello -4.9 11
12 Chez Reavie 1.1 15
13 Lucas Glover 3.9 15
14 Gary Woodland 4.9 40
15 Daniel Berger 5.3 54
16 Branden Grace 8.3 15
17 Ian Poulter 9.1 15
18 Charl Schwartzel 10.1 28
19 Russell Henley 12.2 33
20 Keegan Bradley 14.1 47
21 Kevin Na 14.5 47
22 Jason Dufner 19.0 DNP
23 Stewart Cink 20.9 33
24 Jamie Lovemark 21.2 5
25 JB Holmes 22.3 67
26 Brian Harman 23.0 5
27 Bud Cauley 23.8 47
28 Kyle Stanley 24.7 19
29 James Hahn 26.9 40
30 Scott Brown 27.0 5
31 Emiliano Grillo 27.5 40
32 Anirban Lahiri 27.6 5
33 Charles Howell 27.6 19
34 Graham DeLaet 27.6 WD
35 Jhonattan Vegas 29.4 54
36 Luke List 30.0 5
37 Cameron Smith 30.0 3
38 Hudson Swafford 30.6 28
39 Adam Hadwin 31.6 47
40 Harold Varner 31.7 26
41 Nick Taylor 33.9 23
42 Sung Kang 34.5 54
43 David Lingmerth 34.7 DNP
44 Thomas Pieters 35.3 28
45 Scott Piercy 35.5 DNP
46 Grayson Murray 36.8 76
47 Mackenzie Hughes 36.9 DNP
48 Ollie Schniederjans 37.8 19
49 Danny Lee 38.4 71
50 Robert Streb 38.5 40
51 Byeong Hun An 38.7 11
52 Martin Flores 38.8 DNP
53 Russell Knox 39.9 DNP
54 Kevin Tway 40.4 28
55 Chad Campbell 40.7 61
56 Chris Kirk 41.1 54
57 Si woo Kim 42.6 44
58 Morgan Hoffmann 42.9 23
59 Graeme McDowell 43.4 64
60 Wesley Bryan 44.6 36
61 CT Pan 45.3 47
62 Jim Herman 48.0 74
63 Patrick Rodgers 48.5 33
64 Camilo Villegas 48.9 36
65 JJ Spaun 51.5 DNP
66 Scott Stallings 52.1 DNP
67 Chris Stroud 52.7 47
68 Michael Kim 54.6 DNP
69 Jonas Blixt 55.3 64
70 Kelly Kraft 55.4 44
71 Whee Kim 56.4 4
72 Kyung-tae Kim 57.2 28
73 Young-han Song 59.0 58
74 Jeunghun Wang 59.0 75
75 KJ Choi 60.4 67
76 Cody Gribble 60.8 66
77 Ryan Ruffels 63.9 67
78 Rod Pampling 67.8 61
79 Ernie Els 68.9 DNP
80 Kyoung-hoon Lee 70.7 47
81 Sangmoon Bae 71.5 61
82 Gavin Kyle Green 76.3 67
83 Jin Choi 77.0 36
84 Jung-gon Hwang 77.4 44
85 Hyungjoon Lee 77.5 60
86 Seunghyuk Kim 77.7 58
87 Gyu Min Lee 77.8 77
88 Lee Jung-hwan 77.8 72
Seung-yul Noh late entry 37
More | Less

The accuracy number for these picks is 338. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.